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At least 1,063 records · Page 59

Analyzing Carbon Dioxide and Methane Emissions in California Using Airborne Measurements and Model Simulations

Greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations have increased over the past decades and are linked to global temperature increases and climate change. These changes in climate have been suggested to have varying effects, and uncertain consequences, on agriculture, water supply, weather, sea-level rise, the economy, and energy. To counteract the trend of increasing atmospheric concentrations of GHGs, the state of California has passed the California Global Warming Act of 2006 (AB-32). This requires that by the year 2020, GHG (e.g., carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4)) emissions will be reduced to 1990 levels. To quantify GHG fluxes, emission inventories are routinely compiled for the State of California (e.g., CH4 emissions from the California Greenhouse Gas Emissions Measurement (CALGEM) Project). The major sources of CO2 and CH4 in the state of California are: transportation, electricity production, oil and gas extraction, cement plants, agriculture, landfills/waste, livestock, and wetlands. However, uncertainties remain in these emission inventories because many factors contributing to these processes are poorly quantified. To alleviate these uncertainties, a synergistic approach of applying air-borne measurements and chemical transport modeling (CTM) efforts to provide a method of quantifying local and regional GHG emissions will be performed during this study. Additionally, in order to further understand the temporal and spatial distributions of GHG fluxes in California and the impact these species have on regional climate, CTM simulations of daily variations and seasonality of total column CO2 and CH4 will be analyzed. To assess the magnitude and spatial variation of GHG emissions and to identify local “hot spots”, airborne measurements of CH4 and CO2 were made by the Alpha Jet Atmospheric eXperiment (AJAX) over the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) and San Joaquin Valley (SJV) in January and February 2013 during the Discover-AQ-CA study. High mixing ratios of GHGs were observed in-flight with a high degree of spatial variability. To provide an additional method to quantify GHG emissions, and analyze AJAX measurement data, the GEOS-Chem CTM is used to simulate SFBA/SJV GHG measurements. A nested-grid version of GEOS-Chem will be applied and utilizes varying emission inventories and model parameterizations to simulate GHG fluxes/emissions. The model considers CO2 fluxes from fossil fuel use, biomass/biofuel burning, terrestrial and oceanic biosphere exchanges, shipping and aviation, and production from the oxidation of carbon monoxide, CH4, and non-methane volatile organic carbons. The major sources of CH4 simulated in GEOS-Chem are domesticated animals, rice fields, natural gas leakage, natural gas venting/flaring (oil production), coal mining, wetlands, and biomass burning. Preliminary results from the comparison between available observations (e.g., AJAX and CALGEM CH4 emission maps) and GEOS-Chem results will be presented, along with a discussion of CO2 and CH4 source apportionment and the use of the GEOS-Chem-adjoint to perform inverse GHG modeling.

Johnson, Matthew S.↗

Human Exploration of Mars: Preliminary Lists of Crew Tasks

This is a preliminary report of ongoing research that has identified 1,125 tasks that are likely to be performed during initial human expeditions to Mars. The purpose of the report is to facilitate immediate access to the task inventory by researchers whose efforts might benefit from concrete examples of the work that will likely be performed by the first human explorers of Mars and the tasks for which crew members must be prepared to perform in response to emergencies. The research that led to the task lists is being conducted under Cooperative Agreement NNX15AW34G / NNX16AQ86G for the Human Factors and Behavioral Performance Element, Human Performance Program, NASA’s Johnson Space Center. The study is ongoing and will conclude with a final report that documents all research activities and presents the results of task and ability analyses and the implications of study results to crew size and composition, personnel selection and training, and design of equipment and procedures. The research addresses the Risk of Inadequate Mission, Process, and Task Design and the Risk of Performance Errors Due to Training Deficiencies by identifying the work that will be performed during an expedition to Mars and the abilities, skills, and knowledge that will be required of crew members. The study began by developing the comprehensive inventory of 1,125 tasks that are likely to be performed during the 12 phases of initial human expeditions to Mars, from launch to landing 30 months later. This full-mission task inventory was generated by a comprehensive review of documentation and concepts of operations with the understanding that plans and tasks might change in response to continuing technological development. Note: This interim report includes no discussion of analyses and has been prepared solely to facilitate dissemination of the task lists to others whose research might benefit from detailed information about the work and other activities that are likely to be performed during the human exploration of Mars.

Stuster, Jack W.↗

Interstellar Organics, the Solar Nebula, and Saturn's Satellite Phoebe

The diffuse interstellar medium inventory of organic material (Pendleton et al. 1994, Pendleton Allamandola 2002) was likely incorporated into the molecular cloud in which the solar nebula condensed. This provided the feedstock for the formation of the Sun, major planets, and the smaller icy bodies in the region outside Neptune's orbit (transneptunian objects, or TNOs). Saturn's satellites Phoebe, Iapetus, and Hyperion open a window to the composition of one class of TNO as revealed by the near-infrared mapping spectrometer (VIMS - Visible and Infrared Mapping Spectrometer) on the Cassini spacecraft at Saturn. Phoebe (mean diameter 213 kilometers) is a former TNO now orbiting Saturn. VIMS spectral maps of Phoebe's surface reveal a complex organic spectral signature consisting of prominent aromatic (CH) and aliphatic hydrocarbon (CH2, CH3) absorption bands (3.2-3.6 meters). Phoebe is the source of a huge debris ring encircling Saturn, and from which particles (5-20 meter size) spiral inward toward Saturn. They encounter Iapetus and Hyperion where they mix with and blanket the native H2O ice of those two bodies. Quantitative analysis of the hydrocarbon bands on Iapetus demonstrates that aromatic CH is 10 times as abundant as aliphatic CH2 plus CH3, significantly exceeding the strength of the aromatic signature in interplanetary dust particles, comet particles, and in carbonaceous meteorites (Cruikshank et al. 2013). A similar excess of aromatics over aliphatics is seen in the qualitative analysis of Hyperion and Phoebe itself (Dalle Ore et al. 2012). The Iapetus aliphatic hydrocarbons show CH2/CH3 4, which is larger than the value found in the diffuse ISM (InterStellar Matter - (2-2.5). Insofar as Phoebe is a primitive body that formed in the outer regions of the solar nebula and has preserved some of the original nebula inventory, it can be key to understanding the content and degree of processing of that nebular material. There are other Phoebe-like TNOs that are presently beyond our ability to study in the organic spectral region, but JWST (James Webb Space Telescope) will open that possibility for a number of objects. We now need to explore and understand the connection of this organic-bearing Solar System material to the solar nebula and the inventory of ISM (Interstellar Medium) materials incorporated therein.

Phoebe↗

The Influence of Frequency and Duration Of Seismic Ground Motion On The Size Of Triggered Landslides—A Regional View

Observation, theory, and intuition all suggest that larger earthquakes should trigger larger landslides. Many factors could contribute to this, including depth-dependent shear strength or non-linearity of ground motion in soils and rock, but we hypothesize that the key characteristics of large earthquakes causing this phenomenon are (in addition to magnitude) the frequency and duration of the strong ground motion. Because of the paucity of site-specific data for detailed analysis, we take a regional approach to this question by analyzing strong-motion records and earthquake-induced landslide (EQIL) inventories from six well-documented earthquakes. Ground motion is characterized using earthquake magnitude and the median durations and frequencies (mean periods) of subsets of strong-motion records relevant to landslide triggering. EQIL inventories are characterized using the median landslide area of the entire inventory as well as the median areas of the largest 1% of the landslides and the largest 10 landslides. We then compare ground-motion characteristics with landslide size statistics to determine possible correlations. Comparisons of all earthquake- and landslide-size statistics show strong positive correlations between landslide size and (1) magnitude, (2) ground-motion duration, and (3) mean period. Although all the ground-motion measures yield highly correlated regressions, mean period appears to be the best overall predictor of landslide size. Landslide modeling using Newmark's sliding-block method also shows that longer mean periods and durations and larger magnitudes correlate strongly with increases in modeled displacements. These results support our hypothesis that increasing period and duration of seismic ground motion are the physical factors driving increased landslide sizes for larger earthquakes. Additional studies including data from a much larger set of earthquakes is needed to confirm the results of this initial study.

Hakan Tanyas↗

Complications of Metadata Curation for NASA Airborne and Field Campaigns, Platforms, and Instruments

The Airborne Data Management Group (ADMG) curates metadata that describe NASA's airborne and field campaigns, platforms and instruments. This activity is vital to building a useful inventory of sub-orbital Earth science data that improves data discovery and access. During the curation process, many metadata issues were identified that required improvement to campaign and data product metadata. In some cases, locating the needed metadata to add to the inventory was a simple process. For other cases, the information was hard to find. In addition, identifying accurate investigation instrument details to add to the inventory was especially complicated because of the variety of definitions used in the Earth science community for the same concepts. One example of this is the concept of instruments' spatial and temporal resolution. The spatial resolution is one of the more difficult elements to curate given the variations in meaning across various disciplines. Clarified definitions are needed to enable consistency of information across campaigns and instruments. In this presentation, we introduce results from a survey of scientists from various fields in which we asked for definitions of spatial and temporal resolution. Our survey results highlight the importance of creating more universally acceptable definitions for certain metadata elements. By curating sub-orbital field campaign and instrument metadata, ADMG is enabling more efficient discovery and access to NASA observations by allowing science data users to search for certain clearly defined criteria and metadata values.

Ashlyn Shirey↗

Bias-Correcting Carbon Fluxes Derived From Land-Surface Satellite Data for Retrospective and Near Real-Time Assimilation Systems

The ability to monitor and understand natural and anthropogenic variability in atmospheric carbon dioxide(CO2) is a growing need of many stakeholders across the world. Systems that assimilate satellite observations, given their short latency and dense spatial coverage, into high resolution global models are valuable, if not essential, tools for addressing this need. A notable drawback of modern assimilation systems is the long latency of many vital in-put datasets, e.g., inventories, in situ measurements, and re-processed remote-sensing data can trail the current date by months to years. This paper describes techniques for bias-correcting surface fluxes derived from satellite observations of the Earth’s surface to be consistent with constraints from inventories and in situ CO2 datasets. The techniques are applicable in both short-term forecasts and retrospective simulations, thus taking advantage of the coverage and short latency of satellite data while reproducing the major features of long-term inventory and in situ records. Our approach begins with a standard collection of diagnostic fluxes which incorporate a variety of remote-sensing driver data, viz. vegetation indices, fire radiative power, and nighttime lights. We then apply an empirical sink so that global budgets of the diagnostic fluxes match given atmospheric and oceanic growth rates for each year. This step removes coherent, systematic flux errors that produce biases inCO2which mask the signals an assimilation system hopes to capture. Depending on the simulation mode, the empirical sink uses different choices of atmospheric growth rates: estimates based on observations in retrospective mode and projections based on seasonal fore-casts of sea surface temperature in forecasting mode. The retrospective fluxes, when used in simulations with NASA’s Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS), reproduce marine boundary layer measurements with comparable skill to those using fluxes from a modern inversion system. The forecasted fluxes show promising accuracy in their application to the analysis of changes in the carbon cycle as they occur.

CO2↗

A Dynamic Landslide Hazard Monitoring Framework for the Lower Mekong Region

The Lower Mekong region is one of the most landslide-prone areas of the world. Despite the need for dynamic characterization of landslide hazard zones within the region, it is largely understudied for several reasons. Dynamic and integrated understanding of landslide processes requires landslide inventories across the region, which have not been available previously. Computational limitations also hamper regional landslide hazard assessment, including accessing and processing remotely sensed information. Finally, open-source software and modelling packages are required to address regional landslide hazard analysis. Leveraging an open-source data-driven global Landslide Hazard Assessment for Situational Awareness model framework, this study develops a region-specific dynamic landslide hazard system leveraging satellite-based Earth observation data to assess landslide hazards across the lower Mekong region. A set of landslide inventories were prepared from high-resolution optical imagery using advanced image-processing techniques. Several static and dynamic explanatory variables (i.e., rainfall, soil moisture, slope, relief, distance to roads, distance to faults, distance to rivers) were considered during the model development phase. An extreme gradient boosting decision tree model was trained for the monsoon period of 2015–2019 and the model was evaluated with independent inventory information for the 2020 monsoon period. The model performance demonstrated considerable skill using receiver operating characteristic curve statistics, with Area Under the Curve values exceeding 0.95. The model architecture was designed to use near-real-time data, and it can be implemented in a cloud computing environment (i.e., Google Cloud Platform) for the routine assessment of landslide hazards in the Lower Mekong region. This work was developed in collaboration with scientists at the Asian Disaster Preparedness Center as part of the NASA SERVIR Program’s Mekong hub. The goal of this work is to develop a suite of tools and services on accessible open-source platforms that support and enable stakeholder communities to better assess landslide hazard and exposure at local to regional scales for decision making and planning.

Nishan Kumar Biswas↗

An Overview of NASA’s Catalog of Archived Suborbital Earth Science Investigations (CASEI): Supporting FAIR and Open Access to Airborne and Field Data

Since 2019, NASA’s Airborne Data Management Group (ADMG) within the Interagency Implementation and Advanced Concepts Team (IMPACT) has worked to promote and ensure the discoverability and accessibility of the agency’s non-satellite Earth science observations. A primary component of this effort is the development of NASA’s Catalog of Archived Suborbital Earth Science Investigations (CASEI) and the vetting of key contextual details required to sustain this unique inventory of airborne and field metadata. CASEI provides information on the science objectives motivating data collection, key events/time periods in the observational record aligned with the science objectives, complementary simultaneous observations, programmatic details, and much more. The diverse set of data formats and disciplines served by CASEI have required the implementation of a common data model to organize suborbital observation metadata and efficiently connect appropriate campaigns, platforms, and instruments. The CASEI inventory provides a single entry point for users to search and browse NASA’s airborne and field data archives, regardless of which repository is responsible for their stewardship. This presentation will provide a summary of the motivations for and the development of the CASEI system. Particular attention will be granted to how CASEI facilitates discovery and reuse of these lesser-known NASA data, supporting the Open Science vision and enhancing the return on investments made to collect these unique and varied observations. An up-to-date summary of CASEI inventory content and initial metrics will be provided. Current and future avenues ADMG is pursuing to enhance both CASEI and specific components of suborbital data stewardship at various stages of the data life cycle will also be discussed.

Stephanie M. Wingo↗

New Insights on the 7[superscript]Be Cycle in the Ocean

The cosmogenic radionuclide 7[superscript]Be has been applied as a tracer of dynamical processes in the upper ocean and of atmospheric deposition of trace elements at the sea surface. These applications usually assume that 7[superscript]Be is entirely in the dissolved form, and that scavenging and downward export of 7[superscript]Be by settling particles can be neglected. In this work, we explore these assumptions and more generally assess the significance of the 7[superscript]Be activity in the particulate fraction, through the generation of vertical profiles of particulate 7[superscript]Be in the open ocean. From detailed measurements obtained from low-background gamma spectrometers placed in underground facilities, we report vertical profiles of 7[superscript]Be activity in suspended particles (7[superscript]Bep[subscript]) collected in various oceanic regions: the Mediterranean Sea (DYFAMED station), the Indian Sector of the Southern Ocean (station A3-2 from the KEOPS2 cruise), the Sargasso Sea (OFP station), and the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean (GEOVIDE cruise). We find that, in each oceanic region, 7[superscript]Bep[subscript] activities are generally higher in the mixed layer than in the thermocline. They vary in the mixed layer from 3.0 dpm/m3 at DYFAMED to 33.1dpm/m3 at GEOVIDE cross-over station 51/60, i.e., within a range consistent with previous 7[superscript]Bep[subscript] measurements for the open ocean. For the GEOVIDE cruise, the 7[superscript]Bep[subscript] activities measured on different filter types at different depths are corrected for filter offsets derived from multiple 7[superscript]Bep[subscript] measurements at a near-coastal station in the western Mediterranean Sea. We then combine measurements of total 7[superscript]Be activity (Shelley et al., 2017) with our measurements of 7[superscript]Bep[subscript] activity to estimate the solid/solution partitioning of 7[superscript]Be. On average, the particulate fraction would represent 6% of total 7[superscript]Be activity at 5-m water depth (n = 6), 22% at 20 m (n = 2) and 9% at 70 m (n = 3). At GEOVIDE stations, 7[superscript]Bep[subscript] inventories range from 5% to 19% of the total 7[superscript]Be inventories. In the Labrador Sea, the measured 7[superscript]Bep[subscript] inventories are lower than the dry 7[superscript]Be deposition fluxes estimated from aerosol samples collected during GEOVIDE, suggesting that a significant portion of 7[superscript]Bep[subscript] may be removed by sinking particles. The distribution coefficient Kd for 7Be increases with depth, with log10Kd averaging 5.2 ± 0.1 at 5 m to 6.1 ± 0.1 between 70 and 150 m, suggesting that scavenging of dissolved 7[superscript]Be by particles is more pronounced in the thermocline than in the mixed layer when differences in particle concentrations are taken into account. Overall, our study suggests that, at least in some oceanic regions, the removal of 7[superscript]Be by marine particles may be significant and that it may need to be considered in applications of 7[superscript]Be as a tracer of oceanic processes and atmospheric deposition.

Beryllium-7↗

The Habitability of Proxima Centauri b II. Possible Climates and Observability

Radial velocity monitoring has found the signature of a M sin i = 1.3 M(sub ⨁) planet located within the habitable zone (HZ) of Proxima Centauri. Despite a hotter past and an active host star, the planet Proxima b could have retained enough volatiles to sustain surface habitability. Here we use a 3D Global Climate Model (GCM) to simulate the atmosphere and water cycle of Proxima b for its two likely rotation modes (1:1 and 3:2 spin-orbit resonances), while varying the unconstrained surface water inventory and atmospheric greenhouse effect. Any low-obliquity, low-eccentricity planet within the HZ of its star should be in one of the climate regimes discussed here. We find that a broad range of atmospheric compositions allow surface liquid water. On a tidally locked planet with sufficient surface water inventory, liquid water is always present, at least in the substellar region. With a non-synchronous rotation, this requires a minimum greenhouse warming (~10 mbar of CO2 and 1 bar of N2). If the planet is dryer, ~0.5 bar or 1.5 bars of CO2 (for asynchronous or synchronous rotation, respectively) suffice to prevent the trapping of any arbitrary, small water inventory into polar or nightside ice caps. We produce reflection and emission spectra and phase curves for the simulated climates. We find that atmospheric characterization will be possible via direct imaging with forthcoming large telescopes. The angular separation of 7 λ/D at 1 μm (with the E-ELT) and a contrast of ~10(exp -7) will enable high-resolution spectroscopy and the search for molecular signatures, including H2O, O2, and CO2. The observation of thermal phase curves can be attempted with the James Webb Space Telescope, thanks to a contrast of 2 × 10(exp -5) at 10 μm. Proxima b will also be an exceptional target for future IR interferometers. Within a decade it will be possible to image Proxima b and possibly determine whether the surface of this exoplanet is habitable.

Proxima Cen↗

Blue Carbon Stock Estimation of US Coastal Marshes from New York to Georgia How Much Do We Have to Lose?

Valued for their myriad multifunctional roles in preserving habitat for biodiversity, cycling nutrients, protecting shorelines, improving water quality, and sequestering blue carbon, coastal and riverine marshes continue to disappear not only due to land use change but also sea level rise. Blue carbon’s role in the carbon cycle has been underappreciated until the last few decades, and the carbon stocks for U.S. Atlantic coastal margins have previously been estimated for a depth of 0.5-1 meter. We select several North American East Coast databases that have been utilized to study sea level rise and instead use them to estimate marsh depth from New York to Georgia; in local marshes that lack depth data, we present new depth data and perform several full-depth transects. This alongside marsh area data from the National Wetlands Inventory (NWI) enables us to estimate marsh volume. We then utilize an average carbon density of 27 kg/m 3 by Holmquist et al. 2018 to calculate blue carbon stocks. We present the inventories of peat depth by state, marsh area by state, and total marsh volume by state, followed by the blue carbon stocks. The peat depth inventory of eastern U.S. marshes reveals that riverine marshes are significantly deeper than coastal marshes. While both are important, we highlight the jeopardy of rapidly eroding urban marshes due to the heavy metals these marshes have sequestered for centuries as they contaminate the surrounding estuary. Uncertainties and caveats include carbon density values, loss of marsh since the NWI assessment, and depth averages. The high cost of marsh disappearance underscores the urgent need for their preservation.

Coastal marshes↗

High-Resolution Mapping of Nitrogen Oxide Emissions in Large US Cities From TROPOMI Retrievals of Tropospheric Nitrogen Dioxide Columns

Satellite-derived spatiotemporal patterns of nitrogen oxide (NO x ) emissions can improve accuracy of emission inventories to better support air quality and climate research and policy studies. In this study, we develop a new method by coupling the chemical transport Model-Independent SATellite-derived Emission estimation Algorithm for Mixed-sources (MISATEAM) with a divergence method to map high-resolution NO x emissions across US cities using TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) tropospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ) retrievals. The accuracy of the coupled method is validated through application to synthetic NO 2 observations from the NASA-Unified Weather Research and Forecasting (NU-WRF) model, with a horizontal spatial resolution of 4 km × 4 km for 33 large and mid-size US cities. Validation reveals excellent agreement between inferred and NU-WRF-provided emission magnitudes (R= 0.99, normalized mean bias, NMB = −0.01) and a consistent spatial pattern when comparing emissions for individual grid cells (R=0.88 ± 0.06). We then develop a TROPOMI-based database reporting annual emissions for 39 US cities at a horizontal spatial resolution of 0.05° × 0.05° from 2018 to 2021. This database demonstrates a strong correlation (R= 0.90) with the National Emission Inventory (NEI) but reveals some bias (NMB = −0.24). There are noticeable differences in the spatial patterns of emissions in some cities. Our analysis suggests that uncertainties in TROPOMI-based emissions and potential misallocation of emissions and/or missing sources in bottom-up emission inventories both contribute to these differences.

NOx emissions↗

Quantifying Burned Area and Smoke from Prescribed and Smaller Fires: West Palm Beach, Florida

In the Central and Southeastern U.S. (C&SE), small, short-lived fires are often underestimated by satellites due to their size, timing, cloud cover, and rapid regrowth or plowing after burns. Satellite data are essential for the National Emissions Inventory, as ground-based inventories are historically incomplete and geographically inconsistent. Agricultural burning, a widespread annual practice in many U.S. regions, significantly impacts air quality on local to regional scales. As part of NASA’s Health and Air Quality Applied Sciences (HAQAST) team, we develop a burned area inventory to account for these ‘missing’ small fires. Our study focuses on West Palm Beach, FL, near Lake Okeechobee, where agriculture fields are burned annually fall-spring for crop management and harvest. This region poses challenges for satellite detection due to frequent rain, flooding, and cloud cover.

Emily Gargulinski↗

Wells of Opportunity: An Assessment of Idle Geothermal Wells in Nevada

Geothermal energy is poised to play an increasing role in the energy transition over the coming decades. At the same time, idled and inactive geothermal wells represent both an opportunity for increased geothermal energy production but also an environmental risk. However, it is unclear how many geothermal wells are idled or inactive, making it difficult to identify pathways to redeploy these wells or prioritize them for additional monitoring, maintenance, or abandonment. Through a comparison of state well databases, this study develops an inventory of all existing large-bore wells at geothermal fields in Nevada to identify idled wells and their characteristics. The results show that at least 91 production or injection wells may be idled (inactive for 7 or more years), representing 21% of inventoried wells across all fields. This idled rate is significantly below the national rate for oil and gas wells (69%), though there are an additional 92 geothermal wells with an unknown status. The average age and length of inactivity for potentially idled geothermal wells is 26 and 23 years respectively, and active generation fields comprise most of the inventory (83%). Idled well incidence varies significantly across active fields, with 6 of the 17 fields having idled rates of 20%-50% and/or more than 5 idled wells, while 3 fields have no idled wells and the remaining fields have rates below 20%. Younger or more recently idled wells at these active fields likely present the best opportunities for future use or enhanced geothermal systems technology testing. However, a significant proportion of the older and long-term idled wells will likely require additional monitoring or eventual abandonment.

geothermal↗

A Tool Kit for Generating Simulated Radiation Measurements for Advanced Reactor Safeguards and Security

A tool kit was developed to simulate and analyze passive radiation measurements of molten salt reactor (MSR) operations to support development of nuclear safeguards approaches for this emerging reactor technology. A Transient Simulation Framework of Reconfigurable Modules (TRANSFORM) multiphysics simulation of an MSR produces time-dependent isotopic inventories at user-selected locations within the model. The tool kit implements the Gamma Detector Response and Analysis Software (GADRAS) application programming interface to inject the TRANSFORM isotopic inventories extracted/processed by a Python pipeline into GADRAS models of user-defined geometries. The TRANSFORM inventories are the source terms used to obtain synthetic measurements from GADRAS-defined detectors. The speed of TRANSFORM and GADRAS simulations enables surveying the large design space of MSRs (e.g., fuel type, fuel salt composition, number of loops) and the plethora of measurements (e.g., location, detector type, and collimation) within the reactor. This has enabled timely assessment of the various measurement locations and detectors to identify the most effective and efficient safeguards approach for a specific MSR design. Lastly, the tool kit also simulates extracted samples that can be aged to a desired dose, enabling stakeholders to optimize a measurement plan to use sample analysis as an element within a broader material accountancy plan.

Westphal, Greg↗

System Analysis Modeling and Intermodal Transportation for Commercial Spent Nuclear Fuel

The United States Department of Energy (DOE) has long term goals to develop solutions for managing the nation’s spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level waste (HLW) inventory. The Integrated Waste Management (IWM) program under the DOE office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE) is employing system-level engineering and analysis principles to inform potential future waste management system architectures. Managing the spent nuclear waste requires the use of system-level analysis software that takes various aspects of the fuel cycle into account like waste generation, on-site/centralized storage, transportation infrastructure, and long-term disposal. The Next Generation System Analysis Model (NGSAM) is an agent-based model that was developed to simulate the transportation and storage of SNF and HLW. As an agent-based model, NGSAM has the capability to detail the interaction and movement of individual components and groups, such as rail cars and casks. The SNF inventory from commercial nuclear reactors is currently in temporary storage at multiple locations spread across the United States. Shipping of SNF from these locations relies on one of three transportation modes: rail, heavy-haul truck, or barge. Out of the three modes identified, rail is generally the most preferred due to the size of the canisters and casks the SNF would be shipped in. However, under some scenarios, a direct rail route might not be readily available to a reactor site or improving the rail infrastructure at shutdown sites might be too cost-prohibitive for utilities to opt for a direct rail transfer. Under such scenarios, using a barge or heavy haul truck to de-inventory the site and transfer the SNF to a nearby intermodal transfer site with adequate rail infrastructure where the payload could be transferred to a rail car might prove to be an attractive option. This work initially presents the various intermodal transportation options that could be used to transfer SNF from reactor sites to rail cars. This is followed by exploring the operational steps in each of these modes to move the SNF from a reactor site and transfer it to a rail car. This work also presents the procedure of implementing the intermodal transfer methodology in NGSAM using various Java methods. Finally, the process times for accomplishing each of the individual steps are furnished. The implementation ideology, assumptions, and future steps are presented in this work.

Gadey, Harish Reddy↗

Management of Fissionable Equivalent Mass Materials at ORNL - 20146

The US DOE manages an inventory of materials that contains a range of long-lived radioactive isotopes that were produced from the 1960's through the 1980's by irradiating targets in production reactors to produce special heavy isotopes for US DOE programmatic use, scientific research, and industrial and medical applications. Since the production reactors and enrichment facilities that produced many of these materials have been shut down, they are considered unique materials that are not likely to be produced again. ORNL uses these materials in US DoE's center for production, storage, and distribution of TRU isotopes (plutonium through californium) and other related nuclear research programs. ORNL also operates the High Flux Isotope Reactor, which provides a high neutron source for production of isotopes for medical, industrial, and nuclear research programs. As a result, ORNL has an inventory of radioisotopes that are being managed for ongoing research programs and being held for reuse because they have potential intrinsic value to US DOE. An initiative is underway at ORNL to better manage these materials, particularly focusing on those with high fissionable equivalent mass that could impact the ability to perform ongoing or new research projects. This paper describes the actions ORNL is taking to manage these inventories, many of which consist of TRU materials, through reuse and disposal. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Mercury Speciation of Hanford 241-AP-107 Tank Waste Samples - 20384

The concentration of key mercury species in the Hanford tank waste has not been previously measured. Based on process knowledge, an estimated inventory of 2,100 kg of mercury is assumed and was distributed in varied amounts across 149 single-shell tanks (SSTs) and 28 double-shell tanks (DSTs). Limited analyses of individual SSTs and DSTs for total mercury were all below detection, yielding upper limits in concentration estimates based solely on instrument detection limits, resulting in an uncertain mercury inventory for Hanford tanks. Accurate and reliable chemical speciation and quantification is desired to anticipate, predict, and abate the mass movements of various mercury species through the Hanford waste processing flowsheet. Highly sensitive separation and quantification methods for total, elemental, and monomethyl mercury species, in tank waste, have been developed at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory's (PNNL) Radiochemical Processing Laboratory (RPL). A non-radiological environmental method to quantify mercury species has been adapted for application to Hanford tank 241-AP-107 raw supernatant feed, filtered feed, and cesium-decontaminated samples. These samples represent feed inventory and pretreatment process effluents prior to immobilization by vitrification. This method separates and preconcentrates total, elemental, and monomethyl mercury onto selective solid substrates with little-to-no radioactive background. The solid samples can then be released from strict radiological control, allowing for analytical work to be conducted in low-level radiological facilities. Separation of mercury species was demonstrated at PNNL's RPL in Richland, Washington before transport and analytical quantification using cold vapor atomic fluorescence spectrometry (CVAFS) at PNNL's Marine Science Laboratory (MSL) in Sequim, Washington. Additional studies were conducted to assess the stability of monomethyl mercury in distilled matrices and preconcentrated onto the Carbotrap{sup R} solid substrate to assess sample degradation over time during transport. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗