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DOE OSTI2026

Avoidance of disruptions on KSTAR due to vertical displacement events via novel real-time stability assessment

Disruption avoidance via the DECAF approach has been achieved on KSTAR using a novel real-time vertical stability assessment and a multiactuator feedback control strategy. The development of disruption avoidance strategies with reactor-relevant reliability is an urgent activity, enabling future fusion power plants. The stability metric employed is based on a new formulation of a vertical force gradient balance metric evaluated across the poloidal cross section of the plasma, with parameters tuned using historical data. Evaluation of this metric on a validation set of 400 recent KSTAR shots indicates >82% of Vertical displacement events can be avoided via feedback control. Essential to its calculation is the two-dimensional toroidal current density distribution in the plasma. Measurement of this profile faster than fully-converged equilibrium reconstructions can deliver is found to improve forecaster performance and is achieved with a surrogate model that takes as input magnetic diagnostic measurements and outputs the current profile on a basis comprising the top principal components of historical current profiles (from past equilibrium reconstructions). This method solves the non-uniqueness problem typically faced when reconstructing current profiles directly from diagnostics, while improving computational time and accuracy. On average, profiles produced by this model reach coefficients of determination of >0.99 with respect to those from equilibrium reconstructions. The avoidance actuators employed include poloidal field coils and an electron cyclotron current drive system. The multiactuator approach, as shown in this first demonstration, allows disruption avoidance while minimizing impact to operational performance. This ability, along with its flexibility and speed, makes this new approach an attractive option for avoiding these types of disruptions in reactors.

Tobin, Matthew [Columbia Univ., New York, NY (Unit↗

DOE OSTI2026

Multiscale and multidimensional modeling of particle acceleration and transport in solar flares

Multi-messenger, multi-viewpoint, and time-resolved observations of solar flares are now providing unprecedented constraints on particle acceleration sites, energy conversion, and energy transport. The interpretation of current observations, including microwave imaging spectroscopy from EOVSA, hard x-ray (HXR) imaging from Solar Orbiter/STIX, gamma-ray diagnostics from Fermi, and in situ measurements from Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter, collectively demands modeling frameworks that go beyond traditional spatially unresolved, one-zone models or single-mechanism descriptions. This review surveys multiscale and multidimensional modeling approaches, including kinetic, magnetohydrodynamic (MHD), and macroscopic particle models, that are being developed to meet the need. Kinetic simulations reveal that three-dimensional (3D) effects, including field-line chaos and self-generated turbulence, are essential for sustained power-law particle acceleration. MHD simulations now capture flux-rope eruptions, plasmoid-unstable current sheets, and turbulent flare regions in realistic magnetic topologies. Macroscopic models coupling MHD with energetic-particle models produce spatially resolved electron distributions and synthetic HXR and microwave emissions for direct comparison with observations. Despite these advances, outstanding challenges remain in bridging kinetic and global scales, improving MHD simulations and macroscopic particle models, and achieving quantitative model-observation closure.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Development and performance of high-temperature superconducting CORC ® cables with CFD REBCO tapes

Abstract Increasing the normal zone propagation velocity (NZPV) in superconducting cables based on rare earth barium copper oxide (REBCO) tapes is expected to cause a paradigm shift by enabling the development of faster and more reliable quench detection systems to mitigate the development of destructive hot spots. Furthermore, a higher NZPV is beneficial in terms of fault current limitation capabilities by accelerating the homogenization of the quench in superconducting power devices. One way envisioned to increase the NZPV of cables based on REBCO tapes is the current flow diverter (CFD) concept. A Conductor on Round Core (CORC ® ) cable made with CFD REBCO tapes, called CFD CORC ® cable, and a CORC ® cable made with regular REBCO tapes, were fabricated and tested. The critical current of the CFD and regular CORC ® cables were obtained at temperatures ranging from 67 to 77 K in self-field. Measurements showed that the NZPV was increased by a factor of 4–4.5 in the case of the CFD CORC ® cable. Furthermore, the results suggest that the NZPV depends only on the applied current, similar to what has been observed previously on single REBCO tapes. These results demonstrate the successful integration of CFD REBCO tapes in CORC ® cables, without compromising their superconducting properties or their enhanced NZPV. The possibility of enhancing the NZPV of REBCO-based cables could facilitate quench detection, which remains an important issue in HTS magnet applications. This advancement also holds promise for the fault current limitation functionality of CORC ® cables.

Ben Saâd, Haïfa (ORCID:0000000216205364)↗

DOE OSTI2026

Degradation Dynamics of Perovskite Solar Cells Under Fixed Reverse Current Injection

Previous studies of reverse-bias stability in perovskite solar cells have focused primarily on voltage controlled reverse-bias tests. Here we instead present an investigation of perovskite solar cell degradation under well-defined, constant reverse-current stress. We show that the choice of hole-transport layer dictates the dominant degradation pathway: cells using thick poly(triphenylamine) (PTAA) layers with better indium-doped tin oxide (ITO) coverage can tolerate high reverse bias but quickly undergo catastrophic breakdown under fixed reverse current near their one-sun maximum power-point. In contrast, cells modified with the phosphonic-acid interface layer MeO-2PACz, with poorer ITO coverage compared to PTAA, exhibit soft, gradual, and largely recoverable degradation, regardless of the shading conditions. For MeO-2PACz devices, degradation increases with both current magnitude and duration. Importantly, when normalized by injected charge (current times duration), lower currents applied over longer times cause more severe degradation than higher currents over shorter periods. Combining electrical measurements with spatially resolved photoluminescence imaging, we argue against shunt formation and instead support an ion- and charge-mediated interfacial electrochemical degradation mode.

Applied Physics (physics.app-ph)↗

DOE OSTI2026

Gearbox bearing crack growth prognostics and uncertainty quantification with physics-informed machine learning

This paper introduces the extreme theory of functional connections (X-TFC), a physics-informed machine learning algorithm, and tailors it to estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) of wind turbine gearbox bearings experiencing fatigue crack growth. Unlike purely data-driven methods, X-TFC embeds a physics model, based on Head's theory in this work, into its training objective. The core of X-TFC is a random-projection single-layer neural network trained via an extreme learning machine, which requires only limited damage progression data and solves for output weights with a least-squares optimization algorithm. A composite loss function balances the network's fit to observed degradation data against the residuals of the governing crack growth differential equation, ensuring the learned damage trajectory remains physically plausible. When applied to a vibration-based health-index (HI) dataset measured during the growth of a crack on the inner ring of a high-speed bearing in a wind turbine gearbox (Bechhoefer and Dubé, 2020), X-TFC achieves near-zero prediction bias. Even when trained on only the first 10 %–20 % of the damage progression data, with sufficient physics weighting its predictions remain monotonic and smooth, delivering high prognosability and trendability. To quantify the epistemic uncertainty, we employ a Monte Carlo ensemble of independently initialized X-TFC models trained on noise-perturbed data, which yields confidence intervals around each RUL estimate and captures both model-parameter and epistemic uncertainty. In addition to a vibration-based HI, we demonstrate that the proposed framework can be directly applied to a supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data-based HI (Eftekhari Milani et al., 2026) measured during similar wind turbine gearbox bearing crack faults, preserving its accuracy and interpretability. This extension shows the versatility of our approach, which is applicable to bearings of multiple gearbox manufacturers, models, and ratings using only SCADA data. By integrating domain knowledge with machine learning, X-TFC offers a rapid, reliable tool for crack prognostics. Its adaptability to other bearing failure modes, such as pitch bearing ring cracks, positions X-TFC as a powerful enabler of data-driven, physics-informed asset management in the wind energy sector and beyond.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Geothermal Heat Pump System Showcase: Short-Term Validation of Borehole Heat Exchanger Performance from Field Data to Numerical Modeling: Preprint

Since 2011, a geothermal heat pump (GHP) system has been operating to provide space heating and cooling for the Solar Radiation and Research Laboratory building at the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) in Golden, Colorado. The system consists of 23 vertical boreholes, each extending to a depth of 300 ft (91 m), connected to 11 water-to-air heat pump units and four circulation pumps. Between fiscal years 2023 and 2025, additional power meters and temperature sensors were retrofitted to support detailed system performance assessment and model development. This study presents preliminary monitoring results and the development of an initial numerical model of the borehole heat exchanger field. The model incorporated site-specific geometry, ground thermal properties derived from thermal response tests, and ambient temperatures, and simulated system behavior over a representative operating day in September. Model predictions of outlet temperatures were compared against corresponding field measurements. Results showed that modeling initialized with a simplified linear subsurface temperature gradient presents systematic discrepancies in outlet temperature, whereas incorporating depth-resolved borehole temperature measurements for initialization yields substantially improved agreement with observations. The findings highlight the sensitivity of short-term predictive modeling to the representation of initial subsurface thermal conditions and underscore the value of high-resolution field measurements for model calibration and validation. These preliminary results inform ongoing efforts to extend the modeling framework to longer time horizons and to refine monitoring and modeling strategies that support the design guidance and operational optimization of GHP systems in research and commercial buildings.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

A Sub-electron-noise Skipper-CCD Readout ASIC with Improved Channel-to-channel Isolation and an Integrated Cryogenic Voltage Reference

The MIDNA application specific integrated circuits (ASICs) are a series of skipper-CCD readout chips fabricated in a 65 nm low-power CMOS process that implement a correlated double sampling signal processing chain based on dual-slope integrators. They are capable of working from room to cryogenic temperatures, down to 84 K. The present iteration of the ASIC has been fabricated including several design updates and the addition of an on-chip voltage reference, resulting in improved performance. This work presents the main vulnerabilities solved, the changes carried out, and the resulting performance benefits. Measurements with a skipper-CCD and the ASIC at 140 K showed that the single-electron resolution can be reached by averaging the measured charge in the analog domain using the analog pile-up technique with a readout noise as low as 0.11 erms of equivalent charge for 1200 samples. The channel-to-channel crosstalk was also characterized showing values better than -62 dB.

Alcalde Bessia, Fabricio↗

DOE OSTI2026

A Sub-electron-noise Skipper-CCD Readout ASIC with Improved Channel-to-channel Isolation and an Integrated Cryogenic Voltage Reference

Alcalde Bessia, Fabricio↗

DOE OSTI2026

Spectral Flux Measurements on SNS Direct Geometry Spectrometers at IRP-2 End-of-Life

The Inner Reflector Plug (IRP) of the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) was replaced during the SNS shutdown period beginning 25 November 2025. This IRP, IRP-2, was first placed in service in May 2018, and was in use for 42.5 GW-hrs of operation, somewhat longer than its original design life of 30 GW-hrs, or even a refined estimate of 33 GW-hrs for the water moderator poison plate and 39 GW-hrs on the decoupled-poisoned hydrogen moderator decoupler (Gallmeier, Lu, and Iverson 2018). The time-integrated power history for IRP-2 is tracked in Figure 1.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Peeking into the next decade in large-scale structure cosmology with its Effective Field Theory

After the successful full-shape analyses of BOSS data using the Effective Field Theory of Large-Scale Structure, we investigate what upcoming galaxy surveys might achieve. We introduce a “perturbativity prior” that ensures that loop terms are as large as theoretically expected, which is effective in the case of a large number of EFT parameters. After validating our technique by comparison with already-performed analyses of BOSS data, we provide Fisher forecasts using the one-loop prediction for power spectrum and bispectrum for two benchmark surveys: DESI and MegaMapper. We find overall great improvements on the cosmological parameters. In particular, we find that MegaMapper (DESI) should obtain at least a 12σ (2σ) evidence for non-vanishing neutrino masses, bound the curvature Ω k to 0.0012 (0.012), and primordial inflationary non-Gaussianities as follows: f NL loc. to ± 0.26 (3.3), f NL eq. to ±16 (92), f NL orth. to ± 4.2 (27). Such measurements would provide much insight on the theory of Inflation. We investigate the limiting factor of shot noise and ignorance of the EFT parameters.

cosmological parameters from LSS↗

DOE OSTI2025

First constraints on QCD axion dark matter using James Webb Space Telescope observations

I present the first constraints on QCD axion dark matter using measurements from the James Webb Space Telescope. By utilizing publicly available MIRI and NIRSpec blank-sky observations, originally collected for sky subtraction purposes, I derive strong limits on the axion-photon coupling constant $g_{a \gamma \gamma}$ in the mass range 0.1-4 eV. These constraints improve upon previous studies by more than two orders of magnitude for a range of masses. This analysis underscores the potential of blank-sky observations as a powerful tool for constraining dark matter models and demonstrates how astrophysical missions can be repurposed for particle physics research.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Inertial Confinement Fusion Design Search Using Bayesian Optimization

Inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments rely on complex multi-physics simulation codes such as the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory-developed HYDRA to guide design work. However, these simulations have several dozen tunable parameters and can be computationally expensive. This makes searching the parameter space challenging and time-consuming. Recently developed automated tools utilize Bayesian optimization to search these high-dimensional parameter spaces for optimal designs. The optimization tools run 2D integrated simulations in HYDRA to converge on a design that produces specified scalar or vector outputs. In this paper, we apply the Bayesian optimization tools to two common tuning scenarios. First, we tune simulation inputs to match measurements of a well-characterized experiment at the National Ignition Facility. This type of tuning is commonly performed to compensate for the use of simplified simulation settings (e.g. reduced resolution) or to account for missing physics in the simulations. Second, we search for an ICF simulation design that has a particular radiation drive profile. These optimizations replicate the kinds of tuning researchers routinely perform, but do so with significantly reduced manual effort. This approach demonstrates a powerful and efficient pathway toward autonomous, high-fidelity design optimization for future ICF experiments.

Bayesian optimization↗

DOE OSTI2025

Blinding scheme for the scale-dependence bias signature of local primordial non-Gaussianity for DESI 2024

The next generation of spectroscopic surveys is expected to achieve an unprecedented level of accuracy in the measurement of cosmological parameters. To avoid confirmation bias and thereby improve the reliability of these results, blinding procedures become a standard practice in the cosmological analyses of such surveys. Blinding is especially crucial when the impact of observational systematics is important relative to the cosmological signal, and a detection of that signal would have significant implications. This is the case for local primordial non-gaussianity, as probed by the scale-dependent bias of the galaxy power spectrum at large scales that are heavily sensitive to the dependence of the target selection on the imaging quality, known as imaging systematics. We propose a blinding method for the scale-dependent bias signature of local primordial non-gaussianity at the density field level which consists in generating a set of weights for the data that replicate the scale-dependent bias. The applied blinding is predictable, and can be straightforwardly combined with other catalog-level blinding procedures that have been designed for the baryon acoustic oscillation and redshift space distortion signals. The procedure is validated through simulations that replicate data from the first year of observation of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument, but may find applications to other upcoming spectroscopic surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRS1985

Summary of recent NASA propeller research

Advanced high speed propellers offer large performance improvements for aircraft that cruise in the Mach 0.7 to 0.8 speed regime. At these speeds, studies indicate that there is a 15 to near 40 percent block fuel savings and associated operating cost benefits for advanced turboprops compared to equivalent technology turbofan powered aircraft. Recent wind tunnel results for five eight to ten blade advanced models are compared with analytical predictions. Test results show that blade sweep was important in achieving net efficiencies near 80 percent at Mach 0.8 and reducing nearfield cruise noise about 6 dB. Lifting line and lifting surface aerodynamic analysis codes are under development and some results are compared with propeller force and probe data. Also, analytical predictions are compared with some initial laser velocimeter measurements of the flow field velocities of an eight bladed 45 swept propeller. Experimental aeroelastic results indicate that cascade effects and blade sweep strongly affect propeller aeroelastic characteristics. Comparisons of propeller nearfield noise data with linear acoustic theory indicate that the theory adequately predicts nearfield noise for subsonic tip speeds, but overpredicts the noise for supersonic tip speeds.

Daniel C Mikkelson↗

DOE OSTI2025

Impact of nitrogen molecular breakup on divertor conditions in JET L-mode plasmas using SOLPS-ITER

SOLPS-ITER simulations of nitrogen-seeded, low-confinement mode plasmas in the Joint European Torus (JET) predict that the electron temperature in the low-field side (LFS) divertor leg is reduced locally by up to an order of magnitude when nitrogen is assumed to recycle as molecules (N 2 ) instead of atoms using a fixed nitrogen injection rate. The LFS divertor temperature reduction under the assumption of molecular recycling occurs due to a three-step mechanism: (1) the plasma penetration of nitrogen atoms is increased due to the strong triple bond of the N 2 molecule and the kinetic energy release in the dissociation event, both mechanisms contributing equally, (2) the abundance of (particularly multiply-charged) nitrogen ions in the divertor is increased and (3) the electron temperature is reduced due to the increase in radiation (by up to a factor of 4) from nitrogen ions. Setting the volume-integrated nitrogen radiated power to a constant value (0.6 MW) instead of the nitrogen injection rate, SOLPS-ITER predicts under the molecular nitrogen recycling assumption that the peak line-integrated N II, N III and N IV intensities in the LFS divertor are approximately within 15%, 35% and 5%, respectively, of the reference atomic nitrogen recycling case. The predicted peak N II, N III and N IV intensities under either assumption are within 30%, 65% and 5%, respectively, of measurements using the vertically viewing mirror-link divertor spectrometer (Meigs et al., 2010) in nitrogen-seeded JET L-mode plasmas (Lomanowski et al., 2019). ERO2.0 simulations using a constant nitrogen seeding rate on static background plasma solutions from EDGE2D-EIRENE (previously presented in Mäenpää et al., (2022), revised here to include fast reflections) predict that N II to N IV line emission is increased by 20% to 30% when nitrogen is assumed to recycle as molecules, demonstrating the importance of considering the effect of molecular dissociation reactions on the divertor plasma in a self-consistent manner.

Divertor↗

DOE OSTI2025

A high-temperature heat flux sensor using the transverse Seebeck effect in elemental rhenium

Heat flux sensors compatible with hot environments are critical to advance aerospace, materials, and energy generation technologies that cope with extreme thermal conditions. In this work, we report on the development and characterization of a high-temperature heat flux sensor using the transverse Seebeck effect in rhenium single crystals. The sensor leverages refractory alloys and ceramics compatible with temperatures exceeding 1000 °C. The heat flux sensor was characterized from room temperature to 500 °C using a temperature-controlled calibration facility. At constant temperature, the sensor’s voltage output is linear with respect to the absorbed heat flux. The responsivity of the sensor varies with temperature, from 1.3 μV/(W/cm 2 ) at room temperature to −3.2 μV/(W/cm 2 ) at 500 °C, increasing monotonically in magnitude after changing sign from positive to negative at approximately 300 °C. The experimental results are in good agreement with analytical predictions of the sensor’s temperature-dependent responsivity, which suggest a further increase in magnitude up to −7.4 μV/(W/cm 2 ) at 1000 °C. These results highlight the unique characteristics of rhenium as a TSE transducer. The design offers compatibility with a wide range of operating temperatures and yields a measurement sensitivity that increases as the environmental conditions become more challenging.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Degradation Dynamics of Perovskite Solar Cells Under Fixed Reverse-Current Injection

Previous studies of reverse-bias stability in perovskite solar cells have focused primarily on voltage-controlled tests. Here we instead investigate perovskite solar cell degradation under well-defined, constant reverse-current stress. We show that the choice of hole-transport layer dictates the dominant degradation pathway: cells using thick poly(triphenylamine) (PTAA) layers can tolerate high reverse bias but quickly undergo catastrophic breakdown under fixed reverse current near their one-sun maximum power-point. In contrast, cells modified with phosphonic-acid interface layer MeO-2PACz, with poorer indium-doped tin oxide (ITO) coverage compared to PTAA, exhibit gradual and recoverable degradation under certain stress and recovery conditions. For MeO-2PACz devices, degradation increases with both current magnitude and duration. Importantly, when normalized by injected charge (current times duration), lower currents applied over longer times cause more degradation than higher currents over shorter periods. Here, combining electrical measurements with spatially resolved photoluminescence imaging, our observations support an ion- and charge-mediated interfacial electrochemical degradation mode.

Degradation↗

DOE OSTI2025

Operando Neutron Imaging of Reaction Extent and Particle Swelling Informs Limiting Factors for Salt Hydrate Thermochemical Energy Storage

Salt hydrates are a promising thermochemical energy storage medium that stores heat through the reversible uptake (hydration) and release (dehydration) of water vapor. Our study deploys operando neutron imaging to investigate salt hydrate performance with high spatial resolution (42 μm pixels). For flow over a packed bed with diffusion-driven transport, measurements reveal the formation of a solid diffusion layer due to particle swelling for the pure SrBr2 salt. In contrast, the SrBr2–vermiculite composite exhibits significantly less swelling and more than a 2-fold increase in the apparent water vapor diffusivity. For axial flow through a packed bed, neutron imaging confirms theoretically predicted transitions from a moving reaction front to a homogeneous profile with an increase in humid air flow rate. Our study establishes neutron imaging as a powerful technique to advance fundamental understanding of thermochemical systems and help guide composite material design.

Kinzer, Bryan [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000337804910)↗