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Assessing Edge Localized Mode (ELM) Mitigation by Pellet Triggering in Smallest-Possible Affordable Robust Compact (SPARC) Low-Collisionality Discharges

Simulations of pellet edge-localized mode (ELM) triggering with the M3D-C1 code confirmed experimentally observed pellet mass thresholds in low-collisionality DIII-D discharges and predicted extremely large thresholds in ITER. The linear (static) and nonlinear (dynamic) workflows developed in this previous work are now applied to the SPARC tokamak. Multiple synthetic equilibria for the high-performance H-mode scenario are tested for MHD stability without pellets using the linear workflow and ELITE simulations; a stable one is identified. Pellets of various mass are injected along an inboard, near-midplane trajectory in the M3D-C1 simulation. No pellet mass threshold for ELM triggering can be found for realistic pellet masses, concluding that fueling from this injection location would not trigger ELMs. A poloidal scan of possible injection locations shows very high thresholds on the high-field side and reasonable thresholds on the low-field-side (LFS). Based on results of this work the location for a LFS injection was finalized in the SPARC design. For this LFS injection the pellet mass threshold is determined using the linear workflow, aligning well with the poloidal scan.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Creep and fracture of dispersion-strengthened materials

The creep and fracture of dispersion strengthened materials is reviewed. A compilation of creep data on several alloys showed that the reported values of the stress exponent for creep varied between 3.5 and 100. The activation energy for creep exceeded that for lattice self diffusion in the matrix in the case of some materials and a threshold stress behavior was generally reported in these instances. The threshold stress is shown to be dependent on the interparticle spacing and it is significantly affected by the initial microstructure. The effect of particle size and the nature of the dispersoid on the threshold stress is not well understood at the present time. In general, most studies indicate that the microstructure after creep is similar to that before testing and very few dislocations are usually observed. It is shown that the stress acting on a dispersoid due to a rapidly moving dislocation can exceed the particle yield strength of the G sub p/1000, where G sub p is the shear modulus of the dispersoid. The case when the particle deforms is examined and it is suggested that the dislocation creep threshold stress of the alloy is equal to the yield strength of the dispersoid under these conditions. These results indicate that the possibility that the dispersoid creep threshold stress is determined by either the particle yield strength or the stress required to detach a dislocation from the dispersoid matrix interface. The conditions under which the threshold stress is influenced by one or the other mechanism are discussed and it is shown that the particle yield strength is important until the extent of dislocation core relaxation at the dispersoid matrix interface exceeds about 25 pct. depending on the nature of the particle matrix combination. Finally, the effect of grain boundaries and grain morphology on the creep and fracture behavior of dispersoid strengthened alloys is examined.

Raj, Sai V.↗

Visual sensitivity to spatially sampled modulation in human observers

Thresholds were measured for detecting spatial luminance modulation in regular lattices of visually discrete dots. Thresholds for modulation of a lattice are generally higher than the corresponding threshold for modulation of a continuous field, and the size of the threshold elevation, which depends on the spacing of the lattice elements, can be as large as a one log unit. The largest threshold elevations are seen when the sample spacing is 12 min arc or greater. Theories based on response compression cannot explain the further observation that the threshold elevations due to spatial sampling are also dependent on modulation frequency: the greatest elevations occur with higher modulation frequencies. The idea that this is due to masking of the modulation frequency by the spatial frequencies in the sampling lattice is considered.

Mulligan, Jeffrey B.↗

Combining Speed Information Across Space

We used speed discrimination tasks to measure the ability of observers to combine speed information from multiple stimuli distributed across space. We compared speed discrimination thresholds in a classical discrimination paradigm to those in an uncertainty/search paradigm. Thresholds were measured using a temporal two-interval forced-choice design. In the discrimination paradigm, the n gratings in each interval all moved at the same speed and observers were asked to choose the interval with the faster gratings. Discrimination thresholds for this paradigm decreased as the number of gratings increased. This decrease was not due to increasing the effective stimulus area as a control experiment that increased the area of a single grating did not show a similar improvement in thresholds. Adding independent speed noise to each of the n gratings caused thresholds to decrease at a rate similar to the original no-noise case, consistent with observers combining an independent sample of speed from each grating in both the added- and no-noise cases. In the search paradigm, observers were asked to choose the interval in which one of the n gratings moved faster. Thresholds in this case increased with the number of gratings, behavior traditionally attributed to an input bottleneck. However, results from the discrimination paradigm showed that the increase was not due to observers' inability to process these gratings. We have also shown that the opposite trends of the data in the two paradigms can be predicted by a decision theory model that combines independent samples of speed information across space. This demonstrates that models typically used in classical detection and discrimination paradigms are also applicable to search paradigms. As our model does not distinguish between samples in space and time, it predicts that discrimination performance should be the same regardless of whether the gratings are presented in two spatial intervals or two temporal intervals. Our last experiment largely confirmed this prediction.

Verghese, Preeti↗

Combining Speed Information Across Space

We used speed discrimination tasks to measure the ability of observers to combine speed information from multiple stimuli distributed across space. We compared speed discrimination thresholds in a classical discrimination paradigm to those in an uncertainty/search paradigm. Thresholds were measured using a temporal two-interval forced-choice design. In the discrimination paradigm, the n gratings in each interval all moved at the same speed and observers were asked to choose the interval with the faster gratings. Discrimination thresholds for this paradigm decreased as the number of gratings increased. This decrease was not due to increasing the effective stimulus area as a control experiment that increased the area of a single grating did not show a similar improvement in thresholds. Adding independent speed noise to each of the n gratings caused thresholds to decrease at a rate similar to the original no-noise case, consistent with observers combining an independent sample of speed from each grating in both the added- and no-noise cases. In the search paradigm, observers were asked to choose the interval in which one of the n gratings moved faster. Thresholds in this case increased with the number of gratings, behavior traditionally attributed to an input bottleneck. However, results from the discrimination paradigm showed that the increase was not due to observers' inability to process these gratings. We have also shown that the opposite trends of the data in the two paradigms can be predicted by a decision theory model that combines independent samples of speed information across space. This demonstrates that models typically used in classical detection and discrimination paradigms are also applicable to search paradigms. As our model does not distinguish between samples in space and time, it predicts that discrimination performance should be the same regardless of whether the gratings are presented in two spatial intervals or two temporal intervals. Our last experiment largely confirmed this prediction.

Verghese, Preeti↗

NASA GRC and MSFC Space-Plasma Arc Testing Procedures

Tests of arcing and current collection in simulated space plasma conditions have been performed at the NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) in Cleveland, Ohio, for over 30 years and at the Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) in Huntsville, Alabama, for almost as long. During this period, proper test conditions for accurate and meaningful space simulation have been worked out, comparisons with actual space performance in spaceflight tests and with real operational satellites have been made, and NASA has achieved our own internal standards for test protocols. It is the purpose of this paper to communicate the test conditions, test procedures, and types of analysis used at NASA GRC and MSFC to the space environmental testing community at large, to help with international space-plasma arcing-testing standardization. To be discussed are: 1.Neutral pressures, neutral gases, and vacuum chamber sizes. 2. Electron and ion densities, plasma uniformity, sample sizes, and Debuy lengths. 3. Biasing samples versus self-generated voltages. Floating samples versus grounded. 4. Power supplies and current limits. Isolation of samples from power supplies during arcs. 5. Arc circuits. Capacitance during biased arc-threshold tests. Capacitance during sustained arcing and damage tests. Arc detection. Prevention sustained discharges during testing. 6. Real array or structure samples versus idealized samples. 7. Validity of LEO tests for GEO samples. 8. Extracting arc threshold information from arc rate versus voltage tests. 9. Snapover and current collection at positive sample bias. Glows at positive bias. Kapon (R) pyrolisis. 10. Trigger arc thresholds. Sustained arc thresholds. Paschen discharge during sustained arcing. 11. Testing for Paschen discharge threshold. Testing for dielectric breakdown thresholds. Testing for tether arcing. 12. Testing in very dense plasmas (ie thruster plumes). 13. Arc mitigation strategies. Charging mitigation strategies. Models. 14. Analysis of test results. Finally, the necessity of testing will be emphasized, not to the exclusion of modeling, but as part of a complete strategy for determining when and if arcs will occur, and preventing them from occurring in space.

Ferguson, Dale C.↗

NASA GRC and MSFC Space-Plasma Arc Testing Procedures

Tests of arcing and current collection in simulated space plasma conditions have been performed at the NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) in Cleveland, Ohio, for over 30 years and at the Marshall Space flight Center (MSFC) for almost as long. During this period, proper test conditions for accurate and meaningful space simulation have been worked out, comparisons with actual space performance in spaceflight tests and with real operational satellites have been made, and NASA has achieved our own internal standards for test protocols. It is the purpose of this paper to communicate the test conditions, test procedures, and types of analysis used at NASA GRC and MSFC to the space environmental testing community at large, to help with international space-plasma arcing testing standardization. To be discussed are: 1. Neutral pressures, neutral gases, and vacuum chamber sizes. 2. Electron and ion densities, plasma uniformity, sample sizes, and Debye lengths. 3. Biasing samples versus self-generated voltages. Floating samples versus grounded. 4. Power supplies and current limits. Isolation of samples from power supplies during arcs. Arc circuits. Capacitance during biased arc-threshold tests. Capacitance during sustained arcing and damage tests. Arc detection. Preventing sustained discharges during testing. 5. Real array or structure samples versus idealized samples. 6. Validity of LEO tests for GEO samples. 7. Extracting arc threshold information from arc rate versus voltage tests. 8 . Snapover and current collection at positive sample bias. Glows at positive bias. Kapton pyrolization. 9. Trigger arc thresholds. Sustained arc thresholds. Paschen discharge during sustained arcing. 10. Testing for Paschen discharge thresholds. Testing for dielectric breakdown thresholds. Testing for tether arcing. 11. Testing in very dense plasmas (ie thruster plumes). 12. Arc mitigation strategies. Charging mitigation strategies. Models. 13. Analysis of test results. Finally, the necessity of testing will be emphasized, not to the exclusion of modeling, but as part of a complete strategy for determining when and if arcs will occur, and preventing them from occurring in space.

Ferguson, Dale C.a↗

Detecting Falling Snow from Space

There is an increased interest in detecting and estimating the amount of falling snow reaching the Earth's surface in order to fully capture the atmospheric water cycle. An initial step toward global spaceborne falling snow algorithms includes determining the thresholds of detection for various active and passive sensor channel configurations, snow event cloud structures and microphysics, snowflake particle electromagnetic properties, and surface types. In this work, cloud resolving model simulations of a lake effect and synoptic snow event were used to determine the minimum amount of snow (threshold) that could be detected by the following instruments: the W -band radar of CloudSat, Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) Ku and Ka band, and the GPM Microwave Imager (GMI) channels from 10 to 183 plus or minus 7 GHz. Eleven different snowflake shapes were used to compute radar reflectivities and passive brightness temperatures. Notable results include: (1) the W-Band radar has detection thresholds more than an order of magnitude lower than the future GPM sensors, (2) the cloud structure macrophysics influences the thresholds of detection for passive channels, (3) the snowflake microphysics plays a large role in the detection threshold for active and passive instruments, (4) with reasonable assumptions, "the passive 166 GHz channel has detection threshold values comparable to the GPM DPR Ku and Ka band radars with approximately 0.05 g per cubic meter detected at the surface, or an approximately 0.5-1 millimeter per hr. melted snow rate (equivalent to 0.5-2 centimeters per hr. solid fluffy snowflake rate). With detection levels of falling snow known, we can focus current and future retrieval efforts on detectable storms and concentrate advances on achievable results. We will also have an understanding of the light snowfall events missed by the sensors and not captured in the global estimates.

Gail Skofronick-Jackson↗

Low Count and Background Radionuclides Analysis - 20488

The US Department of Energy (DOE) is often faced with the need to evaluate radionuclides at low concentrations. When site sample data are likely to be close to threshold activity concentrations of interest, then the means by which the radiochemical analysis is performed and reported is critical. This situation can occur when differentiating from zero (presence/absence) for radionuclides that do not occur naturally, close comparison with environmental background for naturally occurring radionuclides, close comparison with a risk- or dose-based threshold concentrations of interest, or even comparisons across studies. There are several analytical issues that are of concern, but the two that appear to cause incorrect decisions to be made most often involve establishing detection limits and subtracting ambient background conditions in the laboratory. These issues are not critical when radionuclide activity concentrations are large relative to thresholds of concern, but they seem to be poorly understood when it matters. When the comparisons are important and are likely to be close to a threshold of interest, then the general contract with the analytical laboratories needs to be changed so that the right or appropriate data are obtained. The concern is that important decisions are made incorrectly more often as greater scrutiny is placed on DoE's radionuclide cleanup or monitoring decisions by the public and other stakeholders. Examples are presented of problems that have been observed for different projects, both within and outside the realm of DOE and NRC remediation and radioactive waste disposal problems, and solutions are offered that should lead to better data from which important decisions need to be made. The first example is from Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) and involves radionuclide concentrations in soil and rock beneath LANL's Material Disposal Area (MDA) G. An initial review of the data led to a conclusion that americium and plutonium are a long way present beneath MDA G. A more thorough review of the data that accounted properly for ambient background and the detection limits that had been established led to the opposite conclusion. Another example is from the Nevada National Security Site where tritium results from one of the wells were unexpectedly high. Proper understanding and analysis of ambient background led to the conclusion that the increased concentrations were not so obvious, and that a different contract with the analytical laboratory was needed to provide more appropriate data to support a better determination. Other examples are used from regulatory review of projects in Nevada, where background levels and secular equilibrium for naturally occurring radionuclides are not established correctly because of analytical issues. The same basic issues have also been found to create difficulties analyzing historical data from the West Valley Demonstration Project. There is evidence in the data that the apparent lack of secular equilibrium where it is expected to exist is related to ambient background subtraction or other analytical issues. A final example is presented for analysis of Tc-99 in samples of depleted uranium. In this case, two different studies that were performed only three months apart provide quite different results. The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) established the data quality objectives (DQO) process in the mid-1980's to establish decision performance criteria for data collection. EPA guidance (EPA G-4, for example) clearly distinguishes between DQOs and measurement performance objectives (MQOs) that should be addressed for laboratory analysis of samples. The language of DQOs and MQOs has become confused over time it seems, and the subsequent effects seem to include a lack of attention to decision performance and a routine approach to measurement quality. In order to better address radionuclide sample analysis when the concentrations are close to thresholds of concern, which might be zero for some radionuclides, background for others, and risk-based thresholds for yet others, it is important that routine laboratory analysis methods are adjusted, and that the project team and the laboratory work closely together to ensure that the data meets the MQO requirements of laboratory analysis and reporting of results, and that the MQOs effectively support project-specific DQOs. This basic approach will be applied in Los Alamos in the coming year to the collection of moisture data from underneath MDA T that will be analyzed for americium and neptunium isotopes. Proper understanding of the radiochemistry methods and reporting, and of appropriate statistical methods is critical to the success of such projects, ensuring that the right decisions are made. (authors)

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

An Algorithm for Atom-Centered Lossy Compression of the Atomic Orbital Basis in Density Functional Theory Calculations

Large atomic-orbital (AO) basis sets of at least triple and preferably quadruple-ζ (QZ) size are required to adequately converge Kohn–Sham density functional theory (DFT) calculations toward the complete basis set limit. However, incrementing the cardinal number by one nearly doubles the AO basis dimension, and the computational cost scales as the cube of the AO dimension, so this is very computationally demanding. Here, in this work, we develop and test a threshold-based natural atomic orbital (NAO) scheme in which ϵ-NAOs are obtained as eigenfunctions of atomic blocks of the density matrix in a one-center orthogonalized representation. This enables compression of the AO basis that is optimal for a given threshold, 10 –ϵ , by discarding NAOs with occupation numbers below that threshold. Extensive pilot test calculations using the Hartree–Fock functional and taking the converged density matrix as input suggest that a threshold of 10 –5 can yield a compression factor (ratio of AO to compressed ϵ-NAO dimension) between 2.5 and 4.5 for the QZ pc-3 basis. The errors in relative energies are typically less than 0.1 kcal/mol when the compressed basis is used instead of the uncompressed basis. Between 10 and 100 times smaller errors (i.e., usually less than 0.01 kcal/mol) can be obtained with a threshold 10 –7 , while the compression factor is typically between 2 and 2.5.

basis sets↗

Hot or Not? An Evaluation of Methods for Identifying Hot Moments of Nitrous Oxide Emissions From Soils

Abstract Effectively quantifying hot moments of nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions from agricultural soils is critical for managing this potent greenhouse gas. However, we are challenged by a lack of standard approaches for identifying hot moments, including (a) determining thresholds above which emissions are considered hot moments, and (b) considering seasonal variation in the magnitude and frequency distribution of net N 2 O fluxes. We used one year of hourly N 2 O flux measurements from 16 autochambers that varied in flux magnitude and frequency distribution in a conventionally tilled maize field in central Illinois, USA, to compare three approaches to identify hot moment thresholds: standard deviations (SD) above the mean, 1.5x the interquartile range (IQR), and isolation forest (IF) identification of anomalous values. We also compared these approaches on seasonally subdivided data (early, late, and non‐growing seasons) versus the whole year. Our analyses revealed that 1.5x IQR method best identified N 2 O hot moments. In contrast, using 2 or 4 SD both yielded hot moment threshold values too high, and IF yielded threshold values too low, leading to missed N 2 O hot moments or low net N 2 O fluxes mischaracterized as hot moments, respectively. Furthermore, seasonally subdividing the data set not only facilitated identification of smaller hot moments in the late‐ and non‐growing seasons when N 2 O hot moments were generally smaller but it also increased hot moment threshold values in the early growing season when N 2 O hot moments were larger. Consequently, of the methods evaluated here, we recommend using the 1.5x IQR method on whole year data sets to identify N 2 O hot moments.

Stuchiner, Emily R. [Institute for Sustainability,↗

Resonant two-photon photoelectron imaging and adiabatic detachment processes from bound vibrational levels of dipole-bound states

Anions cannot have Rydberg states, but anions with polar neutral cores can support highly diffuse dipole-bound states (DBSs) as a class of interesting electronically excited states below the electron detachment threshold. The binding energies of DBSs are extremely small, ranging from a few to few hundred wavenumbers and generally cannot support bound vibrational levels below the detachment threshold. Thus, vibrational excitations in the DBS are usually above the electron detachment threshold and they have been used to conduct resonant photoelectron spectroscopy, which is dominated by state-specific autodetachment. Here we report an investigation of a cryogenically-cooled complex anion, the enantiopure (R)-(–)-1-(9-anthryl)-2,2,2-trifluoroethanolate (R-TFAE–). The neutral R-TFAE radical is relatively complex and highly polar with a non-planar structure (C 1 symmetry). Photodetachment spectroscopy reveals a DBS 209 cm–1 below the detachment threshold of R-TFAE– and seven bound and eight above-threshold vibrational levels of the DBS. Resonant two-photon detachment (R2PD) via the bound vibrational levels of the DBS exhibits strictly adiabatic photodetachment behaviors by the second photon, in which the vibrational energies in the DBS are carried to the neutral final states, because of the parallel potential energy surfaces of the DBS and the corresponding neutral ground electronic state. Relaxation processes from the bound DBS levels to the ground and low-lying electronically excited states of R-TFAE– are also observed in the R2PD photoelectron spectra. Finally, the combination of photodetachment and resonant photoelectron spectroscopy yields frequencies for eight vibrational modes of the R-TFAE radical.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Nonlinear electrical transport near the metal–insulator transition in V 4 O 7 thin films

Nonlinear electrical transport associated with correlated electronic states has been widely investigated in transition-metal oxides near metal–insulator transitions. Here, in this study, we investigate nonlinear transport and threshold switching in sputter-deposited V 4 O 7 thin films grown on fused silica substrates. Temperature-dependent transport measurements show a metal–insulator transition near 240 K with negligible thermal hysteresis, defining the temperature scale that governs the nonlinear electrical response. Current–voltage measurements reveal reproducible bipolar threshold switching over a broad temperature range, with the threshold voltage decreasing systematically as the transition temperature is approached. Electrothermal finite-element simulations reproduce the measured switching characteristics and show that switching occurs when localized Joule heating drives a confined region of the device toward the transition temperature. The simulated peak local temperature at threshold lies close to the intrinsic metal–insulator transition temperature of V 4 O 7 , establishing that the nonlinear electrical response originates from electrothermal feedback acting on the strongly temperature-dependent conductivity near the transition. These results identify V 4 O 7 thin films as a model correlated-oxide system in which volatile threshold switching emerges from proximity to an extended metal–insulator transition.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Drift kinetic theory of the NTM magnetic islands in a finite beta general geometry tokamak plasma

In (Imada et al 2019 Nucl. Fusion 59 046016 and references therein) a new 4D drift kinetic nonlinear theory, valid in the limit of a low beta, small inverse aspect ratio, circular cross section, toroidal geometry, to describe the plasma response to the neoclassical tearing mode (NTM) magnetic perturbation is derived. In (Dudkovskaia et al 2021 Plasma Phys. Control. Fusion 63 054001) this theory is reduced in a low collisionality limit, which allows a dimensionality reduction to a 3D problem to efficiently resolve the collisional dissipation layer in the vicinity of the trapped-passing boundary. (Dudkovskaia et al 2021 Plasma Phys. Control. Fusion 63 054001) adopts an improved model for the magnetic drift frequency, which reduces the threshold magnetic island half-width from $8.73\rho_{b i}$, where $\rho_{b i}$ is the trapped ion banana orbit width, to $1.46 \rho_{b i}$, making it in closer agreement with experimental observations for the large aspect ratio tokamak equilibrium. In the present paper, the theory is extended to a high beta, arbitrary tokamak geometry to capture the plasma shaping effects on the NTM threshold physics with the focus on the non-zero triangularity discharges that are known to have a strong impact on the plasma MHD stability. First, it is found that the higher triangularity plasma is more prone to NTMs which is in agreement with the 2/1 tearing mode onset relative frequency measurements in DIII-D. Second, the NTM threshold dependence on the tokamak inverse aspect ratio obtained in (Dudkovskaia et al 2021 Plasma Phys. Control. Fusion 63 054001) is refined and extended to a finite aspect ratio limit. Third, the NTM threshold dependence on poloidal beta is obtained and benchmarked against the EAST threshold island width measurements.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A Step-Down Test Procedure for Wavelet Shrinkage Using Bootstrapping

Wavelet thresholding (or shrinkage) attempts to remove the noises existing in the signals while preserving inherent pattern characteristics in the reconstruction of true signals. For data-denoising purpose, we present a new wavelet thresholding procedure which employs the step-down testing idea of identifying active contrasts in unreplicated fractional factorial experiments. The proposed method employs bootstrapping methods to a step-down test for thresholding wavelet coefficients. By introducing the concept of a false discovery error rate in testing wavelet coefficients, we shrink the wavelet coefficients with p -values higher than the error rate. The error rate controls the expected proportion of wrongly accepted coefficients among chosen wavelet coefficients. Bootstrap samples are used to approximate the p -value for computational efficiency. We also present some guidelines for selecting the values of hyper-parameters which affect the performance in the step-down thresholding procedure. Based on some common testing signals and an air-conditioner sounds example, the comparison of our proposed procedure with other thresholding methods in the literature is performed. The analytical results show that the proposed procedure has a potential in data-denoising and data-reduction in a variety of signal reconstruction applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

URC/HRC Selection Guidance

Given the importance of the URC and HRC thresholds as part of a physical security program that is designed to protect against radiological sabotage, it is important to provide guidance on how to assign those thresholds consistent with a State’s level of risk tolerance. Without such guidance, most States will be challenged to establish appropriate thresholds or appropriately establish regulations. This document provides guidance on establishing dose limits and where they apply, as well as the timeframe for which the dose limits should be measured. For dose limits, it offers examples of established thresholds based on safety and emergency response thresholds. Whereas, for timeframes, a process to identify possible timeframes is offered.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Techniques for Informing Select Agent Designation and Decision Making

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Select Agent Program establishes a list of biological agents and toxins that potentially threaten public health and safety, the procedures governing the possession, utilization, and transfer of those agents, and training requirements for entities working with them. Every 2 years the Program reviews the select agent list, utilizing subject matter expert (SME) assessments to rank the agents. In this study, we explore the applicability of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques and logic tree analysis to support the CDC Select Agent Program biennial review process, applying the approach broadly to include non-select agents to evaluate its generality. We conducted a literature search for over 70 pathogens against 15 criteria for assessing public health and bioterrorism risk and documented the findings for archiving. The most prominent data gaps were found for aerosol stability and human infectious dose by inhalation and ingestion routes. Technical review of published data and associated scoring recommendations by pathogen-specific SMEs was found to be critical for accuracy, particularly for pathogens with very few known cases, or where proxy data (e.g., from animal models or similar organisms) were used to address data gaps. Analysis of results obtained from a two-dimensional plot of weighted scores for difficulty of attack (i.e., exposure and production criteria) vs. consequences of an attack (i.e., consequence and mitigation criteria) provided greater fidelity for understanding agent placement compared to a 1-to-n ranking and was used to define a region in the upper right-hand quadrant for identifying pathogens for consideration as select agents. A sensitivity analysis varied the numerical weights attributed to various properties of the pathogens to identify potential quantitative (x and y) thresholds for classifying select agents. The results indicate while there is some clustering of agent scores to suggest thresholds, there are still pathogens that score close to any threshold, suggesting that thresholding “by eye” may not be sufficient. The sensitivity analysis indicates quantitative thresholds are plausible, and there is good agreement of the analytical results with select agent designations. A second analytical approach that applied the data using a logic tree format to rule out pathogens for consideration as select agents arrived at similar conclusions.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Inactivation of Fluorescent Lipid Bilayers by Irradiation With 300 keV Electrons Using Liquid Cell Transmission Electron Microscopy

Liquid cell transmission electron microscopy allows for imaging of samples in a fully hydrated state at high resolution and has the potential for visualizing static or dynamic biological structures. However, the ionizing nature of the electron beam makes it difficult to discern real physiological dynamics from radiation induced artifacts within liquid cell samples. Electron flux thresholds for achieving high resolution structures from biological samples frozen in ice have been described extensively by the cryo-electron microscopy field, while electron flux thresholds which do not result in a functional change for biological samples within the hydrated environment of a transmission electron microscope liquid cell is less clear. Establishing these functional thresholds for biologically relevant samples is important for accurate interpretation of results from liquid cell experiments. Here we demonstrate the electron damage threshold of fluorescently tagged lipid bilayers by quantifying the change in fluorescence before and after electron exposure. We observe the reduction of fluorescent signal in bilayers by 25% after only 0.0005 e − /Å 2 and a reduction of over 90% after 0.01 e − /Å 2 . These results indicate that the loss of function occurs at irradiation thresholds far below a typical single high resolution (scanning) transmission electron microscopy image and orders of magnitude below fluxes used for preserving structural features with cryo-electron microscopy.

Moser, Trevor↗