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At least 1,045 records · Page 58

Low-Power, Flexible Sensor Arrays with Solderless Board-to-Board Connectors for Monitoring Soil Deformation and Temperature: Supporting Data

This dataset was used to assess the potential of a Soil Deformation and Temperature Monitoring System developed and presented in the article named "Low-Power, Flexible Sensor Arrays with Solderless Board-to-Board Connectors for Monitoring Soil Deformation and Temperature" and published in Sensors. There are 21 comma-delimited data files (.csv). 14 files contain current measurements performed in a lab setting, enabling the electrical evaluation of the sensor probe. These files are generated by the Keithley DMM6500 multimeter, and list the measured supply current (first column) as a function of time (3rd column). Another set of 6 files is also acquired in lab experiments, but contain soil temperature an deformation measurements, enabling an assessment of the developed device's accuracy. In these files, the first column contains the time (UTC), followed by the sensor's battery voltage and temperature and acceleration values (X, Y, Z) in subsequent columns. The measurements were acquired every 5 seconds. Another .csv file contains field data in a similar format (time, temperature, acceleration) collected at the Teller road (mile 27) site near Nome, Alaska with one probe. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Loamy sand soil approaches organic carbon saturation after 37 years of conservation tillage

Conservation tillage is reported to increase soil organic carbon (SOC) and total nitrogen (TN) contents, but long-term (>30 yr) field results quantifying the responses in Coastal Plain Ultisols are sparse. The distribution, accumulation, and topsoil storage of SOC and TN after 37 yr of crop production using conventional (CvT) or conservation tillage (CnT) on a Norfolk loamy sand (fine-loamy, kaolinitic, thermic, Typic Kandiudults) were quantified. Soil samples were collected annually from the 0-5-, 5-10-, and 10-15-cm depth increments beneath corn (Zea mays L.), soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merr.], and cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) crops. Overall, SOC and TN accumulation in the 0-5-cm depth were highest for Norfolk soil under CnT. Focusing on total long-term changes for the 0-15-cm sampling depth beneath various corn crops shows that CnT and CvT sequestered 24.7 and 21.4 Mg C ha -1 , respectively. Between 1978 and 2016, there was a highly significant (P < .0001) exponential increase in SOC within the top 5-cm soil depth. However, the exponential curves began to plateau suggesting the Norfolk topsoil was approaching its organic carbon (OC) storage capacity. These field measurements strongly indicate that additional topsoil SOC increases with current tillage and crop management practices are limited.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A framework for soil microbial ecology in urban ecosystems

Nearly all ecosystems host diverse microbiomes that support vital ecosystem processes. At the same time, these ecosystems and their microbiomes are increasingly altered by human activities, particularly in highly managed urban environments. While microbial ecologists are beginning to understand the drivers of microbial assembly and the link between community structure and function in many ecosystems, few of these advances have been applied to urban ecosystems. In this synthesis, we review research on the urban soil microbiome and develop a framework to integrate soil microbial communities with urban ecosystem function. We identify disturbance, altered resources, and heterogeneity as key drivers through which human activities including urban development affect soils and their resident microorganisms. Steep environmental gradients in many urban systems present a unique opportunity to address fundamental questions in microbial ecology, such as how microbes respond to stress and how biogeochemical rates relate to microbial diversity and composition. Soil microbiomes in cities also provide ecosystem services and harms, making it crucial to understand how human activity drives those functions and the consequences for environmental and human health. We argue that much-needed integration across disturbance ecology, urban ecology, and microbial ecology will help generate practical and equitable strategies for managing ecosystem benefits in cities where most humans now live.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

OC6 Phase II: Integration and verification of a new soil–structure interaction model for offshore wind design

Abstract This paper provides a summary of the work done within the OC6 Phase II project, which was focused on the implementation and verification of an advanced soil–structure interaction model for offshore wind system design and analysis. The soil–structure interaction model comes from the REDWIN project and uses an elastoplastic, macroelement model with kinematic hardening, which captures the stiffness and damping characteristics of offshore wind foundations more accurately than more traditional and simplified soil–structure interaction modeling approaches. Participants in the OC6 project integrated this macroelement capability to coupled aero‐hydro‐servo‐elastic offshore wind turbine modeling tools and verified the implementation by comparing simulation results across the modeling tools for an example monopile design. The simulation results were also compared to more traditional soil–structure interaction modeling approaches like apparent fixity, coupled springs, and distributed springs models. The macroelement approach resulted in smaller overall loading in the system due to both shifts in the system frequencies and increased energy dissipation. No validation work was performed, but the macroelement approach has shown increased accuracy within the REDWIN project, resulting in decreased uncertainty in the design. For the monopile design investigated here, that implies a less conservative and thus more cost‐effective offshore wind design.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Colloidal metal transport in soils developing on historic coal mine spoil

Chemical weathering of pyrite via oxidative dissolution is well-known for generating Fe(III)-bearing colloids at acid mine drainage (AMD) sites; however, the potential for physical weathering of pyrite-bearing materials and subsequent release and transport of colloidal pyrite and associated trace metals has not been studied. Here, we monitored the colloidal metal transport in soil developing on abandoned coal mine spoil with a history of AMD generation to systematically study the contribution of colloids to base and trace metal transport and determine the elemental and mineralogical composition of colloids. Additionally, we collected soil pore water using lysimeters with a pore size of approximately 1.3 μm and centrifugation was used to separate the colloids from aqueous fractions. Metal concentrations of Na, Ca, Mg, K, Si, Al, Mn, Fe, Cu, and Zn were analyzed. Our results show only 14% of the total Al and Cu were present in colloidal fractions whereas 23%, 43%, and 54% of Fe, Mn, and Zn were transported in the colloidal phase, respectively. In contrast, all base metals were primarily present in the aqueous concentration with a small fraction (<10%) present in the colloidal phase. The colloidal fractions of the base metals were inferred to be associated with the concentration of clay colloids. The release of colloids exhibited possible sensitivity toward weather conditions such as alternating high temperatures and rainfall during summer (May–July) compared to fall (August–November). The morphology, elemental, and mineral composition of colloids were determined by a scanning electron microscopy equipped with energy dispersive spectroscopy (SEM-EDS) and X-ray diffraction (XRD). Colloids were dominated by phyllosilicates (biotite, muscovite, and kaolinite) with minor quartz and feldspars. Other minerals phases identified in colloidal fractions were hematite, goethite, arsenopyrite, and chalcopyrite. Colloids consisting of Fe, S, and O with structures resembling framboidal pyrite were identified, which is consistent with the non-silicates minerals identified by XRD. Our study suggests that the physical weathering of pyrite in the mine spoil can generate colloidal pyrite, which is mobilized and transported by soil pore water. Our results also indicate that these pyritic colloids are associated with toxic trace metals including Cu, Mn, and Zn. Colloid mobilization is also impacted by changes in temperature and precipitation, where clay mobilization afer rain events is favored. Further, sudden spikes in aqueous and/or colloidal concentrations may be the result of local heterogeneity within soils developing on mine spoil, indicating that further field-based work is necessary to better characterize pore-scale processes that control aqueous and colloid transport at similar sites to have a better understanding of potential contaminant transport from mine spoil systems.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Field-scale estimation of soil properties from spectral induced polarization tomography

Estimates of soil properties such as Cation Exchange Capacity (CEC), water content, grain size characteristics, and permeability are important in geotechnical engineering, water resources, and agriculture. We develop a non-intrusive approach to estimate these properties in the field using spectral induced polarization (SIP) tomography. This geophysical method provides information about the frequency dependence of the complex electrical conductivity of porous media. Using 18 soil samples collected from a Bordeaux vineyard, we first conducted a laboratory study using SIP over the frequency range 10 mHz-45 kHz. The laboratory data were used to confirm the accuracy of a recently developed dynamic Stern layer petrophysical model. The results are consistent with published values from previous works using soils. A comparison was made by comparing the field complex conductivity spectra and the experimental data at two locations where core samples were obtained. The model was then used in concert with field data to image the spatial distribution of CEC, water content, permeability, and mean grain size along a vineyard transect. For clay and sandy textures found in the field, measured and estimated CEC agree rather well (from 6 to 40% discrepancy). Furthermore, our approach provides an efficient way to estimate important soil properties in a non-invasive manner, in high resolution, and over field-relevant scales of the critical zone of the Earth.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Self-supervised and multi-fidelity learning for extended predictive soil spectroscopy

Infrared spectroscopy is a cost-effective, non-destructive, and environmentally benign technology that is increasingly recognized as an important solution for meeting the global demand for soil data. While both near-infrared (NIR) and mid-infrared (MIR) diffuse reflectance spectroscopy enable rapid estimation of soil properties, they present a significant trade-off: NIR offers superior scalability and lower operational costs, whereas MIR provides higher analytical fidelity by capturing fundamental molecular vibrations. In this study, we propose a self-supervised, multi-fidelity learning framework designed to bridge this gap. Our approach leverages large-scale MIR spectral libraries to learn a compact, transferable latent representation, into which NIR spectra are subsequently aligned for downstream prediction. The workflow consists of pretraining a latent model on a large MIR library, adapting the representation using a smaller paired NIR–MIR dataset, and evaluating generalization on an independent external test set. Across a range of chemical and physical soil properties, we found that MIR-derived embeddings improved prediction accuracy relative to baseline models that used raw MIR inputs. Predictions derived from the spectrum conversion (NIR to MIR) task did not match the performance of the original MIR spectra but were similar or superior to predictive performance of NIR-only models, suggesting the unified spectral latent space can effectively leverage the larger and more diverse MIR dataset for prediction of soil properties not well represented in current NIR libraries.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Challenges in studying water fluxes within the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum: A tracer-based perspective on pathways to progress

Tracing and quantifying water fluxes in the hydrological cycle is crucial for understanding the current state of ecohydrological systems and their vulnerability to environmental change. Especially the interface between ecosystems and the atmosphere that is strongly mediated by plants is important to meaningfully describe ecohydrological system functioning. Many of the dynamic interactions generated by water fluxes between soil, plant and the atmosphere are not well understood, which is partly due to a lack of interdisciplinary research. This opinion paper reflects the outcome of a discussion among hydrologists, plant ecophysiologists and soil scientists on open questions and new opportunities for collaborative research on the topic "water fluxes in the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum" especially focusing on environmental and artificial tracers. We emphasize the need for a multi-scale experimental approach, where a hypothesis is tested at multiple spatial scales and under diverse environmental conditions to better describe the small-scale processes (i.e., causes) that lead to large-scale patterns of ecosystem functioning (i.e., consequences). Novel in-situ, high-frequency measurement techniques offer the opportunity to sample data at a high spatial and temporal resolution needed to understand the underlying processes. Here we advocate for a combination of long-term natural abundance measurements and event-based approaches. Multiple environmental and artificial tracers, such as stable isotopes, and a suite of experimental and analytical approaches should be combined to complement information gained by different methods. Virtual experiments using process-based models should be used to inform sampling campaigns and field experiments, e.g., to improve experimental designs and to simulate experimental outcomes. On the other hand, experimental data are a pre-requisite to improve our currently incomplete models. Interdisciplinary collaboration will help to overcome research gaps that overlap across different earth system science fields and help to generate a more holistic view of water fluxes between soil, plant and atmosphere in diverse ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Responses of particulate and mineral-associated organic carbon to temperature changes and their mineral protection mechanisms: A soil translocation experiment

Mineral protection mechanisms are important in determining the response of particulate organic carbon (POC) and mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) to temperature changes. However, the underlying mechanisms for how POC and MAOC respond to temperature changes are remain unclear. Here, by translocating soils across 1304 m, 1425 m and 2202 m elevation gradient in a temperate forest, simulate nine months of warming (with soil temperature change of +1.41 °C and +3.91 °C) and cooling (with soil temperature change of −1.86 °C and −4.20 °C), we found that warming translocation significantly decreased POC by an average of 10.84 %, but increased MAOC by an average of 4.25 %. Conversely, cooling translocation led to an average increase of 8.64 % in POC and 13.48 % in MAOC. Exchangeable calcium (Ca exe ) had a significant positive correlation with POC and MAOC during temperature changes, and Fe/Al-(hydr)oxides had no significant correlation or a significant negative correlation with POC and MAOC. Our results showed that POC was more sensitive than MAOC to temperature changes. Ca exe mediated the stability of POC and MAOC under temperature changes, and Fe/Al-(hydr)oxides had no obvious protective effect on POC and MAOC. Our results support the role of mineral protection in the stabilization mechanism of POC and MAOC in response to climate change and are critical for understanding the consequences of global change on soil organic carbon (SOC) dynamics.

Mineral protection↗

Soil microbial EPS resiliency is influenced by carbon source accessibility

The adaptability of soil microbial communities to prolonged periods of drought is influenced by their ability to produce extracellular polymeric substances (EPS) with sufficient water retention properties. Microbial EPSs as water reservoirs during drought have been extensively investigated, but it remains unknown how carbon substrate accessibility to soil microbial communities will affect the chemical properties of the EPS they generate, and whether this in turn will alter their water retention ability. In this work, we observed that the accessibility of carbon substrates influenced microbial community structure and, consequently, the chemical properties of EPS produced by the microbial communities. Further, our results demonstrated that an insoluble carbon substrate (i.e., chitin), stimulated microbial communities to produce EPS with better water retention properties in comparison to a soluble carbon substrate (i.e., N-acetylglucosamine; NAG). In all, this study demonstrates the importance of carbon substrate accessibility by soil microorganisms in regulating the community structure and consequently, the EPS carbon chemistry, which in turn can greatly influence the adaptability of soil microbial communities to drought.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Time-lapse approach to correct deficiencies of 2D soil zymography

Membrane zymography is commonly used in rhizosphere ecology to map enzyme activities in intact soil samples and plant roots. The method consists of incubating a membrane saturated with an enzyme-specific fluorogenic substrate on the soil/root surface followed by measurements of fluorescence intensity of the product in the membrane. The traditional zymography is based on assumptions that fluorescence on membrane images is linearly increasing with time during zymography and an increase in product content is numerically equal to enzyme activity in soil below the membrane. These assumptions are unlikely to hold in experimental settings. In this work we introduce a new zymography technique, time-lapse zymography (TLZ); the approach that eliminates the need for assumptions of the traditional zymography and provides more realistic estimates of enzymatic activities. We assessed the new technique in a series of laboratory and modeling experiments, including quantification of the fluorescent product diffusion (e.g. MUF: 4-methylumbelliferone) from plant roots, enzyme activity measurements on the roots, and HYDRUS-2D & HP2 software calibration with obtained data. The calibrated model was used to analyze the processes governing spatial and temporal dynamics of MUF contents in the membrane. The results indicated that the enzyme diffusion within the membrane-soil system was negligible, and measured zymograms were adequately reproduced solely by accounting for substrate and product diffusions and for catalytic enzyme reaction described by the Michaelis-Menten equation. TLZ enabled identifying and using linear parts on MUF time series and accounting for MUF losses in each zymogram pixel, considerably improving the accuracy as compared to the traditional method. Results demonstrated that enzymatic activity from only a thin soil layer (~0.2 mm) is adequately represented in zymograms.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Carbon availability, soil pH, and microbial allocation to nitrogen acquisition shape grassland heterotrophic respiration in response to a decade of nitrogen addition

Previous work has found that anthropogenic inputs of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) impact heterotrophic respiration during soil organic matter decomposition in grasslands, a critical pathway through which carbon (C) is lost from soil to the atmosphere. While N addition typically reduces heterotrophic respiration, why the strength and direction of this N effect varies among sites is unclear. Here, to address this, we conducted a 339-day laboratory incubation to measure heterotrophic respiration from nine grasslands across North America that have received 10 years of factorial N and P fertilization. N addition reduced cumulative respiration most at sites with low pH, low microbial allocation towards N acquisition, and high soil C concentration and availability. However, N addition had neutral rather than positive effects on heterotrophic respiration in sites with high pH and decomposer allocation towards N acquisition. Across sites, a decade of N addition reduced heterotrophic respiration by ∼24 %, driven by reductions in microbial biomass. Heterotrophic respiration was less sensitive to P addition, despite its increasing microbial biomass. However, simultaneous N and P addition did ameliorate negative N effects. These results show that previously observed variation in the response of heterotrophic respiration to N addition can be explained by soil C availability and pH status, widely measured factors which can be used to predict how grassland C fluxes may change under continuing nutrient deposition.

N addition↗

Temporal variabilities of soil carbon dioxide fluxes from cornfield impacted by temperature and precipitation changes through high-frequent measurement and DAYCENT modelling

Soil carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from the field of corn (Zea mays L.) play an important role in global warming. This study investigated temporal variability of soil CO 2 fluxes (R s ) with soil temperature (T s ) and moisture (θ) and built DAYCENT models for predicting future impacts of climate changes on R s using the measured high-frequency data. R s trend was tested by Mann–Kendall and Sen Estimator. Predicted R s s under different climate scenarios were compared using Parallel-line Analysis. Herein, the findings indicated that daily R s exponentially increased with T s constrained by θ. During the θ of 27–31%, there was a strong exponential relationship between R s and T s , but the relationship was weaker for the θ of 38–41% and 22–26%. Soil environmental index (SEI, T s × θ) significantly impacted R s with linear regression R s 0.5 = 0.4599 + 0.002059 × SEI in 2008, 2009 and 2011. At the diurnal scale, there were different trends in R s s and relationships among R s and T s and θ in different years. Predicted yearly R s s, root R s s and corn yield in 2014–2049 increased with an increase in temperature scenarios, but the R s s significantly increased as temperature rose by 1°C or higher. Predicted yearly R s s, root R s s and yield reduced with precipitation scenario increase, and the root R s s and yield significantly diminished as precipitation increased by 15 and 30%. Predicted yearly R s from cornfields had a significantly increasing trend. Future research is needed to explore methods for mitigating cornfield R s and evaluating sensitivities of different cropland R s s to temperature changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dynamic Responses of Trace Metal Bioaccessibility to Fluctuating Redox Conditions in Wetland Soils and Stream Sediments

Natural aquatic systems undergo fluctuating redox conditions due to microbial activity, varying water saturation levels, and nutrients dynamics. With fluctuating redox conditions, trace metals can mobilize or sequester in response to changes in iron and sulfur speciation and the concentrations and lability of organic carbon. This study examined the effect of redox fluctuations on trace metal mobility in samples collected from two different natural aquatic systems: riparian wetlands and a stream. The wetland soils contained low sulfur and total Fe contents as compared to stream sediments. The mineral composition at both sites was dominated by quartz. We incubated water-saturated soils under three cycles of anoxic-oxic conditions (τanoxic:τoxic = 3) spanning 24 days and monitored the change in dissolved and bioavailable metal concentrations. For both natural systems, reduction of iron oxides under anoxic conditions caused Co and Zn release. In contrast, oxidation of sulfides mobilized Cu under oxic conditions in both sites. In wetland soils, dissolution of Fe (hydr)oxides increased Ni solubility; however, in stream sediments, Ni release occurred when sulfides or organic matter were oxidized. For stream sediments, each subsequent redox cycle increased the bioavailability of trace metals. Redox fluctuations in wetland soils increased bioavailable Zn and Cu and decreased bioavailable Ni and Co. This study illustrates that different trace metals display distinct bioavailability patterns during redox fluctuations in natural environments. The biogeochemical cycling of nutrients in systems with redox fluctuations may be influenced by these trace metal availability patterns in addition to the availability of electron donors and acceptors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Using Methyl Bromide for Interspecies Cell–Cell Signaling and As a Reporter in a Model Soil Consortium

Synthetic microbial communities are emerging as model systems for studying consortia-scale phenotypes. To establish synthetic biology tools for studying these communities in hard-to-image environmental materials, we evaluated whether a single member of a model soil consortium (MSC) can be programmed to report on gene expression without requiring matrix disruption. For these studies, we targeted a five member MSC that includes Dyadobacter fermentans, Ensifer adhaerens, Rhodococcus sp003130705, Streptomyces sp001905665, and Variovorax beijingensis. By coupling the expression of a methyl halide transferase to a constitutive promoter, we show that Variovorax beijingensis can be programmed to synthesize methyl halides that accumulate in the soil headspace at levels that are ≥24-fold higher than all other MSC members across a range of environmentally-relevant hydration conditions. We find that methyl halide production can report on a MSC promoter that is activated by changes in water potential, and we demonstrate that a synthetic gas signal can be read out directly using gas chromatography and indirectly using a soil-derived Methylorubrum that is programmed to produce a visual output in response to methyl halides. Finally, these tools will be useful for future studies that investigate how MSC respond to dynamic hydration conditions, such as drought and flood events induced by climate change, which can alter soil water potential and induce the release of stored carbon.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Long-term warming in a Mediterranean-type grassland affects soil bacterial functional potential but not bacterial taxonomic composition

Abstract Climate warming is known to impact ecosystem composition and functioning. However, it remains largely unclear how soil microbial communities respond to long-term, moderate warming. In this study, we used Illumina sequencing and microarrays (GeoChip 5.0) to analyze taxonomic and functional gene compositions of the soil microbial community after 14 years of warming (at 0.8–1.0 °C for 10 years and then 1.5–2.0 °C for 4 years) in a Californian grassland. Long-term warming had no detectable effect on the taxonomic composition of soil bacterial community, nor on any plant or abiotic soil variables. In contrast, functional gene compositions differed between warming and control for bacterial, archaeal, and fungal communities. Functional genes associated with labile carbon (C) degradation increased in relative abundance in the warming treatment, whereas those associated with recalcitrant C degradation decreased. A number of functional genes associated with nitrogen (N) cycling (e.g., denitrifying genes encoding nitrate-, nitrite-, and nitrous oxidereductases) decreased, whereas nifH gene encoding nitrogenase increased in the warming treatment. These results suggest that microbial functional potentials are more sensitive to long-term moderate warming than the taxonomic composition of microbial community.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Improvement of eukaryotic protein predictions from soil metagenomes

During the last decades, metagenomics has highlighted the diversity of microorganisms from environmental or host-associated samples. Most metagenomics public repositories use annotation pipelines tailored for prokaryotes regardless of the taxonomic origin of contigs. Consequently, eukaryotic contigs with intrinsically different gene features, are not optimally annotated. Using a bioinformatics pipeline, we have filtered 7.9 billion contigs from 6,872 soil metagenomes in the JGI’s IMG/M database to identify eukaryotic contigs. We have re-annotated genes using eukaryote-tailored methods, yielding 8 million eukaryotic proteins and over 300,000 orphan proteins lacking homology in public databases. Comparing the gene predictions we made with initial JGI ones on the same contigs, we confirmed our pipeline improves eukaryotic proteins completeness and contiguity in soil metagenomes. The improved quality of eukaryotic proteins combined with a more comprehensive assignment method yielded more reliable taxonomic annotation. This dataset of eukaryotic soil proteins with improved completeness, quality and taxonomic annotation reliability is of interest for any scientist aiming at studying the composition, biological functions and gene flux in soil communities involving eukaryotes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A framework for testing soil carbon dynamics post land-use transition in a multisector dynamics model

Soil carbon plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle. Changes in land use can determine whether carbon is stored or is emitted into the atmosphere as carbon dioxide, which has broad implications for the human and Earth systems. These feedbacks to the carbon cycle and their socio-economic drivers are modelled by many global multisector dynamics models to project future possibilities for the human-Earth system. One notable model of this class is the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), which uses a simplified process to model soil organic carbon (SOC) content after land-use transition across 384 land units. While the current GCAM soil carbon framework is based on scientific principles, it has not been tested against experimental data. This work examines rates of SOC change from GCAM input data. Specifically, first order rate constants derived from model inputs were compared to values from two syntheses to assess GCAM’s accuracy. Welch’s t-tests and linear models were used to determine if rate constants were consistent across all tested geographical areas and land-use transition types. While we found that there was general agreement on the direction and magnitude (i.e., rate) of SOC change, the rate constant derived from GCAM and empirical values differed strongly in a subset of specific instances. These results indicate that GCAM’s current SOC dynamics during land use transition successfully capture broad patterns of change in this critical carbon pool, but should be interpreted with caution at finer spatial scales. One potential cause of these discrepancies is our highly aggregated variable, soil timescale, which could be made more granular to improve accuracy. When using economically rooted multisector dynamics models, such as GCAM, it is critical to understand such model limitations for representing specific Earth system processes.

carbon↗