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At least 1,045 records · Page 58

Soil metabolome response to whole-ecosystem warming at the Spruce and Peatland Responses under Changing Environments experiment

In this study, a suite of complementary environmental geochemical analyses, including NMR and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS) analyses of central metabolites, Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry (FTICR-MS) of secondary metabolites, and lipidomics, was used to investigate the influence of organic matter (OM) quality on the heterotrophic microbial mechanisms controlling peatland CO2, CH4, and CO2:CH4 porewater production ratios in response to climate warming. Our investigations leverage the Spruce and Peatland Responses under Changing Environments (SPRUCE) experiment, where air and peat warming were combined in a whole-ecosystem warming treatment. We hypothesized that warming would enhance the production of plant-derived metabolites, resulting in increased labile OM inputs to the surface peat, thereby enhancing microbial activity and greenhouse gas production. Because shallow peat is most susceptible to enhanced warming, increases in labile OM inputs to the surface, in particular, are likely to result in significant changes to CO2 and CH4 dynamics and methanogenic pathways. In support of this hypothesis, significant correlations were observed between metabolites and temperature consistent with increased availability of labile substrates, which may stimulate more rapid turnover of microbial proteins. An increase in the abundance of methanogenic genes in response to the increase in the abundance of labile substrates was accompanied by a shift toward acetoclastic and methylotrophic methanogenesis. Our results suggest that as peatland vegetation trends toward increasing vascular plant cover with warming, we can expect a concomitant shift toward increasingly methanogenic conditions and amplified climate–peatland feedbacks.

Wilson, Rachel M.↗

Twenty-first century hydroclimate: A continually changing baseline, with more frequent extremes

Variability in hydroclimate impacts natural and human systems worldwide. In particular, both decadal variability and extreme precipitation events have substantial effects and are anticipated to be strongly influenced by climate change. From a practical perspective, these impacts will be felt relative to the continuously evolving background climate. Removing the underlying forced trend is therefore necessary to assess the relative impacts, but to date, the small size of most climate model ensembles has made it difficult to do this. Here we use an archive of large ensembles run under a high-emissions scenario to determine how decadal “megadrought” and “megapluvial” events—and shorter-term precipitation extremes—will vary relative to that changing baseline. When the trend is retained, mean state changes dominate: In fact, soil moisture changes are so large in some regions that conditions that would be considered a megadrought or pluvial event today are projected to become average. Time-of-emergence calculations suggest that in some regions including Europe and western North America, this shift may have already taken place and could be imminent elsewhere: Emergence of drought/pluvial conditions occurs over 61% of the global land surface (excluding Antarctica) by 2080. Relative to the changing baseline, megadrought/megapluvial risk either will not change or is slightly reduced. However, the increased frequency and intensity of both extreme wet and dry precipitation events will likely present adaptation challenges beyond anything currently experienced. In many regions, resilience against future hazards will require adapting to an ever-changing “normal,” characterized by unprecedented aridification/wetting punctuated by more severe extremes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Internal variability and forcing influence model–satellite differences in the rate of tropical tropospheric warming

Climate-model simulations exhibit approximately two times more tropical tropospheric warming than satellite observations since 1979. The causes of this difference are not fully understood and are poorly quantified. Here, we apply machine learning to relate the patterns of surface-temperature change to the forced and unforced components of tropical tropospheric warming. This approach allows us to disentangle the forced and unforced change in the model-simulated temperature of the midtroposphere (TMT). In applying the climate-model-trained machine-learning framework to observations, we estimate that external forcing has produced a tropical TMT trend of 0.25 ± 0.08 K⋅decade −1 between 1979 and 2014, but internal variability has offset this warming by 0.07 ± 0.07 K⋅decade −1 . Using the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) large ensemble, we also find that a discontinuity in the variability of prescribed biomass-burning aerosol emissions artificially enhances simulated tropical TMT change by 0.04 K⋅decade −1 . The magnitude of this aerosol-forcing bias will vary across climate models, but since the latest generation of climate models all use the same emissions dataset, the bias may systematically enhance climate-model trends over the satellite era. Our results indicate that internal variability and forcing uncertainties largely explain differences in satellite-versus-model warming and are important considerations when evaluating climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Near-term tropical cyclone risk and coupled Earth system model biases

Most current climate models predict that the equatorial Pacific will evolve under greenhouse gas–induced warming to a more El Niño-like state over the next several decades, with a reduced zonal sea surface temperature gradient and weakened atmospheric Walker circulation. Yet, observations over the last 50 y show the opposite trend, toward a more La Niña-like state. Recent research provides evidence that the discrepancy cannot be dismissed as due to internal variability but rather that the models are incorrectly simulating the equatorial Pacific response to greenhouse gas warming. This implies that projections of regional tropical cyclone activity may be incorrect as well, perhaps even in the direction of change, in ways that can be understood by analogy to historical El Niño and La Niña events: North Pacific tropical cyclone projections will be too active, North Atlantic ones not active enough, for example. Other perils, including severe convective storms and droughts, will also be projected erroneously. While it can be argued that these errors are transient, such that the models’ responses to greenhouse gases may be correct in equilibrium, the transient response is relevant for climate adaptation in the next several decades. Given the urgency of understanding regional patterns of climate risk in the near term, it would be desirable to develop projections that represent a broader range of possible future tropical Pacific warming scenarios—including some in which recent historical trends continue—even if such projections cannot currently be produced using existing coupled earth system models.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Changes in above- versus belowground biomass distribution in permafrost regions in response to climate warming

Permafrost regions contain approximately half of the carbon stored in land ecosystems and have warmed at least twice as much as any other biome. This warming has influenced vegetation activity, leading to changes in plant composition, physiology, and biomass storage in aboveground and belowground components, ultimately impacting ecosystem carbon balance. Yet, little is known about the causes and magnitude of long-term changes in the above- to belowground biomass ratio of plants (η). Here, in this study, we analyzed η values using 3,013 plots and 26,337 species-specific measurements across eight sites on the Tibetan Plateau from 1995 to 2021. Our analysis revealed distinct temporal trends in η for three vegetation types: a 17% increase in alpine wetlands, and a decrease of 26% and 48% in alpine meadows and alpine steppes, respectively. These trends were primarily driven by temperature-induced growth preferences rather than shifts in plant species composition. Our findings indicate that in wetter ecosystems, climate warming promotes aboveground plant growth, while in drier ecosystems, such as alpine meadows and alpine steppes, plants allocate more biomass belowground. Furthermore, we observed a threefold strengthening of the warming effect on η over the past 27 y. Soil moisture was found to modulate the sensitivity of η to soil temperature in alpine meadows and alpine steppes, but not in alpine wetlands. Our results contribute to a better understanding of the processes driving the response of biomass distribution to climate warming, which is crucial for predicting the future carbon trajectory of permafrost ecosystems and climate feedback.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Observed declines in upper ocean phosphate-to-nitrate availability

Climate warming is increasing ocean stratification, which in turn should decrease the nutrient flux to the upper ocean. This may slow marine primary productivity, causing cascading effects throughout food webs. However, observing changes in upper ocean nutrients is challenging because surface concentrations are often below detection limits. We show that the nutricline depth, where nutrient concentrations reach well-detected levels, is tied to productivity and upper ocean nutrient availability. Next, we quantify nutricline depths from a global database of observed vertical nitrate and phosphate profiles to assess contemporary trends in global nutrient availability (1972–2022). We find strong evidence that the P-nutricline (phosphacline) is mostly deepening, especially throughout the southern hemisphere, but the N-nutricline (nitracline) remains mostly stable. Earth System Model (ESM) simulations support the hypothesis that reduced iron stress and increased nitrogen fixation buffer the nitracline, but not phosphacline, against increasing stratification. These contemporary trends are expected to continue in the coming decades, leading to increasing phosphorus but not nitrogen stress for marine phytoplankton, with important ramifications for ocean biogeochemistry and food web dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Observed declines in leaf nitrogen explained by photosynthetic acclimation to CO 2

Widespread evidence of decreasing leaf nutrients has raised concerns about ecosystem productivity under global change. Interpreting trends in leaf nutrients has important implications for the fate of ecosystem services, particularly the role of forests in mitigating climate change and sustaining quality food sources. Here, we challenge the common interpretation that decreasing leaf nitrogen concentration (LNC) is evidence of increasing nutrient limitations on ecosystem primary productivity. Instead, we show that declines in LNC (4% decrease per 50 ppm CO 2 increase), observed across 409 European forest plots over 22 y, can be explained by reduced photosynthetic nitrogen demand. This regional trend is consistent with leaf acclimation to increasing atmospheric CO 2 according to optimality theory. This finding suggests that enhanced photosynthetic nitrogen use efficiency due to CO 2 fertilization may lead to less nitrogen uptake and/or reallocation of nitrogen for plant growth and other functions. Our results have large implications for understanding and simulating interactions between ecosystem nitrogen and carbon cycles and suggest nitrogen requirements for terrestrial carbon uptake under elevated CO 2 may be lower than previously thought.

CO2 fertilization↗

CFD Evaluation of Pressure Change Along Coolant Passages in Sodium-Cooled Fast Reactor with Nek5000

To support the design efforts of advanced sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs), a series of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations are performed to investigate the pressure change along various flow passages in the proposed SFR system. The simulations are carried out with the state-of-the-art spectral element flow solver, Nek5000. Two specific case studies are presented in this paper: the flow exiting the axial neutron reflector channels and the flow entering the fuel pin bundle. Due to the high Reynolds numbers expected, a Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) approach is necessary to model the turbulence. A newly developed regularized k-omega RANS model is adopted in the related CFD calculations. The first case study explores the effect of Reynolds number on the pressure change when flow exits the reflector channels. The pressure change in this case has two major contributors: the change due to wall friction and the Bernoulli effect. It is noted that the nondimensional pressure loss follows a log-linear trend up to Re = 10 5 , and then the trend is flattened. In the second case study, the advanced NekNek coupling capability is tested where an integral domain can be divided into multiple subdomains with coupling interfaces, which would greatly ease the meshing process of complex engineering geometries and potentially save computational resources. The preliminary results obtained so far confirm the consistency between the NekNek results and those produced by regular Nek5000 simulation. The presented work demonstrates the readiness and flexibility of the related CFD techniques, which is part of the broader effort to leverage cutting-edge CFD to inform the advanced nuclear reactor designs.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Synthesis and investigation into explosive sensitivity for a series of new picramide explosives

Tailoring the molecular properties that govern energetic material sensitivity is essential to improve safety and help develop new energetic materials. Despite this need, understanding the complex chemistry and physics of explosive initiation and propagation is still a challenge. Recent work by our group has reinforced the view that explosive sensitivity under sub-shock conditions is connected to the strength of the weakest covalent bond in the molecule, that is, its “trigger linkage.” These correlations have been observed with different classes of energetic molecules and indicate that “trigger linkage” bond breaking, and heat of explosion are good indicators for the sensitivity trends. Herein we report the synthesis of aliphatic energetic materials with ethane, propane and neopentane backbones. Experimental and computational studies show that the trigger linkage model, based on results from quantum molecular dynamics simulations, correctly predicts trends observed in the impact sensitivity of the molecules. However, while the model predicts the impact sensitivities of the ethane series, the neopentane series has higher impact sensitivities than predicted, which is presumably influenced by crystal packing effects.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Case study: Accounting for response measurement error in fitting a regression model

This article presents a case study motivated by a plot of data that suggested an emerging trend that the authors were faced with explaining. When the measurement error of the data is accounted for, it turns out there was no real trend. Furthermore, this article shows how to use a Bayesian modeling approach to account for the measurement error.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Characterization of mechanical deformation in aluminum by optical second harmonic generation

Second harmonic generation (SHG), a laser-based surface technique, was used to characterize near-surface defect evolution associated with mechanical deformation in 2024-T3 aluminum due to tensile loads. Electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) measurements were also performed to determine the geometrically necessary dislocation density before and after tensile deformation. Comparison of the EBSD and SHG results found that dislocation density and SHG signal are inversely proportional; tensile deformation in the plastic regime led to an increase in dislocation density and a decrease in SHG response. A similar trend was seen in the SHG results on as-received (unpolished) Al samples; SHG response decreases with extent of plastic deformation. Furthermore, this study suggests that SHG has potential as a nondestructive evaluation technique.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of equilibrium pressure on plasma response to RMPs in a spherical tokamak

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the equilibrium pressure on the plasma response to resonant magnetic perturbations (RMPs) in the spherical tokamak (ST) MAST-U, employing both single-fluid and MHD-kinetic hybrid models (implemented via the MARS-F/K codes). As a key finding, the study identifies two different pressure-driven eigenmodes, exhibiting Sturmian property, that affect the Troyon no-wall limits for the onset of the n = 1 and n = 2 ( n is the toroidal mode number) ideal external kink instabilities as well as the corresponding plasma response to the applied RMP. With increasing equilibrium pressure, the plasma response to RMPs is significantly enhanced in the ST plasma, particularly in the high-pressure regime where kinetic effects strongly stabilize the external kink instability. The Troyon no-wall limit divides the plasma response into two regions: well below the limit, the response amplitudes and trends (versus pressure) are similar between the fluid and kinetic models; as the equilibrium pressure approaches the Troyon limit, the kinetic model predicts significant amplification of the RMP field, up to 30 times for cases considered. A relatively weak dependence of the optimal coil phasing on the equilibrium pressure is computed in this ST plasma, similar to the trend obtained for the conventional aspect ratio devices. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating kinetic effects in accurate prediction of the plasma response to RMPs in high-pressure ST tokamak plasmas and provide a theoretical basis for optimizing RMP-based control of the edge-localized modes in future ST devices.

RMP↗

Multimachine analysis of intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined fusion plasmas

Far scrape-off layer fluctuations, also known as blobs/filaments, are compared for the first time across six tokamaks: Alcator C-Mod, DIII-D, TCV, KSTAR, MAST, and MAST-U, under the context of stochastic modeling in Ohmic and low confinement mode scenarios. In this model, which well describes these fluctuations, measurements from Langmuir probes are modeled as a superposition of uncorrelated, two-sided exponential temporal pulses. The key parameters of this model are the mean waiting times between consecutive pulses, the pulse duration times and the mean of the pulse amplitudes. The study examines the influence of line-averaged density, plasma current, magnetic field and aspect ratio. The mean amplitudes and pulse waiting times increase with the line-averaged density across devices, while the pulse duration times remain constant. Whereas the variation in waiting times is gradual across the density scan, the mean amplitudes increase abruptly as the density profile broadens and flattens for Alcator C-Mod. The blob waiting times decrease with increasing plasma current and the toroidal magnetic field, while they increase with aspect ratio for conventional tokamaks. The duration times follow the same trends as the waiting times in these parameters but vary more slowly, resulting in the trends in the waiting times dominating the intermittency level of the fluctuations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Scaling of pulsed nanosecond capillary plasmas at different specific energy deposition

Nano-second, capillary discharges (nCDs) are unique plasma sources in their ability to sustain high specific energy deposition ω dep approaching 10 eV/molecule in molecular gases. This high energy loading on short timescales produces both high plasma densities and high densities of molecular exited states. These high densities of electrons and excited states interact with each other during the early afterglow through electron collision quenching and associative ionization. In this paper we discuss results from a two-dimensional computational investigation of a nCD sustained in air at a pressure of 28.5 mbar and with a voltage amplitude 20 kV. Discharges were investigated for two circuit configurations—a floating low voltage electrode and with the low voltage electrode connected to ground through a ballast resistor. The first configuration produced a single ionization wave from the high to low voltage electrode. The second produced converging ionization waves beginning at both electrodes. With a decrease of the tube radius, the velocity of the ionization fronts decreased while the shape of the ionization wave changed from the electron density being distributed smoothly in the radial direction, to being hollow shaped where there is a higher electron density near the tube wall. For sufficiently small tubes, the near-wall maxima merge to have the higher density on the axis of the capillary tube. In the early afterglow, the temporal and radial behavior of the N 2 (C 3 Π u ) density is a sensitive function of ω dep due to electron collision quenching. Finally, these trends indicate that starting from ω dep $\geqslant$ 0.3 eV/molecule, it is necessary to take into account interactions of electrons with electronically excited species during the discharge and early afterglow.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Measurements of atoms and metastable species in N 2 and H 2 –N 2 nanosecond pulse plasmas

We report time-resolved, absolute number densities of metastable N 2 (A 3 Σ u + , v = 0, 1) molecules, ground state N 2 and H atoms, and rotational–translational temperature have been measured by tunable diode laser absorption spectroscopy and two-photon absorption laser-induced fluorescence in diffuse N 2 and N 2 –H 2 plasmas during and after a nanosecond pulse discharge burst. Comparison of the measurement results with the kinetic modeling predictions, specifically the significant reduction of the N 2 (A 3 Σ u + ) populations and the rate of N atom generation during the burst, suggests that these two trends are related. The slow N atom decay in the afterglow, on a time scale longer than the discharge burst, demonstrates that the latter trend is not affected by N atom recombination, diffusion to the walls, or convection with the flow. This leads to the conclusion that the energy pooling in collisions of N 2 (A 3 Σ u + ) molecules is a major channel of N 2 dissociation in electric discharges where a significant fraction of the input energy goes to electronic excitation of N 2 . Additional measurements in a 1% H 2 –N 2 mixture demonstrate a further significant reduction of N 2 (A 3 Σ u + , v = 0, 1) populations, due to the rapid quenching by H atoms accumulating in the plasma. Comparison with the modeling predictions suggests that the N 2 (A 3 Σ u + ) molecules may be initially formed in the highly vibrationally excited states. The reduction of the N 2 (A 3 Σ u + ) number density also diminishes the contribution of the energy pooling process into N2 dissociation, thus reducing the N atom number density. The rate of N atom generation during the burst also decreases, due to its strong coupling to N 2 (A 3 Σ u + , v) populations. On the other hand, the rate of H atom generation, produced predominantly by the dissociative quenching of the excited electronic states of N 2 by H 2 , remains about the same during the burst, resulting in a nearly linear rise in the H atom number density. Comparison of the kinetic model predictions with the experimental results suggests that the yield of H atoms during the quenching of the excited electronic state of N 2 by molecular H 2 is significantly less than 100%. The present results quantify the yield of N and H atoms in high-pressure H 2 –N 2 plasmas, which have significant potential for ammonia generation using plasma-assisted catalysis

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Self-organized patterns at the plasma–liquid anode interface in a helium glow discharge: temporal development and mechanisms

Self-organization at the plasma–liquid anode interface is a commonly observed phenomenon for atmospheric pressure glow plasmas, resulting in patterns with distinctive shapes such as circular ring, star-shaped, and gear-like structures, depending primarily on the discharge current and solution conductivity. Recent studies have shown that the electrode gap distance, solute used for liquid anode solution, and gas composition can also significantly impact pattern formation. Nonetheless, an overarching model or explanation of the key underlying mechanisms consistent with all experimentally observed trends is not yet reported. We propose a key underlying mechanism enabling pattern formation motivated by a detailed parametric study of pattern formation complemented by the temporal development of patterns and consistent with all observed trends. Pattern formation was observed to be on a time scale of 100 μs, similar to the time scales of gas heating and evaporation. It was found that a minimum water evaporation rate of (3.5 ± 0.5) × 10 –6 kg s –1 and reduced electric field in the positive column of 16.6 ± 0.4 Td is required for pattern formation in the investigated cases irrespective of solution conductivity and gas composition for NaCl solutions. Nonetheless, the presence of cations for which the corresponding metal atom has a low ionization energy was identified as a necessary condition for pattern formation. Furthermore, the reported results suggest that the presence of a small amount of metal atoms in the gas phase with low ionization energy enhances the overall ionization rate in the near anode region which triggers pattern formation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Modeling plasma-induced surface charge effects on CO 2 activation by single atom catalysts supported on reducible and irreducible metal oxides

Abstract The accumulation of negative surface charge on catalytic surfaces in the presence of low-temperature plasma (LTP) could influence catalytic performance. However, it is difficult to disentangle the role of surface charging and other LTP catalytic effects in experiment. Herein, we use density functional theory (DFT) modeling to understand the effect of plasma-induced surface charging on CO 2 activation by atomically dispersed single atom (SA) catalysts on both reducible and irreducible metal oxide supports. We model CO 2 adsorption strength and CO 2 dissociation barriers for Co 1 , Ni 1 , Cu 1 , Rh 1 , Pd 1 , and Ag 1 SAs on both reducible and irreducible supports, namely, CeO 2 (100), TiO 2 (101), and γ -Al 2 O 3 (110), to elucidate trends. We find that accumulated surface charge on the SA increases the CO 2 adsorption strength and decreases the CO 2 dissociation barrier for all studied SA/support combinations. For both charged and uncharged (neutral) systems, SAs on the reducible CeO 2 (100) support generally adsorb CO 2 more weakly compared to when on irreducible supports like γ -Al 2 O 3 (110). SAs on γ -Al 2 O 3 (110) typically have larger barriers for CO 2 dissociation for both charged and uncharged systems compared to TiO 2 (101) and CeO 2 (100). The magnitude of surface charging effects on CO 2 binding energies and dissociation barriers depends sensitively on both the SA and the support. In some cases, the CO 2 activation trends qualitatively change between neutral and charged systems for a fixed SA across different supports. This DFT modeling study demonstrates that surface charging should be considered in strong electric fields because it can have a large effect on molecule adsorption and bond-breaking on catalytic surfaces.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Comparison of different noble gas injections by massive gas injection on plasma disruption mitigation on Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak

Massive gas injection (MGI) is a traditional plasma disruption mitigation method. This method directly injected massive gas into the pre-disruption plasma and had been developed on the Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST). Different noble gas injection experiments, including He, Ne, and Ar, were performed to compare the mitigation effect of plasma disruption by evaluating the key parameters such as flight time, pre-thermal quench (pre-TQ), and current quench (CQ). The flight time was shorter for low atomic number ( Z ) gas, and the decrease in flight time by increasing the amount of gas was insignificant. However, both pre-TQ and CQ durations decreased considerably with the increase in gas injection amount. The effect of atomic mass on pre-TQ and CQ durations showed the opposite trend. The observed trend could help in controlling CQ duration in a reasonable area. Moreover, the analysis of radiation distribution with different impurity injections indicated that low Z impurity could reduce the asymmetry of radiation, which is valuable in mitigating plasma disruption. These results provided essential data support for plasma disruption mitigation on EAST and future fusion devices.

Physics↗