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At least 1,063 records · Page 59

A conserved epitope III on hepatitis C virus E2 protein has alternate conformations facilitating cell binding or virus neutralization

Epitope III, a highly conserved amino acid motif of 524 APTYSW 529 on the hepatitis C virus (HCV) E2 glycoprotein, resides in the critical loop that binds to the host receptor CD81, thus making it one of the most important antibody targets for blocking HCV infections. Here, we have determined the X-ray crystal structure of epitope III at a 2.0-Å resolution when it was captured by a site-specific neutralizing antibody, monoclonal antibody 1H8 (mAb1H8). The snapshot of this complex revealed that epitope III has a relatively rigid structure when confined in the binding grooves of mAb1H8, which confers the residue specificity at both ends of the epitope. Such a high shape complementarity is reminiscent of the “lock and key” mode of action, which is reinforced by the incompatibility of an antibody binding with an epitope bearing specific mutations. By subtly positioning the side chains on the three residues of Tyr 527 , Ser 528 , and Trp 529 while preserving the spatial rigidity of the rest, epitope III in this cocrystal complex adopts a unique conformation that is different from previously described E2 structures. With further analyses of molecular docking and phage display–based peptide interactions, we recognized that it is the arrangements of two separate sets of residues within epitope III that create these discrete conformations for the epitope to interact selectively with either mAb1H8 or CD81. These observations thus raise the possibility that local epitope III conformational dynamics, in conjunction with sequence variations, may act as a regulatory mechanism to coordinate “mAb1H8-like” antibody-mediated immune defenses with CD81-initiated HCV infections.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Design and Operability of a Pressurized Oxy Combustion System

Fossil fuel powers more than two-thirds of the world’s electricity, a significant share of which is derived from coal power plants. Despite coal being an abundant and energy-rich fuel, the major halt to its progress is greenhouse gas emissions. Pressurized oxy-combustion cycles can achieve theoretically high thermal efficiencies along with a 90% carbon capture rate. Additionally, the high energy density allows smaller turbomachinery and save capital cost. Thus, the primary objective of this dissertation is to present the design and operability of a pressurized oxy-combustor system. The initial part of the dissertation investigates different thermodynamic cycles and presents a model that can be adapted for existing power plants. The thermodynamic model will be used in the later part to design the proposed combustor. The two cycles analyzed are ENEL and TIPS. This study focuses on qualitative analyses of the cycles using a commercially available software called Aspen Plus®. A detailed benchmark study has been performed to validate the modeling process. ENEL and TIPS cycles are designed in the software, adopting the same principles. Recirculation ratio and pressures are varied to find the efficiency range of the cycles. Power calculations are done to find overall and net efficiency for a fixed recirculation ratio. The efficiencies of the cycles are compared to select an optimum cycle. A recirculation ratio of 50% is selected for implementation. The comparison shows that ENEL is marginally efficient over TIPS, at the cost of a pressure difference of about 70bars. Technology Readiness Level analysis is performed to present the availability of the specialized equipment for the cycles. From the TRL analysis, it is seen that the cost and availability of high viii pressure equipment surmount the edge of TIPS over ENEL. Thus, ENEL is chosen as the better cycle for investigating a scaled experiment considering efficiency and viability. The later part of the dissertation focuses on developing the combustor's design for a pressurized oxy-combustion cycle. The proposed combustor is a powerhead-mounted design aimed to produce 1MW of thermal outputThe different aspects of the design of a down-fired pressurized swirl combustor are presented in this dissertation.

Chowdhury, Mehrin↗

Probabilistic Modeling of Commercial Building Occupancy Patterns Using Location-Based Map Data: Preprint

Considering occupancy patterns is crucial to simulate buildings' energy use. Current energy models use inputs that simplify the actual diversity in occupancy into static occupancy patterns and are not able to represent the numerous variations in occupancy patterns between buildings and across different locations. Recently, inferring occupancy schedules from metered electricity consumption data was used to model occupancy in commercial buildings. However, the translation from metered data to occupancy schedules requires many assumptions that might not capture the reality, and the process is hindered by the availability of data from advanced metering infrastructure. With the development of information technologies, occupancy modeling should not be limited to traditional approaches. The prevalence of social networks and location services with real-time user feedback provides publicly accessible data via Maps Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) such as Google Maps, SafeGraph, Mapbox, Foursquare, etc. This paper presents an automated framework for modeling parametric occupancy patterns using such APIs to calibrate commercial district buildings' energy models. This process includes three main steps: data extraction and processing, parametric schedules generation, and schedules integration. We demonstrated this framework in districts where we used maps API to generate more accurate behavioral patterns for operations and electric vehicle charging events. We used these patterns to determine differences in energy use across key sociodemographic and spatial parameters. The presented method has the potential for worldwide applications. Users can utilize this framework to extract data for selected locations of interest to create more realistic behavioral patterns for commercial facilities across different districts.

building energy modeling↗

Assessing Implicit and Explicit Polarizable Solvation Models for Nuclear–Electronic Orbital Systems: Quantum Proton Polarization and Solvation Energetics

Accurate simulations of many chemical processes require the inclusion of both nuclear quantum effects and a solvent environment. The nuclear–electronic orbital (NEO) approach, which treats electrons and select nuclei quantum mechanically on the same level, combined with a polarizable continuum model (PCM) for the solvent environment, addresses this challenge in a computationally practical manner. In this work, the NEO-PCM approach is extended beyond the IEF-PCM (integral equation formalism PCM) and C-PCM (conductor PCM) approaches to the SS(V)PE (surface and simulation of volume polarization for electrostatics) and ddCOSMO (domain decomposed conductor-like screening model) approaches. IEF-PCM, SS(V)PE, C-PCM, and ddCOSMO all exhibit similar solvation energies as well as comparable nuclear polarization within the NEO framework. The calculations show that the nuclear density does not leak out of the molecular cavity because it is much more localized than the electronic density. Finally, the polarization of quantized protons is analyzed in both continuum solvent and explicit solvent environments described by the polarizable MB-pol model, illustrating the impact of specific hydrogen-bonding interactions captured only by explicit solvation. Furthermore, these calculations highlight the relationship among solvation formalism, nuclear polarization, and energetics.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Optimized Carbon Fiber Intermediate Development to Enable High-Volume Manufacturing of Lightweight Automotive Composites

The ongoing pursuit of improved fuel economy and reduced greenhouse gas emissions has resulted in sustained interest for lightweight materials technologies. In this context, carbon fiber composites have captured the imagination of automotive engineers due to the potential to achieve substantial mass reduction when compared to traditional steel construction. That stated, the use of carbon fiber composites in automotive has been limited for the most part to premium supercars and other derivative platforms. In these cases, manufacturing costs are less of an obstacle to implementation, and the performance benefits of carbon fiber have enabled production of structures offering more than 50% weight savings. In practice, translating these low-volume demonstrations onto high-volume vehicle platforms has remained challenging. This can be attributed to several factors, with the absence of suitable high throughput production methodologies being a key impediment. To date, structural, crash critical components have relied upon manufacturing techniques born out of the aerospace industry. This has created a disconnect between automotive production systems that are accustomed to manufacturing multiple parts per minute and the aerospace technologies that have cycle times in the order of hours. Consequently, the focus of this project is the development of manufacturing process technology for carbon fiber composites that can support a mainstream vehicle program at an assumed throughput of 100,000 vehicles per year. In practice, this translates to a part-to-part cycle time of less than 3 minutes. Project participation included contributions from a broad range of academic, industrial and national lab partners. The primary scope of work, being the development of new carbon fiber epoxy compounds that are stable at room temperature and suited to high throughput automated processing. For project management, the work streams were divided into six key areas, with the lead organization in parentheses. • Carbon fiber/epoxy materials formulation development and scale up (Dow) • Simulation of discontinuous near isotropic meso-structure intermediates (Purdue) • Simulation of mechanical performance of compression molded components (Purdue) • Meso-Scale morphological analysis and correlation with structural performance (UTK) • Paint and adhesion durability analysis (MSU) • Demonstrator part design, prototype production, and validation testing (Ford). The primary goal at the commencement of the project was development of a chopped carbon fiber sheet molding compound (SMC) that offered a three times improvement in tensile modulus over a comparable glass-based SMC. In addition to meeting mechanical performance targets, the resin kinetics were modified to achieve a processing cycle time of less than 3 minutes. Other critical-to-quality (CTQ) specifications were also stipulated to account for a broad range of materials and processing characteristics. To achieve the above, staff scientists at Dow Chemical created an extensive series of new epoxy blends for testing and validation. Throughout this development, a key challenge was attaining material performance goals without impacting processing behavior and paintability of finished components. The latter required a new internal mold release system being developed by Dow that was designed to complement the kinetics of the rapid cure epoxy. As a complement to work studies at the industrial partners, the teams from academia executed a series of analytical and experimental studies to investigate potential factors influencing CF-SMC performance. Unit cell models were developed to capture the meso-scale representations of the fiber matrix architecture. Results of this analysis and subsequent morphological investigations led to the design of a novel composite derivative comprising carbon fiber platelets embedded in an epoxy matrix; the platelet size and aspect ratio playing significant role in final composite properties. This approach was a departure from previous research in CF-SMC development whereby bulk filamentization or disassembly of the carbon fiber rovings had been considered the most effective means of achieving both fiber wet through and wet-out. As the course of the academia studies progressed, the aspect ratio of the fiber constituents was further optimized before finalizing material attributes and processing conditions. For the purposes of technology validation, the Ford team led a work stream devoted to the design, fabrication and testing of demonstration components. The carbon fiber SMC material has the potential to displace numerous stampings and castings on an automotive structure but ultimately vehicle closure applications were selected to showcase the abilities of the CF-SMC to achieve both mass reduction and business case for large complex structures. Using target properties established by the Dow staff scientists, the complete closure system for a full-size sedan decklid and a mid-size wagon liftgate were engineered. Prototypes for both applications were fabricated using production representative processing methods to allow for physical testing and performance validation of the CF-SMC structures. Following completion of a testing program that concluded with a FMVSS301 55 mph offset rear crash, the CF-SMC formulation was declared by the Ford team to have met all engineering requirements. To summarize, the joint development activities during this project led to significant technical breakthroughs and achievement of all milestones. The result was the development of a novel, tack-free carbon fiber molding compound that is suited to automated processing. This combined room temperature stability, fast cure kinetics, and internal mold release system facilitates cycle times that are conducive to high-volume production. The VORAFUSE M6400 successfully passed technology validation at Ford and is now eligible for consideration on future production commercial vehicle programs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Purcell enhancement of directional edge photocurrent in a van der Waals self-cavity

Cavities provide a means to manipulate the optical and electronic responses of quantum materials by selectively enhancing light-matter interaction at specific frequencies and momenta. While cavities typically involve external structures, exfoliated flakes of van der Waals (vdW) materials can form intrinsic self-cavities due to their small finite dimensions, confining electromagnetic fields into plasmonic cavity modes, characterized by standing-wave current distributions. While cavity-enhanced phenomena are well-studied at optical frequencies, the impact of self-cavities on nonlinear electronic responses—such as directional photocurrent—remains largely unexplored, particularly in the terahertz regime, critical for emerging ultrafast optoelectronic technologies. Here, we report a self-cavity-induced Purcell enhancement of directional photocurrents in the vdW semimetal WTe 2 . Using ultrafast optoelectronic circuitry, we measured coherent near-field THz emission resulting from nonlinear photocurrents excited at the sample edges. We observed enhanced emission at finite frequencies, tunable via excitation fluence and sample geometry, which we attribute to plasmonic interference effects controlled by the cavity boundaries. We developed an analytical theory that captures the cavity resonance conditions and spectral response across multiple devices. Our findings establish WTe 2 as a bias-free, geometry-tunable THz emitter and demonstrate the potential of self-cavity engineering for controlling nonlinear, nonequilibrium dynamics in quantum materials.

condensed-matter physics↗

Thermopile Energy Harvesting for Subsurface Wellbore Sensors (Final Report)

Robust in situ power harvesting underlies all efforts to enable downhole autonomous sensors for real-time and long-term monitoring of CO 2 plume movement and permeance, wellbore health, and induced seismicity. This project evaluated the potential use of downhole thermopile arrays, known as thermoelectric generators (TEGs), as power sources to charge sensors for in situ real-time, long-term data capture and transmission. Real-time downhole monitoring will enable “Big Data” techniques and machine learning, using massive amounts of continuous data from embedded sensors, to quantify short- and long-term stability and safety of enhanced oil recovery and/or commercial-scale geologic CO 2 storage. This project evaluated possible placement of the TEGs at two different wellbore locations: on the outside of the casing; or on the production tubing. TEGs convert heat flux to electrical power, and in the borehole environment, would convert heat flux into or out of the borehole into power for downhole sensors. Such heat flux would be driven by pumping of cold or hot fluids into the borehole—for instance, injecting supercritical CO 2 —creating a thermal pulse that could power the downhole sensors. Hence, wireless power generation could be accomplished with in situ TEG energy harvesting. This final report summarizes the project’s efforts that accomplished the creation of a fully operational thermopile field unit, including selection of materials, laboratory benchtop experiments and thermal-hydrologic modeling for design and optimization of the field-scale power generation test unit. Finally, the report describes the field unit that has been built and presents results of performance and survivability testing. The performance and survivability testing evaluated the following: 1) downhole power generation in response to a thermal gradient produced by pumping a heated fluid down a borehole and through the field unit; and 2) component survivability and operation at elevated temperature and pressure conditions representative of field conditions. The performance and survivability testing show that TEG arrays are viable for generating ample energy to power downhole sensors, although it is important to note that developing or connecting to sensors was beyond the scope of this project. This project’s accomplishments thus traversed from a low Technical Readiness Level (TRL) on fundamental concepts of the application and modeling to TRL-5 via testing of the fully integrated field unit for power generation in relevant environments. A fully issued United States Patent covers the wellbore power harvesting technology and applications developed by this project.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Support Vector Machines for Classification of Direct Energy Deposition Standoff Distance for Improved Process Control

A critical factor in the implementation of direct energy deposition is the ability to maintain the standoff distance between the nozzle and the build surface, as this influences powder capture efficiency and overall part quality. Due to process-related variations, layer height may vary, causing unintended variation in standoff distance and poor build quality. While prior work has utilized contact probing to qualify standoff distance during processing, in situ methods for qualification of standoff distance are of major interest. The present work seeks to understand efficacy of image-based methods for classifying standoff distance variation in real-time using support vector machines (SVMs). It was hypothesized that the size of the melt pool and the amount of spatter will have significant correlations with deviations in the standoff distance; thus, SVMs were used on a dataset that is comprised of morphological features of melt pool size and image entropy. The SVM model was used to classify melt pool images into categories according to standoff distance variation from nominal. K-folds cross validation was used to find the optimal hyperparameters for the SVM model. To understand the impact of the selected features on the classification performance and inference speed, multiple models were trained with differing numbers of included features. Results for classification score, inference time, and image preprocessing/feature extraction from these data are reported. The present results show that the SVM model was able to predict the standoff distance classification with an accuracy of 97 percent and a speed of 0.122 s per image, making it a viable solution for real-time control of standoff distance.

Klesmith, Zoe↗

Adverse Effect of Polyelectrolyte Complexation on the CO 2 Permeability of Polyvinylamine Copolymers

Polyvinylamine (PVAm) is one of the most studied polymers for facilitated transport membranes (FTMs) in CO 2 separation applications. In this study, poly(N-vinylformamide) (PNVf) was hydrolyzed to prepare a range of PNVf-PVAm copolymer compositions and the effect of PVAm fraction on CO 2 permeability and CO 2 /N 2 selectivity these polymers examined. The most permeable film was the polymer containing 52 mol% PVAm units with a CO 2 permeability of 353 Barrer and CO 2 /N 2 selectivity of 96, when tested at 60°C with humidified 14/86 CO 2 /N 2 mixed gas. Despite containing a higher loading of amines to act as CO 2 carriers, higher PVAm contents yielded significantly lower CO 2 permeability, without a loss of selectivity. This trend was not due to polymer crystallization since none of the PVAm films exhibited crystallinity in X-ray diffraction analysis. The loss of gas permeability at high PVAm content was instead due to strong polyelectrolyte interactions between polymer chains formed when PVAm reacts with CO 2 . Since only the PVAm units are ionized upon reaction with CO 2 , with the PNVf units remaining neutral, the density of these ionic effects increased as PVAm content increased, leading to increased resistance to gas permeation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Load Mitigating Feedback Control of WECs

This report outlines the development of load-mitigating feedback control for wave energy converters. A simple, self-tuning multi-objective controller is demonstrated in simulation for a 3-DOF (surge, heave, pitch) point absorber. In previous work, the proposed control architecture has been shown to be effective in experiment for a variety of device archetypes for the single objective of the maximization of electrical power capture: here this architecture is extended to reduce device loading as well. In particular, PTO actuation forces and the minimization of fatigue damage (determined from the sum of wave-exerted and PTO forces) are considered as additional objectives for the self-tuning controller. This controller is demonstrated for two similar, but distinct systems: one described by the identified linear models from physical testing of the WaveBot device, and another based upon a WEC-Sim simulation that expands upon boundary element method data from the WaveBot device. In both cases, because the power surface is consistently fairly flat in the vicinity of control parameters that maximize power capture in contrasting sea-states, it is found to be generally possible to mitigate either fatigue damage or PTO load. However, PTO load is found to conflict with fatigue damage in some sea-states, limiting the efficacy of control objectives that attempt to mitigate both simultaneously. Additionally, coupling between the surge and pitch DOFs also limits the extent to which fatigue damage can be mitigated for both DOFs in some sea-states. Because control objectives can be considered a function of the sea-state (e.g., load mitigation may not be a concern until the sea is sufficiently large) a simple transition strategy is proposed and demonstrated. This transition strategy is found to be effective with some caveats: firstly, it cannot circumvent the aforementioned objective contradictions. Secondly, this objective transition is too slow to act as a system constraint, and objective thresholds must thus be considered quite conservatively. Improvement of the adjustment strategy is demonstrated through the addition of an integral term. Selection of well-performing transition parameters can be a function of sea-state. While a simple selection procedure is proposed, it is non-optimal, and a more robust selection procedure is suggested for future work.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Palladium-Percolated Networks Enabled by Low Loadings of Branched Nanorods for Enhanced H 2 Separations

Nanoparticles (NPs) at high loadings are often used in mixed matrix membranes (MMMs) to improve gas separation properties, but they can lead to defects and poor processability that impede membrane fabrication. Herein, it is demonstrated that branched nanorods (NRs) with controlled aspect ratios can significantly reduce the required loading to achieve superior gas separation properties while maintaining excellent processability, as demonstrated by the dispersion of palladium (Pd) NRs in polybenzimidazole for H 2 /CO 2 separation. Increasing the aspect ratio from 1 for NPs to 40 for NRs decreases the percolation threshold volume fraction by a factor of 30, from 0.35 to 0.011. An MMM with percolated networks formed by Pd NRs at a volume fraction of 0.039 exhibits H 2 permeability of 110 Barrer and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 31 when challenged with simulated syngas at 200 °C, surpassing Robeson's upper bound. In conclusion, this work highlights the advantage of NRs over NPs and nanowires and shows that right-sizing nanofillers in MMMs is critical to construct highly sieving pathways at minimal loadings. In conclusion, this work paves the way for this general feature to be applied across materials systems for a variety of chemical separations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microporous pentiptycene-based polybenzimidazole membranes for high temperature H 2 /CO 2 separation

Separating H 2 from syngas at elevated temperatures (100–250 °C) have attracted significant attention in recent years as a means to reduce energy consumption and capital costs in precombustion carbon capture processes, such as those following steam reforming of natural gas or coal gasification. Polybenzimidazole (PBI), particularly m-PBI, has been reported as a leading membrane material for high-temperature H 2 /CO 2 separation. However, m-PBI exhibits extremely low H 2 permeability, even at high temperatures, which limits its productivity in H 2 /CO 2 separation applications. Here, to address this limitation, this work introduces a new pentiptycene-based polybenzimidazole (PPBI) featuring significantly enhanced H 2 permeability and attractive high-temperature H 2 /CO 2 separation performance, which stems from the unique configurational free volume elements introduced by pentiptycene moieties. Further tuning of the free volume architecture of PPBI films is achieved via acid doping with phosphoric acid (PA) or trans-aconitic acid (TaA), which introduces crosslinking among PPBI chains. Under mixed-gas environment (50/50 mol% H 2 /CO 2 ) at 180 °C, the acid-doped PPBI films exhibit a ∼230 % increase in H 2 /CO 2 selectivity compared to pristine PPBI film while maintaining high H 2 permeability that is nearly 500 % of m-PBI. These properties approach the predicted upper bound for membrane operating at 180 °C, highlighting its great potential for high-temperature H 2 /CO 2 separation.

Liu, Mengdi [University of Notre Dame, IN (United ↗

Supported ionic liquid membranes (SILMs) with exceptional selectivity and permeability for dilute CO 2 separations

Supported ionic liquid membranes (SILMs), containing phosphonium ionic liquids with aprotic N-heterocyclic anions (AHA ILs) in an inert inorganic support, were tested under both dry and humidified (40 % RH) mixed-gas conditions down to 420 ppm CO 2 in N 2 at 35 °C. In the dry case, the best performing IL, triethyl(octyl)phosphonium 4-bromopyrazolide ([P 2228 ][4-BrPyra]) exhibited mixed-gas CO 2 permeabilities and CO 2 /N 2 permeability selectivities as high as 26,800 barrer and 7,000, respectively. In the presence of humidity, the CO 2 permeability and CO 2 /N 2 selectivity increased to 49,100 barrer and 13,200, respectively, and these are the highest reported combination in the literature. Humidity amplifies CO 2 permeabilities and CO 2 /N 2 permeability selectivities through increases in CO 2 capacity due to bicarbonate formation and through faster mobility of the mobile carrier from decreased viscosity. Furthermore, N 2 permeability stayed roughly invariant in the presence of humidity, likely from competing effects of viscosity reduction and lower N 2 solubility.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Formation and coarsening of epitaxially-supported metal nanoclusters

This mini-review describes developments over the last ~30 years in characterizing the nucleation & growth of epitaxially-supported metal nanoclusters (NCs) or islands during vapor deposition, as well as their post-deposition coarsening. A beyond-mean-field treatment for homogeneous nucleation & growth corrects the deficiencies of traditional treatments in describing, e.g., the island size distribution, but also necessitates consideration of the spatial distribution of islands and their capture zones. We discuss advances in modeling capabilities, including those based upon on an ab-initio level treatment of periphery diffusion kinetics, for description of the non-equilibrium growth shapes of these NCs, focusing on 2D NCs. For post-deposition coarsening of arrays of NCs, there is generally a competition between Ostwald Ripening (OR) and Smoluchowski Ripening (SR). SR is also known as Particle Migration & Coalescence. For 2D NCs in homoepitaxial systems, conventional OR is observed on pristine fcc(111) surfaces, dramatically enhanced OR in the presence of even trace amounts of chalcogens for Cu(111) and Ag(111), and anomalous OR on anisotropic fcc(110) surfaces. The unexpected discovery of SR for fcc(100) homoepitaxial systems prompted extensive analysis of the underlying diffusivities of 2D NCs as a function of size, as well as of NC coalescence dynamics. A comprehensive understanding of these processes is now available. Self-assembly of 3D NCs during deposition, issues related to heterogeneous nucleation, directed assembly, NC growth structure selection, and coarsening are addressed. Finally, for SR of 3D epitaxial NCs, recent insights into the size-dependence of diffusivity are described.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Determination of asymptotic normalization coefficients for the channel 16 O→ α+ 12 C: excited state 16 O(0 + ; 6.05 MeV)

Asymptotic normalization coefficients (ANC) determine the overall normalization of cross sections of peripheral radiative capture reactions. In the present paper, we treat the ANC C for the virtual decay 16 O(0 + ; 6.05 MeV)→ α+ 12 C(g.s.), the known values of which are characterized by a large spread (0.29 - 1.65) × 10 3 fm -1/2 . The ANC C is found by analytic continuation in energy of the α 12 C s-wave scattering amplitude, known from the phase-shift analysis of experimental data, to the pole corresponding to the 16O bound state and lying in the unphysical region of negative energies. To determine C, two different methods of analytic continuation are used. In the first method, the scattering data are approximated by the sum of polynomials in energy in the physical region and then extrapolated to the pole. The best way of extrapolation is chosen on the basis of the exactly solvable model. Within the second approach, the ANC C is found by solving the Schrödinger equation for the two-body α 12 C potential, the parameters of which are selected from the requirement of the best description of the phase-shift analysis data at a fixed experimental binding energy of 16 O(0 + ; 6.05 MeV) in the α+ 12 C channel. The values of the ANC C obtained within these two methods lie in the interval (886–1139) fm -1/2 .

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Offshore wind energy forecasting sensitivity to sea surface temperature input in the Mid-Atlantic

Abstract. As offshore wind farm development expands, accurate wind resource forecasting over the ocean is needed. One important yet relatively unexplored aspect of offshore wind resource assessment is the role of sea surface temperature (SST). Models are generally forced with reanalysis data sets, which employ daily SST products. Compared with observations, significant variations in SSTs that occur on finer timescales are often not captured. Consequently, shorter-lived events such as sea breezes and low-level jets (among others), which are influenced by SSTs, may not be correctly represented in model results. The use of hourly SST products may improve the forecasting of these events. In this study, we examine the sensitivity of model output from the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) 4.2.1 to different SST products. We first evaluate three different data sets: the Multiscale Ultrahigh Resolution (MUR25) SST analysis, a daily, 0.25∘ × 0.25∘ resolution product; the Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Ice Analysis (OSTIA), a daily, 0.054∘ × 0.054∘ resolution product; and SSTs from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite 16 (GOES-16), an hourly, 0.02∘ × 0.02∘ resolution product. GOES-16 is not processed at the same level as OSTIA and MUR25; therefore, the product requires gap-filling using an interpolation method to create a complete map with no missing data points. OSTIA and GOES-16 SSTs validate markedly better against buoy observations than MUR25, so these two products are selected for use with model simulations, while MUR25 is at this point removed from consideration. We run the model for June and July of 2020 and find that for this time period, in the Mid-Atlantic, although OSTIA SSTs overall validate better against in situ observations taken via a buoy array in the area, the two products result in comparable hub-height (140 m) wind characterization performance on monthly timescales. Additionally, during hours-long flagged events (< 30 h each) that show statistically significant wind speed deviations between the two simulations, both simulations once again demonstrate similar validation performance (differences in bias, earth mover's distance, correlation, and root mean square error on the order of 10−1 or less), with GOES-16 winds validating nominally better than OSTIA winds. With a more refined GOES-16 product, which has been not only gap-filled but also assimilated with in situ SST measurements in the region, it is likely that hub-height winds characterized by GOES-16-informed simulations would definitively validate better than those informed by OSTIA SSTs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Impact of including second and later cancers in cause-specific survival estimates using population-based registry data

Background. Second or later primary cancers account for approximately 20% of incident cases in the United States. Currently, cause-specific survival (CSS) analyses exclude these cancers because the cause of death (COD) classification algorithm was available only for first cancers. The authors added rules for later cancers to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cause-specific death classification algorithm and evaluated CSS to include individuals with prior tumors. Methods. The authors constructed 2 cohorts: 1) the first ever primary cohort, including patients whose first cancer was diagnosed during 2000 through 2016) and 2) the earliest matching primary cohort, including patients with any cancer who matched the selection criteria irrespective of whether it was the first or a later cancer diagnosed during 2000 through 2016. The cohorts' CSS estimates were compared using follow-up through December 31, 2017. The new rules were used in the second cohort for patients whose first cancers during 2000 through 2016 were their second or later cancers. Results. Overall, there were no statistically significant differences in CSS estimates between the 2 cohorts. Estimates were similar by age, stage, race, and time since diagnosis, except for patients with leukemia and those aged 65 to 74 years (3.4 percentage point absolute difference). Conclusions. The absolute difference in CSS estimates for the first cancer ever cohort versus earliest of any cancers cohort in the study period was small for most cancer types. As the number of newly diagnosed patients with prior cancers increases, the algorithm will make CSS more inclusive and enable estimating survival for a group of patients with cancer for whom life tables are not available or life tables are available but do not capture other-cause mortality appropriately.

Survival Analysis↗

Metal leaching from Lithium-ion and Nickel-metal hydride batteries and photovoltaic modules in simulated landfill leachates and municipal solid waste materials

Photovoltaic (PV) modules and batteries can either be recycled or disposed of in landfills at end-of-life (EoL). This work focuses on disposal since the benefit of recycling PV modules and batteries is well established. This study characterizes the potential toxicity due to metals leaching from selected PV modules and batteries through both the Toxicity Characteristic Leaching Procedure (TCLP) and in-house batch leaching protocols to probe the impact on metallic ion mobility as a function of the different types of e-waste entering the waste stream, the magnitude of device damage when placed into the waste stream, and the simulated municipal solid waste (SMSW) composition. Our results showed that one PV module and three battery types in this study should be classified as hazardous waste within the U.S. However, for some of the other e-wastes, metals of concern including Cr, Cu, Hg, Ni, Pb, and Zn leached during the batch tests but not in the TCLP regulatory method. For most of the waste types, the amounts of metals that leached in the TCLP test and batch tests were much lower than the total extractable amounts, demonstrating the potential for additional unaccounted for amounts of metals to leach. Our results demonstrate that the TCLP regulatory method might fail at predicting potential leaching and at capturing the complexity of e-waste leaching in landfill conditions. It confirms that additional work is needed urgently to develop appropriate EoL procedures for MSW with PV and battery e-waste.

42 ENGINEERING↗