SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “model types”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,063 records · Page 59

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2023

Advancing energy storage through solubility prediction: leveraging the potential of deep learning

Solubility prediction plays a crucial role in energy storage applications, such as redox flow batteries, because it directly affects the efficiency and reliability. Researchers have developed various methods that utilize quantum calculations and descriptors to predict the aqueous solubilities of organic molecules. Notably, machine learning models based on descriptors have shown promise for solubility prediction. As deep learning tools, graph neural networks (GNNs) have emerged to capture complex structure–property relationships for material property prediction. Specifically, MolGAT, a type of GNN model, was designed to incorporate n-dimensional edge attributes, enabling the modeling of intricacies in molecular graphs and enhancing the prediction capabilities. In a previous study, MolGAT successfully screened 23 467 promising redox-active molecules from a database of over 500 000 compounds, based on redox potential predictions. This study focused on applying the MolGAT model to predict the aqueous solubility (log S) of a broad range of organic compounds, including those previously screened for redox activity. The model was trained on a diverse sample of 8494 organic molecules from AqSolDB and benchmarked against literature data, demonstrating superior accuracy compared with other state of the art graph-based and descriptor-based models. Subsequently, the trained MolGAT model was employed to screen redox-active organic compounds identified in the first phase of high-throughput virtual screening, targeting favorable solubility in energy storage applications. The second round of screening, which considered solubility, yielded 12 332 promising redox-active and soluble organic molecules suitable for use in aqueous redox flow batteries. Thus, the two-phase high-throughput virtual screening approach utilizing MolGAT, specifically trained for redox potential and solubility, is an effective strategy for selecting suitable intrinsically soluble redox-active molecules from extensive databases, potentially advancing energy storage through reliable material development. This indicates that the model is reliable for predicting the solubility of various molecules and provides valuable insights for energy storage, pharmaceutical, environmental, and chemical applications.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating Pretreatment Strategies with Modeling for Reducing Scaling Potential of Reverse Osmosis Concentrate: Insights from Ion Exchange and Activated Alumina

Reverse osmosis concentrate (ROC) treatment is critical for enhancing water recovery and minimizing concentrate volume for disposal, especially in regions facing water scarcity. This study investigates the application of ion exchange (IX) resins and activated alumina (AA) as pretreatment strategies to mitigate scaling in ROC due to high concentrations of total dissolved solids, hardness (Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ ), and silica. Through a series of Langmuir isotherms, continuous column experiments, and model simulation, two types of strong acid cation IX resins and three types of strong base anion IX resins alongside three types of AA were evaluated. Results indicate that AA exhibits superior performance in silica removal, achieving up to a 65% reduction and maintaining performance for up to 800 bed volume without reaching saturation. Model simulation of a secondary reverse osmosis treating ROC after the IX and AA pretreatment indicated an additional water recovery of ~70% using antiscalants. This study demonstrates the potential for achieving higher water recovery while also identifying opportunities for pretreatment improvement. Challenges such as the limited IX capacity treating ROC, which requires frequent regeneration and increases operational costs, along with the restricted regeneration capacity of AA, underscore the importance of innovation. These findings emphasize the critical need for developing advanced materials and optimized strategies to further enhance the efficiency of ROC treatment processes.

activated alumina↗

NASA NTRS1987

Real-time comparison of X-29A flight data and simulation data

This paper presents a technique for comparing, in real time, the flight test time histories for X-29A aircraft with time histories computed from linearized mathematical models. Such a comparison allows the flight test personnel to verify that the aircraft is performing as predicted, to determine regions of nonlinear behavior, and to increase the rate of envelope expansion. The types of mathematical modeling and equipment required, the procedure used, and actual flight test results are discussed.

Gera, Joseph↗

NASA NTRS2023

Future Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Agricultural Yields, Production, and Market

This study provides estimates of climate change impacts on U.S. agricultural yields and the agricultural economy through the end of the 21st century, utilizing multiple climate scenarios. Results from a process-based crop model project future increases in wheat, grassland, and soybean yield due to climate change and atmospheric CO2 change; corn and sorghum show more muted responses. Results using yields from econometric models show less positive results. Both the econometric and process-based models tend to show more positive yields by the end of the century than several other similar studies. Using the process-based model to provide future yield estimates to an integrated agricultural sector model, the welfare gain is roughly $16B/year (2019 USD) for domestic producers and $6.2B/year for international trade, but domestic consumers lose $10.6B/year, resulting in a total welfare gain of $11.7B/year. When yield projections for major crops are drawn instead from econometric models, total welfare losses of more than $28B/year arise. Simulations using the process-based model as input to the agricultural sector model show large future production increases for soybean, wheat, and sorghum and large price reductions for corn and wheat. The most important factors are those about economic growth, flooding, international trade, and the type of yield model used. Somewhat less, but not insignificant factors include adaptation, livestock productivity, and damages from surface ozone, waterlogging, and pests and diseases.

Agricultural sector↗

DOE OSTI2024

Automated 3D cytoplasm segmentation in soft X-ray tomography

Cells’ structure is key to understanding cellular function, diagnostics, and therapy development. Soft X-ray tomography (SXT) is a unique tool to image cellular structure without fixation or labeling at high spatial resolution and throughput. Fast acquisition times increase demand for accelerated image analysis, like segmentation. Currently, segmenting cellular structures is done manually and is a major bottleneck in the SXT data analysis. This paper introduces ACSeg, an automated 3D cytoplasm segmentation model. ACSeg is generated using semi-automated labels and 3D U-Net and is trained on 43 SXT tomograms of immune T cells, rapidly converging to high-accuracy segmentation, therefore reducing time and labor. Furthermore, adding only 6 SXT tomograms of other cell types diversifies the model, showing potential for optimal experimental design. ACSeg successfully segmented unseen tomograms and is published on Biomedisa, enabling high-throughput analysis of cell volume and structure of cytoplasm in diverse cell types.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Bayesian uncertainty quantification of tristructural isotropic particle fuel silver release: Decomposing model inadequacy plus experimental noise and parametric uncertainties

Tristructural isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel is one of the most promising fuel concepts enabling high temperature and high burnup reactor operation. One dominant source of radioactivity released from the TRISO particles is silver (Ag), which is subject to a high release fraction and long decay life compared to other fission products. Previous modeling efforts using the fuel performance code BISON indicated nonnegligible uncertainties in modeling the diffusion process of fission products in TRISO compared to the Advanced Gas Reactor experiments. The overall uncertainties observed when modeling the fission product diffusion can result from uncertainties in model parameters, noisy experimental measurements, and deficiencies in the developed models. The three types of underlying uncertainties have not yet been properly quantified in open literature. Here, this paper presents the Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) using massively parallelizable Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers. The uncertainties due to model parameters, model inadequacy, and experimental measurement noise are quantified, with the σ term used to represent the sum of the model inadequacy and measurement noise uncertainties. It is worth noting that this is the first time the σ term is inferred for nuclear fuel experiments, as compared to using prescribed values for uncertainty quantification in previous work. The parallelizable Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers efficiently infer the model parameters and the σ term, giving insight into physical parameters like diffusion coefficients and the combined model discrepancy and measurement noise. A subsequent forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) is also performed based on the calibration results to generate more accurate predictions of the Ag release. The model inadequacy plus experimental noise is the most dominant source of uncertainty compared to the parametric uncertainty. All the UQ analyses presented in this work are based on the second series of the irradiation experiments in the Advanced Gas Reactor program.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Metaplectic geometrical optics for modeling caustics in uniform and non-uniform media

As an approximate theory that is highly regarded for its computational efficiency, geometrical optics (GO) is widely used for modeling waves in various areas of physics. However, GO fails at caustics, which significantly limits its applicability. A new framework, called metaplectic geometrical optics (MGO), has recently been developed that allows caustics of certain types to be modeled accurately within the GO framework. Here, we extend MGO to the most general case. Further, to illustrate our new theory, we also apply it to several sample problems, including calculations of two-dimensional wavefields near fold and cusp caustics. In contrast with traditional GO solutions, the corresponding MGO solutions are finite everywhere and approximate the true wavefield well near these caustics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRS2005

Spatial Predictive Modeling and Remote Sensing of Land Use Change in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed

This project was focused on modeling the processes by which increasing demand for developed land uses, brought about by changes in the regional economy and the socio-demographics of the region, are translated into a changing spatial pattern of land use. Our study focused on a portion of the Chesapeake Bay Watershed where the spatial patterns of sprawl represent a set of conditions generally prevalent in much of the U.S. Working in the region permitted us access to (i) a time-series of multi-scale and multi-temporal (including historical) satellite imagery and (ii) an established network of collaborating partners and agencies willing to share resources and to utilize developed techniques and model results. In addition, a unique parcel-level tax assessment database and linked parcel boundary maps exists for two counties in the Maryland portion of this region that made it possible to establish a historical cross-section time-series database of parcel level development decisions. Scenario analyses of future land use dynamics provided critical quantitative insight into the impact of alternative land management and policy decisions. These also have been specifically aimed at addressing growth control policies aimed at curbing exurban (sprawl) development. Our initial technical approach included three components: (i) spatial econometric modeling of the development decision, (ii) remote sensing of suburban change and residential land use density, including comparisons of past change from Landsat analyses and more traditional sources, and (iii) linkages between the two through variable initialization and supplementation of parcel level data. To these we added a fourth component, (iv) cellular automata modeling of urbanization, which proved to be a valuable addition to the project. This project has generated both remote sensing and spatially explicit socio-economic data to estimate and calibrate the parameters for two different types of land use change models and has undertaken analyses of these models. One (the CA model) is driven largely by observations on past patterns of land use change, while the other (the EC model) is driven by mechanisms of the land use change decision at the parcel level. Our project may be the first serious attempt at developing both types of models for the same area, using as much common data as possible. We have identified the strengths and weaknesses of the two approaches and plan to continue to revise each model in the light of new data and new lessons learned through continued collaboration. Questions, approaches, findings, publication and presentation lists concerning the research are also presented.

Goetz, Scott J.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Nuclear Engine System Simulation (NESS). Version 2.0: Program user's guide

This Program User's Guide discusses the Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) engine system design features and capabilities modeled in the Nuclear Engine System Simulation (NESS): Version 2.0 program (referred to as NESS throughout the remainder of this document), as well as its operation. NESS was upgraded to include many new modeling capabilities not available in the original version delivered to NASA LeRC in Dec. 1991, NESS's new features include the following: (1) an improved input format; (2) an advanced solid-core NERVA-type reactor system model (ENABLER 2); (3) a bleed-cycle engine system option; (4) an axial-turbopump design option; (5) an automated pump-out turbopump assembly sizing option; (6) an off-design gas generator engine cycle design option; (7) updated hydrogen properties; (8) an improved output format; and (9) personal computer operation capability. Sample design cases are presented in the user's guide that demonstrate many of the new features associated with this upgraded version of NESS, as well as design modeling features associated with the original version of NESS.

Pelaccio, Dennis G.↗

NASA NTRS1998

Global Qualitative Flow-Path Modeling for Local State Determination in Simulation and Analysis

For qualitative modeling and analysis, a general qualitative abstraction of power transmission variables (flow and effort) for elements of flow paths includes information on resistance, net flow, permissible directions of flow, and qualitative potential is discussed. Each type of component model has flow-related variables and an associated internal flow map, connected into an overall flow network of the system. For storage devices, the implicit power transfer to the environment is represented by "virtual" circuits that include an environmental junction. A heterogeneous aggregation method simplifies the path structure. A method determines global flow-path changes during dynamic simulation and analysis, and identifies corresponding local flow state changes that are effects of global configuration changes. Flow-path determination is triggered by any change in a flow-related device variable in a simulation or analysis. Components (path elements) that may be affected are identified, and flow-related attributes favoring flow in the two possible directions are collected for each of them. Next, flow-related attributes are determined for each affected path element, based on possibly conflicting indications of flow direction. Spurious qualitative ambiguities are minimized by using relative magnitudes and permissible directions of flow, and by favoring flow sources over effort sources when comparing flow tendencies. The results are output to local flow states of affected components.

Malin, Jane T.↗

NASA NTRS2014

Water Transport and the Evolution of CM Parent Bodies

Extraterrestrial water-bearing minerals are of great importance both for understanding the formation and evolution of the solar system and for supporting future human activities in space. Asteroids are the primary source of meteorites, many of which show evidence of an early heating episode and varying degrees of aqueous alteration. The origin and characterization of hydrated minerals (minerals containing H2O or OH) among both the main-belt and near-earth asteroids is important for understanding a wide range of solar system formation and evolutionary processes, as well as for planning for human exploration. Current hypotheses postulate asteroids began as mixtures of water ice and anhydrous silicates. A heating event early in solar system history was then responsible for melting the ice and driving aqueous alteration. The link between asteroids and meteorites is forged by reflectance spectra, which show 3-μm bands indicative of bound OH or H2O on the C-class asteroids, which are believed to be the parent bodies of the carbonaceous chondrites in our collections. The conditions at which aqueous alteration occurred in the parent bodies of carbonaceous chondrites are thought to be well-constrained: at 0-25 C for less than 15 Myr after asteroid formation. In previous models, many scenarios exhibit peak temperatures of the rock and co-existing liquid water in more than 75 percent of the asteroid's volume rising to 150 C and higher, due to the exothermic hydration reactions triggering a thermal runaway effect. However, even in a high porosity, water-saturated asteroid very limited liquid water flow is predicted (distances of 100's nm at most). This contradiction has yet to be resolved. Still, it may be possible for water to become liquid even in the near-surface environment, for a long enough time to drive aqueous alteration before vaporizing or freezing then subliming. Thus, we are using physics- and chemistry-based models that include thermal and fluid transport as well as the effects of relevant chemical reactions, to investigate whether formation of hydrated minerals can occur in the surface and near-surface environments of carbonaceous type asteroids. These models will elucidate how the conditions within the parent body that cause internal aqueous alteration play themselves out at the asteroid's surface. We are using our models to determine whether the heat budget of 20-100-km bodies is sufficient to bring liquid water to the near-surface and cause mineral alteration, or whether additional heat input at the surface (i.e, by impacts) is needed to provide a transient liquid water source for mineral hydration without large- scale liquid water transport.

Coker, R.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Linear Mixed-Effects Models for Human-in-the-Loop Tracking Experiment Data

Linear mixed-effects models provide several benefits over more traditional statistical inference tests that are particularly useful for most human-in-the-loop tracking experiment data. However, surprisingly, mixed models are virtually not used for the analysis of tracking experiment data. This paper uses of linear mixed-effects models to analyze combined tracking data from two previous human-in-the-loop roll tracking experiments that compared control behavior metrics collected in both a research aircraft and a motion-base simulator. In the experiments, pilots' behavior under 10 different motion configurations with varying motion filter gains and break frequencies was evaluated and compared to that in the real aircraft. The linear mixed-effects model analysis on the combined dataset confirmed the main statistical outcomes of the individual experiments. The main benefits of mixed models for this type of data were demonstrated by successfully combining data from two experiments that used different experimental conditions and of which one had an additional apparatus and the other a missing participant. Finally, the mixed-model analysis was able to explicitly test for scientifically relevant statistical differences in the dependent measures between the aircraft and simulator, as well as both experiments.

manual control↗

DOE OSTI2021

Multi-scale assessment of a grassland productivity model

Grasslands provide many important ecosystem services globally, and projecting grassland productivity in the coming decades will provide valuable information to land managers. Productivity models can be well calibrated at local scales but generally have some maximum spatial scale in which they perform well. Here we evaluate a grassland productivity model to find the optimal spatial scale for parameterization and thus for subsequently applying it in future productivity projections for North America. We also evaluated the model on new vegetation types to ascertain its potential generality. We find the model most suitable when incorporating only grasslands, as opposed to also including agriculture and shrublands, and only in the Great Plains and eastern temperate forest ecoregions of North America. The model was not well suited to grasslands in North American deserts or northwest forest ecoregions. It also performed poorly in agriculture vegetation, likely due to management activities, and shrubland vegetation, likely because the model lacks representation of deep water pools. This work allows us to perform long-term projections in areas where model performance has been verified, with gaps filled in by future modeling efforts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1980

X-ray spectroscopy of supernova remnants

The information which can be obtained from X-ray spectroscopy of supernova remnants is considerd. The fitting of X-ray detector counts to models of the incident spectrum is discussed, and the types of thermal emission models generally employed are presented, including the power law, black body, and thermal bremsstrahlung models of the continua and models of the emission of a hot, optically thin plasma in collisional equilibrium. Observations of 12 supernova remnants made with the Solid State Spectrometer on board the Einstein Observatory are reported, and metal abundances inferred from the lines of the eight remnants showing thermal spectra are summarized. Questions raised by the failure to observe the overabundance of Fe predicted by stellar evolution and hydrodynamic modeling are discussed, and the need to develop more detailed models of the conditions in a supernova remnant in order to interpret the X-ray spectra is noted.

Szymkowiak, A. E.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Estimating release of carbon from 1990 and 1991 forest fires in Alaska

An improved method to estimate the amounts of carbon released during fires in the boreal forest zone of Alaska in 1990 and 1991 is described. This method divides the state into 64 distinct physiographic regions and estimates areal extent of five different land covers: two forest types, peat land, tundra, and nonvegetated. The areal extent of each cover type was estimated from a review of topographic maps of each region and observations on the distribution of foreat types within the state. Using previous observations and theoretical models for the two forest types found in interior Alaska, models of biomass accumulation as a function of stand age were developed. Stand age distributions for each region were determined using a statistical distribution based on fire frequency, which was from available long-term historical records. Estimates of the degree of biomass combusted were based on recent field observations as well as research reported in the literature. The location and areal extent of fires in this region for 1990 and 1991 were based on both field observations and analysis of satellite (advanced very high resolution radiometer (AVHRR)) data sets. Estimates of average carbon release for the two study years ranged between 2.54 and 3.00 kg/sq m, which are 2.2 to 2.6 times greater than estimates used in other studies of carbon release through biomass burning in boreal forests. Total average annual carbon release for the two years ranged between 0.012 and 0.018 Pg C/yr, with the lower value resulting from the AVHRR estimates of fire location and area.

Kaisischke, Eric S.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Achieving 50% Energy Savings in Chicago Homes: A Case Study for Advancing Equity and Climate Goals

Since 2019, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Elevate have collaborated to identify pathways to deep energy retrofits in Chicago's housing stock, document equity implications and co-benefits of this transition, and validate the findings by implementing retrofits in real Chicago homes. This document summarizes our analysis process to model advanced retrofit packages that lead to greater than 50% energy savings in Chicago homes. Based on these findings, we have also developed a roadmap with the City to guide implementation, and are deploying the recommended retrofit packages in real Chicago homes to realize these energy savings. This work was developed in collaboration with two key stakeholders - the City of Chicago and Commonwealth Edison (ComEd) - and funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). NREL's Residential Buildings team maintains the best-in-class ResStock™ energy model of the U.S. residential building stock. For this work, we calibrated ResStock to Chicago's unique local housing stock to accurately simulate energy use in Chicago homes both for current conditions and with various retrofit scenarios. We simulated a wide range of potential building retrofits covering all aspects of residential energy use and then grouped these into packages based on energy and utility bill savings. ResStock can model diverse building types and housing characteristics, so we're able to observe the range of outcomes that might occur when these upgrades are deployed across the entire housing stock. We can then estimate potential energy savings from an advanced retrofit program on Chicago's housing stock by comparing the modeled energy use before versus after a retrofit. This novel version of ResStock, calibrated to Chicago with data from Elevate, can help City officials, ComEd, and other partners plan for community-scale decarbonization via residential retrofits. Specifically, this work contributes the following project goals: Develop a building retrofit prioritization strategy for Chicago single-family and 2- to 4-unit buildings; Identify neighborhoods and home types that have the highest potential for savings from electrification; and Assess the impact of advanced building retrofits on energy use, utility bills, and CO2 emissions at the city and building level. Although this study is specific to Chicago, its methods and learnings are applicable across the United States. These findings are especially notable for heat pumps and electrification retrofits in cold climates.

building energy modeling↗

NASA NTRS1978

The role of O-type neutral lines in magnetic merging during substorms and solar flares

An analytical model of O-type configurations was derived, for visualizing the geometry and for numerical treatment of plasma flows. It was found that at a certain distance from the neutral line the mean particle motion became decoupled from that of magnetic field lines (which obey the MHD condition). The decoupling distance depended on initial conditions in momentum space, suggesting that the MHD approximation which averages out such conditions may not suffice for describing plasma dynamics near the neutral line. It was also found that after inflowing particles are decoupled from the field line motion, they go over to a mode of runaway acceleration along the neutral line. It is concluded that if merging occurs at an X-O pair, two particle populations may be expected - low energy particles accelerated adiabatically by earthward convection past the X-type line and high-energy particles convected towards the O-type line. The second acceleration process depends critically on the rapidity of merging and is therefore expected to vary considerably from event to event.

Stern, D. P.↗

DOE OSTI2020

A passive model for the evolution of subgrid-scale instabilities in turbulent flow regimes

In this work, a zero-dimensional model for the development of turbulent mixing layers driven by Rayleigh–Taylor (RT) or Richtmyer–Meshkov (RM) instabilities is presented, for application in Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) simulations. The model approximates the behavior of the turbulent mixing layer at a passively advected tracer particle that sits on the material interface of interest in the simulation, and is used to provide initial conditions for the RANS model once the mixing layer width has developed to a size that may be resolved on the computational mesh. The model relies on approximations to the Besnard–Harlow–Rauenzahn (BHR) RANS closure equations and is thus consistent the turbulent development of the mixing layer, unlike previous models of this type which have focused on the early-time laminar development of RT or RM instabilities. These instabilities will often grow through an initially laminar state before developing into turbulence, and criteria for switching from an existing laminar model to the proposed turbulent model are considered. The proposed model reproduces the mixing layer development of RT and RM instabilities seen in mixed width resolving BHR RANS simulations to a reasonable degree of accuracy, and relaxes the need for the RANS simulation to resolve the mixed width as soon as the mixing layer becomes turbulent, which may be impractical in cases where the mixing layer grows through a wide range of scales.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗