Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Trending analysis”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,027 records · Page 57

Impact Analysis of Future Electric Vehicles Using Model of Real Distribution Feeders

Globally, the number of electric vehicles (EVs) continues to increase. This on-going trend poses challenges for power distribution systems. The inclusion of electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) should be compatible with a changing energy system, whose structure is becoming increasingly distributed. The impact of future EVs should be analyzed and considered in the system planning and upgrades. In this study, impact analysis of future EVs is conducted for a utility company of U.S. West Coast. Real data of distribution feeders is converted into the GridLAB-D model for running power flow analysis. An estimation of the additional loading of EVs in 2050 is provided by the utility company. Simple mitigation methods are tested to improve voltage profiles and complete this case study.

Xie, Jing↗

Access Patterns and Performance Behaviors of Multi-layer Supercomputer I/O Subsystems under Production Load

Scientific computing workloads at HPC facilities have been shifting from traditional numerical simulations to AI/ML applications for training and inference while processing and producing ever-increasing amounts of scientific data. To address the growing need for increased storage capacity, lower access latency, and higher bandwidth, emerging technologies such as non-volatile memory are integrated into supercomputer I/O subsystems. With these emerging trends, we need a better understanding of the multilayer supercomputer I/O systems and ways to use these subsystems efficiently. In this work, we study the I/O access patterns and performance characteristics of two representative supercomputer I/O subsystems. Through an extensive analysis of year-long I/O logs on each system, we report new observations in I/O reads and writes, unbalanced use of storage system layers, and new trends in user behaviors at the HPC I/O middleware stack.

Bez, JL↗

What drives the variance of galaxy spectra?

We present a study aimed at understanding the physical phenomena underlying the formation and evolution of galaxies following a data-driven analysis of spectroscopic data based on the variance in a carefully selected sample. We apply principal component analysis (PCA) independently to three subsets of continuum-subtracted optical spectra, segregated into their nebular emission activity as quiescent, star-forming, and active galactic nuclei (AGNs). We emphasize that the variance of the input data in this work only relates to the absorption lines in the photospheres of the stellar populations. The sample is taken from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) in the stellar velocity dispersion range 100–150 km s −1 , to minimize the ‘blurring’ effect of the stellar motion. We restrict the analysis to the first three principal components (PCs) and find that PCA segregates the three types with the highest variance mapping SSP-equivalent age, along with an inextricable degeneracy with metallicity, even when all three PCs are included. Spectral fitting shows that stellar age dominates PC1, whereas PC2 and PC3 have a mixed dependence of age and metallicity. The trends support – independently of any model fitting – the hypothesis of an evolutionary sequence from star formation to AGN to quiescence. As a further test of the consistency of the analysis, we apply the same methodology in different spectral windows, finding similar trends, but the variance is maximal in the blue wavelength range, roughly around the 4000 Å break.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Empirical Study of Focus-Plus-Context and Aggregation Techniques for the Visualization of Streaming Data

Analysis of streaming data often involves both real-time monitoring of incoming data as well as contextual awareness of data history. A focus-plus-context approach can support both goals, with variable levels of visual aggregation making it possible to provide a high level of detail for incoming and recent data while providing contextual information about recent history. Visual aggregation reduces data resolution in order to show the context of data over large periods of time within a limited display space. With a controlled experiment, we evaluated the effectiveness of different types of aggregation for four types of stream-analysis tasks. Overall, the results show that a focus-plus-context design has little negative impact on the ability to successfully monitor and analyze streaming data, making it possible to show longer periods of time than other approaches. However, visual aggregation can be problematic for trend recognition tasks. This research demonstrates how the effectiveness of the visualization depends on the specifics of the analysis task.

Ragan, Eric↗

An experimental and modeling study on auto-ignition kinetics of ammonia/methanol mixtures at intermediate temperature and high pressure

A rapid compression machine (RCM) has been applied to measure the ignition delay times of NH 3 /CH 3 OH mixtures covering pressures of 20 and 40 bar, equivalence ratios of 0.5, 1.0 and 2.0, and temperatures between 845 and 1100 K. Here the measurements show that the NH 3 /CH 3 OH mixtures become more reactive with increasing methanol addition. Addition of merely 1% (molar basis) of CH 3 OH to NH 3 lowers the ignition temperature around 100 K at 40 bar in comparison to pure NH 3 . The ignition delay is a complex function of fuel mixture and stoichiometry. For the 1% CH 3 OH mixture, the leaner mixtures are more reactive, while the reverse trend is found for mixtures with 5%, 20% and pure CH 3 OH. Analysis of the pressure profiles shows three distinct ignition modes for NH 3/ CH 3 OH mixtures, facilitated by the pre-ignition heat release from NH 3 consumption. A detailed mechanism for ignition of NH 3 /CH 3 OH fuel blends has been developed, capable of reproducing the ignition behavior of mixtures with reasonable accuracy. A subset for amine / methanol interactions was established, with rate constants for the key reaction between NH 2 and CH 3 OH calculated from ab initio theory. A sensitivity analysis indicates that the critical reactions during the auto-ignition process vary with the CH 3 OH mole fraction in the fuel. The ammonia chemistry, namely NH 2 + NO, NH2 + NO 2 and NH 2 + HO 2 , is dominant for the mixture with 1% CH 3 OH, while the reactions related to CH 3 OH and H 2 O 2 are more important for the 20% CH 3 OH mixture. The interaction between ammonia and methanol shows a more prominent effect on auto-ignition for mixtures with 5% CH 3 OH in fuel as compared to those with 1% and 20% CH 3 OH. According to the modeling results, methanol addition is found to enrich the O/H radical pool, consuming ammonia and promoting auto-ignition through different reaction pathways.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Chlorocobaltate-Enabled Selective Separation of CoCl 2 from Mixed Chloride and Nitrate Salts of Mn, Co, and Ni

Described here is the effect of anionic metalates─chlorocobaltate and nitratocobaltate─on the heat-driven separation of the critical element cobalt from potentially competing transition metal salts. Resins bearing the hexadentate glycolamide receptor L (PS-L) exhibit sorption capacities, Q = 1.33 mmol/g for CoCl 2 and Q = 0.66 mmol/g for Co(NO 3 ) 2 , as inferred from sorption isotherm studies. This trend runs counter to the typical Hofmeister series for anion selectivity. Ion chromatographic analysis of a mixed CoCl 2 /Co(NO 3 ) 2 solution revealed an increase in chloride content from 55 mol % to 90 mol % after a single thermally driven catch-and-release cycle. This chloride-selective behavior was recapitulated in a mixed-metal cation, mixed-anion system containing the chloride and nitrate salts of Mn(II), Co(II), and Ni(II) at near-equimolar concentrations. PS-L also displayed enhanced selectivity for Co using this mixed stock solution as observed by ICP-OES. In contrast, for a nitrate-only solution containing Mn(II), Co(II), and Ni(II), PS-L showed increased affinity for Mn, with its proportion rising from 36.6 mol % to 58.1% after a single catch-and-release cycle. Density functional theory calculations support the suggestion that the enhanced uptake of Co(II) in chloride-rich media arises from the high thermodynamic stability of [CoCl 4 ] 2– , which facilitates its outer-sphere coordination to cationic resin-bound cobalt species. Single crystal X-ray crystallographic analyzes of L•MCl 2 (M = Mn, Co, Ni) and L•M(NO 3 ) 2 (M = Mn, Co) confirmed metal complexation by L in the solid state and the concomitant formation of metalate counteranions. Here, the present study highlights a relatively simple approach for separating cobalt from its transition metal congeners.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Super-resolution and signal separation in contact Kelvin probe force microscopy of electrochemically active ferroelectric materials

In this work, imaging mechanisms in contact Kelvin probe force microscopy (cKPFM) are explored via information theory-based methods. Gaussian processes are used to achieve super-resolution in the cKPFM signal, effectively extrapolating across the spatial and parameter space. Tensor factorization is applied to reduce the multidimensional signal to the tensor convolution of the scalar functions that show a clear trending behavior with the imaging parameters. These methods establish a workflow for the analysis of the multidimensional datasets that can then be related to the relevant physical mechanisms. We also provide an interactive Google Colab notebook that goes through all the analyses discussed in the paper.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Three-dimensional diagnostics and measurements of inertial confinement fusion plasmas

Recent inertial confinement fusion measurements have highlighted the importance of 3D asymmetry effects on implosion performance. One prominent example is the bulk drift velocity of the deuterium–tritium plasma undergoing fusion (“hotspot”), v HS . Upgrades to the National Ignition Facility neutron time-of-flight diagnostics now provide v HS to better than 1 part in 10 4 and enable cross correlations with other measurements. Here we present the impact of v HS on the neutron yield, downscatter ratio, apparent ion temperature, electron temperature, and 2D x-ray emission. The necessary improvements to diagnostic suites to take these measurements are also detailed. The benefits of using cross-diagnostic analysis to test hotspot models and theory are discussed, and cross-shot trends are shown.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Large-scale tearing-mode hazard function analysis with standard matched equilibrium reconstructions

The association between features from standard tokamak equilibrium reconstructions and the onset of n = 1 tearing modes (TMs) is analyzed at scale. The TM onset rate is directly modeled with a ‘hazard’ function which gives the expected number of onsets (per unit time spent) in a given equilibrium parameter region. In particular the different statistical modeling performance achieved for magnetics-only reconstructions and motional Stark effect (MSE) enhanced reconstructions is studied. It is observed that a better hazard model for the TM onset rate can be built with the MSE-enhanced equilibria compared to the matched magnetics-only situation. This advantage disappears if internal profile details are withheld from the matched analysis. Plausibility of the hazard function is further demonstrated with visualizations of global trends in the operational space, and time-traces from specific tokamak discharges. As a result, TMs typically degrade tokamak plasma performance and may lead to plasma termination, motivating this statistical study.

equilibrium↗

Comparison of different noble gas injections by massive gas injection on plasma disruption mitigation on Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak

Massive gas injection (MGI) is a traditional plasma disruption mitigation method. This method directly injected massive gas into the pre-disruption plasma and had been developed on the Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST). Different noble gas injection experiments, including He, Ne, and Ar, were performed to compare the mitigation effect of plasma disruption by evaluating the key parameters such as flight time, pre-thermal quench (pre-TQ), and current quench (CQ). The flight time was shorter for low atomic number ( Z ) gas, and the decrease in flight time by increasing the amount of gas was insignificant. However, both pre-TQ and CQ durations decreased considerably with the increase in gas injection amount. The effect of atomic mass on pre-TQ and CQ durations showed the opposite trend. The observed trend could help in controlling CQ duration in a reasonable area. Moreover, the analysis of radiation distribution with different impurity injections indicated that low Z impurity could reduce the asymmetry of radiation, which is valuable in mitigating plasma disruption. These results provided essential data support for plasma disruption mitigation on EAST and future fusion devices.

Physics↗

Mesh-Sequenced Realizations for Evaluation of Subgrid-Scale Models for Turbulent Combustion

This paper develops a new approach for analysis of subgrid closures for turbulent combustion as modeled using direct quadrature (finite-rate chemistry) techniques. The approach, termed multiresolution analysis through mesh-sequenced realizations (MRA-MSR), conducts simultaneous, constrained large-eddy simulations on a set of hierarchically coarsened meshes. Furthermore, the availability of underlying fine-mesh (subgrid) data corresponding to coarse-mesh locations allows a clearer assessment of the effects of unresolved fluctuations on apparent reactivity. A key to MRA-MSR is the correlation of eddy structures at coarser mesh levels, which is facilitated by the transfer of filtered fine-mesh velocity information. A seven-mesh MRA-MSR hierarchy using three resolution levels is applied to one of the Sydney bluff-body stabilized methane–hydrogen flames. Analysis of the simultaneously evolved data at different resolution levels reveals several interesting trends. First, at high Damköhler numbers, there is clear evidence of attenuation of apparent reactivity due to the effects of unresolved fluctuations. Secondly, single-point, single-time filtered density functions of a normalized subgrid Damköhler number show a characteristic beta probability density function (PDF) form and display evidence of scale similarity. Interrogation of the MRA-MSR database also shows that the recently-proposed least-squares minimization (LSM) turbulence–chemistry interaction model can account for the observed diminishment in reactivity at high Damköhler numbers but cannot reduce scatter significantly. A new form of the LSM model, which makes use of the normalized subgrid Damköhler number beta PDF distribution, performs slightly better than the original model, illustrating the potential of MRA-MSR both in assessing existing closure concepts and in developing new ones.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Transient technique for measuring heat transfer coefficients on stator airfoils in a jet engine environment

A transient technique was used to measure heat transfer coefficients on stator airfoils in a high-temperature annular cascade at real engine conditions. The transient response of thin film thermocouples on the airfoil surface to step changes in the gas stream temperature was used to determine these coefficients. In addition, gardon gages and paired thermocouples were also utilized to measure heat flux on the airfoil pressure surface at steady state conditions. The tests were conducted at exit gas stream Reynolds numbers of one-half to 1.9 million based on true chord. The results from the transient technique show good comparison with the steady-state results in both trend and magnitude. In addition, comparison is made with the STAN5 boundary layer code and shows good comparison with the trends. However, the magnitude of the experimental data is consistently higher than the analysis.

Gladden, H. J.↗

Transient technique for measuring heat transfer coefficients on stator airfoils in a jet engine environment

A transient technique was used to measure heat transfer coefficients on stator airfoils in a high-temperature annular cascade at real engine conditions. The transient response of thin film thermocouples on the airfoil surface to step changes in the gas stream temperature was used to determine these coefficients. In addition, gardon gages and paired thermocouples were also utilized to measure heat flux on the airfoil pressure surface at steady state conditions. The tests were conducted at exit gas stream Reynolds numbers of one-half to 1.9 million based on true chord. The results from the transient technique show good comparison with the steady-state results in both trend and magnitude. In addition, comparison is made with the STAN5 boundary layer code and shows good comparison with the trends. However, the magnitude of the experimental data is consistently higher than the analysis.

Gladden, H. J.↗

A new approach for determining fully empirical altimeter wind speed model functions

A statistical technique is developed for determining fully empirical model functions relating altimeter backscatter (sigma(sub 0)) measurements to near-surface neutral stability wind speed. By assuming that sigma(sub 0) varies monotonically and uniquely with wind speed, the method requires knowledge only of the separate, rather than joint distribution functions of sigma(sub 0) and wind speed. Analytic simplifications result from using a Weibull distribution to approximate the global ocean wind speed distribution; several different wind data sets are used to demonstrate the validity of the Weibull approximation. The technique has been applied to 1 year of Geosat data. Validation of the new and historical model functions using an independent buoy data set demonstrates that the present model function not only has small overall bias and root mean square (RMS) errors, but yields smaller systematic error trends with wind speed and pseudowave age than previously published models. The present analysis suggests that generally accuracte altimeter model functions can be derived without the use of colocated measurements, nor is additional significant wave height information measured by the altimeter necessary.

Freilich, M. H.↗

Structure of the Upper Troposphere-Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) in GEOS-5

This study examines the structure of the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere in the GEOS-5 data assimilation system. Near-real time analyses, with a horizontal resolution of one-half or one quarter degree and a vertical resolution of about 1km in the tropopause region are examined with an emphasis on spatial structures at and around the tropopause. The contributions of in-situ observations of temperature and microwave and infrared radiances to the analyses are discussed, with some focus on the interplay between these types of observations. For a historical analysis (Merra) performed with GEOS-5, the impacts of changing observations on the assimilation system are examined in some detail - this documents some aspects of the time dependence of analysis that must be taken into account in the isolation of true geophysical trends. Finally, some sensitivities of the ozone analyses to input data and correlated errors between temperature and ozone are discussed.

Pawson, Steven↗

Health Monitoring Survey of Bell 412EP Transmissions

Health and usage monitoring systems (HUMS) use vibration-based Condition Indicators (CI) to assess the health of helicopter powertrain components. A fault is detected when a CI exceeds its threshold value. The effectiveness of fault detection can be judged on the basis of assessing the condition of actual components from fleet aircraft. The Bell 412 HUMS-equipped helicopter is chosen for such an evaluation. A sample of 20 aircraft included 12 aircraft with confirmed transmission and gearbox faults (detected by CIs) and eight aircraft with no known faults. The associated CI data is classified into "healthy" and "faulted" populations based on actual condition and these populations are compared against their CI thresholds to quantify the probability of false alarm and the probability of missed detection. Receiver Operator Characteristic analysis is used to optimize thresholds. Based on the results of the analysis, shortcomings in the classification method are identified for slow-moving CI trends. Recommendations for improving classification using time-dependent receiver-operator characteristic methods are put forth. Finally, lessons learned regarding OEM-operator communication are presented.

mechanical components↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-17943-DND

SAGE II used the solar occultation technique to measure atmospheric ozone for 21 years between 1984 and 2005 and has continued to play a key role in numerous international assessments. Traditionally, the determination of trends in ozone using SAGE II data has been done via time series analysis of monthly mean data within specific latitude bands. However, given the sparse sampling of SAGE II data, this will introduce temporal and/or spatial biases, particularly in the period after late 2000 when the instrument operated at half-duty cycle. Herein we present a new method for performing time series analysis of unevenly sampled data (in particular SAGE II); namely, we utilize the daily mean data and perform a simultaneous temporal and spatial analysis, making use of a Fourier series to constrain latitudinal variation. This methodology is applied to both the previous (v6.2) and current (v7.0) versions of the SAGE II data. Results are discussed that show the improvements to the data between versions 6.2 and 7.0 that make time series analysis produce reduced residuals as well as the preliminary results of the time series itself, which reveal some of the limitations in currently used proxies for the regression.

Robert P Damadeo↗

Changes in Vegetation Phenology and Productivity in Alaska Over the Past Two Decades

Understanding trends in vegetation phenology and growing season productivity at a regional scale is important for global change studies, particularly as linkages can be made between climate shifts and the vegetation’s potential to sequester or release carbon into the atmosphere. Trends and geographic patterns of change in vegetation growth and phenology from the MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite data sets were analyzed for the state of Alaska over the period 2000 to 2018. Phenology metrics derived from the MODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time-series at 250 m resolution tracked changes in the total integrated greenness cover (TIN), maximum annual NDVI (MAXN), and start of the season timing (SOST) date over the past two decades. SOST trends showed significantly earlier seasonal vegetation greening (at more than one day per year) across the northeastern Brooks Range Mountains, on the Yukon-Kuskokwim coastal plain, and in the southern coastal areas of Alaska. TIN and MAXN have increased significantly across the western Arctic Coastal Plain and within the perimeters of most large wildfires of the Interior boreal region that burned since the year 2000, whereas TIN and MAXN have decreased notably in watersheds of Bristol Bay and in the Cook Inlet lowlands of southwestern Alaska, in the same regions where earlier-trending SOST was also detected. Mapping results from this MODIS time-series analysis have identified a new database of localized study locations across Alaska where vegetation phenology has recently shifted notably, and where land cover types and ecosystem processes could be changing rapidly.

Vegetation↗