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At least 1,027 records · Page 57

Enhanced accuracy through ensembling of randomly initialized auto-regressive models for dynamical systems

Computational mechanics simulations using traditional finite element methods (FEM) require prohibitively expensive computational resources for real-time engineering applications, design optimization, and digital twin implementations. While machine learning (ML) surrogate models offer significant computational speedups, autoregressive ML models for time-dependent mechanical systems suffer from error accumulation that compromises long-term prediction reliability - a critical concern for engineering applications where accuracy over extended time horizons is essential for safety and performance assessments. Here, we propose a deep ensemble framework specifically designed to address this challenge in computational mechanics applications, where multiple ML surrogate models with random weight initializations are trained in parallel and their predictions aggregated during inference. This approach leverages statistical diversity to maximize information gain from a fixed set of training data and to mitigate error propagation, while maintaining the computational efficiency that makes ML surrogates attractive for engineering practice. We validate the framework on three representative problems spanning critical areas of computational mechanics: stress field evolution in heterogeneous microstructures under complex loading (relevant to advanced materials design and composite analysis), planetary-scale shallow water dynamics (applicable to environmental and geotechnical engineering), and Gray-Scott reaction-diffusion systems (relevant to mass transport and chemical process engineering). Across all test cases, the ensemble approach demonstrates consistent error reduction of 15-33% compared to individual models. The codes for this work are available on GitHub (https://github.com/Graham-Brady-Research-Group/AutoregressiveEnsemble_SpatioTemporal_Evolution).

autoregressive prediction↗

Predicting multi-nodal in-nozzle particle interactions in high-viscosity fluid mediums for acoustophoretic direct-ink writing of line-patterned composites

Patterned functional materials offer improved properties (electrical, thermal, etc.) over their bulk counterparts in many applications, including energy storage, flexible electronics, and sensors. However, manufacturing approaches for patterning materials over large areas with features on the order of hundreds of microns or less are limited. Acoustophoresis, which uses acoustic forces to control particle arrangement in a fluid medium, is a pathway to address this challenge. This process is dependent on particle and fluid properties and enables patterning of a broad range of materials. Herein, a model with experimental validation is presented to demonstrate that acoustophoresis can be combined with direct-ink writing (DIW) to fabricate line patterns over large cm-scale areas. An in-nozzle particle interaction model was developed to investigate the impact of processing conditions on multi-nodal acoustophoretic DIW. The model predicts patterned line widths within a factor of two relative to experimental results for a high viscosity case study. Here, the model was used to investigate the impact of frequency, particle loading, particle radius, and acoustic pressure on line width and patterning time, providing critical feedback regarding the processing conditions suitable for a target application. Model results illustrate that frequency has the greatest impact on line patterns: increasing from 1 to 3 MHz resulted in a greater than 65% reduction in line width and a greater than 85% reduction in patterning time. Additionally, experiments were conducted with an alumina-epoxy ink and a ~21 cm 2 area pattern was rastered in ~5.5 minutes, demonstrating a path towards large-area line-patterned composite fabrication.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Multiphysics modeling of a critical dual-purpose canister in a saturated geological repository

Dual purpose dry cask storage canisters for spent nuclear fuel are designed for storage and transportation, but are not licensed for permanent disposal in a geological repository. If dual purpose canisters were to be used to dispose of spent nuclear fuel in a geological repository, they would be expected to eventually breach and be flooded with groundwater, and it is shown that some fraction of these canisters will achieve criticality. In order to evaluate the consequences of canisters going critical in a repository, an initial capability has been developed for estimating the quasi-static power level of a critical canister using loosely coupled multiphysics simulations. The low power level in a critical canister enables coupling through precomputed physics proxies. This calculated power level is then used to compute the change in the critical canister’s isotopic inventory as a function of time. Three as-loaded canisters are evaluated and two were found to have power levels below 4 kW, with a modest effect on the radiological inventory over time. This effort also shows that although some DPCs will have extremely peaked power shapes, the relatively low power and long-time scales result in relatively homogenized thermohydraulic properties in the water within the DPC.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Properties of Nb3Sn films fabricated by magnetron sputtering from a single target

Superconducting Nb3Sn films were fabricated on sapphire and fine grain Nb substrates by magnetron sputtering from a single stoichiometric Nb3Sn target. The structural, morphological and superconducting properties of the films annealed for 24 h at temperatures of 800-1000 {\deg}C were investigated. The effect of the annealing time at 1000 {\deg}C was examined for 1, 12, and 24 h. The film properties were characterized by X-ray diffraction, scanning electron microscopy, atomic force microscopy, energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, and Raman spectroscopy. The DC superconducting properties of the films were characterized by a four-point probe measurement down to cryogenic temperatures. The RF surface resistance of films was measured over a temperature range of 6-23 K using a 7.4 GHz sapphire-loaded Nb cavity. As-deposited Nb3Sn films on sapphire had a superconducting critical temperature of 17.21 K, which improved to 17.83 K when the film was annealed at 800 {\deg}C for 24 h. For the films annealed at 1000 {\deg}C, the surface Sn content was reduced to ~11.3 % for an annealing time of 12 h and to ~4.1 % for an annealing time of 24 h. The Raman spectra of the films confirmed the microstructural evolution after annealing. The RF superconducting critical temperature of the as-deposited Nb3Sn films on Nb was 16.02 K, which increased to 17.44 K when the film was annealed at 800 {\deg}C for 24 h.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Bayesian optimal experimental design for constitutive model calibration

Computational simulation is increasingly relied upon for high/consequence engineering decisions, which necessitates a high confidence in the calibration of and predictions from complex material models. However, the calibration and validation of material models is often a discrete, multi-stage process that is decoupled from material characterization activities, which means the data collected does not always align with the data that is needed. To address this issue, an integrated workflow for delivering an enhanced characterization and calibration procedure—Interlaced Characterization and Calibration (ICC)—is introduced and demonstrated. Further, this framework leverages Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED), which creates a line of communication between model calibration needs and data collection capabilities in order to optimize the information content gathered from the experiments for model calibration. Eventually, the ICC framework will be used in quasi real-time to actively control experiments of complex specimens for the calibration of a high-fidelity material model. This work presents the critical first piece of algorithm development and a demonstration in determining the optimal load path of a cruciform specimen with simulated data. Calibration results, obtained via Bayesian inference, from the integrated ICC approach are compared to calibrations performed by choosing the load path a priori based on human intuition, as is traditionally done. The calibration results are communicated through parameter uncertainties which are propagated to the model output space (i.e. stress–strain). In these exemplar problems, data generated within the ICC framework resulted in calibrated model parameters with reduced measures of uncertainty compared to the traditional approaches.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The effects of heat treatment on the response of WE43 Mg alloy: crystal plasticity finite element simulation and SEM-DIC experiment

The present report addressed the effects of heat treatment on the mechanical response of a WE43 Mg alloy using an integrated framework of SEM-DIC experiment and CPFE simulation. Both macroscopic responses including yield strength, ultimate strength, ductility, and microscopic responses, including local displacement and strain maps, were experimentally investigated. The focus of this work is to use the CPFE simulation as an integrated computational tool to study the effects of heat treatment. The CPFE framework was evaluated using the local fields of displacement and strain obtained from the SEM-DIC experiment rather than the conventional scheme of using macroscopic responses at different loading directions. Subsequently, the information which is available using CPFE, such as the critical resolved shear stress (CRSS) and relative slip activity, was used to study the effects of heat treatment on the response of WE43 Mg alloy. The contributions of different strengthening mechanisms on the CRSS were addressed. The results show that effects of heat treatment can be captured using the predominant mechanisms of the grain size effect and the influence of precipitates. Finally, it has been shown that classical Hall-Petch in which one constant can capture the size effects, should be modified. To do so, each deformation mode should have a unique Hall-Petch constant, which are calculated here for the WE43 Mg alloy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Advancing Chemical Separations: Unraveling the Structure and Dynamics of Phase Splitting in Liquid–Liquid Extraction

Liquid-liquid extraction (LLE), the go-to process for a variety of chemical separations, is limited by spontaneous organic phase splitting upon sufficient solute loading, called third phase formation. In this study we explore the applicability of critical phenomena theory to gain insight into this deleterious phase behavior with the goal of improving separations efficiency and minimizing waste. Here, a series of samples representative of rare earth purification were constructed to include each of one light and one heavy lanthanide (cerium and lutetium) paired with one of two common malonamide extractants (DMDOHEMA and DMDBTDMA). The resulting postextraction organic phases are chemically complex and often form rich hierarchical structures whose statics and dynamics near the critical point were probed herein with small-angle X-ray scattering and high-speed X-ray photon correlation spectroscopy. Despite their different extraction behaviors, all samples show remarkably similar critical behavior with exponents well described by classical critical point theory consistent with the 3D Ising model, where the critical behavior is characterized by fluctuations with a single diverging length scale. This unexpected result indicates a significant reduction in relevant chemical parameters at the critical point, indicating that the underlying behavior of phase transitions in LLE rely on far fewer variables than are generally assumed. The obtained scalar order parameter is attributed to the extractant fraction of the extractant/diluent mixture, revealing that other solution components and their respective concentrations simply shift the critical temperature but do not affect the nature of the critical fluctuations. These findings point to an opportunity to drastically simplify studies of liquid-liquid phase separation and phase diagram development in general while providing insights into LLE process improvement.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Power System Resilience Considering Hurricane Storms and Generator Step-up Transformers

Power system resilience describes the system’s ability to withstand and recover quickly from unexpected power outages due to extreme events. As society’s electrification continues at a rapid rate, it is imperative electric infrastructure is designed and operated with extra security. This work studies the impact of severe hurricane storms on the power system located along the United States’ Eastern Seaboard. Specific focus is designated to steady state system operation and loss of large generation step up power transformers. A series of phasor domain power system simulations are conducted to determine the critical point at which the system loses steady state operability. Additionally, active power load shedding and generator dispatching are studied as mitigation and recovery strategies. Results indicate generator dispatching as an effective proactive mitigation strategy and load shedding as an effective recovery strategy.

Liu, Yilu↗

Economic Storage Size Optimization for Electric Vehicle Extreme-Fast Charging Stations

En-route charging infrastructure for electric vehicles is critical to support transportation needs. These charging stations are likely to have high loads and especially sharp peak loads given fast charging capabilities needed to meet transportation schedules. In order to reduce both strain on distribution grid infrastructure and charging station operational costs, many stations are likely to employ behind the meter storage. This paper demonstrates a behind the meter storage sizing optimization that employs an open-source agent-based vehicle behavior model (BEAM) to determine the best sizing across many scenarios. This optimization and analysis is novel in that it examines how storage size impacts not only charging station cost and peak load, but also vehicle queue times. The optimization is also applied across a wide analysis region with sufficient diversity and numbers to provide novel statistical analysis of optimal sizes.

Aka, Julius↗

Options for Future Fuel/Basket Modifications for DPC Disposition

Deliverable Description: Identify and evaluate options for fuel and basket modifications, for dual-purpose canisters (DPCs) to be loaded in the future, that would substantially reduce the probability of post closure criticality after waste package breach and flooding with ground water. Planned work in FY20 will examine the feasibility of criticality control features, particularly neutron absorbing inserts or replacement channels for boiling water reactor (BWR) fuel assemblies. The expected outcome is additional engineering information that can be used to guide the R&D program, and to support future stakeholder interactions. This document will be incorporated into planned deliverable DPC Disposal Concepts of Operation (M3 SF-20SNO10305052, 18S ep20).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Demonstration of high-rate manufacturing of π-joint using additive manufacturing

Bonded composite π-joints are critical to support wing geometries in aerospace/aircraft structures. Its lightweight and robust load-bearing capabilities/design guarantee high structural integrity and reliability. Current manufacturing techniques of π-joints are complex and laborious, and do not always offer high-quality joining. This study presents a high-rate manufacturing approach to fabricate π-joints using an integrated Additive Manufacturing and Compression Molding (AMCM) process. The joints were manufactured using unidirectional aerospace-grade LMPAEK/CF at 60% fiber loading for the stiffeners/skin and LM-PAEK/GF as the adhesive and characterized to evaluate their microstructure and strength. While the results indicate void formation at the joint caused by inadequate pressure, the peak tensile load of 600N recorded is akin to injection-autoclave molded π-joints, which validates the potential of this high-rate integrated approach to eliminate time-consuming and labour-intensive processes of making π-joints to reduce cost and produce high-quality joints.

Marathe, Umesh [ORNL]↗

Viking Mars lander 1975 dynamic test model/orbiter developmental test model forced vibration test

The Viking Mars Lander 1975 dynamic test model and orbiter developmental test model were subjected to forced vibration sine tests. Flight acceptance (FA) and type approval (TA) test levels were applied to the spacecraft structure in a longitudinal test configuration using a 133,440-N (30,000-lb) force shaker. Testing in the two lateral axes (X, Y) was performed at lower levels using four 667-N (150-lb) force shakers. Forced vibration qualification (TA) test levels were successfully imposed on the spacecraft at frequencies down to 10 Hz. Measured responses showed the same character as analytical predictions, and correlation was reasonably good. Because of control system test tolerances, orbiter primary structure generally did not reach the design load limits attained in earlier static testing. A post-test examination of critical orbiter structure disclosed no apparent damage to the structure as a result of the test environment.

Fortenberry, J.↗

Coupled base motion response analysis of payload structural systems

Coupled base motion response analysis of payload structural systems is discussed. A systems analysis program is described which by component analysis structural transient response analyses can be completed. The program presents a proven technique, used initially on the Skylab program, which is designed to reduce cost and schedule time on detail structural analyses of structural payload systems. Base motion procedures are employed where critical segments of complex structural systems or components may be analyzed for various load conditions without having to re-establish the entire structural system coupled model properties. The transient response characteristics of a complex structural system are used as a basis for evaluating the transient response of a similar system.

Devers, A. D.↗

Summary of Voyager Design and Flight Loads

Estimates of flight loads for Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 are summarized and compared to the Voyager design loads obtained from the shock spectra/impedance method and to the loads obtained using space vehicle transient loads analysis. These estimates were obtained by using the measured flight accelerations at the launch vehicle/spacecraft interface as forcing functions for the Voyager mathematical model. Based on these data, an assessment of the shock spectra/impedance loads method used for Voyager is presented. The following conclusions were reached: (1) the shock spectra approach provided reasonable conservative design loads for Voyager, (2) care has to be executed to insure that all critical events are accounted for in constructing shock spectra envelopes, (3) the selection of critical events is not always obvious, especially for those flight events wherein the spacecraft dynamic characteristics are important, and (4) the success of the method is strongly dependent on the analysts' experience and judgement.

Chen, J. C.↗

Technology and operational considerations for low-heat-rate trajectories

A broad parametric study which examines several critical aspects of low-heat-rate entry trajectories is performed. Low planform loadings associated with future winged earth-entry vehicles coupled with the potential application of metallic thermal protection systems (TPS) suggest that such trajectories are of particular interest. Studied are three heating conditions - reference, stagnation, and windward centerline, for both laminar and turbulent flow; configuration-related factors including planform loading and hypersonic angle of attack; and mission-related factors such as cross-range and orbit inclination. Results indicate benefits in the design of TPS to be gained by utilizing moderate angles of attack as opposed to high-lift coefficient, high angles of attack, during entry. An assessment of design and technology implications is made.

Wurster, K. E.↗

Unbalance response of a two spool gas turbine engine with squeeze film bearings

This paper presents a dynamic analysis of a two-spool gas turbine helicopter engine incorporating intershaft rolling element bearings between the gas generator and power turbine rotors. The analysis includes the nonlinear effects of a squeeze film bearing incorporated on the gas generator rotor. The analysis includes critical speeds and forced response of the system and indicates that substantial dynamic loads may be imposed on the intershaft bearings and main bearing supports with an improperly designed squeeze film bearing. A comparison of theoretical and experimental gas generator rotor response is presented illustrating the nonlinear characteristics of the squeeze film bearing. It was found that large intershaft bearing forces may occur even though the engine is not operating at a resonant condition.

Gunter, E. J.↗

Strength integrity of the Space Shuttle Orbiter tiles

The development of the thermal protection system (TPS) for shielding the Shuttle from high temperature aerodynamic heating during atmospheric entry is described. The TPS was required to limit structural heating to 350 F, be used for 100 flights, withstand temperature ranges from -250 to 2800 F, attach to an aluminum structure, and provide the aerodynamic moldline. More than 30,000 tiles of individual size, shape, and strength were bonded adhesively to a Nomex felt mat which coated critical areas of the craft. Densification processes for strengthening the tiles in highly loaded areas are outlined and stress sources for each mission phase are analyzed. Aerodynamic, acoustic, combined loads, and verification tests for stress levels up to 125% of nominal were performed for each tile. The one complete and 15 partial tiles lost during the initial flight were all lower strength, undensified tiles.

Moser, T. L.↗