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DOE OSTI2024

Data-Informed Evaluation Framework for Integrated Energy Systems: Insights from Power, Process Heat, and Hydrogen Production Applications

The multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework provides a systematic evaluation of the diverse preferences and performance metrics associated with alternative solutions. This approach is advantageous over a single-criterion methodology, which are only valid under conditions that assume ceteris paribus or an "apples-to-apples" comparison. However, selecting suitable technologies for integrated energy systems (IES) can be likened to an "apples-to-oranges" comparison, given the heterogeneous factors at stake. These factors include economics and performance parameters, geological compatibility, and environmental impacts. Consequently, past research has often employed a mixture of qualitative and quantitative criteria tailored to the specific interests of each study. While the method proves effective in handling the intricate interplay of criteria, the resulting rankings and scores can vary from study to study. This inconsistency is introduced from the use of subjectively defined thresholds and weights. As a result, decision-makers frequently find it challenging to establish clear connections between specific criteria and the resulting scores, as the transformation of criteria into ordinal scores results in a substantial loss of information. To address this challenge, we introduce a data-informed IES evaluation framework that offers comprehensive, interpretable, and traceable evaluations backed by quantifiable rationale. First, we identified key IES evaluation criteria from a decade of literature, focusing on relevant IES applications in power, process heat, and hydrogen production. We leveraged state-of-the-art cost estimates from the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and technical data from 78 reactor designs from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development - Nuclear Energy Agency (OECD-NEA). Lastly, we established thresholds by analyzing the mean, variance, root mean square, and slope of values across alternatives, categorizing the preferences of decision-makers into distinct utility functions, such as linear, saturating, exponential, and stepwise. Our approach yielded two main outcomes: (1) it provided consistent assessments across different stakeholder groups and (2) it visualized uncertainties in the decision-making context via comprehensive sensitivity analysis. To demonstrate the impact of our framework, we conducted case studies on 6 reactor designs (AP1000, NuScale, BWRX-300, Xe-100, eVinci, iMSR) for the three applications. Our data-driven framework proved to be highly effective in addressing heterogenous uncertainties faced by varied decision-makers? preferences and IES applications, as well as cost and technical estimates of advanced reactors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Fault-tolerant grid frequency measurement algorithm during transients

A system determines the frequency of grid signals corresponding to an electrical grid in real time. The system includes a transient detector that monitors a grid signal from a voltage meter or a current meter connected to the electrical grid. The system produces, in real time and at a sampling rate, a deviation signal indicative of a periodicity of the monitored grid signal. The system determines, over one or more cycles of the monitored grid signal, a measurement signal corresponding to the deviation signal. The system determines a frequency signal that corresponds a frequency estimation of the monitored signal by applying a frequency estimation when values of the measurement signal are less than a deviation threshold and maintaining the frequency signal at a constant value when values of the measured signal equal or exceeds the deviation threshold.

Zhan, Lingwei↗

DOE OSTI2024

Truncating the distribution of modulus properties in natural populations of wood

This disclosure is directed to methods of separating wood veneer material by property measurements, and thereafter improving the properties of veneer material with property values lower than a target threshold value, until those materials meet or exceed that threshold values. In some aspects of the disclosure, veneer materials are prepared, non-destructively measured, and separated into passing and failing material collections. The failing material collection may then be treated to improve the density and flexural modulus of the material therein. Also disclosed herein are products and materials incorporating the treated veneer materials according to the disclosed methods.

Bradshaw, Allan↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating Thermostats' Deadbands Using HVAC Hardware-In-the-Loop Experiment for Advanced Control Strategies: Preprint

Smart thermostats have gained significant popularity due to their potential for optimizing energy consumption and enhanced user control while ensuring occupants' comfort. The deadband, also referred to as temperature differential, is defined as the temperature difference between the desired setpoint and upper threshold or lower threshold for the HVAC equipment to turn on. It is a key factor influencing energy efficiency and user satisfaction. This paper presents a comparative analysis of the deadbands of five different smart thermostats, tested with a heat pump, aiming to identify variations in their deadband settings and implications for energy management. The experimental study was conducted using a HVAC hardware-in-theloop (HIL) system that integrates smart thermostats with physical HVAC equipment in a simulated house environment. The study explores the trade-offs between energy efficiency and occupant comfort and highlights how different thermostats participating in demand response event cycle differently based on their deadband settings. The findings offer valuable insights into how selecting the right thermostat or configuring smart thermostat with appropriate deadband settings can be leveraged to enhance demand response capabilities, shift loads effectively and improve operational flexibility in HVAC systems.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating Thermostats’ Deadbands Using HVAC Hardware-In-the-Loop Experiment for Advanced Control Strategies

Thermostats play a crucial role in energy consumption, user control, and occupant comfort by serving as the interface between the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system and the building's occupants. The deadband, also referred to as temperature differential, is defined as the temperature difference between the desired setpoint and upper threshold or lower threshold for the HVAC equipment to turn on or off. It is a key factor influencing energy efficiency and user satisfaction. This paper presents a comparative analysis of the deadbands of five different thermostats, tested with a residential heat pump, aiming to identify variations in their deadband settings and implications for energy usage and management. The experimental study was conducted using a HVAC hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) system that allows thermostats to be connected with physical HVAC equipment, driven by conditions in a simulated residential building. The study explores the trade-offs between energy efficiency and occupant comfort and highlights how different thermostats cycle differently based on their deadband settings. The findings offer valuable insights into how thermostat deadband affects comfort and energy use, as well as the cycling frequency of a heat pump.

Ramaraj, Sugirdhalakshmi [National Renewable Energ↗

DOE OSTI2025

Solar Neutrino Detection with a Pixelated Liquid-Argon Time Projection Chamber

This thesis presents a study of low-energy solar neutrino detection using large-scale LArTPCs, focussing on novel pixelated readout technologies. Solar neutrinos offer a unique probe of fundamental neutrino properties and solar physics, but their detection in the MeV range is challenged by backgrounds. We investigate two complementary technologies: SoLAr, which integrates LArPix-based pixelated charge collection with Silicon Photomultipliers (SiPMs) in a hybrid anode design for simultaneous charge and light detection; and Q-Pix, a triggerless pixelated readout architecture based on charge integrate-reset circuits with local clocks, where Reset Time Differences encode ionisation waveforms via time-to-charge conversion. Two SoLAr prototypes were developed and operated, demonstrating VUV-sensitive SiPM performance in liquid argon and accurate charge-light signal matching with a charge detection threshold of $\sim 100 \mathrm{keV}$. We also implement a complete simulation and reconstruction framework, incorporating realistic detector geometry, electron transport, readout response, and detailed signal and background models, including intrinsic argon and radon progeny, as well as site-specific $\gamma$-ray and neutron fluxes. For Q-Pix, we demonstrate that with a pixel size of $4\times 4$ mm$^2$ and a reset threshold of 1 fC ($\sim 0.1475$ MeV), full-scale operation produces data volumes below 1 PB per 10 ktonne-year. For SoLAr, assuming a shielded DUNE-like detector and 100 ktonne-year exposure, we project uncertainties of $0.90\times 10^{-5}$ eV$^2$ on $\Delta m^2_{21}$ and 0.033 on $\sin^2\theta_{12}$, improving to $0.46\times 10^{-5}$ eV$^2$ and 0.025 with 400 kilotonne-year. At this higher exposure, we also obtain a day–night flux asymmetry at the level of $( -5.6 \pm 3.6 ) \%$. Combining Monte Carlo modelling, hardware validation, and advanced reconstruction techniques, this work establishes a path toward next-generation ktonne-scale LArTPCs as observatories for precision solar neutrino physics.

Ruiz Ferreira, Guilherme [Manchester U.] (ORCID:00↗

DOE OSTI2024

Interfacial Analysis of Blister Formation in U-10Mo Mini-Plates

A thorough investigation of potential failure mechanisms builds confidence in the performance of monolithic U-10wt%Mo (U-10Mo) fuel plates. The lowenriched uranium (LEU) fuel system is currently undergoing qualification as a high U-density fuel that can be used to convert United States high-performance research reactors from high-enriched uranium (HEU) operation. This will require establishing fuel operational limits such that fission products and a coolable geometry are retained, even during off-normal reactor operation conditions [1]. Such off-normal conditions can subject the fuel plates to temperatures where the internal pressure of precipitated fission gasses result in a permanent deformed, raised area of the cladding, referred to as a blister. These blisters can reduce the local coolability of a fuel plate and can even close coolant channels of a fuel assembly, so blistered plates are considered failed regardless of whether the fuel is truly breached. Historically, a marginto- failure is established through out-of-pile blister threshold testing of irradiated fuel plates. This is accomplished by incrementally heating irradiated fuel plates until blisters are observed. This reveals the temperature threshold that would have resulted in a blister if a plate experienced them at those irradiation conditions [2]. While the blister testing itself reveals the temperatures at which the cladding mechanical integrity was exceeded, a more thorough investigation of the interface evolution in proximity to formed blisters may reveal mechanisms as to the blister formation and retention of fission gases. Previous studies have explored potential underlying mechanisms in historical plates that may have been close to blistering [3]; however, this work is the first exploration of blister tested irradiated plates, fabricated by a commercial vendor—another requirement for qualification of the fuel system [1]. The Mini-plate 1 (MP-1) experiment was the first in a series of irradiation and post-irradiation examination (PIE) campaigns to qualify the U-10Mo monolithic fuel system. It consisted of commercially fabricated 25.4×101.5 mm Al-clad mini-plates with a monolithic U-10Mo foil coated in a Zr diffusion barrier. The primary MP-1 PIE campaign was previously completed. Among the suit of examinations was a blister testing campaign, where plates were incrementally annealed in 25°C increments until blisters were observed or a maximum temperature of 550°C was reached [4]. The previously blistered plates from this campaign were revisited in this work.

25228↗

DOE OSTI2025

Characterization of the degradation of gamma-irradiated elastomers using Raman spectroscopy

This report presents key findings from Raman spectroscopic analysis of gamma-irradiated rubber samples extracted from a laminated lead-damped rubber (LDR) seismic isolation device. The samples were exposed to gamma radiation from a 60Co source in a Foss Therapy Services gamma irradiator, reaching absorbed doses up to 1600 kGy. A distinct threshold near 400 kGy was identified, beyond which significant spectral changes were observed. Two Raman peaks - at approximately 425 cm-1 and 2440 cm-1 - were tracked as a function of dose using Gaussian fitting. The 425 cm-1 peak, attributed to sulfur–sulfur (S–S) bond stretching (resulting from vulcanization of the rubber), exhibited a dose-dependent upshift, indicating radiation-induced crosslinking within the sulfur-based polymer network. Conversely, the 2440 cm-1 peak, likely associated with vibrational modes of additives or impurities, showed a downward shift with increasing dose, suggesting chain scission and degradation of non-rubber constituents. These results provide first-of-a-kind insights into the microstructural evolution of elastomers under high-dose gamma irradiation and establish a preliminary dose threshold for significant degradation. Future work will incorporate multi-modal characterization—including Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy, scanning electrom microscopy (SEM) of the rubber surface morphology, thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) to determine changes in thermal stability, and mechanical testing—to correlate molecular-level changes with macroscopic performance of these elastomers as damping media in seismic isolation devices. These findings are expected to provide regulatory guidance and design criteria for qualifying low-damping rubber seismic isolators in advanced nuclear reactor applications.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Learning to Trigger: Reinforcement Learning at the Large Hadron Collider

High-throughput scientific facilities such as the Large Hadron Collider depend on real-time event filtering (\textit{triggering}) under tight constraints on bandwidth, latency, and storage. In practice, trigger menus are largely static and hand-tuned and can become suboptimal as detector conditions, pileup, and background composition drift over time. We cast online threshold tuning as a sequential decision-making problem: a reinforcement learning agent ingests streaming summaries of recent rates and signal-sensitive features and updates trigger thresholds to maximize signal efficiency while tracking a target background rate within a tolerance band. We adapt Group-Filtered Policy Optimization (GFPO) to streaming control and introduce two variants (GFPO-F, GFPO-FR) that enforce background rate feasibility during training. On a benchmark that emulates realistic collider operation, we study two representative triggers: a total transverse energy ($H_{T}$) trigger sensitive to pileup variation, and an anomaly-detection (AD) trigger based on reconstruction loss for rare or non-standard signatures. On Monte Carlo streams, our agent increases the fraction of in-tolerance time intervals by 48% ($H_T$) and 28% (AD), with a cumulative gain of up to 2% in signal efficiency on those in-tolerance intervals. Transferring from simulation to \emph{real} collision data (CMS Run 283408), the same agent, without fine-tuning, achieves a 56% ($H_T$) and 28% (AD) in-tolerance improvement over baselines, with further signal-efficiency gain on both triggers. To our knowledge, this is the \emph{first} demonstration of RL-based trigger control on real Large Hadron Collider collision data. Code is available at https://github.com/Zixind/GFPO_LHC (see repo for details).

Ding, Zixin [Chicago U.]↗

DOE OSTI2023

Versatile recognition of graphene layers from optical images under controlled illumination through green channel correlation method

In this study, a simple yet versatile method is proposed for identifying the number of exfoliated graphene layers transferred on an oxide substrate from optical images, utilizing a limited number of input images for training, paired with a more traditional number of a few thousand well-published Github images for testing and predicting. Two thresholding approaches, namely the standard deviation-based approach and the linear regression-based approach, were employed in this study. The method specifically leverages the red, green, and blue color channels of image pixels and creates a correlation between the green channel of the background and the green channel of the various layers of graphene. This method proves to be a feasible alternative to deep learning-based graphene recognition and traditional microscopic analysis. The proposed methodology performs well under conditions where the effect of surrounding light on the graphene-on-oxide sample is minimum and allows rapid identification of the various graphene layers. Here, the study additionally addresses the functionality of the proposed methodology with nonhomogeneous lighting conditions, showcasing successful prediction of graphene layers from images that are lower in quality compared to typically published in literature. In all, the proposed methodology opens up the possibility for the non-destructive identification of graphene layers from optical images by utilizing a new and versatile method that is quick, inexpensive, and works well with fewer images that are not necessarily of high quality.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Tailoring Mid–Gap States of Chalcogenide Glass by Pressure–Induced Hypervalent Bonding Towards the Design of Electrical Switching Materials

Phase change memory (PCM) and ovonic threshold switching (OTS) materials using chalcogenide glass are essential elements in advanced 3D memory chips. The mid–gap states, induced by the disorder and defects in the glass, are the physical mechanisms of the electrical switching behavior, while the origin of these trap states is still under debate and the medium–range clusters that break the global octet rule, such as over–coordinated atoms, are known to be responsible in various glass. Here, it is discovered that a large fraction of over–coordinated clusters fails to generate mid–gap states, which are probably caused by hypervalent bonding, a multi–centered covalent bond participated by delocalized lone–pair electrons. This is confirmed by the pressure–driven simulations of amorphous GeSe models, in which it is found that octahedral motifs and hypervalent bonds prevent the over–coordinated medium–range clusters from providing excessive electrons. In practical applications, compatible dopants can be used to change the number of hypervalent bonds, thus controlling the number of mid–gap states and consequently the performance of PCM and OTS materials. Finally, these results reveal the origin of mid–gap states in chalcogenide glasses, enabling extensive control in the development of pioneering electrical switching materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Embolism resistance explains mortality and recovery of five subtropical evergreen broadleaf trees to persistent drought

Subtropical evergreen broadleaf forest (SEBF) is experiencing and expected to suffer more frequent and severe drought events. However, how the hydraulic traits directly link to the mortality and recovery of SEBF trees remains unclear. In this study, we conducted a drought-rewatering experiment on tree seedlings of five dominant species to investigate how the hydraulic traits were related to tree mortality and the resistance and recovery of photosynthesis (A) and transpiration (E) under different drought severities. Species with greater embolism resistance (P 50 ) survived longer than those with the weaker P 50 . However, there was no general hydraulic threshold associated with tree mortality, with the lethal hydraulic failure varying from 64% to 93% loss of conductance. Further, the photosynthesis and transpiration of tree species with greater P 50 were more resistant to and recovered faster from drought than those with lower P 50 . Other plant traits could not explain the interspecific variation in tree mortality and drought resistance and recovery. These results highlight the unique importance of embolism resistance in driving carbon and water process under persistent drought across different trees in SEBF. The absence of multiple efficient drought strategies in SEBF seedlings implies the difficulty of natural seedling regeneration under future droughts, which often occurs after destructive disturbances (e.g., extreme drought events and typhoon), suggesting that this biome may be highly vulnerable to co-occurring climate extremes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Crack detection in fuel cell electrodes using a spatial filtering technique for overcoming noisy backgrounds

Image processing is a powerful tool that allows for rapid and automated data parsing in settings that occupy large variable spaces and require large data sets. Feature detection on difficultly discerned backgrounds is a subset of image processing that facilitates the extraction of quantitative metrics from otherwise subjective data. Crack detection and quantification is an important capability in polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell quality control, failure analysis, and optimization. This work presents a technique to perform crack detection and quantification which overcomes challenges faced by commonly used image segmentation techniques. We demonstrate the use of a geometrically filtered noise‐level detection technique to select a binary threshold value from which we then quantify how cracked a sample is. Furthermore, we demonstrate the accuracy of our technique using programmatically generated test images of known crack amounts and their performance on real‐world fuel cell catalyst layer samples.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

DOE OSTI2022

What is the iε for the S-matrix?

Can the S-matrix be complexified in a way consistent with causality? Since the 1960's, the affirmative answer to this question has been well-understood for 2→2 scattering of the lightest particle in theories with a mass gap at low momentum transfer, where the S-matrix is analytic everywhere except at normal-threshold branch cuts. We ask whether an analogous picture extends to realistic theories, such as the Standard Model, that include massless fields, UV/IR divergences, and unstable particles. Especially in the presence of light states running in the loops, the traditional iε prescription for approaching physical regions might break down, because causality requirements for the individual Feynman diagrams can be mutually incompatible. We demonstrate that such analyticity problems are not in contradiction with unitarity. Instead, they should be thought of as finite-width effects that disappear in the idealized 2→2 scattering amplitudes with no unstable particles, but might persist at higher multiplicity. To fix these issues, we propose an iε -like prescription for deforming branch cuts in the space of Mandelstam invariants without modifying the analytic properties. This procedure results in a complex strip around the real part of the kinematic space, where the S-matrix remains causal. In addition to giving a pedagogical introduction to the analytic properties of the perturbative S-matrix from a modern point of view, we illustrate all the points on explicit examples, both symbolically and numerically. Furthermore, to help with the investigation of related questions, we introduce a number of tools, including holomorphic cutting rules, new approaches to dispersion relations, as well as formulae for local behavior of Feynman integrals near branch points.

Anomalous thresholds↗

DOE OSTI2024

Puzzles of Exotic Decay Processes

The growing interest in the physics of unstable nuclei, along with their manifestations in laboratory experiments and astrophysical observations, highlights the existence of features in decay processes within complex quantum systems that are not yet fully understood. Furthermore, this paper considers examples of such phenomena, including two-step decay processes, resonance effects, threshold peculiarities, and the interactions between bound and continuum states, as well as the related dynamics.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

A phase transition for finding needles in nonlinear haystacks with LASSO artificial neural networks

To fit sparse linear associations, a LASSO sparsity inducing penalty with a single hyperparameter provably allows to recover the important features (needles) with high probability in certain regimes even if the sample size is smaller than the dimension of the input vector (haystack). More recently learners known as artificial neural networks (ANN) have shown great successes in many machine learning tasks, in particular fitting nonlinear associations. Small learning rate, stochastic gradient descent algorithm and large training set help to cope with the explosion in the number of parameters present in deep neural networks. Yet few ANN learners have been developed and studied to find needles in nonlinear haystacks. Driven by a single hyperparameter, our ANN learner, like for sparse linear associations, exhibits a phase transition in the probability of retrieving the needles, which we do not observe with other ANN learners. To select our penalty parameter, we generalize the universal threshold of Donoho and Johnstone (Biometrika 81(3):425–455, 1994) which is a better rule than the conservative (too many false detections) and expensive cross-validation. In the spirit of simulated annealing, we propose a warm-start sparsity inducing algorithm to solve the high-dimensional, non-convex and non-differentiable optimization problem. We perform simulated and real data Monte Carlo experiments to quantify the effectiveness of our approach.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Heterogeneity or illusion? Track the carbon Kuznets curve of global residential building operations

Residential buildings, the “last mile” sector in the global decarbonization, have become the most significant uncertain factor hindering carbon neutrality with increasing household energy demand. To track the operational carbon in buildings, this study investigates the carbon Kuznets curve (CKC) and the corresponding decoupling status of residential building operations at four emission scales by using the data of 30 countries from 2000 to 2019. The results show that (1) the CKC model can fit more than half of the samples. Most curves have an inverted U-shape, with 76% of emission per household and 82% of total emissions. (2) In the presence of the CKC, over four-fifths of global residential buildings peak regardless of any emission scale. The analysis denotes that the carbon emissions of developed countries reach their peaks earlier. In the total emissions, the samples’ peaking proportion is 20% and 25% with income per capita < 20,000 United States dollars (USD) and 20,000–40,000 USD, respectively. (3) The Tapio decoupling analysis and the threshold regression effectively verify the robustness and the heterogeneity of CKCs, respectively. Strong decoupling effects of CKCs in most countries are demonstrated at the scales of emission per floor space and the total emissions, and the heterogeneity proves the classic inverted U-shaped relationship between economy and emissions doesn’t exist in all emitters. Overall, this study tracks the historical carbon emission trajectories of residential building operations at a global scale, providing reference for different economies to simulate the dynamic of building carbon emissions along with the economic booming.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2023

Further understanding “severe” climate risk

What makes one climate risk more “severe” or “dangerous” than others? Acknowledging that the notion of dangerousness can substantially vary from one sociocultural context to another, this Perspective paper builds on recent literature to explore three notions that are estimated to be foundational to climate risk severity: the physical, ecological and social thresholds leading to transformational and possibly abrupt changes; the irreversibility of these changes; and the cascading effects within and across the systems affected. While not necessarily the most determining dimensions of risk, they deserve more attention and integration into frameworks to assess “severe” climate risk, such frameworks remaining under-developed. The paper also takes stock of issues related to the spatial scale(s) of and the evidence base for severe climate risks. It lands on four intertwined research directions across geographies, sectors and populations, that are hypothesized to play a critical role in the coming decade, from feeding the next IPCC cycle to more broadly supporting the development of anticipatory adaptation policies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗