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At least 1,063 records · Page 59

Downscaling GISS ModelE Boreal Summer Climate over Africa

The study examines the perceived added value of downscaling atmosphere-ocean global climate model simulations over Africa and adjacent oceans by a nested regional climate model. NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) coupled ModelE simulations for June- September 1998-2002 are used to form lateral boundary conditions for synchronous simulations by the GISS RM3 regional climate model. The ModelE computational grid spacing is 2deg latitude by 2.5deg longitude and the RM3 grid spacing is 0.44deg. ModelE precipitation climatology for June-September 1998-2002 is shown to be a good proxy for 30-year means so results based on the 5-year sample are presumed to be generally representative. Comparison with observational evidence shows several discrepancies in ModelE configuration of the boreal summer inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ). One glaring shortcoming is that ModelE simulations do not advance the West African rain band northward during the summer to represent monsoon precipitation onset over the Sahel. Results for 1998-2002 show that onset simulation is an important added value produced by downscaling with RM3. ModelE Eastern South Atlantic Ocean computed sea-surface temperatures (SST) are some 4 K warmer than reanalysis, contributing to large positive biases in overlying surface air temperatures (Tsfc). ModelE Tsfc are also too warm over most of Africa. RM3 downscaling somewhat mitigates the magnitude of Tsfc biases over the African continent, it eliminates the ModelE double ITCZ over the Atlantic and it produces more realistic orographic precipitation maxima. Parallel ModelE and RM3 simulations with observed SST forcing (in place of the predicted ocean) lower Tsfc errors but have mixed impacts on circulation and precipitation biases. Downscaling improvements of the meridional movement of the rain band over West Africa and the configuration of orographic precipitation maxima are realized irrespective of the SST biases.

Regional climate models↗

Structural analysis of liquid aluminum at high pressure and high temperature using the hard sphere model

The structure of liquid aluminum is measured up to 6.9GPa and 1773K using a multi-angle energy-dispersive X-ray diffraction method in a Paris-Edinburgh press. The effect of pressure and temperature on the structure and density of liquid aluminum is analyzed by means of the hard sphere model. We report peak positions in the structure factor of liquid aluminum show a nearly constant value with varying temperatures at ~1–2 GPa and slightly change with varying pressures up to 6.9GPa at 1173–1773K. In contrast, the height of the first peak in the structure factor significantly changes with varying pressures and temperatures. Hard sphere model analysis shows that the structure of liquid aluminum in the pressure-temperature range of this study is controlled mostly by the packing fraction with only a minor change in hard sphere diameters. The obtained packing fractions and hard sphere diameters are used to calculate densities of liquid aluminum at high pressure-temperature conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling Io volcanism: Maximum volcanic temperatures, depths of melting and magma composition

Interim results of thermal and structural modeling of volcanism on Io were presented. The final results of the modeling are summarized. The basic analysis is an evaluation of the magma trigger mechanism for initiating and maintaining eruptions. Secondary aspects include models of the mechanical mode of magma emplacement, interactions with a sulphur-rich upper crust, and more speculative implications for Io's volcanism.

Crumpler, L. S.↗

Unified constitutive materials model development and evaluation for high-temperature structural analysis applications

Unified constitutive material models were developed for structural analyses of aircraft gas turbine engine hot section components with particular application to an isotropic material used for combustor liners. Differential forms of models independently developed were considered in this study. These models combine the interactions of time-dependent (creep) and time-independent (plasticity) inelastic behavior of a material. Predicted stress-strain responses from these models were evaluated against cyclic isothermal and nonisothermal test results for uniaxial specimens of a nickel-base superalloy. The unified models were implemented in a nonlinear structural analysis code. Two unique NASA Lewis test facilities were used in the evaluation of the models for complex geometry specimens and evaluation of advanced temperature and high-temperature strain measurement instrumentation. Predicted nonlinear structural responses from one of the models for a flat plate and a segment of a conventional combustor liner are presented.

Thompson, R. L.↗

A semi-analytical model for laser induced densification in fused silica at elevated temperatures

A semi-analytical model for deterministic surface smoothing of fused silica below the evaporation temperature threshold is presented. Using this model, a method for calculating deterministic track depths for laser polishing fused silica is derived and validated with experiments. In this work, model predictions were in good agreement with experiment across varying laser preheating temperature and power. With the semi-analytical method presented here, deterministic laser smoothing can be achieved in the densification regime to close the process loop of laser polishing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Evaluating penalized logistic regression models to predict Heat-Related Electric grid stress days

Understanding the conditions associated with stress on the electricity grid is important in the development of contingency plans for maintaining reliability during periods when the grid is stressed. In this paper, heat-related grid stress and the relationship with weather conditions is examined using data from the eastern United States. Penalized logistic regression models were developed and applied to predict stress on the electric grid using weather data. The inclusion of other weather variables, such as precipitation, in addition to temperature improved model performance. Several candidate models and datasets were examined. A penalized logistic regression model fit at the operation-zone level was found to provide predictive value and interpretability. Additionally, the importance of different weather variables observed at different time scales were examined. Maximum temperature and precipitation were identified as important across all zones while the importance of other weather variables was zone specific. The methods presented in this work are extensible to other regions and can be used to aid in planning and development of the electrical grid.

Bramer, L. M.↗

Review—Effects of Solution and Alloy Composition on Critical Crevice Temperature

Critical temperature for localized corrosion can be a good design parameter because localized corrosion is not likely to occur below that temperature. The critical temperature depends on alloy composition, microstructure, and environment chemistry (including its redox potential). This paper reviews the literature on critical temperature for localized corrosion, expressed either as Critical Pitting Temperature (CPT) or Critical Crevice Temperature (CCT). A history of various testing methods is presented. Different approaches for modeling the temperature of transition to active pit growth are reviewed, including probabilistic aspects of critical temperature. A semi-empirical, electrolyte-based, model is described that can be useful in predicting CCT in service environments that differ from standard laboratory test environments. The model predictions are compared to experimental data for various alloys. The effect of solvent on CCT/CPT is described briefly and future avenues of research are recommended.

02 PETROLEUM↗

UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION OF CALCULATED FUEL TEMPERATURE FOR AGR-3/4 IRRADIATION EXPERIMENT

The third in a series of Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) experiments conducted at the Idaho National Laboratory, AGR-3/4, was completed in April 2014, resulting in irradiation of the tristructural isotropic fuel for 369 effective full power days. A number of designed-to-fail fuel particles were embedded along the central line of each irradiated compact to provide a known source of fission products for subsequent transport through the compact matrix and structural graphite materials. The fuel temperature in each capsule during irradiation, a significant factor in the release and transport of fission products, was maintained within a predefined range representative of a high temperature gas reactor. Fuel temperatures were not measured directly because contact between a thermocouple and the fuel could lead to unwanted particle failures. An ABAQUS-based finite element heat transfer code, calibrated based on temperatures measured in the surrounding graphite rings, was used to predict fuel temperatures during irradiation. To quantify the uncertainty of calculated fuel temperatures, thermal model parameters with high sensitivity and/or large uncertainty were identified. Propagation of model parameter uncertainty and sensitivity is then used to quantify the overall uncertainty of calculated temperatures. Quantification of input uncertainties over the extended irradiation period of the AGR-3/4 experiment is a challenging task due to changes in capsule thermal properties and geometry caused by exposure to neutron irradiation at high temperatures. In the absence of direct measurements or complete knowledge about these changes, inputs to thermal model and associated uncertainties are estimated based on modeling assumptions and expert judgment. Unplanned events that occurred during irradiation contribute to input uncertainties as well. For example, shrinkage of fuel compact and graphite rings led to significant increase in the gap size uncertainties. This paper focuses on uncertainty quantification of calculated fuel temperature for AGR-3/4 capsule thermal models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Primordial features and Planck polarization

With the Planck 2015 Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) temperature and polarization data, we search for possible features in the primordial power spectrum (PPS). We revisit the Wiggly Whipped Inflation (WWI) framework and demonstrate how generation of some particular primordial features can improve the fit to Planck data. WWI potential allows the scalar field to transit from a steeper potential to a nearly flat potential through a discontinuity either in potential or in its derivatives. WWI offers the inflaton potential parametrizations that generate a wide variety of features in the primordial power spectra incorporating most of the localized and non-local inflationary features that are obtained upon reconstruction from temperature and polarization angular power spectrum. At the same time, in a single framework it allows us to have a background parameter estimation with a nearly free-form primordial spectrum. Using Planck 2015 data, we constrain the primordial features in the context of Wiggly Whipped Inflation and present the features that are supported both by temperature and polarization. WWI model provides more than 13 improvement in χ{sup 2} fit to the data with respect to the best fit power law model considering combined temperature and polarization data from Planck and B-mode polarization data from BICEP and Planck dust map. We use 2-4 extra parameters in the WWI model compared to the featureless strict slow roll inflaton potential. We find that the differences between the temperature and polarization data in constraining background cosmological parameters such as baryon density, cold dark matter density are reduced to a good extent if we use primordial power spectra from WWI. We also discuss the extent of bispectra obtained from the best potentials in arbitrary triangular configurations using the BI-spectra and Non-Gaussianity Operator (BINGO).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Static force tests of a sharp leading edge delta-wing model at ambient and cryogenic temperatures with a description of the apparatus employed

A sharp leading edge delta-wing model was tested through an angle-of-attack range at Mach numbers of 0.75, 0.80, and 0.85 at both ambient and cryogenic temperatures in the Langley 1/3-meter transonic cryogenic tunnel. Total pressure was varied with total temperature in order to hold test Reynolds number constant at a given Mach number. Agreement between the aerodynamic data obtained at ambient and cryogenic temperatures indicates that flows with leading-edge vortex effects are duplicated properly at cryogenic temperatures. The test results demonstrate that accurate aerodynamic data can be obtained by using conventional force-testing techniques if suitable measures are taken to minimize temperature gradients across the balance and to keep the balance at ambient (warm) temperatures during cryogenic operation of the tunnel.

Kilgore, R. A.↗

Chromosphere flare models

Further calculated results based on the F1 and F2 chromospheric models of Machado et al. (1980) are presented in addition to results from a model with enhanced temperatures relative to the weak-flare model F1 in the upper photosphere and low chromosphere, and from a model with enhanced temperatures relative to the strong flare model F2 in the upper chromosphere. The coupled equations of statistical equilibrium and radiative transfer for H, H(-), He I-II, C I-IV, Si I-II, Mg I-II, Fe, Al, O I-II, Na, and Ca II are solved, and the overall absorption and emission of radiation by lines throughout the spectrum are determined by means of a reduced set of opacities taken from a compilation of over 10 million lines. Semiempirical models show that the white light flare continuum may arise by extreme chromospheric overheating, as well as by an enhancement of the minimum temperature region.

Avrett, E. H.↗

Real-Time Drilling Optimization System for Improved Overall Rate of Penetration and Reduced Cost Per Foot in Geothermal Drilling

The key to success in geothermal drilling is economic feasibility, and a major cost in the development of geothermal resources is the actual drilling of the wells. In this project, a real-time drilling optimization system for geothermal drilling was developed. The system couples three individual components while drilling. The first component is a drill stem vibration analysis model, the second is Mechanical Specific Energy (MSE) analyses, and the third is a detailed PDC Rate of Penetration (ROP) drill bit model for optimum RPM and WOB combinations. The benefit of the coupled system is that the range of WOB and RPM could be selected to avoid drill stem vibrations. Secondly, MSE is used as an efficiency measure and the detailed PDC drill bit model ensures the drill bit does not endure temperatures that exceed the temperature at which the PDC cutters experience accelerated wear. The new detailed PDC bit model is based on rock/bit interaction that physically tracks the PDC cutter wear flats as the bit drills ahead giving the capability to calculate the temperature being generated underneath the worn cutters to better advise on operational parameters to avoid accelerated cutter wear and failure and to ensure that operational parameters are applied so that overall ROP is maximized. By combining the drill stem vibrations and the detailed PDC bit cutter wear and “safe” non-accelerated cutter wear temperature and optimum ranges of operating parameters, it results in higher ROP and lower cost drilling. Single cutter PDC testing performed in different lithologies at Sandia was utilized to verify the PDC cutter forces and depth of cut for new and worn cutters. Based on single cutter PDC temperature modeling, verification using single cutter data from the testing done by National Oilwell Varco (NOV) was performed. Sandia’s Hard-Rock Drilling Facility (HRDF) was utilized to test different drill bit configurations with different cutter designs and wear status with different induced modes of vibration to obtain the critical bit RPM/WOB ranges resulting in ineffective drilling and low ROP. The collected test data were further used to verify and calibrate the full hole PDC ROP model that was developed based on single cutter interaction data. A full coupled drill stem vibration model was formulated and verified with geothermal field data from the Chocolate Mountain Aerial Gunnery Range (CMAGR). A graphical user interface (GUI) was developed using Tkinter library in the computer programming language Python, which integrates all the developed models in one system. The developed system consists mainly of the PDC ROP model, PDC bit wear model, PDC cutter temperature model, Mechanical Specific Energy (MSE) model, and drillstring vibration model integrated into one system. The developed system can be used for both, post well analysis and real-time optimization using different criteria such as ROP maximization or MSE minimization. The software uses Differential Evolution Algorithm (DEA) to find optimum values for operational parameters based on last foot drilled while avoiding the drillstring vibration and cutter temperature critical operating parameters.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Multilayer interface tracking model of pure tungsten oxidation

Here, we present a numerical model to predict oxide scale growth on tungsten surfaces under exposure to oxygen at high temperatures. The model captures the formation of four thermodynamically-compatible oxide sublayers, WO 2 , WO 2.72 , WO 2.9 , and WO 3 , on top of the metal substrate. Oxide layer growth is simulated by tracking the oxide/oxide and oxide/metal interfaces using a sharp-interface Stefan model coupled to diffusion kinetics. The model is parameterized using selected experimental measurements and electronic structure calculations of the diffusivities of all the oxide subphases involved. We simulate oxide growth at temperatures of 600°C and above, extracting the power law growth exponents in each case, which we find to deviate from classical parabolic growth in several cases. We conduct a comparison of the model predictions with an extensive experimental data set, with reasonable agreement at most temperatures. While many gaps in our understanding still exist, this work is a first attempt at embedding the thermodynamic and kinetic complexity of tungsten oxide growth into a comprehensive mesoscale kinetic model that attempts to capture the essential features of tungsten oxidation to fill existing knowledge gaps and guide and enhance future tungsten oxidation models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Coupled Experimental and High-Temperature Discrete-Element Method Modeling Studies of Aluminosilicate Particle Handling in Concentrated Solar Power Environments

Chemically inert, aluminosilicate based particles have been investigated as both a thermal transport and sensible energy storage medium for concentrated solar power facilities. These particles will experience a wide range of operating temperatures (300-1000 K) and handling conditions (dense to dilute falling particle curtains, dense granular flows, or dense structures), requiring specially-designed and optimized infrastructures. The relative influence of collisional and frictional interactions between particles varies based on temperature-dependent particulate properties and greatly impacts the bulk, granular flow behavior. These underlying physics are captured using discrete element method modeling tools. However, this modeling method is computationally expensive as each particle position and interaction is tracked during the simulation. These modeling methods are further complicated by introducing temperature-dependent particle properties, high-temperature radiative exchange, and directional irradiation sources experienced by granular flows in concentrated solar power environments. Coupled experimental and numerical studies of aluminosilicate particles in rotary kilns and dense particle curtains were performed for bulk temperatures up to 1073 K. The three particle types investigated included Carbobead HSP 30 /60, Carbobead CP 30/60, and Granusil 4030. Temperature, spatial, and velocity profile data were extracted from experimental runs using embedded K-type thermocouple probes and particle image velocimetry techniques. Experimental and numerical studies were compared using spatial temperature profiles, velocity fields, and shape profiles of the bulk, granular flows. Numerical models were developed using commercially available discrete element method modeling software, Aspherix®. Existing Aspherix® functionality was expanded by introducing coupled radiative exchange modeling tools. The laboratory-scale rotary kiln was developed to investigate the steady-state heat and mass transfer performance of aluminosilicate particles based on particle type, bulk handling temperature, and wall roughness. The rotational speed of the rotary kiln was varied to control the relative impact of collisional and frictional effects upon the granular flow behavior. Heat and mass transfer performance was categorized based on the Froude number and the observed flow regimes of slipping, rolling, cascading, and centrifuging. Coupled discrete element method modeling studies were used to evaluate the effects of temperature-dependent, particulate mechanical properties upon bulk flow behavior and upon the relative effects of radiative, advective, and/or conductive heat transfer. A high-temperature (< 1073 K) falling particle curtain was similarly fabricated to investigate the heat and mass transfer performance of aluminosilicate particles in particle handling situations dominated by inter-particle collisions. The impact of particle type, flow preheat temperatures (< 1073K), and bulk mass flow rates were investigated upon the particle curtain shape, temperature, and velocity profiles. Coupled discrete element method modeling studies were performed to evaluate the varying impact of temperature-dependent, particulate mechanical properties on the bulk flow behavior and the temperature profile of the particle curtain.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

High Temperature Irradiation Resistant Thermocouple Drift Model Application to Commercial Thermocouples

The Advance Sensors and Instrumentation fiscal year report on the direct application of the HTIR-TC drift model on other commercial thermocouples. The Type N and K thermocouples are useful in irradiation environments up to 1100°C (or 1290°C for short bursts and/or single use), but over temperature and high fluence can cause the TCs to drift. The HTIR-TC drift model predicts the end use environment of temperature and irradiation and the total time scale to show the amount of drift a thermocouple will undergo. The model predicts that HTIR-TCs at full temperature range and fluence of 10^21 N/cm^2 will exhibit a drift of under -1%. The type N and K TCs will see a drift of -0.5% at the same fluence, but temperatures below 1100°C. Above this temperature the Type N and K TCs quickly de-calibrate and will give erroneous temperatures measurements.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

An empirical model of the interrelationship of electron temperature and density in the daytime thermosphere at solar minimum

The AE-C satellite measurements of electron temperature and ion concentration are used to construct a model of the relationship between these parameters and its variation with altitude in the daytime, nonauroral ionosphere. The major features of the model are that electron temperature is independent of ion concentration at altitudes below 200 km and that electron temperature varies inversely with ion concentration above perhaps 250 km. This behavior is qualitatively consistent with current theoretical models of ionospheric heating and cooling.

Brace, L. H.↗

Unified Material-Environment Interaction Model for Binary UHTC Composites

A new model for the surface chemistry of zirconium and hafnium diborides containing silicon-carbide when exposed to high temperature conditions in air is formulated. Oxidation dynamics are simplified by considering the diffusion-limited equilibrium regime within the material at elevated temperatures. This model is first assessed against experimental mass-gain data taken from UHTC samples heated to high temperature in an oxygen environment. Then, further evaluations of the new model are conducted using hypersonic CFD simulations to analyze conditions experienced by HfB2-SiC in arc jet experiments conducted at NASA Ames Research Center. Measurements of stagnation point heat transfer and pressure are then used to calibrate the simulations. Results of coupled CFD-material response simulations are then compared to the surface temperatures measured during the Ames arc jet test. Results support the use of the proposed model while highlighting the need for improved gas-phase data on the additional constituents considered.

ultra high temperature ceramic↗