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Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants Volume 3: Low Rank Coal and Natural Gas to Electricity

This report presents an independent assessment of the cost and performance of select fossil energy power systems—pulverized coal (PC), circulating fluidized bed (CFB), and natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) plants—using a systematic, transparent technical and economic approach. This is Volume 3 of a five-volume series, which comprise the following reports: Volume 1: Bituminous Coal and Natural Gas to Electricity; Volume 2: Coal to Synthetic Natural Gas and Ammonia (Various Coal Ranks); Volume 3: Low Rank Coal and Natural Gas to Electricity; Volume 4: Bituminous Coal to Liquid Fuels; and Volume 5: Natural Gas Electricity Generating Units for Flexible Operation. The cost and performance of fossil fuel-based generation technologies represented in this report (and the series at large) are important inputs to assessments and determinations of technology combinations to be utilized to meet the projected demands of future power markets. In addition to informing technology comparisons, the reference plant configurations found in this report provide perspective for regulators and policy makers. From a research and development perspective, this report is used to assess goals and metrics and to provide a consistent basis for comparing developing technologies.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

A Snapshot of EV-Specific Rate Designs Among U.S. Investor-Owned Electric Utilities

EV-specific electric utility rates have a profound effect on the underlying economics motivating EV adoption. State utility regulators and electric utilities play a critical role in approving and designing rates, respectively. However, the nascence of the EV industry has resulted in regulators’ and utilities’ having very limited experience with EV-specific rate designs. This suggests there could be substantial benefit from efforts intended to provide a better understanding of how EV-specific rates are designed presently in the United States. To meet that need, Berkeley Lab researchers, with support from E9 Insight, developed a database of piloted, proposed, and offered rates among U.S. investor-owned utilities (IOUs) between 2012 and 2022. The database is comprised of 217 electric utility retail rates from IOUs in 38 states and the District of Columbia that either required proof of EV ownership or were otherwise designed for the purposes of reselling energy for use in EV charging (i.e., EV-specific rates). The analysis of the database identifies the EV-specific rate designs currently observed, infers a number of policy-driven objectives, and suggests a number of next steps for future research.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

High-Efficiency, Medium-Voltage-Input, Solid-State-Transformer-Based 400-kW/1000V/400A Extreme Fast Charger for Electric Vehicles

Range anxiety and long battery charging time continue to be critical challenges to mass adaptation of EVs. A major identified gap to wider adoption of BEVs is the ability and availability to refuel quickly or to fast charge. Studies have shown that in areas where drivers have access to 50-kW or 120-kW fast charge stations, annual electric vehicle (EV) miles traveled (i.e., eVMT) increased by over 25%, even in cases where fast charging was used for 1% to 5% of total charging events. Charge stations of higher power not only alleviate the “range anxiety” and reduce the driver’s waiting time, but also requires less investment. Michigan Energy Office completed a study in early 2019 titled “Electric Vehicle Charger Placement Optimization in Michigan: Phase I – Highways”. This study finds a system with 150kW chargers, though more expensive individually, actually has lower total system cost when compared to a 50kW charging system when serving the same battery size EV. To be truly competitive to the ICEV refueling experience, even higher power stations are necessary. However, high power charge stations would create large power draws from the grid. If this occurs during peak demand periods, grid capacity could be overloaded. This problem needs to be addressed to reduce the impact on the electric utility infrastructure. The main goal of this project is to develop a 400-kW/400-A XFC system targeting total efficiency of 96.5 percent from the MVAC grid to a vehicle. The novel SST power cell topology, combined with a new silicon carbide (SiC) MOSFET device, enables a 3.5 percent improvement in system efficiency, a 50-percent smaller equipment footprint, and four times less weight than today’s DCFC systems. The SST technology would directly utilize MVAC at 4.8-kV or 13.2-kV. This would eliminate the line frequency transformer (LFT), which steps down medium-voltage AC to 3-Phase 480-V line-to-line voltage in current DCFC systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

National Council on Electricity Policy MINI GUIDE: Engagement between States and Regional Transmission Organizations

The National Council on Electricity Policy (NCEP) is a platform for all state-level electricity decision-makers to share and learn from diverse perspectives on the evolving electricity sector. The NCEP mini guide series promotes this dialogue by highlighting examples of successful engagement across its members. Each mini guide features collaborative approaches, lessons learned, and interviews with leading state and local decision-makers.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Potential bill impacts of dynamic electricity pricing on California utility customers

The rapid growth of renewable generation is creating challenges for the California grid in the form of the “duck curve,” with increasingly steep ramping required for conventional generation resources in the morning and evening, and growing curtailment of solar resources in midday periods. Time-varying electricity tariffs have received considerable attention as a tool to address these challenges, with a renewed recent focus on the potential for dynamic tariffs that vary to reflect conditions on the grid in near-real time. Consideration of dynamic tariffs may raise concerns about the financial impact on utility customers, especially for those who have limited flexibility to modify their electricity consumption in response. Specific areas of concern include electricity bills, bill volatility, and equity implications related to cost shifting among customer groups. In this paper we leverage smart meter data for more than 400,000 California utility customers, spanning residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural customers, to assess potential customer bill impacts arising from a multi-component dynamic tariff . Specifically, we compute impacts on customer bills and bill volatility under the assumption of fully inelastic demand, i.e., where customers do not change their consumption patterns in response to the tariff. We also assess various approaches designing subscription load shapes that customers can pre-purchase as a hedge that may provide a measure of protection against large negative impacts, while still incentivizing the modification of loads on the margin. We compare and contrast the relative impacts on different customer classes and discuss benefits and pitfalls of different dynamic tariff structures and subscription load shapes.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Gas-Electric Interdependence

Presentation to February 2024 DOE Electricity Advisory Committee (EAC) Meeting regarding interrelationship between gas and electric. The EAC is a Federal Advisory Committee Act (FACA) committee. The purpose of the EAC is to provide advice to the U.S. Department of Energy in implementing the Energy Policy Act of 2005, executing the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007, and modernizing the nation's electricity delivery infrastructure.

Brewer, John↗

Exploring Wholesale Energy Price Trends: The Renewables and Wholesale Electricity Prices (ReWEP) tool (Ver. 2024.1)

The Renewables and Wholesale Electricity Prices (ReWEP) visualization tool from Berkeley Lab has been updated with nodal electricity pricing and wind and solar generation data through the end of 2023. ReWEP users can explore trends in wholesale electricity prices and their relationship to wind and solar generation. ReWEP includes nodal pricing trends across locations, regions, and different timeframes. The tool consists of maps, time series, and other interactive figures that provide: (1) a general overview of how average pricing, negative price frequency, and extreme high prices vary over time, and (2) a summary of how pricing patterns are related to wind and solar generation. Interactive functionality allows investigation by year, season, time of day, and region, where region is defined as the Independent System Operators (ISO) or Regional Transmission Organizations (RTO) region. ReWEP also contains prices throughout much of the western United States from the Western Energy Imbalance Market and the Western Energy Imbalance Service Market.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Exploring Wholesale Energy Price Trends: The Renewables and Wholesale Electricity Prices (ReWEP) tool (Ver. 2024.1)

The Renewables and Wholesale Electricity Prices (ReWEP) visualization tool from Berkeley Lab has been updated with nodal electricity pricing and wind and solar generation data through the end of 2023. ReWEP users can explore trends in wholesale electricity prices and their relationship to wind and solar generation. ReWEP includes nodal pricing trends across locations, regions, and different timeframes. The tool consists of maps, time series, and other interactive figures that provide: (1) a general overview of how average pricing, negative price frequency, and extreme high prices vary over time, and (2) a summary of how pricing patterns are related to wind and solar generation. Interactive functionality allows investigation by year, season, time of day, and region, where region is defined as the Independent System Operators (ISO) or Regional Transmission Organizations (RTO) region. ReWEP also contains prices throughout much of the western United States from the Western Energy Imbalance Market and the Western Energy Imbalance Service Market.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Study of Electric Vehicle Range Loss Associated with Replacement Tires

The FuelEconomy.Gov website has become a trusted source for consumers to find information pertaining to fuel economy and fuel-efficient vehicles. As electric vehicles are an increasingly important part of the light-duty fleet in the U.S., there is a need to expand the website content that is targeted to electric vehicle (EV) owners. This report addresses a concern about which several anecdotal reports have come to the attention of the website support staff. Specifically, some EV owners have observed a sudden, noticeable decrease in their all-electric range when they replace the tires that came with their vehicle when it was new. This change has reportedly led some owners to take their vehicles to the dealership service department out of concern that something had gone wrong with the vehicle.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Electrical, structural and thermomechanical properties of doped-LaCrO3 ceramics for high temperature electronics and sensing applications.

Many important electrical and sensor applications require stable conductors under working temperatures up to 1500oC various redox environments. Common high temperature conductors such as nitrides and carbides are not stable under oxidizing atmospheres, for this reason low redox behavior materials would be more attractive. In this work, further dopant studies of the LaCrO3 system were completed in order to control the electronic and ionic conductivity, as well as the relative chemical and microstructural stability. Neodymium and Niobium dopants were initially studied to control the p-type, and potentially n-type conductive mechanisms, respectively, but other dopants strategies were also investigated. The electrical conductivity and Seebeck coefficient were characterized up to 1500oC under varying oxygen partial pressures. The phase and microstructural evolution of each material was also investigated for these compositions by XRD and SEM. The materials showing the best electrical and thermomechanical performance were included within thick films sensors and were tested.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

State Requirements for Electric Distribution System Planning

Utilities have conducted distribution planning since they first began building and operating electricity systems. But filing these plans for regulatory and stakeholder review is a relatively recent phenomenon. This report summarizes legislative and regulatory requirements for regulated electric utilities to file some type of distribution system plan in 20 U.S. jurisdictions. Some plans focus on expedited cost recovery for certain types of distribution system improvements; other plans focus on investments for grid modernization or distributed energy resources. Increasingly, states are adopting requirements for Integrated Distribution Plans. Such plans provide holistic grid investment strategies that address state and local policies and increasing complexity at the grid edge. The report covers the following topics for distribution system plans, highlighting advanced practices: -State goals and objectives -Procedural requirements -Forecasting loads and distributed energy resources -Hosting capacity analysis -Baseline information requirements -Grid modernization strategy -Grid needs assessment -Non-wires solutions -Reliability and resilience analyses -Stakeholder engagement -Equity -Pilots -Coordination with other planning processes The report includes links to legislation; regulatory requirements, proceedings, and orders; and filed utility plans. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Electricity provided funding support.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Research Needs and New Capabilities for Retail Electricity Rate Analysis

Retail electricity rates are at the center of supply- and demand-side changes in future power systems and influence system costs and DER adoption decisions, all with important implications for system reliability, resiliency, and energy affordability. Building on decades of research experience and analytical insights at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), the report identifies key near-term analysis questions, enhancements to existing capabilities, and longer-term new capabilities to provide actionable insights for electricity system decision-makers, including state utility regulators, electric and gas utilities, ratepayer advocates, and DER solution providers.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Deliberate Design: Creating Electricity Rates with Purpose

Today’s electricity rates often are legacy designs that do not reflect the dynamics of an evolving power grid or align with current policy objectives. Four steps will assist utilities, regulators, and industry stakeholders in modernizing outdated electricity rate designs. 1. Understand the context for rate design change: The power system is changing at a pace that the industry has not experienced for decades. It is essential to understand the implications of these changes so rates can evolve to remain consistent with changes to the underlying cost profile, customer preferences, and power system requirements. 2. Establish ratemaking objectives: Rates can do more than recover utility costs. They can be a tool for promoting desired outcomes such as improved energy affordability, flexible and efficient electricity consumption, or promoting technology adoption. First, these objectives must be clearly defined and prioritized. 3. Account for tradeoffs when designing new rates: Rate design is the art of balancing tradeoffs. It is essential to understand these tradeoffs when designing new rates, particularly if the rates are being used as a tool for accomplishing policy objectives that extend beyond the basic goal of cost reflectivity. 4. Transition to the new rates with a plan: The move to well-designed rates requires a transition plan. This will ensure that rate design changes do not happen in isolation and are consistent with a long-term, holistic vision. The report, published as an interactive web tool for which the content can be separately downloaded as a standalone document, is intended to allow state energy regulators, utility rates staff, and other industry stakeholders with an interest in rate design to selectively “drill down” on content that is relevant to their interests and situation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Interconnected Risks in Electricity Systems: Understanding Research Challenges, Needs, and Partnerships

The U.S. federal government has a potential role in mitigating the most poorly addressed risks across electricity markets and interdependent systems. Electricity system risks stem from extreme acute shocks (e.g., cyberattacks, extreme weather, and supply chain disruptions) and chronic stressors (e.g., global economic competition, uncertainties surrounding emerging technologies, climate change, and related conflicts). These acute shocks and chronic stressors can result in dire consequences for society, underscoring the need for better information for decision makers in both public and private sectors. Best practices and a shared understanding of risk management and risk quantification must be rapidly developed and disseminated. Informed by a quantitative treatment of risk to electrical infrastructure and interdependent systems, decision makers can more prudently and efficiently prioritize mitigation initiatives to maximize benefits to government, businesses, and the public.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Low‐cost, Long Duration Electrical Energy Storage Using a CO 2 ‐based Pumped Thermal Energy Storage

The increasing deployment of non‐dispatchable, intermittent renewable energy generation sources to address climate change is placing pressure upon electrical grids’ ability to match supply with demand. The need to deploy large quantities of long duration energy storage assets is rapidly approaching, and innovative methods of energy storage that are low cost, efficient, safe and environmentally benign are needed urgently. CO 2 ‐based Pumped Thermal Energy Storage (PTES) is a low cost, efficient and environmentally safe energy storage technology. PTES uses an electrically‐driven CO 2 heat pump to charge thermal reservoirs that are later used as resources to generate electricity using a CO 2 heat engine. In this program, Echogen and collaborators refined the design of a utility‐scale CO 2 PTES system and demonstrated key technologies that will be required for successful commercial development in a laboratory‐scale system. Component and system‐level performance was evaluated over multiple charge/discharge cycles, with favorable results. Echogen is continuing to develop and commercialize this technology at utility scale.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Forecasting Commercial Building Electricity Consumption, Zone Airflow and Zone Temperature: Update - Development of a Generalized Machine Learning Approach

The U.S. power grid is being transformed to make it smarter, more efficient, and cleaner. This transformation is leading to the addition of a significant of energy generated by distributed, variable, and renewable resources. Because of the variable nature of renewable generation, the short- and long-term supply and demand imbalances are less predictable, and conventional approaches to mitigating the imbalances will be less efficient or cost effective. To address this challenge and to support the mission and the vision of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) Building Technologies Office has developed a Grid-Interactive Efficient Building Strategy. The strategy focuses on simultaneously improving building energy efficiency and supporting reliability and resilience of the electric grid more efficiently and at a lower cost. In addition, EERE and DOE’s Office of Electricity created an initiative led by DOE and supported by the national laboratories under the Grid Modernization Lab Consortium structure to enhance grid modernization. The work reported in this document is part of the first set of projects funded under the initiative to design, develop, and validate scalable transactive control technologies for the commercial buildings sector. Transactive controls requires the ability of individual end-use loads to express flexibility as a function of a transactive signal (e.g., price). Empirical grey- and black-box models have been widely used to express flexibility. Although this approach is generally easy to construct and simple to use, it does not capture non-linear behavior that some end-use loads represent. Therefore, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) with support from Western Washington University conducted this research to explore the use of deep machine learning (ML) techniques. The work reported in this document is limited to forecasting whole building electricity consumption, the zone airflow and the zone temperature predictions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

EVs-at-RISC: A Secure and Resilient Interoperable SCM Control System Architecture for Electric Vehicle’s-at-Scale (Final Technical Report)

The EVs-at-RISC project was a five-year research, development, and demonstration initiative to create foundational tools for utility-scale fleet aggregation and Smart Charge Management (SCM) of Electric Vehicles (EV), Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure (EVCI), and related Distributed Energy Resources (DER). Rather than seeking to develop and demonstrate highly perfected SCM algorithms and control strategies, this project instead focused on creating foundational software solutions that enable unprecedented digital interoperability across the communications technologies and vendor platforms used to manage EV , EVCI, and DER, as well as existing energy management infrastructure operated by utilities, grid operators, and aggregators. This project then extends these novel interoperability capabilities to develop and deploy powerful middleware abstractions across grid edge networks and EVCI/DER fleet aggregations incorporating modern software tools and best practices, such as CI/CD, to bring the immense capabilities of infrastructure-as-code and policy-as-code to modern grid edge network environments. This addresses the foremost systemic issues preventing realization of any net operational benefits from scaled deployment of behind-the-meter EV, EVCI, and DER assets in electric power grids and markets today. The results of this approach and project unlock massive potential for new SCM capabilities to be easily prototyped, evaluated, and deployed at-scale within the existing grid edge network infrastructure and EVCI/DER technology ecosystem. The EVs-at-RISC project achieves this by extending Open Field Message Bus (OpenFMB), a conceptual model for digital interoperability and distributed intelligence in traditional front-of-meter utility SCADA networks, validating our hypothesis that OpenFMB could be similarly used to solve systemic digital interoperability issues in behind-the-meter environments and unlock real-world utility-scale SCM capabilities without requiring any new proprietary vendor solutions or significant infrastructure reconfiguration.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Nuclear Balance-of-Plant Analysis for Heat and Electricity Calculations in Several Advanced Nuclear Reactor Concepts

In addition to producing electricity, advanced nuclear reactors can also serve as a source of process heat for a wide range of industrial or residential applications. In cases where the heat application requires low-temperature heat, waste heat from the balance of plant (BOP) can be utilized with minimal impact on electricity generation. For applications requiring higher-temperature heat, heat can be extracted from the BOP, though this will reduce the amount of electricity generated. In either case, the optimal BOP design will be case-specific and depend on multiple factors, including the reactor type and the thermal requirements of the heat application.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗