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At least 1,045 records · Page 58

Integrating Orbital Debris Measurements and Modeling - How Observations and Laboratory Data are used to Help Make Space Operations Safer

The NASA Orbital Debris Program Office has been statistically surveying human-made resident space objects (RSOs) in geocentric orbits for several decades, using optical and infrared telescopes. The prime goal has been to understand the evolving population and characteristics of debris generated by RSOs. The debris population includes any non-functioning RSO that no longer serves a useful purpose. Any object that cannot be purposely maneuvered, including non-functioning satellites, rocket bodies, and any object generated by a collision, explosion, or fragmentation event, may pose a future collisional threat to active satellites. Key questions immediately surface from this knowledge: What can we do to protect our precious functioning satellites from collisions? How do we design our satellites to prevent them from being future sources of debris? And what can we do as a society to protect the environment surrounding Earth to preserve it for future generations? To begin to address these questions, and to better understand this population as well as break-up events contributing to it, NASA has developed a suite of models and experimental laboratory data to work in tandem with observational and laboratory measurements of RSOs. These models include the Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM), the Standard Satellite Break-up Model (SSBM), and an evolutionary model of the environment from LEO to GEO (LEGEND). Ground-based data have been collected from the infrared telescope UKIRT (UK Infrared Telescope) in Hawaii, as well as the 1.3m Eugene Stansbery Meter Class Autonomous Telescope, ES-MCAT, historically called MCAT, on Ascension Island. MCAT will be tasked to collect GEO (Geosynchronous) survey data, scanning orbits to search for uncatalogued objects (e.g. fragmentation/break-up events (SSBM)), and targeted observations of catalogued objects for more intensive studies, e.g. when a break-up or anomalous event occurs. Laboratory experimental data includes DebriSat, a satellite impacted at ~6.9 km/s in an impact laboratory on Earth, and optical photometry from the Optical Measurements Center at NASA JSC. An integrated view will be discussed of how our telescopic observations and lab measurements interplay with models to understand the current (ORDEM) and future (LEGEND) environment, the evolution of satellite breakups (SSBM), and how this knowledge can help to promote an environment that is safer for operations.

Lederer, S. M.↗

Fabrication and testing of non-graphitic superhybrid composites

A study was conducted to determine the fabrication feasibility and the mechanical properties of adhesively-bonded boron aluminum/titanium and non-graphitic fiber/epoxy resin superhybrid (NGSH) composite laminates for potential aerospace applications. The major driver for this study was the elimination of a potential graphite fiber release problem in the event of a fire. The results of the study show that non-graphitic fibers, such as S-glass and Kevlar 49, may be substituted for the graphite fibers used in superhybrid (SH) composites for some applications. As is to be expected, however, the non-graphitic superhybrids have lower stiffness properties than the graphitic superhybrids. In-plane and flexural moduli of the laminates studied in this program can be predicted reasonably well using linear laminate theory while nonlinear laminate theory is required for strength predictions.

Lark, R. F.↗

Vertical Profiles of Latent Heat Release and Their Retrieval for TOGA COARE Convective Systems Using a Cloud Resolving Model, SSM/I, and Ship-borne Radar Data

Latent heating profiles associated with three (TOGA COARE) Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Response Experiment active convective episodes (December 10-17 1992; December 19-27 1992; and February 9-13 1993) are examined using the Goddard Cumulus Ensemble (GCE) Model and retrieved by using the Goddard Convective and Stratiform Heating (CSH) algorithm . The following sources of rainfall information are input into the CSH algorithm: Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/1), Radar and the GCE model. Diagnostically determined latent heating profiles calculated using 6 hourly soundings are used for validation. The GCE model simulated rainfall and latent heating profiles are in excellent agreement with those estimated by soundings. In addition, the typical convective and stratiform heating structures (or shapes) are well captured by the GCE model. Radar measured rainfall is smaller than that both estimated by the GCE model and SSM/I in all three different COARE IFA periods. SSM/I derived rainfall is more than the GCE model simulated for the December 19-27 and February 9-13 periods, but is in excellent agreement with the GCE model for the December 10-17 period. The GCE model estimated stratiform amount is about 50% for December 19-27, 42% for December 11-17 and 56% for the February 9-13 case. These results are consistent with large-scale analyses. The accurate estimates of stratiform amount is needed for good latent heating retrieval. A higher (lower) percentage of stratiform rain can imply a maximum heating rate at a higher (lower) altitude. The GCE model always simulates more stratiform rain (10 to 20%) than the radar for all three convective episodes. SSM/I derived stratiform amount is about 37% for December 19-27, 48% for December 11-17 and 41% for the February 9-13 case. Temporal variability of CSH algorithm retrieved latent heating profiles using either GCE model simulated or radar estimated rainfall and stratiform amount is in good agreement with that diagnostically determined for all three periods. However, less rainfall and a smaller stratiform percentage estimated by radar resulted in a weaker (underestimated) latent heating profile and a lower maximum latent heating level compared to those determined diagnostically. Rainfall information from SSM/I can not retrieve individual convective events due to poor temporal sampling. Nevertheless, this study suggests that a good 4r, rainfall retrieval from SSM/I for a convective event always leads to a good latent heating retrieval. Sensitivity testing has been performed and the results indicate that the SSM/I derived time averaged stratiform amount may be underestimated for December 19-27. Time averaged heating profiles derived from SSM/I, however, are not in bad agreement with those derived by soundings for the December 10-17 convective period. The heating retrievals may be more accurate for longer time scales provided there is no bias in the sampling.

Tao, Wei-Kuo↗

Plasma perturbations created by transverse ion heating events in the magnetosphere

The nature of plasma perturbations created by transverse ion heating in the auroral and polar region of the magnetosphere is investigated. The creation of the perturbations by transverse ion heating and their evolution are studied by solving a set of plasma transport equations along open flux tubes for geocentric altitudes not less than 9371 km/s. Both localized and extended heating events in space are considered. Both short- and long-duration heating events are studied as well. For localized heating, the perturbation in the density consists of a density cavity topped by a density bump. During the early stage the plasma in the bump is that expelled from the cavity by the mirror force. The flow velocity is enhanced over the entire perturbation. The dominant feature of the density perturbation produced by extended ion heating is the formation of a cavity expanding ever upward as long as the heating lasts. Inside the cavity and above it the perpendicular temperature and flow velocity are enhanced.

Singh, Nagendra↗

Improved particle-flow event reconstruction with scalable neural networks for current and future particle detectors

Abstract Efficient and accurate algorithms are necessary to reconstruct particles in the highly granular detectors anticipated at the High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider and the Future Circular Collider. We study scalable machine learning models for event reconstruction in electron-positron collisions based on a full detector simulation. Particle-flow reconstruction can be formulated as a supervised learning task using tracks and calorimeter clusters. We compare a graph neural network and kernel-based transformer and demonstrate that we can avoid quadratic operations while achieving realistic reconstruction. We show that hyperparameter tuning significantly improves the performance of the models. The best graph neural network model shows improvement in the jet transverse momentum resolution by up to 50% compared to the rule-based algorithm. The resulting model is portable across Nvidia, AMD and Habana hardware. Accurate and fast machine-learning based reconstruction can significantly improve future measurements at colliders.

Physics↗

New results on the Pioneer Venus Orbiter February 10-11, 1982 events - A solar wind disturbance not a comet

The characteristics of a series of disturbances observed on February 10-11, 1982 by the plasma analyzer and the magnetometer on the Pioneer Venus Orbiter, obtained in the solar wind upstream of Venus are studied. It is concluded that the events were associated with the propagation of a solar wind disturbance of coronal origin and not with an encounter with a comet or other local outgassing object (Russel, et al., 1983). The plasma analyzer spectra clearly show the presence of increases in He(2) and they argue strongly against Russell, et al.'s interpretatation. The peak in magnetic field magnitude on February 11 is identified as the magnetic signature of a thin, trailing 'filament' at the end of a series of solar-initiated events. Corresponding increases in He(2) and magnetic field fluctuations were observed near earth by ISEE-3 about a day later, and this strongly supports the concept of a solar origin.

Intriligator, D. S.↗

Investigating the Determinants of Household Capabilities Burden During Power Outages: The Case of Winter Storm Uri

Existing research primarily uses census data to identify the vulnerability of communities to hazards. These vulnerability indices provide aggregated data and are not hazard-specific nor well-validated with post-event data. In contrast, our study uses household survey data (n=1065) to understand which Texan households suffered the greatest loss of their capabilities due to power outages and other utility service disruptions during Winter Storm Uri. Inspired by the Capabilities Approach, our measures of burden include the number of household capability types disrupted during the outages (e.g., cooking, heating, refrigeration), the severity of impact for each disrupted capability, and the additional time and financial costs of coping with these disruptions. We perform a clustering analysis, and find two distinct groups in our data, consisting of ‘lesser burden' and ‘heavier burden' households. Results indicate that the households experiencing the heaviest capabilities burden were most likely to experience longer power outages and the loss of water services. They were also more likely to have a Hispanic-Latino household member, lack access to a generator, live in a rented home, have larger households with more young children, fewer adults over 65, lower household incomes, been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, and more family characteristics that made life harder. We also fit a logistic regression model to assess the role of outage, household, and community characteristics in predicting differences in capabilities burden. Our results offer insights into enumerating the consequences of utility service disruptions on households, which can inform more targeted and equitable resilience strategies.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Molecular dynamics simulations of reflection and sputtering behavior of boron under deuterium ion irradiation

Boronization is a commonly used method of wall conditioning in fusion reactors. The application of boron films to the plasma-facing materials results in enhanced plasma performance due to the reduction of intrinsic impurities. This is primarily driven by a reduction in oxygen content that is chemically trapped in the boron film. The reactive nature of these boron films also raises questions concerning interactions with hydrogen isotopes. In this work, boron-deuterium interactions were studied using molecular dynamics (MD). Reactive force field potentials were used to model the chemical interactions between B and D. An amorphous boron substrate was irradiated by D atoms at varying incident energies, 10 eV < E i < 150 eV and angles, 0° < α < 85°. The reflection probability was calculated and compared to results from the commonly-used binary collision approximation (BCA) method. This comparison found that the BCA underestimated the reflection probability at E i < 35 eV and α > 45 ∘ . The source of this discrepancy was found to be the surface binding energy model. The BCA calculation with an isotropic surface binding energy model was more closely aligned to the MD result. This, in combination with a correction function based on the MD results allows for corrections to the reflection probability of deuterium impinging on boron surfaces. The sputtering of the substrate material was also studied. While this study did not contain sufficient events to quantitatively describe the sputtering behavior, some qualitative results emerged: namely, chemical sputtering of B and D-containing molecules (BD, BD 2 , BD 3 ) at low ( < 20 eV) incident deuterium energies. This result suggests that chemical sputtering could be a significant factor in limiting boron coating lifetime when exposed to lower ion energies, such as those in detached plasmas. The results show that chemical interactions should be taken into account when modeling the interactions between D ions and B surfaces.

Boron↗

Synergies between repositioning and charging strategies for shared autonomous electric vehicle fleets

The emergence of on-demand shared autonomous electric vehicle (SAEV) service requires careful charging station planning and a joint charging and repositioning strategy to mitigate empty travel. This study couples charging and repositioning events as a means of improving service quality (rider wait times), reducing empty travel due to repositioning or charging, and improving fleet utilization (average daily trips per vehicle and charging queues). This synergy is explored for the Austin, Texas region using POLARIS, an agent-based model. On average, wait times were 39% lower, and average daily trips served per SAEV increased up to 6.4 (or 28%) compared to SAEV repositioning with heuristic charging. Coupling repositioning with charging decreased the fleet's percent empty travel on average by 1.6%, relative to the scenario treating them as independent events (which varies by charging station design). Sparser charging stations reduce investment costs, and operators can leverage this framework to keep traveler wait times low.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Learning-based demand-supply-coupled charging station location problem for electric vehicle demand management

We present a learning-based, demand-supply-coupled optimization model for the charging station location problem (CSLP), aiming to integrate the concept of electric vehicle (EV) charging demand management into the planning of charging infrastructures. In stage one, a gradient boosting-based learning model is developed to predict the charging demand of a charging station based on 15 defined features. Next, in stage two, a demand–supply-coupled CSLP model is developed to optimize the total charging usage rates of both existing and newly selected charging stations. We design a gradient-based stochastic spatial search algorithm to solve the proposed model. A case study with 6-year charging event data from Kansas City Missouri is performed. Results show that the proposed method can generate satisfactory charging demand predictions, and can increase charging usage rates by 14%, outperforming two benchmark approaches. Furthermore, the results of this research are poised to guide agencies in identifying optimal locations for new charging stations.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Monitoring Depolymerization in Mesopores Using Dynamic Properties of Polymeric Melt Accessed via Dielectric Spectroscopy

Traditional design principles for heterogeneous catalysis guide the use of catalytic particles with mesosized (∼2–50 nm) pores to increase the number of surface-active sites by way of an increased surface area. However, the entry of long-chain polymers into such pores may be significantly limited by the size and entanglement of polymers in the melt state, thereby decreasing the number of accessible sites. Assessment of catalyst performance from traditional reactor-based studies averages over intrapore reaction events as well as reactions on the surface of a particle, resulting in an inability to distinguish between differences in site accessibility and activity. Techniques that assess the intrapore performance can inform the design of future heterogeneous catalysts for polymer upcycling. In this work, we demonstrate the use of broadband dielectric spectroscopy to monitor depolymerization of a polymer melt within mesopores via changes in the segmental relaxation time scale of amorphous polymer chains. In particular, we highlight the use of an anodic aluminum oxide (AAO) membrane as a readily available model for catalyst pores with a well-characterized pore morphology. The decrease in the segmental relaxation (α-relaxation) time of the melt with increasing chain scission emerges as a measure of the extent of polymer deconstruction inside mesopores. To demonstrate the utility of this technique, we demonstrate the decomposition of two commercial poly(propylene carbonate) polymers with different decomposition rates within mesopores. As the polymers depolymerize, their segmental relaxation time decreases as the molecular weight decreases (as predicted by the Fox–Flory equation). The BDS-measured change in segmental relaxation time mirrors the expected trend based on change in molecular weight measured by size exclusion chromatography.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Significant Effective Radiative Forcing of Stratospheric Wildfire Smoke

Abstract The radiative forcing (RF) of volcanic sulfate is well quantified. However, the RF of pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) smoke with absorbing carbonaceous aerosols has not been considered in climate assessment reports. With the Community Earth System Model, we studied two record‐breaking wildfire events, the 2017 Pacific Northwest Event (PNE) and the 2019–2020 Australian New Year event (ANY), that perturbed stratospheric chemistry and the earth's radiation budget. We calculated a global annual‐mean effective RF (ERF) of −0.04 ± 0.02 and −0.17 ± 0.02 W/m 2 at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) for PNE and ANY, respectively. The complexity of longwave RF led to an uncertainty of about 50% in the ERF at the TOA among climate models. We found that modeled ERF from wildfire smoke was 70%–270% more negative than the ERF of mass‐equivalent sulfate aerosol, highlighting its important role in the climate radiative budget.

Liu, Cheng‐Cheng↗

Regional Heatwave Prediction Using Graph Neural Network and Weather Station Data

Abstract Heatwaves lead to catastrophic consequences on public health and the economy. Accurate and timely predictions of regional heatwaves can improve climate preparedness and foster decision‐making to alleviate the burdens due to climate change. In this paper, we propose a heatwave prediction algorithm based on a novel deep learning model, that is, Graph Neural Network (GNN). This new GNN framework can provide real time warnings of the sudden occurrence of regional heatwaves with high accuracy at lower costs of computation and data collection. In addition, its interpretable structure unravels the spatiotemporal patterns of regional heatwaves and helps to enrich our understanding of the general climate dynamics and the causal influences between locations. The proposed GNN framework can be applied for the detection and prediction of other extreme or compound climate events, which calls for future studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Permafrost Carbon: Progress on Understanding Stocks and Fluxes Across Northern Terrestrial Ecosystems

Significant progress in permafrost carbon science made over the past decades include the identification of vast permafrost carbon stocks, the development of new pan-Arctic permafrost maps, an increase in terrestrial measurement sites for CO 2 and methane fluxes, and important factors affecting carbon cycling, including vegetation changes, periods of soil freezing and thawing, wildfire, and other disturbance events. Process-based modeling studies now include key elements of permafrost carbon cycling and advances in statistical modeling and inverse modeling enhance understanding of permafrost region C budgets. By combining existing data syntheses and model outputs, the permafrost region is likely a wetland methane source and small terrestrial ecosystem CO 2 sink with lower net CO 2 uptake toward higher latitudes, excluding wildfire emissions. For 2002–2014, the strongest CO2 sink was located in western Canada (median: -52 g C m -2 y -1 ) and smallest sinks in Alaska, Canadian tundra, and Siberian tundra (medians: -5 to -9 g C m -2 y -1 ). Eurasian regions had the largest median wetland methane fluxes (16–18 g CH4 m -2 y -1 ). Quantifying the regional scale carbon balance remains challenging because of high spatial and temporal variability and relatively low density of observations. More accurate permafrost region carbon fluxes require: (a) the development of better maps characterizing wetlands and dynamics of vegetation and disturbances, including abrupt permafrost thaw; (b) the establishment of new year-round CO 2 and methane flux sites in underrepresented areas; and (c) improved models that better represent important permafrost carbon cycle dynamics, including non-growing season emissions and disturbance effects.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Depth-resolved carbon dioxide and methane concentrations in 522 lakes, ponds, and reservoirs worldwide

Lakes, ponds, and reservoirs (hereafter: “lakes”) are important sources of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and methane (CH 4 ). Emissions of CO 2 and CH 4 from lakes are regulated in part by in-lake processes, including the production and storage of gases in the lower parts of the water column (bottom waters). However, while substantial efforts have been made to improve estimates of greenhouse gas emissions from lakes, limited data on gas concentrations along depth profiles have prevented the incorporation of bottom-water processes in global emission estimates. Here, we present GHG-depths: the largest existing dataset of depth-profile CO 2 and CH 4 measurements worldwide, including 522 lakes across 38 countries and all seven continents. These data include contributions from 45 research teams and 56 published studies, totaling 2558 discrete sampling events. As global change continues to alter biogeochemical cycling in lakes, these data can help improve mechanistic models to better predict greenhouse gas production and emission from lakes worldwide.

Rabaey, Joseph S. [University of Minnesota, Duluth↗

A simulation framework for evaluating electronic order workflows in integrated health records

Electronic health record (EHR) systems are critical to modern healthcare delivery, yet the dynamic workflows that govern electronic order processing remain underexplored. Inefficiencies in these digital pathways can cause delays in care, repetitive workloads, and even patient harm. This study presents a discrete-event simulation framework used to reconstruct and evaluate EHR-based order workflows in a large integrated healthcare system. Using real-world data extracted from the Veterans Health Administration’s Corporate Data Warehouse, the authors mapped order events to standardized state transitions and modeled their progression across different facilities of varying complexity levels. After being calibrated with empirical distributions of transition times and validated against observed time-in-system metrics, the simulation demonstrates close alignment with historical performance. Scenario analyses reveal that resource capacity constraints significantly amplify the impact of electronic order surges, which are reflected in the disproportionate growth in backlogs and processing delays. Adjustments in transition probabilities further increased recirculation and extended workflow paths. Network-based analysis identified Reserved, InProgress, and Completed as structurally critical states that function as hubs within the process network but the transitions in-between also act as major bottlenecks. These results showcased the effectiveness of simulation-based approaches in monitoring EHR order processing performance and evaluating consequences of workflow changes on healthcare network resources planning. The proposed simulation framework provides a scalable data-driven tool to support operational decision-making and improve the efficiency of electronic order management in complex healthcare environments.

Engineering↗

Emission spectroscopy with coded apertures for enhanced dimensionality

A coded aperture is used to demonstrate emission spectroscopy from multiple one-dimensional measurement locations simultaneously with a single camera. The coded aperture mask has several columns of periodic apertures, each with a unique spatial frequency. Light transmitted through all mask columns is detected through an imaging spectrometer. Dispersed light from the various mask columns overlaps on the spectrometer camera but is separated using Fourier-domain filtering using the known spatial frequencies of the mask. As the coded aperture is placed at an image plane, each Fourier-filtered spectrogram comes from a unique one-dimensional measurement location. This technique represents a significant increase in the amount of spatially and spectrally resolved emission data available using a single emission spectrometer and camera at the expense of some spatial resolution due to the Fourier filtering. This instrument is particularly useful for studying transient, non-repeating events. Megahertz-rate emission spectroscopy from five one-dimensional measurement locations is demonstrated with explosive fireballs using a single camera. Optical design parameters and instrument performance characteristics are discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Decomposition of multi-particle azimuthal correlations in Q-cumulant analysis*

Abstract The method of Q -cumulants is a powerful tool for studying the fine details of azimuthal anisotropies in high energy nuclear collisions. This paper presents a new method, based on mathematical induction, to evaluate the analytical form of high-order Q -cumulants. The capability of this method is demonstrated via a toy model that uses the elliptic power distribution to simulate the anisotropic emission of particles, quantified in terms of Fourier flow harmonics . The method can help in studying the large amount of event statistics that can be collected in the future and allow measurements of the very high central moments of the distribution. This can, in turn, facilitate progress in understanding the initial geometry, the input to the hydrodynamic calculations of medium expansion in high energy nuclear collisions, and the constraints on it.

Physics↗