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At least 1,027 records · Page 57
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Protection and Restoration Solutions to Reliable and Resilient Integration of Grid-connected PV Installations and Distributed Energy Resources: Design, Testbed, Proof of Work and Impact Studies (Final Report)

To gain a better understanding of the complex transients in a utility grid with a large number of solar PV installations coupled by PWM inverters during the protection and restoration period of the power grid, in this project a kW-level experimental system with dominating inverter-based resources and a hardware-in-loop simulation system with transmission and distribution models, as well as several SEL protective relays have been built and used. The major research findings of the project are summarized below in two perspectives: Experimental research: A self-organized ultra-high frequency solitary waveform is discovered and demonstrated in the hardware experimental system. Despite the familiarities, such a solitary waveform is distinct from any harmonics, transient, or resonance waves in that, it is 1) non-dispersive over time and space, 2) not associated with any active source or the linear superposition of sources, 3) half-cycle asymmetric, 4) not responding to filters or change of system characteristic resonance frequency, 5) ubiquitous as it occurs simultaneously everywhere in the system from DC supply, power lines, and the utility grid, and 6) explosive through tripping the protection or damaging susceptible devices or circuits. Analytical study: The nature of such a new waveform and an analytical explanation of its formation are studied based on related physics and non-linear science principles, with the following highlights: 1) such a new waveform follows the solutions to the Non-linear Schrödinger equation, so the classic linear perturbation theory is unable to explain or predict such a unique waveform as confirmed with the research team of RTDS; 2) the critical condition of occurrence of such a waveform is derived, which indicates that the breakings of solitary wave is a system synchronous issue between the utility grid in the 60Hz phasor domain and duty-ratio modulation of DC sources in the inverter switching frequency domain; 3) such a waveform carries energy mass so it could be detrimental; 4) such a waveform is deceiving as it is not readily detectable in the energy propagation direction by the primary protection equipment, while it is detrimental in the perpendicular direction of energy propagation, i.e. voltage direction. Thus, it has more likely challenges to the second primary equipment and devices, particularly at the weakest link and point such as aging insulation and inappropriate setting of susceptible devices. Therefore, such a waveform can be easily ignored in the aftermath investigation. The intellectual merits: The experimental discovery reveals certain unfamiliar transient phenomena that could challenge the integration of large-scale grid-connected solar PV installation during the group ride-through period of solar PV installations, commissioning of large-solar farms, or dramatic change of solar radiation conditions. Particularly, the research findings suggest that the occurrence of the unfamiliar transient phenomena is uniquely associated with the inverter-based solar PV installation, which is less likely to happen for rotary energy systems. The physics and non-linear science-based research work laid down an analytical path to the challenging transient stability problems including those that have been observed currently and future calls. Both experimental and analytical research results explain the limitation of many current research effects including some DoE research undertakings as well as possible solutions. The broader impacts: The research outcome of the project advances the understanding of the possible transient problems for the integration of inverter-based solar PV installation. It also highlights the theoretical and technical barriers for applying the conventional theory and technology to design and implement countermeasures against their adverse impacts of the large-scale solar PV installation and operation on grid reliability and security. More broadly, the research outcomes have shed some light on the open, fundamental challenges in the integration of large-scale solar photovoltaic energy into current and next-generation power grids across the country, and worldwide. The advanced physics and non-linear science-based analysis open up a path to harmonization of the renewables for societal energy needs via building a resilient and sustainable electric power infrastructure.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Integrated CO 2 Capture and Conversion by a Robust Cu(I)-Based Metal–Organic Framework

Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) have shown promise in both capturing CO 2 under flue gas conditions and converting it into valuable chemicals. However, the development of a single MOF capable of capturing and selectively converting CO 2 has remained elusive due to lack of harmonious combination of selectivity, water stability, and reactivity. For example, Cu(I)-based MOFs are particularly effective for CO 2 conversion, but they do not typically exhibit selective CO 2 adsorption and often suffer from instability in the presence of air and moisture. Developing a Cu(I) MOF that is stable under flue gas conditions while also capturing CO 2 from this mixture would likely afford a material capable of selectively capturing and converting CO 2 in an integrated pathway, which would represent a significant advancement in this field. In this study, we introduce NU-2100, an ultramicroporous Cu(I) MOF, which exhibits both selectivity for CO 2 adsorption and great stability even in the presence of moisture and air. Comprehensive evaluations involving exposure to air, oxygen, water, and varying temperatures reveal that NU-2100 demonstrates superior stability compared to other known Cu(I) MOFs. Utilizing adsorption isotherms and thermogravimetric analysis coupled with gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (TGA-GCMS), we establish the high selectivity of NU-2100 for CO 2 over common flue gas components, including water, nitrogen, and oxygen. Additionally, under mild reaction conditions (50 °C and H 2 :CO 2 = 3:1), NU-2100 exhibits CO 2 capture and catalytic conversion to formic acid with 100% selectivity. Furthermore, this study marks an important step towards the design of next-generation MOFs capable of integrated carbon capture and utilization (iCCU) under industrial conditions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Residential Façade Upgrades: Market Assessment and Recommendations

In support of DOE’s move toward transformational whole-building upgrades and enclosure solutions, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) are partnering and collaborating with leading building science researchers and home-performance entities to identify and characterize technical and economic barriers to façade retrofits in an effort to identify market-viable façade solutions and opportunities for an actionable plan to transform the market. The project includes partnerships with Building Science Corporation (BSC) and a combination of strategic implementation partners with home-performance and retrofit expertise and industry contacts. The project will include expert advisory and review consultation from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory’s (LBNL’s) Residential Windows & Attachments team and Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s Building Envelope team. The project consists of three parts: 1. a market analysis that captures the current state of the façade retrofit market and includes housing characteristics and retrofit costs, façade retrofit approaches and materials, contractor business models and workforce requirements to support advanced façade approaches; 2. an economic analysis focused on the viability of advanced façade retrofit approaches and materials; and 3. field demonstration of façade retrofits that include enhanced insulation/air-sealing and window technologies in multiple climate zones. This report represents the market analysis, as outlined in item 1 above. The goal of this analysis is to provide a techno-economic study that supports comprehensive retrofits of residential enclosures that include traditional approaches, and integrated wall assemblies and windows that result in durable, energy efficient, and marketable strategies. This study will provide a better knowledge base regarding the viable market for façade retrofit strategies, identify the barriers to uptake, analyze economic opportunities, and develop documentation specifically aimed to overcome technical and market barriers associated with installation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2024

IEA Wind Task 49: Reference Site Conditions for Floating Wind Arrays

The commercial-scale deployment of floating offshore wind (FOW) projects is expected to take place in a diverse range of sites that may differ significantly from existing fixed-bottom projects. FOW farms are particularly sensitive to the water depth and the meteorological and oceanographic (metocean) and geotechnical conditions at the project site due to the wave-induced system motions and loads as well as the anchoring system constraints imposed by the seafloor conditions. Uncertainty around the site conditions will permeate through all aspects of project design, leading to suboptimal and overly conservative designs, increased costs, and adversely affected performance. As FOW expands into a global industry, metocean and geotechnical conditions will increasingly vary for projects located in different geographic regions or in far-from-shore, deep-water sites. This study represents the outputs of work package 1 of International Energy Agency Wind Task 49, which focuses on the integrated design of floating wind arrays. The primary goal of this study is to establish the type of parameters and constraints required to characterize FOW array reference sites; provide a realistic and publicly available set of reference site conditions to the FOW community as a baseline set of data for individual research projects; identify and categorize any critical gaps in the existing data or methodologies required to define reference site characteristics; and inform and support the design of reference FOW arrays. A building block concept was developed for synthesizing reference sites for the design of FOW arrays. The building blocks include three classes of site conditions focusing on the techno-economic design of FOW projects: metocean conditions, seabed conditions, and coastal infrastructure. All reference site data produced and collected in this study are publicly available.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Synergistic Effects of Molten Salt Corrosion and Proton Irradiation on Grain Boundary Strength in Ni-20Cr

Nickel-based alloys are leading contenders for use as structural materials in molten salt reactors. While there have been extensive studies on the impact of fluoride/chloride-based molten salt corrosion on the microstructural evolution of various nickel-based alloys, the effects of simultaneous molten salt corrosion and radiation on the mechanical integrity of grain boundaries (GBs) remain underexplored. In this study, we use a Ni-20Cr model alloy to investigate this issue, subjecting it to simultaneous molten fluoride salt corrosion and proton irradiation. We performed cross-sectional and chemically-sensitive electron microscopy characterization of the microstructures of these materials, identifying the characteristic corrosion-induced microstructure and local chemical heterogeneity near GBs. After developing a sample preparation method for reliable characterization of GB strength, we assess the mechanical degradation of GBs using in situ push-to-pull micro tensile tests. Our findings reveal that voids induced by corrosion are the primary influence on the failure mode of GBs, regardless of whether proton irradiation is present. For materials that exhibit ductile fracture, those subjected to simultaneous corrosion and radiation exhibit lower yield strengths than those exposed to corrosion alone, which may be linked to the previously observed phenomenon of proton irradiation-decelerated intergranular corrosion in molten salt.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Aging studies on chemical vapor deposition and mechanically exfoliated molybdenum disulfide flakes heated in ambient air

The structural integrity of atomically thin two-dimensional molybdenum disulfide (MoS 2 ) is crucial for high-temperature applications, including nanoelectronics and optoelectronics. This study explores the structural stability and electrical performance, under extended thermal exposure in air, of MoS 2 flakes synthesized via chemical vapor deposition (CVD) and mechanical exfoliation. The MoS 2 flakes, both CVD-grown and mechanically exfoliated, were subjected to heating at 200 °C with a relative humidity of 60(±5)% for a prolonged period and investigated with atomic force microscopy and Raman spectroscopy. This study shows that CVD-grown flakes developed noticeable cracks after prolonged heating, whereas mechanically exfoliated flakes mostly retained their structural integrity. Also, both types of flakes showed a decrease in layer thickness and lateral size over time, with mechanically exfoliated flakes exhibiting a comparatively smaller reduction in substrate coverage area. In addition, MoS 2 -based two-terminal devices were subjected to heating at 150 °C for approximately 1100 h, and their electrical characterization revealed a steady rise in current during constant voltage (5 V) conditions. This study enhances our understanding of MoS 2 stability and provides guidance for improving the reliability of MoS 2 -based devices in high-temperature electronic applications.

2D materials↗
DOE OSTI2022

Upgrading the Performance and Stability of Lithium, Manganese-Rich Layered Oxide Cathodes with Combined-Formic Acid and Spinel Coating Treatment

We report improving sluggish rate performance and cycling stability of Li, Mn-rich cathode materials (LMR) is of great importance for practical implementation. Here, dual surface modification on LMR particles with formic acid washing and spinel coating improves the electrochemical performance. Dilute formic acid can remove the Li2CO3 surface impurities and selectively reduce Ni while significantly increasing specific surface area by ~32 %, unlocking more electrochemically active surfaces. Spinel coating enhances cycle stability by suppressing detrimental side reactions at electrode-electrolyte interfaces at high voltage. Post-annealing temperature was found to significantly affect the cathode performance. Higher temperature favors diffusion of transition metal (TM)/Li ions of the spinel coating from surface to the bulk, removing the coating by possible reconstruction into the layered structure and thus degrading the performance. The spinel coating also appears to increase Co 3+ segregation on the particle surface. Compared to the original material, the optimized sample demonstrates 47 % higher capacity retention at 3C and retains 89 % of initial capacity after 150 cycles at 0.5C. Besides, the specific energy density of 523 Wh kg -1 can be attained after 150 cycles at 0.5C. Moreover, the post-cycling analysis of modified sample verifies a better structural integrity with less particle cracking. Altogether, this study portrays an alternative strategy to overcome the shortcomings of LMR cathode materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Associated production of prompt $J/ψ$ and Υ mesons in $pp$ collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 13 TeV

The associated production of prompt J/ψ and Υ mesons in pp collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of $\sqrt{s}$ = 13 TeV is studied using LHCb data, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 4 fb -1 . The measurement is performed for J/ψ (Υ) mesons with a transverse momentum p T < 10 (30) GeV/c in the rapidity range 2.0 < y < 4.5. In this kinematic range, the cross-section of the associated production of prompt J/ψ and Υ(1S) mesons is measured to be 133 ± 22 ± 7 ± 3 pb, with a signifcance of 7.9 σ, and that of prompt J/ψ and Υ(2S) mesons to be 76 ± 21 ± 4 ± 7 pb, with a signifcance of 4.9 σ. The frst uncertainty is statistical, the second systematic, and the third due to uncertainties on the used branching fractions. This is the frst observation of the associated production of J/ψ and Υ(1S) in proton-proton collisions. Diferential cross-sections are measured as functions of variables that are sensitive to kinematic correlations between the J/ψ and Υ(1S) mesons. The efective cross-sections of the associated production of prompt J/ψ and Υ mesons are obtained and found to be compatible with measurements using other particle productions.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Engineering lithium-ion battery cathodes for high-voltage applications using electromagnetic excitation

Microwave radiation (MWR), a type of electromagnetic excitation source, reduces the synthesis temperature and processing time for chemical reactions compared to traditional synthesis methods. Recently, we demonstrated that MWR can engineer ceramics with different crystal phases compared to traditional methods [ Journal of Materials Chemistry A 5 , 35 (2017)]. Here, we further apply the MWR-assisted technique to improve the electrochemical performance of LiCoO 2 cathodes by engineering TiO 2 and ZrO 2 ceramic coatings. Electrochemical tests suggest that the TiO 2 coating improves the rate capability of the LiCoO 2 electrode. Both TiO 2 and ZrO 2 coatings improve the high-voltage (4.5 V) cycling stability of LiCoO 2 . The capacity remaining is improved from 52.8 to 84.4% and 81.9% by the TiO 2 coating and the ZrO 2 coating, respectively, after 40 cycles. We compare these results with existing studies that apply traditional methods to engineer TiO 2 /ZrO 2 on LiCoO 2 , and find that the MWR-assisted method shows better performance improvement. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy measurements suggest that the improved cycling stability arises from the formation of metal fluorides that protect the electrode from side reactions with electrolytes. This mechanism is further supported by the reduced Co dissolution from TiO 2 /ZrO 2 -coated LiCoO 2 electrode after cycling. This study provides a new toolbox facilitating the integration of many delicate, low melting point materials like polymers into battery electrodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Multi-fidelity Uncertainty Quantification for Homogenization Problems in Structure-Property Relationships from Crystal Plasticity Finite Elements

Crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) has been an integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) workhorse to study materials behaviors and structure-property relationships for the last few decades. These relations are mappings from the microstructure space to the materials properties space. Due to the stochastic and random nature of microstructures, there is always some uncertainty associated with materials properties, for example, in homogenized stress-strain curves. For critical applications with strong reliability needs, it is often desirable to quantify the microstructure-induced uncertainty in the context of structure-property relationships. However, this uncertainty quantification (UQ) problem often incurs a large computational cost because many statistically equivalent representative volume elements (SERVEs) are needed. In this article, we apply a multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) method to CPFEM to study the uncertainty in stress-strain curves, given an ensemble of SERVEs at multiple mesh resolutions. By using the information at coarse meshes, we show that it is possible to approximate the response at fine meshes with a much reduced computational cost. We focus on problems where the model output is multi-dimensional, which requires us to track multiple quantities of interest (QoIs) at the same time. In conclusion, our numerical results show that MLMC can accelerate UQ tasks around 2.23x, compared to the classical Monte Carlo (MC) method, which is widely known as ensemble average in the CPFEM literature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Transfer learning for smart buildings: A critical review of algorithms, applications, and future perspectives

Smart buildings play a crucial role toward decarbonizing society, as globally buildings emit about one-third of greenhouse gases. In the last few years, machine learning has achieved a notable momentum that, if properly harnessed, may unleash its potential for advanced analytics and control of smart buildings, enabling the technique to scale up for supporting the decarbonization of the building sector. In this perspective, transfer learning aims to improve the performance of a target learner exploiting knowledge in related environments. The present work provides a comprehensive overview of transfer learning applications in smart buildings, classifying and analyzing 77 papers according to their applications, algorithms, and adopted metrics. The study identified four main application areas of transfer learning: (1) building load prediction, (2) occupancy detection and activity recognition, (3) building dynamics modeling, and (4) energy systems control. Furthermore, the review highlighted the role of deep learning in transfer learning applications that has been used in more than half of the analyzed studies. The paper also discusses how to integrate transfer learning in a smart building's ecosystem, identifying, for each application area, the research gaps and guidelines for future research directions.

Pinto, G↗
DOE OSTI2024

Maximizing energy efficiency in wastewater treatment plants: A data-driven approach for waste heat recovery and an economic analysis using Organic Rankine Cycle and thermal energy storage

Maximizing energy efficiency through waste heat recovery (WHR) processes is crucial for sustainable and ecofriendly operations across multiple industries, notably in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs). This work proposes a comprehensive approach for assessing the WHR feasibility in WWTPs, structured in two main objectives. Firstly, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model is developed to accurately predict WHR based on operational data, including biogas temperature, biogas pressure, daily production in kWh, and WHR values in kWh th . The second objective focuses on economically evaluating the WHR feasibility based on the estimated WHR values obtained by the ANN model, and then realistically assessing the economic feasibility of integrating the Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) and Seasonal Thermal Energy Storage (STES) systems. With an application to the As-Samra WWTP located in Jordan, the developed ANN model demonstrates promising results in the validation phase, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2206 kWh/day, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1674 kWh/day, and an R-squared (R 2 ) value of 68%. On the other hand, the economic analysis reveals that an optimal ORC system of 412.14 kW e capacity yields a Net Present Value (NPV) of 2.09 million US dollars, a Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) of 0.0749 USD/kWh, a Payback Period (PBP) of 4.8 years, and annual revenues of 428 kUSD. This work also investigates the techno-economic feasibility of integrating ORC-STES. Results indicate that the LCOE and PBP are highly affected by the ORC's capital cost, and integrating STES increases the LCOE to 0.0824 USD/kWh, rendering its integration with ORC infeasible. In conclusion, this study aims to advance the understanding and application of WHR in WWTPs, paving the way for more efficient and sustainable practices in the field.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Multiomic Network Analysis Identifies Dysregulated Neurobiological Pathways in Opioid Addiction

BACKGROUND: Opioid addiction is a worldwide public health crisis. In the United States, for example, opioids cause more drug overdose deaths than any other substance. However, opioid addiction treatments have limited efficacy, meaning that additional treatments are needed. METHODS: To help address this problem, we used network-based machine learning techniques to integrate results from genome-wide association studies of opioid use disorder and problematic prescription opioid misuse with transcriptomic, proteomic, and epigenetic data from the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex of people who died of opioid overdose and control individuals. RESULTS: Here we identified 211 highly interrelated genes identified by genome-wide association studies or dysregulation in the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex of people who died of opioid overdose that implicated the Akt, BDNF (brain-derived neurotrophic factor), and ERK (extracellular signal-regulated kinase) pathways, identifying 414 drugs targeting 48 of these opioid addiction–associated genes. Some of the identified drugs are approved to treat other substance use disorders or depression. CONCLUSIONS: Our synthesis of multiomics using a systems biology approach revealed key gene targets that could contribute to drug repurposing, genetics-informed addiction treatment, and future discovery.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Water vapor oxidation behaviors of nuclear graphite IG-110 for a postulated accident scenario in high temperature gas-cooled reactors

Water leakage in accidental conditions of high temperature gas-cooled reactors is one of the most critical problems that can compromise the integrity of different nuclear components. In this study, oxidation behaviors of nuclear graphite IG-110 in water ingress accidental conditions were investigated. Mass loss and oxidation rates were evaluated after oxidation tests at temperatures up to 1400 °C in an Ar-20 vol% H 2 O mixed atmosphere. The activation energy decreased from 318.6 to 148.9 kJ/mol with temperature, indicating two different oxidation regimes. The cross-sections of the oxidized samples were systematically characterized. The corresponding logarithmic porosity profiles showed a temperature dependency. Pore formation moved toward near-surface regions with increasing temperature and preferential binder oxidation, with filler particle degradation. Furthermore, oxidant concentration profiles and oxidation depths were estimated using a theoretical model and compared with the experimental results. This work provides important benchmark data and safety analysis guidance for the accident scenario in high temperature gas-cooled reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Heating performance of an air source heat pump with a portable thermoelectric subcooler

This study investigates the heating performance of an integrated air-source heat pump (ASHP) with a thermoelectric subcooler (TES) module, revealing significant performance enhancements, particularly in colder temperatures. Results show that adding the portable TES boosts the ASHP's heating capacity, making it feasible for residential applications. The coefficient of performance (COP) for the TE system, which is influenced by condensing temperatures and ambient conditions, ranges from 1.51 to 2.07. If condensing temperatures are consistently maintained above 35 °C, a TE COP of approximately 2.07 is achievable, supporting system downsizing and reducing supplemental heating. When coupled with an oversized indoor coil, the TES-ASHP system delivers comparable heating to a baseline unit while achieving a 10 % higher COP. Capacity increases by 8.7 %–24 % with TES in colder conditions, though COP declines by 9 %–18 %, diminishing as temperatures drop. Compared to systems with supplemental heating, this setup achieves a COP 10 %–17 % higher. Future work will involve extended field testing in various climates, exploration of advanced materials for thermal efficiency, and assessment of alternative refrigerants to improve performance and sustainability. This integrated ASHP-TES system holds promise for increased efficiency and reduced environmental impact in cold climates.

Air source heat pump↗
DOE OSTI2022

A novel approach for produced water treatment: Supercritical water oxidation and desalination

Produced water generated from oil and gas operations contains significant quantities of environmentally hazardous hydrocarbons, organic chemicals, and inorganic salts. Environmental regulations with impaired water disposal mandates produced water treatment and desalination. Industry standard desalination technologies are energy-intensive and mandate extensive produced water pre-treatment including removal of hydrocarbons constituents for efficient operations. Herein this study investigates a novel process intensification approach integrating supercritical water oxidation (SCWO) unit operation with a supercritical water desalination (SCWD) process for energy efficient produced water treatment and desalination. The coupled SCWD-SCWO process is found to be very energy-efficient and cost effective than existing industry standard desalination technologies. For energy efficient operation, the heat generated from the SCWO of hydrocarbons present in the produced water is used for power generation using a high efficiency and low-cost re-heat Rankine cycle process. The cost of treating produced water with proposed SCWO-SCWD process is independent of the salt concentration. The proposed process has the potential to offer step-change improvements over conventional processes in both the efficiency and cost of produced water treatment: for example, a cost and energy saving of 70% and 100% is calculated for the treatment of produced water containing 250 g/l salt and 10.6 g/l hydrocarbon.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Three different directions in which the European Union could replace Russian natural gas

Russia's invasion of Ukraine fuelled an energy crisis, which considerably impacted Europe given its heavy reliance on Russian natural gas imports. This study uses an ensemble of four global integrated assessment models, which are further soft-linked to two sectoral models, and explores the synergies and trade-offs among three approaches to living without Russian gas in Europe: (a) replacing with other gas imports, (b) boosting domestic energy production, and (c) reducing demand and accelerating energy efficiency. We find that substituting Russian gas from other trade partners would miss an opportunity to accelerate decarbonisation in end-use sectors while risking further fossil-fuel lock-ins, despite featuring the lowest gas price spikes and potentially reducing heating costs for end-users in the near term. Boosting domestic, primarily renewable, energy production on the other hand would instead require considerable investments, potentially burdening consumers. Energy demand reductions, however, could offer considerable space for further emissions cuts at the lowest power-sector investment costs; nonetheless, an energy efficiency-driven strategy would also risk relocation of energy-intensive industries, an aspect of increasing relevance to EU policymakers.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Derivation of physical equations for high-speed laser welding using large language models

It is challenging to formulate complex physical phenomena that occur in a manufacturing process, particularly when the available data are limited, rendering conventional data-driven approaches ineffective. This study aims to predict humping onset in high-speed laser welding by introducing a novel framework, namely text-to-equations generative pre-trained transformer (T2EGPT). This method leverages the capabilities of large language models (LLMs), in combination with sparse experimental data and enriched literature data, to derive an interpretable and generalizable equation for predicting humping initiation. By capturing key correlations among physical parameters, T2EGPT generates a compact and dimensionless expression that accurately predicts hump formation. The equation reveals that humping arises from the interplay between inertia-driven backward melt flow and capillary-driven surface stabilization, where inertial forces drive molten metal backward and capillary forces resist surface deformation. Furthermore, compared to traditional data-driven models, T2EGPT demonstrates enhanced predictive accuracy and cross-material transferability. More broadly, this study highlights the potential of LLMs to integrate textual information with data-driven discovery, enabling the extraction of physical laws in data-scarce scientific domains.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗