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DOE OSTI2026

Reimagining How Flood Warnings Can Inform Decision‐Making and Community Actions

Society faces increasingly severe flood hazards, intensifying demand for flood early warning systems (FEWS) that deliver accurate and actionable information. However, most existing FEWS remain prediction‐centric, treating decision‐making as a downstream consumer of hazard forecasts while offering limited support for uncertainty interpretation, risk communication, and real‐world response. This Perspective presents a vision and blueprint for a novel inland FEWS‐decision‐making (FEWS‐DM) framework that repositions decision‐making as an equal partner in the forecasting process—not a passive recipient of its outputs. The framework is built on three tightly coupled, co‐evolving thrusts: Physical Science (T1), which advances flood prediction with quantified uncertainty informed by decision relevance; Human Science (T2), which incorporates psychology, behavior, and cultural and institutional context; and Decision Science (T3), which unifies physical predictions and human factors through principled, utility‐based decision support with end‐to‐end uncertainty management. Rather than treating T1 as a solved problem, FEWS‐DM recognizes that forecast development itself must be shaped by decision needs through continuous bidirectional feedback. We identify key scientific, behavioral, and operational challenges limiting such integration and discuss the enabling role of AI, while emphasizing human‐centered design and community feedback as essential for building trust and improving flood risk management.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Scalable graphene sensor array for real-time toxins monitoring in flowing water

Abstract Risk management for drinking water often requires continuous monitoring of various toxins in flowing water. While they can be readily integrated with existing water infrastructure, two-dimensional (2D) electronic sensors often suffer from device-to-device variations due to the lack of an effective strategy for identifying faulty devices from preselected uniform devices based on electronic properties alone, resulting in sensor inaccuracy and thus slowing down their real-world applications. Here, we report the combination of wet transfer, impedance and noise measurements, and machine learning to facilitate the scalable nanofabrication of graphene-based field-effect transistor (GFET) sensor arrays and the efficient identification of faulty devices. Our sensors were able to perform real-time detection of heavy-metal ions (lead and mercury) and E. coli bacteria simultaneously in flowing tap water. This study offers a reliable quality control protocol to increase the potential of electronic sensors for monitoring pollutants in flowing water.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2020

HIDES: Hybrid Intrusion Detector for Energy Systems

The establishment of a resilient electric grid accompanied by a secure communications network is an ongoing battle as advanced persistent threats continue to exploit existing vulnerabilities in legacy supervisory control and data acquisition system (SCADA) infrastructure. Traditional intrusion detection systems (IDSs) lack consistent performance because of the continuously evolving attack surface of SCADA systems. These shortcomings can be overcome by integrating logical system behavior, protocol-specific knowledge, and data-based learning to develop a comprehensive IDS solution. In this paper, we present a Hybrid Intrusion Detector for Energy Systems by integrating a network-based IDS, state-of-the-art machine learning-based IDS, and model-based IDS to detect unknown and stealthy cyberattacks targeting the SCADA networks. The proposed IDS uses synchrophasor measurements and cyber logs to learn patterns of different scenarios based on spatiotemporal behaviors of power systems. As a proof of concept, we implement and validate the proposed IDS by leveraging resources available at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's Energy Systems Integration Facility test bed. Experimental results show promising performance in detecting cyberattacks while providing realtime visualization of power system measurements and cyber logs.

machine-learning intrusion detection system↗

DOE OSTI2022

MEASUR - Manufacturing Energy Assessment Software for Utility Reduction

MEASUR your energy savings with the free DOE MEASUR software The Department of Energy (DOE), with Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), released version 1.0 of their energy efficiency software tool MEASUR (Manufacturing Energy Assessment Software for Utility Reduction). MEASUR has been available for several years as a beta version, being tested by industry experts and real users, and will continue to be updated and improved in the coming years. It is an integrated suite of tools to aid manufacturers in improving the efficiency of energy systems and equipment within a plant, including motors, pumps, fans, process heating, steam, and compressed air. Additionally, there are modules for wastewater energy analysis and to help perform energy treasure hunts. Several calculators are also included, allowing users to independently perform smaller calculations and analyses (such as estimating pump head, performing a fan traverse analysis, estimating waste heat recovery potential, and cataloging compressed air leaks). The MEASUR modules are based on previous DOE software tools that have been used by industry since the early 2000s (such as MotorMaster, AirMaster+, PSAT, PHAST, and FSAT). The original tools only ran on Windows operating systems, and by Windows 10, most of them were inoperable. DOE started their energy efficiency software tool revitalization effort in 2016, first with PSAT (for pumps), then began to integrate the other tools and expand their functionality and utility. The new MEASUR suite provides an extensively more user-friendly, modern, and versatile set of tools. All the assessment modules and most of the calculators have several visual components and graphs and detailed help text for every user input. To help reach international users, the tool utilizes Google translate and users can easily change unit systems, even converting existing user inputs if desired. The assessment files can be organized within the internal file system and easily shared to other users, regardless of their operating system. The entire suite is free, open-source, and can be downloaded on Windows, Mac, or Linux operating systems.

Accawi, Gina [Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak ↗

DOE OSTI2022

NEONiso R Package, versions greater than 0.5.2

Carbon fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems and their response to environmental change are a major source of uncertainty in the modern carbon cycle. The National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) presents the opportunity to merge eddy covariance (EC)-derived fluxes with CO2 isotope ratio measurements to gain insights into carbon cycle processes. Collected continuously and consistently across >40 sites, NEON EC and isotope data facilitate novel integrative analyses. However, currently provisioned atmospheric isotope data are uncalibrated, greatly limiting ability to perform cross-site analyses. Here, we present two approaches to calibrating NEON CO2 isotope ratios, along with an R package to calibrate NEON data. We find that calibrating CO2 isotopologues independently yields a lower d13C bias (<0.05‰) and higher precision (<0.40‰) than directly correcting d13C with linear regression (bias: <0.11‰, precision: 0.42‰), but with slightly higher error and lower precision in calibrated CO2 mole fraction. The magnitude of the corrections to d13C and CO2 mole fractions vary substantially by site, underscoring the need for users to apply a consistent calibration framework to data in the NEON archive. Post-calibration data sets show that site mean annual d13C correlates negatively with precipitation, temperature, and aridity, but positively with elevation. Forested and agricultural ecosystems exhibit larger gradients in CO2 and d13C than other sites, particularly during the summer and at night. The overview and analysis tools developed here will facilitate cross-site analysis using NEON data, provide a model for other continental-scale observational networks, and enable new advances leveraging the isotope ratios of specific carbon fluxes.

Fiorella, Richard↗

DOE OSTI2024

Degradation of temporal contrast from post-pedestal interference with a chirped pulse in an optical parametric amplifier

Pre-pedestal generation is observed in a 0.35-PW laser front end coming from a post-pedestal via instantaneous gain and pump depletion in an optical parametric amplifier during chirped-pulse amplification. Generalized simulations show how this effect arises from gain nonlinearity and applies to all optical parametric chirped-pulse–amplification systems with a post-pedestal. An experiment minimizing the effect of B -integral is used to isolate and study the newly observed conversion of a continuous post-pedestal into a continuous pre-pedestal. Matching numerical simulations confirm experimental results and additionally reveal how third-order dispersion largely controls the slope of the generated pre-pedestal.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

CROCUS Urban Fluxes of CO₂, H₂O, and Turbulence at University of Illinois Chicago

As of May 12, 2026 this dataset is currently being versioned to include data up to April 2026. Once the versioning process is complete, new data files will be available for access. The dataset metadata will also be updated to reflect the data availability of the new data being versioned. This dataset was collected at the UIC Plant Research Laboratory in Chicago, Illinois, as part of the Community Research on Climate and Urban Science (CROCUS) Urban Integrated Field Laboratory (UIFL) project, led by Argonne National Laboratory. The site provides continuous atmospheric flux measurements, focusing on CO₂, H₂O, and heat and momentum transport in an urban setting. The data is processed at 30 minutes interval using the Eddy Covariance method and includes quality control and diagnostic data generated by EddyPro software. The data is stored in the netCDF files following CF conventions. The UIC Plant Research Laboratory is located near major highways and urban infrastructure, including buildings and parking areas. The surrounding landscape consists of a mix of turf, plants, trees, and impervious surfaces such as concrete and asphalt, making it ideal for studying urban at for studies on urban sustainability, air quality, and the effects of urbanization on atmospheric processes on urban climate dynamics, air quality, and surface-atmosphere exchanges within the city of Chicago. This dataset is funded by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research (BER) program.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Support of the Development of EPP Plus SMT Design Method (FY2020 Test Results)

Experiments in support of the development of the integrated Elastic–Perfectly Plastic (EPP) analysis and Simplified Model Test (SMT) design methodology continued in FY 2020. The previously developed single-bar SMT (SBSMT) technique was successfully extended to tubular shaped Alloy 617 specimens for evaluation of the effect of primary pressure load on SMT creep-fatigue (CF) properties at 950°C. A series of pressurized SMT tests were performed with various elastic follow-up factors and strain ranges. The results show that the primary pressure load reduces the SMT CF cycles. The reduction of SMT CF life due to primary load was found to be dependent on strain ranges, elastic follow up and test temperatures. These results are crucial for verification of the EPP strain range analysis in the EPP+SMT evaluation procedure. Additionally, hold time effect on the SMT CF life cycles is a determining factor for generating the EPP+SMT CF design curves. Lack of test data in the high cycle and low strain range region results in major uncertainty in developing the design curves. In FY2020, experiments were designed, and testing started on Alloy 617 at 950°C to fill the gap in experimental data. The on-going CF and additional SMT CF with elastic follow-up at low strain ranges will generate the information needed to verify the methods for extrapolation to long hold time and finalize the EPP+SMT design method.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Storage Futures Study: Grid Operational Impacts of Widespread Storage Deployment

This report, the fifth in the Storage Futures Study series, uses cost-driven scenarios from the ReEDS model as a starting point to examine the operational impacts of grid-scale storage deployment and relationships between this deployment and the contribution of variable renewable energy. We use commercial production cost modeling software to evaluate hourly operation of five scenarios that reach between 210 gigawatts (GW) and 930 GW of installed storage by 2050. We find that storage plays an important role in these power systems between now and 2050 - by storing the lowest-marginal cost generation (often, overgeneration from solar or wind plants) and generating energy during the highest net load periods of the day and year. Storage helps with the integration of variable renewable energy and by providing an important resource to provide continued reliable power.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

ARPA-E PNDIODES "PN Junctions by Ion Implantation" Project (Final Report)

Electricity accounts for nearly 40% of the energy generated in the United States, of which 65% is lost to electrical system inefficiency before reaching end-use sectors. Power electronics will play a growing role in this distribution and end-use, with up to 80% of electricity estimated to pass through power electronics from generation to consumption by 2030. This gives technical improvements in power electronics enormous potential to drive efficiency gains throughout the U.S. economy. Current Si-based power architectures including MOSFETs and IGBTs are limited by high losses, low switching frequency, and poor high-temperature performance. Given the material properties of GaN, devices can exhibit a given turn-on resistance and breakdown voltage with a minute fraction of the area of a Si device—all with higher switching speeds. While n-type doping of III-nitrides has reached a high level of maturity and integration into commercialized products, p-type doping presents distinct challenges that requires continued research. The success of the next generation of GaN-based power devices depends in large part on the ability to form selective-area p-type regions, which can be accomplished by ion implantation of the prevailing acceptor dopant, Mg. This approach is relatively inexpensive and is a fab-ready processing step for creation of current-generation power electronic devices including BJTs, IGBTs, and diode rectifiers. However, ion implantation induces lattice damage and creates point defects within the material, which negatively impacts dopant activation annealing. These forms of damage may be removed by high-temperature annealing, however short annealing time and higher pressures are required to prevent decomposition of the material. We approach this challenge through an innovative combination of approaches toward obtaining high-conductivity p-type GaN. By the novel employment of a gyrotron, a microwave source that can be shaped into a highly localized beam to dissipate very high power in a semiconductor target, a wafer of GaN can be annealed in short (<2 s) ‘pulses’ at temperatures of 1450 °C (2640 °F) to achieve p-type activation without appreciable surface degradation. The p-type activation of Mg-implanted GaN can be further aided by co-implantation with N, believed to enhance the removal of point defects that compensate the acceptors dopant. Elevation to such high temperatures for even a short time induces degradation of GaN-to overcome, we have implemented additional measures to retain high-quality crystalline GaN while removing implant damage and activating Mg dopant. A bilayer cap of AlN is deposited by a combination of chemical and physical vapor deposition to protect the GaN surface. To prevent decomposition of GaN loss of N during annealing, a custom vessel—to contain pressurized N while allowing injection of microwave energy—is employed. By detailed study of the interaction of various measures that are implemented to protect the sample surface (GaN), activate the implanted dopants, and mitigate damage of the lattice heating damage during annealing, we are able to achieve p-type GaN and observe recovery of the crystal and removal of substantial density of defects created during the implantation process.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Electro-Thermo-Mechanical (ETM) Study on Submarine Dynamic Power Cables (SDPC) for Offshore Wind Transmission

Understanding the failure mechanisms of submarine dynamic power cables (SDPC) is critical for innovative design to meet the 2035 cost reduction target of U.S. DOE Floating Offshore Wind Shot. This is important because the current design suffers a significant failure rate in the field. This project conducted a systematic electro-thermo-mechanical (ETM) experimental study on the power cores extracted from a 15kV power cable with three cores of copper conductor, ethylene propylene rubber (EPR) insulation, and continuously corrugated welded aluminum armor (CCWA). An ETM testing system was developed by integrating a high voltage (HV) amplifier, two ceramic heaters, and a rod-plate transverse compression setup into a mechanical testing machine. Increasing temperature from room temperature (RT, 22 degree C) to 90 degree C resulted in the 67% decrease in the failure mechanical load as defined by the dielectric breakdown. Under creep mechanical loading, the dielectric breakdown time was decreased by 70% for a given mechanical load when the specimen temperature increased from RT to 90oC. The failure strain in both monotonic and creep mechanical loading modes was related to the maximum mechanical load applied. Although the dielectric breakdown occurred in the ETM test, the post-test measurement revealed an impressive recovery of electric resistance. The failure analysis on cross section of tested specimens indicated a sizable gap across insulation layer near the area between copper conductor and loading rod, which apparently resulted from online dielectric failure and offline elastic recovery of components including conductor and insulation layer.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Los Alamos Innovation Enables Carbon-Negative Infrastructure Through an AI Infrastructure Partnership

A material innovation first developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) is now enabling a major step forward in carbon management. Licensed by Spiritus, the technology is being deployed in a $500 million partnership with Prometheus Hyperscale and Casper Carbon Capture to build one of the largest carbon-negative digital infrastructure projects in the world. Located in Casper, Wyoming, the initiative directly integrates permanent carbon removal with advanced computing systems, illustrating how Los Alamos research continues to advance national goals in energy, security, and innovation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Persistent DynAMICS

Persistent DynAMICS is a lightweight software platform that enables distributed sensing systems to operate as a unified, responsive network. It integrates with existing sensors, data systems, and processing tools as an overlay, without requiring hardware replacement or increasing user burden. As data is collected, the system identifies situations that require additional attention and directs selected sensors to gather more information. For example, if a sensor detects an unusual condition along a pipeline, the system can task nearby sensors or different sensing modalities to confirm the event and focus data collection where it is needed. To support this, the platform forms temporary groups of sensors that work together to address specific objectives. Once complete, these groups are dissolved and resources are reassigned as needed. Communication is handled through an integrated messaging framework with client and server components, enabling reliable operation and data continuity even in low-bandwidth or intermittent connectivity environments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

NASA NTRS1974

New computer system for aircraft noise prediction

The purpose of the Aircraft Noise Prediction Office (ANOPO) at Langley Research Center is to provide a focal point for NASA's aircraft noise prediction activities and an appropriate interface with other agencies and industry. An interim prediction system is now in operation, which includes a program for source modeling leading to noise prediction for a single event, two complementary multiple event prediction programs which predict NEF contours on the basis of interpolation of noise, thrust, and altitude data, and the FAA data base for the commercial fleet. An integrated multimode aircraft noise prediction program has been designed, and a mechanism for continuously providing current prediction technology to be incorporated in the program has been implemented.

Raney, J. P.↗

NASA NTRS1976

A systematic method for computer design of supercritical airfoils in cascade

A computer code has been developed for the direct calculation of shockless transonic airfoils whose pressure distributions can be assigned within reasonable limits. The partial differential equations of two-dimensional inviscid gas dynamics are solved by analytic continuation into the domain of two independent complex characteristic coordinates. The domain of integration is mapped conformally onto the unit circle in the hodograph plane of one of these coordinates. It is possible to formulate a boundary value problem on this circle for the stream function that is well posed in the case of transonic flow. This enables the formulation of a procedure for the calculation of an airfoil on which the speed is prescribed as a function of the arc length

Garabedian, P.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Polycrystalline silicon study: Low-cost silicon refining technology prospects and semiconductor-grade polycrystalline silicon availability through 1988

Photovoltaic arrays that convert solar energy into electrical energy can become a cost effective bulk energy generation alternative, provided that an adequate supply of low cost materials is available. One of the key requirements for economic photovoltaic cells is reasonably priced silicon. At present, the photovoltaic industry is dependent upon polycrystalline silicon refined by the Siemens process primarily for integrated circuits, power devices, and discrete semiconductor devices. This dependency is expected to continue until the DOE sponsored low cost silicon refining technology developments have matured to the point where they are in commercial use. The photovoltaic industry can then develop its own source of supply. Silicon material availability and market pricing projections through 1988 are updated based on data collected early in 1984. The silicon refining industry plans to meet the increasing demands of the semiconductor device and photovoltaic product industries are overviewed. In addition, the DOE sponsored technology research for producing low cost polycrystalline silicon, probabilistic cost analysis for the two most promising production processes for achieving the DOE cost goals, and the impacts of the DOE photovoltaics program silicon refining research upon the commercial polycrystalline silicon refining industry are addressed.

Costogue, E. N.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Industrial use of land observation satellite systems

The principal industrial users of land observation satellite systems are the geological industries; oil/gas, mining, and engineering/environmental companies. The primary system used is LANDSAT/MSS. Currently, use is also being made of the limited amounts of SKYLAB photography, SEASAT and SIR-A radar, and the new LANDSAT/TM data available. Although considered experimental, LANDSAT data is now used operationally by several hundred exploration and engineering companies worldwide as a vastly improved geological mapping tool to help direct more expensive geophysical and drilling phases, leading to more efficient decision-making and results. Future needs include global LANDSAT/TM; higher spatial resolution; stereo and radar; improved data handling, processing distribution and archiving systems, and integrated geographical information systems (GIS). For a promising future, governments must provide overall continuity (government and/or private sector) of such systems, insure continued government R and D, and commit to operating internationally under the civil Open Skies policy.

Henderson, F. B., III↗

NASA NTRS1986

A fully coupled variable properties thermohydraulic model for a cryogenic hydrostatic journal bearing

The goal set forth here is to continue the work started by Braun et al. (1984-1985) and present an integrated analysis of the behavior of the two row, 20 staggered pockets, hydrostatic cryogenic bearing used by the turbopumps of the Space Shuttle main engine. The variable properties Reynolds equation is fully coupled with the two-dimensional fluid film energy equation. The three-dimensional equations of the shaft and bushing model the boundary conditions of the fluid film energy equation. The effects of shaft eccentricity, angular velocity, and inertia pressure drops at pocket edge are incorporated in the model. Their effects on the bearing fluid properties, load carrying capacity, mass flow, pressure, velocity, and temperature form the ultimate object of this paper.

Braun, M. J.↗