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At least 1,009 records · Page 56

Exploratory analysis of high-resolution power interruption data reveals spatial and temporal heterogeneity in electric grid reliability

Modern grid monitoring equipment enables utilities to collect detailed records of power interruptions. Here, these data are aggregated to compute publicly reported metrics describing high-level characteristics of grid performance. The current work explores the depth of insights that can be gained from public data, and the implications of losing visibility into heterogeneity in grid performance through aggregation. We present an exploratory analysis examining three years of high-resolution power interruption data collected by archiving information posted in real-time on the public-facing website of a utility in the Western United States. We report on the size, frequency and duration of individual power interruptions, and on spatio-temporal variability in aggregate reliability metrics. Our results show that metrics of grid performance can vary spatially and temporally by orders of magnitude, revealing heterogeneity that is not evidenced in publicly reported metrics. We show that limited access to granular information presents a substantive barrier to conducting detailed policy analysis, and discuss how more widespread data access could help to answer questions that remain unanswered in the literature to date. Lastly, given open questions about whether grid performance is adequate to support societal needs, we recommend establishing pathways to make high-resolution power interruption data available to support policy research.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Accurate and efficient predictions of keyhole dynamics in laser materials processing using machine learning-aided simulations

The keyhole phenomenon has been widely observed in laser materials processing, including laser welding, remelting, cladding, drilling, and additive manufacturing. Keyhole-induced defects, primarily pores, dramatically affect the performance of final products, impeding the broad use of these laser-based technologies. The formation of these pores is typically associated with the dynamic behavior of the keyhole. So far, the accurate characterization and prediction of keyhole features, particularly keyhole depth, as a function of time, has been a challenging task. In situ characterization of keyhole dynamic behavior using the synchrotron X-ray technique is informative but complicated and expensive. Current simulations are generally hindered by their poor accuracy and generalization abilities in predicting keyhole depths due to the lack of accurate laser absorptance data. In this study, we develop a machine learning-aided simulation method that accurately predicts keyhole dynamics, especially in keyhole depth fluctuations, over a wide range of processing parameters. In two case studies involving titanium and aluminum alloys, we achieve keyhole depth prediction with a mean absolute percentage error of 10 %, surpassing those simulated using the ray-tracing method with an error margin of 30 %, while also reducing computational time. This exceptional fidelity and efficiency empower our model to serve as a cost-effective alternative to synchrotron experiments. Our machine learning-aided simulation method is affordable and readily deployable for a large variety of materials, opening new doors to eliminate or reduce defects for a wide range of laser materials processing techniques.

Computational fluid dynamics↗

Energy dependence of nonlocal optical potentials

Recently, a variety of studies have shown the importance of including nonlocality in the description of reactions. The goal of this work is to revisit the phenomenological approach to determining nonlocal optical potentials from elastic scattering. We perform a χ 2 analysis of neutron elastic scattering data off 40 Ca, 90 Zr, and 208 Pb at energies E ≈ 5–40 MeV, assuming a Perey and Buck [Nucl. Phys. 32, 353 (1962)] or Tian et al. [Int. J. Mod. Phys. E 24, 1550006 (2015)] nonlocal form for the optical potential. We introduce energy and asymmetry dependencies in the imaginary part of the potential and refit the data to obtain a global parametrization. Independently of the starting point in the minimization procedure, an energy dependence in the imaginary depth is required for a good description of the data across the included energy range. We then present two parametrizations, both of which represent an improvement over the original potentials for the fitted nuclei as well as for other nuclei not included in our fit. Our results show that, even when including the standard Gaussian nonlocality in optical potential, a significant energy dependence is required to describe elastic-scattering data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

MAGIC Cloud Properties from Zenith Radiance Data Final Campaign Summary

Cloud droplet size and optical depth are the most fundamental properties for understanding cloud formation, dissipation and interactions with aerosol and drizzle. They are also a crucial determinant of Earth’s radiative and water-energy balances. However, these properties are poorly predicted in climate models. As a result, the response of clouds to climate change is one of the major sources of uncertainty in climate prediction.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Recovery of reflectance from imaging spectrometer measured radiance using a radiative transfer code

Radiance data were acquired over part of the Clark Mountain Range, California in 1990 by the Airborne Visible Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS). From these calibrated radiance data, the lateral distribution of water vapor in precipitable mm was recovered through analysis of the 940 nm water absorption. Surface pressure height was calculated from the 760 nm oxygen absorption band in the AVIRIS data. Surface slopes are estimated from relative elevations derived from the equivalent water vapor elevation for a standard atmosphere. Atmospheric optical depths measured at the Mountain Pass site in these data are extended to the entire region and varied based on the calculated surface pressure elevation. These parameters, derived from every AVIRIS spatial element, are used to constrain the LOWTRAN 7 radiative transfer code for the recovery of surface reflectance. Once transformed to reflectance, the imaging spectrometer data may be analyzed quantitatively for determination of surface composition, and compared with reflectance measurements acquired from different locations, times, and instruments.

Green, Robert O.↗

Evaluation of Clouds, Radiation, and Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Global Weather States Derived from ISCCP-H Cloud Property Data

A clustering methodology is applied to cloud optical depth cloud top pressure (TAU-PC) histograms from the new, 1-degree resolution, ISCCP-H dataset, to derive an updated global Weather State (WS) dataset. Then, PC-TAU histograms from current-climate CMIP6 model simulations are assigned to the ISCCP-H WSs along with their concurrent radiation and precipitation properties, to evaluate model cloud, radiation, and precipitation properties in the context of the Weather States. The new ISCCP-H analysis produces WSs that are very similar to those previously found in the lower resolution ISCCP-D dataset. The main difference lies in the splitting of the ISCCP-D thin stratocumulus WS between the ISCCP-H shallow cumulus and stratocumulus WSs, which results in the reduction by one of the total WS number. The evaluation of the CMIP6 models against the ISCCP-H Weather States, shows that, in the ensemble mean, the models are producing an adequate representation of the frequency and geographical distribution of the WSs, with measurable improvements compared to the WSs derived for the CMIP5 ensemble. However, the frequency of shallow cumulus clouds continues to be underestimated, and, in some WSs the good agreement of the ensemble mean with observations comes from averaging models that significantly overpredict and underpredict the ISCCP-H WS frequency. In addition, significant biases exist in the internal cloud properties of the model WSs, such as the model underestimation of cloud fraction in middle-top clouds and secondarily in midlatitude storm and stratocumulus clouds, that result in an underestimation of cloud SW cooling in those regimes.

Clouds↗

A new data processing technique for Rayleigh-Taylor instability growth experiments

Typical face-on experiments for Rayleigh-Taylor instability study involve the time-resolved radiography of an accelerated foil with line-of-sight of the radiography along the direction of motion. The usual method which derives perturbation amplitudes from the face-on images reverses the actual image transmission procedure, so the obtained results will have a large error in the case of large optical depth. In order to improve the accuracy of data processing, a new data processing technique has been developed to process the face-on images. This technique based on convolution theorem, refined solutions of optical depth can be achieved by solving equations. Furthermore, we discuss both techniques for image processing, including the influence of modulation transfer function of imaging system and the backlighter spatial profile. Besides, we use the two methods to the process the experimental results in Shenguang-II laser facility and the comparison shows that the new method effectively improve the accuracy of data processing.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Planck 2015 results: XIII. Cosmological parameters

Here, this paper presents cosmological results based on full-mission Planck observations of temperature and polarization anisotropies of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) radiation. Our results are in very good agreement with the 2013 analysis of the Planck nominal-mission temperature data, but with increased precision. The temperature and polarization power spectra are consistent with the standard spatially-flat 6-parameter ΛCDM cosmology with a power-law spectrum of adiabatic scalar perturbations (denoted “base ΛCDM” in this paper). From the Planck temperature data combined with Planck lensing, for this cosmology we find a Hubble constant, H 0 = (67.8 ± 0.9) km s -1 Mpc -1 , a matter density parameter Ω m = 0.308 ± 0.012, and a tilted scalar spectral index with n s = 0.968 ± 0.006, consistent with the 2013 analysis. Note that in this abstract we quote 68% confidence limits on measured parameters and 95% upper limits on other parameters. We present the first results of polarization measurements with the Low Frequency Instrument at large angular scales. Combined with the Planck temperature and lensing data, these measurements give a reionization optical depth of τ = 0.066 ± 0.016, corresponding to a reionization redshift of z re = 8.8$+1.7\atop{-1.4}$. These results are consistent with those from WMAP polarization measurements cleaned for dust emission using 353-GHz polarization maps from the High Frequency Instrument. We find no evidence for any departure from base ΛCDM in the neutrino sector of the theory; for example, combining Planck observations with other astrophysical data we find N eff = 3.15 ± 0.23 for the effective number of relativistic degrees of freedom, consistent with the value N eff = 3.046 of the Standard Model of particle physics. The sum of neutrino masses is constrained to Σ m ν < 0.23 eV. The spatial curvature of our Universe is found to be very close to zero, with | Ω K | < 0.005. Adding a tensor component as a single-parameter extension to base ΛCDM we find an upper limit on the tensor-to-scalar ratio of r 0.002 < 0.11, consistent with the Planck 2013 results and consistent with the B-mode polarization constraints from a joint analysis of BICEP2, Keck Array, and Planck (BKP) data. Adding the BKP B-mode data to our analysis leads to a tighter constraint of r 0.002 < 0.09 and disfavours inflationarymodels with a V(φ) ∝ φ 2 potential. The addition of Planck polarization data leads to strong constraints on deviations from a purely adiabatic spectrum of fluctuations. We find no evidence for any contribution from isocurvature perturbations or from cosmic defects. Combining Planck data with other astrophysical data, including Type Ia supernovae, the equation of state of dark energy is constrained to w = -1.006 ± 0.045, consistent with the expected value for a cosmological constant. The standard big bang nucleosynthesis predictions for the helium and deuterium abundances for the best-fit Planck base ΛCDM cosmology are in excellent agreement with observations. We also constraints on annihilating dark matter and on possible deviations from the standard recombination history. In neither case do we find no evidence for new physics. The Planck results for base ΛCDM are in good agreement with baryon acoustic oscillation data and with the JLA sample of Type Ia supernovae. However, as in the 2013 analysis, the amplitude of the fluctuation spectrum is found to be higher than inferred from some analyses of rich cluster counts and weak gravitational lensing. We show that these tensions cannot easily be resolved with simple modifications of the base ΛCDM cosmology. Finally, apart from these tensions, the base ΛCDM cosmology provides an excellent description of the Planck CMB observations and many other astrophysical data sets.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Aerosol measurements from earth orbiting spacecraft

The global aerosol data base evolving from monitoring being done by Stratospheric Aerosol Measurement (SAM) II and Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) since the fall of 1978 is presented. Data reveal that polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) enhance extinction and optical depths by up to two orders of magnitude and an order of magnitude, respectively. These data are over background 1000 nm values of approximately 1.2 x 10 to the -4th per km, and 1.3 x 10 to the -3rd, respectively. SAGE has offered, for the first time, quantitative measurements of volcanic eruptions on a nearly global basis, and estimates are given for the amount of aerosol injected into the stratosphere from each volcano. For example, Northern Hemisphere aerosol was enhanced by more than 100% by the 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens, which produced about 0.32 x 10 to the 6th metric tons of aerosol. A cirrus cloud data base is being developed which will be useful in earth radiation and water vapor budget studies. Cross-section, contour, and temperature variation diagrams are included.

Mccormick, M. P.↗

Wireline Deep Drill for the Exploration of Icy Bodies

One of the most pressing current questions in space science is whether life has ever arisen anywhere else in the universe. Water is a critical prerequisite for all life-as-we-know-it, thus the possible exploration targets for extraterrestrial life are bodies that have or had copious liquid: Mars, Europa, and Enceladus. Due to the oxidizing nature of Mars' surface, as well as subsurface liquid water reservoirs present on Europa and Enceladus, the search for evidence of existing life must likely focus on subsurface locations, at depths sufficient to support liquid water or retain biologic signatures. To address these questions, an Auto-Gopher sampler has been developed that is a wireline type drill. This drill is suspended on a tether and its motors and mechanisms are built into a tube that ends with a coring bit. The tether provides the mechanical connection to a rover/lander on a surface as well as power and data communication. Upon penetrating to a target depth, the drill is retracted from the borehole, the core is deposited into a sample transfer system, and the drill is lowered back into the hole. Wireline operation sidesteps one of the major drawbacks of traditional continuous drill string systems by obviating the need for multiple drill sections, which add significantly to the mass and the complexity of the system (i.e. penetration rate was 40 cm per hour). Drilling to 2 meter depth and recovering of cores every 10 cm took a total time of 15 hours (a single step of drilling 10 cm and retrieving the core was 45 minutes). Total energy to reach the 2 m depth was 500 Whr. The Weight on Bit was limited to less than 70 Newton. The core recovery was 100%.

sampling↗

User's Manual for the Naval Interactive Data Analysis System-Climatologies (NIDAS-C), Version 2.0

This technical note provides the user's manual for the NIDAS-C system developed for the naval oceanographic office. NIDAS-C operates using numerous oceanographic data categories stored in an installed version of the Naval Environmental Operational Nowcast System (NEONS), a relational database management system (rdbms) which employs the ORACLE proprietary rdbms engine. Data management, configuration, and control functions for the supporting rdbms are performed externally. NIDAS-C stores and retrieves data to/from the rdbms but exercises no direct internal control over the rdbms or its configuration. Data is also ingested into the rdbms, for use by NIDAS-C, by external data acquisition processes. The data categories employed by NIDAS-C are as follows: Bathymetry - ocean depth at

USER M ANUALS↗

TOMS Tropical Tropospheric Ozone Data Sets at the University of Maryland Website

Since 1997, shortly after the launch of the Earth-Probe TOMS (Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer) satellite instrument, we have been processing data in near-real time to post maps of tropical tropospheric ozone at a website: metosrv2.umd.edu/-tropo. Daily, 3-day and 9-day averages of tropical tropospheric ozone column depth (TTO) are viewable from 10N to 10S. Data can be downloaded (running 9-day means) from 20N-30S. Pollution events are trackable along with dynamically-induced variations in tropospheric ozone column. TOMS smoke aerosol (toms.gsfc.nasa.gov) can be used to interpret biomass burning ozone, as for example, during the extreme ozone and smoke pollution period during the ENSO-related fires of August November 1997. During that time plumes of ozone and smoke were frequently decoupled and ozone from Indonesian fires and from Africa merged in one large feature by late October 1997. In addition to the Earth-Probe TOMS record, data as half-month averages and as daily 9-day means from the Nimbus 7 TOMS instrument are at the metosrv2.umd.edu/-tropo website. A guide to the website and examples of ozone time-series and maps will be shown.

Kochhar, A. K.↗

Discrete element simulation of Pebble Bed Reactors on graphics processing units

Prediction of pebble positions in a Pebble Bed Reactor (PBR) is necessary for both reactor physics and thermal hydraulics simulations as the arrangement of pebbles has a significant impact on the resulting core power, coolant flow, and fuel temperature. Knowledge of pebble movement as the fuel is cycled through the core is also critical for predicting the fuel residence time and subsequently, the fuel burnup. Simulation with the Discrete Element Method (DEM) can provide knowledge of both the fuel packing and the fuel movement during cycling. Previous works that have performed 3D full-core DEM simulation of PBRs have used simplified models that neglect reflector wall features. This work employs a graphics processing unit (GPU)-enabled DEM code, Project Chrono, to analyze the differences in pebble packing and pebble velocities between a simplified smooth PBR reflector and a more realistic reflector that includes circular wall features. Additionally, a sensitivity study is performed on the depth of the wall features to ensure that crystallization is prevented. Project Chrono is also validated for PBR cycling applications using experimental data. It is found that wall features with a depth of at least 0.5 pebble diameters significantly reduce crystallization in the near-wall region, leading to discrepancies in both packing fraction and pebble velocity in this region compared to the simplified reflector models. These discrepancies are found to lead to roughly a 5–10% difference in the prediction of the near-wall porosity and a 10% difference in the prediction of the velocity of pebbles near the wall. As a result of these discrepancies, it is suggested that future DEM simulations of PBRs include wall features to reduce modeling errors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Coordinated aircraft and ship surveys for determining impact of river inputs on great lakes waters. Remote sensing results

The remote sensing results of aircraft and ship surveys for determining the impact of river effluents on Great Lakes waters are presented. Aircraft multi-spectral scanner data were acquired throughout the spring and early summer of 1976 at five locations: the West Basin of Lake Erie, Genesee River - Lake Ontario, Menomonee River - Lake Michigan, Grand River - Lake Michigan, and Nemadji River - Lake Superior. Multispectral scanner data and ship surface sample data are correlated resulting in 40 contour plots showing large-scale distributions of parameters such as total suspended solids, turbidity, Secchi depth, nutrients, salts, and dissolved oxygen. The imagery and data analysis are used to determine the transport and dispersion of materials from the river discharges, especially during spring runoff events, and to evaluate the relative effects of river input, resuspension, and shore erosion. Twenty-five LANDSAT satellite images of the study sites are also included in the analysis. Examples of the use of remote sensing data in quantitatively estimating total particulate loading in determining water types, in assessing transport across international boundaries, and in supporting numerical current modeling are included. The importance of coordination of aircraft and ship lake surveys is discussed, including the use of telefacsimile for the transmission of imagery.

Raquet, C. A.↗

Bright soil units on Mars determined from ISM imaging spectrometer data

The lithology of bright Martian soil provides evidence for chemical and physical processes that have modified the planet's surface. Data from the ISM imaging spectrometer, which observed much of the equatorial region at a spatial resolution of approximately 22 km, cover the NIR wavelength range critical to ascertaining the presence and abundance of Fe-containing phases, hydroxylated silicates, and H2O in the bright soil. ISM data previously have revealed spatial variations in depth of the 3.0-microns H2O absorption suggesting differences in water content, a weak absorption at 2.2 microns indicative of metal-OH in phyllosilicate, and variations in the 1-micron Fe absorption indicative of differences in Fe mineralogy. This paper summarizes first results of a systematic investigation of spectral heterogeneity in bright soils observed by ISM. At least seven 'units' with distinctive properties were discriminated. Comparison of their spatial distributions with Viking data shows that they generally correspond with previously recognized morphologic, color, and thermal features. These correspondences and the units' spectral attributes provide evidence for lithologic differences between the soils in different geologic settings.

Murchie, Scott↗

Task 1: Water Depth Management, 1388

The author has identified the following significant results. ERTS-1 MSS data taken on October 10, 1972, of the Little Bahama Bank are being used to demonstrate the use of ERTS-1 data for mapping of shallow water features for the purpose of upgrading world navigation charts. Marked reflectance differences occur for the shallow water areas in bands 4, 5, and 6. Digital processing of two adjacent data tapes within the ERTS-1 frame covering an area of about 40 by 40 miles has been completed. Correlation of depth measurements to 5 meters has been successful. A mathematical model for depth measurements using ratio of voltages in band 4 and 5 has been successfully developed and is being tested for accuracy. Additional studies for areas near Puerto Rico and in northern Lake Michigan will be undertaken. Satellite data will also provide geographical evidence for verifying existence or nonexistence of doubtful shoal waters now appearing on world charts and considered to be hazardous to shipping.

Polcyn, F. C.↗

New composite reflectance spectra of Mars from 0.4 to 3.14 micron

To verify the quality and accuracy of Phobos-2 Imaging Spectrometer for Mars (ISM) spectra of Mars, we have performed comparisons with telescopic data obtained contemporaneously and which have spatial and spectral overlap with the ISM measurements. We find general agreement between the independently-calibrated data sets in terms of spectral shape and absorption band strength and position in the 0.77 to 0.93 micron overlap region. The telescopic data were scaled to the ISM reflectance values in this overlap region to yield new bright and dark region composite reflectance spectra from 0.40 to 3.14 microns. We ascribe the increase in band depth and overall spectral heterogeneity of the ISM data relative to previous telescopic observations to the more than order of magnitude increase in spatial resolution achieved by ISM from Martian orbit. Further increases in spatial resolution from future orbital imaging spectroscopic instruments can be expected to reveal even greater degrees of compositional and mineralogic diversity on Mars.

Mustard, John F.↗

Improving the Field Portability of Neutron and Gamma Counting Techniques

Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) puts science to work by developing techniques that better meet customers needs for in-situ measurements. There is high demand for laboratory quality measurements in field situations, improving the cost and speed for first responders and environmental monitoring. This work focused on two improvements (1) reading a signal from a neutron detector using a Raspberry Pi (2) testing the Peak-to-Valley method for determining the depth of a source in soil contamination measurements. A Raspberry Pi is a cheap, compact computer. This affordable, compact computer is able to do simple tasks that a desktop computer is able to do, like spreadsheets, browse the internet, play games and even program a simple robot. Additionally, a Raspberry Pi can run off of a battery, so it could be deployed for long term measurements in adverse conditions like neutron monitors deployed in a shipping port. Using the Raspberry Pi and libraries easily accessible on the internet, a code was written in Python that allows the Pi to keep track of how many times a button is pushed. This work will be used with the future goal of creating low power-budget neutron detectors. 1) Make sure Python was correctly installed on the Raspberry Pi. 2) Write a code that will keep track of how many times a button connected to the Pi is pressed. A code was written to use the Raspberry Pi to count the number of times the button was pushed. Moving forward the Raspberry Pi will be tested with a neutron counter. Ideally, each signal from the neutron pulse will be equivalent of 'push the button' and be counted. In the characterization of a soil contamination area both the location and the depth of the source is important. Attenuation of the source by the soil can make determining its depth challenging, particularly for monoenergetic radionuclides like Cs-137. To address this issue, a method of calculating the 'peak-to-valley' ratio of the gamma count spectra is implemented to help calculate the known depth of the source. 1) Determine the 'peak-to-valley' ratio of a Cs-137 source at different depths. 2) Find an appropriate function to serve as a model for the peak-to-valley ratio as a function of depth. Several Petri dishes, filled with sand, were stacked with one containing a Cs-137 source. The individual Petri dishes allowed for the source to be placed at different depths. A bucket was placed over the sand and source, to keep the detector at a consistent height. A Petri dish containing a Eu-155 source, which acted as an internal calibration standard, was placed on top of the bucket. A NaI detector was place on top of the Eu-155 source and the assembly was surrounded by a tungsten shield. Count times were 20 minutes and the data was analyzed using PeakEasy. Data was recorded for Cs-137 at a series of depths in sand. Both exponential and logarithmic functions provided a reasonable fit to the data. The experimental data showed a decreasing 'peak-to-valley' ratio as the depth was increased. The next steps for this project involves determining the optimum fit function and combining the results from sand to different soil types to get a better representation of the soil found at SRS. Eventually, the peak-to-valley ratio will be used to estimate the depth of contamination in field measurements.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗