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At least 1,027 records · Page 57

Sustainability and affordability of building electrification: A state-by-state holistic approach for multifamily buildings

This paper explores the evolving narrative of building electrification, considering its potential to solve climate change. Previous research has predominantly focused on hybrid renewable energy portfolios and increasing home pricing premiums, overlooking the perspectives of renters burdened by housing costs. Moreover, existing studies have primarily examined the effects of electrification on single-family homes and case studies, neglecting multifamily buildings and their relationship with the grid. This comprehensive study leverages calibrated building energy models to address these gaps and evaluates sustainability through carbon dioxide emissions and affordability through economic performance. The findings demonstrate significant progress in electrification since 2017, with nearly all states showing decreased energy usage in the electrified models. Environmentally, twenty-two states perform better or comparably with the electrified models in the most recent study. Economically, challenges persist, but a sensitivity analysis demonstrates how results could improve soon. Furthermore, the study discusses the outlook of electrified multifamily buildings, considering ongoing decarbonization plans for the electric grid. In three case studies, electrification demonstrates improvements in over half of the states by 2026. Overall, the research highlights the importance of expanding analysis to include multifamily buildings and emphasizes the positive impact of electrification as a viable energy, environmental, and economic solution.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Future integrated mobility-energy systems: A modeling perspective

After over a century of petroleum dominance, the transportation sector is on the verge of radical transformations driven by rapid technology advancement of alternative fuels, automation, information technologies that create new mobility options and business models, and policies at all levels of government. While the technologies and fuels that will move people and goods in the future remain uncertain, the future transportation system will be more integrated with smart buildings, the electric grid, renewables, and information ecosystems, allowing for great opportunities to exploit these interconnections. Modeling tools for analyzing integrated mobility-energy systems require a deep understanding of these interconnections, of the infrastructure required to support alternative fuel vehicles, and a more nuanced understanding of transportation energy needs across multiple segments and spatiotemporal scales. In this paper, we assess the landscape of existing tools used to represent and model future mobility systems and their interactions with other energy systems. Here, we conclude that (a) out-of-sample extrapolation of emerging trends and future anticipated developments is more important than ever due to the plethora of factors driving disruptive change in mobility systems; (b) understanding adoption opportunities for alternative fuel light-duty vehicles requires modeling intra-household decisions affecting travel demand and mode choice; (c) mobility and energy systems need to be modeled as an integrated continuum, breaking the traditional approach in which dynamic energy supply models use relatively simple transportation demand and vice-versa; and (d) increased spatiotemporal fidelity and scalability are required to dynamically couple transportation/mobility and energy supply models and capitalize on these unprecedented interconnection opportunities.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

All Hands On Deck: Raising the Bar on Whole Building Performance-Based Code Compliance and Above-Code Programs

In 2019 a large-scale national effort was launched with support from U.S. Department of Energy, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance (NEEA). The project aimed to develop a long-term vision and a roadmap for achieving a practical application of whole building performance-based code and above code program compliance in commercial buildings. The work was aided by engaging over 70 stakeholders across the country representing jurisdictions, above-code programs such as LEED and ENERGY STAR Multifamily Program, members of the ASHRAE Standard 90.1 and other Standard committees, IBPSA and software developers. The performance path requires whole building energy modeling and is gaining momentum. Many see it as the future of the commercial energy codes and the main pathway for achieving zero energy buildings. The paper describes the findings from a stakeholder survey funded by NEEA on the current state of performance-based path, its market penetration, trends, implementation practices and adoption challenges. It discusses the patterns revealed by experience of the states with decades-long history of performance-based compliance such as Florida and California and opportunities for taking advantage of the synergies between code and above-code programs. In addition, the paper provides an overview of the tools and resources developed as part of the effort including the compliance form for ASHRAE Standard 90.1 Section 11 and Appendix G, modeling submittal review manual, and modeler and reviewer qualification requirements. The tools and resources would help remove market barriers, deliver immediate benefits to jurisdictions and rating authorities, and achieve energy efficiency through whole-building performance path.

TSPR, Performance Based Complinace, Washington Sta↗

Semi-dynamical perturbations of unified dark energy

Linear cosmological perturbations of a large class of modified gravity and dark energy models can be unified in the effective field theory of cosmic acceleration, encompassing Horndeski scalar-tensor theories and beyond. The fully available model space inherent to this formalism cannot be constrained by measurements in the quasistatic small-scale regime alone. To facilitate the analysis of modifications from the concordance model beyond this limit, we introduce a semi-dynamical treatment extrapolated from the evolution of perturbations at a pivot scale of choice. At small scales, and for Horndeski theories, the resulting modifications recover a quasistatic approximation but account for corrections to it near the Hubble scale. For models beyond Horndeski gravity, we find that the velocity field and time derivative of the spatial metric potential can generally not be neglected, even in the small-scale limit. We test the semi-dynamical approximation against the linear perturbations of a range of dark energy and modified gravity models, finding good agreement between the two.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Experimental and data-driven characterization of window-induced air leakage in residential buildings

Windows contributes up to 40% of envelope heat losses and around 9% of total building energy consumption due to air leakage. In the U.S., 48 million homes still use single-pane windows. Although the U.S. has an estimated 1.4 billion windows in its building stock and about 24 million windows are installed annually, only around 29 million individual window replacements (∼2%) occur each year. To address this gap, this study generates empirical evidence by (1) evaluating the contribution of windows to whole-building air leakage in 20 residential buildings using blower door tests before and after window replacement and (2) assessing whether building and window characteristics influence the measured change. Most simulation studies assume that replacing windows not only lowers the U-factor but also reduces air leakage by 10–20%. However, this assumption lacks empirical validation, highlighting the need for experimental analysis of air leakage specifically associated with windows. Using blower door tests in accordance with ASTM E779–19, the results indicated an average reduction in air infiltration of 6.1% within the range of 0.5–19.30% across all buildings and no significant correlations were found between air leakage improvements and any building/window characteristics. This research aims to help homeowners, and energy modelers to provide empirical data on importance of upgrading to more energy-efficient windows, supporting energy-efficient building standards.

Air leakage↗

In-Situ Statistical Analysis of Autotune Simulation Data using Graphical Processing Units

Developing accurate building energy simulation models to assist energy efficiency at speed and scale is one of the research goals of the Whole-Building and Community Integration group, which is a part of Building Technologies Research and Integration Center (BTRIC) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). The aim of the Autotune project is to speed up the automated calibration of building energy models to match measured utility or sensor data. The workflow of this project takes input parameters and runs EnergyPlus simulations on Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility’s (OLCF) computing resources such as Titan, the world’s second fastest supercomputer. Multiple simulations run in parallel on nodes having 16 processors each and a Graphics Processing Unit (GPU). Each node produces a 5.7 GB output file comprising 256 files from 64 simulations. Four types of output data covering monthly, daily, hourly, and 15- minute time steps for each annual simulation is produced. A total of 270TB+ of data has been produced. In this project, the simulation data is statistically analyzed in-situ using GPUs while annual simulations are being computed on the traditional processors. Titan, with its recent addition of 18,688 Compute Unified Device Architecture (CUDA) capable NVIDIA GPUs, has greatly extended its capability for massively parallel data processing. CUDA is used along with C/MPI to calculate statistical metrics such as sum, mean, variance, and standard deviation leveraging GPU acceleration. The workflow developed in this project produces statistical summaries of the data which reduces by multiple orders of magnitude the time and amount of data that needs to be stored. These statistical capabilities are anticipated to be useful for sensitivity analysis of EnergyPlus simulations

accelerators↗

Energy Systems Process Modeling, Analysis, and Experiment Design [Slides]

This presentation is to be used in Feynman Center outreach discussions. It describes public information about some Los Alamos interests and activities in modeling and analysis in energy systems including carbon capture and direct air capture. In particular this addresses the CCSI2 project’s open-source toolkit and ongoing partnerships, as well as summarizing the published Feynman Center capability snapshot on direct air capture.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Preferential Acceleration of Heavy Ions in a Spontaneously Fragmenting Flare Current Sheet

We study the ion acceleration in a mesoscale, spontaneously fragmenting flare current sheet (SFCS) characterized by the presence of a plasmoid cascade. The main subject of our investigation is to determine whether and how plasmoid cascades at intermediate scales in a fragmented current sheet of a solar flare can impact the (preferential) acceleration of specific ions. The time evolution of the SFCS is obtained from high-resolution 2.5D MHD simulations. The ion trajectories (in the background fields resulting from the MHD model), energies, and pitch angles are calculated using a relativistic test-particle code based on the half-acceleration–rotation–half-acceleration method. For light ions, the main acceleration effects of electromagnetic fields within the SFCS are analyzed using the guiding center approximation. We identify regions with the most-efficient ion acceleration within the SFCS, the accelerator efficiency, and spectra of the accelerated ions. The influence of the charge-to-mass ratio on ion behavior is also studied and resulting ion abundances are compared with observational data. The main ion acceleration takes place in the regions with a strong polarization term, which is part of the first-order Fermi acceleration. Because the term is mass dependent, heavier ions undergo preferential acceleration. The ion energy spectra, abundance-enhancement factors, and differential fluxes, obtained from the model, exhibit power-law profiles, in agreement with observed solar energetic particle events. Nonetheless, the obtained slopes for the abundance-enhancement factor do not exactly match the observed data. The computed slopes and profiles are not sensitive to changes in the initial plasma temperature.

David Kramoliš↗

The Oak Ridge Competitive Electricity Dispatch (ORCED) Model Version 9

The Oak Ridge Competitive Electricity Dispatch (ORCED) model dispatches power plants in a region to meet the electricity demands for any single given year up to 2030. It uses publicly available sources of data describing electric power units such as the National Energy Modeling System and hourly demands from utility submittals to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission that are projected to a future year. The model simulates a single region of the country for a given year, matching generation to demands and predefined net exports from the region, assuming no transmission constraints within the region. ORCED can calculate a number of key financial and operating parameters for generating units and regional market outputs including average and marginal prices, air emissions, and generation adequacy. By running the model with and without changes such as generation plants, fuel prices, emission costs, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, distributed generation, or demand response, the marginal impact of these changes can be found.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Evaluation of Modeled and Measured Energy Savings in Existing All Electric Public Housing in the Pacific Northwest

This project analyzes the cost effectiveness of energy savings measures installed by a large public housing authority in Salishan, a community in Tacoma Washington. Research focuses on the modeled and measured energy usage of the first six phases of construction, and compares the energy usage of those phases to phase 7. Market-ready energy solutions were also evaluated to improve the efficiency of affordable housing for new and existing (built since 2001) affordable housing in the marine climate of Washington State.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Evaluation of Modeled and Measured Energy Savings in Existing All Electric Public Housing in the Pacific Northwest

This project analyzes the cost effectiveness of energy savings measures installed by a large public housing authority in Salishan, a community in Tacoma Washington. Research focuses on the modeled and measured energy usage of the first six phases of construction, and compares the energy usage of those phases to phase 7. Market-ready energy solutions were also evaluated to improve the efficiency of affordable housing for new and existing (built since 2001) affordable housing in the marine climate of Washington State.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

City and County Commercial Building Inventories

The Commercial Building Inventories provide modeled data on commercial building type, vintage, and area for each U.S. city and county. Please note this data is modeled and more precise data may be available through county assessors or other sources. Commercial building stock data is estimated using CoStar Realty Information, Inc. building stock data. This data is part of a suite of state and local energy profile data available at the "State and Local Energy Profile Data Suite" link below and builds on Cities-LEAP energy modeling, available at the "EERE Cities-LEAP Page" link below. Examples of how to use the data to inform energy planning can be found at the "Example Uses" link below.

Array↗

SIMWEST - A simulation model for wind energy storage systems

This paper describes a comprehensive and efficient computer program for the modeling of wind energy systems with storage. The level of detail of SIMWEST (SImulation Model for Wind Energy STorage) is consistent with evaluating the economic feasibility as well as the general performance of wind energy systems with energy storage options. The software package consists of two basic programs and a library of system, environmental, and control components. The first program is a precompiler which allows the library components to be put together in building block form. The second program performs the technoeconomic system analysis with the required input/output, and the integration of system dynamics. An example of the application of the SIMWEST program to a current 100 kW wind energy storage system is given.

Edsinger, R. W.↗

Development of a web-based screening tool for ground source heat pump applications

Ground source heat pump (GSHP) technology has great potential to help the nation meet its energy and decarbonization goals, but several barriers hinder the wide application of GSHP. Important barriers include the lack of a coherent toolset for analyzing the technical feasibility and economic viability of the GSHP application. The current design and analysis methods are ineffective and require significant expertise to apply. Although building energy modeling is increasingly important in designing buildings, the tools for GSHP modeling and simulation are lacking. A web-based free-to-use tool is being developed for quick techno-economic analysis of GSHP applications in nearly any building in the United States. This tool is enabled by improvements in the calculation methodology to allow rapid sizing of borehole configurations that provide significant cost savings. The screening tool currently uses US Department of Energy (DOE) prototype building models and an extended g-function library to size ground heat exchangers and simulate the performance of GSHP systems. The team is integrating with DOE's Oak Ridge National Laboratory's AutoBEM program to automatically create a building model based on user inputs. This paper introduces the structure, components, features, and results of the web-based screening tool for GSHP applications. Future directions for further developing the tool are also discussed.

Liu, Xiaobing↗

Effect of soot concentration on radiative transport in a 2 m JP-8 pool fire

Hubbard et al. (2024) investigated conjugate heat transfer in a 7.9 m JP-8 pool fire, utilizing both heavily sooting and non-sooting fuel models. Their findings indicated that all models produced pool radiative heat fluxes within the measurement uncertainty for large-scale outdoor experiments. This study aims to further investigate the influence of soot concentration on radiative transport. To this end, Large Eddy Simulations (LES) of a 2 m diameter JP-8 pool fire were conducted, employing four turbulent combustion chemistry models: the Eddy Dissipation Concept (EDC) and three variants of flamelet model. Additionally, three variations of the one-equation subgrid scale turbulence kinetic energy model, and multiple mesh resolutions were utilized. The primary validation metrics were pool radiative heat flux and plume radiative fraction, with simulation data compared to experimental results published by Blanchat et al. (2010). The EDC model produced high soot concentrations near the pool surface, resulting in a significant shielding effect. In contrast, the flamelet combustion model has different kinetic limiters for soot production, leading to soot formation higher in the flame, where it can be more readily oxidized. Flamelet models incorporating both acetylene and benzene contributions to soot growth demonstrated better agreement with experimental data. To assess the sensitivity of pool radiative heat flux to soot mass concentration, we used a one-dimensional approximation over a wide range of soot concentrations and compared it to three-dimensional solutions obtained using Discrete Ordinates. Furthermore, this analysis illustrates the impacts of soot shielding and Turbulence Radiation Interactions (TRI), with TRI emission enhancement factors predicted to be in the range of 3–5 near the edges of the plume.

Computational fluid dynamics↗

Daily Market Analysis Capability and Results

Nuclear energy plays an important role in the U.S. energy mix that will likely need to be maintained or strengthened to achieve significant greenhouse gas reduction. However, maintaining the nuclear portfolio becomes increasingly challenging in the current U.S. energy market since the low price of natural gas and the penetration of subsidized and low-marginal cost variable renewable electricity (VRE) are affecting the profitability of nuclear units. In this context, building new nuclear power plants will require increased competitiveness with reduced capital and O&M costs and increased revenues enabled by changes in market policies or increased flexible operation. Within the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Nuclear Energy, the System Analysis and Integration Campaign has been acquiring the capability to model energy market economics in order to assist decision makers and nuclear utilities. The methods developed and codes acquired are displayed in Figure 1. The objective of this report is to describe the tools acquired for market analysis, and to illustrate their capabilities and complementarities with an example of analysis.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗