SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Monte Carlo method”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,027 records · Page 57

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2021

Computing the Paschen curve for argon with speed-limited particle-in-cell simulation

Upon inclusion of collisions, the speed-limited particle-in-cell (SLPIC) simulation method successfully computed the Paschen curve for argon. The 1D3V simulations modeled an electron cascade across an argon-filled capacitor, including electron-neutral ionization, electron-neutral elastic collisions, electron-neutral excitation, and ion-induced secondary electron emission. In electrical breakdown, the timescale difference between ion and electron motion makes traditional PIC methods computationally slow. To decrease this timescale difference and speed up computation, here we used SLPIC, a time-domain algorithm that limits the speed of the fastest electrons in the simulation. The SLPIC algorithm facilitates a straightforward, fully kinetic treatment of dynamics and collisions. SLPIC was as accurate as PIC, but ran up to 200 times faster. SLPIC accurately computed the Paschen curve for argon over three orders of magnitude in pressure.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Correlation effects on coupled electronic and structural properties of doped rare-earth trihydrides

Rare-earth trihydride (𝑅⁢H 3 ) compounds exhibit intriguing coupled electronic and structural properties as a function of doping, hydrogen vacancies, and thermodynamic conditions. Theoretical studies of these materials typically rely on density functional theory (DFT), including the use of small supercells that may underestimate strong correlation effects and structural distortions which in turn may influence their metallicity. Here, we elucidate the roles of lattice distortions and correlation effects on the electronic properties of pristine and doped 𝑅⁢H 3 compounds by adopting DFT +U and quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods. Linear-response constrained DFT (LR-cDFT) methods find Hubbard U ≈ 2 eV for 𝑅 𝑑 orbitals and U ≈ 6 eV for H 𝑠 ⁡/N 𝑝 /O 𝑝 orbitals. The small U on Lu 𝑑 orbitals is consistent with QMC calculations on LuH 3 and LuH 2.875 ⁢N 0.125 . In pure face-centered-cubic (FCC) 𝑅⁢H 3 (𝑅 = Lu,Y) compounds, neither DFT nor DFT +U with the self-consistently determined U is enough to create a band gap, however a supercell with hydrogen distortions creates a small gap whose magnitude increases when performing DFT +U with self-consistently determined U values. Furthermore, correlation effects, in turn, have a moderate influence on the coupled structural and electronic properties of doped 𝑅⁢H 3 compounds and may be important when considering the competition between structural distortions and superconductivity.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2021

An explicitly solvable energy-conserving algorithm for pitch-angle scattering in magnetized plasmas

In this work, we develop an Explicitly Solvable Energy-Conserving (ESEC) algorithm for the Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) describing the pitch-angle scattering process in magnetized plasmas. The Cayley transform is used to calculate both the deterministic gyromotion and stochastic scattering, affording the algorithm to be explicitly solvable and exactly energy conserving. An unusual property of the SDE for pitch-angle scattering is that its coefficients diverge at the zero velocity and do not satisfy the global Lipschitz condition. Consequently, when standard numerical methods, such as the Euler-Maruyama (EM), are applied, numerical convergence is difficult to establish. For the proposed ESEC algorithm, its energy-preserving property enables us to overcome this obstacle. We rigorously prove that the ESEC algorithm is order 1/2 strongly convergent. This result is confirmed by detailed numerical studies. For the case of pitch-angle scattering in a magnetized plasma with a constant magnetic field, the numerical solution is benchmarked against the analytical solution, and excellent agreements are found.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Improving Computational Efficiency of Prognostics Algorithms in Resource-Constrained Settings

In engineering and aerospace applications, it is vital to operational success to have insight into the expected performance and health of physical systems. The field of prognostics and health management provides quantitative methods for monitoring, predicting, and managing system health. Prognostics algorithms can be employed to assess the current state of a system, propagate the system throughout time, and predict potential anomalies or failures that may occur. While they can provide accurate prediction results, effective prognostics algorithms can be challenging to use in resource-constrained settings due to computational limitations and high computational latency, leading to obsolete predictions. Thus, computationally efficient and accurate algorithms are necessary for future remaining useful life predictions. In this work, we implement new algorithmic approaches for prediction, quantitatively compare them via a battery degradation use-case, and provide recommendations of potential improvements to a prognostics framework. One approach to prediction is through sampling, whereby the current state of a physical system is sampled many times and each sample is propagated forward until failure is reached, resulting in a distribution of failure values. To improve the efficiency of this process, we implemented five new algorithmic approaches to prediction, including three distinct sampling methods (standard Monte Carlo, Quasi-Monte Carlo, and Latin Hypercube Sampling), a variable time step algorithm, and a variable sample size algorithm. To compare the algorithms, we employ a variety of metrics designed specifically to analyze both computational efficiency and model accuracy. Our metrics include accuracy to compare the average predicted value to ground truth, mean absolute deviation to illustrate dispersion, specific percentile error to describe accuracy within a user-defined risk tolerance, and code run-time. To quantitatively analyze our results, we employ a use-case of degradation of a Lithium-ion battery. We use an electrochemistry-based model to describe the current health state of the battery, and implement our prediction algorithms to propagate forward in time until end-of-discharge (EOD) is reached. Notably, through this work it was found that none of our sampling approaches had a significant impact on computational efficiency or model accuracy in predicting EOD of the battery. We find that while the sampling methods are unique, the distributions they generate are similar, ultimately producing final predictions that are nearly identical. In exploring the effect of the time step within the prediction algorithm, we found that prediction accuracy was highly dependent on the time step used, and that implementing a variable time step within a particular prediction may provide an increase in computational efficiency while also maintaining prediction accuracy. Finally, implementing a variable sample size also affected prediction, and our results show that tuning both the magnitude and timing of the sample size adjustment can result in improved computation speed and maintained prediction accuracy. Taken together, our findings highlight the challenge of performing prognostics in resource-constrained settings, and illustrate the potential of developing new prediction algorithms to improve computational efficiency.

prognostics↗

DOE OSTI2021

An all-digital associated particle imaging system for the 3D determination of isotopic distributions

Associated particle imaging (API) is a non-destructive nuclear technique for the 3D determination of isotopic distributions. By detecting the alpha particle associated with the emitted neutron in the deuterium–tritium fusion reaction with a position- and time-resolving detector, the direction of the 14.1 MeV neutron and its time of emission can be determined. Employing this method, isotope characteristic gamma rays emitted in inelastic neutron scattering events can be correlated with the neutron interaction location. Here, an API system consisting of a sealed-type neutron generator, gamma detectors, and a position-sensitive alpha detector was designed, constructed, and characterized. The system was tested with common soil elements and shown to be sensitive to 12 C, 16 O, 28 Si, 27 Al, and 56 Fe. New aspects of our approach are the use of a yttrium–aluminum–perovskite scintillator, using a sapphire window instead of a fiber-optic faceplate for light transport to the photomultiplier, and the all-digital data acquisition system. We present a description of the system with simulations and experimental results that show a position resolution on the alpha detector of 1 mm, a depth resolution using a LaBr 3 detector of 6.2 cm, and an angular resolution of 4.5°. Additionally, we present single-element gamma response measurements for the elements mentioned above together with a comparison to Monte Carlo simulations (MCNP6).

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Scalable Risk Assessment of Rare Events in Power Systems With Uncertain Wind Generation and Loads

Risk assessment of rare events has become increasingly important in power system planning and operation with the increasing integration of renewable energy and the presence of system uncertainties. However, quantifying the risk posed by rare events via the traditional method, i.e., Monte Carlo sampling (MCS), incurs substantial computational expense stemming from the vast ensemble of power flow simulations. To accelerate the assessment, this paper proposes a Deep Neural Network (DNN)-kernelized vector-valued Gaussian Process (VVGP) approach with excellent computational efficiency while maintaining high accuracy. Consequently, serving as a surrogate model for the power flow solver, the DNN-kernelized VVGP enables significantly faster but accurate risk assessment compared to the power flow solver. The developed surrogate model evaluates low-order N - k events that contain more than 90% instances by adeptly capturing the topological features while the high-order N - k events are assessed via a power flow solver, thereby striking a balance between computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification accuracy. Moreover, the model incorporates a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier to resample concerning low-probability tail events to counteract the biases potentially introduced during the DNN-kernelized VVGP evaluations. Simulations conducted on the modified IEEE 24-bus, 118-bus, and European 1354-bus systems demonstrate that the proposed method maintains the accuracy benchmark set by MCS while significantly reducing computational demands in large-scale power systems as compared to other state-of-the-art methods.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Comparison of spherical harmonics method and discrete ordinates method for radiative transfer in a turbulent jet flame

Here, in this study, we systematically compared the accuracy and computational cost of two popular solution methods for the radiative transfer equation (RTE): the spherical harmonics method (P N ) and the discrete ordinates method (DOM). We first investigated convergence characteristics of different orders of P N and DOM in a series of 1D homogeneous configurations with varying optical thicknesses. Both solvers perform better for optically thicker cases. The accuracy of P N methods increases with its order, , but the gain in accuracy reduces with the increase in , i.e., improvement of P 7 over P 5 is less than that of P 3 over P 1 . This decreasing trend becomes more prominent as the optical thickness decreases. On the other hand, DOM’s accuracy increases almost linearly with the increase in the number of ordinates (or polar angles in this study) in all cases. While comparing the directional profile of radiative intensity, both solvers perform better when the radiative intensity is more isotropic. These solvers were then connected with a full spectrum k-distribution (FSK) spectral model and used to perform radiation-coupled simulations of a turbulent jet flame in an axi-symmetric cylindrical domain. Results obtained from P 1 to P 7 approximations for P N , and 2 x 4, 4 x 4, 4 x 8, 8 x 8 finite angles for DOM are compared with that from an optically thin model, and a reference solution from line-by-line (LBL) photon Monte Carlo (PMC) method. The choice of radiation solver shows a noticeable impact on the temperature distribution of the flame. The P N solvers lead to slightly higher radiant fractions and the DOM solvers lead to slightly lower radiant fractions than the PMC benchmark solution. Finally, the computational costs of each of these solvers are also reported and an intermittent evaluation / time blending scheme to improve the computational efficiency of radiation solvers in radiation-coupled simulations are also demonstrated.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bayesian inference of nuclear-matter density from proton scattering

Background: Proton elastic scattering at intermediate energy is widely employed as a tool for determining the matter radius of atomic nuclei. Here, the sensitivity of the approach relies on high-resolution measurements at small scattering angles and low-momentum transfer. Under these conditions, the Glauber multiple scattering theory accurately describes the proton-nucleus elastic cross section. Purpose: Investigate the sensitivity of the Glauber multiple scattering theory to uncertainties associated with input parameters such as the nuclear-matter density distribution and nucleon-nucleon data. Method: A joint Bayesian inference was performed using 12 angular distributions of elastic scattering at different energies on 58 Ni, 90 Zr, and 208 Pb targets. A Metropolis-Hastings algorithm was implemented to make an uncertainty quantification analysis for the input parameters used in the Glauber multiple scattering theory. Results: The experimental cross sections were fitted simultaneously using a joint Bayesian inference approach. Posterior probability density distributions of 42 input parameters were obtained from the analysis. A moderate correlation between the nuclear density parameters and the nucleon-nucleon cross sections was found. This correlation impacts the extraction of the nuclear-matter radius. Conclusions: The present analysis provided a consistent method for extracting the nuclear-matter density distribution of 58 Ni, 90 Zr, and 208 Pb from data across different incident energies. Due to the correlation of the nucleon-nucleon cross sections with the other input parameters, a constrained Bayesian inference using free nucleon-nucleon cross section data was performed. The nuclear-matter radii obtained from the analysis are in good agreement with multiple results reported in the literature.

190 ≤ A ≤ 219↗

NASA NTRS1989

Periodicity in extinction and the problem of catastrophism in the history of life

The hypothesis that extinction events have recurred periodically over the last quarter billion years is greatly strengthened by new data on the stratigraphic ranges of marine animal genera. In the interval from the Permian to Recent, these data encompass some 13,000 generic extinctions, providing a more sensitive indicator of species-level extinctions than previously used familial data. Extinction time series computed from the generic data display nine strong peaks that are nearly uniformly spaced at 26 Ma intervals over the last 270 Ma. Most of these peaks correspond to extinction events recognized in more detailed, if limited, biostratigraphic studies. These new data weaken or negate most arguments against periodicity, which have involved criticisms of the taxonomic data base, sampling intervals, chronometric time scales, and statistical methods used in previous analyses. The criticisms are reviewed in some detail and various new calculations and simulations, including one assessing the effects of paraphyletic taxa, are presented. Although the new data strengthen the case for periodicity, they offer little new insight into the deriving mechanism behind the pattern. However, they do suggest that many of the periodic events may not have been catastrophic, occurring instead over several stratigraphic stages or substages.

NASA Discipline Number 52-40↗

DOE OSTI2021

Volumetric recombination in EMC3-EIRENE: Implementation and first application to the pre-fusion power operation phase in ITER

An upgrade to the 3D plasma boundary model EMC3-EIRENE for detached divertor plasmas is introduced and evaluated. Stabilization of the iterative approximation of a self-consistent plasma–neutral gas solution is required at low divertor plasma temperatures, and this has been achieved by linearization of the energy loss term associated with the electron–neutral gas interaction. An implicit method for volumetric recombination has been implemented, which improves agreement with SOLPS-ITER results for the pre-fusion power operation phase in ITER. Resonant magnetic perturbations for control of edge localized modes are found to result in a partially detached divertor plasma with a significantly broader reduction of particle loads in the traditional strike zone, which is attributed to volumetric recombination. The additional non-axisymmetric far scrape-off layer strike points, on the other hand, remain attached at relatively high temperature so that volumetric recombination is not effective there.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2021

Optimizing the differential connection schemes for detecting 3D magnetic perturbations in DIII-D

Optimizing the differential pair connection scheme (i.e. the set of pairs) of a toroidal array of magnetic sensors dedicated to measuring slowly rotating asymmetric fields can enhance the mode number detection capability and failure-resilience. In this work the condition number obtained from singular value decomposition (SVD) of the design matrix is used as a metric to evaluate the quality of a connection scheme. A large number of possible pair connections are usually available, so evaluating all of them may require extensive use of computational resources and can be very time consuming. Alternative methods to reduce the number of pairs evaluated without losing the capabilities of toroidal mode detection are presented in this paper. Here, three examples of the applications of such analysis for the 3D magnetic diagnostic system of DIII-D are also presented: the addition of two new toroidal arrays with n > 3 detection capabilities, the modification of an existing toroidal array in the low field side of the machine to accommodate the addition of a helicon antenna, and the design of changes in several toroidal arrays in the high field side to accommodate the addition of a lower hybrid current drive antenna on the center post.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Polynomial-time preparation of low-temperature Gibbs states for two-dimensional toric code

In this work, we propose a polynomial-time algorithm for preparing the Gibbs state of the two-dimensional toric code Hamiltonian at any temperature, starting from any initial state, significantly improving upon prior estimates that suggested exponential scaling with inverse temperature. We prove that fast mixing at low temperature for the two-dimensional toric code can be achieved by augmenting local jump operators with simple global jump operators, which enable efficient transitions between logical sectors. To establish tight lower bounds on the spectral gap, we introduce a new reduction method that eventually maps the problem to estimating the spectral gap of a perturbed graph Laplacian on a stair graph. Our proof also shows that the Lindblad dynamics with a digitally implemented low-temperature local Davies generator is able to efficiently drive the quantum state toward the ground state manifold.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Thermodynamically consistent incorporation of the Langmuir adsorption model into compressible fluctuating hydrodynamics

For a gas–solid interfacial system where chemical species undergo reversible adsorption, we develop a mesoscopic stochastic modeling method that simulates both gas-phase hydrodynamics and surface coverage dynamics by coupling the Langmuir adsorption model with compressible fluctuating hydrodynamics. To this end, we derive a thermodynamically consistent mass–energy update scheme that accounts for how the mass and energy variables in the gas and surface subsystems should be updated according to the changes in the number of molecules of each species in each subsystem due to adsorption and desorption events. By performing a stochastic analysis for the ideal Langmuir model and the full hydrodynamic system, we analytically confirm that our mass–energy update scheme captures thermodynamic equilibrium predicted by equilibrium statistical mechanics. We find that an internal energy correction term is needed, which is attributed to the difference in the mean kinetic energy of gas molecules colliding with the surface from that computed from the Maxwell–Boltzmann distribution. By performing an equilibrium simulation study for an ideal gas mixture of CO and Ar, with CO undergoing reversible adsorption, we validate our overall simulation method and implementation.

Adsorption↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluation of current density measurement methods for high-current, low-beta electron beams

Recent current density measurements with a low-beta electron beam (β=0.5-0.75) are strongly affected by electron scatter and Cherenkov limits. These invasive measurements are heavily influenced by the electron energy and the intercepting material properties: density, index of refraction, and atomic number. We evaluate various measurement methods, including x-ray scintillation and Cherenkov emission. To optimize the x-ray scintillation technique for this energy regime, metal foils of differing atomic number (Z) and thickness were placed upstream of a scintillation screen. We have selected Cherenkov emitters, based on a material refractive index, in order to differentiate the contributions from electron scatter and produced fluorescence, Cherenkov emission, and total internal reflection. The observed distributions for both approaches are verified through MCNP6®. Additionally, the simulations provide insight as to what physical processes dominate the measured distribution. We conclude by determining the limits and optimal measurement range for each measurement technique.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Heat current fluctuations and anomalous transport in low-dimensional carbon lattices

Molecular dynamics simulations and methods of importance sampling are used to study the heat transport of low-dimensional carbon lattices. For both carbon nanotubes and graphene sheets, heat transport is found to be anomalous, violating Fourier’s law of conduction with a system size dependent thermal conductivity and concomitant nonlinear temperature profiles. For carbon nanotubes, the thermal conductivity is found to increase as the square root of the length of the nanotube, while for graphene sheets the thermal conductivity is found to increase as the logarithm of the length of the sheet over the system sizes considered. Furthermore, the particular length dependence and nonlinear temperature profiles place carbon lattices into a universality class with nonlinear lattice models, and suggest that heat transport through carbon nanostructures is better described by a Levy walk rather than simple diffusion.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2020

A Clustering-Based Scenario Generation Framework for Power Market Simulation with Wind Integration

A critical step in stochastic optimization models of power system analysis is to select a set of appropriate scenarios and significant numbers of scenario generation methods exist in the literature. This paper develops a clustering based scenario generation method, which aims to improve the performance of existing scenario generation techniques by grouping a set of correlated wind sites into clusters according to their cross-correlations. Copula based models are utilized to model spatiotemporal correlations and the Gibbs sampling is then used to generate scenarios for day-ahead markets. Our results show that the generated scenarios based on clustered wind sites outperform existing approaches in terms of reliability and sharpness and can reduce the total computational time for scenario generation and reduction significantly. The clustering-based framework can therefore provide a better support for real-world market simulations with high wind penetration.

data visualization↗

NASA NTRS2014

Optimizing Medical Kits for Spaceflight

The Integrated Medical Model (IMM) is a probabilistic model that estimates medical event occurrences and mission outcomes for different mission profiles. IMM simulation outcomes describing the impact of medical events on the mission may be used to optimize the allocation of resources in medical kits. Efficient allocation of medical resources, subject to certain mass and volume constraints, is crucial to ensuring the best outcomes of in-flight medical events. We implement a new approach to this medical kit optimization problem. METHODS We frame medical kit optimization as a modified knapsack problem and implement an algorithm utilizing a dynamic programming technique. Using this algorithm, optimized medical kits were generated for 3 different mission scenarios with the goal of minimizing the probability of evacuation and maximizing the Crew Health Index (CHI) for each mission subject to mass and volume constraints. Simulation outcomes using these kits were also compared to outcomes using kits optimized..RESULTS The optimized medical kits generated by the algorithm described here resulted in predicted mission outcomes more closely approached the unlimited-resource scenario for Crew Health Index (CHI) than the implementation in under all optimization priorities. Furthermore, the approach described here improves upon in reducing evacuation when the optimization priority is minimizing the probability of evacuation. CONCLUSIONS This algorithm provides an efficient, effective means to objectively allocate medical resources for spaceflight missions using the Integrated Medical Model.

Optimization↗

NASA NTRS2014

Mass and Volume Optimization of Space Flight Medical Kits

Resource allocation is a critical aspect of space mission planning. All resources, including medical resources, are subject to a number of mission constraints such a maximum mass and volume. However, unlike many resources, there is often limited understanding in how to optimize medical resources for a mission. The Integrated Medical Model (IMM) is a probabilistic model that estimates medical event occurrences and mission outcomes for different mission profiles. IMM simulates outcomes and describes the impact of medical events in terms of lost crew time, medical resource usage, and the potential for medically required evacuation. Previously published work describes an approach that uses the IMM to generate optimized medical kits that maximize benefit to the crew subject to mass and volume constraints. We improve upon the results obtained previously and extend our approach to minimize mass and volume while meeting some benefit threshold. METHODS We frame the medical kit optimization problem as a modified knapsack problem and implement an algorithm utilizing dynamic programming. Using this algorithm, optimized medical kits were generated for 3 mission scenarios with the goal of minimizing the medical kit mass and volume for a specified likelihood of evacuation or Crew Health Index (CHI) threshold. The algorithm was expanded to generate medical kits that maximize likelihood of evacuation or CHI subject to mass and volume constraints. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS In maximizing benefit to crew health subject to certain constraints, our algorithm generates medical kits that more closely resemble the unlimited-resource scenario than previous approaches which leverage medical risk information generated by the IMM. Our work here demonstrates that this algorithm provides an efficient and effective means to objectively allocate medical resources for spaceflight missions and provides an effective means of addressing tradeoffs in medical resource allocations and crew mission success parameters.

Monte Carlo Method↗