Learning Hard Lessons from Columbia Decisions
This is a short presentation on lessons learned from the decision-making process around the Columbia Accident. It draws upon material in the CAIB report and uses two NASA public video clips.
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This is a short presentation on lessons learned from the decision-making process around the Columbia Accident. It draws upon material in the CAIB report and uses two NASA public video clips.
We analyzed the material properties of low-density felts that are used as substrates for new-generation flexible and conformal carbon/phenolic ablators, and compared them with those of a rigid carbon fiber preform that is used to manufacture rigid carbon/phenolic ablators. Micro-tomography measurements were obtained using synchrotron X-rays, allowing the characterization of the materials microstructure at the scale of the fibers. Using the tomography voxels as computational grids, we computed tortuosity and room temperature conductivity. In addition we performed micro-scale simulations of the oxidation of carbon fibers using a random walk model for oxygen diffusion and a probability law to model surface reactions.
Mission success criteria at the device level and required device operation/availability can determine the risk posed by the radiation effects for a given device in a given environment, but rarely are the same from one mission to another. A large portion of New Space / SmallSat missions to date have benefitted from relatively short mission durations and chosen orbits that have less severe particle populations than their larger counterparts. As mission objectives grow and become reliant on their chosen devices operating for longer lives and in more harsh environments, requirements need to reflect the changing scope but not hinder design adoptions from previously successful missions that provide new capabilities. This presentation describes notable differences in radiation environments, the requirement changes that come with choice of orbit, and prioritizations for mission success criteria to be determined by the designers of the system and subsystems. Test methodologies based on radiation effect categories are explained briefly; when they are needed. Similarity data (and its limitations) are discussed so that caveats and short-comings are understood. Reliability and assurance quantification may not always be possible, but determining where risks are taken and how to classify them is the essential topic for the intended practice: to establish radiation requirements with the goal of getting to mission success.
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We develop methods for bounding part-to-part variation in TID data. When used in conjunction with statistical radiation environment models, these methods allow development of RHA that deliver estimated piece part reliability for any desired confidence level, moving beyond risk avoidance methodologies based on radiation design margin. Two methods are developed, and their results compared for realistic data.
We develop methods for bounding part-to-part variation in TID data. When used in conjunction with statistical radiation environment models, these methods allow development of RHA that deliver estimated piece part reliability for any desired confidence level, moving beyond risk avoidance methodologies based on radiation design margin. Two methods are developed, and their results compared for realistic data.
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Explore the source record for details and available documents.
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
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With the addition of the Space Fence (SFK) radar to the Space Surveillance Network (SSN), the NASA Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis (CARA) team now has access to radar cross-section (RCS) measurements for many Earth orbiting satellites. The CARA team has developed a process to estimate satellite sizes and masses from the SFK RCS measurement data. This study describes the processes used to filter the RCS data, defines the algorithms used to estimate satellite sizes and masses, and presents comparisons of estimated values against known nanosat sizes and masses.
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