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At least 1,063 records · Page 59

How well are hazards associated with derechos reproduced in regional climate simulations?

Abstract. A 15-member ensemble of convection-permitting regional simulations of the fast-moving and destructive derecho of 29–30 June 2012 that impacted the northeastern urban corridor of the USA is presented. This event generated 1100 reports of damaging winds, generated significant wind gusts over an extensive area of up to 500 000 km2, caused several fatalities, and resulted in widespread loss of electrical power. Extreme events such as this are increasingly being used within pseudo-global-warming experiments to examine the sensitivity of historical, societally important events to global climate non-stationarity and how they may evolve as a result of changing thermodynamic and dynamic contexts. As such it is important to examine the fidelity with which such events are described in hindcast experiments. The regional simulations presented herein are performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The resulting ensemble is used to explore simulation fidelity relative to observations for wind gust magnitudes, spatial scales of convection (as is manifest in high composite reflectivity, cREF), and both rainfall and hail production as a function of model configuration (microphysics parameterization, lateral boundary conditions (LBCs), start date, use of nudging, compiler choice, damping, and number of vertical levels). We also examine the degree to which each ensemble member differs with respect to key mesoscale drivers of convective systems (e.g., convective available potential energy and vertical wind shear) and critical manifestations of deep convection, e.g., vertical velocities, cold-pool generation, and how those properties relate to the correct characterization of the associated atmospheric hazards (wind gusts and hail). Use of a double-moment, seven-class scheme with number concentrations for all species (including hail and graupel) results in the greatest fidelity of model-simulated wind gusts and convective structure to the observations of this event. All ensemble members, however, fail to capture the intensity of the event in terms of the spatial extent of convection and the production of high near-surface wind gusts. We further show very high sensitivity to the LBCs employed and specifically that simulation fidelity is higher for simulations nested within ERA-Interim compared to ERA5. Excess convective available potential energy (CAPE) in all ensemble members after the derecho passage leads to excess production of convective cells, wind gusts, cREF > 40 dBZ, and precipitation during a frontal passage on the subsequent day. This event proved very challenging to forecast in real time and to reproduce in the 15-member hindcast simulation ensemble presented here. Future work could examine if simulations with other initial and lateral boundary conditions can achieve greater fidelity.

Shepherd, Tristan (ORCID:0000000186276419)↗

On Managing the Use of Surrogates in General Nonlinear Optimization and MDO

This paper is concerned with a trust region approximation management framework (AMF) for solving the nonlinear programming problem in general and multidisciplinary optimization problems in particular The intent of the AMF methodology is to facilitate the solution of optimization problems with high-fidelity models. While such models are designed to approximate the physical phenomena they describe to a high degree of accuracy, their use in a repetitive procedure, for example, iterations of an optimization or a search algorithm, make such use prohibitively expensive. An improvement in design with lower-fidelity, cheaper models, however, does not guarantee a corresponding improvement for the higher-fidelity problem. The AMF methodology proposed here is based on a class of multilevel methods for constrained optimization and is designed to manage the use of variable-fidelity approximations or models in a systematic way that assures convergence to critical points of the original high-fidelity problem.

Alexandrov, Natalia M.↗

Further Investigation of Acoustic Propagation Codes for Three-Dimensional Geometries

The ability to predict fan noise within complex three-dimensional aircraft engine nacelle geometries is a valuable tool in designing and assessing low-noise concepts. This work begins a systematic study to identify the areas of the design space in which propagation codes of varying fidelity may be used effectively to provide efficient design and assessment. An efficient lower-fidelity code is used in conjunction with two higher-fidelity, more computationally intensive methods to solve benchmark problems of increasing complexity. The codes represent a small sampling of the current propagation codes available or under development. Results of this initial study indicate that the lower-fidelity code provides satisfactory results for cases involving low to moderate attenuation rates, whereas, the two higher-fidelity codes perform well across the range of problems.

Nark, Douglas M.↗

Rotorcraft Research at the NASA Vertical Motion Simulator

In the 1970 s the role of the military helicopter evolved to encompass more demanding missions including low-level nap-of-the-earth flight and operation in severely degraded visual environments. The Vertical Motion Simulator (VMS) at the NASA Ames Research Center was built to provide a high-fidelity simulation capability to research new rotorcraft concepts and technologies that could satisfy these mission requirements. The VMS combines a high-fidelity large amplitude motion system with an adaptable simulation environment including interchangeable and configurable cockpits. In almost 30 years of operation, rotorcraft research on the VMS has contributed significantly to the knowledge-base on rotorcraft performance, handling qualities, flight control, and guidance and displays. These contributions have directly benefited current rotorcraft programs and flight safety. The high fidelity motion system in the VMS was also used to research simulation fidelity. This research provided a fundamental understanding of pilot cueing modalities and their effect on simulation fidelity.

Aponso, Bimal Lalith↗

Investigation of Control Inceptor Dynamics and Effect on Human Subject Performance

The control inceptor used in a vehicle simulation is an important part of adequately representing the dynamics of the vehicle. The inceptor characteristics are typically based on a second order spring mass damper system with damping, force gradient, breakout force, and natural frequency parameters. Changing these parameters can have a great effect on pilot control of the vehicle. A quasi transfer of training experiment was performed employing a high fidelity and a low fidelity control inceptor. A disturbance compensatory task was employed which involved a simple horizon line disturbed in roll by a sum of sinusoids presented in an out-the-window display. Vehicle dynamics were modeled as 1/s and 1/s2. The task was to maintain level flight. Twenty subjects were divided between the high and the low fidelity training groups. Each group was trained to a performance asymptote, and then transferred to the high fidelity simulation. RMS tracking error, a PSD analysis, and a workload analysis were performed to quantify the transfer of training effect. Quantitative results of the experiments show that there is no significant difference between the high and low fidelity training groups for 1/s plant dynamics. For 1/s2 plant dynamics there is a greater difference in tracking performance and PSD; and the subjects are less correlated with the input disturbance function

Stanco, Anthony A.↗

Impact and Crashworthiness Characteristics of Venera Type Landers for Future Venus Missions

In this paper an in-depth investigation of the structural design of the Venera 9-14 landers is explored. A complete reverse engineering of the Venera lander was required. The lander was broken down into its fundamental components and analyzed. This provided in-sights into the hidden features of the design. A trade study was performed to find the sensitivity of the lander's overall mass to the variation of several key parameters. For the lander's legs, the location, length, configuration, and number are all parameterized. The size of the impact ring, the radius of the drag plate, and other design features are also parameterized, and all of these features were correlated to the change of mass of the lander. A multi-fidelity design tool used for further investigation of the parameterized lander was developed. As a design was passed down from one level to the next, the fidelity, complexity, accuracy, and run time of the model increased. The low-fidelity model was a highly nonlinear analytical model developed to rapidly predict the mass of each design. The medium and high fidelity models utilized an explicit finite element framework to investigate the performance of various landers upon impact with the surface under a range of landing conditions. This methodology allowed for a large variety of designs to be investigated by the analytical model, which identified designs with the optimum structural mass to payload ratio. As promising designs emerged, investigations in the following higher fidelity models were focused on establishing their reliability and crashworthiness. The developed design tool efficiently modelled and tested the best concepts for any scenario based on critical Venusian mission requirements and constraints. Through this program, the strengths and weaknesses inherent in the Venera-Type landers were thoroughly investigated. Key features identified for the design of robust landers will be used as foundations for the development of the next generation of landers for future exploration missions to Venus.

Schroeder, Kevin↗

Interaction of Delaminations and Matrix Cracks in a CFRP Plate, Part II: Simulation Using an Enriched Shell Finite Element Model

Numerical simulations are presented of a recently developed test which creates multiple delaminations in a CFRP laminate specimen that grow and interact via transverse matrix cracks. A novel shell element enriched with the Floating Node Method, and a damage algorithm based on the Virtual Crack Closure Technique, were used to successfully simulate the tests. Additionally, a 3D high mesh fidelity model based on cohesive zones and continuum damage mechanics was used to simulate the tests and act as a representative of other similar state-of-the-art high mesh fidelity modeling techniques to compare to the enriched shell element. The enriched shell and high mesh fidelity models had similar levels of accuracy and generally matched the experimental data. With runtimes of 36 minutes for the shell model and 55 hours for the high mesh fidelity model, the shell model is 92 times faster than the high- fidelity simulation.

Mark W McElroy↗

Preliminary Steps in Developing Rapid Aero Modeling Technology

The Rapid Aero Modeling (RAM) approach is a method to efficiently and automatically obtain aerodynamic models during testing, significantly saving time and resources. Motivation for this technology results from demand for experimental efficiency and model fidelity that has increased with growing aircraft complexity and aerodynamic nonlinearities. These issues are typical in the responses presented by a class of vehicles categorized as Urban Air Mobility aircraft where many features from both airplane and rotorcraft are present. For UAM configurations, with typically many more factors than conventional aircraft, traditional test methods can lead to increased costs and missed interactions. RAM guides the test to obtain high-fidelity, statistically rigorous aircraft models, and the approach is applicable to computational, ground, or flight-test experiments. It combines concepts from Design of Experiment theory and Aircraft System Identification theory that allow the user the freedom to choose, in advance of the test, a specific level of fidelity typically, in terms of prediction error. RAM only collects data required to meet the user-specified fidelity and fidelity is only limited by the facility and test article capabilities. An initial wind tunnel test to support development of RAM was conducted to assess potential metrics, algorithms, and procedures. This paper presents results from initial tests for the development of RAM technology and highlights some of the unique features of RAM applied toa conventional configuration during a ground-based, static, wind-tunnel test.

Patrick C Murphy↗

CFD Validation Study of a Hypersonic Cone-Slice-Flap Configuration

Model validation is the process of determining the degree of accuracy between the real world and the model. The result of model validation can either be used to improve the model through calibration or quantify the model-form uncertainty. This work focuses on providing the model-form uncertainty through an area metric for a hypersonic cone-slice-flap geometry configuration given uncertainty in both the simulation and experimental data. A procedure will be presented that can give an accurate representation of the model-form uncertainty using a small number of high-fidelity runs. The work will also assess the impact between using different high-fidelity solvers and different turbulence models.The goal of performing this comparison is to provide a quantifiable measurement for the accuracy of each solver and turbulence model for this type of design. A low-fidelity analysis will also be performed to get a model-form uncertainty for the lower fidelity analysis. The two high-fidelty CFD solvers used are VULCAN-CFD and FUN3D and the low-fidelity results will come from Cart3D. The experimental data came from the 20-inch Mach 6Tunnel located at NASA Langley Research Center.

Laura M. White↗

CFD Validation Study of a Hypersonic Cone-Slice-Flap Configuration

Model validation is the process of determining the degree of accuracy between the real world and the model. The result of model validation can be used to either improve the model through calibration or quantify the model-form uncertainty. This work focuses on estimating the model-form uncertainty through an area metric for a hypersonic cone-slice-flap geometry configuration given the uncertainty in both the simulation and experimental data. A procedure that can give an accurate representation of the model-form uncertainty using a small number of high-fidelity runs is outlined. The work also assesses the impact of using different high-fidelity solvers and different turbulence models. The goal of performing this comparison is to provide a quantifiable measurement of the accuracy of each solver and turbulence model for this type of design. A low-fidelity analysis is also performed to get a model-form uncertainty for this type of analysis. The two high-fidelity CFD solvers used here are VULCAN-CFD and FUN3D, and the low-fidelity results comes from Cart3D.The experimental data comes from the 20-inch Mach 6 Tunnel located at NASA Langley Research Center. The work here shows that the models used tend to under-predict the drag and moment aerodynamic coefficients for this type of design leading to a model-form uncertainty estimate which can account for up to an 86% of the total uncertainty in the model predictions.

Laura M White↗

Rapid Aero Modeling for Urban Air Mobility Aircraft in Wind-Tunnel Tests

Rapid Aero Modeling (RAM) applied to wind tunnel testing, RAM-T, is an approach to efficiently and automatically obtain aerodynamic models during testing. The approach saves time and resources by responding to the demand for experimental efficiency and model fidelity. Motivation for this demand is more acute when investigating a class of vehicles categorized as Urban Air Mobility (UAM) aircraft where many features from both aircraft and rotorcraft are present. RAM-T provides a feedback loop around the test facility to guide the test toward high-fidelity, statistically rigorous aircraft models. The general RAM approach is applicable to computational or physical experiments. It combines concepts from design of experiment theory and aircraft system identification theory that allow the user the freedom to choose, in advance of the test, a specific level of fidelity in terms of prediction error. RAM only collects data required to meet the user-specified fidelity and fidelity is only limited by the facility and test article capabilities. This paper presents results from tests conducted for development of an automated RAM-T technology. The results highlight some of the unique features of RAM applied to eVTOL configurations.

Aerodynamics↗

Developing New Tools for Modeling Rocket Plume-Surface Interactions

With NASA’s goal to land the next human on the lunar surface in the next few years, it has become vitally important that we have a better understanding of how future landing spacecraft will interact with the unique properties of regolith¬¬––the layer of loose, unconsolidated dust and rock on the lunar surface¬¬––which can cause hazards like visual obstructions, particulate clouds, and cratering of the landing zone. Researchers from the Fluid Dynamics Branch at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center are performing plume-surface interaction (PSI) simulations between lander engine plumes and unprepared regolith surfaces, and have developed new tools to provide predictive PSI environments for various NASA projects and missions, including the Human Lander System (HLS), Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS), and future Mars landers. These tools allow the researchers to determine how to best meet the simulation and time requirements for each project by varying model fidelity. The highest fidelity tool is the Gas Granular Flow Solver (Loci/GGFS) that models gas-particle multi-phase interactions to predict regolith cratering and ejection of particles into the immediate surroundings of the lander. At its highest fidelity, it can model microscopic regolith particle interactions with a particle size/shape distribution that statistically replicates actual regolith, however, to be most effective with today’s computing resources, it is currently run using only one to three equivalent particle sizes/shapes. The team also incorporated engineering models into their software suite to create production-ready hybrid tools with reduced fidelity. At the lowest fidelity, the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code Loci/CHEM+DIGGEM can predict crater depth over time by relating local CFD-predicted surface shear stresses to a model of erosion mass flux.

plume surface interaction↗

Observations of Keyhole Porosity and Comparisons to Analytical Models for Ti-6Al-4V Powder Bed Fusion

Keyhole porosity defects are a common concern in powder bed fusion (PBF) processing. Keyhole porosity prediction models have generally fallen into two categories – high fidelity computational fluid dynamics simulations and low fidelity analytical or empirical models based on keyhole vibration dynamics. The low computational cost of low fidelity models allows them to better approach part-scale predictions. However, studies on low fidelity modeling techniques are limited by the lack of experimental data to assess the validity of the calibration over a wide range of processing conditions. This work extracts and quantifies keyhole porosity across 14 laser velocities, two laser powers, and six+ repetitions for a total of 176 independent trials. The measured porosity data are compared to low fidelity keyhole models to assess their success in predictive porosity occurrence. This work impacts the field by providing independent validation of keyhole porosity models for PBF for use in part-scale defect prediction.

powder bed fusion↗

Multifidelity Optimization with Transonic Flutter Constraints

This work considers static and dynamic aeroelastic optimization of a cantilevered platewing in transonic flow. Low- and high-fidelity aeroelastic predictions are fed into a standard trust region model management scheme in order to efficiently solve this expensive optimization problem with multifidelity methods. Differences in fidelity are entirely driven by different aerodynamic solvers: linear panel methods for the low-fidelity method, and inviscid CFD-based solvers for the high-fidelity response. The optimization problem utilizes shape, sizing, and trim variables to satisfy stress, trim, and flutter constraints, and is solved across a range of subsonic and transonic Mach numbers. The multifidelity method is able to provide a speed-up for all cases considered here, despite sizable inaccuracies in the low-fidelity response for transonic flows.

Bret K Stanford↗

Accelerate Nuclear Research and Development by Reducing Time and Cost Spend in the Pre-conceptual Design Phase of Advanced Reactor Experiments

The design process of every new concept, such as advanced nuclear reactors or associated experiments, starts with the pre-conceptual design phase. In this phase, the viability of a wide range of design options needs to be assessed quickly, to understand the operating envelope and its feasibility. A variety of physics models (thermal-hydraulics, neutronics, mechanical design, etc.) has to be considered at this very first design stage and optimum component sizes and materials (e.g. heat exchangers, piping, turbomachinery, coolant type, etc.) have to be chosen for a given set of boundary conditions (e.g. heat source, heat sink, flow rate, etc.). Detailed solutions such as provided by high fidelity methods like computational fluid dynamics (CFD), Monte Carlo methods, etc. and even lower fidelity tools such as system or subchannel codes, etc. are usually not used during the pre-conceptual design due to the relatively long time needed to create input models, the computational time to obtain a solution and the lack of flexibility to quickly investigate different combinations of components, individual component sizes and material properties. High fidelity tools are usually only employed in the conceptual design and later phases once a base concept has been identified during the pre-conceptual design stage. The current practice during the pre-conceptual design stage is that analysts collect the needed equations, material properties, closure laws, etc. and create ad-hoc solutions form scratch for every new problem. There clearly is a lack of a flexible scoping tool that can be used during pre-conceptional design before higher fidelity tools (as described above) come into play. To reduce user errors in ad-hoc solutions and increase fidelity and efficiency, this project aims to investigate and develop a user-friendly scoping tool to address the thermal-hydraulic designing needs during preconceptual experiment design, i.e. Thermal-hydraulic Research Universal Scoping Tool (TRUST). The success of TRUST will provide the nuclear engineers with an easy-to-use and affordable calculator for early reactor system design and optimization.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Phononic bus for coherent interfaces between a superconducting quantum processor, spin memory, and photonic quantum networks

A hybrid quantum system performs high-fidelity quantum state transduction between a superconducting (SC) microwave qubit and the ground state spin system of a solid-state artificial atom. This transduction is mediated via an acoustic bus connected by piezoelectric transducers to the SC microwave qubit. For SC circuit qubits and diamond silicon vacancy centers in an optimized phononic cavity, the system can achieve quantum state transduction with fidelity exceeding 99% at a MHz-scale bandwidth. By combining the complementary strengths of SC circuit quantum computing and artificial atoms, the hybrid quantum system provides high-fidelity qubit gates with long-lived quantum memory, high-fidelity measurement, large qubit number, reconfigurable qubit connectivity, and high-fidelity state and gate teleportation through optical quantum networks.

Englund, Dirk Robert↗

Need for advanced research reactors for the next-generation reactor physics, analysis tools, and technology

Full text of publication follows. There is an urgent need for design and deployment of advanced research and test reactors in support of design, licensing and operation of advanced power reactors and education of next generation nuclear workforce. Existing research reactors mostly were designed and constructed decades ago with the main objectives of training operators, performing reactor physics experiments, and educating nuclear engineers and scientists. There are already gaps and significant concern about future capabilities for the existing research reactor facilities to address modern instrumentation and/or flexible environments for: performing reactor physics studies for advanced designs which have significantly different core materials forms and compositions, reactor shapes and size; validation of advanced high-fidelity software; development of machine learning algorithms for enhancement of human-machine collaboration in support of reactor monitoring, operation and safeguards; and, effective education of the next-generation workforce. The authors will focus on the need for advanced research reactors to improve and validate fast and accurate simulation tools for high-fidelity modeling and analysis of nuclear reactors in support of their design, optimization, licensing, operation, and monitoring. In the past, simulation tools were limited to relatively coarse models using approximate methodologies that benefited from two main factors: i) allowance for large margins and tolerances; ii) ability to construct prototype (e.g., zero power) reactors for adjustment of approximate methodologies. The next generation reactors have to be designed mainly by using novel high-fidelity computational tools that are accurate and fast, and therefore can be used for parametric studies and uncertainty quantification. To sufficiently demonstrate the accuracy of these tools, advanced research reactors are needed. The authors argue the need for new computational paradigms such as the MRT (Multistage, Response- function Transport) methodology which has resulted in the development of the novel high-fidelity RAPID (Real-time Analysis for Particle-transport and In-situ Detection) code system. Such code systems have to be robust in modeling any complex system, and should be fast and accurate, henceforth their uncertainties can be quantified at reasonable costs. Again, advanced research reactors are needed for the validation of the fidelity and accuracy of new computational tools. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Adaptive, Active Learning, and Multifidelity Monte Carlo Methods in the MOOSE Stochastic Tools Module

MOOSE is an open-source computational platform for constructing multi-physics models and executing them in a massively parallel fashion. It has a stochastic tools module (STM) for forward/inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) and surrogate modeling. This presentation details some recent developments to the STM with respect to the implementation of adaptive, active learning, and multifidelity Monte Carlo methods for forward UQ of computational models. Specifically, the adaptive Monte Carlo methods include Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)-driven algorithms like adaptive importance sampling and parallelized subset simulation for statistical QoI estimation, rare events analysis, and stochastic gradient-free optimization. The active learning methods include Gaussian Process (GP) surrogates and their training via Adam optimization, design of acquisition functions, and integration with samplers like Monte Carlo, adaptive importance, and parallelized subset simulation. These active learning methods are also designed to work in a batch mode, wherein, the required calls to the full computational model are executed in parallel whenever a user-specified batch size is met. The multifidelity methods in STM are broadly divided into two categories: hierarchical, where a defined hierarchy exists among the low-fidelity models, and peer, where all the low-fidelity models are treated equally. A GP surrogate is used to learn the differences between the low- and high-fidelity models in both multifidelity categories, and acquisition functions from the active learning classes are used to decide whether to rely on a low-fidelity model or call the expensive high-fidelity model. Alongside the software description and usage, applications are also presented to nuclear engineering computational models including a TRISO nuclear fuel particle, a reactor pressure vessel, and a heat-pipe microreactor.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗