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At least 1,009 records · Page 56

Transport-driven toroidal rotation with general viscosity profile

Abstract Using the assumption of a weak normalized turbulent viscosity, usually valid in practice, the modulated-transport model (Stoltzfus-Dueck 2012 Phys. Plasmas 19 055908) is generalized to allow the turbulent transport coefficient to vary in an arbitrary way on radial and poloidal position. The new approach clarifies the physical interpretation of the earlier results and significantly simplifies the calculation, via a boundary-layer asymptotic method. Rigorous detailed appendices verify the result of the simple boundary-layer calculation, also demonstrating that it achieves the claimed order of accuracy and providing a concrete prediction for the strong plasma flows in the immediate vicinity of the last closed flux surface. The new formulas are used to predict plasma rotation at the core-edge boundary, in cases with and without externally applied torque. Dimensional formulas and extensive discussion are provided, to support experimental application of the new model.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The macroevolution of filamentation morphology across the Saccharomycotina yeast subphylum

Saccharomycotina is a subphylum of ascomycete fungi with diverse asexual growth morphologies. Filamentous growth can comprise linear and branched budding cells that do not undergo cell separation, termed pseudohyphae, or tubular filaments with septa that perforate allowing movement of organelles, termed true hyphae. We integrated phenotypic, genomic, metabolic, and environmental data on isolation sources from 1051 species to examine the variation and evolutionary history of filamentation across Saccharomycotina and determine whether these data could predict filamentation types. We found that 63.37% of strains can form filaments; 6.56% true hyphae, 42.40% pseudohyphae, and 14.39% both true hyphae and pseudohyphae. The distributions of species that can produce true hyphae or filament were more strongly correlated with the yeast phylogeny than the distribution of species with pseudohyphae. Ancestral state reconstruction suggested that true hyphal and pseudohyphal morphologies evolved several times, that most yeast ancestors likely produced pseudohyphae or lacked filaments, and that the Saccharomycotina last common ancestor likely produced pseudohyphae but not true hyphae. Machine learning models trained on genomic and metabolic features predicted filament morphologies with ∼70% accuracy. Connecting the evolution of morphologies to their genomic, physiological, and ecological characteristics will enrich our understanding of how the diversity of lifestyles evolved in Saccharomycotina.

Saccharomycotina↗

First-principles simulation of a shocked H-He mixture along the principal Hugoniot

Recent laser-shock experiments on an H–He mixture containing 11% helium (atomic fraction) have suggested the presence of an immiscibility region inside Jupiter. Reflectivity measurements were used as the primary diagnostic of H–He demixing, with discontinuities in the optical reflectivity proposed as a signature of phase separation under conditions relevant to Jupiter's interior. Here, we investigate shock-compressed H–He using ab initio molecular dynamics simulations with optical properties evaluated within the Kubo–Greenwood formalism. The equation of state and ionic configurations were obtained using the thermal Tr 2 SCANL meta-GGA exchange–correlation (XC) functional, while optical properties were computed using the recently developed RS-KDT0 range-separated thermal hybrid XC, which provides state-of-the-art accuracy for band-gap predictions in the warm dense matter regime. The calculated reflectivity shows overall good agreement with experimental measurements; however, no discontinuity is observed at elevated temperatures. Moreover, the reflectivity predictions for the mixed system are consistent with the experimental measurements in the temperature range where the mixture is inferred to be demixed. Furthermore, these results suggest that reflectivity alone may not provide a unique or sensitive diagnostic of H–He demixing at low helium concentrations under these conditions.

Density functional calculations↗

A Unified Metric for Fast Frequency Response in Low-Inertia Power Systems

Future power systems with more inverter-based resources (IBRs), will be vulnerable to frequency decline contingencies. Fast frequency response (FFR) provided by IBRs is a good candidate to arrest frequency excursions. Diverse types of FFR have been proposed, and some have been deployed in our power systems. Without a unified quantification of FFR, it is hard for the grid operators to compare and fully leverage the FFR capabilities of IBRs. This work introduces a potential unified metric that quantifies two key characteristics of FFR and describes its application to three prevailing FFR types. We then use metric-to-frequency mapping to validate the accuracy of the metric in predicting the impact of a given FFR on the trajectory of a frequency event. The results show that the proposed metric is simple yet accurately captures the ability of diverse forms of FFR to improve system frequency dynamics.

effective inertia↗

Genome-wide DNA methylation patterns harbour signatures of hatchling sex and past incubation temperature in a species with environmental sex determination

Conservation of thermally sensitive species depends on monitoring organismal and population-level responses to environmental change in real time. Epigenetic processes are increasingly recognized as key integrators of environmental conditions into developmentally plastic responses, and attendant epigenomic data sets hold potential for revealing cryptic phenotypes relevant to conservation efforts. Here, we demonstrate the utility of genome-wide DNA methylation (DNAm) patterns in the face of climate change for a group of especially vulnerable species, those with temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD). Due to their reliance on thermal cues during development to determine sexual fate, contemporary shifts in temperature are predicted to skew offspring sex ratios and ultimately destabilize sensitive populations. Using reduced-representation bisulphite sequencing, we profiled the DNA methylome in blood cells of hatchling American alligators (Alligator mississippiensis), a TSD species lacking reliable markers of sexual dimorphism in early life stages. We identified 120 sex-associated differentially methylated cytosines (DMCs; FDR < 0.1) in hatchlings incubated under a range of temperatures, as well as 707 unique temperature-associated DMCs. We further developed DNAm-based models capable of predicting hatchling sex with 100% accuracy (in 20 training samples and four test samples) and past incubation temperature with a mean absolute error of 1.2°C (in four test samples) based on the methylation status of 20 and 24 loci, respectively. Though largely independent of epigenomic patterning occurring in the embryonic gonad during TSD, DNAm patterns in blood cells may serve as nonlethal markers of hatchling sex and past incubation conditions in conservation applications. These findings also raise intriguing questions regarding tissue-specific epigenomic patterning in the context of developmental plasticity.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Sequence length scaling in vision transformers for scientific images on frontier

Vision Transformers (ViTs) are pivotal for foundational models in scientific imagery, including Earth science applications, due to their capability to process large sequence lengths. While transformers for text have inspired scaling sequence lengths in ViTs, adapting these for ViTs introduces unique challenges. We develop distributed sequence parallelism for ViTs, enabling them to handle up to 1M tokens. Our approach, leveraging DeepSpeed-Ulysses and Long-Sequence-Segmentation with model sharding, is the first to apply sequence parallelism in ViT training, achieving a 94% batch scaling efficiency on 2,048 AMD-MI250X GPUs. Evaluating sequence parallelism in ViTs, particularly in models up to 10B parameters, highlighted substantial bottlenecks. We countered these with hybrid sequence, pipeline, and flash attention strategies, to scale beyond single GPU memory limits. Our method significantly enhances climate modeling accuracy by 20% in temperature predictions, marking the first training of a vision transformer model to convergence with a sequence length of 188K tokens, using full self-attention.

Tsaris, Aristeidis (aris) [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000277↗

Preliminary Study of Iodine Gas Removal in Sodium Pools

Potential iodine gas release from failed fuel pins is a critical factor in the source term analysis of oxide fuel-loaded sodium fast reactors (SFRs). The accumulated iodine-containing gas mixtures inside pin plenums are expected to be ejected during pin failures and rise through sodium pool, with potential release of gaseous iodine to the cover gas region. Due to its potential radiological impacts, a proper assessment of iodine behavior is necessary for an accurate source term assessment. Throughout the bubble rise trajectory in the sodium pool, iodine gas is continuously removed or transformed at the bubble interface by diffusion, as the combining reaction between the iodine and sodium to form sodium iodide (NaI) is a chemically preferred process. As the final amount of iodine released from the facility is strongly influenced by the removal phenomenon inside the sodium pool, experiments were previously performed by PNC (Power Reactor and Nuclear Fuel Development Corporation) to provide insight into this phenomenon. To assess the accuracy of present methods for predicting iodine gas removal within sodium pools, several candidate approaches, available in source term analysis codes, have been summarized and evaluated in this study. Spherical cap bubbles and spherical bubbles are considered in accordance with the methods adopted in each approach, and different forms of correlations for major parameters have been implemented in accordance with the original adoptions. Based on the summarized results, important aspects to be considered have been derived.

Decontamination↗

Validation of Computational Fluid Dynamics Simulations for Biological Performance Assessment in Hydropower units (Final Report)

The biological performance assessment (BioPA) toolset developed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) estimates the relative biological performance of fish passage at a hydroelectric power turbine unit. The tool is based on the use of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and fish biological response relationships. The recent release, BioPA-v3, is based on directly computed trajectory and collision of material Lagrangian particles using CFD simulation codes rather than the prior version that relies on Tecplot to compute streamtrace trajectories. Before modifying the toolset, a series of validation tests were performed at the various steps of modification in the toolset. Validation is a critical step of any numerical investigation that reflects the accuracy and reliability of the predicted results. It raises the confidence level of the user to use the modified version of the BioPA toolset. Several test cases were simulated and compared, where available, to observed data. The trajectory and collision of the small spherical and cylindrical particles in a water flume were compared to in-house experiments. The CFD predicted collision rate and flow field compared well with experimental observation for vane array and large cylinder as target bodies. Next, the CFD-predicted flow field and hydraulic performance of a laboratory-scale model of a Francis turbine was also successfully validated. Note that the trajectory of the particles is significantly affected by the flow field in such extreme conditions. In addition to the particle trajectories and flow field, the collision detection method employed in the CFD simulations was also successfully validated. The CFD predicted impact velocity, collision time, velocity, and trajectory of a sphere excellently matched with analytical value for a bouncing ball in the elastic collision. A similar approach was also tested and successfully validated for a collision of sphere with a 45° inclined plane. After successfully validating different cases, the BioPA toolset was modified to use direct output of the CFD prediction and the new version can be used in evaluating biological performance at hydroelectric turbines.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Improving and testing machine learning methods for benchmarking soil carbon dynamics representation of land surface models

Representation of soil organic carbon (SOC) dynamics in Earth system models (ESMs) is a key source of uncertainty in predicting carbon climate feedbacks. The magnitude of this uncertainty can be reduced by accurate representation of environmental controllers of SOC stocks in ESMs. In this study, we used data of environmental factors, field SOC observations, ESM projections and machine learning approaches to identify dominant environmental controllers of SOC stocks and derive functional relationships between environmental factors and SOC stocks. Our derived functional relationships predicted SOC stocks with similar accuracy as the machine learning approach. We used the derived relationships to benchmark the coupled model intercomparison project phase six ESM representation of SOC stocks. We found divergent environmental control representation in ESMs in comparison to field observations. Representation of SOC in ESMs can be improved by including additional environmental factors and representing their functional relationships with SOC consistent with observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Developing Data-Driven Synthetic Infrastructure Models for Resilience Analysis

Research on infrastructure resilience has produced promising methods to simulate and optimize complex networks to improve performance. However, restrictions on sharing infrastructure models and the steep cost of developing and maintaining infrastructure models presents a roadblock to adoption. To overcome this limitation, this research focuses on methods to create data-driven infrastructure models that will help improve infrastructure resilience and security. The analysis couples incomplete utility data, geospatial data, machine learning, and synthetic network generation methods to rapidly develop and update infrastructure models. The methods are validated using realistic utility models and site-specific data, with a focus on Puerto Rico due to its unique infrastructure challenges and available data. This research highlights promising opportunities for the use of synthetic network generation and machine learning to create infrastructure models when very little data is available. Results demonstrate that hybrid methods, which combine sparse utility data with synthetic models, can enhance model accuracy, and machine learning can predict model attributes using training data from other models. However, the complexity of infrastructure systems means that even minor changes in network connectivity can significantly impact simulation results. Resilience analysis using synthetic infrastructure models shows that while some system behaviors are preserved, the magnitude of disruptions may not be accurately represented, indicating the need for more research and validation before using synthetic models for critical infrastructure investment decisions. The framework outlined in this report represents a significant advance to infrastructure model development and could be applied to additional domains and sites. Future research will continue to streamline and validate methods to help reduce roadblocks to resilience analysis.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Advancing 1D thermo-hydraulic tools for large cryogenic facilities

The Cryogenic Division at Fermilab develops large-scale cryogenic systems for particle accelerators and superconducting test facilities. To support design and diagnostics, a Python-based code was created to calculate pressure drops in components such as valves and pipes. This paper presents recent enhancements to the code, including new heat transfer functions that improve the accuracy of thermal and hydraulic predictions. The first application models pressure and temperature changes in PIP-II relief pipes, aiding pipe sizing and protecting relief valves. The second example analyzes heat load evolution in a pipe carrying sub-atmospheric helium, helping interpret temperature sensor data and understand gas return behavior to cold compressors. These improvements significantly expand the tool’s capabilities, offering a practical resource for designing and troubleshooting cryogenic systems under dynamic thermal and flow conditions.

Beckwith, Rosalyn [Fermilab]↗

Interpolation as a means of shift selection for multilevel Monte Carlo with lattice displacements

The calculation of disconnected diagram contributions to physical signals is a computationally expensive task in Lattice QCD. To extract the physical signal, the trace of the inverse Lattice Dirac operator, a large sparse matrix, must be stochastically estimated. Because the variance of the stochastic estimator is typically large, variance reduction techniques must be employed. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods reduce the variance of the trace estimator by utilizing a telescoping sequence of estimators. Frequency Splitting is one such method that uses a sequence of inverses of shifted operators to estimate the trace of the inverse of the lattice Dirac operator, however there is no a priori way to select the shifts that minimize the cost of the multilevel trace estimation. We present a sampling and interpolation scheme that is able to predict the variances associated with Frequency Splitting under displacements of the underlying space time lattice. The interpolation scheme is able to predict the variances to high accuracy and therefore choose shifts that correspond to an approximate minimum of the cost for the trace estimation. We show that Frequency Splitting with the chosen shifts displays significant speedups over multigrid deflation

Whyte, Travis↗

Gaussian Process Regression for Aggregate Baseline Load Forecasting

Demand response (DR) is one of the most effective ways to maintain the reliability and improve the flexibility of power systems. Accurate forecasts of baseline loads are essential for DR programs. In the era of big data, machine learning-based approaches present a unique opportunity for baseline load forecasting. Thus, this paper presents a machine learning-based approach using a relatively less explored algorithm, Gaussian process regression (GPR), to forecast aggregate baseline loads. As such, a dataset was generated using a set of EnergyPlus simulations. Using the generated dataset, a GPR-based forecasting model was developed. In addition, support vector regression (SVR)-, artificial neural network (ANN)-, and averaging-based models were developed as baseline models for comparison. These models were compared in terms of accuracy, simplicity, and integrity. The prediction performance of the models showed that the GPR-based model is more accurate and reliable than the others. Such high performance shows the potential of the GPR in baseline load forecasting. GPR, therefore, can be used for DR applications.

Amasyali, Kadir↗

Machine-learning-based, online estimation of ceramic’s microstructure upon the laser spot brightness during laser sintering

The ceramic microstructure strongly influences its properties. During manufacturing, the online monitoring of microstructure is critical to ensure the desired material properties. So far, the microstructure on the relevant scale is usually characterized offline using scanning electron microscopy (SEM), which is time and cost-consuming. In this work, we demonstrate a cost-effective, machine learning (ML)-based approach to simulate the SEM micrographs in real-time from the laser spot brightness. We experimentally observed a strong correlation between the laser spot brightness and the corresponding microstructure at the exact locations. The brightness values obtained from thermal emission images and the corresponding SEM micrographs were used in the training datasets. The ML algorithm was a style-based conditional generative adversarial network (CGAN). After training, the ML model could generate high-fidelity microstructure images within 0.1 seconds based on in-situ captured brightness at the laser sintering spot. We used the average grain sizes as the metric to evaluate the accuracy of the ML-predicted micrographs. Here, the ML-predicted microstructures were in good agreement, with less than 5% in difference from the real SEM images. In conclusion, we demonstrate the cost-effective, online microstructure estimation during laser sintering with a simple setup (a camera, a regular computer, and the ML model).

08 HYDROGEN↗

Thermal field reconstruction and compressive sensing using proper orthogonal decomposition

Model order reduction allows critical information about sensor placement and experiment design to be distilled from raw fluid mechanics simulation data. In many cases, sensed information in conjunction with reduced order models can also be used to regenerate full field variables. In this paper, a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) inferencing method is extended to the modeling and compressive sensing of temperature, a scalar field variable. The method is applied to a simulated, critically stable, incompressible flow over a heated cylinder (Re = 1000) with Prandtl number varying between 0.001 and 50. The model is trained on pressure and temperature data from simulations. Field reconstructions are then generated using data from selected sensors and the POD model. Finally, the reconstruction error is evaluated across all Prandtl numbers for different numbers of retained modes and sensors. The predicted trend of increasing reconstruction accuracy with decreasing Prandtl number is confirmed and a Prandtl number/sensor count error matrix is presented.

Matulis, John↗

Assessing shellfish water exposure to fecal bacteria pollution in Salish Sea: three-dimensional modeling and implications for monitoring

Fecal bacteria (FB) contamination poses significant risks to shellfish safety and management in coastal and estuarine waters. Despite extensive pollution identification and correction efforts, FB contamination in shellfish-growing areas persists in the Salish Sea, highlighting the need to identify overlooked sources and better understand FB transport from riverine and shoreline inputs to shellfish beds. To address this, a high-resolution three-dimensional hydrodynamic model coupled with FB kinetics was developed and applied to a case study site in Salish Sea—Portage Bay—to simulate freshwater plume circulation, flushing dynamics, and bacterial transport. Daily FB loading from the major freshwater inflow—Nooksack River was generated by both linear interpolation and integrating a machine learning approach (XGBoost), trained on historical hydrological and meteorological data. The model successfully reproduced both the magnitude and seasonal variation of FB concentrations in Portage Bay for the year of 2021, demonstrating that simplified FB kinetics with first-order decay due to mortality was effective in this dynamic coastal environment with short flushing time. Model results identified the Nooksack River as the dominant far-field FB source, while scenario simulations showed that near-field coastal stormwater outfalls elevated local FB levels following rainfall, particularly under low-flow conditions. The XGBoost prediction provided comparable or superior accuracy to linear interpolation, particularly during periods of missing observational data, by capturing short-term variability and event-driven loading more effectively. Integrating data-driven riverine FB inputs with mechanistic coastal numerical modeling provides a robust framework for operational forecasting of shellfish bed exposure risk and supports adaptive monitoring and management of shellfish growing areas in the Salish Sea and similar coastal systems.

Salish Sea↗

Machine-learning-based investigation of the variables affecting summertime lightning occurrence over the Southern Great Plains

Lightning is affected by many factors, many of which are not routinely measured, well understood, or accounted for in physical models. Several commonly used machine learning (ML) models have been applied to analyze the relationship between Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) data and lightning data from the Earth Networks Total Lightning Network (ENTLN) in order to identify important variables affecting lightning occurrence in the vicinity of the Southern Great Plains (SGP) ARM site during the summer months (June, July, August and September) of 2012 to 2020. Testing various ML models, we found that the random forest model is the best predictor among common classifiers. When convective clouds were detected, it predicts lightning occurrence with an accuracy of 76.9 % and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.850. Using this model, we further ranked the variables in terms of their effectiveness in nowcasting lightning and identified geometric cloud thickness, rain rate and convective available potential energy (CAPE) as the most effective predictors. The contrast in meteorological variables between no-lightning and frequent-lightning periods was examined for hours with CAPE values conducive to thunderstorm formation. Besides the variables considered for the ML models, surface variables and mid-altitude variables (e.g., equivalent potential temperature and minimum equivalent potential temperature, respectively) have statistically significant contrasts between no-lightning and frequent-lightning hours. For example, the minimum equivalent potential temperature from 700 to 500 hPa is significantly lower during frequent-lightning hours compared with no-lightning hours. Finally, a notable positive relationship between the intracloud (IC) flash fraction and the square root of CAPE ($\sqrt{CAPE}$) was found, suggesting that stronger updrafts increase the height of the electrification zone, resulting in fewer flashes reaching the surface and consequently a greater IC flash fraction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Reducing NOx Emissions in Ammonia Combustors

Ammonia continues to attract growing interest as a carbonneutral replacement fuel, motivating numerous research efforts toward understanding fundamental ammonia combustion characteristics. A major challenge for the use of ammonia is the development of combustor technologies for mitigating potentially high NOx emissions from the fuel-bound nitrogen chemical pathways to acceptable levels. Our work focuses on a staged RQL combustor architecture for minimizing the NOx emission levels through burning fuel-rich in the primary stage to formcombustion products containing significant levels of hydrogen in addition to nitrogen and water with minimal NOx formation. The subsequent quench and burnout stages of the combustor must then quickly burn residual hydrogen with flame-temperatures moderated by nitrogen and water forming in the first stage. Chemical Reactor Network modeling was used to understand and identify optimal stoichiometry and residence times in each stage for minimizing NOx emissions and to quantify pressure and temperature effects. Reducing the overall NOx emissions requires relatively long residence times in the primary stage to achieve near equilibrium NO levels due to kinetically controlling processes. For conditions relevant to gas turbines (e.g., 30 atm), our work indicates that NOx emissions below 20 ppm are theoretically achievable in a staged RQL combustor architecture. However, these emission predictions significantly depend on the accuracies of currently available chemical kinetic mechanisms which have not been extensively validated under elevated pressure and temperature conditions relevant to gas turbines.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗