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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,009 records · Page 56
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Optimal carbon storage reservoir management through deep reinforcement learning

Model-based optimization plays a central role in energy system design and management. The complexity and high-dimensionality of many process-level models, especially those used for geosystem energy exploration and utilization, often lead to formidable computational costs when the dimension of decision space is also large. This work adopts elements of recently advanced deep learning techniques to solve a sequential decision-making problem in applied geosystem management. Specifically, a deep reinforcement learning framework was formed for optimal multiperiod planning, in which a deep Q-learning network (DQN) agent was trained to maximize rewards by learning from high-dimensional inputs and from exploitation of its past experiences. To expedite computation, deep multitask learning was used to approximate high-dimensional, multistate transition functions. Both DQN and deep multitask learning are pattern based. As a demonstration, the framework was applied to optimal carbon sequestration reservoir planning using two different types of management strategies: monitoring only and brine extraction. Both strategies are designed to mitigate potential risks due to pressure buildup. Results show that the DQN agent can identify the optimal policies to maximize the reward for given risk and cost constraints. Finally, experiments also show that knowledge the agent gained from interacting with one environment is largely preserved when deploying the same agent in other similar environments.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Time-series forecasting using manifold learning, radial basis function interpolation, and geometric harmonics

We address a three-tier numerical framework based on nonlinear manifold learning for the forecasting of high-dimensional time series, relaxing the “curse of dimensionality” related to the training phase of surrogate/machine learning models. At the first step, we embed the high-dimensional time series into a reduced low-dimensional space using nonlinear manifold learning (local linear embedding and parsimonious diffusion maps). Then, we construct reduced-order surrogate models on the manifold (here, for our illustrations, we used multivariate autoregressive and Gaussian process regression models) to forecast the embedded dynamics. Finally, we solve the pre-image problem, thus lifting the embedded time series back to the original high-dimensional space using radial basis function interpolation and geometric harmonics. The proposed numerical data-driven scheme can also be applied as a reduced-order model procedure for the numerical solution/propagation of the (transient) dynamics of partial differential equations (PDEs). In conclusion, we assess the performance of the proposed scheme via three different families of problems: (a) the forecasting of synthetic time series generated by three simplistic linear and weakly nonlinear stochastic models resembling electroencephalography signals, (b) the prediction/propagation of the solution profiles of a linear parabolic PDE and the Brusselator model (a set of two nonlinear parabolic PDEs), and (c) the forecasting of a real-world data set containing daily time series of ten key foreign exchange rates spanning the time period 3 September 2001–29 October 2020.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

Soil thickness map at two hillslopes near the pumphouse in the east river watershed, Colorado

The soil thickness maps were created by using a hybrid model-data approach. Field sampling and remote sensing data of the spatial distribution of two hillslopes in the Pump House area in the East River Watershed in the CO., the U.S. The data package includes the geospatial data of the soil thickness maps at two hillslopes near the pumphouse, and the associated remote sensing data, including lidar DEM and a shape file of the boundary of the study area. The data can be viewed in GIS software such as QGIS or ArcGIS desktop. The geospatial data can also be viewed in Python or Matlab. The data were generated for the purpose of modeling surface hydrology and near-surface chemistry. This work shows how to combine sampling data and a process-based model to predict one of the highest uncertainty in the land surface process, the soil thickness.

2D Geospatial Maps↗
DOE OSTI2025

Stable Machine‐Learning Parameterization of Subgrid Processes in a Comprehensive Atmospheric Model Learned From Embedded Convection‐Permitting Simulations

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the multiscale modeling framework (MMF), which embeds a kilometer-resolution cloud-resolving model (CRM) within each atmospheric column of a host climate model to replace traditional convection and cloud parameterizations. Machine learning offers a unique opportunity to make MMF more accessible by emulating the embedded CRM and reducing its substantial computational cost. Although many studies have demonstrated proof-of-concept success of achieving stable hybrid simulations, it remains a challenge to achieve near operational-level success with real geography and comprehensive variable emulation that includes, for example, explicit cloud condensate coupling. In this study, we present a stable hybrid model capable of integrating for at least 5 years with near operational-level complexity, including coarse-grid geography, seasonality, explicit cloud condensate and wind predictions, and land coupling. Our model demonstrates skillful online performance, achieving a 5-year zonal mean tropospheric temperature bias within 2 K, water vapor bias within 1 g/kg, and a precipitation root mean square error of 0.96 mm/day. Key factors contributing to our online performance include an expressive U-Net architecture and physical thermodynamic constraints for microphysics. With microphysical constraints mitigating unrealistic cloud formation, our work is the first to demonstrate realistic multi-year cloud condensate climatology under the MMF framework. Despite these advances, online diagnostics reveal persistent biases in certain regions, highlighting the need for innovative strategies to further optimize online performance.

Hu, Zeyuan [NVIDIA Corporation, Santa Clara, CA (U↗
DOE OSTI2022

Digitalization of an experimental electrochemical reactor via the smart manufacturing innovation platform

The exponential increase in data produced over the last two decades has revolutionized the way we collect, store, process, analyze, model, and interpret information to improve profitability. Manufacturing is no exception. How- ever, Smart Manufacturing, the digital practice, organization, workforce, and infrastructure transformation for collection and deployment of data and models at scale and at all levels of manufacturing, is a complex, costly, and labor-intensive journey that is still seeing slow adoption. The Clean Energy Smart Manufacturing Innovation Institute (CESMII), a national Manufacturing USA public-private partnership sponsored by the Department of Energy, is addressing this scaled use of data and modeling in manufacturing. CESMII has focused on how to col- lect and use operating data for numerous applications that improve productivity, precision, and performance of manufacturing operations from factory floor to supply chain using process simulation, predictive analytics, mon- itoring and control, and real-time optimization. Because contextualized data are key, CESMII has developed the Smart Manufacturing Innovation Platform (SMIP) to lower the barriers to the data that are needed to accelerate data-based model building, improve data visualization, and more quickly gain insights. Reusable, standards-based ways of doing data collection, ingestion, and contextualization are particularly important for scaling access and use of data. The SMIP uses a standards-based definition and construct for reusable information models called an SM Profile. When an SM Profile is used in conjunction with the SMIP, the SMIP ensures the availability of contextualized, operational data for model building. The present work demonstrates Smart Manufacturing and the application of the SMIP for building several data-centered models for the operation and control of an ex- perimental electrochemical reactor that reduces carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) gas to valuable liquid and gas chemicals, such as alcohols, olefins, and syngas. We describe how the SMIP plays a central role in more effective model building and we demonstrate how the electochemical reactor can be controlled and optimized for the desired products. Use of the SMIP involves the transmission of real-time sensor measurements to a cloud resource so that the operating data are available to all model building experts. The data collection and transmission process is fully automated to greatly reduce the need for manual manipulation of the data. Data-driven machine learning models are used for advanced real-time state estimation, real-time optimization, and model-based feedback control for the reactor. The application models are implemented as a system to monitor the data flow and control the electrochemical reactor with a single visualization interface. SM Profiles are used to demonstrate reusability of the information models for the reactor and the instrumentation. The application packages, algorithms, and user interfaces developed are cast as Docker images in a library to facilitate reusability of the application models.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Modelling stellar activity with Gaussian process regression networks

ABSTRACT Stellar photospheric activity is known to limit the detection and characterization of extrasolar planets. In particular, the study of Earth-like planets around Sun-like stars requires data analysis methods that can accurately model the stellar activity phenomena affecting radial velocity (RV) measurements. Gaussian Process Regression Networks (GPRNs) offer a principled approach to the analysis of simultaneous time series, combining the structural properties of Bayesian neural networks with the non-parametric flexibility of Gaussian Processes. Using HARPS-N solar spectroscopic observations encompassing three years, we demonstrate that this framework is capable of jointly modelling RV data and traditional stellar activity indicators. Although we consider only the simplest GPRN configuration, we are able to describe the behaviour of solar RV data at least as accurately as previously published methods. We confirm the correlation between the RV and stellar activity time series reaches a maximum at separations of a few days, and find evidence of non-stationary behaviour in the time series, associated with an approaching solar activity minimum.

Camacho, J. D. (ORCID:0000000151215560)↗
DOE OSTI2022

A CONDUCTION-BASED HEAT PIPE MODEL FOR ANALYZING THE ENTIRE PROCESS OF LIQUID-METAL HEAT PIPE STARTUP

The Heat Pipe-cooled Microreactor (HPM) is one of the micro nuclear reactor designs under active study at the U.S. Idaho National Laboratory. Among the major concerns of HPM research is to understand the startup behavior of the heat pipe-cooled system associated with the startup of the liquid-metal heat pipes initialing from frozen state. The startup of liquid-metal heat pipes typically involves a number of nonlinear mass and heat transport processes including the phase change from solid to liquid and vapor. Hence, it is still a huge challenge to simulate the liquid-metal heat pipe startup using conventional CFD methods and software. The major difficulties of numerical CFD modeling come from the phase-change process, multiphase interaction, microporous wick flow, and compressible gas dynamics that occur during startup of the liquid-metal heat pipes. This paper proposes a simplified conduction-based method to provide practical insights into the entire startup process of the liquid-metal heat pipes while mitigating the challenges of addressing all the complex physics. We discuss the theoretical basis and modeling assumptions to analyze the liquid-metal heat pipe startup from frozen state based solely on heat-conduction equations. Then, the proposed model is implemented into the commercial CFD software to verify the model performance. The model prediction results are discussed via the comparison with the experimental data obtained from sodium heat-pipe startup experiments.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Applying Improved Optical Recognition with Machine Learning on Sorting Cu Impurities in Steel Scrap

Annually, 20–55 million tons of electronic waste (e-waste) is produced worldwide (5% of all municipal solid waste). Although e-waste embodies only 2% of America’s municipal waste, it accounts for a significantly larger proportion of the heavy metals and flame retardants present in the waste stream. Currently, less than 20% of all e-waste is recycled in the United States because the heterogeneity of the feedstock limits the opportunity for reuse in high value products and processing of the waste itself is often too costly to justify handling. To address this concern, the aims of this study are: 1) to identify the major plastic and metal compositions within electronic shredder residue (ESR), 2) to formulate solvents and processing conditions to separate 90% of the plastics targeted from consumer shred ESR, and 3) to develop a process design model to estimate the cost and energy efficiency of the proposed solvent-based processing. In this study, a pre-sorted heterogeneous ESR feedstock (one where aluminum, magnetic components, and hazardous battery materials removed by an e-waste recycling facility) was used, with the major compositions of the ESR characterized. It was found that 25 wt.% of the feedstock was composed of plastics, 6 wt.% rubber, 27 wt.% printed circuit boards, 23% wire, and the remainder metals and capacitors. Within the plastic portion, polystyrene (PS, 40 wt.%), acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS, 25 wt.%), and styrene-acrylonitrile (SAN, 9wt.%) were identified to compose the majority of the screened plastics using Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR). Next, selective solvents were screened using Hansen Solubility Parameter Theory (HSP) for dissolving PS and ABS. The pre-screening results show that methylene chloride (dichloromethane, DCM) and tetrahydrofuran (THF) are capable of dissolving the most PS and ABS, while methanol (MeOH) and ethylene glycol (EG) are capable of precipitating the most PS and ABS. These solvents were subsequently used to recover polymers and remove. flame retardants within the ESR feedstock. By optimizing the dissolution time and the solvents used, the highest polymer dissolution yield (99 wt.%%) was achieved using DCM for 48 hr. Both pre-screened anti-solvents (MeOH and EG) showed the highest polymer precipitation yield (71 wt.%). In terms of flame retardant removal rate, EG was found to have a high phosphorus-containing flame retardant removal rate (up to 98%). Characterization shows that the proposed solvent-based processing can preserve a high molecular weight fraction of the polymers and effectively remove flame retardants. Cost analysis indicates that the amount of the solvent/anti-solvent recovered after the reaction would play a critical role in reducing the operating costs. The energy analysis shows that the proposed solvent-based processes can save up to 60% of the embodied energy used to manufacture plastics used in electronics (PS and ABS were used for calculations). The results from this project prove the potential of solvent-based processing to produce secondary materials (plastics and metals) from e-waste for cross-industry reuse.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Defects in RbF - Treated Cu(InxGal-x)Se2 Solar Cells and Their Impact on Voc

Cu(In,Ga)Se2 solar cell efficiency is limited by VOC due in large part to bulk defects limiting lifetime, but alkali treatments such as RbF recover some of the VOC loss. In this work, defects in RbF-treated and untreated CIGS were quantitatively characterized using DLTS and DLOS, and three main defects were identified in each sample. The RbF-PDT resulted in a large decrease in the mid-gap trap concentration, which was accompanied by a large improvement in minority carrier lifetime. This lifetime improvement combined with a change in doping accounted for a significant portion of the VOC improvement in the RbF CIGS.

charge carrier lifetime↗
DOE OSTI2021

Chemical Recycling of Mixed Plastics and Valuable Metals in the Electronic Waste Using Solvent-Based Processing

Annually, 20-55 million tons of electronic waste (e-waste) is produced worldwide (5% of all municipal solid waste). Although e-waste embodies only 2% of America’s municipal waste, it accounts for a significantly larger proportion of the heavy metals and flame retardants present in the waste stream. Currently, less than 20% of all e-waste is recycled in the United States because the heterogeneity of the feedstock limits the opportunity for reuse in high value products and processing of the waste itself is often too costly to justify handling. To address this concern, the aims of this study are: 1) to identify the major plastic and metal compositions within electronic shredder residue (ESR), 2) to formulate solvents and processing conditions to separate 90% of the plastics targeted from consumer shred ESR, and 3) to develop a process design model to estimate the cost and energy efficiency of the proposed solvent-based processing. In this study, a pre-sorted heterogeneous ESR feedstock (one where aluminum, magnetic components, and hazardous battery materials removed by an e-waste recycling facility) was used, with the major compositions of the ESR characterized. It was found that 25 wt.% of the feedstock was composed of plastics, 6 wt.% rubber, 27 wt.% printed circuit boards, 23% wire, and the remainder metals and capacitors. Within the plastic portion, polystyrene (PS, 40 wt.%), acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS, 25 wt.%), and styrene-acrylonitrile (SAN, 9wt.%) were identified to compose the majority of the screened plastics using Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR). Next, selective solvents were screened using Hansen Solubility Parameter Theory (HSP) for dissolving PS and ABS. The pre-screening results show that methylene chloride (dichloromethane, DCM) and tetrahydrofuran (THF) are capable of dissolving the most PS and ABS, while methanol (MeOH) and ethylene glycol (EG) are capable of precipitating the most PS and ABS. These solvents were subsequently used to recover polymers and remove. flame retardants within the ESR feedstock. By optimizing the dissolution time and the solvents used, the highest polymer dissolution yield (99 wt.%%) was achieved using DCM for 48 hr. Both pre-screened anti-solvents (MeOH and EG) showed the highest polymer precipitation yield (71 wt.%). In terms of flame retardant removal rate, EG was found to have a high phosphorus-containing flame retardant removal rate (up to 98%). Characterization shows that the proposed solvent-based processing can preserve a high molecular weight fraction of the polymers and effectively remove flame retardants. Cost analysis indicates that the amount of the solvent/anti-solvent recovered after the reaction would play a critical role in reducing the operating costs. The energy analysis shows that the proposed solvent-based processes can save up to 60% of the embodied energy used to manufacture plastics used in electronics (PS and ABS were used for calculations). The results from this project prove the potential of solvent-based processing to produce secondary materials (plastics and metals) from e-waste for cross-industry reuse.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Testing, Characterization, and Modeling of the Resonant Plate Test Environment

The resonant plate shock test is a dynamic test of a mid-field pyroshock environment where a projectile is struck against a plate. The structure undergoing the simulated field shock is mounted to the plate. The plate resonates when struck and provides a two sided shock that is representative of the shock observed in the field. This test environment shock simulates a shock in a single coordinate direction for components looking to provide evidence that they will survive a similar or less shock when deployed in their operating environment. However, testing in one axis at a time provides many challenges. The true environment is a multi-axis environment. The test environment exhibits strong off-axis motion when only motion in one axis is desired. Multiple fixtures are needed for a single test series. It would be advantageous if a single test could be developed that tests the multi-axis environment simultaneously. In order to design such a test, a model must be developed and validated. The model can be iterated in design and configuration until the specified multi-axis environment is met. The test can then execute the model driven test design. This report discusses the resonant plate model needed to design future tests and the steps and methods used to obtain the model. This report also details aspects of the resonant plate test discovered during the process of model development that aids in our understanding of the test.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Modeling Predictive Maintenance for NuScale’s Condensate and Feedwater System Using EMRALD

Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD) is used to model of NuScale’s feedwater and condenser system to capture component degradation and repairing process. To model the reliability of the components, a three-stage failure rate is used contrary to a constant rate leading to component failure. Results from EMRALD will be used to compare different maintenance strategies to reduce system downtime. The outcome of the project will assist in maximizing remaining useful life of the overall system and increasing the availability and revenue of the plant.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2023

Peatland hydrology across scale: a probabilistic framework for confronting variability, heterogeneity, and uncertainty (Final Report)

Our project aimed to guide the representations of peatland hydrology and water-carbon feedbacks within Earth System Models, by improving process understanding and developing parsimonious models that elucidate the effects of hydroclimatic variability and spatial heterogeneity. Our research questions centered on the three key drivers of peatland hydrology: (1) seasonal and interannual hydroclimatic fluctuations, (2) spatial heterogeneity of peatland microtopography, and (3) hydrological connectivity across landscape units within a peatland watershed. Our analyses and model testing used existing long-term datasets within the Marcell Experimental Forest (MEF), with new data collected whenever necessary. To date, we have demonstrated the strong influence of water table elevations on the temperature sensitivity of CH 4 emissions, using a newly developed eddy covariance dataset spanning eleven years at MEF. Specifically, higher water tables dampen the increase in CH 4 emissions in the spring as well as their decrease in the fall, resulting in hysteresis. These results imply that any hydroclimatological changes in peatlands that shift seasonal water availability from winter to summer will increase annual CH 4 emissions, even if soil temperature remains unchanged. To further investigate water table elevation change within the peatland microtopography, we installed automated water table gauges across four bog-forest transects (the “lagg”) in two peatland watersheds at MEF, which are hotspots of intense biogeochemical activity. These measurements will give us new information about the extent of lagg expansion and contraction during snowmelt and high intensity rainfall events, as well as the directionality of water and nutrient flow into the bog from the surrounding forests. Finally, we investigated the hydrological connectivity across the peatland watershed complex during early spring – a critical period where water table is elevated from snowmelt – using extended hydrological records from MEF (e.g., snow and frost depths, water table elevations, streamflow). The importance of thermal and wintertime processes within the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) was determined through sensitivity analyses. Results from data analyses show that (i) streamflow has decreased over decades likely due to increased evapotranspiration rates (despite no detectable trends in precipitation), (ii) spring streamflow generation is controlled by a sequence of fill-and-spill pathways from the snowpack to the stream through peatland water stores, and (iii) frost depth is a key explanatory variable for the timing and magnitude of streamflow. These results suggest that frost plays an important role in connecting surface water storage in peatlands to stream outlets, and that the hydrological connectivity across the peatland watershed complex can mediate the sensitivity of hydrological responses to climate variations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Drop size distribution broadening mechanisms in a bin microphysics Eulerian model

In this study, processes that broaden drop size distributions (DSDs) in Eulerian models with two-moment bin microphysics are analyzed. Numerous tests are performed to isolate the effects of different physical mechanisms that broaden DSDs in two- and three-dimensional Weather Research and Forecasting model simulations of an idealized ice-free cumulus cloud. Additionally, sensitivity of these effects to modifying horizontal and vertical model grid spacings is also examined. As expected, collision-coalescence is a key process broadening the modeled DSDs. In-cloud droplet activation also contributes substantially to DSD broadening, whereas evaporation has only a minor effect and sedimentation has little effect. Cloud dilution (mixing of cloud-free and cloudy air) also broadens the DSDs considerably, whether or not it is accompanied by evaporation. This mechanism involves the reduction of droplet concentration from dilution along the cloud’s lateral edges, leading to locally high supersaturation and enhanced drop growth when this air is subsequently lifted in the updraft. DSD broadening ensues when the DSDs are mixed with those from the cloud core. Decreasing the horizontal and vertical model grid spacings from 100 m to 30 m has limited impact on the DSDs. However, when these physical broadening mechanisms (in-cloud activation, collision-coalescence, dilution, etc.) are turned off, there is a reduction of DSD width by up to ~20-50% when the vertical grid spacing is decreased from 100 m to 30 m, consistent with effects of artificial broadening from vertical numerical diffusion. Nonetheless, this artificial numerical broadening appears to be relatively unimportant overall for DSD broadening when physically based broadening mechanisms in the model are included for this cumulus case.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Event-scale predictions of water and nitrogen exports in coastal watersheds

Focal Area(s): The purpose of this white paper is to call for the improvement of the predictability and explainability of the magnitude and timing of water and nutrient exports in coastal watersheds. In this regard, hybrid machine learning approaches and process-based numerical models provide new opportunities to maximize predictability, emulate process-based model components, and explicitly address model uncertainty associated with event-scale predictions in coastal watersheds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Assessment of Microstructure Prediction Capabilities for Powder Bed Fusion Stainless Steel 316

The Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technologies program aims to accelerate the development, qualification, demonstration, and deployment of advanced materials and manufacturing technologies to enable reliable and economical nuclear energy. However, the characteristic process-structure-property relationships of additive manufacturing (AM) materials pose challenges for the qualification and certification of AM nuclear components. In particular, component-scale variations in microstructure and properties can be driven by localized changes in melt pool dynamics due to how process parameters interact with different part geometries. Computational modeling tools can play a crucial role in predicting and controlling this variability. This report presents final results on process modeling tools designed to predict microstructure variability in additively manufactured stainless steel 316 parts. It details the software packages and physical modeling approaches employed to simulate an AM component within an automated process modeling workflow. Results are demonstrated through comparisons between predicted microstructures and experimental measurements across various representative processing conditions. The report concludes by discussing identified challenges and future opportunities for connecting the developed simulation workflow with mechanics simulations for prediction of part performance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Integrating Tide‐Driven Wetland Soil Redox and Biogeochemical Interactions Into a Land Surface Model

Abstract Redox processes, aqueous and solid‐phase chemistry, and pH dynamics are key drivers of subsurface biogeochemical cycling and methanogenesis in terrestrial and wetland ecosystems but are typically not included in terrestrial carbon cycle models. These omissions may introduce errors when simulating systems where redox interactions and pH fluctuations are important, such as wetlands where saturation of soils can produce anoxic conditions and coastal systems where sulfate inputs from seawater can influence biogeochemistry. Integrating cycling of redox‐sensitive elements could therefore allow models to better represent key elements of carbon cycling and greenhouse gas production. We describe a model framework that couples the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model (ELM) with PFLOTRAN biogeochemistry, allowing geochemical processes and redox interactions to be integrated with land surface model simulations. We implemented a reaction network including aerobic decomposition, fermentation, sulfate reduction, sulfide oxidation, methanogenesis, and methanotrophy as well as pH dynamics along with iron oxide and iron sulfide mineral precipitation and dissolution. We simulated biogeochemical cycling in tidal wetlands subject to either saltwater or freshwater inputs driven by tidal hydrological dynamics. In simulations with saltwater tidal inputs, sulfate reduction led to accumulation of sulfide, higher dissolved inorganic carbon concentrations, lower dissolved organic carbon concentrations, and lower methane emissions than simulations with freshwater tidal inputs. Model simulations compared well with measured porewater concentrations and surface gas emissions from coastal wetlands in the Northeastern United States. These results demonstrate how simulating geochemical reaction networks can improve land surface model simulations of subsurface biogeochemistry and carbon cycling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Understanding Dynamics and Thermodynamics of ENSO and Its Complexity Simulated by E3SM and Other Climate Models

Despite the seeming success of most state-of-the-art climate models in simulating the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), there is strong evidence that models achieve realistic levels of ENSO activity do so often for wrong reasons. This is owing to an often occurred near cancelation of large errors in terms of contributions to ENSO growth rate from coupled dynamic and thermodynamic feedback processes. Climate models remain deficient in simulating the observed ENSO’s spatial and temporal complexity that involves interplays of coupled dynamic and thermodynamic feedbacks, interactions across multiple scales, nonlinear processes in the tropical atmosphere and ocean system, biases in mean sate and physical processes, and influences external to equatorial Pacific coupled ENSO dynamics. Our proposed research aims at advancing predictive and process-level understandings of ENSO simulated in E3SM and other climate models under current and future climate conditions with two main objectives: (i) better understanding the aforementioned broad range interactive processes and sources that control fundamental properties of ENSO in E3SM and CIMP6 outputs as well as in observational (reanalysis) data sets, using a hierarchical of coupled dynamical frameworks consisting of theoretical analysis, intermediate complexity modeling, and coupled dynamic diagnostics; (ii) to use this understanding to explore pathways towards improving E3SM’s capability of simulating ENSO and its complexity. More specifically, we will focus on four main thrusts of research: (1) ENSO’s dynamic and thermodynamic feedbacks; (2) the across-scale interactions of ENSO with annual cycle and MJO/WWB/TIW (Madden Julian Oscillation/Westerly Wind Burst/Tropical Instability Wave) activity; (3) key nonlinear processes of ENSO involving atmospheric convective thresholds, nonlinear ocean dynamic heating, and thermocline outcropping; and (4) the impacts of climate mean-state biases/changes and perturbed physical processes on simulated ENSO and its complexity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗