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Z-Sequence: photometric redshift predictions for galaxy clusters with sequential random k-nearest neighbours

ABSTRACT We introduce Z-Sequence, a novel empirical model that utilizes photometric measurements of observed galaxies within a specified search radius to estimate the photometric redshift of galaxy clusters. Z-Sequence itself is composed of a machine learning ensemble based on the k-nearest neighbours algorithm. We implement an automated feature selection strategy that iteratively determines appropriate combinations of filters and colours to minimize photometric redshift prediction error. We intend for Z-Sequence to be a standalone technique but it can be combined with cluster finders that do not intrinsically predict redshift, such as our own DEEP-CEE. In this proof-of-concept study, we train, fine-tune, and test Z-Sequence on publicly available cluster catalogues derived from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey. We determine the photometric redshift prediction error of Z-Sequence via the median value of |Δ$z$|/(1 + $z$) (across a photometric redshift range of 0.05 ≤ $z$ ≤ 0.6) to be ∼0.01 when applying a small search radius. The photometric redshift prediction error for test samples increases by 30–50 per cent when the search radius is enlarged, likely due to line-of-sight interloping galaxies. Eventually, we aim to apply Z-Sequence to upcoming imaging surveys such as the Legacy Survey of Space and Time to provide photometric redshift estimates for large samples of as yet undiscovered and distant clusters.

Chan, Matthew C.↗

Stacked reverberation mapping of high-redshift quasars in DESI. I. Feasibility analysis

The broad-line region of quasars has long been probed by reverberation mapping techniques that measure time lags between continuum and broad emission-line variations. Stacked reverberation mapping has been proposed as a less observationally expensive alternative to traditional methods. This ensemble approach also reduces biases from small-number statistics. The Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) is conducting the most extensive spectroscopic survey of quasars to date. We create mock light curves emulating expected DESI quasar observations at redshifts $1.48\lt z\lt 5.2$ and luminosities $44.68 \le \log \lambda L_{1350 \mathring{\rm A}{}} / \mathrm{erg\, s^{-1}} \le 45.99$ to test stacked reverberation mapping feasibility using sparse spectroscopic data paired with well-sampled photometric data. The pipeline, using the lag estimation code JAVELIN (Just Another Vehicle for Estimating Lags In Nuclei), successfully recovers the simulated C IV lags within 1σ of the true values using spectroscopic light curves composed of only a few spectral epochs (2–10) with irregular cadences. We investigate how observational factors, including C IV flux error magnitude, number of stacked quasars, and spectral epoch count, affect performance. This work motivates a pathway for future stacked reverberation mapping projects with large-scale spectroscopic surveys of quasars having $\ge 2$ spectroscopic observations. Our results suggest an economical alternative for constraining and extending the radius–luminosity relation to higher redshifts and luminosities. Subsequently, this relation can be employed more reliably in single-epoch black hole mass measurements and quasar cosmology in these distant regimes.

quasars: general, quasars: supermassive black hole↗

Achieving uniaxial magnetic anisotropy in Ce2⁢Fe17⁢N3 through Co- and Sm-substitution

Th2⁢Zn17−type structure-based permanent magnets, such as Sm2⁢Fe17⁢N3, offer strong potential as alternatives to neodymium magnets (NdFeB), but their practical use is limited by phase stability and the scarcity of Sm. Ce-based counterparts, particularly Ce2⁢Fe17⁢N3, are attractive low-cost candidates, yet their intrinsic planar magnetic anisotropy restricts permanent-magnet performance. Here, we induce uniaxial magnetic anisotropy in Ce2⁢Fe17⁢N3 through two approaches: (i) Co substitution on the Fe sublattice and (ii) partial substitution of Ce with Sm. Combined density functional theory and experimental results show that both strategies modify the 3⁢𝑑–4⁢𝑓 interactions and band filling, yielding magnetization values up to ∼1.2T and magnetocrystalline anisotropy energies exceeding 1MJ/m3 for Co-alloyed compositions, with significantly larger anisotropy achieved upon Sm substitution. In addition, the Sm-substituted Ce2⁢Fe17⁢N3 samples exhibit enhanced high-temperature stability compared to Sm2⁢Fe17⁢N3. These findings demonstrate that Ce2⁢Fe17⁢N3-based alloys can deliver magnetic performance suitable for permanent-magnet applications while reducing cost and reliance on critical rare-earth elements, and they provide practical design guidelines for rare-earth-lean magnets for energy and industrial applications.

Pokhrel, Nabaraj [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000328283076)↗

Mn(Pt 1–x Pd x ) 5 P: Isovalent tuning of Mn-sublattice magnetic order

Here, e report the growth and characterization of MnPd 5 P, a rare-earth-free ferromagnet, with T C ≈ 295 K and planar anisotropy, and conduct a substitutional study with its antiferromagnetic analogue MnPt 5 P. We provide a solution route to grow large single crystals of MnPd 5 P and the series Mn(Pt 1–x Pd x ) 5 P by adding Mn into Pd-P and (Pt 1–x Pd x )-P based melts. All compounds in the family adopt the layered anti-CeCoIn5 type structure with the space group P4/mmm, and EDS and X-ray diffraction results indicate that MnPt 5 P and MnPd 5 P form a complete solid solution. Based on measurements of the temperature- and field-dependent magnetization and resistance, we construct a temperature-composition (T-x) phase diagram for Mn(Pt 1–x Pd x ) 5 P and demonstrate that the initial antiferromagnetic order found in MnPt 5 P is extraordinarily sensitive to Pd substitution. At low Pd fractions (x < 0.010), the single antiferromagnetic transition in pure MnPt 5 P splits into a higher temperature ferromagnetic transition followed first, upon cooling, by a lower temperature ferromagnetic to antiferromagnetic transition and then by a re-entrant antiferromagnetic to ferromagnetic transition at even lower temperatures. The antiferromagnetic region makes up a bubble phase that persists up to x ≈ 0.008-0.009 for T ≈ 150 K, with all samples x < 0.008 recovering their initial ferromagnetic state upon further cooling to base temperature. Over the same low substitution range we find a non-monotonic change in the room temperature value of the unit cell volume, further suggesting that pure MnPt 5 P is very close to an instability. Once x > 0.010, Mn(Pt 1–x Pd x ) 5 P undergoes a only single transition into the ferromagnetic phase. The Curie temperature initially increases rapidly with x, rising from T C ≈ 197 K at x = 0.013 to a maximum of T C ≈ 312 K for x ≈ 0.62, and then falling back to T C ≈ 295 K for pure MnPd 5 P (x = 1.00). Given that Pt and Pd are isoelectronic, this work raises questions as to the origin of the extreme sensitivity of the magnetic ground state in MnPt 5 P upon introducing Pd.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Measurements of the $W$ boson rapidity, helicity, double-differential cross sections, and charge asymmetry in $pp$ collisions at $\sqrt {s}$ = 13 TeV

The differential cross section and charge asymmetry for inclusive W boson production at s=13 TeV is measured for the two transverse polarization states as a function of the W boson absolute rapidity. The measurement uses events in which a W boson decays to a neutrino and either a muon or an electron. The data sample of proton-proton collisions recorded with the CMS detector at the LHC in 2016 corresponds to an integrated luminosity of 35.9 fb-1. The differential cross section and its value normalized to the total inclusive W boson production cross section are measured over the rapidity range |yW|<2.5. In addition to the total fiducial cross section, the W boson double-differential cross section, d2σ/dpTℓd|ηℓ|, and the charge asymmetry are measured as functions of the charged lepton transverse momentum and pseudorapidity. The precision of these measurements is used to constrain the parton distribution functions of the proton using the next-to-leading order NNPDF3.0 set.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Observation of the $γγ → ττ$ Process in $\mathrm{Pb + Pb}$ Collisions and Constraints on the $\tau$-Lepton Anomalous Magnetic Moment with the ATLAS Detector

This Letter reports the observation of τ-lepton pair production in ultraperipheral lead-lead collisions, Pb+Pb→Pb(γγ→ττ)Pb, and constraints on the τ-lepton anomalous magnetic moment, a τ . The dataset corresponds to an integrated luminosity of 1.44 nb -1 of LHC Pb+Pb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ =5.02 TeV recorded by the ATLAS experiment in 2018. Selected events contain one muon from a τ-lepton decay, an electron or charged-particle track(s) from the other τ-lepton decay, little additional central-detector activity, and no forward neutrons. The γγ→ττ process is observed in Pb+Pb collisions with a significance exceeding 5 standard deviations, and a signal strength of μ ττ =1.03$^{+0.06}_{-0.05}$ assuming the Standard Model value for a τ . To measure a τ , a template fit to the muon transverse-momentum distribution from τ-lepton candidates is performed, using a dimuon (γγ→μμ) control sample to constrain systematic uncertainties. The observed 95% confidence-level interval for aτ is -0.057 < a τ < 0.024.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Imaging Bragg Edge Analysis TooLs for Engineering Structures (iBeatles)

The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) provides pulsed neutrons with energies varying from epithermal to cold. In preparation for VENUS, the neutron imaging beamline to be located at beam port 10, we have performed a series of experiments focused on wavelength-dependent radiography and computed tomography for a broad range of applications, from materials science to biological tissues.One of the time-of-flight (TOF) techniques that is of interest to the scientific community is the 2-dimensional mapping of phases and average crystalline plane orientation in samples both ex-situ and during applied stresses such as tensile loading and heating. This technique is known as Bragg edgeimaging and relies on the identification of changes of transmission values, fitting of the edge to measure its displacement, and thus identify the shift in lattice parameter due to stresses. One of the challenges of TOF imaging measurements is the amount of data and the inability to observe Bragg edge shifts in real time during an experiment. Thus, we have been focusing on creating a Python-based interface that allows fast data processing and instantaneous mapping and fitting of the Bragg edges, and their evolution through time. Python libraries and Jupyter notebooks have been implemented to facilitate decision making during an experiment. The advantage of the notebooks is the possibility to guide an experiment as they can quickly process and display Bragg edge data. These notebooks can be used independently, or can be combined in a Python Graphical User Interface (GUI) tool called iBeatles. This interface permits visualization and fitting of the Bragg edges, and ultimately back-projects the fitting results onto the radiographs to display a strain map. Assuming data collection has sufficient statistics, the strain mapping analysis can be performed on a pixel-by-pixel basis. This development is a step forward toward a better user experience at the future VENUS beamline in terms of live feedback and productivity. Analysis that used to take days of switching between different applications can now be done in minutes within the

Bilheux, JeanChristophe [Oak Ridge National Labora↗

Application of electron beam technology to decompose persistent emerging drinking water contaminants: poly- and perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and 1,4-Dioxane

Poly- and perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and 1,4-dioxane are persistent emerging contaminants that are currently under consideration for federal and state-specific regulations in drinking water. Both PFAS and 1,4-dioxane are highly resistant to degradation and are not effectively removed by conventional drinking water treatment systems. Results from the Unregulated Contaminant Monitoring Rule 3 survey showed that >540 sites across the nation are contaminated with both PFAS and 1,4-dioxane. Hence, there is a need to identify technologies that can effectively remove both these contaminants. Water treatment via electron beam (e-beam) has been proven effective at treating a wide range of contaminants, including perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS), perfluorooctanoate (PFOA), polychlorinated biphenyls, and trichloroethylene. While the e-beam process is often considered similar to advanced oxidation processes (AOPs), e-beam technology is unique in that it produces both highly oxidizing and reducing species at the same time. The specific objectives of this study were to: (i) determine the effectiveness of 9 MeV electrons provided by the Fermilab’s Accelerator Application Development and Demonstration (A2D2) tool to decompose PFAS and 1,4-dioxane; (ii) assess the formation of byproducts during water treatment; (iii) apply the optimized treatment to field groundwater samples contaminated with PFAS and 1,4-dioxane, and (iv) assess the energy demands for the treatment of these contaminants using e-beam. Results from this study showed that e-beam is effective in treating both 1,4-dioxane and PFAS. Complete degradation of 1,4-dioxane was observed at a dose of 5 kGy for an initial concentration of up to 1 ppm without the need for any sample modification. The electrical energy per order (EEo) for treatment of 1,4-dioxane ranged from 0.46 to 0.72 kWh/m 3 /order and was comparable and even lower, in some cases, than other AOP technologies. Alkaline conditions (pH 13) and low dissolved oxygen concentration (2 mg/L) highly favored the treatment of PFAS by e-beam. Greater than 90% removal of PFOA and PFOS from an initial concentration of 100 to 500 ppb was achieved at a dose of 250 kGy and 500 kGy, respectively, under optimized conditions. The degradation efficiency was not significantly changed when treating other PFAS of fluorinated carbon chain length of 5 to 7 individually at 250 kGy with a removal ranging from 85¬–99% for different compounds. Short chain PFAS (perfluorobutanoate: PFBA and perfluorobutane sulfonate: PFBS) did not degrade under the same conditions at 250 kGy, but 70 to 99% degradation was observed at a higher dose of 1000 kGy. Short chain PFAS (perfluorohexanoate: PFHxA (C5) and perfluoroheptanoate: PFHpA (C6)) were detected after treatment of PFOA, but not after PFOS treatment. Inability to close the mass balance through targeted analysis suggests the presence of other intermediates not detectable by available analytical methods. When treating PFAS mixture containing ten compounds at equimolar concentration of 0.05 µM each, preferential degradation of polyfluorinated compound (6:2 fluorotelomer sulfonate or 6:2 FTS) followed by C8 and C7 compounds was observed as a function of increasing e-beam dose. About 30% degradation of ΣPFAS was observed at 250 kGy and no further removal was observed up to a dose of 1000 kGy. C4 to C6 PFASs showed no degradation, while C3 PFAS (PFBS) showed an increase in concentration by 34% at 1000 kGy due to formation from the breakdown of other long chain PFAS. These results suggested that (a) the reaction kinetics is likely different for different PFAS based on chain length, functional group, and the degree of fluorination of the carbon chain, and (b) there may be intermediates generated from the degradation of 6:2 FTS and C7/C8 compounds that can potentially scavenge hydrated electrons needed for reaction with the untreated PFAS molecules. Treatment of three PFAS-contaminated groundwater samples from two US states showed similar trends as observed in the treatment of equimolar PFAS mixtures. Up to 71% removal of ΣPFAS was achieved in real groundwater samples at 750 kGy and data trend suggested that higher degradation is feasible if higher doses (>1MGy) are applied to treat field samples to overcome matrix effects and competing species. Calculated EEo for PFAS ranged from as low as ~48 to 1081 kWh/m 3 /order depending on the type of PFAS treated. These values are comparable and even lower, in some cases, than other destructive technologies employed for PFAS treatment such as ultrasound, plasma, and photochemical treatment. The results from this study indicate e-beam is a promising approach under favorable conditions and should be explored further as an end-of-train treatment option for PFAS destruction.

1,4-Dioxane↗

BRAVE_EBC-TMT.1.0

Exhaled breath condensate (EBC) represents a low-cost and non-invasive means of examining respiratory health. EBC has been used to discover and validate exhaled volatile and non-volatile biomarkers of disease related to the respiratory system distress such as asthma, COPD, lung cancer, and secondary infections. One newly emerging utilization of EBC, is proteomics analysis, which can provide an unbiased snapshot into ongoing biological processes in the airway. Fully characterizing the biological landscape of EBC collections is challenging though, due to sample variability, and low detection sensitivity. EBC is primarily composed of condensed water, causing technical challenges with detecting key macromolecules from the dilute sample matrix; therefore, high sensitivity techniques are required to unlock the full capability of EBC as a method for non-invasive biomarker detection. To overcome some of these technical challenges for proteomic analyses, we applied our recently developed microscale proteomic techniques and developed a novel TMT based approach which enabled reliable, relative quantification with significantly improved detection of low abundance peptides/proteins across multiple healthy volunteer EBC samples. Our EBC collection design includes longitudinal EBC collections from five individual healthy volunteers on three separate days of the week with triplicate, back-to-back donations each day. Here, we report a total of 235 quantifiable proteins corresponding to 1,877 non-redundant peptides for evaluating sample collection reproducibility and establishing a healthy (human host) baseline EBC biomarker proteome studies. This work will pave the way for further investigations of EBC protein expression profiles and showcase the value of using non-invasive collection method techniques for clinically relevant biomarker discovery. This research was supported by the LDRD Biomedical Resilience And Readiness in AdVerse Operating Environments (BRAVE) Project (73748), and was conducted at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) in Richland, WA. PNNL is a multiprogram national laboratory operated by Battelle for the Department of Energy (DOE) under Contract DE-AC05-76RLO 1830.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Direct analysis of cotton swipes for plutonium isotope determination by microextraction-ICP-MS

This study demonstrates a method for determining the isotopic composition of low-level (sub-pg) plutonium (Pu) directly from a cotton swipe. Environmental sample (ES) swipes are routinely employed as a tool for monitoring activities in nuclear facilities. Traditional ES swipe analysis, as employed in nuclear safeguards, utilizes laborious ashing, digestion, and chemical separation procedures prior to mass spectrometric (MS) analysis. Here, an innovative sample introduction technique employing a microextraction probe to extract Pu directly from the swipe surface is described. The microextraction probe lowers onto the swipe surface, seals on a small area (8 mm 2 ), and delivers solvent (2% HNO 3 ) to extract actinide material that may be present. The extracted analyte is subsequently directed into a sector field inductively coupled plasma (ICP)-MS for isotope ratio determination. This microextraction-ICP-MS method successfully determined the isotopic composition ( 240 Pu/ 239 Pu and 242 Pu/ 239 Pu) of three Pu certified reference materials (CRM 136, 137, and 138) that were deposited (1 pg) onto ES swipes. The percent relative difference from the certified value, uncorrected for instrumental fractionation, was <2% for the 240 Pu/ 239 Pu ratio on all three CRMs and <10% for the 242 Pu/ 239 Pu ratio on CRM 136 and 138. Here, the percent relative standard deviation, an estimate of the sample-to-sample isotopic precision, was <4% for the 240 Pu/ 239 Pu and <15% for the 242 Pu/ 239 Pu. Method limits of detection were determined, based on measurements of an enriched 244 Pu material, to be ~7 fg. Additionally, a mixed uranium (U) and Pu deposition was made to determine the method's ability to simultaneously extract U and Pu and determine the isotopic composition of both analytes.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Dark Energy Survey Year 3 results: Cosmology from cosmic shear and robustness to data calibration

This work, together with its companion paper, Secco, Samuroff et al., presents the Dark Energy Survey Year 3 cosmic shear measurements and cosmological constraints based on an analysis of over 100 million source galaxies. With the data spanning 4143 deg 2 on the sky, divided into four redshift bins, we produce the highest significance measurement of cosmic shear to date, with a signal-to-noise of 40. We conduct a blind analysis in the context of the ΛCDM model and find a 3% constraint of the clustering amplitude, S 8 ≡ σ 8 (Ω m /0.3) 0.5 = 0.759$^{+0.025}_{-0.023}$. A ΛCDM-Optimized analysis, which safely includes smaller scale information, yields a 2% precision measurement of S 8 = 0.772$^{+0.018}_{-0.017}$ that is consistent with the fiducial case. The two low-redshift measurements are statistically consistent with the Planck Cosmic Microwave Background result, however, both recovered S 8 values are lower than the high-redshift prediction by 2.3σ and 2.1σ (ρ-values of 0.02 and 0.05), respectively. The measurements are shown to be internally consistent across redshift bins, angular scales and correlation functions. The analysis is demonstrated to be robust to calibration systematics, with the S 8 posterior consistent when varying the choice of redshift calibration sample, the modeling of redshift uncertainty and methodology. Similarly, we find that the corrections included to account for the blending of galaxies shifts our best-fit S 8 by 0.5σ without incurring a substantial increase in uncertainty. We examine the limiting factors for the precision of the cosmological constraints and find observational systematics to be subdominant to the modeling of astrophysics. Specifically, we identify the uncertainties in modeling baryonic effects and intrinsic alignments as the limiting systematics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Multifidelity methods for uncertainty quantification of a nonlocal model for phase changes in materials

This study is devoted to the construction of a multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) method for the uncertainty quantification of a nonlocal, non-mass-conserving Cahn-Hilliard model for phase transitions with an obstacle potential. Here, we are interested in estimating the expected value of an output of interest (OoI) that depends on the solution of the nonlocal Cahn-Hilliard model. As opposed to its local counterpart, the nonlocal model captures sharp interfaces without the need for significant mesh refinement. However, the computational cost of the nonlocal Cahn-Hilliard model is higher than that of its local counterpart with similar mesh refinement, inhibiting its use for outer-loop applications such as uncertainty quantification. The MFMC method augments the desired high-fidelity, high-cost OoI with a set of lower-fidelity, lower-cost OoIs to alleviate the computational burden associated with nonlocality. Most of the computational budget is allocated to sampling the cheap surrogate models to achieve speedup, whereas the high-fidelity model is sparsely sampled to maintain accuracy. For the non-mass-conserving nonlocal Cahn-Hilliard model, the use of the MFMC method results in, for a given computational budget, about an order of magnitude reduction in the mean-squared error of the expected value of the OoI relative to that of the Monte Carlo method.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Densification and Immobilization of AgI-Containing Iodine Waste Forms Using Spark Plasma Sintering

Here in this study, porous Ag-xerogel (Ag-Xero), Ag-faujasite (Ag-FAU) zeolite, and Ag-mordenite (Ag-MOR) zeolite sorbents were loaded with iodine gas [I 2 (g)] under saturated conditions at 150 °C for 24 h, followed by densification and consolidation into monolithic waste forms using spark plasma sintering (SPS). For Ag-Xero materials, SPS pellets were made with as-loaded samples, while others were made with preheated (PH; 500 °C for 2 h) samples to help with densification. SPS processing was conducted at 50 MPa under different temperatures (T = 200–800 °C) for different times (t = 0.5–30 min), where eleven AgI-Xero samples, five AgI-FAU, and two AgI-MOR separate samples were produced. The primary goal was to look for the optimum processing parameters for each material to yield pellets with high iodine retentions, high densities, and low porosities while preventing AgI decomposition. The Ag-Xero showed the highest iodine loadings (qe = 470 mg g –1 ) compared to Ag-FAU (qe = 368 mg g –1 ) and Ag-MOR (qe = 108 mg g –1 ). Measured iodine concentrations were the highest in AgI-Xero pellets without PH, followed by AgI-Xero with PH, AgI-FAU, and then AgI-MOR. Silver utilization (I/Ag on a mol % basis) values were in the order of AgI-MOR ≈ AgI-Xero (no PH) > AgI-Xero (PH) > AgI-FAU. Chemical durabilities of SPS-densified AgI-Xero (PH) pellets were very favorable, with lower releases than SPS pellets made from AgI-Xero samples without PH. These results show promise for iodine waste form production.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Adversarial autoencoder ensemble for fast and probabilistic reconstructions of few-shot photon correlation functions for solid-state quantum emitters

Second-order photon correlation measurements [g (2) (τ) functions] are widely used to classify single-photon emission purity in quantum emitters or to measure the multiexciton quantum yield of emitters that can simultaneously host multiple excitations – such as quantum dots – by evaluating the value of g (2) (τ = 0). Accumulating enough photons to accurately calculate this value is time consuming and could be accelerated by fitting of few-shot photon correlations. Here, we develop an uncertainty-aware, deep adversarial autoencoder ensemble (AAE) that reconstructs noise-free g (2) (τ) functions from noise-dominated, few-shot inputs. The model is trained with simulated g (2) (τ) functions that are facilely generated by Poisson sampling time bins. The AAE reconstructions are performed orders-of-magnitude faster, with reconstruction errors and estimates of g (2) (τ = 0) that are lower in variance and similar in accuracy compared to Maximum likelihood estimation and Levenberg-Marquardt least-squares fitting approaches, for simulated and experimentally measured few-shot g (2) (τ) functions (~100 two-photon events) of InP/ZnS/ZnSe and CdS/CdSe/CdS quantum dots. The deep-ensemble model comprises eight individual autoencoders, allowing for probabilistic reconstructions of noise-free g (2) (τ) functions, and we show that the predicted variance scales inversely with number of shots, with comparable uncertainties to computationally intensive Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling. Furthermore, this work demonstrates the advantage of machine learning models to perform uncertainty-aware, fast, and accurate reconstructions of simple Poisson-distributed photon correlation functions, allowing for on-the-fly reconstructions and accelerated materials characterization of solid-state quantum emitters.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Unraveling Strain Gradient Induced Electromechanical Coupling in Twisted Double Bilayer Graphene Moiré Superlattices

Moiré superlattices of 2D materials with a small twist angle are thought to exhibit appreciable flexoelectric effect, though unambiguous confirmation of their flexoelectricity is challenging due to artifacts associated with commonly used piezoresponse force microscopy (PFM). For example, unexpectedly small phase contrast (≈8°) between opposite flexoelectric polarizations is reported in twisted bilayer graphene (tBG), though theoretically predicted value is 180°. We report a methodology is developed to extract intrinsic moiré flexoelectricity using twisted double bilayer graphene (tDBG) as a model system, probed by lateral PFM. For small twist angle samples, it is found that a vectorial decomposition is essential to recover the small intrinsic flexoelectric response at domain walls from a large background signal. The obtained threefold symmetry of commensurate domains with significant flexoelectric response at domain walls is fully consistent with the theoretical calculations. Incommensurate domains in tDBG with relatively large twist angles can also be observed by this technique. A general strategy is provided here for unraveling intrinsic flexoelectricity in van der Waals moiré superlattices while providing insights into engineered symmetry breaking in centrosymmetric materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Cs X Si 15 P 21 ( X = Sn or Pb): Polar Noncentrosymmetric Si–P Frameworks Stabilized by Covalent X –P Bonding

Metal silicon phosphides composed of earth-abundant Si and P tend to exhibit semiconducting properties and adopt diverse crystal structures with relatively small additions of structure-directing elements. The potential of silicon phosphide materials in nonlinear optical applications has been hindered by the inability to systematically produce noncentrosymmetric structures with such a flexible framework. Here, in this work, two isostructural compounds with a novel noncentrosymmetric structure were made possible by the inclusion of elements with stereochemically active lone pairs (Sn 2+ and Pb 2+ ). The structures were determined through single-crystal and synchrotron powder X-ray diffraction. Analysis of chemical bonding in real space through the electron localization function revealed stereochemically active Pb 2+ and Sn 2+ species in a trigonal pyramidal coordination with {Pb/Sn}–P bonds. Such covalent bonding between Pb and P is quite uncommon in extended solids and has been reported in a few rare instances. Band structure calculations and linear optical measurements confirm the semiconducting nature of Cs X Si 15 P 21 ( X = Sn or Pb). The synthesis was optimized to yield high-purity polycrystalline samples. The nonlinear optical properties show promising second-harmonic generation (SHG) coefficients from the Kurtz–Perry method. First-principles calculations of the nonlinear optical properties support the experimentally determined SHG values and provide moderate values of birefringence, suggesting Cs X Si 15 P 21 could be phase-matchable and practical nonlinear optical materials in the mid-IR region.

crystal structure↗

Three Decades of Divergent Land Use and Plant Community Change Alters Soil C and N Content in Tallgrass Prairie

Frequent fire and grazing by megafauna are important determinants of tallgrass prairie plant community structure. However, fire suppression and removal of native grazers have altered these natural disturbance regimes and changed grassland plant communities with potential long-term consequences for soil carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) storage. We investigated multidecade changes in soil C and N pools in response to contrasting long-term burning and grazing treatments. Fire suppression with or without grazers and exclusion of grazers in annually burned prairie increased soil C content and shifted the δ 13 C signature of soil C over time, concomitant with changes in plant community composition. Soil δ 13 C values indicated that increased soil C content was associated with an increased contribution from plants using a C 3 photosynthetic pathway (i.e., woody shrubs) under fire suppression. Soil N content also increased when fire was suppressed, relative to frequently burned grassland, but the rate of increase was slower when grazers were present. Additionally, changes in δ 15 N values suggested that grazing increased the openness of the N cycle, presumably due to greater N losses. By coupling long-term fire and grazing treatments with plant community data and soil samples archived over three decades, we demonstrate that human-caused changes to natural disturbance regimes in a tallgrass prairie significantly alter soil C and N cycles through belowground changes associated with shifts in the plant community. Since natural disturbance regimes have been altered in grasslands across the world, our results are relevant for understanding the long-term biogeochemical consequences of these ongoing land use changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Technology Pathways Could Help Drive the U.S. West Coast Grid's Exposure to Hydrometeorological Uncertainty

Abstract Previous studies investigating deep decarbonization of bulk electric power systems and wholesale electricity markets have not sufficiently explored how future grid pathways could affect the grid's vulnerability to hydrometeorological uncertainty on multiple timescales. Here, we employ a grid operations model and a large synthetic weather ensemble to “stress test” a range of future grid pathways for the U.S. West Coast developed by ReEDS, a well‐known capacity planning model. Our results show that gradual changes in the underlying capacity mix from 2020 to 2050 can cause significant “re‐ranking” of weather years in terms of annual wholesale electricity prices (with “good” years becoming bad, and vice versa). Nonetheless, we find the highest and lowest ranking price years in terms of average electricity price remain mostly tied to extremes in hydropower availability (streamflow) and load (summer temperatures), with the strongest sensitivities related to drought. Seasonal dynamics seen today involving spring snowmelt and hot, dry summers remain well‐defined out to 2050. In California, future supply shortfalls in our model are concentrated in the evening and occur mostly during periods of high temperature anomalies in late summer months and in late winter; in the Pacific Northwest, supply shortfalls are much more strongly tied to negative streamflow anomalies. Under our more robust sampling of stationary hydrometeorological uncertainty, we also find that the ratio of dis‐patchable thermal (i.e., natural gas) capacity to wind and solar required to ensure grid reliability can differ significantly from values reported by ReEDS.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗