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Orbital Debris Shape Effect Investigations for Mitigating Risk

NASA’s Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) and Hypervelocity Impact Technology (HVIT) team have coordinated to better understand the risks to upper stages and spacecraft from non-spherical orbital debris. It is well understood that fragmentation (collision or explosion) events in orbit produce fragments of various materials, sizes, and shapes. To further characterize these parameters, the ODPO is developing the next-generation Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM) version 4.0 to include orbital debris shape distributions. Ground-based assets, such as radar and optical sensors, can provide size estimates and some insight into material based on radar return or optical filter photometry/spectroscopy, respectively. Characterizing an object’s shape requires more laboratory analyses to infer how shape affects these measurements. More importantly, in addition to size and material/density, the shape of fragments in orbit will alter the ballistic limit equations used in orbital debris risk assessments with NASA’s Bumper Code. The ODPO plans to release ORDEM 4.0 in the coming years. Performing ground-based laboratory impact tests on high-fidelity spacecraft mockups provides the means to directly measure size, mass, material/density, and shape of fragments, all key parameters needed to characterize real-world break up events. The DebriSat test, the results of which are provided, showcases the details of this type of experiment. The goal of this collaborative research between the ODPO and the HVIT team is to include a shape parameter in the environmental and breakup models used to assess risk for various space structures. This paper examines ground-based laboratory impact tests and the associated fragment shape categories. Provided these defined shapes, the approach is simplified by assuming a right circular cylinder (RCC) approximation with varying length-to-diameter ratios. Highlights of impact tests conducted by the HVIT team using non-spherical projectiles based on the RCC approximation are presented. Hydrocode simulations have also been performed to expand on the complexity of variations with non-spherical projectiles. Lastly, ray-tracing simulations of various RCCs of known material are provided to support the ongoing research on optical reflectance distributions with known shapes and to highlight how this may modify the current optical size estimation model. The status and plan forward are outlined for NASA's orbital debris shape effect investigation using a multidisciplinary approach by the ODPO and the HVIT team.

Heather Cowardin↗

An Overview of Ground-Based Radar and Optical Measurements Utilized By the Nasa Orbital Debris Program Office

For over 30 years, the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has led the characterization of orbital debris (OD) too small to be tracked by the U.S. Space Surveillance Network (SSN), yet which may pose the greatest threat to human spaceflight and robotic missions. Measurements from specialized sensors, including ground-based radars and telescopes capable of detecting smaller objects, provide the foundation for developing statistical models to describe the current state and future evolution of the OD environment from low Earth orbit (LEO) to geosynchronous Earth orbit (GEO). Since 1990, the ODPO has partnered with the U.S. Department of Defense and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lincoln Laboratory (MIT/LL) to collect data using the Haystack Ultrawideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR) – formerly Haystack – to characterize OD in LEO with a sensitivity of approximately 5 mm at 1000 km altitude. In addition, since 1993, the Goldstone Orbital Debris Radar, operated by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, has provided data on OD as small as approximately 2-3 mm for altitudes below 1000 km, some of the most sensitive ground-based measurements achievable at these altitudes. Recently, collaborations with the 18 th Space Control Squadron of the U.S. Space Force have also provided the ODPO with special datasets from the Space Fence to extend coverage below the historical SSN limit of 10 cm and to characterize individual breakup events in LEO. For GEO altitudes, the Eugene Stansbery Meter Class Autonomous Telescope (ES-MCAT), a joint NASA-Air Force Research Laboratory project that reached full operational capability in 2021, collects data on debris smaller than 1 m and provides coverage of debris in historically under-sampled high-altitude orbital regimes. This paper summarizes the radar and optical sensors utilized by the ODPO, their unique capabilities, and recent datasets and applications for statistical sampling of the dynamic OD environment.

Alyssa Manis↗

Revisiting the Effectiveness of Debris Mitigation by Back-Dating Fragmentation Event

Since 1961, more than 250 satellites have fragmented while in orbit about the Earth, from very low Earth orbit out to the geostationary belt. The problem of orbital debris has been recognized since at least the late 1970s, with the institution of the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) in 1979 at the Johnson Space Center. Efforts to mitigate the growth of the orbital debris environment have mainly focused in two areas: the reduction and elimination of accidental explosions of spacecraft and rocket upper stages and the timely removal of spacecraft and rocket upper stages from orbit after completion of their missions. The ODPO continues to analyze the orbital population in orbit based on object type, mass, and other parameters of interest for characterizing the overall growth of objects in Earth’s orbit. Of the 268 known fragmentation events, 46 have occurred more than ten years after the affected satellites’ launch. These long-delayed breakups increase the population of orbital debris on the date of fragmentation, but we can also consider that the debris generated during that event could be attributed to the launch date of that satellite. We will present here an analysis of the historical growth of the low-Earth orbit debris environment, removing intentional fragmentation events, and examine the effectiveness of mitigation measures (such as passivation and reducing post-mission orbital lifetime).

Chris Ostrom↗

Recent Updates to the Object Reentry Survival Analysis Tool (ORSAT) Version 7.1

The Object Reentry Survival Analysis Tool (ORSAT) code is maintained and used by the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) and has been under continuous development and improvement since the mid-1990s. ORSAT is an object-oriented reentry simulation tool; it models a satellite as a collection of discrete components that follow independent trajectories upon the breakup of the parent object. Version 7.1 of the tool incorporates five years of new thermal and aerodynamic model development, multi-processor parametric study capability, codebase upgrades, and numerous bug-fixes. The thermal demise model was completely rewritten using a forward-time/central-space numerical stencil and incorporating a new pyrolysis model for fiber-reinforced plastic (FRP) materials. New aerodynamic and aeroheating models for hollow cylinders and hollow square prisms were developed using a combination of flow simulations in the direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) Analysis Code (DAC) and Data Parallel Line Relaxation (DPLR) code and free-flight tests in the University of Texas at San Antonio’s Hypersonic Wind Tunnel. The latest version also incorporates a mechanical, strength-based demise model for FRP materials. Minor improvements include an update to the Fortran 2018 codebase; improved integration and speed with the Python-based, multi-core, parametric study tool, AutoORSAT; and fixes for many minor bugs. This new version of ORSAT will enable more accurate reentry risk assessments for modern satellites. This paper presents an overview of these changes and a summary of the verification and validation performed on the final code.

Benton R. Greene↗

An Approach to Shape Parameterization Using Laboratory Hypervelocity Impact Experiments

NASA’s Orbital Debris Program Office relies on laboratory-based impact tests to supplement the measurement data of on-orbit events that defines the orbital debris environment. These experiments provide information that is essential to interpreting the radar and optical measurements of orbital fragmentation events into useful metrics, such as characteristic size of the debris, and to providing a better understanding of the distributions of fragment populations in terms of their masses, material constituents, fragment densities, cross-sectional areas, area-to-mass ratios, shapes, etc. The Satellite Orbital Debris Characterization Impact Test (SOCIT) was a notable laboratory impact experiment conducted in 1992 using a surplus U.S. Navy Transit navigation satellite of the 1960s. The data from this ground-based experiment were combined with on-orbit measurements to develop the NASA Standard Satellite Breakup Model (SSBM). To account for advancements in satellite design and construction since, a new impact test series – DebriSat – was conducted in 2014. This test utilized a high-fidelity mock-up spacecraft that better represents the materials and construction techniques used to design and manufacture modern spacecraft. Together, these tests offer valuable data to model an orbital debris environment composed of legacy and modern spacecraft. This paper presents an overview of the two laboratory impact tests, comparing their fragment parameter distributions with each other and with relevant distributions from the NASA SSBM. The categorization and descriptions of fragment shapes are of significant interest for future work, yet there are marked differences in the definitions of shape categories between each dataset. The categorizations of constituent materials, and the measurement techniques employed to populate these two datasets, are also different. New rubrics simplify and equate the categorizations between datasets to aid comparative analyses and to facilitate the potential use of both datasets in tandem with future environmental debris models. A preferred approach to classifying shape across disparate datasets uses the characteristic-length dimensions, and a simplified shape classification based on physical, solid-body dimensions, to mathematically construct an encapsulating right-circular cylinder that represents the fragment. The ratio of cylinder length-to-diameter (L:D) then provides a single continuum value for shape that is strongly correlated with its designated shape and size. This metric can then be used to further assess the distribution of shape with populations of other fragment characteristics within these datasets. The shape parameterization using the L:D ratios of right-circular cylinders is discussed.

John H. Seago↗

The NASA JSC Hypervelocity Impact Technology (HVIT) Office

The Hypervelocity Impact Technology (HVIT) office at the Johnson Space Center (JSC) is dedicated to support NASA flight programs in meeting their meteoroid and orbital debris (MMOD) protection requirements both efficiently and effectively, with a minimum of shielding mass, volume, and cost. This paper provides an overview of HVIT capabilities in providing hypervelocity tests, analyses, MMOD risk assessments and shielding expertise. HVIT personnel work closely with NASA Program personnel to develop program-specific MMOD protection requirements which are achievable based on initial risk assessments. Then HVIT proceeds with hypervelocity impact testing and hydrocode assessments to update and verify ballistic limit equations used in the MMOD risk assessment. The final MMOD risk assessment prior to flight will show compliance with MMOD requirements. This final assessment will also incorporate changes in the MMOD environment from meteoroid showers and orbital debris breakups. After the mission is flown, post-flight inspections are performed by HVIT to document and trend MMOD damage to returned spacecraft surfaces and hardware. A majority of the hypervelocity impact tests are performed at the NASA WSTF Remote Hypervelocity Test Laboratory (RHTL), although other hypervelocity facilities that provide complementary test capabilities are called on when necessary to fill data gaps. HVIT accomplishments in NASA mission support are described. In addition, current HVIT activities to aid on-going NASA crewed missions and science missions are presented.

Hypervelocity↗

Orbital Debris Shape Effect Investigations for Mitigating Risk

NASA’s Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) and Hypervelocity Impact Technology (HVIT) team have coordinated to better understand the risks to upper stages and spacecraft from non-spherical orbital debris. It is well understood that fragmentation (collision or explosion) events in orbit produce fragments of various materials, sizes, and shapes. To further characterize these parameters, the ODPO is developing the next-generation Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM) version 4.0 to include orbital debris shape distributions. Ground-based assets, such as radar and optical sensors, can provide size estimates and some insight into material based on radar return or optical filter photometry/spectroscopy, respectively. Characterizing an object’s shape requires more laboratory analyses to infer how shape affects these measurements. More importantly, in addition to size and material/density, the shape of fragments in orbit will alter the ballistic limit equations used in orbital debris risk assessments with NASA’s Bumper Code. The ODPO plans to release ORDEM 4.0 in the coming years. Performing ground-based laboratory impact tests on high-fidelity spacecraft mockups provides the means to directly measure size, mass, material/density, and shape of fragments, all key parameters needed to characterize real-world break up events. The DebriSat test, the results of which are provided, showcases the details of this type of experiment. The goal of this collaborative research between the ODPO and the HVIT team is to include a shape parameter in the environmental and breakup models used to assess risk for various space structures. This paper examines ground-based laboratory impact tests and the associated fragment shape categories. Provided these defined shapes, the approach is simplified by assuming a right circular cylinder (RCC) approximation with varying length-to-diameter ratios. Highlights of impact tests conducted by the HVIT team using non-spherical projectiles based on the RCC approximation are presented. Hydrocode simulations have also been performed to expand on the complexity of variations with non-spherical projectiles. Lastly, ray-tracing simulations of various RCCs of known material are provided to support the ongoing research on optical reflectance distributions with known shapes and to highlight how this may modify the current optical size estimation model. The status and plan forward are outlined for NASA's orbital debris shape effect investigation using a multidisciplinary approach by the ODPO and the HVIT team.

Heather Cowardin↗

The NASA JSC Hypervelocity Impact Technology (HVIT) Office

The Hypervelocity Impact Technology (HVIT) office at the National Aeronautical and Space Administration (NASA) Johnson Space Center (JSC) is dedicated to support NASA flight programs in meeting their meteoroid and orbital debris (MMOD) protection requirements both efficiently and effectively, with a minimum of shielding mass, volume, and cost. This paper provides an overview of HVIT capabilities in providing hypervelocity tests, analyses, MMOD risk assessments and shielding expertise. HVIT personnel work closely with NASA program and safety/mission assurance personnel to develop program-specific MMOD protection requirements which are both achievable based on initial risk assessments and will meet overall safety and mission success requirements. HVIT then proceeds with hypervelocity impact testing and hydrocode assessments to update and verify ballistic limit equations used in the MMOD risk assessment. Hypervelocity impact tests are primarily performed at the NASA WSTF Remote Hypervelocity Test Laboratory (RHTL). Other hypervelocity facilities that provide complementary test capabilities are called on when necessary to fill data gaps. The goal of the final pre-flight MMOD risk assessment is to show compliance with MMOD requirements prior to flight. This final assessment will also incorporate changes in the MMOD environment from meteoroid showers and orbital debris breakups. After the mission is flown, post-flight inspections are performed by HVIT to document and trend MMOD damage to returned spacecraft surfaces and hardware. HVIT accomplishments in NASA mission support are described. In addition, current HVIT activities to aid on-going NASA crewed missions and science missions are presented.

Meteoroid↗

An Overview of Ground-Based Radar and Optical Measurements Utilized By the Nasa Orbital Debris Program Office

For over 30 years, the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has led the characterization of orbital debris (OD) too small to be tracked by the U.S. Space Surveillance Network (SSN), yet which may pose the greatest threat to human spaceflight and robotic missions. Measurements from specialized sensors, including ground-based radars and telescopes capable of detecting smaller objects, provide the foundation for developing statistical models to describe the current state and future evolution of the OD environment from low Earth orbit (LEO) to geosynchronous Earth orbit (GEO). Since 1990, the ODPO has partnered with the U.S. Department of Defense and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lincoln Laboratory (MIT/LL) to collect data using the Haystack Ultrawideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR) – formerly Haystack – to characterize OD in LEO with a sensitivity of approximately 5 mm at 1000 km altitude. In addition, since 1993, the Goldstone Orbital Debris Radar, operated by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, has provided data on OD as small as approximately 2-3 mm for altitudes below 1000 km, some of the most sensitive ground-based measurements achievable at these altitudes. Recently, collaborations with the 18 th Space Control Squadron of the U.S. Space Force have also provided the ODPO with special datasets from the Space Fence to extend coverage below the historical SSN limit of 10 cm and to characterize individual breakup events in LEO. For GEO altitudes, the Eugene Stansbery Meter Class Autonomous Telescope (ES-MCAT), a joint NASA-Air Force Research Laboratory project that reached full operational capability in 2021, collects data on debris smaller than 1 m and provides coverage of debris in historically under-sampled high-altitude orbital regimes. This paper summarizes the radar and optical sensors utilized by the ODPO, their unique capabilities, and recent datasets and applications for statistical sampling of the dynamic OD environment.

Alyssa Manis↗

Recent Updates to the Object Reentry Survival Analysis Tool (ORSAT) Version 7.1

The Object Reentry Survival Analysis Tool (ORSAT) code is maintained and used by the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) and has been under continuous development and improvement since the mid-1990s. ORSAT is an object-oriented reentry simulation tool; it models a satellite as a collection of discrete components that follow independent trajectories upon the breakup of the parent object. Version 7.1 of the tool incorporates five years of new thermal and aerodynamic model development, multi-processor parametric study capability, codebase upgrades, and numerous bug-fixes. The thermal demise model was completely rewritten using a forward-time/central-space numerical stencil and incorporating a new pyrolysis model for fiber-reinforced plastic (FRP) materials. New aerodynamic and aeroheating models for hollow cylinders and hollow square prisms were developed using a combination of flow simulations in the direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) Analysis Code (DAC) and Data Parallel Line Relaxation (DPLR) code and free-flight tests in the University of Texas at San Antonio’s Hypersonic Wind Tunnel. The latest version also incorporates a mechanical, strength-based demise model for FRP materials. Minor improvements include an update to the Fortran 2018 codebase; improved integration and speed with the Python-based, multi-core, parametric study tool, AutoORSAT; and fixes for many minor bugs. This new version of ORSAT will enable more accurate reentry risk assessments for modern satellites. This paper presents an overview of these changes and a summary of the verification and validation performed on the final code.

Benton R. Greene↗

An Approach to Shape Parameterization Using Laboratory Hypervelocity Impact Experiments

NASA’s Orbital Debris Program Office relies on laboratory-based impact tests to supplement the measurement data of on-orbit events that defines the orbital debris environment. These experiments provide information that is essential to interpreting the radar and optical measurements of orbital fragmentation events into useful metrics, such as characteristic size of the debris, and to providing a better understanding of the distributions of fragment populations in terms of their masses, material constituents, fragment densities, cross-sectional areas, area-to-mass ratios, shapes, etc. The Satellite Orbital Debris Characterization Impact Test (SOCIT) was a notable laboratory impact experiment conducted in 1992 using a surplus U.S. Navy Transit navigation satellite of the 1960s. The data from this ground-based experiment were combined with on-orbit measurements to develop the NASA Standard Satellite Breakup Model (SSBM). To account for advancements in satellite design and construction since, a new impact test series – DebriSat – was conducted in 2014. This test utilized a high-fidelity mock-up spacecraft that better represents the materials and construction techniques used to design and manufacture modern spacecraft. Together, these tests offer valuable data to model an orbital debris environment composed of legacy and modern spacecraft. This paper presents an overview of the two laboratory impact tests, comparing their fragment parameter distributions with each other and with relevant distributions from the NASA SSBM. The categorization and descriptions of fragment shapes are of significant interest for future work, yet there are marked differences in the definitions of shape categories between each dataset. The categorizations of constituent materials, and the measurement techniques employed to populate these two datasets, are also different. New rubrics simplify and equate the categorizations between datasets to aid comparative analyses and to facilitate the potential use of both datasets in tandem with future environmental debris models. A preferred approach to classifying shape across disparate datasets uses the characteristic-length dimensions, and a simplified shape classification based on physical, solid-body dimensions, to mathematically construct an encapsulating right-circular cylinder that represents the fragment. The ratio of cylinder length-to-diameter (L:D) then provides a single continuum value for shape that is strongly correlated with its designated shape and size. This metric can then be used to further assess the distribution of shape with populations of other fragment characteristics within these datasets. The shape parameterization using the L:D ratios of right-circular cylinders is discussed.

John H Seago↗

Revisiting the Effectiveness of Debris Mitigation by Back-Dating Fragmentation Events

Since 1961, more than 250 satellites have fragmented while in orbit about the Earth, from very low Earth orbit out to the geostationary belt. The problem of orbital debris has been recognized since at least the late 1970s, with the institution of the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) in 1979 at the Johnson Space Center. Efforts to mitigate the growth of the orbital debris environment have mainly focused in two areas: the reduction and elimination of accidental explosions of spacecraft and rocket upper stages and the timely removal of spacecraft and rocket upper stages from orbit after completion of their missions. The ODPO continues to analyze the orbital population in orbit based on object type, mass, and other parameters of interest for characterizing the overall growth of objects in Earth’s orbit. Of the 268 known fragmentation events, 46 have occurred more than ten years after the affected satellites’ launch. These long-delayed breakups increase the population of orbital debris on the date of fragmentation, but we can also consider that the debris generated during that event could be attributed to the launch date of that satellite. We will present here an analysis of the historical growth of the low-Earth orbit debris environment, removing intentional fragmentation events, and examine the effectiveness of mitigation measures (such as passivation and reducing post-mission orbital lifetime).

Chris Ostrom↗

Engineering Launch Methods for Non-Spherical Hypervelocity Projectiles

The use of carbon-fiber-reinforced polymer (CFRP) in modern satellites has led to a significant amount of space debris, including fragments of CFRP and high-density metals such as steel and copper, produced during catastrophic breakup events. To address this issue, NASA's White Sands Test Facility (WSTF) has been developing the capability to launch "flake-like" and long "needle-like" projectiles. WSTF tested projectiles with different length-to-diameter ratios (L/D), impacting aluminum Whipple shields with thermal blankets on the outer surface, at velocities exceeding 6 km/s. The results of the study suggest that launching and imaging shaped projectiles at high velocities is feasible. Ongoing research is now focused on improving the techniques for launching and imaging shaped projectiles under hypervelocity conditions.

Engineering↗

The NASA Orbital Debris Program Office - In Service of Space Safety

Since the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office’s (ODPO) founding in 1979 at the Johnson Space Center in Houston, Texas, it has been at the forefront of orbital debris research, modeling, and policy development. The ODPO has worked in collaboration with NASA and other U.S. government missions since the 1980s to mitigate the growth of the orbital debris environment and protect the population of the Earth. Two main products from the ODPO, the Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM) and the Debris Assessment Software (DAS), are frequently among the top three most-downloaded software packages from the NASA Software Catalog. These products are provided free of charge to the public in furtherance of the goal to ensure that new space missions, in compliance with NASA’s orbital debris mitigation requirements, are developed, operated, and disposed of responsibly. In addition to these external-facing software tools, the ODPO maintains high-fidelity internal tools for reentry simulation (the Object Reentry Survival Analysis Tool, ORSAT), short-term risk assessment for robotic and human spaceflight missions (the Satellite Breakup Risk Assessment Module, SBRAM), among others. Using data from the ORDEM model, as well as using the Meteoroid Environment Model (MEM) developed by the Meteoroid Environment Office (MEO) at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center, the Hypervelocity Impact Technology (HVIT) team uses the BUMPER code to assess penetration risk to space vehicles in Earth orbit and beyond. This paper will discuss the services that the ODPO and HVIT provide, from mission concept development through end-of-mission, for NASA-related and commercial missions.

Chris Ostrom↗

Orbital Debris Quarterly News, April 2024

- 2024 UN COPUOS STSC Session - Evolution of the Cosmos 1408 Breakup Cloud - Modeling the Small Debris Population in ORDEM - Meeting Report - Upcoming Meetings - Plot - Space Missions and Satellite Box Score

Heather Cowardin↗

Analysis of Darkened Fragments Resulting from Laboratory Hypervelocity Experiments

NASA’s Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) relies on measurements from optical, radar, and in situ measurements to facilitate the development of data-driven orbital debris environmental engineering models such as the NASA Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM). For optical measurements, the ODPO relies on ground-based optical telescopes to statistically assess objects in geosynchronous orbit and, in the future, low Earth orbit (LEO). The data collected include the detected object’s orbital parameters, time of observation, and optical magnitude. The latter parameter can be converted to a size using NASA’s optical Size Estimation Model (oSEM). It is well known that the observed magnitude of orbital debris can vary based on an object's material constituents, observational geometry, and the effects of space weathering. To assess these magnitude variations, the ODPO uses the Optical Measurement Center (OMC) at NASA Johnson Space Center to characterize a variety of materials and fragments from laboratory impact tests representative of fragments that constitute the orbital debris population. One experiment was DebriSat: a 56 kg spacecraft was built to incorporate structural elements of a modern LEO spacecraft and was subjected to a hypervelocity impact test at the U.S. Air Force’s Arnold Engineering Development Complex using test parameters that may be encountered in LEO. The DebriSat project has provided an abundance of information for assessing fragmentation debris in terms of material, color, shape, size, density, mass, and other derived parameters. Prior to the impact test, the ODPO collected spectral measurements on a subset of the materials used to construct DebriSat for a “ground-truth” of their optical properties. After the successful hypervelocity impact test, the DebriSat team observed a fine, dark dust coating all the fragments. Prior research has suggested that this came from ablated material deposited on the fragments during the impact test, causing a change in the reflective properties [1]. Given that this lower reflectivity on the DebriSat fragments will influence the laboratory-acquired magnitudes used to calculate size and inform potential updates to the oSEM, it is critical to assess if this darkening effect on the DebriSat fragments is a laboratory bias or something that could occur in on-orbit breakup events. This paper will provide a brief overview of the OMC and DebriSat experiment, focused on the optical characterization of a subset of materials using broadband photometric measurements and spectroscopic measurements. In addition, elemental analysis of various DebriSat fragments and the soft-catch foam used in the hypervelocity experiment compared with pristine foam will be examined to further evaluate the source of the dark material coating all fragments. Finally, the authors will present a twofold plan 1) for assessing potential biases in laboratory impact experiments that could affect laboratory optical characterization and 2) for mitigating biases when compared with ground-based optical telescopic measurements of the orbital debris environment.

Heather Cowardin↗

Analysis of Darkened Fragments Resulting from Laboratory Hypervelocity Experiments

NASA’s Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) relies on measurements from optical, radar, and in situ measurements to facilitate the development of data-driven orbital debris environmental engineering models such as the NASA Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM). For optical measurements, the ODPO relies on ground-based optical telescopes to statistically assess objects in geosynchronous orbit and, in the future, low Earth orbit (LEO). The data collected include the detected object’s orbital parameters, time of observation, and optical magnitude. The latter parameter can be converted to a size using NASA’s optical Size Estimation Model (oSEM). It is well known that the observed magnitude of orbital debris can vary based on an object's material constituents, observational geometry, and the effects of space weathering. To assess these magnitude variations, the ODPO uses the Optical Measurement Center (OMC) at NASA Johnson Space Center to characterize a variety of materials and fragments from laboratory impact tests representative of fragments that constitute the orbital debris population. One experiment was DebriSat: a 56 kg spacecraft was built to incorporate structural elements of a modern LEO spacecraft and was subjected to a hypervelocity impact test at the U.S. Air Force’s Arnold Engineering Development Complex using test parameters that may be encountered in LEO. The DebriSat project has provided an abundance of information for assessing fragmentation debris in terms of material, color, shape, size, density, mass, and other derived parameters. Prior to the impact test, the ODPO collected spectral measurements on a subset of the materials used to construct DebriSat for a “ground-truth” of their optical properties. After the successful hypervelocity impact test, the DebriSat team observed a fine, dark dust coating all the fragments. Prior research has suggested that this came from ablated material deposited on the fragments during the impact test, causing a change in the reflective properties [1]. Given that this lower reflectivity on the DebriSat fragments will influence the laboratory-acquired magnitudes used to calculate size and inform potential updates to the oSEM, it is critical to assess if this darkening effect on the DebriSat fragments is a laboratory bias or something that could occur in on-orbit breakup events. This presentation will provide a brief overview of the OMC and DebriSat experiment, focused on the optical characterization of a subset of materials using broadband photometric measurements and spectroscopic measurements. In addition, elemental analysis of various DebriSat fragments and the soft-catch foam used in the hypervelocity experiment compared with pristine foam will be examined to further evaluate the source of the dark material coating all fragments. Finally, the authors will present a twofold plan 1) for assessing potential biases in laboratory impact experiments that could affect laboratory optical characterization and 2) for mitigating biases when compared with ground-based optical telescopic measurements of the orbital debris environment.

Heather Cowardin↗

A Physics-Based Antarctic Melt Detection Technique: Combining Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2, Radiative-Transfer Modeling, and Firn Modeling

Surface melt on ice shelves has been linked to hydrofracture and subsequent ice shelf breakup. Since the 1990s, scientists have been using microwave radiometers to detect melt on ice shelves and ice sheets by applying various statistical thresholding techniques to identify significant increases in brightness temperature that are associated with melt. In this study, instead of using a fixed threshold, we force the Snow Radiative Transfer model (SMRT) with outputs from the Community Firn Model (CFM) to create a dynamic, physics-based threshold for melt. In the process, we also combine our method with statistical thresholding techniques and produce microwave grain size information in the process. We run this “Hybrid Method” across the Larsen C ice shelf as well as thirteen sites on the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Melt and non-melt days from the Hybrid Method and three statistical thresholding techniques match with surface energy balance within 94±1%; the effect of melt on the passive microwave is mostly binary and thus largely detectable by statistical thresholding techniques as well as physics-based techniques. Rather than always replacing statistical thresholding techniques with the Hybrid Method, we recommend using the Hybrid Method in studies where melt volume or grain size is of interest. In this study, we show that the Hybrid Method can be used to (a) model dry snow brightness temperatures of Antarctic snow and (b) derive a measure of grain size; therefore, it is an important step forwards towards using firn and radiative transfer modeling to quantify melt rather than to simply detect melt days.

Marissa E Dattler↗