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DOE OSTI2025

Scoping Study of Integrated Geothermal CO 2 Heat Pump and Water Well System in Cold Climate Region

This study evaluates the feasibility of using ground-source heat pumps (GSHPs) integrated with water wells for residential heating demands in cold regions of the United States. Four different heat pump systems were evaluated and compared: a CO 2 air-source heat pump (ASHP), a R-410A ASHP, a CO 2 GSHP integrated with well water, and a R-410A GSHP integrated with well water. Simulations were conducted at both equipment and building integration levels, followed by a nationwide analysis across 10 selected cities. Results indicate that integrating GSHP technology with existing water wells (e.g., artesian, bedrock, drilled, and collector wells) is a feasible heating solution because of their high flow rates, good water quality, stable temperatures, and low environmental impact. Although R-410A systems demonstrate higher efficiency, CO 2 systems are more suitable for heating from contamination-free and energy security perspective. The CO 2 GSHPs maintain better performance in colder climates compared with that of ASHPs, providing higher coefficient of performance and environmental benefits because CO 2 refrigerant leakage would not contaminate well water. A national analysis confirms that CO 2 GSHPs outperform furnaces, especially in cold climates, making them a promising solution for residential heating.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Scoping Study of Integrated Geothermal CO 2 Heat Pump and Water Well System in Cold Climate Region (CRADA Final Report)

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

NASA NTRS2011

Experimental and Analytical Evaluation of a Composite Honeycomb Deployable Energy Absorber

In 2006, the NASA Subsonic Rotary Wing Aeronautics Program sponsored the experimental and analytical evaluation of an externally deployable composite honeycomb structure that is designed to attenuate impact energy during helicopter crashes. The concept, which is designated the Deployable Energy Absorber (DEA), utilizes an expandable Kevlar honeycomb structure to dissipate kinetic energy through crushing. The DEA incorporates a unique flexible hinge design that allows the honeycomb to be packaged and stowed flat until needed for deployment. A variety of deployment options such as linear, radial, and/or hybrid methods can be used. Experimental evaluation of the DEA utilized a building block approach that included material characterization testing of its constituent, Kevlar -129 fabric/epoxy, and flexural testing of single hexagonal cells. In addition, the energy attenuation capabilities of the DEA were demonstrated through multi-cell component dynamic crush tests, and vertical drop tests of a composite fuselage section, retrofitted with DEA blocks, onto concrete, water, and soft soil. During each stage of the DEA evaluation process, finite element models of the test articles were developed and simulations were performed using the explicit, nonlinear transient dynamic finite element code, LS-DYNA. This report documents the results of the experimental evaluation that was conducted to assess the energy absorption capabilities of the DEA.

Jackson, Karen E.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Prediction of Thermal Conditions of DED With FEA Metal Additive Simulation

This paper presents the integration of wire-arc additive manufacturing (WAAM) using Gas Metal Arc Welding (GMAW) into a machine tool to create a retrofit hybrid computer numeric control (CNC) machine tool. GMAW, along with other direct energy deposition systems, has the capacity to deposit material faster than the excess thermal energy can dissipate. This results in the need to allow the part to cool between consecutive layers, which is the most time-consuming part of the additive process. Finite element analysis (FEA) was used in conjunction with monitored build plate surface temperatures during deposition samples to improve adequate dwell time prediction and to develop a cooling system. A deposition was completed where no dwell time was used and the build plate along with the machine table temperatures were monitored. A second deposition was completed where only one bead was deposited and the traverse speed was increased. The GMAW welder was mounted on a 3-axis CNC machine where two square deposition samples were completed. A FEA model was designed and verified using the monitored samples. The model will be used to determine improved depositions speeds and whether forced cooling would allow for an increased deposition rate without structural failure. It was determined the FEA software can be used to accurately model and predict the thermal response of WAAM AM components.

Heinrich, Lauren↗

DOE OSTI2020

Leveraging Multiple Connected Traffic Light Signals in an Energy-Efficient Speed Planner

Connecting automated vehicles to traffic lights can lead to significant energy savings by enabling them to pass through intersections in an energy-efficient way without unnecessary stops. A cellular-based communication system connecting multiple traffic lights can help realize the full potential of energy-efficient driving at intersections. Thus, we propose a hierarchical speed planner that can leverage information from multiple connected traffic lights. The proposed speed planner consists of two modules: a green window selector and a reference trajectory generator. The green window selector, based on Dijkstra’s algorithm, finds a series of "green windows" for connected traffic lights that builds an energy-optimal path for vehicles to follow. The reference trajectory generator finds optimal entering times, based on the selected green window at each intersection, and then computes reference trajectories. Deriving and using analytical optimal entering speeds as a function of entering times allows us to guarantee the computational simplicity suitable for real-time implementation. We also demonstrate how to balance energy and traffic flow perspectives in the reference trajectory generator. Lastly, a high-fidelity simulation framework is used to evaluate the proposed speed planner and quantify the extent to which it can save energy in various real-world urban route scenarios.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2021

The causal relationship between melt pool geometry and energy absorption measured in real time during laser-based manufacturing

During laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing, laser power absorption is governed by a pro -tean pool of molten metal that can present as a highly reflective surface, a deeply absorbing cavity, or some amalgamation thereof. These melt pool dynamics have been linked to defect creation, porosity, and surface finish quality. Although these are therefore critical for determining final part quality, their in-stantaneous influence on laser absorption have only been explored through simulation. To date, direct real-time observations have been elusive due to the locally extreme environment. In this work, we fo-cus a laser on Ti-6Al-4V powder and bare plate while quantifying the time-dependent, absolute energy absorption by monitoring omnidirectional backscattered laser intensity. We also simultaneously record the projective melt pool geometries with high-speed synchrotron x-ray imaging. We find that laser ab-sorption strongly reflects the stability of the vapor depression over a wide range of applied laser powers, oxygen content in the processing atmosphere, and with the presence of powder. During laser scanning of a powder bed surface, we find a significant absorption reduction after 400 mu s due to a dramatic change in the vapor depression aspect ratio-an event known to create porosity. Furthermore, as several industrial scan strate-gies necessitate thousands of these events during a build, their identification and control is of significant practical importance. Lastly, a normalized enthalpy model is demonstrated to be effective in quantifying the relationship between the laser absorption and cavity depth, even under transient conditions. In addi-tion to providing vital quantitative data for simulation calibration, the correlation of melt pool geometry with laser absorption during realistic processing conditions suggests the use of a total backscattered light detection system for real-time process control.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Heat pumps for all? Distributions of the costs and benefits of residential air-source heat pumps in the United States

Electrification of fossil-fuel combustion in buildings is a key component of achieving global greenhouse gas emissions targets. We use physics simulations of 550,000 statistically representative households to analyze distributions of the costs and benefits of three air-to-air heat pump performance levels, with and without insulation upgrades, across the diversity of the US housing stock. We find positive greenhouse gas reductions in every US state for all performance levels across five 2022-2038 electric grid scenarios, with full adoption reducing national emissions by 5%-9%. We find that air-to-air heat pumps could be cost effective without subsidies in 59% of households (65 million). However, efficiency is key: whereas minimum-efficiency equipment could increase energy bills in 39% of households, this fraction is only 19% when also upgrading insulation or 5% when using higher-efficiency equipment, though both strategies have higher upfront costs. Such affordability challenges could be addressed through supportive incentives, policy, and innovation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2020

FY20 Third Milestone Report for Advanced Techno-Economic Modeling for Geothermal Heat Pump Applications in Residential, Commercial, and Industry Buildings

This report summarizes the developments of an integrated simulation program for enabling simulation, auto-sizing, and optimization of geothermal heat pump systems. This work fulfills the following FY20 third milestone for WBS 2.5.5.3: Advanced Techno-Economic Modeling for Geothermal Heat Pump Applications in Residential, Commercial, and Industry Building.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dark Energy Survey Year 3 Results: Cosmological constraints from second- and third-order shear statistics

Here, we present a cosmological analysis of the third-order aperture mass statistic using Dark Energy Survey Year 3 (DES Y3) data. We perform a complete tomographic measurement of the three-point correlation function of the Y3 weak lensing shape catalog with the four fiducial source redshift bins. Building upon our companion methodology paper, we apply a pipeline that combines the two-point function ξ ± with the mass aperture skewness statistic ⟨ M ap 3 ⟩ , which is an efficient compression of the full shear three-point function. We use a suite of simulated shear maps to obtain a joint covariance matrix. By jointly analyzing ξ ± and ⟨ M ap 3 ⟩ measured from DES Y3 data with a Λ CDM model, we find S 8 = 0.780 ± 0.015 and Ω m = 0.26 6 - 0.040 + 0.039 , yielding 111% of figure-of-merit improvement in the Ω m - S 8 plane relative to ξ ± alone, consistent with expectations from simulated likelihood analyses. With a w CDM model, we find S 8 = 0.74 9 - 0.026 + 0.027 and w 0 = - 1.39 ± 0.31 , which gives an improvement of 22% on the joint S 8 - w 0 constraint. Our results are consistent with w 0 = - 1 . Our new constraints are compared to CMB data from the Planck satellite, and we find that with the inclusion of ⟨ M ap 3 ⟩ the existing tension between the datasets is at the level of 2.3 σ . We show that the third-order statistic enables us to self-calibrate the mean photometric redshift uncertainty parameter of the highest redshift bin with little degradation in the figure of merit. Our results demonstrate the constraining power of higher-order lensing statistics and establish ⟨ M ap 3 ⟩ as a practical observable for joint analyses in current and future surveys.

Gomes, R. C. H. [University of Pennsylvania] (ORCI↗

DOE OSTI2020

BISON Development and Validation for Priority LWR-ATF concepts

Over the years, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) (2015-2018, 2020) and Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) (2019) programs have provided support for development of Accident Tolerant Fuel (ATF) material models in the BISON fuel performance code. Since the beginning, the goal has been to utilize a multiscale modeling approach to gain a physical understanding of the fuel concepts of interest and to develop mechanistic models in the absence of a large amount of experimental data. This work builds upon that of previous years. In particular we present newly updated fission gas release models for both gas behavior in Cr 2 O 3 -doped UO 2 and U 3 Si 2 fuels, and a new creep model for U 3 Si 2 . The validation exercises completed last year are revisited with the latest models and the results updated. A brief summary of recent modeling activities for FeCrAl cladding is also provided.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Dynamic Multipoles in the RCS

The Rapid Cycling Synchrotron (RCS) of the Electron--Ion Collider (EIC) will accelerate polarized electrons up to 18 GeV at a repetition rate of 1 Hz. Dynamic multipoles driven by eddy currents in the vacuum chamber can affect beam dynamics and polarization preservation during the energy ramp. Building on the analytical treatment of S.Y. Lee for a ramped normal-conducting dipole magnet, we use conformal transformations to derive compact expressions for dynamic multipoles in higher-order ramped magnets with circular beam pipes. We further derive analytical frequency-domain transfer functions for both self-response and cross-response multipoles, providing compact dynamical models for their evolution during arbitrary ramp waveforms. The resulting analytical predictions are benchmarked against finite-element simulations, including the effects of practical pole geometry and beam-pipe misalignment. Finally, the expected dynamic multipoles in the RCS magnets are estimated and their implications for beam dynamics and polarization preservation are discussed.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Towards Learning-Based Architectures for Sensor Impact Evaluation in Building Controls

Advanced control algorithms for building systems are known to have significant potential in reducing energy consumption while optimizing thermal comfort. The success of such algorithms is critically contingent on several different types of sensor systems, which are in turn, used for continuous monitoring, identification and estimation of several important building states, such as temperatures, humidity, air quality, power consumption and occupancy status. Nonidealities in any of these sensors can lead to significant performance degradation of the control functionalities, and may lead to unwanted sub-optimal building operation. In this paper, we provide a simulation example with a high-fidelity building model, for a particular use-case of advanced optimization-based control in buildings, i.e., occupancy-based controls. We show how imperfections in occupancy sensing can offset performance. Subsequently, we discuss a novel learning-based architecture to efficiently evaluate the impact of sensor nonidealities for building systems, in context of advanced control algorithms.

Bhattacharya, Saptarshi↗

DOE OSTI2024

Customer enrollment and participation in building demand management programs: A review of key factors

Increasing the efficiency and flexibility of electricity demand is necessary for ensuring a cost-effective and reliable transition to zero-carbon electricity systems. Such demand-side management (DSM) resources have been procured by utilities for decades via energy efficiency and demand response programs; however, the key drivers of program enrollment and customer participation levels remain poorly understood — even as governments and grid planners seek to scale up the deployment of DSM assets to meet climate targets. Here we systematically review the evidence on multiple factors that may influence customer enrollment and participation in building DSM programs, focusing primarily on residential and commercial buildings. We examine the contexts in which relationships between DSM factors and outcomes are most often explored and with which methods; we also score the strength, direction, and internal consistency of each factor's reported impact on the enrollment and participation outcomes. We find that studies most commonly assess the effects of economic incentives for load flexibility on program participation levels, often using simulation-based methods in lieu of measured data. Few studies focus on program enrollment outcomes or regulatory drivers of either enrollment or participation, and gaps are also evident in the coverage of emerging DSM opportunities like load electrification. Removal of structural barriers (e.g., the lack of controls infrastructure) and the use of third party services (e.g., load aggregators) are the factors with the largest positive impacts on DSM outcomes, but no single factor emerges as clearly most impactful. For a given factor, the range of reported impacts typically varies widely across the relevant studies reviewed. Our findings provide a snapshot of the state of knowledge about building DSM and customer decision-making, and they expose key gaps in understanding that must be filled if building DSM is to expand as a critical resource for operating clean power grids.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2022

Mechanical Behavior of Additively Manufactured Molybdenum and Fabrication of Microtextured Composites

Refractory metals are a class of high-melting-temperature materials suitable for use in extreme environment applications. Interestingly, during additive manufacturing many pure refractory metals exhibit a switch from (001) to (111) build direction fiber preference with increasing surface energy density. Here we exploit this solidification physics to fabricate material with “mesoscale composite” engineered structures consisting of features with contrasting (001) and (111) build direction microtextures. Separately, elevated temperature tensile testing of EBM fabricated material with a randomized distribution of mixed (001)/(111)-fiber grains is shown to exhibit excellent properties. These results are utilized to build a crystal plasticity model for evaluating the local inelastic response of the composite mesoscale structures. Analysis of printed microstructures and microstructure-scale simulations indicate that both macro-scale and localized material behavior may be tailored. This strategy can be potentially used to synthesize materials with optimized performance for high-temperature applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Envelope-driven comfort risk in residential demand response

Residential demand response (DR) is a valuable resource for grid reliability, but remains challenging because the highly heterogeneous residential building stock leads to widely varying and hard-to-predict load and comfort responses during DR events. Although prior research has estimated the technical potential of DR-capable technologies for achieving energy demand savings, little is known about how they affect thermal comfort. In particular, it remains unclear how indoor thermal conditions due to DR depend on the thermal envelope characteristics of the housing stock. To address this gap, this study provides a systematic, location-specific assessment of indoor thermal performance during DR-events across the US housing stock using both typical DR weather data and detailed building metadata. We evaluate how envelope characteristics influence indoor temperatures during realistic simulated summer and winter DR events across 37 US locations, applying both temperature threshold and rate of temperature change criteria to estimate region-level probabilities of discomfort. Additionally, we show the impact of distinct weather patterns that intensify or abate thermal stress on comfort outcomes. Results show a near-universal overheating risk in summer DR events, where comfort outcomes are strongly influenced by rapid risk of comfort violations. In contrast, overall winter DR discomfort risk is lower, risk escalation is more gradual and shows greater sensitivity to event duration. These findings offer a data-driven quantification of comfort risk across diverse climates and building envelopes, demonstrating the need for region-specific DR scheduling and discomfort mitigation strategies tailored to local weather patterns and the performance of existing residential buildings.

Demand response↗

DOE OSTI2024

Safety First: Stability and Dissipation of Line-tied Force-free Flux Tubes in Magnetized Coronae

Abstract Magnetized plasma columns and extended magnetic structures with both footpoints anchored to a surface layer are an important building block of astrophysical dissipation models. Current loops shining in X-rays during the growth of plasma instabilities are observed in the corona of the Sun and are expected to exist in highly magnetized neutron star magnetospheres and accretion disk coronae. For varying twist and system sizes, we investigate the stability of line-tied force-free flux tubes and the dissipation of twist energy during instabilities using linear analysis and time-dependent force-free electrodynamics simulations. Kink modes ( m = 1) and efficient magnetic energy dissipation develop for plasma safety factors q ≲ 1, where q is the inverse of the number of magnetic field line windings per column length. Higher-order fluting modes ( m > 1) can distort equilibrium flux tubes for q > 1 but induce significantly less dissipation. In our analysis, the characteristic pitch μ ˜ 0 of flux-tube field lines determines the growth rate ( ∝ μ ˜ 0 3 ) and minimum wavelength of the kink instability ( ∝ μ ˜ 0 − 1 ). We use these scalings to determine a minimum flux tube length for the growth of the kink instability for any given μ ˜ 0 . By drawing analogies to idealized magnetar magnetospheres with varying regimes of boundary shearing rates, we discuss the expected impact of the pitch-dependent growth rates for magnetospheric dissipation in magnetar conditions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Guidelines for Publicly Archiving Terrestrial Model Data to Enhance Usability, Intercomparison, and Synthesis

Scientific communities are increasingly publishing data to evaluate, accredit, and build on published research. However, guidelines for curating data for publication are sparse for model-related research, limiting the usability of archived simulation data. In particular, there are no established guidelines for archiving data related to terrestrial models that simulate land processes and their coupled interactions with climate. Terrestrial modelers have a unique set of challenges when publishing data due to the diversity of scientific domains, research questions, and the types and scales of simulations. Researchers in the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) projects use a variety of multiscale models to advance robust predictions of terrestrial and subsurface ecosystem processes. Here, we synthesize archiving needs for data associated with different DOE models, and provide guidelines for publishing terrestrial model data components following FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, Reusable) principles. The guidelines recommend archiving model inputs and testing data used in final simulation runs along with associated codes, workflow scripts, and metadata in public repositories. Researchers should consider archiving model outputs if they are within the storage limits of the repository. We also provide considerations for how to bundle files into different data publications with citable digital object identifiers. Finally, we identify repository features and tools that would enable storage and reuse of model data. Given the diversity of DOE terrestrial models, these guidelines are transferable to other model types and will enable efficient reuse of simulation data for purposes such as model intercomparisons, initialization, benchmarking, synthesis, and comparisons with field observations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2019

Solar Activity Modeling: From Subgranular Dynamical Scales to the Solar Cycles

The dynamical effects of solar magnetoconvection span a wide range spatial and temporal scales that extend from the interior to the corona and from fast turbulent motions to global magnetic activity. To study the solar activity on short temporal scales (from minutes to hours), we use 3D radiative MHD simulations that allow us to investigate complex turbulent interactions that drive various phenomena, such as plasma eruptions, spontaneous formation of magnetic structures, funnel-like structures and magnetic loops in the corona, and others. In particular, we focus on multi-scale processes of energy exchange across layers of the solar interior and atmosphere, which contribute to coronal heating and eruptive dynamics. For modeling global-scale activity, we use a data assimilation approach that has demonstrated great potential for building reliable long-term forecasts of solar activity. In particular, it has been shown that the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) method applied to the Parker-Kleeorin-Ruzmakin dynamo model is capable of predicting solar activity up to one sunspot cycle ahead in time, as well as estimating the properties of the next cycle a few years before it begins. In this presentation, using the available magnetogram data, we discuss development of the methodology and forecast quality criteria (including forecast uncertainties and sources of errors). We demonstrate the influence of observational limitations on prediction accuracy, and we present the EnKF predictions of the upcoming Solar Cycle (25) based on both the sunspot number series and observed magnetic fields and discuss the uncertainties and potential of the data assimilation approach for modeling and forecasting solar activity.

Kitiashvili, I. N.↗