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At least 1,045 records · Page 58

Markov Process to Evaluate the Value Proposition of a Risk-Informed Predictive Maintenance Strategy

To achieve high-capacity factors, the nuclear fleet has relied on labor-intensive and time-consuming operation and preventive maintenance programs for plant systems. Manually performed inspection, calibration, testing, and maintenance of plant assets at periodic frequencies, along with time-based replacement of assets irrespective of condition, have resulted in a costly, labor-centric business model. Fortunately, there are technologies that can eliminate unnecessary preventive maintenance activities by deploying risk-informed predictive maintenance, enabling the transition to a technology-centric business model. The technology-centric business model will enable plants to optimize and automate maintenance activities, leading to cost reductions since labor is a rising cost and technology is a declining cost. The implementation of scalable technologies and methodologies across plant systems and across the nuclear fleet is critical for successful deployment of a risk-informed predictive maintenance strategy at commercial nuclear power plants. The work presented in the report is being developed as part of a collaborative research effort between Idaho National Laboratory and Public Service Enterprise Group Nuclear, LLC. This report describes the technical basis using the Markov Process to evaluate the value proposition for the risk-informed predictive maintenance strategy for the circulating water system. The plant process data from the Salem nuclear plant’s circulating water system is utilized to develop a Markov chain risk models and formulation to estimate the loss and gain in revenue based on plant availability. The outcomes presented in this report provides the technical basis for extensive quantitative evaluation of a scalable risk-informed predictive maintenance strategy as part of future research.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Summary of FY 2024 A709 Code Case testing at ANL, INL and ORNL

A collaborative research and development effort in support of the Alloy 709 Code Case qualification in the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, Section III, Division 5, High Temperature Reactors is being carried out at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Idaho National Laboratory (INL), and Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). Key testing data for the Alloy 709 100,000-hr near-term Code Case submittal to ASME is expected to be completed by the end of 2024, with design parameters anticipated to be finalized in FY 2025. This report summarizes the testing results for three commercial heats of Alloy 709 conducted across three laboratories, reviews the current testing status, and outlines the remaining data needed to support the first Alloy 709 Code Case submittal to ASME. The Alloy 709 Code Case plan remains on schedule.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Application of Partial Least Squares Approaches to Pyroprocessing ER Data

Multivariate approaches show promise for application to process monitoring for safeguards of pyroprocessing. Past MPACT work explored the application of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to detect off-normal conditions in pyroprocessing electrorefiner (ER) data from in the Hot Fuel Examination Facility (HFEF) at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) known as the Scalable Pyrochemical Recycling testbed (SPyRe) ER. PCA, however, does not consider the output variables. In FY24, multivariate analysis was extended from PCA to Partial Least Squares (PLS) analysis. PLS maximizes the variance between both the input signals and output variables. In the case of this work, PLS was applied in two different manners: Predictive PLS and Discriminant PLS. Predictive PLS maximizes the covariance between the process variables of the ER and the measured U concentration from in-situ voltammetry. Discriminant PLS maximizes the covariance between the process variables and a set of training process “states” such as known off-normal conditions. By projecting into the latent variable space in PLS, the process variables can be regressed onto the outputs and predictions can be made for new data sets. In this work, by applying predictive PLS, a penalized non-linear PLS approach was able to make predictions of concentration based on test and training data and detect when operations were off-normal. However, the predictive PLS does not classify the signals to which off-normal operations are attributable. Discriminant PLS can be used to classify off-normal operations but is inadequate to properly classify specific off-normal classes like power supply faults when the Discriminant PLS model is only specifically trained to detect that off-normal class. When all faults are trained against the observation data, all three operational classes are accurately classified and distinguished. Thus, future application of latent variable techniques should not select any given method, but should use a mixture of PCA, Predictive PLS, and Discriminant PLS.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Atom Probe characterization of neutron irradiated commercial ZIRLO® and AXIOM X2® alloys

As part of the Mechanistic Understanding of ZIrconium Corrosion (MUZIC) program, this team has been instrumental to obtain EPRI and Westinghouse sponsorships to prepare the neutron irradiated ZIRLO® and X2® from Vogtle nuclear power plant and ship them from Studsvik’s (Sweden) hot cells to Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to be part of the NSUF library. The uniqueness of these sets of neutron irradiated alloys is that they are at the same two extremes of the fuel cycles, allowing us to study the microchemistry evolution as a function of irradiation doses, exposure time and solute content. Advanced commercial Zirconium-Niobium (Zr-Nb) alloys, such as ZIRLO® and AXIOM®, have been developed by Westinghouse to enhance the corrosion resistance of fuel cladding material for longer service time. This study specifically aims at investigating the neutron irradiation induced Nb redistribution in AXIOM® X2® to understand the effect of neutron irradiation induced microchemistry changes and the irradiation enhanced corrosion resistance observed in ZrNb alloys. The detailed sample information on chemical composition and irradiation is given in shown in Table 1a and 1b respectively. To study the neutron IIP/nanoclusters and Nb concentration in the solid solution, atom probe tomography (APT) is the primary tool to obtain reliable chemical information. APT specimens were prepared in shielded focused ion beam (FIB) at the Irradiated Materials Characterization Laboratory (IMCL) at INL followed by APT analysis at CAES facility using LEAP 4000XR

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NEAMS Reactor Physics Project Management and Coordination Activities

The following report summarizes the coordination activities and collaboration efforts by research staff at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Idaho National Laboratory, and Argonne National Laboratory for the development of Shift and Griffin computer codes under the US Department of Energy’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Report on the Integration of Experimental and Modeling Data for Initial Equivalence Study of Microstructural Evolution in Irradiated LPBF 316SS

Advanced materials and manufacturing technologies are poised to improve the safety and design characteristics of nuclear technologies and meet US energy, environmental, and economic needs. In particular, metal additive manufacturing (AM) provides an opportunity to produce novel materials and component geometries, but their use is not without hurdles arising from the inherent microstructure variability that can result from the layer-by-layer build approach. Given the greater possible microstructure variability in AM materials—and the dearth of materials test reactors—it is impractical to rely solely on neutron irradiation studies to produce data for materials qualification for every possibility. This work within the Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technologies (AMMT) Environmental Effects technical area contributes to the rapid qualification framework by developing a science-driven framework for the accelerated qualification of materials for nuclear environments. A key product of the Environmental Effects technical area of the AMMT program is the Licensing Approach with Ions and Neutrons (LAIN). This approach recognizes that whether using existing materials in new environments, newly developed materials tailored for these environments, or new manufacturing methods, the traditional decades-long approach for materials qualification does not facilitate rapid deployment. In FY 2023, the AMMT program presented a conceptual framework of specific steps to fulfill several technical challenges associated with qualifying materials for performance in radiation environments on an accelerated time frame informed by the state of the art in materials science and a review of the current regulatory landscape. The objective of this section of the Environmental Effects technical area is to critically evaluate and refine the proposed qualification framework presented under AMMT by integrating the research results of the neutron irradiations, the ion irradiations, and modeling efforts. These ongoing efforts span across Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Idaho National Laboratory (INL), and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and are closely coordinated.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Single Primary Heat Extraction and Removal Emulator (SPHERE) Long Duration Testing

For heat-pipe cooled microreactor development, it is essential to understand the characteristics of heat pipes and how they function under a wide range of operating conditions. An important process for heat-pipe cooled microreactor development is the passive heat removal and how the performance may change over long periods of time. Increased experimental data provides additional information to assess the operational lifetime of alkali metal heat pipes. Idaho National Laboratory has completed testing over a long duration of a high-performance sodium filled heat pipe while monitoring axial temperature profile, power supplied by the heaters, and heat removed by a gas-gap calorimeter. The results from this testing can aid in heat pipe validation efforts.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

An Update on Microreactor Automated Control System (MACS)

Automation of control systems is expected to be important in the economic and safe operation of microreactors. There is a need to develop and demonstrate automated control for microreactors, along with the development of testbeds for this purpose. This report provides updates on the status of a microreactor automated control system (MACS) testbed developed to test control system automation. While a future goal is to demonstrate this system using a prototypic microreactor such as MARVEL, the present focus is on developing and testing within a non-nuclear testbed. The testbed, developed in collaboration with Idaho National Laboratory, includes hardware-in-the-loop simulation and uses a Modelica-based model of a prototypic microreactor for use in testing control automation. Research to date at Oak Ridge National Laboratory has focused on the development of prototypic software for automating plant-level control under selected scenarios. Empirical testing on the integrated MACS testbed was performed to quantify key characteristics of the integrated testbed and to demonstrate the use of the software for automating the calculation and use of actuation setpoints for selected load-following scenarios. Ongoing research is focused on integrating additional control algorithms that utilize data from newly included sensors within the MACS hardware testbed, as well as demonstrating and assessing the performance of the different automated control algorithms on multiple additional operational scenarios.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Once-Through Steam Generator Model Analysis Using Python and Advanced Optimization Tools (Summer Internship Report)

This study focuses on the parametric analysis of design parameters for a once-through steam generator (OTSG) model, using python and advanced optimization tools to facilitate applications such as the flowing autoclave steam generator (FASG) test cases. Building on previous research involving another OTSG with a different design, this project aims to enhance our understanding of how steam generators (SGs) behave and how their outputs are influenced by changes in design. The reason for this design change is to allow for more precise modeling and optimization of SG performance, to provide a comparative analysis between the two designs, and to set up the model for integration with the FASG test case. The OTSG python-model is a mathematical representation (including fluid flow and heat transfer equations/models/correlations) of a steam-generating unit in a pressurized water reactor-type small modular reactor system. Design studies involve changing the model’s input design parameters to observe the resulting effects on the output of the system. By using advanced optimization tools, such as the Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) developed at Idaho National Laboratory, detailed design parametric studies and model optimization were performed. Six input parameters—pressure, temperature, and mass flow rate for the inlet of the primary-side (hot fluid) and secondary-side (cold fluid), respectively, of the SG—were randomly perturbed via RAVEN’s Monte Carlo Sampler module, using uniform distributions (i.e., ±1%, ±5% and ±10% relative changes) for 600 samples. The analysis provides valuable insights into SG optimization and can be used for sensor placement optimization to effectively monitor and obtain experimental data in other tests.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Bioenergy Feedstock Library Annual Summary Report 2024

The Bioenergy Feedstock Library (BFL), part of the Biomass Feedstock National User Facility (BFNUF) located at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), is a physical sample repository and a web-accessible electronic database. The BFL stores physical and chemical characteristics of biomass and waste carbon sources for energy use, as well as samples generated from U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO) and U.S. Department of Agriculture-funded projects. The objective of this Bioenergy Feedstock Library Annual Summary Report for 2024, similar to the 2023 Annual Summary Report , is to focus on the updates to: (1) publicly available analytical data and equipment tracked through the BFNUF, (2) significant increases in the physical samples available for request, (3) sample and data archival progress from recent BETO-funded projects, and (4) publicly available data sets created upon request from BETO, INL projects, or outside entities compared to the previous annual summary reports. This report highlights key statistics and available data and information important for INL, BFL users, academics, and industry.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Demonstration and Evaluation of Explainable and Trustworthy Predictive Technology for Condition-based Maintenance

The domestic nuclear power plant (NPP) fleet has historically relied on labor-intensive and time-consuming predictive maintenance (PdM) programs, thus driving up operation and maintenance (O&M) costs to achieve high-capacity factors. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine-learning (ML) can help simplify complex problems such as diagnosing equipment degradation to enable more effective decision-making efforts. The benefits of AI will be felt through more efficient plant O&M, improved work processes, and better integration of people and technology. Together, these benefits hold the promise to make nuclear power more sustainable by reducing O&M costs while improving employee engagement. While AI and ML technologies hold significant promise for the nuclear industry, there are challenges or barriers to their adoption. Explainability and trustworthiness of AI are two salient challenges that need to be addressed for wider deployment of these technologies in NPPs. This research focuses specifically on addressing the explainability and trustworthiness of AI technologies to advance the human, technical, and organization (HTO) readiness levels in adopting a risk-informed PdM strategy at commercial NPPs. In addition, this approach can be adapted to enhance the acceptability of AI in other nuclear applications with a few application-specific modifications. The technical approach ensuring wider adoption of AI technologies was developed by Idaho National Laboratory (INL)—in collaboration with Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG), Nuclear, LLC—by utilizing the circulating water system (CWS) at two PSEG-owned plant sites for demonstration. Focused user studies were performed in collaboration with subject matter experts (SMEs) from PSEG and other nuclear domains to enhance human and organization readiness by building trust in AI-informed technologies. VIsualization for PrEdictive maintenance Recommendation (VIPER)—a Battelle Energy Alliance, LLC, copyrighted software—was developed and expanded to provide a user-centric visualization by incorporating inputs from the collaborating utility, human factors engineering guidelines, and data analysts. The VIPER software enables users, who may be unfamiliar with ML in general, to be interactively engaged by asking technical questions about PdM, work orders, diagnosis results and their confidence levels, the kind of data being used, and the types of ML algorithms employed. This interactive engagement enhances explainability and builds trust. One of the enabling accomplishments was the integration of large language models (LLMs), both text-based and vision-based, in the VIPER software.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Development and Refinement of Bison Models for Higher Burnup Application

Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) is an international research organization funded by organizations in the energy and government sectors. The company conducts research to tackle the energy challenges of its member organizations. In support of the U.S. nuclear industry, EPRI and Idaho National Laboratory were awarded a U.S. Department of Energy Technology Commercialization Fund to develop a loss of coolant accident (LOCA) analysis tool. This tool was developed to support burnup extension activities by supplementing the existing capabilities of operators of existing large light-water reactor plants. The tool couples INL developed codes Bison and RELAP5-3D for advanced simulation of LOCA behavior. The project consists of seven major tasks, one of which is the development and refinement of Bison models for higher burnup applications. This task is broken down into six targeted areas of development and refinement including: formation of high burnup structure, fuel fracture and pulverization, transient fission gas release, axial gas communication within a fuel rod, cladding ballooning and burst, and axial fuel relocation. This report summarizes the models for both the fuel and cladding in Bison for high burnup application, identifies the areas of development and refinement necessary to enhance the Bison capabilities to be used in the coupled simulation tool with RELAP5-3D. Integration and regression testing to demonstrate proper implementation of the new features in Bison is highlighted.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Study of Electrorefiner Sediment Re-Chlorination Options

A study was performed to investigate re-chlorination options for electrorefiner sediment, fulfilling a DOE Level 4 milestone within the Material Recovery and Waste Form Development campaign. The study stems from the recent identification of sediment that had accumulated in a kg-scale uranium electrorefiner at Idaho National Laboratory’s Hot Fuel Examination Facility. The study involved surveying, evaluating, and recommending options for re-chlorinating, or otherwise recovering, actinides from the sediment. Several options were investigated, including chemical and electrochemical techniques on the sediment within the electrorefiner (in situ approaches) or after its removal from the electrorefiner (ex situ approaches). A baseline approach was identified, involving electrolytic reduction of the removed sediment and subsequent electrorefining. Some options were dismissed for various deficiencies, while other options were recommended for further investigation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

4th Big Data for Nuclear Power Plants Workshop 2023

The Ohio State University and Idaho National Laboratory organized the 4 th Big Data for Nuclear Power Plants Workshop in November, 2023 in Columbus, Ohio. Workshop topics were chosen to understand the challenges and gaps that need to be addressed to maximize the impact of data on the nuclear industry, as well as the associated applications and risks. Discussions were focused around six specific application areas: Operation and Maintenance; Machine Learning in Nuclear Materials and Advanced Manufacturing; Cybersecurity; High-Performance Computing and Massive Computation; Big Data and Digital Twins; and Nuclear Non-Proliferation. The opportunities, challenges, and risks identified in the six focus areas explored in this workshop are diverse, but some common themes emerge, such as the importance of data integrity, quality, coverage, privacy, and traceability. Big data and AI/ML tools can be leveraged to reduce costs, optimize human tasking, and reduce human error across various application areas. In order for the nuclear industry to benefit from big data and advanced analytic capabilities, it is essential to address challenges and risks, such as data privacy, model reliability, and computational resource availability. Learning from other industries that have successfully implemented big data and AI/ML technologies, like the aerospace industry, can help the nuclear industry successfully integrate these technologies.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Data-Informed Evaluation Framework for Integrated Energy Systems: Insights from Power, Process Heat, and Hydrogen Production Applications

The multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework provides a systematic evaluation of the diverse preferences and performance metrics associated with alternative solutions. This approach is advantageous over a single-criterion methodology, which are only valid under conditions that assume ceteris paribus or an "apples-to-apples" comparison. However, selecting suitable technologies for integrated energy systems (IES) can be likened to an "apples-to-oranges" comparison, given the heterogeneous factors at stake. These factors include economics and performance parameters, geological compatibility, and environmental impacts. Consequently, past research has often employed a mixture of qualitative and quantitative criteria tailored to the specific interests of each study. While the method proves effective in handling the intricate interplay of criteria, the resulting rankings and scores can vary from study to study. This inconsistency is introduced from the use of subjectively defined thresholds and weights. As a result, decision-makers frequently find it challenging to establish clear connections between specific criteria and the resulting scores, as the transformation of criteria into ordinal scores results in a substantial loss of information. To address this challenge, we introduce a data-informed IES evaluation framework that offers comprehensive, interpretable, and traceable evaluations backed by quantifiable rationale. First, we identified key IES evaluation criteria from a decade of literature, focusing on relevant IES applications in power, process heat, and hydrogen production. We leveraged state-of-the-art cost estimates from the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and technical data from 78 reactor designs from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development - Nuclear Energy Agency (OECD-NEA). Lastly, we established thresholds by analyzing the mean, variance, root mean square, and slope of values across alternatives, categorizing the preferences of decision-makers into distinct utility functions, such as linear, saturating, exponential, and stepwise. Our approach yielded two main outcomes: (1) it provided consistent assessments across different stakeholder groups and (2) it visualized uncertainties in the decision-making context via comprehensive sensitivity analysis. To demonstrate the impact of our framework, we conducted case studies on 6 reactor designs (AP1000, NuScale, BWRX-300, Xe-100, eVinci, iMSR) for the three applications. Our data-driven framework proved to be highly effective in addressing heterogenous uncertainties faced by varied decision-makers? preferences and IES applications, as well as cost and technical estimates of advanced reactors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Improved Cross Section Generation Capability of Griffin in FY22

The Griffin code is a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) based reactor multiphysics analysis application jointly developed by Idaho National Laboratory and Argonne National Laboratory. The code includes a variety of deterministic steady-state transport solvers for fixed source, k-eigenvalue, adjoint, and subcritical multiplication as well as transient solvers for spatial dynamics with the improved quasi-static method. Griffin uses cross section data in the ISOXML format generated from external deterministic or Monte Carlo cross section generation codes. In recent years, the MC 2 -3 modules have been added to Griffin for fast reactor cross section generation, and the self-shielding application programming interface (SSAPI) was implemented in the ISOXML module for thermal reactor cross section generation. The on-the-fly slowing down method and double-heterogeneity treatment have been implemented to SSAPI and verified against particulate fuel-bearing graphite-moderated thermal reactor problems with high accuracy. This year, work has been focused on improving the cross section generation capability of ISOXML and streamlining the cross section generation procedures. In addition, the form function data were added to ISOXML in order to support the pin power reconstruction capability that was newly implemented in Griffin in this fiscal year. To facilitate the cross section generation using MC 2 -3 and SSAPI in Griffin, the cross section generation workflows have been set up for both fast and thermal spectrum reactors. The MOOSE action system tool was devised for fast spectrum problems, and the MOOSE stochastic tool was adopted to the branch calculation procedure for thermal spectrum problems. Meanwhile, to ensure the accuracy of group-constants, the thermal up-scattering kernel calculator accounting for resonance scattering was implemented in ISOXML, demonstrating the accurate computation of a Doppler-broadened scattering kernel of any Legendre order within a reasonable timescale. Other aspects of ISOXML, such as deletion solver and data, documentation, ISOXML file management, and the interface for Mixture, were improved as well.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Accident Tolerant Fuel Test (ATF-2c) Irradiation Test Report

A new fully prototypic testing platform for testing new accident tolerant fuel (ATF) designs for light water reactors has been established in the center flux trap of Idaho National Laboratory’s advanced test reactor (ATR). The irradiation experiment named ATF-2C has completed its first cycle of prototypic steady state irradiation. Irradiation conditions have been maintained via the loop 2a pressurized water coolant loop and have been monitored through in-situ instrumentation during each cycle. Power and fast neutron flux histories of each of the 24 test pins has been calculated.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Simulator Data Analysis to Inform Digitalized Environment Impacts on Human Reliability

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has developed a human reliability analysis (HRA) method, termed the Integrated Human Event Analysis System for Event and Condition Assessment (IDHEAS-ECA), in order to estimate human error probabilities (HEPs) in risk-informed regulatory applications. To update the quantification part of IDHEAS-ECA, the NRC required human performance and error data from fully digitalized main control rooms (MCRs); therefore, it requested that Idaho National Laboratory (INL) revisit previous data collection studies and investigate how the following three factors impact human reliability: self-checking, peer-checking, and automation. The HRA data collection studies revisited were the Human Reliability Data Extraction (HuREX) project, developed by the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI), and the Simplified Human Error Experimental Program (SHEEP), developed by INL. HuREX is a representative HRA data collection study that collects human reliability data from full-scope simulators staffed by licensed operators. SHEEP, on the other hand, has been proposed to complement such full-scope studies by collecting data via simplified simulators staffed by non-licensed student operators. In the HuREX study, KAERI collected HRA data from fully digitalized MCRs for the Advanced Power Reactor (APR)–1400. The SHEEP data were obtained from simplified simulators that partially mimicked the features of digitalized MCRs. The present report mainly discusses how the impacts of the aforementioned three factors on human errors were derived from these two data collection studies.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗