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At least 1,009 records · Page 56

Understanding Space Weather: The Sun as a Variable Star

The Sun is a complex system of systems and until recently, less than half of its surface was observable at any given time and then only from afar. New observational techniques and modeling capabilities are giving us a fresh perspective of the solar interior and how our Sun works as a variable star. This revolution in solar observations and modeling provides us with the exciting prospect of being able to use a vastly increased stream of solar data taken simultaneously from several different vantage points to produce more reliable and prompt space weather forecasts. Solar variations that cause identifiable space weather effects do not happen only on solar-cycle timescales from decades to centuries; there are also many shorter-term events that have their own unique space weather effects and a different set of challenges to understand and predict, such as flares, coronal mass ejections, and solar wind variations.

Sun: Corona↗

The Sun and the Solar Wind Close to the Sun

The structure of the solar corona is directly reflected in the structure of the solar wind. But, the importance of this simple observation to coronal modeling has become much greater with the arrival of results from Ulysses and SOHO. High speed wind is relatively smooth and uniform (Ulysses) but the coronal holes from which it comes contain highly filamented flows that expand in area by factors of two to sevenfold between the solar surface and 10 solar radii (SOHO). Different models of the relationship between solar and interplanetary magnetic fields produce similar predictions and are still being reconciled. Slow wind seems to come from the boundaries of streamers (Ulysses) by a process which is even less well understood. Again, there are different ideas for the leakage of slow wind from streamers but these models are quickly becoming highly constrained by new data on composition in the core and boundaries of streamers (SOHO). Perhaps the most significant conclusion is that there is a changing paradigm for the processes governing solar wind acceleration and energy flow, one that requires the presence of filamented, energetic, transient flows in a low-beta plasma close to the Sun that become mixed to produce the evolving turbulent MHD plasma that Is observed in the interplanetary medium.

Suess, S. T.↗

Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite attitude disturbances during shadow entry and exit

The Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS), as with the Landsat-4 and Landsat-5 spacecraft, experiences large attitude disturbances when entering and exiting the Earth's shadow. Previous investigations have provided some evidence linking these disturbances to rapid bending of the solar array but have also raised questions. For example, the magnitudes of the roll attitude disturbances have shown an unmolested asymmetry, and the timing of the disturbances at sunrise appears to disagree with the modeled timing. A better understanding of this phenomenon is important in assessing the implications for UARS science gathering and for future mission design analysis. To this end, UARS attitude, sensor, and actuator data are used to evaluate the disturbances as they vary with solar beta angle and solar array drive angle. The attitude data are examined during specific periods of interest, such as the month in which the solar array was parked in its high-noon position, and are also tracked from the beginning of the mission to determine any trends that may result from changing mass properties due to cryogen boiloff and propellant usage. Attitude rate and torque profiles are derived from inertial reference until data and related to the disturbances seen in the attitude data. The timing of the disturbances with respect to spacecraft sunset and sunrise is characterized to allow event predictions. Stability during the disturbances is discussed in terms of science instrument requirements. Finally, the results are compared with the behavior predicted by models that are based on solar array bending.

Lambertson, M.↗

High temperatures in the early solar nebula

One fundamental controversy about terrestrial planet and asteroid formation is the discrepancy between meteoritical evidence for high temperatures (1500 to 2000 K) in the inner solar nebula, and much lower theoretical temperature predictions on the basis of models of viscous accretion disks that neglect compressional heating of infalling gas. It is shown here that rigorous numerical calculations of the collapse of a rotating, three-dimensional presolar nebula are capable of producing temperatures on the order of 1500 K in the asteroid region (2.5 astronomical units), in either nearly axisymmetric or strongly nonaxisymmetric nebula models. The latter models may permit significant thermal cycling of solid components in the early inner solar nebula.

Boss, Alan P.↗

The temporal evolution of the 1-5 micron spectrum of V1974 CYGNI (Nova Cygni 1992)

We present 1-5 micrometer moderate- and high-resolution infrared spectra of the ONeMg nova V1974 (Nova Cygni 1992) obtained at multiple epochs during an approximately 500 day period after outburst. During the first 80 days, the spectra exhibited continuum emission from thermal bremsstrahlung (free-free radiation) with prominent recombination line emission from hydrogen, helium, nitrogen, and oxygen. The measurement Full Width at Half Maximum (FWHM) of these recombination lines suggests that the initial velocity of the ejecta was approximately equals 2400-3400 km/s. We estimate from the hydrogen recombination line ratios that the density of the ionized shell at this epoch was approximately equals 10(exp 9), with an effective electron temperature of approximately equals 5 x 10(exp 3) K. As the temporal evolution of the ejecta progressed, the hydrogen and helium lines diminished in intensity, and coronal lines of aluminum, calcium, magnesium, neon, and sulfur appeared by approximately day 80. The coronal line emission phase persisted for over 400 days. During this epoch, no significant dust formation occurred. We find that the ejecta of V1974 Cyg were overabundant in aluminum with respect to silicon by a factor of approximately equals 5 and in magnesium with respect to silicon by a factor of greater than or equal to 3 relative to the solar photosphere. Comparison of our observed overabundances with recent model predictions of elemental synthesis in ONeMg outbursts suggests that the accreted envelope on V1974 Cyg was close to solar composition and that the precursor ONeMg white dwarf had a mass of approximately equals 1 solar mass.

Woodward, Charles E.↗

Disappearance of the heliospheric sector structure at Ulysses

In May, 1993, the heliospheric current sheet (HCS) ceased to be seen by the Ulysses spacecraft at a heliocentric latitude of approximately 30 deg S and distance of 4.7 AU. The disappearance of the HCS coincided with the solar wind speed remaining greater than 560 km/s and with the disappearance of one of four interaction regions previously seen on each solar rotation. The heliographic latitude of the disappearance of the HCS at Ulysses was 11 deg equatorward of the latitude of the magnetic neutral sheet computed at the source surface at 2.5 solar radii, and it occurred a half year earlier than predicted on the basis of the persistance of the time profile of the neutral sheet tilt from one solar cycle to the next.

Smith, E. J.↗

Comparison of the Nowcast of Aerospace Ionizing Radiation System (NAIRAS) With ISS Measurements

The Nowcast of Aerospace Ionizing Radiation System (NAIRAS) is a sophisticated physics-based model that has been providing real-time global predictions of cosmic radiation exposure, pertinent to both galactic and solar sources, to air travelers for a decade. The utility of NAIRAS, however, extends beyond the atmospheric ionizing radiation environment. The recently developed NAIRAS 3.0 version demonstrates an expansion of its domain to the space radiation environment. This extension incorporates an additional trapped inner belt proton source, coupled with altitude-dependent and rigidity-dependent geomagnetic shielding for galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and solar energetic particle (SEP) protons. The latest version of NAIRAS operates in two modes: real-time global predictions of the atmospheric radiation environment and a user-specified run-on-request service for global dosimetric calculations or predictions of dosimetric and particle flux quantities along user-uploaded flight path. It is available to the public at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC). In this work, we present the validation exercises that have been conducted using the Automated Radiation Measurements for Aerospace Safety (ARMAS) onboard the International Space Station (ISS), thereby establishing NAIRAS's efficacy in predicting space radiation exposure. As such, NAIRAS 3.0 holds significant potential for human safety and technological advancement in aerospace travel and exploration.

Daniel Phoenix↗

The Effect of a SEP Event on Astronauts Doing a Spacewalk As Computed By the Nowcast of Aerospace Ionizing Radiation System (NAIRAS)

The Nowcast of Aerospace Ionizing Radiation System (NAIRAS) is a sophisticated physics-based model that has been providing real-time global predictions of cosmic radiation exposure, pertinent to both galactic and solar sources, to air travelers for a decade. The utility of NAIRAS, however, extends beyond the atmospheric ionizing radiation environment. The recently developed NAIRAS 3.0 version demonstrates an expansion of its domain to the space radiation environment. This extension incorporates an additional trapped inner belt proton source, coupled with altitude-dependent and rigidity-dependent geomagnetic shielding for galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and solar energetic particle (SEP) protons. The latest version of NAIRAS operates in two modes: real-time global predictions of the atmospheric radiation environment and a user-specified run-on-request service for global dosimetric calculations or predictions of dosimetric and particle flux quantities along user-uploaded flight path. It is available to the public at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC). In this work, we present the computations of the dose in the ISS vicinity during the SEP event of August 8, 2023; which happened a day before a scheduled spacewalk. We demonstrate that astronauts would not have suffered a dose equivalent in excess of 1 mSv if the event happened a day later. As such, NAIRAS 3.0 holds significant potential for human safety and technological advancement in aerospace travel and exploration.

Guillaume Gronoff↗

An Overview of Energetic Particle Precipitation Effects on the Earth's Atmosphere and (Potentially) Climate

Energetic precipitating particles (EPPs) can cause significant constituent changes in the polar mesosphere and stratosphere (middle atmosphere) during certain periods. Both protons and electrons can influence the polar middle atmosphere through ionization and dissociation processes. EPPs can enhance HOx (H, OH, HO2) through the formation of positive ions followed by complex ion chemistry and NOx (N, NO, NO2) through the dissociation of molecular nitrogen. The solar EPP-created HOx increases can lead to ozone destruction in the mesosphere and upper stratosphere via several catalytic loss cycles. Such middle atmospheric HOx-caused ozone loss is rather short-lived due to the relatively short lifetime (hours) of the HOx constituents. The HOx-caused ozone depletion of greater than 30% has been observed during several large solar proton events (SPEs) in the past 50 years. HOx enhancements due to SPEs were confirmed by observations in solar cycle 23. A number of modeling studies have been undertaken over this time period that show predictions of enhanced HOx accompanied by decreased ozone due to energetic particles. The solar EPP-created NOx family has a longer lifetime than the HOx family and can also lead to catalytic ozone destruction. EPP-caused enhancements of the NOx family can affect ozone promptly, if produced in the stratosphere, or subsequently, if produced in the lower thermosphere or mesosphere and transported to the stratosphere. NOx enhancements due to auroral electrons, medium and high energy electrons, relativistic electron precipitation (REP) events, and SPEs have been measured and/or modeled for decades. Model predictions and measurements show that certain years have significant winter-time meteorological events, which result in the transport of EPP-caused NOx enhancements in the upper mesosphere and lower thermosphere to lower altitudes. The NOx-caused ozone depletion has also been observed during several solar proton events (SPEs) in the past 50 years. Model predictions indicate that the longer-lived SPE-caused polar stratospheric and mesospheric ozone decrease can be >10% for up to five months past the largest events and is statistically significant; however, total ozone measurements do not indicate any long-term SPE impact.

Jackman, Charles H.↗

Variation of solar cell sensitivity and solar radiation on tilted surfaces

The validity is studied that one of various insolation models used to compute solar radiation incident on tilted surfaces from global data measured on horizontal surfaces. The variation of solar cell sensitivity to solar radiation is determined over a wide range of atmospheric condition. A new model was formulated that reduced the deviations between measured and predicted insolation to less than 3 percent. Evaluation of solar cell sensitivity data indicates small change (2-3 percent) in sensitivity from winter to summer for tilted cells. The feasibility of using such global data as a means for calibrating terrestrial solar cells is discussed.

Klucher, T. M.↗

Mass loading and velocity diffusion models for heavy pickup ions at comet Grigg-Skjellerup

We compare model predictions of cometary water group ion densities and the solar wind slow down with measurements made by the Giotto Johnstone plasma analyzer implanted ion sensor at the encounter with comet Grigg-Skjellerup (G-S) on July 10, 1992. The observed slope of the ion density profile on approach to the comet is unexpectedly steep. Possible explanations for this are discussed. We present also a preliminary investigation of the quasilinear velocity-space diffusion of the implanted heavy ion population at G-S using a transport equation including souce, convection, adiabatic compression, and velocity diffusion terms. Resulting distributions are anisotropic, in agreement with observations. We consider theoretically the waves that may be generated by the diffusion process for the observed solar wind conditions. At initial ion injections, waves are generated at omega approximately Omega(sub i) the ion gyrofrequency, and lower frequencies are predicted for diffusion toward a bispherical shell.

Huddleston, D. E.↗

Grossite-Rich Refractory Inclusions in Carbonaceous Chondrites: Evidence for Early Generation of Different O-Isotope Reservoirs in the Protoplanetary Disk and O-Isotope Exchange During Fluid-Rock Interaction

The oxygen isotopic composition of the Sun inferred from the measurements of the solar wind returned by the Genesis spacecraft is O-16-enriched (△O-17 = -28.4±3.6‰) relative to the whole-rock O-isotope compositions of chondrites and achondrites, and chondrule phenocrysts, which all plot close to the terrestrial fractionation line (△O-17 ∼ ±5‰). Vast majority of refractory inclusions (CAIs and AOAs) in carbonaceous chondrites of petrologic types 2-3.0 are iso-topically uniform and have solar-like △O-17. In contrast, CAIs and AOAs in metamorphosed CV and CO chondrites are isotopically heterogeneous with melilite, anorthite, perovskite, Zr- and Sc-rich oxides and silicates, and occasionally Al, Ti-diopside being O-16-depleted relative to hibonite, spinel, Al-diopside, and forsterite. The timing of generation of different O-isotope reservoirs and the nature of O-isotope heterogeneity in refractory inclusions in CO3 and CV3 chondrites are poorly known. Grossite (CaAl4O7) is one of the first minerals predicted to condense from a gas of solar composition and therefore it could have recorded isotopic compositions of reservoirs during the earliest stages of the Solar System evolution. Here we report on O-isotope compositions of grossite-rich CAIs in CH3 and CO3 chondrites measured in situ with the UH Cameca ims-1280. For analytical procedures see [9].

A N Krot↗

The observation of a coronal transient directed at earth

The paper reports the observation of a large coronal transient that can only be interpreted as a three-dimensional structure. Its form is one which has not been observed before: a gradually expanding, sun-centered disk of excess brightness, whose projected radius increased from 4 to 8 solar radii during 0832-0958 UT on November 27, 1979. This earth-directed transient was the source of an interplanetary shock wave that reached ISEE 3 at 0649 UT, November 30, and earth at 0738 UT, November 30. Fitting the shock speed at ISEE 3 and the average transit speed from the sun to ISEE 3 to a power law of the form V = (V sub 0)(r exp -n), it is found that V sub 0 = 1980 km/s and n = 0.294, in good agreement with shock wave models. The shock speed predicted by the power law at 10 solar radii is 1000 km/s, in good agreement with the estimated frontal speed of the transient.

Howard, R. A.↗

Solar Wind Proton Temperature Anisotropy: Linear Theory and WIND/SWE Observations

We present a comparison between WIND/SWE observations (Kasper et al., 2006) of beta parallel to p and T perpendicular to p/T parallel to p (where beta parallel to p is the proton parallel beta and T perpendicular to p and T parallel to p are the perpendicular and parallel proton are the perpendicular and parallel proton temperatures, respectively; here parallel and perpendicular indicate directions with respect to the ambient magnetic field) and predictions of the Vlasov linear theory. In the slow solar wind, the observed proton temperature anisotropy seems to be constrained by oblique instabilities, by the mirror one and the oblique fire hose, contrary to the results of the linear theory which predicts a dominance of the proton cyclotron instability and the parallel fire hose. The fast solar wind core protons exhibit an anticorrelation between beta parallel to c and T perpendicular to c/T parallel to c (where beta parallel to c is the core proton parallel beta and T perpendicular to c and T parallel to c are the perpendicular and parallel core proton temperatures, respectively) similar to that observed in the HELIOS data (Marsch et al., 2004).

Hellinger, P.↗

Attitude Control System for the Solar Cruiser and Future Solar Sail Missions

NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) is developing the Solar Cruiser solar sail mission to continue to mature solar sail propulsion. Solar Cruiser is a 95kg spacecraft capable of deploying a 1654 square meter solar sail. Solar Cruiser will demonstrate science observation capabilities and navigation in sub Lagrange Point (L1) halo-orbits. Solar Cruiser sail technology can be scaled to larger solar sail missions, including attitude control system and sail membrane and boom technology. Larger solar sails could be used to image the solar poles, enabling Solar Polar Imager (SPI) missions currently prohibitively expensive for propellant-based propulsion methods. Similarly, solar sails can be used to create artificial equilibria and indefinite station-keeping at locations sunward of Lagrange Point one, L1, along the Sun-Earth line (SEL), which can provide space-weather monitor and prediction and reveal discoveries about our Sun and solar system. To achieve the high characteristic acceleration required for larger solar sail missions such as SPI, a solar sail area of approximately 7000 square-meters would be needed. In comparison, the largest solar sail flown to date is the JAXA’s IKAROS mission with a 196 square-meters sail. Attitude control an SPI-size sail poses challenges, including station keeping under solar sail induced torques and thrust vector pointing. In this study, the scalability of the Solar Cruiser sail attitude control architecture to larger sails is studied, such as pointing control performance, mass and power requirements. Solar Cruiser attitude control actuators include propellant-based, such as ion engines, and propellantless options which create differential solar pressures to generate spacecraft torques. Propellantless attitude control includes active translation of the center of mass, Reflectivity Control Devices (RCDs), and tip vanes. The study summarizes the scalability characteristics of the different attitude control architectures for larger solar sail missions.

Solar Sail Propulsion↗

Nonlocal thermal transport in solar flares. II - Spectroscopic diagnostics

Physical parameters obtained for a flaring solar atmosphere in an earlier paper are used here to predict time-dependent emission-line profiles and integrated intensities as a function of position for two spectral lines commonly observed during solar flares: the X-ray resonance lines of Ca XIX and Mg XI. Considerations of ionization nonequilibrium during the rise phase of the flare are addressed, and the effects on the predicted spectral-line characteristics are discussed. It is concluded that some spectroscopic diagnostics favor the nonlocal model, but other long-standing discrepancies between the numerical models and the observations remain unresolved.

Karpen, Judith T.↗

Solar UV Variations During the Decline of Cycle 23

Characterization of temporal and spectral variations in solar ultraviolet irradiance over a solar cycle is essential for understanding the forcing of Earth's atmosphere and climate. Satellite measurements of solar UV variability for solar cycles 21, 22, and 23 show consistent solar cycle irradiance changes at key wavelengths (e.g. 205 nm, 250 nm) within instrumental uncertainties. All historical data sets also show the same relative spectral dependence for both short-term (rotational) and long-term (solar cycle) variations. Empirical solar irradiance models also produce long-term solar UV variations that agree well with observational data. Recent UV irradiance data from the Solar Radiation and Climate Experiment (SORCE) Spectral Irradiance Monitor (SIM) and Solar Stellar Irradiance Comparison Experiment (SOLSTICE) instruments covering the declining phase of Cycle 23 present a different picture oflong-term solar variations from previous results. Time series of SIM and SOLSTICE spectral irradiance data between 2003 and 2007 show solar variations that greatly exceed both previous measurements and predicted irradiance changes over this period, and the spectral dependence of the SIM and SOLSTICE variations during these years do not show features expected from solar physics theory. The use of SORCE irradiance variations in atmospheric models yields substantially different middle atmosphere ozone responses in both magnitude and vertical structure. However, short-term solar variability derived from SIM and SOLSTICE UV irradiance data is consistent with concurrent solar UV measurements from other instruments, as well as previous results, suggesting no change in solar physics. Our analysis of short-term solar variability is much less sensitive to residual instrument response changes than the observations of long-term variations. The SORCE long-term UV results can be explained by under-correction of instrument response changes during the first few years of measurements, rather than requiring an unexpected change in the physical behavior of the Sun.

DeLand, Matthew, T.↗

Nondimensional convection numbers modeling thermally stratified storage tanks: Richardson's number and hot-water tanks

Thermally stratified storage tank studies have spanned over 50 years to increase the thermal storage efficiency and accurate prediction of the outlet temperature particularly for solar applications. The studies have reviewed and modeled the jet and plume flow phenomena inside the tank due to the inlet mixing and stratification level. Kelvin–Helmholtz and Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities are the major drivers of the mixing in these tanks. Momentum jets deflecting off walls at the bottom of the tank also create significant mixing. Reviewing Richardson models shows that the categorization was based on the range of Reynolds numbers at the inlet. Unfortunately, the use of superficial velocity in calculating the Richardson number results in critical values in the literature ranging from below 0.25 to 100. The most used length scale associated with these flows is an inertial scale based on the tank height or diameter although the mixing can occur at a relatively smaller scale. The various inlet devices and a large span of flow rates experienced in thermally stratified storage tanks requisite the use of the Reynolds number in combination with a convection number for accurate one dimensional models that predict performance over the long-term. The evaluation of peak shifting of electric loads leveraging renewable sources for applications, including residential hot-water tanks, commercial water tanks, and large-scale chilled water storage tanks, require these models. Finally, this paper is focused on establishing the significance of the convection numbers in conjunction with the Reynolds number for modeling the thermal stratification in storage tanks.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗