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At least 1,027 records · Page 57

MAL33 drives natural variation in maltose metabolism in Saccharomyces eubayanus

Maltose is one of the most abundant sugars in brewer’s wort, and its efficient utilization is critical for successful fermentation. However, maltose consumption varies naturally among Saccharomyces eubayanus strains isolated from different host trees, such as Quercus and Nothofagus. To identify the genetic determinants underlying these phenotypic differences, we performed bulk segregant analysis (BSA) and quantitative trait loci (QTL) mapping using an F 2 offspring derived from QC18 (Quercus-associated) and CL467.1 (Nothofagus-associated) strains. QTL mapping identified two significant genomic regions on subtelomeric loci of chromosomes V-R and XVI-L, each containing complete MAL loci composed of MAL32 (encoding maltase), MAL31 (transporter), and MAL33 (transcriptional activator) genes. Comparative polymorphism analyses identified mutations in MAL32 and MAL33 of QC18, including frameshift mutations resulting in premature stop codons. Functional validation demonstrated that the heterologous expression of MAL33 ChrV from CL467.1 fully restored maltose utilization in QC18, indicating the functional presence of MAL33 cis-regulatory sequences and MAL32 and MAL31 genes in QC18. While structural protein predictions identified truncation and impaired functionality in the maltose-responsive activation domain of Mal33p from QC18, overexpression of QC18’s own MAL33 ChrV allele also improved maltose metabolism, suggesting dosage-dependent transcriptional limitations rather than complete functional loss. These results indicate that allelic variations in the maltose-responsive activation domain of Mal33p result in differences in maltose consumption between strains. Here, we hypothesized that reduced maltose metabolism in QC18 is an adaptive response to the distinct sugar composition in Quercus robur bark, contrasting with the starch-rich environment of Nothofagus pumilio. These findings highlight subtelomeric MAL gene diversity as a reservoir of genetic variation, representing a key evolutionary mechanism that influences maltose adaptation among natural Saccharomyces isolates.

evolutionary plasticity↗

Structural Characterization of Potential Carbon Dioxide Reservoirs and Adjacent Strata within the Llandovery Silurian to Middle Devonian Strata of Ohio

The Midwest Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (MRCSP) has incorporated the work of geologic research teams (Geoteams) in its regional characterization, project planning and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) injection implementation work since the partnership was established by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in 2003. Over this 16-year period, the cohort of Geoteams has grown from five to ten states and has contributed to the characterization of geologic sequestration opportunities, refinement of reservoir and seal data, and supported injection efforts through both predictive and post-injection assessments. This report details the work led by the Ohio Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geological Survey to evaluate the structure of nine formations in the Appalachian Basin of Ohio to assess seal integrity and whether carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) migration pathways could pose a potential risk. As part of Phase II MRCSP work, the Pennsylvania Geological Survey led the characterization of the Llandovery Silurian (“middle Silurian”) to Middle Devonian regional geologic characterization CO 2 utilization and storage. This preliminary assessment included generalized, regional-scale mapping, as well as the development of relatively coarse structure and isochore maps of stratigraphic intervals of interest for the Appalachian Basin. Because this stratigraphic interval offers several enhanced oil recovery targets and secondary targets for CO 2 storage, the Ohio Geological Survey undertook efforts in Phase III to characterize the Ohio’s portion of the Appalachian Basin more precisely and to resolve inconsistencies within Ohio’s formation tops. This study refined the subsurface correlations of the Silurian-through-Devonian stratigraphic section in Ohio. Higher-resolution isochore mapping of the CO 2 storage reservoirs and seals provides greater detail of potential high-porosity zones and potential structural influence on the interval.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Carbon–Nutrient Economy of the Rhizosphere: Improving Biogeochemical Prediction and Scaling Feedbacks from Ecosystem to Regional Scales

Our project has advanced the science of plant-soil-microbial dynamics across these areas: i) nutrient cycling and plant uptake; ii) root exudation and priming; and, iii) mycorrhizal dynamics. Our project has accomplished 5 main developments: 1) Incorporation of phosphorus cycling into the Fixation & Uptake of Nutrients (FUN 3.0) model. 2) Coupling of FUN 3.0 into the E3SM Land Model (ELM). 3) Data collection across a large mycorrhizal gradient in the US, as well data in the tropics, to parameterize, test, and validate the model. 4)Scaling up mycorrhizal association measurements across landscapes using airborne hyperspectral remote sensing data. 5) Evaluation of global carbon and nutrient cycle impacts in the Community Land Model (CLM5.0) from a suite of new global mycorrhizal association maps. Over 25 publications resulted from this project, with more continuing past the project funded lifetime. Paper highlights from most of these publications have already been submitted to the DOE paper submission online system. These publications include journals such as Science and PNAS, as well as top disciplinary journals from the Nature journals, Global Change Biology, New Phytologist, and Ecology Letters, for example. Our project also contributed to improving the process representation, capabilities, and accuracy of the DOE ELM. Overall, this project significantly advanced the science of belowground plant-soil-microbial interactions as well as technical capabilities from remote sensing to modeling.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Forecasting influenza activity using machine-learned mobility map

Human mobility is a primary driver of infectious disease spread. However, existing data is limited in availability, coverage, granularity, and timeliness. Data-driven forecasts of disease dynamics are crucial for decision-making by health officials and private citizens alike. In this work, we focus on a machine-learned anonymized mobility map (hereon referred to as AMM) aggregated over hundreds of millions of smartphones and evaluate its utility in forecasting epidemics. We factor AMM into a metapopulation model to retrospectively forecast influenza in the USA and Australia. We show that the AMM model performs on-par with those based on commuter surveys, which are sparsely available and expensive. We also compare it with gravity and radiation based models of mobility, and find that the radiation model’s performance is quite similar to AMM and commuter flows. Additionally, we demonstrate our model’s ability to predict disease spread even across state boundaries. Our work contributes towards developing timely infectious disease forecasting at a global scale using human mobility datasets expanding their applications in the area of infectious disease epidemiology.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Unlocking expanded flagellin perception through rational receptor engineering

Abstract The surface-localized receptor kinase FLS2 detects the flg22 epitope from bacterial flagella. FLS2 is conserved across land plants, but bacterial pathogens exhibit polymorphic flg22 epitopes. Most FLS2 homologues possess narrow perception ranges, but four with expanded perception have been identified. Using diversity analyses, AlphaFold modelling and amino acid properties, key residues enabling expanded recognition were mapped to FLS2’s concave surface, interacting with the co-receptor and polymorphic flg22 residues. Synthetic biology enabled engineering of expanded recognition from QvFLS2 (Quercus variabilis) into a homologue with canonical perception. A similar approach enabled transfer ofAgrobacteriumperception from FLS2 XL (Vitis riparia) into VrFLS2. Evolutionary analyses across three plant orders showed residues under positive selection aligning with those binding the co-receptor and flg22’s C terminus, suggesting more alleles with expanded perception exist. Our experimental data enabled the identification of specific receptor amino acid properties and AlphaFold3 metrics that facilitate predicting FLS2–flg22 recognition. This study provides a framework for rational receptor engineering to enhance pathogen restriction.

Plant Sciences↗

Data from: "Ecophysiological variation in two provenances of Pinus flexilis seedlings across an elevation gradient from forest to alpine"

This archive contains data used to support conclusions drawn in “Ecophysiological variation in two provenances of Pinus flexilis seedlings across an elevation gradient from forest to alpine”, by Reinhardt et al., 2011. Data were collected over one summer season in plots within the Alpine Treeline Warming Experiment (ATWE), before climate manipulations began. The experiment was located on Niwot Ridge, in the Front Range of the Colorado Rocky Mountains. This data package includes five comma-separated-values (.csv) files, five Microsoft Excel (.xlsx) files, one .pdf file, and two types of geospatial files: keyhole markup language (.kml), and ESRI shapefiles (.shp). .csv files can be opened using any simple text-editing software (such as Notepad and TextEdit), R, and Microsoft Excel. .xlsx files can only be opened using Microsoft Excel. The .pdf file can be opened using Adobe Acrobat Reader or any other compatible file viewing software. The .kml file can be opened using Google Earth and Google Maps, and shapefiles can be opened using any software compatible with the file type, such as ESRI’s ArcGIS suite and QGIS.Data archived contain gas exchange and plant physiology measurements, non-structural carbohydrate data, among others. Geospatial files are also provided for additional locational context. The files and their contents in this data package are summarized under "Data Summary" in the included Data User's Guide. All files (excluding geospatial) are available in both Microsoft Excel and in .csv format, and are indicated in the Data Summary list as well.-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Climate change is predicted to cause upward shifts in forest tree distributions, which will require seedling recruitment beyond current forest boundaries. However, predicting the likelihood of successful plant establishment beyond current species’ ranges under changing climate is complicated by the interaction of genetic and environmental controls on seedling establishment. To determine how genetics and climate may interact to affect seedling establishment, we transplanted recently germinated seedlings from high- and low-elevation provenances (HI and LO, respectively) of Pinus flexilis in common gardens arrayed along an elevation and canopy gradient from subalpine forest into the alpine zone and examined differences in physiology and morphology between provenances and among sites. Plant dry mass, projected leaf area and shoot:root ratios were 12–40% greater in LO compared with HI seedlings at each elevation. There were no significant changes in these variables among sites except for decreased dry mass of LO seedlings in the alpine site. Photosynthesis, carbon balance (photosynthesis/respiration) and conductance increased >2× with elevation for both provenances, and were 35–77% greater in LO seedlings compared with HI seedlings. There were no differences in dark-adapted chlorophyll fluorescence (Fv/Fm) among sites or between provenances. Our results suggest that for P. flexilis seedlings, provenances selected for above-ground growth may outperform those selected for stress resistance in the absence of harsh climatic conditions, even well above the species’ range limits in the alpine zone. This indicates that forest genetics may be important to understanding and managing species’ range adjustments due to climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Final Report DE-FE0031785 Mohsen Ahmadian, Ph.D. Demonstration of Proof of Concept of a Multiphysics Approach for Real-Time Remote Monitoring of Dynamic Changes in Pressure and Salinity in Hydraulically Fractured Networks

Hydraulic fracturing has evolved into a multistep process with varying flow rates, carrier fluids (e.g., gel or slickwater), proppant loadings, and proppant grain sizes. As a result, primary recovery from a hydraulically fractured tight-oil reservoir is often a tiny fraction of the original oil in place, ranging between 5 and 10%. As stated in the FOA1990, “part of this problem is due to the inability of current well completion processes to effectively stimulate the entire reservoir volume in contact with the wellbore. Innovative technologies are needed that can help improve the effectiveness of reservoir completion methods, maximize stimulated reservoir volumes, and optimize recovery over the entire producing life span of a well”. We first need to enhance the current fracture diagnostic techniques to improve a well-completion design. However, detecting and delineating a subsurface hydraulic fracture is extremely difficult because the induced fracture network is only fractionally propped, and these propped fractures are generally very thin. Microseismic and tiltmeter monitoring techniques can provide information on the fracture extent but provide little or no information on the movement and final distribution of proppant or production fluids. On the other hand, electromagnetic (EM) imaging has shown the capability to monitor proppant distribution throughout the fracture area, especially in the presence of Electrically Active Proppants (EAPs). A previous EM survey of hydraulic fracturing at the Devine Fracture Pilot Site (DFPS) and subsequent EM code developments demonstrated this survey as a robust technique to remotely interrogate the extent of the EAP-filled hydraulic fracture during its propagation. The objectives of the project were threefold: (1) to capitalize on the material properties of an EAP to demonstrate remote monitoring of relative changes in pressure, pressure, and flow that are commonly encountered during production from a hydraulically fractured reservoir; (2) to evaluate EM imaging tools, to achieve Objective 1 in near real-time; and (3) to develop a multi-physics joint inversion approach to precisely predict flow patterns and physiochemical changes within an EAP-filled fracture network. This research project was built upon our previous work at the Devine Test Site managed by the Bureau of Economic Geology (BEG) at The University of Texas at Austin (UT-Austin). It also leveraged a significant investment from the Advanced Energy Consortium (AEC) to address the DOE's interest in subsurface flow, containment, and characterization by multiple signals. This three-year and three-month project succeeded in demonstrating the feasibility of a real-time dynamic fluid flow mapping technique at Technology Readiness Level 5 (TRL5) by utilizing a commercially available surface-based Controlled-Source Electromagnetic (CSEM) method (Objectives 1, 2). We demonstrated that injections into an EAP-filled fracture could be successfully coupled with real-time electric field measurements on the surface, leading to remote monitoring of dynamic changes within the EAP-filled fracture. Furthermore, the observed electric field in our study is influenced by bottomhole pressure, flow rate, and salinity, which is demonstrated by comparing these parameters with the electrical field potentials. EM simulations solely based on assumptions of fracture conductivity changes during injection did not reproduce the whole measured electric field magnitudes. Preliminary estimates showed that including Streaming Potential (SP) in our geophysical model is likely needed to reduce the simulation misfit.

02 PETROLEUM↗

An Open-Source Framework for Characterizing Urban Energy Models: Integrating Top-Down and Bottom-Up Methods to Predict Residential Buildings Characteristics: Preprint

Bottom-up urban energy models are crucial for understanding current energy use patterns and informing design strategies. However, accurately characterizing these models to represent different communities remains a challenge due to the extensive data needed for simulating existing energy use behavior. This data includes information related to human activities and building characteristics, all of which correlate with socioeconomic factors. To overcome this challenge, we developed an automated framework that utilizes both top-down and bottom-up data, to predict unknown building and occupant characteristics that are needed for more accurate and equitable modeling and analytics. Our framework, integrated into the URBANopt district energy modeling platform, uses statistical data models from ResStock. URBANopt models co-located buildings and neighborhoods. At this scale there are data gaps in building characteristic data, such as materials, insulation, occupancy, income, and energy usage of the buildings. To address this data gap, we use ResStock data, representative at the census tract scale, and develop machine-learning and deeplearning techniques to disaggregate it to individual buildings. By mapping unique occupant, building and economic properties to URBANopt energy models, we gain detailed insights into the variability of building energy use across different neighborhoods. This insight helps deploy technologies for co-located buildings and supports targeted upgrades for communities with unique economic and demographic characteristics, ensuring energy equity. Accurate characterization of energy models allows us to develop equitable strategies tailored to diverse neighborhoods, whether underserved or affluent. Our automated framework streamlines energy modeling and provides a reliable tool for building energy characterization.

ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION↗

Predicting 3D Motions from Single-Camera Optical Test Data

In a typical optical test, a stereo camera pair is required to measure the three-dimensional motion of a test article; one camera typically only measures motions in the image plane of the camera, and measurements in the out-of-plane direction are missing. Finite element expansion techniques provide a path to estimate responses from a test at unmeasured degrees of freedom. Treating the case of a single camera as a measurement with unmeasured degrees of freedom, a finite element model is used to expand to the missing third dimension of the image data, allowing a full-field, three-dimensional measurement to be obtained from a set of images from a single camera. The key to this technique relies on the mapping of finite element deformations to image deformations, creating a set of mode shape images that are used to filter the response in the image into modal responses. These modal responses are then applied to the finite element model to estimate physical responses at all finite element model degrees of freedom. The mapping from finite element model to image is achieved using synthetic images produced by a rendering software. Finally, the technique is applied first to a synthetic deformation image, and then is validated using an experimental set of images.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Experimental and theoretical investigation of the crystalline surface, film, and interface properties of antiperovskite Mn 3 GaN grown by molecular beam epitaxy on MgO(001)

Here, we present a study of the epitaxial growth, characterization, and theoretical modeling of thin film antiperovskite Mn 3 GaN, an antiferromagnetic material with kagome structure which is grown on MgO (001) substrates using N-plasma-assisted molecular beam epitaxy. Reflection high energy electron diffraction is used to assess the in-plane evolution of the film structure during growth, and the surface is investigated in-situ using scanning tunneling microscopy and Auger electron spectroscopy. These results are combined with precision measurements done ex-situ determining the film lattice constants using a combination of x-ray diffraction with reciprocal space mapping and scanning transmission electron microscopy. Overall, a uniform, homogeneous film with an atomically smooth vacuum surface and atomically sharp substrate interface is found having very small in-plane tensile strain and mild out-of-plane compressive strain. First-principles theoretical calculations are applied in order to ascertain the lowest energy models for both the Mn 3 GaN surface and the Mn 3 GaN/MgO film/substrate interface. Models including MnGa versus MnN surface layers and MnGa versus MnN interfacial layers are considered as functions of both the Mn and Ga chemical potentials. The predictions are discussed in comparison to the experimental results. The overall findings suggest that Mn 3 GaN on MgO(001) is a viable epitaxial film which can be further explored in connection with antiferromagnetic spintronics.

Density functional theory↗

Defect chemistry and doping of BiCuSeO

While p-type BiCuSeO is a well-known mid-temperature oxide thermoelectric (TE) material, computations predict that superior TE performance can be realized through n-type doping. In this study, we use first-principles defect calculations to show that Cu vacancies are responsible for the native p-type self doping; yet, we find that BiCuSeO is n-type dopable under Cu-rich growth conditions, where the formation of Cu vacancies is suppressed. We computationally survey a broad suite of 23 dopants and find that only Cl and Br are effective n-type dopants. Therefore, we recommend that future experimental doping efforts utilize phase boundary mapping to optimize the electron concentration and resolve the anomalous p–n–p transitions observed in halogen-doped BiCuSeO. The prospect of n-type doping, as revealed by our defect calculations, paves the path for rational design of BiCuSeO chemical analogues with similar doping behavior and even better TE performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

FracML: A Machine Learning Based Tool to Quantify Reservoir Scale Fracture Network for CO2 Storage

Poster on “FRACML: A Machine Learning Based Tool to Quantify Reservoir Scale Fracture Network for CO2 Storage” for the CCUS 2025 conference held in Houston, Texas March 3-5, 2025. The accurate characterization of subsurface fracture networks is essential for the secure operation of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) projects. A thorough understanding of the spatial distribution of subsurface faults and fractures is crucial for predicting CO2 plume evolution and minimizing risks such as potential leakage into overlying formations or induced seismicity. In this context, robust fracture network quantification plays a pivotal role in reservoir management, providing the data necessary to fine-tune operational parameters, and ensure the environmental and economic viability of CCUS projects. As part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s SMART (Science-informed Machine Learning for Accelerating Real-time Decisions in Subsurface Applications) initiative, we focused on the development and application of a machine learning-based tool (FRACML) designed to quantify and map fracture networks using real-world (non-synthetic) data from an active CO2 injection site. Our objective is to demonstrate the utility of this tool in improving operational efficiency and safety across CCUS sites.

artifical intelligence / machine learning (AI/ML)↗

Dual-RNA-sequencing to elucidate the interactions between sorghum and Colletotrichum sublineola

In warm and humid regions, the productivity of sorghum is significantly limited by the fungal hemibiotrophic pathogen Colletotrichum sublineola , the causal agent of anthracnose, a problematic disease of sorghum ( Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench) that can result in grain and biomass yield losses of up to 50%. Despite available genomic resources of both the host and fungal pathogen, the molecular basis of sorghum− C. sublineola interactions are poorly understood. By employing a dual-RNA sequencing approach, the molecular crosstalk between sorghum and C. sublineola can be elucidated. In this study, we examined the transcriptomes of four resistant sorghum accessions from the sorghum association panel (SAP) at varying time points post-infection with C. sublineola . Approximately 0.3% and 93% of the reads mapped to the genomes of C. sublineola and Sorghum bicolor , respectively. Expression profiling of in vitro versus in planta C. sublineola at 1-, 3-, and 5-days post-infection (dpi) indicated that genes encoding secreted candidate effectors, carbohydrate-active enzymes (CAZymes), and membrane transporters increased in expression during the transition from the biotrophic to the necrotrophic phase (3 dpi). The hallmark of the pathogen-associated molecular pattern (PAMP)-triggered immunity in sorghum includes the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) and phytoalexins. The majority of effector candidates secreted by C. sublineola were predicted to be localized in the host apoplast, where they could interfere with the PAMP-triggered immunity response, specifically in the host ROS signaling pathway. The genes encoding critical molecular factors influencing pathogenicity identified in this study are a useful resource for subsequent genetic experiments aimed at validating their contributions to pathogen virulence. This comprehensive study not only provides a better understanding of the biology of C. sublineola but also supports the long-term goal of developing resistant sorghum cultivars.

Vela, Saddie↗

Mapping Thermoelectric Transport in a Multicomponent Alloy Space

Abstract Interest in high entropy alloy thermoelectric materials is predicated on achieving ultralow lattice thermal conductivity κ L through large compositional disorder. However, here it is shown that for a given mechanism, such as mass contrast phonon scattering, κ L will be minimized along the binary alloy with highest mass contrast, such that adding an intermediate mass atom to increase atomic disorder can increase thermal conductivity. Only when each component adds an independent scattering mechanism (such as adding strain fluctuation to an existing mass fluctuation) is there a benefit. In addition, both charge carriers and heat‐carrying phonons are known to experience scattering due to alloying effects, leading to a trade‐off in thermoelectric performance. Analytic transport models are applied, based on perturbation and effective medium theories, to predict how alloy scattering will affect the thermal and electronic transport across the full compositional range of several pseudo‐ternary and pseudo‐quaternary alloy systems. To do so, a multicomponent extension is demonstrated to both thermal and electronic binary alloy scattering models based on the virtual crystal approximation. Finally, it is shown that common functional forms used in computational thermodynamics can be applied to this problem to further generalize the scattering behavior that is modeled.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

In-Situ SEM High Strain Rate Testing of Large Diameter Micropillars Followed by TEM and EBSD Postmortem Analysis

Background Dislocation dynamic simulations are intended as a tool to understand and predict the mechanical behavior of metallic materials, but its prediction has never been directly verified by experiments due to differences in specimen strain rate and size. Objective In this work, a comprehensive experimental framework is proposed to attempt direct comparison between experiments and discrete dislocation dynamics (DDD) modelling. Methods By integrating high-throughput sample fabrication and a customized testing apparatus, the sample size and strain rate typically employed in DDD simulations are explored experimentally. Constitutive properties such as stress-strain response are measured, and microstructural information is obtained from transmission electron microscopy (TEM) imaging, electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD), and TEM-based orientation mapping. Results Magnesium and copper were selected, as case studies, to demonstrate the newly developed experimental procedure. Measured stress-strain responses for Mg are consistent with those obtained with a miniaturized Hopkison bar experiments. Furthermore, by exploiting the validated workflow, the effect of strain rate on micropillar heterogeneous deformation and associated dislocation plasticity were revealed. Conclusion The work establishes a methodology for the systematic study of not only metals but also other materials and structures at the microscale and high strain rates.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Continuous-time probabilistic models for longitudinal electronic health records

Analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record (EHR) data is an important goal for precision medicine. Difficulty in applying Machine Learning (ML) methods, either predictive or unsupervised, stems in part from the heterogeneity and irregular sampling of EHR data. Here, we present an unsupervised probabilistic model that captures nonlinear relationships between variables over continuous-time. This method works with arbitrary sampling patterns and captures the joint probability distribution between variable measurements and the time intervals between them. Inference algorithms are derived that can be used to evaluate the likelihood of future using under a trained model. As an example, we consider data from the United States Veterans Health Administration (VHA) in the areas of diabetes and depression. Likelihood ratio maps are produced showing the likelihood of risk for moderate-severe vs minimal depression as measured by the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Coupled chemo-mechanical modeling of point-defect diffusion in a crystal plasticity fast Fourier transform framework

Below the yield strength and at moderate-to-high homologous temperatures, the inelastic deformation of metals is mostly governed/rate-controlled by vacancy diffusion-mediated processes. As a function of grain size, stress, temperature and dislocation content, vacancies (or atoms) can adopt preferential diffusion paths across grain interiors, along grain boundaries, or towards and along dislocations, resulting in climb and self-climb. In the steady state and under constant load, grain boundary and grain bulk vacancy diffusion-mediated plasticity have been described in seminal works by Coble and by Nabarro and Herring, respectively. Yet, the interplay between all aforementioned potential diffusion pathways has not been comprehensively mapped. This work presents a thermodynamically-consistent full-field model integrated within a voxel-based elasto-viscoplastic fast Fourier transform framework, which considers the coupling between the diffusion-mediated plasticity mechanisms. In the proposed approach, the kinetics and kinematics of plastic deformation due to vacancy diffusion along grain boundaries and grain bulk, as well as the exchange between grain boundaries and bulk are described explicitly. A homogenization approach at the voxel level is further introduced to simultaneously consider bulk and grain boundary diffusion in a numerically efficient fashion. The new formulation predicts the expected strain rate dependencies and the scaling of the steady-state creep rate with respect to grain size, temperature, and stress. Finally, the model predicts the transition from grain bulk to grain boundary-dominated diffusion with reduction in grain size, a significant step towards capturing transitions in deformation behavior without any phenomenological or ad-hoc adjustments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Quantifying the Effect of Economic Development Zones on Electrical Load Growth in Kentucky [Slides]

The Kentucky Energy and Environment Cabinet has recently undertaken a comprehensive effort to map and catalog potential economic development sites across the state. The purpose of this technical assistance is to quantify the potential impact of developing designated sites on Kentucky's electricity load growth, providing insights at both state and county level considering the next 10 years. This analysis should explicitly incorporate and address key project uncertainties by developing various load growth scenarios that account for development scale, site specificity, and sector variability. The need for a site-specific analysis comes from the understanding that conventional econometric (top-down) load forecasting models cannot sufficiently isolate or predict the discrete load increases resulting from the development of these unique and targeted economic sites.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗