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The energy balance of the nighttime thermosphere

Energy balance considerations for the thermosphere are affected by the uncertainty of the solar EUV flux. The problem is simplified by investigating only the nighttime thermosphere. Vapor trail measurements provide wind data at the sunset and sunrise terminators and near the polar cap boundary. Temperature and density profiles were obtained from incoherent scatter and Ogo 6 measurements. Based on the available data the energy losses are estimated to be 8 times 10 to the 10th W due to downward conduction at 120 km and 3 times 10 to the 10th W due to infrared radiation. The energy carried by the measured winds from the polar cap is found to be 4.6 times 10 to the 10th W and that transported across the mid- and low-latitude terminators, 7.6 to 11 times 10 to the 10th W. The greatest uncertainty in this analysis was in the estimates of the differences in the densities and temperatures in the lower thermosphere at the dawn and dusk terminators. Because of the large rotational velocity of the earth, small differences in these parameters correspond to large amounts of energy transported to the night hemisphere.

Glenar, D. A.↗

Demonstration of Minimally Machined Honeycomb Silicon Carbide Mirrors

Honeycomb silicon carbide composite mirrors are made from a carbon fiber preform that is molded into a honeycomb shape using a rigid mold. The carbon fiber honeycomb is densified by using polymer infiltration pyrolysis, or through a reaction with liquid silicon. A chemical vapor deposit, or chemical vapor composite (CVC), process is used to deposit a polishable silicon or silicon carbide cladding on the honeycomb structure. Alternatively, the cladding may be replaced by a freestanding, replicated CVC SiC facesheet that is bonded to the honeycomb. The resulting carbon fiber-reinforced silicon carbide honeycomb structure is a ceramic matrix composite material with high stiffness and mechanical strength, high thermal conductivity, and low CTE (coefficient of thermal expansion). This innovation enables rapid, inexpensive manufacturing. The web thickness of the new material is less than 1 millimeter, and core geometries tailored. These parameters are based on precursor carbon-carbon honeycomb material made and patented by Ultracor. It is estimated at the time of this reporting that the HoneySiC(Trademark) will have a net production cost on the order of $38,000 per square meter. This includes an Ultracor raw material cost of about $97,000 per square meter, and a Trex silicon carbide deposition cost of $27,000 per square meter. Even at double this price, HoneySiC would beat NASA's goal of $100,000 per square meter. Cost savings are estimated to be 40 to 100 times that of current mirror technologies. The organic, rich prepreg material has a density of 56 kilograms per cubic meter. A charred carbon-carbon panel (volatile organics burnt off) has a density of 270 kilograms per cubic meter. Therefore, it is estimated that a HoneySiC panel would have a density of no more than 900 kilograms per cubic meter, which is about half that of beryllium and about onethird the density of bulk silicon carbide. It is also estimated that larger mirrors could be produced in a matter of weeks. Each cell is completely uniform, maintaining the shape of the inserted mandrel. Furthermore, the layup creates pressure that insures node bond strength. Each node is a composite laminate using only the inherent resin system to form the bond. This contrasts starkly with the other known method of producing composite honeycomb, in which individual corrugations are formed, cured, and then bonded together in a secondary process. By varying the size of the mandrels within the layup, varying degrees of density can be achieved. Typical sizes are 3/8 and 3/16 in. (approximately 10 and 5 millimeters). Cell sizes up to 1 in. (approximately 25 millimeters) have been manufactured. Similarly, the shape of the core can be altered for a flexible honeycomb structure.

Goodman, William↗

The energetics of molecular clouds. II - The S140 molecular cloud

Techniques of analysis which allow estimates of kinetic temperature, gas density, gas cooling rate, and dust cooling rate are applied to the S140 molecular cloud. Maps of this cloud in various molecular lines are examined which reveal the existence of a strong temperature and density peak near the H-alpha rim and the presence of a strong near-IR source very near that peak. This source is found to have an energy distribution which is very similar to that of the Becklin-Neugebauer object, including the silicate feature at 9.5 microns. The heating and cooling rates for the gas and dust in S140 are estimated, and the predicted cooling rate for dust is shown to be much greater than that for gas. The molecular-line observations are compared with a spherical large-velocity-gradient trapping calculation. An optimum cloud model is developed which indicates that: (1) (C-13)O, HCO(+), and H2CO are about 10 times less abundant in S140 than in dark clouds; (2) the HCN abundance is approximately 4 times the H2CO abundance in S140, compared with roughly equal values in dark clouds; and (3) the (C-13)O/C(O-18) ratio is consistent with terrestrial isotope ratios.

Blair, G. N.↗

Remnants of the quasars

Assuming a standard black hole accretion model for quasars, we estimate the present total mass density, rho sub BH, of quasar remnants using recent observations of quasar populations and of typical quasar spectra over a wide wavelength range. We find rho sub BH of greater than about (1.4-2.2) x 10 exp 5 solar masses/cu Mpc for a quasar radiative efficiency of 0.1. This is an upward revision by a factor of 3.0-4.6 from a decade-old estimate by Soltan (1982). A typical bright galaxy is thus expected to contain a central black hole of greater than about 10 exp 7/cu h solar masses. Furthermore, we expect that greater than about 50 percent of rho sub BH is contributed by objects of mass greater than about 10 exp 8/sq h solar masses and greater than about 10 percent by those more massive than about 6 x 10 exp 8/sq h solar masses.

Chokshi, Arati↗

The NASA Eulerian Snow on Sea Ice Model (NESOSIM) v1.0: initial model development and analysis

The NASA Eulerian Snow On Sea Ice Model (NESOSIM) is a new, open-source snow budget model that is currentlyconfigured to produce daily estimates of the depth and density of snow on sea ice across the Arctic Ocean throughthe accumulation season. NESOSIM has been developed in a three-dimensional Eulerian framework and includes two(vertical) snow layers and several simple parameterizations (accumulation, wind packing, advection_divergence, blowingsnow lost to leads) to represent key sources and sinks of snow on sea ice. The model is forced with daily inputs of snowfall and near-surface winds (from reanalyses), sea ice concentration (from satellite passive microwave data) and sea ice drift (from satellite feature tracking) during the accumulation season (August through April). In this study, we present the NESOSIM formulation, calibration efforts, sensitivity studies and validation efforts across an Arctic Ocean domain (100 km horizontal resolution). The simulated snow depth and density are calibrated with in situ data collected on drifting ice stations during the 1980s. NESOSIM shows strong agreement with the in situ seasonal cycles of snow depth and density, and shows good (moderate) agreement with the regional snow depth (density) distributions. NESOSIM is run for a contemporary period (2000 to 2015), with the results showing strong sensitivity to the reanalysis derived snowfall forcing data, with the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) and the Japanese Meteorological Agency 55-year reanalysis (JRA-55) forced snow depths generally higher than ERA-Interim,and the Arctic System Reanalysis (ASR) generally lower. We also generate and force NESOSIM with a consensus "median" daily snowfall dataset from these reanalyses.The results are compared against snow depth estimates derived from NASA's Operation IceBridge (OIB) snow radar data from 2009 to 2015, showing moderate_strong correlations and root mean squared errors of 10 cm depending on the OIB snow depth product analyzed, similar to the comparisons between OIB snow depths and the commonly used modified Warren snow depth climatology. Potential improvements to this initial NESOSIM formulation are discussed in the hopes of improving the accuracy and reliability of these simulated snow depths and densities.

Petty, Alek A.↗

Defining the Shape Density of Cerium Oxide and Titanium Dioxide Aerosol

The “shape density” of CeO 2 (cerium oxide) powder (American Elements, Los Angeles CA) is estimated to be 0.82 ± 0.02 g cm -3 and the shape density for TiO 2 (titanium dioxide) powder (American Elements, Los Angeles CA) is estimated as 0.54 ± 0.01 g cm -3 . The “shape density” is defined as the measured loose density (ASTM 2018 and ASTM 2021) of a powder divided by the ICRP (International Commission on Radiological Protection) default aerosol shape factor (Valetin 2002). This information is used for experimental measurements of the RRF (respirable release factor) and other respirable source term parameter (US DOE 1994) experiments at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The shape density is the input parameter to the TSI Inc (Shoreview MN) AIM (Aerosol Instrument Manager) software for the TSI model 3321 APS (Aerodynamic Particle Sizer) (Figure 1).

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Asteroid orbital error analysis: Theory and application

We present a rigorous Bayesian theory for asteroid orbital error estimation in which the probability density of the orbital elements is derived from the noise statistics of the observations. For Gaussian noise in a linearized approximation the probability density is also Gaussian, and the errors of the orbital elements at a given epoch are fully described by the covariance matrix. The law of error propagation can then be applied to calculate past and future positional uncertainty ellipsoids (Cappellari et al. 1976, Yeomans et al. 1987, Whipple et al. 1991). To our knowledge, this is the first time a Bayesian approach has been formulated for orbital element estimation. In contrast to the classical Fisherian school of statistics, the Bayesian school allows a priori information to be formally present in the final estimation. However, Bayesian estimation does give the same results as Fisherian estimation when no priori information is assumed (Lehtinen 1988, and reference therein).

Muinonen, K.↗

Observations of C3H2 (2(12) - 1(01)) toward the Sagittarius A molecular cloud

We have mapped the C3H2 2(12)-1(01) transition line toward the Sgr A molecular cloud on a 1' grid spacing and derived C3H2 column densities of 3 approximately 7 x 10(14) cm-2 for molecular clouds of Sgr A. The fractional abundances of C3H2 relative to H2 are obtained to be 3 approximately 6 x 10(-9), which are slightly lower than that for the cold dark cloud TMC-1 but are enhanced by factors of 5-60 compared to those for Sgr B2 and the Orion extended ridge. We also estimate from the C3H2 column densities total masses of approximately 10(6) M(solar) for two clouds (M - 0.13-0.08 and M - 0.02-0.07), which are thought to be close to the virial equilibrium. We suggest that the large abundance of C3H2 in Sgr A may be partly due to the activities of the Galactic center.

Non-NASA Center↗

Atomistic simulations and machine learning of solute grain boundary segregation in Mg alloys at finite temperatures

Understanding solute segregation thermodynamics is the first step in investigating grain boundary (GB) properties, such as strong yttrium (Y) effects on grain growth and texture evolution in micro-scale polycrystalline magnesium (Mg) alloys. To estimate the average GB segregation behavior in low-solute-concentration Mg alloys (e.g., 2 at.% Y), a state-of-the-art spectral approach is applied based on a per-site segregation energy spectrum for Y solute atoms at zero K obtained from molecular statistics (MS) simulations of ~10 4 GB sites in Mg symmetric tilt GBs (STGBs). Although selected MS simulation results are consistent with verification by density functional theory (DFT) calculations, estimates of average segregation tendency based on the zero-K energy spectrum deviate from experimental observations. To resolve this problem, thermodynamic integration (TI) methods based on molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are used to determine the per-site segregation free energies of Y at representative GB sites, which show contributions beyond harmonic approximations can be important for certain GB sites at high temperatures. A surrogate model of per-site segregation free energy is constructed from a small set of TI data points using stacking cross-validation regressors and physics-informed descriptors. This model is applied to predict the Y segregation free energy spectra for thousands of GB sites in Mg STGBs with uncertainty quantification. Finally, the average segregation tendency predicted by the spectral approach based on the free energy spectra agrees well (within the uncertainty range) with experimental observations for micro-scale polycrystalline Mg alloys at typical thermomechanical processing temperatures (500 ~ 800 K), where thermodynamic equilibrium states are likely to be achieved due to fast diffusion.

Atomistic simulations↗

Ion thruster plume effects on spacecraft surfaces

A charge-exchange plasma, generated by an ion thruster, is capable of flowing upstream from the ion thruster and therefore represents a source of contamination to a spacecraft. An analytical model of the charge-exchange plasma density around a spacecraft is used to estimate the contamination which various spacecraft materials may be exposed to. Measurements of plasma density around an ion thruster are compared to this model. Results of experimental studies regarding the effects on various spacecraft materials' properties due to exposure to expected mercury contamination levels are presented.

Carruth, M. R., Jr.↗

Ion thruster plume effects on spacecraft surfaces

A charge-exchange plasma, generated by an ion thruster, is capable of flowing upstream from the ion thruster and therefore represents a source of contamination to a spacecraft. An analytical model of the charge-exchange plasma density around a spacecraft was used to estimate the contamination which various spacecraft materials may be exposed to. Measurements of plasma density around an ion thruster were compared to this model. Results of experimental studied regarding the effects on various spacecraft materials' properties due to exposure to expected mercury contamination levels are presented.

Carruth, M. R., Jr.↗

The mean density and two-point correlation function for the CfA redshift survey slices

The effect of large-scale inhomogeneities on the determination of the mean number density and the two-point spatial correlation function were investigated for two complete slices of the extension of the Center for Astrophysics (CfA) redshift survey (de Lapparent et al., 1986). It was found that the mean galaxy number density for the two strips is uncertain by 25 percent, more so than previously estimated. The large uncertainty in the mean density introduces substantial uncertainty in the determination of the two-point correlation function, particularly at large scale; thus, for the 12-deg slice of the CfA redshift survey, the amplitude of the correlation function at intermediate scales is uncertain by a factor of 2. The large uncertainties in the correlation functions might reflect the lack of a fair sample.

De Lapparent, Valerie↗

Problems in determining the surface density of the Galactic disk

A new method is presented for determining the local surface density of the Galactic disk from distance and velocity measurements of stars toward the Galactic poles. The procedure is fully three-dimensional, approximating the Galactic potential by a potential of Staeckel form and using the analytic third integral to treat the tilt and the change of shape of the velocity ellipsoid consistently. Applying the procedure to artificial data superficially resembling the K dwarf sample of Kuijken and Gilmore (1988, 1989), it is shown that the current best estimates of local disk surface density are uncertain by at least 30 percent. Of this, about 25 percent is due to the size of the velocity sample, about 15 percent comes from uncertainties in the rotation curve and the solar galactocentric distance, and about 10 percent from ignorance of the shape of the velocity distribution above z = 1 kpc, the errors adding in quadrature. Increasing the sample size by a factor of 3 will reduce the error to 20 percent. To achieve 10 percent accuracy, observations will be needed along other lines of sight to constrain the shape of the velocity ellipsoid.

Statler, Thomas S.↗

The z ∼ 1.03 Merging Cluster SPT-CL J0356–5337: New Strong Lensing Analysis with HST and MUSE

We present a strong lensing analysis and reconstruct the mass distribution of SPT-CL J0356−5337, a galaxy cluster at redshift z = 1.034. Our model supersedes previous models by making use of new multiband Hubble Space Telescope data and Multi-Unit Spectroscopic Explorer (MUSE) spectroscopy. We identify two additional lensed galaxies to inform a more well-constrained model using 12 sets of multiple images in five separate lensed sources. The three previously known sources were spectroscopically confirmed by G. Mahler et al. at redshifts of z = 2.363, z = 2.364, and z = 3.048. We measured the spectroscopic redshifts of two of the newly discovered arcs using MUSE data, at z = 3.0205 and z = 5.3288. We increase the number of cluster member galaxies by a factor of 3 compared to previous work. We also report the detection of extended Lyα emission from several background galaxies. We measure the total projected mass density of the two major subcluster components, one dominated by the brightest cluster galaxy and the other by a compact group of luminous red galaxies. We find ${M}_{{\rm{B}}{\rm{C}}{\rm{G}}}(\lt 80\,\rm{kpc})=3.9{3}_{-0.14}^{+0.21}\times 1{0}^{13}$ M⊙ and ${M}_{{\rm{LRG}}}(\lt 80\,\rm{kpc})=2.9{2}_{-0.23}^{+0.16}\times 1{0}^{13}$ M⊙, yielding a mass ratio of $1.3{5}_{-0.08}^{+0.16}$ . The strong lensing constraints offer a robust estimate of the projected mass density regardless of modeling assumptions; allowing more substructure in this line of sight does not change the results or conclusions. Our results corroborate the conclusion that SPT-CL J0356−5337 is dominated by two mass components and is likely undergoing a major merger on the plane of the sky.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Summary Analysis of Different Offshore Wind Capacity Density Drivers in Proposed U.S. Projects and Impacts on Progress Towards State and Federal Deployment Targets

Understanding the density of offshore wind development - or the "capacity density" - is important for state and federal offshore wind planning efforts and to track progress towards policy goals. NREL has traditionally assumed a capacity density of 3 megawatts per square kilometer (MW/km2) when estimating the U.S. project pipeline (Musial et al. 2022), but capacity densities for existing European offshore wind farms ranged from 2-19 MW/km2 (Borrmann et al. 2018). We track the expected capacity densities of the proposed U.S. projects in the East Coast and make an analysis by state and by developer to identify what are the capacity density norms in the industry and whether the state in which the development efforts are taking place has some impact on capacity density. We also analyze the effects of the area occupied by station keeping systems on capacity density for lease areas dedicated to floating projects and provide a list of main capacity density drivers. This summary analysis sets a baseline to study how different capacity density drivers could impact the progress towards state and federal deployment targets. Given the currently delineated Renewable Energy Areas in the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) and the basis from the summary analysis, we estimate the expected offshore wind deployment over time federally and by state and compare it to the state and federal deployment targets. The proposed analysis helps identify gaps and needs to meet state and federal targets, which provides sufficient information to propose strategic supply chain and policy planning with the objective of meeting deployment goals.

capacity density↗

Titan Density Reconstruction Using Radiometric and Cassini Attitude Control Flight Data

This paper compares three different methods of Titan atmospheric density reconstruction for the Titan 87 Cassini flyby. T87 was a unique flyby that provided independent Doppler radiometric measurements on the ground throughout the flyby including at Titan closest approach. At the same time, the onboard accelerometer provided an independent estimate of atmospheric drag force and density during the flyby. These results are compared with the normal method of reconstructing atmospheric density using thruster on-time and angular momentum accumulation. Differences between the estimates are analyzed and a possible explanation for the differences is evaluated.

Andrade, Luis G., Jr.↗

Multi-Objective Boundary Analysis of Discrete and Integrated SiC FET Modular Non-inverting Buck and Boost Converters for Fuel Cell EVs

This paper presents a multi-objective analysis of discrete and integrated SiC FET-based non-inverting buck-boost converter modules for modular fuel cell electric vehicle (EV) systems. Two converter ratings, 60 kW and 90 kW, are evaluated for both implementations, scalable up to 420 kW and 450 kW, respectively. Performance is assessed across efficiency, volumetric and gravimetric power density, cost, thermal stress, and estimated lifetime, where lifetime is derived from SiC FET B10 power-cycling data and junction temperature variations at rated power. A normalized overall performance index combined with a Pareto-boundary framework is used to identify configurations that optimally balance competing objectives. Results show that most configurations lie on the Pareto front, providing balanced trade-offs, while certain high-power discrete (90 kW at 450 kW) and integrated (60 kW at 180−420 kW) configurations are dominated. In general, discrete modules are more favorable for lower-power modular systems due to higher power density and lower cost, whereas integrated modules become more advantageous at higher power levels due to improved thermal behavior and longer lifetime. These findings provide practical design guidance for scalable fuel cell converter architectures and highlight the importance of system-level trade-offs in modular power electronics design.

Asa, Erdem [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000190884812)↗

Ammonia Observations of NGC 6334 I(N)

Coincident with the far-infrared source NGC 6334 I(N) and water maser source E is a massive dense cloud which has the most intense ammonia (1, 1) emission of any known interstellar cloud. We have mapped the (3, 3) emission and find the cloud is extended 0.8 pc in the direction parallel to the Galactic plane, and 0.5 pc perpendicular to it. It has a velocity gradient of 1 km/s.pc perpendicular to the Galactic plane. The gas kinetic temperature is about 30 K and the density is greater than 10(exp 6)/cc. The mass of the cloud is about 3000 solar mass, 3 times greater than previously estimated. The para-ammonia column density is 6 - 8 x 10(exp 15)/sq cm. An ammonia abundance of 0.5 - 1.5 x 10(exp -8) is inferred, where the larger number assumes an early time ortho/para ratio. This suggests either a cloud age of less than approximately 10(exp 6) yr, or substantial depletion of ammonia.

Kuiper, T. B. H.↗