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Hitomi Constraints on the 3.5 keV Line in the Perseus Galaxy Cluster

High-resolution X-ray spectroscopy with Hitomi was expected to resolve the origin of the faint unidentified $E\approx 3.5\,\mathrm{keV}$ emission line reported in several low-resolution studies of various massive systems, such as galaxies and clusters, including the Perseus cluster. We have analyzed the Hitomi first-light observation of the Perseus cluster. The emission line expected for Perseus based on the XMM-Newton signal from the large cluster sample under the dark matter decay scenario is too faint to be detectable in the Hitomi data. However, the previously reported 3.5 keV flux from Perseus was anomalously high compared to the sample-based prediction. We find no unidentified line at the reported high flux level. Taking into account the XMM measurement uncertainties for this region, the inconsistency with Hitomi is at a 99% significance for a broad dark matter line and at 99.7% for a narrow line from the gas. We do not find anomalously high fluxes of the nearby faint K line or the Ar satellite line that were proposed as explanations for the earlier 3.5 keV detections. We do find a hint of a broad excess near the energies of high-n transitions of S xvi ($E\simeq 3.44\,\mathrm{keV}$ rest-frame)—a possible signature of charge exchange in the molecular nebula and another proposed explanation for the unidentified line. While its energy is consistent with XMM pn detections, it is unlikely to explain the MOS signal. In conclusion, a confirmation of this interesting feature has to wait for a more sensitive observation with a future calorimeter experiment.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

CDM analysis

The C Data Manager (CDM) is an advanced tool for creating an object-oriented database and for processing queries related to objects stored in that database. The CDM source code was purchased and will be modified over the course of the Arachnid project. In this report, the modified CDM is referred to as MCDM. Using MCDM, a detailed series of experiments was designed and conducted on a Sun Sparcstation. The primary results and analysis of the CDM experiment are provided in this report. The experiments involved creating the Long-form Faint Source Catalog (LFSC) database and then analyzing it with respect to following: (1) the relationships between the volume of data and the time required to create a database; (2) the storage requirements of the database files; and (3) the properties of query algorithms. The effort focused on defining, implementing, and analyzing seven experimental scenarios: (1) find all sources by right ascension--RA; (2) find all sources by declination--DEC; (3) find all sources in the right ascension interval--RA1, RA2; (4) find all sources in the declination interval--DEC1, DEC2; (5) find all sources in the rectangle defined by--RA1, RA2, DEC1, DEC2; (6) find all sources that meet certain compound conditions; and (7) analyze a variety of query algorithms. Throughout this document, the numerical results obtained from these scenarios are reported; conclusions are presented at the end of the document.

Larson, Robert E.↗

LDEF materials overview

The flight and retrieval of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF) provided an opportunity for the study of the low-Earth orbit (LEO) environment and long-duration space environmental effects (SEE) on materials that is unparalleled in the history of the U.S. Space Program. The 5-year, 9-month flight of LDEF greatly enhanced the potential value of all materials on LDEF to the international SEE community, compared to that of the original 1-year flight plan. The remarkable flight attitude stability of LDEF enables specific analyses of individual and combined effects of LEO environmental parameters on identical materials on the same space vehicle. NASA recognized this potential by forming the LDEF Space Environmental Effects on Materials Special Investigation Group (MSIG) to address the greatly expanded materials and LEO space environment analysis opportunities available in the LDEF structure, experiment trays, and corollary measurements so that the combined value of all LDEF materials data to current and future space missions will be addressed and documented. An overview of the interim LDEF materials findings of the principal investigators and the Materials Special Investigation Group is provided. These revelations are based on observations of LEO environmental effects on materials made in space during LDEF retrieval and during LDEF tray deintegration at the Kennedy Space Center, and on findings of approximately 1.5 years of laboratory analyses of LDEF materials by the LDEF materials scientists. These findings were extensively reviewed and discussed at the MSIG-sponsored LDEF Materials Workshop '91. The results are presented in a format that categorizes the revelations as 'clear findings' or 'obscure preliminary findings' (and progress toward their resolution), plus resultant needs for new space materials developments and ground simulation testing/analytical modeling, in seven categories: materials/environmental parameters and data bases; LDEF contamination; thermal control coatings and protective treatments; polymers and films; polymer-matrix composites; metals, ceramics, and optical materials; and systems-related materials. The utilization of LDEF materials data for future low-Earth orbit missions is also discussed, concentrating on Space Station Freedom. In general, the LDEF data is remarkably consistent; LDEF will provide a 'benchmark' for materials design data bases for satellites in low-Earth orbit. Some materials were identified to be encouragingly resistant to LEO SEE for 5.8-years; other 'space qualified' materials displayed significant environmental degradation. General contamination levels on LDEF were low, but molecular contamination was widespread; LDEF offers an unprecedented opportunity to provide a unified perspective of unmanned LEO spacecraft contamination mechanisms. New material development requirements for long-term LEO missions were identified and current ground simulation testing methods/data for new, durable materials concepts can be validated with LDEF results. LDEF findings are already being integrated into the design of Space Station Freedom.

Stein, Bland A.↗

A multiparametric analysis of the Einstein sample of early-type galaxies. 1: Luminosity and ISM parameters

We have conducted bivariate and multivariate statistical analysis of data measuring the luminosity and interstellar medium of the Einstein sample of early-type galaxies (presented by Fabbiano, Kim, & Trinchieri 1992). We find a strong nonlinear correlation between L(sub B) and L(sub X), with a power-law slope of 1.8 +/- 0.1, steepening to 2.0 +/- if we do not consider the Local Group dwarf galaxies M32 and NGC 205. Considering only galaxies with log L(sub X) less than or equal to 40.5, we instead find a slope of 1.0 +/- 0.2 (with or without the Local Group dwarfs). Although E and S0 galaxies have consistent slopes for their L(sub B)-L(sub X) relationships, the mean values of the distribution functions of both L(sub X) and L(sub X)/L(sub B) for the S0 galaxies are lower than those for the E galaxies at the 2.8 sigma and 3.5 sigma levels, respectively. We find clear evidence for a correlation between L(sub X) and the X-ray color C(sub 21), defined by Kim, Fabbiano, & Trinchieri (1992b), which indicates that X-ray luminosity is correlated with the spectral shape below 1 keV in the sense that low-L(sub X) systems have relatively large contributions from a soft component compared with high-L(sub X) systems. We find evidence from our analysis of the 12 micron IRAS data for our sample that our S0 sample has excess 12 micron emission compared with the E sample, scaled by their optical luminosities. This may be due to emission from dust heated in star-forming regions in S0 disks. This interpretation is reinforced by the existence of a strong L(sub 12)-L(sub 100) correlation for our S0 sample that is not found for the E galaxies, and by an analysis of optical-IR colors. We find steep slopes for power-law relationships between radio luminosity and optical, X-ray, and far-IR (FIR) properties. This last point argues that the presence of an FIR-emitting interstellar medium (ISM) in early-type galaxies is coupled to their ability to generate nonthermal radio continuum, as previously argued by, e.g., Walsh et al. (1989). We also find that, for a given L(sub 100), galaxies with larger L(sub X)/L(sub B) tend to be stronger nonthermal radio sources, as originally suggested by Kim & Fabbiano (1990). We note that, while L(sub B) is most strongly correlated with L(sub 6), the total radio luminosity, both L(sub X) and L(sub X)/L(sub B) are more strongly correlated with L(sub 6 CO), the core radio luminosity. These points support the argument (proposed by Fabbiano, Gioia, & Trinchieri 1989) that radio cores in early-type galaxies are fueled by the hot ISM.

Eskridge, Paul B.↗

Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel Annual Report for 1999

This report covers the activities of the Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel (ASAP) for the calendar year 1999.This was a year of notable achievements and significant frustrations. Both the Space Shuttle and International Space Station (ISS) programs were delayed.The Space Shuttle prudently postponed launches after the occurrence of a wiring short during ascent of the STS-93 mission. The ISS construction schedule slipped as a result of the Space Shuttle delays and problems the Russians experienced in readying the Service Module and its launch vehicle. Each of these setbacks was dealt with in a constructive way. The STS-93 short circuit led to detailed wiring inspections and repairs on all four orbiters as well as analysis of other key subsystems for similar types of hidden damage. The ISS launch delays afforded time for further testing, training, development, and contingency planning. The safety consciousness of the NASA and contractor workforces, from hands-on labor to top management, continues high. Nevertheless, workforce issues remain among the most serious safety concerns of the Panel. Cutbacks and reorganizations over the past several years have resulted in problems related to workforce size, critical skills, and the extent of on-the-job experience. These problems have the potential to impact safety as the Space Shuttle launch rate increases to meet the demands of the ISS and its other customers. As with last year's report, these work- force-related issues were considered of sufficient import to place them first in the material that follows. Some of the same issues of concern for the Space Shuttle and ISS arose in a review of the launch vehicle for the Terra mission that the Panel was asked by NASA to undertake. Other areas the Panel was requested to assess included the readiness of the Inertial Upper Stage for the deployment of the Chandra X-ray Observatory and the possible safety impact of electromagnetic effects on the Space Shuttle. The findings and recommendations in this report do not highlight any major, immediate issues that might compromise the safe pursuit of the various NASA programs. They do, however, cover concerns that the Panel believes should be addressed in the interest of maintaining NASA's excellent safety record.The Panel is pleased to note that remedial efforts for some of the findings raised are underway. Given appropriate funding and cooperative efforts among the Administration, the Congress and the various contractors, the Panel is convinced that safety problems can be avoided or solved resulting in lower risk for NASA's human space and aeronautics programs. Section II of this report contains specific findings and recommendations generated by Panel activities during the calendar year 1999. Section III presents more detailed information in support of these findings and recommendations. A current roster of Panel members, consultants, and staff is included as Appendix A. Appendix B contains NASA's response to the findings and recommendations from the 1998 annual report. It has been augmented this year to include brief explanations of why the Panel classified the NASA response as " open,""continuing," or "closed." Appendix C lists the fact-finding activities of the Panel in 1999.

Blomberg, Richard D.↗

Comparison of MPEG digital video with super VHS tape for diagnostic echocardiographic readings

BACKGROUND: Digital recording of echocardiographic studies is on the clinical horizon. However, full digital capture of complete echocardiographic studies in traditional video format is impractical, given current storage capacity and network bandwidth. To overcome these constraints, we evaluated the diagnostic image quality of digital video by using MPEG (Motion Picture Experts Group) compression. METHODS AND RESULTS: Fifty-eight complete, consecutive studies were recorded simultaneously with the use of MPEG-1 and sVHS videotape. Each matched MPEG and sVHS study pair was reviewed by two from a total of six readers, and findings were recorded with the use of a detailed, computerized reporting tool. Intrareader and interreader discrepancies were characterized as major or minor and analyzed in total and for specific subgroups of findings (left and right ventricular parameters, valvular insufficiency, and left ventricular regional wall motion). Intrareader discrepancies were reviewed by a consensus panel for agreement with either MPEG or sVHS findings. There was an exact concordance between MPEG and sVHS readings in 83% of findings. The majority of discrepancies were minor, with major discrepancies in only 2.7% of findings. There was no difference in the rate of consensus panel agreement with MPEG or sVHS for instances of intrareader discrepancy, either in total or for any subgroup of findings. Interreader discrepancy rates were nearly identical for both MPEG and sVHS. CONCLUSIONS: MPEG-1 digital video is equivalent to sVHS videotape for diagnostic echocardiography. MPEG increases the range of practical options for digital echocardiography and offers, for the first time, the advantages of digital recording in a familiar video format.

Non-NASA Center↗

Technology Infusion of CodeSonar into the Space Network Ground Segment (RII07): Software Assurance Symposium Technical Summary

Presents a source code analysis tool (CodeSonar) for use in the Space Network Ground Segment. The Space Network requires 99.9% proficiency and 97.0% availability of systems. Software has historically accounted for an annual average of 28% of the Space Network loss of availability and proficiency. CSCI A and CSCI B account for 42% of the previous eight months of software data loss. The technology infusion of CodeSonar into the Space Network Ground segment is meant to aid in determining the impact of the technology on the project both in the expenditure of effort and the technical results of the technology. Running a CodeSonar analysis and performing a preliminary review of the results averaged 3.5 minutes per finding (approximately 20 hours total). An additional 40 hours is estimated to analyze the 37 findings deemed too complex for the initial review. Using CodeSonar's tools to suppress known non-problems, delta tool runs will not repeat findings that have been marked as non-problems, further reducing the time needed for review. The 'non-interesting' finding rate of 70% is a large number, but filtering, search, and detailed contextual features of CodeSonar reduce the time per finding. Integration of the tool into the build process may also provide further savings by preventing developers from having to configure and operate the tool separately. These preliminary results show the tool to be easy to use and incorporate into the engineering process. These findings also provide significant potential improvements in proficiency and availability on the part of the software. As time-to-fix data become available a better cost trade can be made on person hours saved versus tool cost. Selective factors may be necessary to determine where best to apply CodeSonar to balance cost and benefits.

Benson, Markland J.↗

Revamping Spacecraft Operational Intelligence with Splunk

So what is Splunk? Instead of giving the technical details, which you can find online, I'll tell you what it did for me. Splunk slapped everything into one place, with one uniform format, and gave me the ability to forget about all these annoying details of where it is, how to parse it, and all that. Instead, I only need to interact with Splunk to find the data I need. This sounds simple and obvious, but it's surprising what you can do once you all of your data is indexed in one place. By having your data organized, querying becomes much easier. Let's say that I want to search telemetry for a sensor_name gtemp_1 h and to return all data that is at most five minutes old. And because Splunk can hook into a real ]time stream, this data will always be up-to-date. Extending the previous example, I can now aggregate all types of data into one view based in time. In this picture, I've got transaction logs, telemetry, and downlinked files all in one page, organized by time. Even though the raw data looks completely than this, I've defined interfaces that transform it into this uniform format. This gives me a more complete picture for the question what was the spacecraft doing at this particular time? And because querying data is simple, I can start with a big block of data and whiddle it down to what I need, rather than hunting around for the individual pieces of data that I need. When we have all the data we need, we can begin widdling down the data with Splunk's Unix-like search syntax. These three examples highlights my trial-and-error attempts to find large temperature changes. I begin by showing the first 5 temperatures, only to find that they're sorted chronologically, rather than from highest temperatures to lowest temperatures. The next line shows sorting temperatures by their values, but I find that that fs not really what I want either. I want to know the delta temperatures between readings. Looking through Splunk's user manual, I find the delta function, which lets me dynamically generate new information to use in my query. With that extra piece of information, I can now return only the telemetry readings where the temperature changed by at least 10. One other useful feature I'll mention is that all of these queries can be run through Splunk's API. So any scripting language you can think of can plug right in and make these queries. This gives us the ability to build a lot of new tools.

operational intelligence↗

HST WFC3 Observations of Uranus' 2014 Storm Clouds and Comparison with VLT/SINFONI and IRTF/Spex Observations

In November 2014 Uranus was observed with the Wide Field Camera 3 (WFC3) instrument of the Hubble Space Telescope as part of the Hubble 2020: Outer Planet Atmospheres Legacy program, OPAL. OPAL annually maps Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune (and will also map Saturn from 2018) in several visible near- infrared wavelength filters. The Uranus 2014 OPAL observations were made on the 89th November at a time when a huge cloud complex, first observed by de Pater et al. (2015) and subsequently tracked by professional and amateur astronomers (Sayanagi et al., 2016), was present at 30-40deg N. We imaged the entire visible atmosphere, including the storm system, in seven filters spanning 467924 nm, capturing variations in the coloration of Uranus clouds and also vertical distribution due to wavelength dependent changes in Rayleigh scattering and methane absorption optical depth. Here we analyse these new HST observations with the NEMESIS radiative-transfer and retrieval code in multiple-scattering mode to determine the vertical cloud structure in and around the storm cloud system. The same storm system was also observed in the H-band (1.4-1.8 micrometers) with the SINFONI Integral Field Unit Spectrometer on the Very Large Telescope (VLT) on 31st October and 11th November, reported by Irwin et al. (2016, 10.1016j.icarus.2015.09.010). To constrain better the cloud particle sizes and scattering properties over a wide wavelength range we also conducted a limb-darkening analysis of the background cloud structure in the 30-40deg N latitude band by simultaneously fitting: a) these HSTOPAL observations at a range of zenith angles; b) the VLTSINFONI observations at a range of zenith angles; and c) IRTFSpeX observations of this latitude band made in 2009 at a single zenith angle of 23deg, spanning the wavelength range 0.8-1.8 micrometers (Irwin et al., 2015, 10.1016j.icarus.2014.12.020). We find that the HST observations, and the combined HSTVLTIRTF observations at all locations are well modelled with a three-component cloud comprised of: 1) a vertically thin, but optically thick deep tropospheric cloud at a pressure of approximately 2 bars; 2) a methane-ice cloud based at the methane-condensation level of approximately 1.23 bar, with variable vertical extent; and 3) a vertically extended tropospheric haze, also based at the methane-condensation level of 1.23 bar. We find that modelling both haze and tropospheric cloud with particles having an effective radius of approximately 0.1 micron provides a good fit the observations, although for the tropospheric cloud, particles with an effective radius as large as 1.0 micron provide a similarly good fit. We find that the particles in both the tropospheric cloud and haze are more scattering at short wave- lengths, giving them a blue color, but are more absorbing at longer wavelengths, especially for the tropospheric haze. We find that the spectra of the storm clouds are well modelled by localized thickening and vertical extension of the methane-ice cloud. For the particles in the storm clouds, which we assume to be composed of methane ice particles, we find that their mean radii must lie somewhere in the range 0. 1 1. 0 m. We find that the high clouds have low integrated opacity, and that streamers reminiscent of convective thunderstorm anvils are confined to levels deeper than 1 bar. These results argue against vigorous moist convective origins for the cloud features.

atmospheres↗

Testing multiflavored ULDM models with SPARC

We perform maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) for single and double flavor ultralight dark matter (ULDM) models using the Spitzer Photometry and Accurate Rotation Curves (SPARC) database. These estimates are compared to MLEs for several commonly used cold dark matter (CDM) models. By comparing various CDM models we find, in agreement with previous studies, that the Burkert and Einasto models tend to perform better than other commonly used CDM models. We focus on comparisons between the Einasto and ULDM models and analyze cases for which the ULDM particle masses are: free to vary; and fixed. For each of these analyses, we perform fits assuming the soliton and halo profiles are: summed together; and matched at a given radius. When we let the particle masses vary, we find a negligible preference for any particular range of particle masses, within $10^{-25}\,\text{eV}\leq m\leq10^{-19}\,\text{eV}$, when assuming the summed models. For the matched models, however, we find that almost all galaxies prefer particles masses in the range $10^{-23}\,\text{eV}\lesssim m\lesssim10^{-20}\,\text{eV}$. For both double flavor models we find that most galaxies prefer approximately equal particle masses. We find that the summed models give much larger variances with respect to the soliton-halo (SH) relation than the matched models. When the particle masses are fixed, the matched models give median and mean soliton and halo values that fall within the SH relation bounds, for most masses scanned. When the particle masses are fixed in the fitting procedure, we find the best fit results for the particle mass $m=10^{-20.5}\,\text{eV}$ (for the single flavor models) and $m_1=10^{-20.5}\,\text{eV}$, $m_2=10^{-20.2}\,\text{eV}$ for the double flavor, matched model. We discuss how our study will be furthered using a reinforcement learning algorithm.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Complement to thermodynamics of dyonic Taub-NUT-AdS spacetime

We examine the thermodynamics of Euclidean dyonic Taub-Nut/Bolt-AdS 4 black holes for a variety of horizon geometries to understand how gauge field regularity conditions influence the thermodynamic relations. We find several distinct features that distinguish the NUT-charged case from its dyonic Reissner-Nordstrom counterpart. For the Nut solution, the gauge field vanishes at the horizon and so regularity is ensured. For the Bolt solution we find that the norm of the gauge field is required to vanish at the horizon in order to satisfy both regularity and the first law of thermodynamics. This regularity condition yields a constraint on the electric and magnetic charges and so reduces cohomogeneity of the system; for spherical horizons, the regularity condition removing the Misner string singularity further reduces cohomogeneity. We observe that bolt solutions with increasing electric charge have positive heat capacity, but upon turning on the magnetic charge to make the solution dyonic, we find that the properties of the uncharged one are retained, having both positive and negative heat capacity. We also study the extremal Bolt solution, finding that Misner string disappears at the horizon in the zero temperature limit. We find that the extremal solution has finite-temperature-like behaviour, with the electric potential playing a role similar to temperature.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Negative emissions and international climate goals—learning from and about mitigation scenarios

For aiming to keep global warming well-below 2 °C and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5 °C, as set out in the Paris Agreement, a full-fledged assessment of negative emission technologies (NETs) that remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere is crucial to inform science-based policy making. With the Paris Agreement in mind, we re-analyse available scenario evidence to understand the roles of NETs in 1.5 °C and 2 °C scenarios and, for the first time, link this to a systematic review of findings in the underlying literature. In line with previous research, we find that keeping warming below 1.5 °C requires a rapid large-scale deployment of NETs, while for 2 °C, we can still limit NET deployment substantially by ratcheting up near-term mitigation ambition. Most recent evidence stresses the importance of future socio-economic conditions in determining the flexibility of NET deployment and suggests opportunities for hedging technology risks by adopting portfolios of NETs. Importantly, our thematic review highlights that there is a much richer set of findings on NETs than commonly reflected upon both in scientific assessments and available reviews. In particular, beyond the common findings on NETs underpinned by dozens of studies around early scale-up, the changing shape of net emission pathways or greater flexibility in the timing of climate policies, there is a suite of “niche and emerging findings”, e.g. around innovation needs and rapid technological change, termination of NETs at the end of the twenty-first century or the impacts of climate change on the effectiveness of NETs that have not been widely appreciated. Future research needs to explore the role of climate damages on NET uptake, better understand the geophysical constraints of NET deployment (e.g. water, geological storage, climate feedbacks), and provide a more systematic assessment of NET portfolios in the context of sustainable development goals.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Coarsening of complex microstructures following spinodal decomposition

Coarsening plays a pivotal role in materials engineering, but our understanding of the dynamics of coarsening in morphologically complex systems is still limited. In this paper, we examine the correlations between the interfacial velocity and interfacial morphologies, and then predict the evolution of mean curvature based on the correlations. Three simulated structures with varying volume fractions, two bicontinuous and one nonbicontinuous, are generated using the Cahn-Hilliard equation. We find general correlations between interfacial velocity and mean curvature, as well as between interfacial velocity and the surface Laplacian of the mean curvature. Furthermore, we find that the probability of finding a patch of interface with a given normal velocity and the same local principal curvatures is described well by a Gaussian distribution, independent of the principal curvature values and the volume fractions of the structures. We also find that average interfacial velocity is described by a polynomial of the mean curvature and the net curvature. Based on this finding, we develop a semi-analytical approach to predicting the rate of change of the mean curvature, which determines the morphological evolution of complex microstructures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Alternating Anderson–Richardson method: An efficient alternative to preconditioned Krylov methods for large, sparse linear systems

Here, we present the Alternating Anderson–Richardson (AAR) method: an efficient and scalable alternative to preconditioned Krylov solvers for the solution of large, sparse linear systems on high performance computing platforms. Specifically, we generalize the recently proposed Alternating Anderson–Jacobi (AAJ) method (Pratapa et al., 2016) to include preconditioning, discuss efficient parallel implementation, and provide serial MATLAB and parallel C/C++ implementations. In serial applications to nonsymmetric systems, we find that AAR is comparably robust to GMRES, using the same preconditioning, while often outperforming it in time to solution; and find AAR to be more robust than Bi-CGSTAB for the problems considered. In parallel applications to the Helmholtz and Poisson equations, we find that AAR shows superior strong and weak scaling to GMRES, Bi-CGSTAB, and Conjugate Gradient (CG) methods, using the same preconditioning, with consistently shorter times to solution at larger processor counts. Finally, in massively parallel applications to the Poisson equation, on up to 110,592 processors, we find that AAR shows superior strong and weak scaling to CG, with shorter minimum time to solution. We thus find that AAR offers a robust and efficient alternative to current state-of-the-art solvers, with increasing advantages as the number of processors grows.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Area of bubble influence due to sliding bubbles in subcooled boiling flow

The heat transfer effect of sliding bubbles is discussed in two aspects based on new experimental findings: (i) the area of bubble influence and (ii) bubble sliding characteristics influencing the degree of wall heat transfer. One notable finding was that the bubble sliding behavior, characterized by sliding trajectories, played a crucial role in determining the area of bubble influence and the bubble influence factor (K). Also, such sliding characteristic was observed strongly dependent on the sliding bubble size. An empirical model has been proposed based on this finding to evaluate the bubble influence factor (K) for the sliding bubbles. Another experimental finding was that the bubble sliding characteristic, represented by bubble spreading factor (S), had a significant impact on the degree of wall heat transfer induced by sliding bubbles. This is due to the fact that the bubbles spread across the heater width as they slid downstream, which reduced the effective frequency of sliding bubbles per unit wall area. These new findings not only improve our understanding of the heat transfer associated with sliding bubbles, but also are expected to contribute to improving the insight in the existing CFD boiling heat transfer models.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Single-stage gradient-based stellarator coil design: Optimization for near-axis quasi-symmetry

Here we present a new coil design paradigm for magnetic confinement in stellarators. Our approach directly optimizes coil shapes and coil currents to produce a vacuum quasi-symmetric magnetic field with a target rotational transform on the magnetic axis. This approach differs from the traditional two-stage approach in which first a magnetic configuration with desirable physics properties is found, and then coils to approximately realize this magnetic configuration are designed. The proposed single-stage approach allows us to find a compromise between confinement and engineering requirements, i.e., find easy-to-build coils with good confinement properties. Using forward and adjoint sensitivities, we derive derivatives of the physical quantities in the objective, which is constrained by a nonlinear periodic differential equation. In two numerical examples, we compare different gradient-based descent algorithms and find that incorporating approximate second-order derivative information through a quasi-Newton method is crucial for convergence. We also explore the optimization landscape in the neighborhood of a minimizer and find many directions in which the objective is mostly flat, indicating ample freedom to find simple and thus easy-to-build coils.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Evaluation of Uncertainties in the Anthropogenic SO 2 Emissions in the USA from the OMI Point Source Catalog

Satellite remote sensing is a promising method of monitoring emissions that may be missing in inventories, but the accuracy of these estimates is often not clear. We demonstrate here a comprehensive evaluation of errors in anthropogenic sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) emission estimates from NASA’s OMI point source catalog for the contiguous US by comparing emissions from the catalog with high-quality emission inventory data over different dimensions including size of individual sources, aggregate vs individual source errors, and potential bias in individual source estimates over time. For sources that are included in the catalog, we find that errors in aggregate (sum of error for all included sources) are relatively low. Errors for individual sources in any given year can be substantial, however, with over- or underestimates in terms of total error ranging from –80 to 110 kt (roughly 10–90th percentile). In this study, we find that these errors are not necessarily random over time and that there can be consistently positive or negative biases for individual sources. We did not find any overall statistical relationship between the degree of isolation of a source and bias, either at a 40 or 70 km scales. For a sub-set of sources where inventory emissions over a radius of 70 km around an OMI detection are larger than twice the emissions within 40 km, the OMI value is consistently overestimated. We find, as expected, that emission sources not included in the catalog are the largest aggregate source of difference between the satellite estimates and inventories, especially in more recent years where source emission magnitudes have been decreasing and note that trends in satellite detections do not necessarily track trends in total emissions. We find that the OMI-based SO 2 emissions are accurate in aggregate, when summed over a number of sources, but must be interpreted more cautiously at the individual source level. Similar analyses would be valuable for other satellite emission estimates; however, in many cases, the appropriate high-quality reference data may need to be generated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Interfacial Ice Density Fluctuations Inform Surface Ice-Philicity

The propensity of a surface to nucleate ice or bind to ice is governed by its ice-philicity─its relative preference for ice over liquid water. However, the relationship between the features of a surface and its ice-philicity is not well understood, and for surfaces with chemical or topographical heterogeneity, such as proteins, their ice-philicity is not even well-defined. In the analogous problem of surface hydrophobicity, it has been shown that hydrophobic surfaces display enhanced low water-density (vapor-like) fluctuations in their vicinity. To interrogate whether enhanced ice-like fluctuations are similarly observed near ice-philic surfaces, here we use molecular simulations and enhanced sampling techniques. Using a family of model surfaces for which the wetting coefficient, k , has previously been characterized, we show that the free energy of observing rare interfacial ice-density fluctuations decreases monotonically with increasing k . By utilizing this connection, we investigate a set of fcc systems and find that the (110) surface is more ice-philic than the (111) or (100) surfaces. By additionally analyzing the structure of interfacial ice, we find that all surfaces prefer to bind to the basal plane of ice, and the topographical complementarity of the (110) surface to the basal plane explains its higher ice-philicity. Using enhanced interfacial ice-like fluctuations as a measure of surface ice-philicity, we then characterize the ice-philicity of chemically heterogeneous and topologically complex systems. In particular, we study the spruce budworm antifreeze protein (sbwAFP), which binds to ice using a known ice-binding site (IBS) and resists engulfment using nonbinding sites of the protein (NBSs). We find that the IBS displays enhanced interfacial ice-density fluctuations and is therefore more ice-philic than the two NBSs studied. We also find the two NBSs are similarly ice-phobic. By establishing a connection between interfacial ice-like fluctuations and surface ice-philicity, our findings thus provide a way to characterize the ice-philicity of heterogeneous surfaces.

crystals↗