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NASA NTRS2015

"Intelligent Ensemble" Projections of Precipitation and Surface Radiation in Support of Agricultural Climate Change Adaptation

Earth's climate is changing and will continue to change into the foreseeable future. Expected changes in the climatological distribution of precipitation, surface temperature, and surface solar radiation will significantly impact agriculture. Adaptation strategies are, therefore, required to reduce the agricultural impacts of climate change. Climate change projections of precipitation, surface temperature, and surface solar radiation distributions are necessary input for adaption planning studies. These projections are conventionally constructed from an ensemble of climate model simulations (e.g., the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5)) as an equal weighted average, one model one vote. Each climate model, however, represents the array of climate-relevant physical processes with varying degrees of fidelity influencing the projection of individual climate variables differently. Presented here is a new approach, termed the "Intelligent Ensemble, that constructs climate variable projections by weighting each model according to its ability to represent key physical processes, e.g., precipitation probability distribution. This approach provides added value over the equal weighted average method. Physical process metrics applied in the "Intelligent Ensemble" method are created using a combination of NASA and NOAA satellite and surface-based cloud, radiation, temperature, and precipitation data sets. The "Intelligent Ensemble" method is applied to the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 anthropogenic climate forcing simulations within the CMIP5 archive to develop a set of climate change scenarios for precipitation, temperature, and surface solar radiation in each USDA Farm Resource Region for use in climate change adaptation studies.

Taylor, Patrick C.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Influence of Metal Ion Complexation on the Radiolytic Longevity of Butyramide Extractants under Direct Dissolution Process Conditions

The direct dissolution of voloxidized used nuclear fuel (UNF) into an organic solution–comprised of diluent and specialized extractants–poses a promising alternative to the traditional liquid–liquid solvent extraction approach to reprocessing UNF. However, moving to direct dissolution removes the presence of a concentrated nitric acid aqueous phase, which has been shown to significantly influence the radiolytic longevity of extractants in conventional extraction flowsheets. Given the limited knowledge of radiation effects under direct dissolution conditions, here we present a time-resolved and dose-accumulation study on the impact of direct dissolution conditions on the radiolytic longevity of two candidate butyramide extractants, N,N-di(2-ethylhexyl) butyramide (DEHBA) and N,N-di(2-ethylhexyl)isobutyramide (DEHiBA), in pre-equilibrated n-dodecane solvent in the presence and absence of process-relevant metal ions, specifically, uranium and rhenium. Loss G(DEHBA) and G(DEHiBA) values were found to be comparable to each other, with an average of 0.37 ± 0.02 μmol J –1 , and to previous data from the γ irradiation of DEHBA and DEHiBA under conventional solvent extraction conditions. Rhenium, and by extension technetium, extraction had a modest decrease (~10%) in the overall radiolytic stability of DEHiBA only, despite >2× observed increases in chemical kinetic reactivity of the corresponding complexes with the n-dodecane radical cation. Uranium loading, on the other hand, significantly improved the lifetime of both ligands (>30%) under γ irradiation, with a greater stabilization observed for DEHBA over DEHiBA. The observed radioprotective effect afforded by uranium loading is fortuitous for the longevity of direct dissolution solvent.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

NASA NTRS2011

Composition of LHB Comets and Their Influence on the Early Earth Atmosphere Composition

Two main processes were responsible for the composition of this atmosphere: chemical evolution of the volatile fraction of the accretion material forming the planet and the delivery of gasses to the planetary surface by impactors during the late heavy bombardment (LHB). The amount and composition of the volatile fraction influences the outgassing of the Earth mantle during the last planetary formation period. A very weakened form of outgassing activity can still be observed today by examining the composition of volcanic gasses. An enlightenment of the second process is based on the sparse records of the LHB impactors resulting from the composition of meteorites, observed cometary comas, and the impact material found on the Moon. However, for an assessment of the influence of the outgassing on the one hand and the LHB event on the other, one has to supplement the observations with numerical simulations of the formation of volatiles and their incorporation into the accretion material which is the precursors of planetary matter, comets and asteroids. These simulations are performed with a combined hydrodynamic-chemical model of the solar nebula (SN). We calculate the chemical composition of the gas and dust phase of the SN. From these data, we draw conclusions on the upper limits of the water content and the amount of carbon and nitrogen rich volatiles incorporated later into the accretion material. Knowing these limits we determine the portion of major gas compounds delivered during the LHB and compare it with the related quantities of the outgassed species.

Tornow, C.↗

NASA NTRS1979

Theory of molecular rate processes in the presence of intense laser radiation

The present paper deals with the influence of intense laser radiation on gas-phase molecular rate processes. Representations of the radiation field, the particle system, and the interaction involving these two entities are discussed from a general rather than abstract point of view. The theoretical methods applied are outlined, and the formalism employed is illustrated by application to a variety of specific processes. Quantum mechanical and semiclassical treatments of representative atom-atom and atom-diatom collision processes in the presence of a field are examined, and examples of bound-continuum processes and heterogeneous catalysis are discussed within the framework of both quantum-mechanical and semiclassical theories.

George, T. F.↗

DOE OSTI2020

Phase Formation in Nuclear Fallout

An understanding of the physical and chemical process occurring in a nuclear explosion enables predictions of the effects of nuclear weapons, including characteristics of radioactive fallout resulting from the explosion. Near-surface nuclear explosions are of particular interest due to the potential for significant amounts of environmental material to interact with and alter the physical and chemical behavior of the fireball. Such interactions have the potential to affect the distribution of radioactive species in the fireball and subsequently become incorporated into fallout through a process known as radiochemical fractionation. Studying variations in fallout formed in different historical testing environments allows us to understand the influence of local environments on fallout formation processes. In particular, constraining variations in thermal evolution and redox conditions during the evolution of the fireball can be useful to understanding how sensitive fallout radiochemical fractionation may be to the local explosion environment. However, untangling these conditions in complex, multicomponent fallout is a challenge. Here we present one method of constraining and interpreting fallout formation conditions by relating computationally derived phase stability predictions to observations in historic fallout. Development of such approaches will help improve physics-based models of fallout formation and radiochemical fractionation in complex, near surface nuclear detonations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Influence of twist pitch on hysteretic losses and transport J c in overpressure processed high J c Bi-2212 round wires

Abstract Bi-2212 is the only high field, high-temperature superconductor (HTS) available in the macroscopically isotropic, multifilament high J c round wire (RW) form capable of generating high uniformity fields with minimum-screening current errors. However, the heat treatment that enables impressively high J c (4.2 K, 30 T) values that can attain ∼5000 A mm −2 also produces significant filament bonding (bridging). Filament bridging appears to significantly enhance hysteretic losses of the filaments themselves by coupling neighboring, nominally independent filaments, enabling shielding currents to flow across multiple filaments as though they were one filament of much larger diameter. Wire twisting can be employed to reduce filament-to-filament eddy current coupling losses due to induced currents flowing across the matrix, but twisting is less effective in reducing increased losses from bridging. Here, we compare the twist-pitch dependence of the losses of overpressure processed (OP) high J c Bi-2212 RWs with partially bridged filaments to those found in OP Bi-2212 RWs with discrete, not-bridged filaments. We show that filament sub-bundles in standard, partially-bridged wires that have some superconducting connections between filaments can exhibit significant coupling (much larger effective filament diameter), but twisting still reduces their hysteretic losses to values close to or below the ITER Nb 3 Sn wire loss specification, even though Bi-2212 wires have significantly larger J c values. Although it has been reported that twisting can reduce wire J c by damaging filaments, we found no reduction in transport J c , even for nominal twist pitches of 12 mm in 0.8 mm diameter wires. Evaluation of more-recent, higher J c Engi-Mat powder wires showed that their reduced filament bridging and improved longitudinal connectivity significantly improved transport J c and reduced the J c normalized losses, signaling that J c can be further improved without commensurate increase in losses. This important result strengthens the argument for production of high field, low loss HTS magnets made with Bi-2212 RWs.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

NASA NTRS1974

Statistical evaluation of the significance of the influence of abrupt changes in solar activity on the dynamics of the epidemic process

Statistical evaluations of the significance of the relationship of abrupt changes in solar activity and discontinuities in the multi-year pattern of an epidemic process are reported. They reliably (with probability of more than 99.9%) show the real nature of this relationship and its great specific weight (about half) in the formation of discontinuities in the multi-year pattern of the processes in question.

Druzhinin, I. P.↗

NASA NTRS2006

Influence of Aerosols on Monsoon Circulation and Hydroclimate

Long recognized as a major environmental hazard, aerosol is now known to have strong impacts on both regional and global water cycles and climate change. In the Asian monsoon regions, the response of the regional water cycle and climate to aerosol forcing is very complex, not only because of presence of diverse mix of aerosol species with vastly different radiative properties, but also because the monsoon is strongly influenced by ocean and land surface processes, land use, land change, as well as regional and global greenhouse warming effects. Thus, sorting out the impacts of aerosol forcing, and interaction with the monsoon water cycle is a very challenging problem. Up to now, besides the general notion that aerosols may significantly impact monsoon through altering large scale radiative heating gradients, there has been very little information regarding the specific signatures, and mechanisms of aerosol-monsoon water cycle interaction. In this talk, based on preliminary results from observations and climate model experiments, I will offer some insights into how aerosols may impact the Asian monsoon water cycle, in particular the effects of absorbing aerosols (dust and black carbon), and the role of the Tibetan Plateau. The influence of aerosol forcing relative to those due to sea surface temperature and land surface processes, and impact on potential predictability of the monsoon climate system will also be discussed.

Lau, William K.↗

NASA NTRS2007

Influence of Aerosols on Monsoon Circulation and Hydroclimate

Lau, William K.M.↗

NASA NTRS2011

The Regolith of 4 Vesta: Perspectives from Howardite Meteorites and Dawn Mission Observations

4 Vesta is the largest asteroid with a basaltic surface, the only surviving differentiated asteroid recording igneous processes from the earliest phase of solar system history. The Dawn spacecraft is in orbit about Vesta pursuing a campaign of high resolution imaging and visible and infrared spectrometry of the surface; compositional mapping by gamma-ray and neutron spectrometry will follow. Vesta is heavily cratered with a surface covered by impact debris, a regolith. One important goal of the Dawn mission is to develop an understanding of regolith processes that are affecting this surface debris. Regolith characteristics are a record of interaction with the environment (e.g., impactors, dust, solar wind, galactic cosmic-rays) and give evidence of surface processes (down-gravity movement, etc.). Regolith mineralogy and composition reflect the local bedrock, with influences from regional and global mixing. Understanding regolith processes will aid in determining the lithology of underlying crust. Vesta is most likely the parent asteroid of the howardite, eucrite and diogenite meteorites. Eucrites are intrusive and extrusive mafic rocks composed mostly of ferroan low-Ca clinopyroxene and calcic plagioclase, while diogenites are cumulate magnesian orthopyroxenites. Magmatism occurred within a few million years of the formation of the solar system and then ceased. Impacts into the igneous crust produced the howardites - polymict breccias composed of mineral and lithic debris derived mostly from eucrites and diogenites. Some howardites are true regolith breccias formed by lithification of extensively impact-gardened surface debris. However, howardites have a number of significant petrologic and compositional differences from mature lunar regolith breccias and soils reflecting the different environment around Vesta compared to that at 1 AU. The most significant differences are the higher impactor flux with a lower mean impact velocity and the lower gravity. As a result, regolith processes on Vesta differ in detail from those on the Moon. Laboratory study of howardites and orbital investigation of Vesta will allow for development of robust models of regolith formation on hand sample to multi-kilometer scales.

Mittlefehldt, David W.↗

NASA NTRS2014

Integrating Land Cover Modeling and Adaptive Management to Conserve Endangered Species and Reduce Catastrophic Fire Risk

Land cover modeling is used to inform land management, but most often via a two-step process where science informs how management alternatives can influence resources and then decision makers can use this to make decisions. A more efficient process is to directly integrate science and decision making, where science allows us to learn to better accomplish management objectives and is developed to address specific decisions. Co-development of management and science is especially productive when decisions are complicated by multiple objectives and impeded by uncertainty. Multiple objectives can be met by specification of tradeoffs, and relevant uncertainty can be addressed through targeted science (i.e., models and monitoring). We describe how to integrate habitat and fuels monitoring with decision making focused on dual objectives of managing for endangered species and minimizing catastrophic fire risk. Under certain conditions, both objectives might be achieved by a similar management policy, but habitat trajectories suggest tradeoffs. Knowledge about system responses to actions can be informed by applying competing management actions to different land units in the same system state and by ideas about fire behavior. Monitoring and management integration is important to optimize state-specific management decisions and increase knowledge about system responses. We believe this approach has broad utility for and cover modeling programs intended to inform decision making.

adaptive management↗

DOE OSTI2026

Texture Evolution of Plated Lithium in Anode-Free Solid-State Batteries

Here, this study investigates lithium plating texture in anode-free solid-state batteries using synchrotron-based X-ray diffraction. Conventional methods are limited by lithium’s low electron density and softness, which hinders direct interrogation in anode-free solid-state batteries. Results reveal that lithium plating texture is influenced by temperature and current density. Under mild conditions, lithium exhibited a ⟨110⟩ fiber texture. However, higher current densities and elevated temperatures led to a more randomized orientation, suggesting a dependence on plating conditions. The results highlight how the operating and processing conditions for lithium metal can influence the texture of lithium metal and reversible operation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

TunIO: An AI-powered Framework for Optimizing HPC I/O

I/O operations are a known performance bottleneck of HPC applications. To achieve good performance, users often employ an iterative multistage tuning process to find an optimal I/O stack configuration. However, an I/O stack contains multiple layers, such as high-level I/O libraries, I/O middleware, and parallel file systems, and each layer has many parameters. These parameters and layers are entangled and influenced by each other. The tuning process is time-consuming and complex. In this work, we present TunIO, an AI-powered I/O tuning framework that implements several techniques to balance the tuning cost and performance gain, including tuning the high-impact parameters first. Furthermore, TunIO analyzes the application source code to extract its I/O kernel while retaining all statements necessary to perform I/O. It utilizes a smart selection of high-impact configuration parameters of the given tuning objective. Finally, it uses a novel Reinforcement Learning (RL)-driven early stopping mechanism to balance the cost and performance gain. Experimental results show that TunIO leads to a reduction of up to ≈73% in tuning time while achieving the same performance gain when compared to H5Tuner. It achieves a significant performance gain/cost of 208.4 MBps/min (I/O bandwidth for each minute spent in tuning) over existing approaches under our testing.

Rajesh, Neeraj↗

NASA NTRS1999

Radiative Importance of Aerosol-Cloud Interaction

Aerosol particles are input into the troposphere by biomass burning, among other sources. These aerosol palls cover large expanses of the earth's surface. Aerosols may directly scatter solar radiation back to space, thus increasing the earth's albedo and act to cool the earth's surface and atmosphere. Aerosols also contribute to the earth's energy balance indirectly. Hygroscopic aerosol act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and thus affects cloud properties. In 1977, Twomey theorized that additional available CCN would create smaller but more numerous cloud droplets in a cloud with a given amount of liquid water. This in turn would increase the cloud albedo which would scatter additional radiation back to space and create a similar cooling pattern as the direct aerosol effect. Estimates of the magnitude of the aerosol indirect effect on a global scale range from 0.0 to -4.8 W/sq m. Thus the indirect effect can be of comparable magnitude and opposite in sign to the estimates of global greenhouse gas forcing Aerosol-cloud interaction is not a one-way process. Just as aerosols have an influence on clouds through the cloud microphysics, clouds have an influence on aerosols. Cloud droplets are solutions of liquid water and CCN, now dissolved. When the cloud droplet evaporates it leaves behind an aerosol particle. This new particle does not have to have the same properties as the original CCN. In fact, studies show that aerosol particles that result from cloud processing are larger in size than the original CCN. Optical properties of aerosol particles are dependent on the size of the particles. Larger particles have a smaller backscattering fraction, and thus less incoming solar radiation will be backscattered to space if the aerosol particles are larger. Therefore, we see that aerosols and clouds modify each other to influence the radiative balance of the earth. Understanding and quantifying the spatial and seasonal patterns of the aerosol indirect forcing may have even greater consequences. Presently we know that through the use of fossil fuel and land-use changes we have increased the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. In parallel, we have seen a modest increase of global temperature in the last century. These two observations have been linked as cause and effect by climate models, but this connection is still experimentally not verified. The spatial and seasonal distribution of aerosol forcing is different from that of greenhouse gases, thus generating a different spatial fingerprint of climate change. This fingerprint was suggested as a method to identify the response of the climate system to anthropogenic forcing of greenhouse gases and aerosol. The aerosol fingerprint may be the only way to firmly establish the presence (or absence) of human impact on climate. Aerosol-cloud interaction through the indirect effect will be an important component of establishing this fingerprint.

Tsay, Si-Chee↗

DOE OSTI2025

Factors That Influence Variability in Stress-Drop Measurements Using Spectral Decomposition and Spectral-Ratio Methods for the 2019 Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence

Stress drop is a fundamental parameter related to earthquake source physics, but is hard to measure accurately. To better understand how different factors influence stress-drop measurements, we compare two different methods using the Ridgecrest stress-drop validation data set: spectral decomposition (SD) and spectral ratio (SR), each with different processing options. Here, we also examine the influence of spectral complexity on source parameter measurement. Applying the SD method, we find that frequency bandwidth and time-window length could influence spectral magnitude calibration, while depth-dependent attenuation is important to correctly map stress-drop variations. For the SR method, we find that the selected source model has limited influence on the measurements; however, the Boatwright model tends to produce smaller standard deviation and larger magnitude dependence than the Brune model. Variance reduction threshold, frequency bandwidth, and time-window length, if chosen within an appropriate parameter range, have limited influence on source parameter measurement. For both methods, wave type, attenuation correction, and spectral complexity strongly influence the result. The scale factor that quantifies the magnitude dependence of stress drop show large variations with different processing options, and earthquakes with complex source spectra deviating from the Brune-type source models tend to have larger scale factor than earthquakes without complexity. Based on these detailed comparisons, we make a few specific suggestions for data processing workflows that could help future studies of source parameters and interpretations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

When x-rays alter the course of your experiments

The continuing increase in the brilliance of synchrotron radiation beamlines allows for many new and exciting experiments that were impossible before the present generation of synchrotron radiation sources came on line. However, the exposure to such intense beams also tests the limits of what samples can endure. Whilst the effects of radiation induced damage in a static experiment often can easily be recognized by changes in the diffraction or spectroscopy curves, the influence of radiation on chemical or physical processes, where one expects curves to change, is less often recognized and can be misinterpreted as a 'real' result instead of as a 'radiation influenced result'. This is especially a concern in time-resolved materials science experiments using techniques as powder diffraction, small angle scattering and x-ray absorption spectroscopy. In this work, the effects of radiation (5–50 keV) on some time-resolved processes in different types of materials and in different physical states are discussed. We show that such effects are not limited to soft matter and biology but rather can be found across the whole spectrum of materials research, over a large range of radiation doses and is not limited to very high brilliance beamlines.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

NASA NTRS1991

The effect of processing conditions on solidified structures in immiscible systems

The incentive for low-gravity processing of immiscible alloys is usually tied to an attempt to eliminate sedimentation of the more dense immiscible liquid phase during processing. However, many other factors can influence the solidified structure of these alloys. For example, crucible wetting by one of the immiscible liquid phases during normal (non-directional) low-gravity solidification in a container has been shown to often lead to a completely separated structure. For containerless, low-gravity processing, alloy composition has a tremendous affect on the structure formed. During directional solidification, alloy composition, thermal gradient, solidification rate, convective instability and the miscibility gap height of the system all have a major effect on the structures obtained. This paper discusses the conditions necessary for the production of desired microstructures in each of these processing techniques. Examples are shown of samples processed under both desirable and undesirable conditions.

Andrews, J. B.↗

NASA NTRS2014

Implementation of Statistical Process Control: Evaluating the Mechanical Performance of a Candidate Silicone Elastomer Docking Seal

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration has been developing a novel docking system to meet the requirements of future exploration missions to low-Earth orbit and beyond. A dynamic gas pressure seal is located at the main interface between the active and passive mating components of the new docking system. This seal is designed to operate in the harsh space environment, but is also to perform within strict loading requirements while maintaining an acceptable level of leak rate. In this study, a candidate silicone elastomer seal was designed, and multiple subscale test articles were manufactured for evaluation purposes. The force required to fully compress each test article at room temperature was quantified and found to be below the maximum allowable load for the docking system. However, a significant amount of scatter was observed in the test results. Due to the stochastic nature of the mechanical performance of this candidate docking seal, a statistical process control technique was implemented to isolate unusual compression behavior from typical mechanical performance. The results of this statistical analysis indicated a lack of process control, suggesting a variation in the manufacturing phase of the process. Further investigation revealed that changes in the manufacturing molding process had occurred which may have influenced the mechanical performance of the seal. This knowledge improves the chance of this and future space seals to satisfy or exceed design specifications.

docking seal↗