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Development and implementation of an in situ high-resolution isotopic microscope for measuring metabolic interactions in soil mesocosms (Final Report)

Many of our planet’s ecosystems rely on the activities of soil microbial communities. These microbes have significant and wide-ranging effects: they metabolize carbon and other nutrients, interact with plants and fungi, and perform other processes important to soil health. However, our ability to directly observe the enzymatic and metabolic activities of microbes within soil is currently limited, not only by the complexity of soil microbial communities themselves, but also by the lack of experimental tools to study them and their molecular interactions in situ. These challenges hinder our understanding of the lifesustaining processes of biomass decomposition and the manner in which it contributes to the movement of freed carbon within soil ecosystems. Here we aim to develop a novel ultrahigh-resolution isotopic microscope that combines complementary imaging modalities to gain insights into metabolic cycling in soil. This final report covers the portion of this work that was completed at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill from 2018 to 2019; the research is continuing through 2022 at the University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Microbial spies and bloggers: programming cells to convert environmental information into discernible signals

Microbes regulate their dynamic behaviors using the chemical and physical characteristics of their environment. The ability of microbes to continuously convert this physicochemical information into biochemical information and to use organic matter in the environment as a power source makes these organisms attractive as chassis for building sensors. However, most biosensors have severe limitations when considering applications in hard-to-image settings like soils, sediments, and wastewater. Emerging technologies at the interface of biomolecular design, microbiome engineering, and synthetic biology offer new tools to program cells and communities as biosensors for these settings. Here, in this review, we describe innovations in biosensor outputs that are enabling new applications in complex environments, including reporters that are read out using electrochemical, gas chromatography, hyperspectral imaging, and next-generation sequencing methods. We also discuss computational advances that are accelerating the diversification of sensing components by mining metagenomics data for new transcriptional regulators and by designing allosteric protein switches that directly regulate reporter outputs using analytes. We highlight emerging opportunities for programming undomesticated microbes in communities to function as distributed sensors in the environment. Finally, we discuss the need for responsible biosensor development and to modernize regulatory frameworks to support evidence-based assessment of environmental biosensors.

analyte↗

Active Learning-driven Quantitative Synthesis-Structure-Property Relations for Improving Performance and Revealing Active Sites of Nitrogen-Doped Carbon for the Hydrogen Evolution Reaction

While quantitative structure-properties relations (QSPRs) have been developed successfully in multiple fields, catalyst synthesis affects structure and in turn performance, making simple QSPRs inadequate. Furthermore, catalysts often have multiple active sites preventing one from obtaining insights into structure-property relations. Here, we develop a data-driven quantitative synthesis-structure-property relation (QS2PRs) methodology to elucidate correlations between catalyst synthesis conditions, structural properties as well as observed performance and to provide fundamental insights into active sites and a systematic way to optimize practical catalysts. Here, we demonstrate the approach to the synthesis of nitrogen-doped catalysts (NDC) made via pyrolysis for the performance of the electrochemical hydrogen evolution reaction (HER), quantified by the onset potential and the current density. We determine crystallinity, nitrogen species type and fraction, surface area, and pore structure of the NDC’s using XRD, XPS, and BET characterization. We demonstrated that an active learning-based optimization combined with various elementary machine learning tools (regression, principal component analysis, partial least squares) can efficiently identify optimum pyrolysis conditions to tune structural characteristics and performance with concomitant savings in materials and experimental time. Unlike previous reports on the importance of pyridinic or graphitic nitrogen, we discover that the electrochemical performance is not driven by a single catalyst property; rather, it arises from a multivariate influence of nitrogen dopants, pore structure and disorder in the NDC materials. Identification of active sites can help mechanistic understanding and further catalyst improvement.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Divergent evolution of extreme production of variant plant monounsaturated fatty acids

Metabolic extremes provide opportunities to understand enzymatic and metabolic plasticity and biotechnological tools for novel biomaterial production. We discovered that seed oils of many Thunbergia species contain up to 92% of the unusual monounsaturated petroselinic acid (18:1Δ6), one of the highest reported levels for a single fatty acid in plants. Supporting the biosynthetic origin of petroselinic acid, we identified a Δ6-stearoyl-acyl carrier protein (18:0-ACP) desaturase from Thunbergia laurifolia , closely related to a previously identified Δ6-palmitoyl-ACP desaturase that produces sapienic acid (16:1Δ6)-rich oils in Thunbergia alata seeds. Guided by a T. laurifolia desaturase crystal structure obtained in this study, enzyme mutagenesis identified key amino acids for functional divergence of Δ6 desaturases from the archetypal Δ9-18:0-ACP desaturase and mutations that result in nonnative enzyme regiospecificity. Furthermore, we demonstrate the utility of the T. laurifolia desaturase for the production of unusual monounsaturated fatty acids in engineered plant and bacterial hosts. Through stepwise metabolic engineering, we provide evidence that divergent evolution of extreme petroselinic acid and sapienic acid production arises from biosynthetic and metabolic functional specialization and enhanced expression of specific enzymes to accommodate metabolism of atypical substrates.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Nonreciprocal Coulomb drag between quantum wires in the quasi-one-dimensional regime

Coulomb drag experiments have been an essential tool to study strongly interacting low-dimensional systems. Historically, this effect has been explained in terms of momentum transfer between electrons in the active and the passive layer. We report Coulomb drag measurements between laterally coupled GaAs/AlGaAs quantum wires in the multiple one-dimensional (1D) sub-band regime that break Onsager's reciprocity upon both layer and current direction reversal, in contrast to prior 1D Coulomb drag results. The drag signal shows nonlinear current-voltage (I-V) characteristics, which are well characterized by a third-order polynomial fit. These findings are qualitatively consistent with a rectified drag signal induced by charge fluctuations. However, the nonmonotonic temperature dependence of this drag signal suggests that strong electron-electron interactions, expected within the Tomonaga-Luttinger liquid framework, remain important and standard interaction models are insufficient to capture the qualitative nature of rectified 1D Coulomb drag.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

High-Power Clock Laser Spectrally Tailored for High-Fidelity Quantum State Engineering

Highly frequency-stable lasers are ubiquitous tools for optical-frequency metrology, precision interferometry, and quantum information science. While making a universally applicable laser is unrealistic, spectral noise can be tailored for specific applications. Here we report a high-power 698-nm clock laser with a maximum output of 4W and minimized frequency noise up to a few kHz Fourier frequency, together with long-term instability of 3.5 × 10 −17 at one to thousands of seconds. The laser-frequency noise is precisely characterized with atom-based spectral analysis that employs a pulse sequence designed to suppress sensitivity to intensity noise. This method provides universally applicable tunability of the spectral response and analysis of quantum sensors over a wide frequency range. With the optimized laser system characterized by this technique, we achieve an average single-qubit Clifford gate fidelity of up to 𝐹$^2_1$ = 0.999⁢64⁢(3) when simultaneously driving 3000 optical qubits with a homogeneous Rabi frequency ranging from 10 Hz to 1 kHz. This result represents the highest single optical-qubit-gate fidelity for a large number of atoms.

atomic gases↗

OpenStudio®-MCP [SWR-26-035]

OpenStudio®-MCP is a Model Context Protocol (MCP) server that lets AI assistants perform building energy modeling through natural language. Rather than requiring users to learn the OpenStudio® SDK, EnergyPlus® scripting, or Ruby/Python automation, the server translates conversational requests into sequences of tool calls that create models, design HVAC systems, run simulations, and extract results — all within a single chat session. The server's 124 tools are organized into a skills architecture where each skill encapsulates a domain of building energy modeling (envelope, HVAC, loads, weather, simulation, results) behind typed, LLM-friendly interfaces. High-leverage operations like applying ASHRAE 90.1 baseline systems or generating standards-compliant typical buildings are exposed as single tool calls that internally wire dozens of OpenStudio® objects. Bundled measures from ComStock™ and Openstudio® -common-measures-gem are wrapped with dedicated tools and typed arguments rather than exposed through a generic measure interface, so AI models get consistent, error-resistant recipes without needing to discover measure arguments at runtime. A key design decision is structured results extraction: six SQL-based tools return surgical ~300–1,000 token responses (end-use breakdowns, envelope summaries, HVAC sizing, timeseries data) instead of requiring the AI to parse ~100K-token raw HTML reports, making iterative design exploration practical within context window limits. The codebase is designed as a reference implementation — explicit, well-commented, and modular — so that other simulation engines (EnergyPlus® standalone, TRNSYS, DOE-2) can use it as a template for building their own MCP servers.

Ball, Brian [National Laboratory of the Rockies (N↗

Component-to-Optimization Workflow Demonstration

This report aims to demonstrate workflow-generating algorithms for optimizing dispatch across a broad range of Integrated Energy System applications using the Framework for Optimization of Resources and Economics (FORCE) tool suite. The optimization is performed at two different time scales. In the coarse time scale, the optimization focuses on a class of energy sources and consumers and aims to find the optimal combinations and flows of energy based on real-time price data information. In the fine time scale, the optimization focuses on a specific thermal energy delivery system and aims to find the optimal setpoints of components in order to meet the energy demands from coarse-time-scale optimizations. In this demonstration, the coarse-scale optimization is implemented using the newly developed Dispatch Optimization Variable Engine (DOVE), while the fine-scale optimization used Optimization of Real-Time Capacity Allocation (ORCA).

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Automated Systems for Solvent Extraction

An automated solvent extraction system for the eventual handling of radioactive materials has been designed and procured for rapid, efficient and safe liquid-liquid extraction processes. This system will be configured to carry out liquid-liquid separations from beginning to end, automating tedious and time-consuming tasks such as organic/aqueous phase prep, pH checks, phase separation, and metal ion analysis. The system features advanced liquid handling capabilities, a robotic arm for precise sample transfer, and sophisticated analytical tools including UV-VIS spectrophotometry for real-time monitoring. Additionally, it incorporates automated capping of vials, vortex mixing, and centrifugation to ensure thorough mixing and phase separation. This report provides an overview of the system and general capabilities as well as initial efforts to develop an automated workflow for liquid-liquid separations.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

U.S. Pacific Coast Workshop Report on Preconstruction Research Recommendations (U.S. Offshore Wind Synthesis of Environmental Effects Research (SEER) Project)

In May 2022, the U.S. Offshore Wind Synthesis of Environmental Effects Research (SEER) project team hosted a stakeholder workshop focused on preconstruction (baseline) research needs for potential floating offshore wind (OSW) energy development on the U.S. Pacific Coast, including California, Oregon, and Washington. Prior to the workshop, the SEER team developed a set of initial synthesized research recommendations that were identified based on a review of relevant, publicly available resources and with advisory group input. The workshop covered three marine life breakout groups on subsequent days to discuss research recommendations related to 1) marine mammals and sea turtles, 2) fish and invertebrates, and 3) birds and bats. As part of the workshop, over a hundred participants from the public and private sectors provided feedback on various aspects of the initial research recommendations, including associated data and knowledge gaps, benefits/limitations of available methods and technologies, and technological advancements or infrastructure needed to address the recommendation. Approximately 1,000 total comments were received on the workshop MURAL boards and were synthesized in this report. Based on workshop feedback, SEER developed a final database of over 500 specific research recommendations based on more than 40 resources. In Fall 2022, the full database and a tool with updated synthesized research recommendations were disseminated on Tethys (https://tethys.pnnl.gov) to assist with informing future funding opportunities and research programming. There is a continued need to improve awareness of the potential environmental effects, monitoring technologies, and management strategies for floating OSW energy development on the U.S. Pacific Coast. Coordination of these activities will require the sustained involvement of multiple stakeholders from across sectors. Beyond the baseline considerations discussed in this workshop, future state-of-the-science activities should be planned to consider research needs across wind energy life cycle phases for all relevant wildlife taxa and associated habitat and ecosystem processes.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Workshop on Addressing Rigor and Reproducibility in Thermal, Heterogeneous Catalysis

Heterogeneous catalysis has long served as the bedrock of the manufacturing of energy carriers, fuels and chemicals, and various technologies for pollution abatement. The significant complexity and variability spanning the entire breadth of catalyst material properties, synthesis methods, characterization techniques, and evaluation procedures, has focused attention on the need to establish community-accepted best practices for ensuring high-quality, benchmarked, and reproducible data. In addition, increased societal urgency to transition to clean energy and reduce greenhouse gas concentrations has incentivized interdisciplinary, convergent, and translational approaches to catalysis research in recent years. Research engineers and scientists with expertise cutting broadly across materials science, chemical synthesis, interfacial science, spectroscopy, and methods of data science and computational simulation, all bring diverse and important perspectives to catalysis research, but often with little awareness of the complexity of catalytic systems, especially in their working environment. As has already occurred in other scientific fields, there has been growing recognition and consensus in the heterogeneous catalysis research community that mechanisms are needed to improve the rigor and reproducibility (R&R) of experimental measurements, to ensure alignment of the broader research community with a common core of best practices specific to the realization of high-quality catalysis research. Similarly, the field is moving rapidly toward computationally informed and data science-driven catalyst design, but the success of implementing such predictive tools hinges on model training and validation rooted in rigorously obtained and reproducible experimental data that are benchmarked to common specifications. As such, this workshop was convened to prepare a report summarizing best practices for reporting data and performing experiments that researchers can use to benchmark, validate, and reproduce data in specific sub-fields of thermal, heterogeneous catalysis. Additionally, we discussed recommendations for future actions that may improve R&R in this field. The workshop organizers and participants include a diverse range of catalysis researchers from various employment sectors (e.g., academia, industry, national laboratory), institutional mission and resources (e.g., PhD-granting research universities, non-PhD-granting teaching universities), career stage (e.g., early, mid and late-career), technical expertise, and demographic background. This diverse group was involved in the discussion of workshop agenda items, writing this report, and discussing possible future action items for the community to consider, which helped ensure that a broad range of perspectives were captured in the description of the problems at hand and the creation of actionable solutions that may be effectively adopted by the diverse practitioners in catalysis research. Importantly, this group of workshop participants also included very early career researchers (e.g., senior PhD students, postdoctoral scholars) who will become the next generation of scientific leaders in various sectors, thus capturing emerging perspectives of newcomers to the field to shape its future while positively impacting the development of its future workforce. We envision that this effort will help advance the field of catalysis science by improving the rigor and reproducibility of experimental data collected by current researchers and future newcomers to the field, which is of broad importance to health and vitality of any scientific discipline. Therefore, best practices identified in this endeavor for thermal heterogeneous catalysis can be translated to such efforts in other areas of catalysis and other scientific fields involving the study of materials, and vice versa. We also envision this to be an ongoing effort, with future workshops that are convened to discuss issues of rigor and reproducibility on technical topics that were unable to be covered in this workshop due to its scope limitations, and as emerging methods and materials become more prevalent in the research community.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development and implementation of an in situ high-resolution isotopic microscope for measuring metabolic interactions in soil mesocosms (Final Report)

Many of our planet’s ecosystems rely on the activities of soil microbial communities. These microbes have significant and wide-ranging effects: they metabolize carbon and other nutrients, interact with plants and fungi, and perform other processes important to soil health. However, our ability to directly observe the enzymatic and metabolic activities of microbes within soil is currently limited, not only by the complexity of soil microbial communities themselves, but also by the lack of experimental tools to study them and their molecular interactions in situ. These challenges hinder our understanding of the life-sustaining processes of biomass decomposition and the manner in which it contributes to the movement of freed carbon within soil ecosystems. Here we aimed to develop a novel ultrahigh-resolution isotopic microscope that combines complementary imaging modalities to gain insights into metabolic cycling in soil. This final report covers both the portion of this work that was initially completed at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill from 2018 to 2019 (as award DE-SC0019012) and then from 2020 to 2022 (2023 in NCE) at the University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School. This goal was to build an integrated platform consisting of fluorescence microscopy, Raman microspectroscopy, and nanospray desorption electrospray ionization Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry (nanoDESI-FTICR-MS) to directly investigate microbial activities and molecular transformations occurring in soil by exploiting the use of both fluorescent labels and stable isotope probing. Specifically, our instrument was conceived as integrating: (A) fluorescence detection to localize soil microbes, identify bacteria taking up polysaccharides, and monitor gene expression of enzymes involved in decomposition; (B) Raman microspectroscopy to determine which microbes incorporate decomposition products into their biomass, as well as which decomposers are metabolically active; and (C) nanoDESI-FTICR-MS imaging to spatially probe, in real-time, the metabolites in the surrounding area, which we expect will reveal the distributions of the products of the enzymatic breakdown of polysaccharides, as well as specialized metabolites acting as cell-cell signals between decomposers. To enable these measurements, we exploited fluorescence-based probes to map the microbes that are enzymatically active (per A) and utilized stable isotope-labeled substrates to visualize both the microbial and molecular fate of decomposed biomass (B and C, respectively). To accomplish our goal, we combined the expertise of a multidisciplinary group of scientists to pursue the construction of this microscope and to investigate scientific questions that would be facilitated by such a capability. We aimed to employ this spatially informative, high-resolution isotopic microscope to visualize the critical steps of biomass degradation and the molecular fate of other environmentally relevant substrates within soil mesocosms. Accordingly, this technology will enhance our understanding of the microbial and metabolic interactions occurring within soil communities that are relevant to carbon degradation and other soil processes. The instrument has been developed and housed at EMSL, where it will be available to the entire EMSL User Base, enabling a variety of related DOE-relevant systems to be interrogated in the future by diverse scientific research groups.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Power-to-Gas Tool: User's Guide

PNNL, working in collaboration with ITM Power and HG&E, has developed a suite of products to support analysis of P2G in Massachusetts. These products include: (a) P2G model that can be accessed at eset.pnnl.gov, (b) P2G system valuation report that describes in detail the methodology underpinning the P2G model and presents the results of 82 scenarios run using the model, and (c) a P2G model user’s guide. This user’s guide accompanies the other products and is designed to simplify the experience of each user, providing useful instructions while guiding users as they input data and interpret results.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Commercialization of a Non-Intrusive Optical (NIO) Technology to Measure Heliostat Optical Errors in Utility-Scale Concentrating Solar Power Plants: Final TCF Report

The drone-based Non-Intrusive Optical (NIO) Technology has been developed at NREL to allow for efficient and automated optical characterization of heliostats in Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plants. For this project, the technology will be developed into a commercial tool package, including software and user-interface (UI), operations manual, and training and support services. The project team will partner with Tietronix to perform market assessment and stakeholder engagement, develop the tool package and business model, and perform data collection and analysis to demonstrate and refine the capabilities for use at a commercial plant. The team will collaborate with a commercial plant to conduct the data collection operations and provide optical error deliverables. The goal of the project is to advance the commercialization of the technology to a stage where a beta version can be demonstrated at additional commercial plants and developed into a licensable product.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

TGCM: (T)rait, (G)ene, and (C)rop Growth (M)odel Directed Targeted Gene Characterization in Sorghum (Final Technical Report)

Understanding which genes control important crop traits could help scientists develop better bioenergy and food crops more efficiently. However, plant genomes contain tens of thousands of genes, and testing each one individually is expensive and time-consuming. This project developed computational tools to predict which genes are most likely to matter, allowing researchers to focus their efforts where they will have the greatest impact. This project developed and validated integrated approaches combining machine learning, quantitative genetics, and crop growth modeling to improve the efficiency of functional gene characterization in sorghum (Sorghum bicolor), a critical bioenergy and food security crop. The research addressed a fundamental challenge in plant biology: the majority of genes in plant genomes lack experimentally validated functions, making it difficult to prioritize which genes to study using resource-intensive reverse genetics approaches.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Data-Driven Buy Clean: Decarbonization and Beyond

This report was compiled to provide recommendations on the availability of public background data from the U.S. Federal life cycle assessment (LCA) Data Commons to be conformant with the Association for Life Cycle Assessment (ACLCA) 2022 Product Category Rule (PCR) Open Standard to build technical tools that can assist industry in creating more comparable Type II Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs) for Federal Buy Clean and sustainability initiatives. The Federal LCA Commons is not only a public data source but also a consistently structured, self-referencing mega-repository for data developed by federal agency experts (in agency repositories) and by academia, nonprofit organizations, and industry (via the US Life Cycle Inventory Database). The Federal LCA Commons Technical Working Group is continuously improving the standardization of data documentation, formatting, and nomenclature to ensure lossless data loading and accurate data representation. This report and appendixes include the following: 1) An introduction to data-driven Buy Clean and decarbonization initiatives at the federal level; 2) The current status and associated challenges with LCA data and EPD standards and comparability; 3) Opportunities for the Federal LCA Commons to support conformance with the ACLCA 2022 PCR Open Standard and provide resources to implement the Federal Sustainability Plan, Buy Clean Program, and Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) sustainability goals and objectives. To date, the Federal LCA Commons is the result of coordinated work by National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), the U.S. Forest Service (USFS), the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the Department of Defense (DoD) and the National Institute of Standards and Technologies (NIST). The Federal LCA Commons will continue to combine databases from the collaborating agencies while remaining a public resource. There are several initiatives among the collaborating agencies to expand the Federal LCA Commons and dedicated federal funding and resources could accelerate and strengthen these initiatives.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Science Breakthroughs 2030. Final report

Agriculture is a fundamental societal activity, characterized by many different landscapes, crops, markets, and participants. Food, agricultural, and biofuels products are central to the daily life of all citizens, though most do not recognize the fragility of the environment that brings forth this abundance. As is noted in the 2012 report from the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, Agricultural Preparedness and the United States Agricultural Research Enterprise (PCAST, 2012) the food and agricultural system faces constant challenges in: Managing new pests, pathogens, and invasive plants. Increasing the efficiency of water use. Growing food in a changing climate. Reducing the environmental footprint of agriculture. Managing the production of bioenergy. Producing safe and nutritious food. Assisting with global food security and maintaining abundant yields. Science Breakthroughs 2030 was organized to identify the most compelling research directions in food and agriculture, in particular those empowered by the application of insights and tools from disciplines of science and engineering not typically associated with food and agricultural research. A committee appointed by the Chairman of the National Research Council explored ideas for research directions with input from the scientific community, with the objective of producing a report describing ambitious and achievable scientific pathways to address major problems and create new opportunities in food and agriculture. Following numerous meetings, a jamboree, and town hall, the appointed committee prepared a report that has subsequently become a reference for federal agencies supporting research in the food and agricultural space. It highlights five key areas for research investment with broad application across food and agriculture: integrated systems research; sensor development; data mining and information sciences, genomics; and the microbiome.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Risk Importance Ranking of Fire Data Parameters to Enhance Fire PRA Model Realism

Fire is historically and analytically a significant contributor to nuclear power plant risk. The level of fire risk and the methods, tools and data for modeling this risk is highly debated by experts. One area of debate is the input data used in fire modeling and how to deal with this data’s high uncertainty. This report outlines initial work performed for determining the key parameters causing this uncertainty and how it propagates into nuclear power plant models. This research paves the way for the development of methods to reduce fire data uncertainty used in modeling. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has mandated that nuclear power plants perform fire risk modeling. However, there are several issues with the current risk modeling implementation that affect the results. Approved modeling methods can be overly conservative and often do not match plant experience. Also, the data used in the modeling can have high uncertainties and is influenced by expert judgement. To evaluate input data uncertainty, researchers performed an initial review of several fire experiments done at Sandia National Laboratories. Uncertainties for fire data can come from many sources, such as experiment design constraints, environmental conditions, or other plant-specific aspects. There are many different significant and insignificant parameters driving the uncertainty. Additionally, the uncertainty of the different input data used in the fire modeling could have a significant or insignificant effect on the entire plant risk. A four-step methodology was developed to perform Integrated Probabilistic Risk Assessment Importance Ranking. A demonstration case using these steps was set up and three of the four steps were completed in fiscal year (FY) 2019 and the fourth step done FY 2020. These steps are: 1. The qualitative analysis of potential sources was conducted with the following items identified for the demonstration. • Maximum heat release rate • Time to maximum heat release rate • Duration of max heat release rate • Time to decay • Thermal conductivity of concrete • Specific heat of concrete • Density of concrete • Cable jacket thickness 2. A quantitative characterization of dominant sources of uncertainty was performed. A list of distributions and determined values of the dominant sources is shown in Appendix A. 3. A quantitative screening of the potential sources of uncertainty using Morris Elementary Effects Analysis was completed. An experimental model using the physics-based fire modeling tool Fire Dynamics Simulator was developed and coupled with the Risk Analysis Virtual Environment. The Morris analysis identified at least two parameters that can be eliminated as significant contributors (specific heat of concrete and cable jacket thickness). 4. Global importance measure (Global IM) analysis to generate a comprehensive ranking based on their influence on the plant risk. In this research, a moment-independent Global IM is used since it can address (a) uncertainty in the input parameters of the fire model, (b) uncertainty in the risk outputs, and (c) non-linearity and interactions among input parameters in the fire model, more accurately than the correlation-based and variance-based global methods. The observations from the research showed that, depending on the initial and boundary conditions of the fire scenarios, fire-induced damage could have a very small probability and could be dominated by the tail of the uncertainty distribution; hence, the accuracy of the correlation-based and variance-based methods is questionable. The moment-independent Global IM analysis in this research provides a better understanding of how experimental uncertainty data affects industry’s plant models and where improvements in that data will have the largest benefit for improving fire modeling accuracy in causing core damage. Among the five unscreened parameters obtained from the Morris EE analysis, the Global IM analysis results for the case study indicated that max heat release rate and fire location are the most important parameters. The report also outlines benefits of using a unified computational platform that integrates the underlying simulations (e.g., a fire progression model), quantitative screening (using the Morris EE method), and the Global IM analysis. A unified platform can (i) facilitate the ranking of input parameters considering multiple key fire scenarios simultaneously, rather than considering one scenario at a time, (ii) contribute to more explicit and accurate treatment of dependencies at multiple levels of Fire PRA, (iii) facilitate the sampling-based uncertainty quantification for Fire PRA, and (iv) help generating both “industry-wide” and "plant-specific" ranking of uncertainty sources in Fire PRA. Future research should be done to include additional parameters such as detection/suppression or cable fire spread. Adding a PRA software such as SAPHIRE to the RAVEN platform would help with plant model integration and improve treatment of fire-induced dependency. The I-PRA risk importance ranking methodology offered in this report can provide valuable information for efficiently (a) enhancing the realism of Fire PRA for existing plants and (b) supporting the development of Dynamic Fire PRA for advanced reactors and new plants.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗