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At least 1,045 records · Page 58

Recent Progress on the Stochastic Objective Decision Aide (SODA) Application

Idaho State University, in collaboration with Idaho National Laboratory, is engaged in development of a simple to use software application that utilizes stochastic techniques for the calculation of radiation doses associated with hypothetical radioactive material releases. This work is being performed through a grant from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Nuclear Safety Research and Development (NSR and D) Program. Initial progress on the application was reported previously. Recent additions to the application are reported here. The Stochastic Objective Decision Aide (SODA) provides an easy to use software application to help decision makers support their judgment about the need or lack of need for safety structures, systems, and components. SODA is not intended to replace traditional design basis accident dose calculation methodology, nor is it intended to replace existing software used to perform formal dose consequence calculations. Rather, SODA is intended to supplement information obtained from existing codes to give a decision maker more information about an accident scenario. SODA also provides a simple method to perform parametric or sensitivity studies on individual input parameters. Non-reactor nuclear facilities operated under the approval authority of the US DOE use unmitigated hazard evaluations to determine if potential radiological doses associated with design basis events challenge dose evaluation guidelines. Unmitigated events that sufficiently challenge dose evaluation guidelines merit the selection of safety structures, systems, or components (SSCs) to prevent or mitigate the hazard. Dose consequence calculations traditionally involve use of the 'five-factor' formula: ST = MAR.DR.ARF.RF.LPF where ST is the source term (Bq), MAR is the total available material-at-risk (Bq), DR is the damage ratio (no units), ARF is the airborne release fraction (no units), RF is the respirable fraction (no units), and LPF is the leak path factor (no units). Potential radiation doses are then calculated using: CED = χ/Q.BR.ST.DCF (2) where CED is the committed effective dose (Sv), χ/Q is the plume dispersion (s/m{sup 3}), BR is the breathing rate (m{sup 3}/s), ST is the source term (Bq), and DCF is the dose conversion factor (Sv/Bq). Conservative single value input parameters are typically used to represent ARF, RF, LPF and BR. The traditional methodology, while conservative, can lead to skewed conclusions in the balance between cost and risk reduction resulting in over engineered systems with greater design, construction and operating costs. Rather than using a bounding single point value for each parameter in the dose consequence calculation, SODA uses distributions for some or all of the parameters. Each input parameter distribution is stochastically sampled and the resulting dose consequence calculation is repeated many times to develop a dose consequence distribution. The resulting distribution provides more information for the decision maker to rely upon when determining the need for safety SSCs. The SODA application was developed using MATLAB and it incorporates the use of Monte Carlo techniques as well as a graphical user interface (GUI). The application includes user selection of the governing distribution for parameters such as the MAR, DR, ARF, RF, LPF,χ/Q, BR, and DCF. While MATLAB was used for the development work, the application is distributed as a self-contained executable program. Features of the application include pull down menus with available distributions for the various parameters. The user has the option to plot the input parameter distribution that results from the random sampling process. The resulting dose consequence distribution is automatically analyzed to determine its similarity to well know distributions. This was done using the Bayesian Information Criterion method. If the resulting distribution is sufficiently similar to a well-known distribution, the application provides information about the distributions such as the mean value and other parameters. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Application of Objectives-Driven Assurance Cases to System Development in an Evolving Acquisition Model

System properties such as “safety” and “dependability” cannot, in practice, be proven, and must be argued in an “assurance case” aimed at supporting risk-acceptance decisions that have to be made by system acquirers and/or regulatory authorities. The paper is concerned with applications of the “assurance case” idea early in design and development of new systems, when (apart from dedicated testing) the only available operating experience information derives from previous (non-identical) systems. Much of the discussion is based on an evolving acquisition model at the US National Aeronautics and Space Administration; previously, most major systems were developed in-house, but some major systems will now be developed by and acquired from commercial providers. Key points discussed include the following. (1) By promoting a particular kind of focused discussion between acquirers and providers, the use of assurance cases should be particularly valuable under the new acquisition model. (2) In principle, objectives-driven (sometimes called “performance-based”) approaches to assurance of performance have significant advantages in cases where they are applicable. (3) For truly novel systems, completeness of the safety analysis is a significant issue; it is important for the assurance case to include a commitment by the provider (or applicant) to seriously pursue analysis of operating experience, so that previously unrecognized hazards can be identified and addressed. (4) Inquiries into major accidents often point to deficiencies in management oversight in all parts of the life cycle; management processes need to be addressed in the formulation and the implementation of an assurance case. Under the new acquisition model, these considerations imply a serious reconsideration of the way in which the development process is managed by both providers and acquirers.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Multi-objective optimization of PWR core design using NSGA-II in RAVEN’s optimization framework

Designing an PWR loading pattern is a combinatorial problem challenging to solve by brute force or traditional methods due to the sheer amount of possible combination, and constraints. Nature-inspired algorithms, such as the genetic algorithm, have demonstrated the potential to tackle this problem. The goal of this work was to improve and demonstrate the capabilities for constrained, multi-objective optimization (MOO) of loading patterns using NSGA-II in RAVEN’s optimization framework.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Mid-Range Science Objectives for the Event Horizon Telescope

The first images of the black holes in Sagittarius A* and M87* have created a wide range of new scientific opportunities in gravitational physics, compact objects, and relativistic astrophysics. We discuss here the scientific opportunities that arise from the rich data sets that have already been obtained and the new data sets that will be obtained, exploiting a wide range of technical advances, including observational agility, receiver upgrades, and the addition of new stations. This document provides a 5-year framework for Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) science structured around four fundamental questions that are used to prioritize the analysis of existing data, guide technical upgrades, and determine the optimal use of future observational opportunities with EHT, ALMA, and multi-wavelength facilities. Through enhancements over this period, the EHT will create the first movie of M87* connecting black hole and jet physics, provide detailed studies of the structure and dynamics of Sgr A*, characterize the magnetospheres of both systems through polarimetric imaging, and explore the spacetime properties of black holes with greater precision and range.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Verification of a Fluid-Based Plasma-Edge Model Within the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) Framework

As the goal of achieving fusion power on the grid comes closer to fruition, fully coupled multiphysics models of fusion devices will be crucial. These models must incorporate the interconnected phenomena of these devices, including plasma physics, neutronics, first wall interactions, and tritium transport. Currently, there are two main approaches to developing these platforms: (1) loosely coupled, where one couples existing codes and solvers together through input and output parameters and data, and (2) tightly coupled, where one develops the necessary models within a singular, integrated framework. This work focuses on the latter approach for magnetically confined fusion devices by developing a fluid-based plasma-edge model within the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) Framework. This effort is coordinated with other efforts to develop, test, demonstrate, and deploy fusion relevant multiphysics capabilities including electromagnetics, particle-in-cell plasma, tritium transport, and fusion blanket design. This new model is an expansion of the MOOSE-based plasma application, Zapdos, which was originally formulated to model low-temperature, non-magnetized plasma processes. Verification studies have been conducted using newly developed magnetic plasma capabilities. These involved convergence analyses utilizing the method of manufactured solutions to verify new operators and case studies. A modular approach was taken here to demonstrate increasingly complicated simulation scenarios, which included a singular fluid with uniform magnetic field case, a singular fluid with spatially varying magnetic field case, and a coupled multifluid case.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The Verification and Validation of a Magnetic Plasma Fluid Model Utilizing the MOOSE (Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment) Framework

As the goal of achieving fusion power on the grid comes closer to fruition, fully coupled multiphysics models of fusion devices will be crucial. Currently, there are two main approaches to developing these platforms: (1) loosely coupled, where one couples existing codes and solvers together through input and output parameters and data, and (2) tightly coupled, where one develops the necessary models within a singular, integrated framework. This work focuses on the latter approach for magnetically confined fusion devices by developing a fluid-based plasma-edge model within the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) Framework. This effort is coordinated with other efforts to develop, test, demonstrate, and deploy fusion relevant multiphysics capabilities including electromagnetics, particle-in-cell plasma, tritium transport, and fusion blanket design. This new model is an expansion of the MOOSE-based plasma application, Zapdos, which was originally formulated to model low-temperature, non-magnetized plasma processes. Verification, benchmarking, and validation studies have been conducted. Verification studies involved utilizing the method of manufactured solutions and comparing the convergence slope of a known solution to the theoretical slope. Benchmarking consists of comparisons to existing edge codes, namely BOUT++ and SOLEDGE3X. Validation efforts focused on comparisons against open-source data from the TCV tokamak.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

OCHRE™ (Object-Oriented Controllable High-Resolution Residential Energy Model) [SWR-19-71]

OCHRE™: Object-Oriented Controllable High-Resolution Residential Energy Model A high-fidelity, high-resolution residential building model with behind-the-meter DERs and flexible load models that integrates with controllers and distribution models in building-to-grid co-simulation platforms. The full documentation for OCHRE can be found at https://ochre-docs-final.readthedocs.io/en/latest/

Maguire, Jeffrey↗

Multi-objective optimization techniques to design the Pareto front of organic dielectric polymers

Here, we present two Monte Carlo algorithms to find the Pareto front of the chemical space of a class of dielectric polymers that is most interesting with respect to optimizing both the bandgap and dielectric constant. Starting with a dataset generated from density functional theory calculations, we used machine learning to construct surrogate models for the bandgaps and dielectric constants of all physically meaningful 4-block polymers (that is, polymer systems with a 4-block repeat unit). We parameterized these machine learning models in such a way that the surrogates built for the 4-block polymers were readily extendable to polymers beyond a 4-block repeat unit. By using translational invariance, chemical intuition, and domain knowledge, we were able to enumerate all possible 4, 6, and 8 block polymers and benchmark our Monte Carlo sampling of the chemical space against the exact enumeration of the surrogate predictions. We obtained exact agreement for the fronts of 4-block polymers and at least a 90% agreement for those of 6 and 8-block polymers. We present fronts for 10-block polymer that are not possible to obtain by direct enumeration. We note that our Monte Carlo methods also return polymers close to the predicted front and a measure of the closeness. Both quantities are useful information for the design and discovery of new polymers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

GraMeR: Gra ph Me ta R einforcement learning for multi-objective influence maximization

Influence maximization (IM) is a combinatorial problem of identifying a subset of seed nodes in a network (graph), which when activated, provide a maximal spread of influence in the network for a given diffusion model and a budget for seed set size. IM has numerous applications such as viral marketing, epidemic control, sensor placement and other network-related tasks. However, its practical uses are limited due to the computational complexity of current algorithms. Recently, deep reinforcement learning has been leveraged to solve IM in order to ease the computational burden. However, there are serious limitations in current approaches, including narrow IM formulation that only consider influence via spread and ignore self-activation, low scalability to large graphs, and lack of generalizability across graph families leading to a large running time for every test network. In this work, we address these limitations through a unique approach that involves: (1) Formulating a generic IM problem as a Markov decision process that handles both intrinsic and influence activations; (2)incorporating generalizability via meta-learning across graph families. There are previous works that combine deep reinforcement learning with graph neural network, but this work solves a more realistic IM problem and incorporates generalizability across graphs via meta reinforcement learning. Extensive experiments are carried out in various standard networks to validate performance of the proposed Graph Meta Reinforcement learning (GraMeR) framework. Finally, the results indicate that GraMeR is multiple orders faster and generic than conventional approaches when applied on small to medium scale graphs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

MOOGLE: A Multi-Objective Optimization tool for three-dimensional nuclear fuel assembly design

MOOGLE is a new genetic algorithm methodology for the three-dimensional design of nuclear fuel assemblies. MOOGLE uses common fuel rod types as the decision variable to develop a suite of three-dimensional fuel assemblies to provide optimized solutions to the design problem. Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) fuel assemblies were optimized using IFBA and gadolinium (Gd 2 O 3 ) as burnable poisons in order to compare how burnable poison choice affects optimization results. Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) fuel bundles were also optimized using three unique fuel rod palettes to study how the size of the design space affects optimization results. Burnable poison analysis showed that utilizing IFBA and Gd 2 O 3 as burnable poisons produced the best and widest range of optimized solutions. Further, BWR fuel bundle optimization results indicate that the inclusion of additional fuel rod types produced a wider solution space but did not improve optimization results for regions explored using fewer unique fuel rods. These tests demonstrate MOOGLE's ability to analyze the tradeoffs between the inclusion of different fuel elements and their effects on assembly performance.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Short timescale photometric and polarimetric behavior of two BL Lacertae type objects

Context. Blazars are astrophysical sources whose emission is dominated by non-thermal processes, typically interpreted as synchrotron and inverse Compton emission. Although the general picture is rather robust and consistent with observations, many aspects are still unexplored. Aims. Polarimetric monitoring can offer a wealth of information about the physical processes in blazars. Models with largely different physical ingredients can often provide almost indistinguishable predictions for the total flux, but usually are characterized by markedly different polarization properties. We explore, with a pilot study, the possibility to derive structural information about the emitting regions of blazars by means of a joint analysis of rapid variability of the total and polarized flux at optical wavelengths. Methods. Short timescale (from tens of seconds to a couple of minutes) optical linear polarimetry and photometry for two blazars, BL Lacertae and PKS 1424+240, was carried out with the PAOLO polarimeter at the 3.6 m Telescopio Nazionale Galileo. Several hours of almost continuous observations were obtained for both sources. Results. Our intense monitoring allowed us to draw strongly different scenarios for BL Lacertae and PKS 1424+240, with the former characterized by intense variability on time-scales from hours to a few minutes and the latter practically constant in total flux. Essentially the same behavior is observed for the polarized flux and the position angle. The variability time-scales turned out to be as short as a few minutes, although involving only a few percent variation of the flux. The polarization variability time-scale is generally consistent with the total flux variability. Total and polarized flux appear to be essentially uncorrelated. However, even during our relatively short monitoring, different regimes can be singled out. Conclusions. No simple scenario is able to satisfactorily model the very rich phenomenology exhibited in our data. As a result, detailed numerical simulations show that the emitting region should be characterized by some symmetry, and the inclusion of turbulence for the magnetic field may constitute the missing ingredient for a more complete interpretation of the data.

1424+240↗

A DETAILED STUDY OF SPITZER-IRAC EMISSION IN HERBIG-HARO OBJECTS. II. INTERACTION BETWEEN EJECTA AND AMBIENT GAS

We present a new analysis of the physical conditions in three Herbig-Haro complexes (HH 54, HH 212, and the L 1157 protostellar jet) using archival data from the Infrared Array Camera on the Spitzer Space Telescope. As described in detail in Paper I, the emission observed using the 4.5 {mu}m filter is enhanced in molecular shocks (T = 1000-4000 K) at relatively high temperatures or densities compared with that observed with the 8.0 {mu}m filter. Using these data sets, we investigate different distributions of gas between high and low temperatures/densities. Our analysis reveals the presence of a number of warm/dense knots, most of which appear to be associated with working surfaces such as the head of bow shocks and cometary features, and reverse shocks in the ejecta. These are distributed not only along the jet axis, as expected, but also across it. While some knotty or fragmenting structures can be explained by instabilities in shocked flows, others can be more simply explained by the scenario that the mass ejection source acts as a 'shot gun', periodically ejecting bullets of material along similar but not identical trajectories. Such an explanation challenges to some degree the present paradigm for jet flows associated with low-mass protostars. It also gives clues to reconciling our understanding of the mass ejection mechanism in high- and low-mass protostars and evolved stars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

KEPLER OBSERVATIONS OF RAPID OPTICAL VARIABILITY IN THE BL LACERTAE OBJECT W2R1926+42

We present the first Kepler monitoring of a strongly variable BL Lac, W2R1926+42. The light curve covers 181 days with {approx}0.2% errors, 30 minute sampling and >90% duty cycle, showing numerous {delta}I/I > 25% flares over timescales as short as a day. The flux distribution is highly skewed and non-Gaussian. The variability shows a strong rms-flux correlation with the clearest evidence to date for nonlinearity in this relation. We introduce a method to measure periodograms from the discrete autocorrelation function, an approach that may be well-suited to a wide range of Kepler data. The periodogram is not consistent with a simple power-law, but shows a flattening at frequencies below 7 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup -5} Hz. Simple models of the power spectrum, such as a broken power law, do not produce acceptable fits, indicating that the Kepler blazar light curve requires more sophisticated mathematical and physical descriptions than currently in use.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Estimation of the extragalactic background light using TeV observations of BL Lac objects

The very high-energy (VHE) gamma-ray spectral index of high-energy peaked blazars correlates strongly with its corresponding redshift, whereas no such correlation is observed in the X-ray or GeV bands. We attribute this correlation to photon-photon absorption of TeV photons with the extragalactic background light (EBL), and utilizing this we compute the allowed flux range for the EBL, which is independent of previous estimates. The observed VHE spectrum of the sources in our sample can be well approximated by a power law, and if the de-absorbed spectrum is also assumed to be a power law, then we show that the spectral shape of EBL will be εn(ε) ∼ klog (ε/ε {sub p}). We estimate the range of values for the parameters defining the EBL spectrum, k and ε {sub p}, such that the correlation of the intrinsic VHE spectrum with redshift is nullified. The estimated EBL depends only on the observed correlation and the assumption of a power-law source spectrum. Specifically, it does not depend on the spectral modeling or radiative mechanism of the sources or on any theoretical shape of the EBL spectrum obtained through cosmological calculations. The estimated EBL spectrum is consistent with the upper and lower limits imposed by different observations. Moreover, it also agrees closely with the theoretical estimates obtained through cosmological evolution models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

QUASI-PERIODICITIES OF THE BL LACERTAE OBJECT PKS 2155–304

We have searched for periodicities in our VRIJHK photometry of PKS 2155–304, which covers the years 2005-2012. A peak of the Fourier spectrum with high significance is found at T ∼ 315 days, confirming the recent findings by Zhang et al. The examination of the gamma-ray light curves from the Fermi archives yields a significant signal at ∼2T, which, while nominally significant, involves data spanning only ∼6T. Assuming a black hole mass of 10{sup 9} M {sub ☉}, the Keplerian distance corresponding to the quasi-period T is ∼10{sup 16} cm, about 50 Schwarzschild radii.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗