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At least 1,009 records · Page 56

MSD CoP Webinar: Representing Climate Impacts in Scenaros

Context: This webinar was hosted by the MultiSector Dynamics Community of Practice (MSD CoP; https://multisectordynamics.org). Abstract: Scenarios of future emissions and land use have been most commonly produced without accounting for the effects that climate impacts linked to those emissions and land use changes may have. The questions of how important such impacts could be, at the regional or global scale, has become an increasingly cogent one. Using the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), we implement climate impacts on water supply, agricultural productivity, and energy demand driven by climatic impact drivers whose evolution over the 21st century is representative of a climate consistent with GCAM's reference scenario and compare the output to the reference at both regional and global scales. We show that the impacts from the version of GCAM that uses GDP as an exogenous input are not sufficient to bend emission pathways at the global scale. However, we see effects emerge at the regional scale in terms of emissions, among other metrics linked to water, land and energy. We expect the impacts to become more significant at an aggregate, global scale in a forthcoming version of the model with endogenous GDP. Meanwhile, we document the mechanisms that drive the difference at regional scales which could still be significant in their impacts for individual economies and populations. Presenters: Dr. Claudia Tebaldi (Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory) Moderator(s): Jennifer Morris (MSD CoP SSG member), Patrick Reed (MSD CoP Facilitation Team Member, Moderator and Organizer) This webinar was held on: November 5, 2024 from 1 PM - 2:15 PM ET

Climate Scenarios↗

MSD CoP Webinar: Accounting for distributive justice in model-based decision support

Context: This webinar was hosted by the MultiSector Dynamics Community of Practice (MSD CoP; https://multisectordynamics.org). Abstract: Model-based analyses play an ever-increasing role in informing policy and decision-making. However, many large-scale societal challenges unavoidably involve questions about the fair distribution of positive and negative consequences. How are the costs of the energy transition distributed over households and businesses? How are flood risks redistributed under different flood risk management plans? How are the impacts of climate change and climate mitigation distributed over different parts of the world?These kinds of questions play an important role when deliberating public policy, and the lack, in many cases, of clear answers becomes an obstacle to decision-making. At recent COPs, for example, wicked questions about loss and damages and the phase-out versus phase-down of coal became obstacles to global climate action, illustrating the misalignment of the direction of scientific research and decision-makers' information needs. In this talk, I'll explore advances that are being made that enable analysts to start providing grounded model-based answers to questions of distributive justice, as well as argue that analysts should embrace and explicate the normative nature of their work instead of hiding behind the purported neutrality of science. Presenters: Dr. Jan Kwakkel (Delft University of Technology) Moderator(s): Rebecca Saari (MSD CoP Working Group Co-Chair; Univ. of Waterloo), Matt Sparks (Univ. of Waterloo); Sarah Fletcher (MSD CoP Working Group Co-Chair; Stanford University), Juan Moreno-Cruz (Univ. of Waterloo), Patrick Reed (MSD CoP Facilitation Team Member, Moderator and Organizer) This webinar was held on: November 13, 2024 from 1 PM - 2:15 PM ET

Kwakkel, Jan H.↗

An Improved Measurement of the Secondary Cosmic Microwave Background Anisotropies from the SPT-SZ + SPTpol Surveys

We report new measurements of millimeter-wave power spectra in the angular multipole range $2000 \le \ell \le 11,000$ (angular scales $5^\prime \gtrsim \theta \gtrsim 1^\prime$). By adding 95 and 150\,GHz data from the low-noise 500 deg$^2$ SPTpol survey to the SPT-SZ three-frequency 2540 deg$^2$ survey, we substantially reduce the uncertainties in these bands. These power spectra include contributions from the primary cosmic microwave background, cosmic infrared background, radio galaxies, and thermal and kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (SZ) effects. The data favor a thermal SZ (tSZ) power at 143\,GHz of $D^{\rm tSZ}_{3000} = 3.42 \pm 0.54~ \mu {\rm K}^2$ and a kinematic SZ (kSZ) power of $D^{\rm kSZ}_{3000} = 3.0 \pm 1.0~ \mu {\rm K}^2$. This is the first measurement of kSZ power at $\ge 3\,\sigma$. We study the implications of the measured kSZ power for the epoch of reionization, finding the duration of reionization to be $\Delta z_{re} = 1.0^{+1.6}_{-0.7}$ ($\Delta z_{re}< 4.1$ at 95% confidence), when combined with our previously published tSZ bispectrum measurement.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Solar Neutrino Observations at the Sudbury Neutrino Observatory

The Sudbury Neutrino Observatory (SNO) is a 1000-tonne heavy water Cherenkov detector. Its usage of \dto as target allows the simultaneous measurements of the $\nu_e$ flux from $^8$B decay in the Sun and the total flux of all active neutrino species through the charged-current and the neutral-current interactions on the deuterons. Assuming the standard $^{8}$B shape, the $\nu_e$ component of the $^{8}$B solar neutrino flux is measured to be $\phi_e = 1.76^{+0.05}_{-0.05}{(stat.)}^{+0.09}_{-0.09} {(syst.)} x 10^6 {\rm cm}^{-2} {\rm s}^{-1}$ for a kinetic energy threshold of 5 MeV. The non-\nue component is found to be Φ μτ $\= 3.41^{+0.45}_{-0.45}{(stat.)}^{+0.48}_{-0.45} {(syst.)} x 10^6 {\rm cm}^{-2} {\rm s}^{-1}$. This $5.3\sigma$ difference provides strong evidence for $\nu_{e}$ flavor transformation in the solar neutrino sector. The total active neutrino flux is measured with the neutral-current reaction at a neutrino energy threshold of 2.2 MeV. This flux is determined to be $\phi_{NC} = 5.09^{+0.44}_{-0.43}{(stat.)}^{+0.46}_{-0.43} {(syst.)} x 10^6 {\rm cm}^{-2} {\rm s}^{-1}$, and is consistent with solar model predictions. Assuming an undistorted $^8$B spectrum, the night minus day rate is 14.0$\pm$6.3(stat.)$^{+1.5}_{-1.4}$(sys.)\% of the average rate in the charged-current channel. If the total active neutrino flux is constrained to have no asymmetry, the night-day asymmetry in the $\nu_e$ flux is found to be 7.0$\pm$4.9(stat.)$^{+1.3}_{1.2}$(sys.)\%. A global analysis of all the available solar neutrino data in terms of matter-enhanced oscillations of two active flavors strongly favors the Large Mixing Angle (LMA) solution.

Poon, A. W. P.↗

Absolute measurement of the Fano factor using a Skipper-CCD

Skipper-CCD can achieve deep sub-electron readout noise making possible the absolute determination of the exact number of ionized electrons in a large range, from 0 to above 1900 electrons. In this work we present a novel technique that exploits this unique capability to allow self-calibration and the ultimate determination of silicon properties. We performed an absolute measurement of the variance and the mean number of the charge distribution produced by $^{55}$Fe X-rays, getting a Fano factor absolute measurement in Si at 123K and 5.9 keV. A value of 0.119 $\pm$ 0.002 was found and the electron-hole pair creation energy was determined to be (3.749 $\pm$ 0.001) eV. This technology opens the opportunity for direct measurements of the Fano factor at low energies.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Nuclear Power Fault Diagnostics and Preventative Maintenance Optimization

The nuclear industry is beginning to see reactors shut down—even after their operating licenses have been extended—because they are not economically competitive with other energy sources. These early closures happen primarily due to economic reasons, despite excellent safety records. Therefore, it is imperative to reduce costs in order to prevent these early closures. One of the contributors to these economic reasons is the large operations and maintenance costs. This paper showcases recent research on advanced fault diagnostics techniques and preventative maintenance optimization (PMO) for reducing NPP maintenance costs. Specifically, it focuses on the feedwater and condensate system (FWCS) for both pressurized- and boiling-water reactor (BWR) systems. The computerized maintenance management system (CMMS), which contains the plant’s digital record of all corrective maintenance (CM) and preventative maintenance (PM) work orders, provided the ground truth for locating potential faults and labeling the process data as either healthy or faulted. Various feature extraction techniques were used to further differentiate the faulted data from the healthy data. Through a cross-validation procedure, support vectors machines were used to label other test sets of process data as either healthy or faulted. With relatively few faults identified in the BWR system, the potential for PMO opens up, since an unnecessary amount of PM leads to inflated maintenance costs. The steps for PMO are summarized, from component health determinations to recommendations for action. An example of PMO assessment is presented for condensate pumps, condensate booster pumps, and the respective motors that drive them.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Nuclear Power Fault Diagnostics and Preventative Maintenance Optimization NPIC presentation

The nuclear industry is beginning to see reactors shut down—even after their operating licenses have been extended—because they are not economically competitive with other energy sources. These early closures happen primarily due to economic reasons, despite excellent safety records. Therefore, it is imperative to reduce costs in order to prevent these early closures. One of the contributors to these economic reasons is the large operations and maintenance costs. This paper showcases recent research on advanced fault diagnostics techniques and preventative maintenance optimization (PMO) for reducing NPP maintenance costs. Specifically, it focuses on the feedwater and condensate system (FWCS) for both pressurized- and boiling-water reactor (BWR) systems. The computerized maintenance management system (CMMS), which contains the plant’s digital record of all corrective maintenance (CM) and preventative maintenance (PM) work orders, provided the ground truth for locating potential faults and labeling the process data as either healthy or faulted. Various feature extraction techniques were used to further differentiate the faulted data from the healthy data. Through a cross-validation procedure, support vectors machines were used to label other test sets of process data as either healthy or faulted. With relatively few faults identified in the BWR system, the potential for PMO opens up, since an unnecessary amount of PM leads to inflated maintenance costs. The steps for PMO are summarized, from component health determinations to recommendations for action. An example of PMO assessment is presented for condensate pumps, condensate booster pumps, and the respective motors that drive them.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Higher order and penumbral blurring correction methodology for Opacity spectrometer used on the NIF

63rd Annual Meeting of the APS Division of Plasma Physics November 8-12, 2021 • Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Virtual presentation must be uploaded by Nov 3rd 2pm PST Session Date / Time: 11/11/2021, 2:00 pm - 5:00 pm Title: HED: Laboratory Astrophysics Type: Oral Contributed Presentation: Higher order and penumbral blurring correction methodology for Opacity spectrometer used on the NIF.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A measurement of the mean central optical depth of galaxy clusters via the pairwise kinematic Sunyaev-Zel&#x27;dovich effect with SPT-3G and DES

We infer the mean optical depth of a sample of optically-selected galaxy clusters from the Dark Energy Survey (DES) via the pairwise kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect. The pairwise kSZ signal between pairs of clusters drawn from the DES Year-3 cluster catalog is detected at $4.1 \sigma$ in cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature maps from two years of observations with the SPT-3G camera on the South Pole Telescope. After cuts, there are 24,580 clusters in the $\sim 1,400$ deg$^2$ of the southern sky observed by both experiments. We infer the mean optical depth of the cluster sample with two techniques. The optical depth inferred from the pairwise kSZ signal is $\bar{\tau}_e = (2.97 \pm 0.73) \times 10^{-3}$, while that inferred from the thermal SZ signal is $\bar{\tau}_e = (2.51 \pm 0.55) \times 10^{-3}$. The two measures agree at $0.6 \sigma$. We perform a suite of systematic checks to test the robustness of the analysis.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Beyond Generalized Eigenvalues in Lattice Quantum Field Theory

Two analysis techniques, the generalized eigenvalue method (GEM) or Prony's (or related) method (PM), are commonly used to analyze statistical estimates of correlation functions produced in lattice quantum field theory calculations. GEM takes full advantage of the matrix structure of correlation functions but only considers individual pairs of time separations when much more data exists. PM can be applied to many time separations and many individual matrix elements simultaneously but does not fully exploit the matrix structure of the correlation function. We combine both these methods into a single framework based on matrix polynomials. As these algebraic methods are well known for producing extensive spectral information about statistically-noisy data, the method should be paired with some information criteria, like the recently proposed Bayesean model averaging.

Fleming, George T.↗

The Elevated-Temperature Cyclic Properties of Powder Metallurgy-Hot Isostatic Pressed 316H and 316L Stainless Steel

Section III, Division 5 of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code covers construction rules for elevated-temperature nuclear components. Microreactor developers have expressed a need for advanced manufacturing processes to fabricate microreactor components to reduce manufacturing costs. Components fabricated using manufacturing processes other than conventional techniques are not currently qualified in Section III, Division 5. An expeditious approach to qualifying an advanced manufacturing process for alloys whose wrought-product form is already qualified in Division 5 is to demonstrate the resultant properties from the advanced manufacturing process are equivalent or superior to the wrought-product form. Powder metallurgy-hot isostatic pressing (PM-HIP) is a mature technology that offers many advantages that are attractive to the microreactor industry. Preliminary data show that the elevated-temperature creep-fatigue properties of PM-HIP 316H stainless steel (SS) are reduced compared to the Wrought 316H SS, which is qualified in Section III, Division 5. Work is ongoing to identify the mechanisms responsible for the reduced creep-fatigue properties and to establish acceptance criteria to confirm the adequacy of the component for service.

316H stainless steel↗

Combination of measurements of the top quark mass from data collected by the ATLAS and CMS experiments at $\sqrt{s}=7$ and $8~\mathrm{TeV}$

A combination of fifteen top quark mass measurements performed by the ATLAS and CMS experiments at the LHC is presented. The data sets used correspond to an integrated luminosity of up to 5 and $20~\mathrm{fb}^{-1}$ of proton-proton collisions at center-of-mass energies of 7 and $8~\mathrm{TeV}$, respectively. The combination includes measurements in top-quark pair events that exploit both the semi-leptonic and hadronic decays of the top quark, and a measurement using events enriched in single top quark production via the electroweak $t$-channel. The combination yields $m_{\mathrm{t}} = 172.52 \pm 0.14~(\mathrm{stat}) \pm 0.30~(\mathrm{syst}) ~\mathrm{GeV}$, with a total uncertainty of $0.33~\mathrm{GeV}$.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Summary Report of the FY24 DOE Contributions to the GIF VHTR CMVB

The Generation-IV Forum (GIF) Very-High-Temperature Reactor-Computational Methods Validation and Benchmark (VHTR-CMVB) initiative, involving organizations from Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) (South Korea), Institute of Nuclear and New Energy Technology of Tsinghua University (INET) (China), U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (U.S.), Joint Research Centre (JRC) (Europe), and Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) (Japan), is dedicated to the verification and validation of tools for High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactors (HTGRs) analysis, using data shared by Computational Methods Validation and Benchmark (CMVB) signatories. For FY24, the US DOE CMVB has committed to several critical activities. Under WP1, led by the US, the integration of the High Temperature Gas Cooled Reactor - Pebble-Bed Module (HTR-PM) Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) into the comparative PIRT is progressing, with a new draft of the comparison tables issued earlier this year and currently being utilized by INET for their contribution. Neutronic validation efforts under WP3 include the preparation of the burnup analysis benchmark, preliminary calculations, and the development of reference models and results. In WP2, a validation exercise for hot gas mixing in the lower plenum of HTR-PM is in progress, using experimental data from INET (China) to validate modeling approaches. A model of the experimental facility has been developed using StarCCM+, with initial calculations slated for presentation at the GIF CMVB meeting this fall. Another WP2 activity focuses on validating numerical models for air-cooled Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS) with experimental data from the Wisconsin Madison RCCS facility. A high-fidelity model, developed using NEK-RS, is currently being validated with available data from a low power forced convection test. These efforts are aimed at enhancing and confirming the accuracy of HTGR analysis tools, ensuring their alignment with experimental data and regulatory requirements.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Development of online pulse-finding algorithms for the Mu2e Stopping Target Monitor and an evaluation of the signal to background ratio for the Mu2e stopped-muon rate determination

This thesis presents a determination of the acceptance of the Mu2e Stopping Target Monitor (STM) detector for both signal and background events. The rate of X-rays of a specific energy in the STM is used to determine the rate of stopped muons in the aluminium stopping target, which is used as the normalisation for all Mu2e measurements, particularly the branching ratio for a charged lepton flavour violating (cLFV) process. The acceptance for the 347\,keV $2p-1s$ aluminium signal X-ray is determined to be $(8.03 \pm 0.05) \times 10^{-10}$\,cm$^{-2}$ and the acceptance for the background photons (at 347\,keV) to be $(3.19 \pm 0.21) \times 10^{-8}$\,cm$^{-2}$. This results in a signal-to-background ratio of approximately two which is significantly higher than had previously been estimated. These signal-to-background rates are used to determine the time required to achieve a statistical uncertainty of 10\% on the number of 347\,keV X-rays as a function of the detector resolution and back ground rate. For a resolution of 2\,keV, and the background rate determined in this thesis, approximately one minute of data is required. The three corrections needed to be applied to the measured 347\,keV rate to determine the rate of stopped muons are also determined and potential sources of bias arising from the background shape, background fit range and energy calibration are investigated and found to be insignificant. The raw energy of the particles in the STM detector comes from a 16-bit ADC digitising at $\sim 300$\,MHz. It is not possible to store all the raw digitisations and online algorithms have been developed to rapidly select pulses in the detector and reconstruct their energy. The performance of these algorithms has been characterised with simulated data as a function of detector rate and resolution and optimum operating points for the algorithms have been defined. The integrity of the algorithms has also been demonstrated and characterised on test-beam data at high r ates and with radioactive sources at low rates.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Flow-dependent tagging of $^{214}$Pb decays in the LZ dark matter detector

The LUX-ZEPLIN (LZ) experiment is searching for dark matter interactions in a liquid xenon time projection chamber (LXe-TPC). This article demonstrates how control of the flow state in the LXe-TPC enables the identification of pairs of sequential alpha-decays, which are used to map fluid flow and ion drift in the liquid target. The resulting transport model is used to tag $^{214}$Pb beta-decays, a leading background to dark matter signals in LZ. Temporally evolving volume selections, at a cost of 9.0% of exposure, target the decay of each $^{214}$Pb atom up to 81 minutes after production, resulting in (63 $\pm$ 6$_{\mathrm{stat}}$ $\pm$ 7$_{\mathrm{sys}}$)% identification of $^{214}$Pb decays to ground state. We also demonstrate how flow-based tagging techniques enable a novel calibration side band that is concurrent with science data.

Aalbers, J. [SLAC; Stanford U., Phys. Dept.; KIPAC↗

DESI DR1 Ly$α$ forest: 3D full-shape analysis and cosmological constraints

We perform an analysis of the full shapes of Lyman-$α$ (Ly$α$) forest correlation functions measured from the first data release (DR1) of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). Our analysis focuses on measuring the Alcock-Paczynski (AP) effect and the cosmic growth rate times the amplitude of matter fluctuations in spheres of $8$$h^{-1}\text{Mpc}$, $fσ_8$. We validate our measurements using two different sets of mocks, a series of data splits, and a large set of analysis variations, which were first performed blinded. Our analysis constrains the ratio $D_M/D_H(z_\mathrm{eff})=4.525\pm0.071$, where $D_H=c/H(z)$ is the Hubble distance, $D_M$ is the transverse comoving distance, and the effective redshift is $z_\mathrm{eff}=2.33$. This is a factor of $2.4$ tighter than the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) constraint from the same data. When combining with Ly$α$ BAO constraints from DESI DR2, we obtain the ratios $D_H(z_\mathrm{eff})/r_d=8.646\pm0.077$ and $D_M(z_\mathrm{eff})/r_d=38.90\pm0.38$, where $r_d$ is the sound horizon at the drag epoch. We also measure $fσ_8(z_\mathrm{eff}) = 0.37\; ^{+0.055}_{-0.065} \,(\mathrm{stat})\, \pm 0.033 \,(\mathrm{sys})$, but we do not use it for cosmological inference due to difficulties in its validation with mocks. In $Λ$CDM, our measurements are consistent with both cosmic microwave background (CMB) and galaxy clustering constraints. Using a nucleosynthesis prior but no CMB anisotropy information, we measure the Hubble constant to be $H_0 = 68.3\pm 1.6\;\,{\rm km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}}$ within $Λ$CDM. Finally, we show that Ly$α$ forest AP measurements can help improve constraints on the dark energy equation of state, and are expected to play an important role in upcoming DESI analyses.

Cuceu, Andrei [LBL, Berkeley; Chicago U., KICP] (O↗

Demonstration of Sub-Percent Energy Resolution in the NEXT-100 Detector

NEXT-100 is a high-pressure xenon time projection chamber with electroluminescent amplification, designed to operate with up to approximately 70.5 kg at 13.5 bar. It is the most recent detector developed by the NEXT collaboration to search for the neutrinoless double-beta decay ($ββ0ν$) of Xe-136. The NEXT gas TPC technology offers the best energy resolution near the Q-value of the decay ($Q_{ββ}$ = 2458 keV) among xenon detectors, which is set by design to be <1% FWHM. We report here the high-energy calibration of the detector using a Th-228 source, demonstrating linear response and an energy resolution of $(0.90 \pm 0.02)$% FWHM at the Tl-208 photopeak (2615 keV). This performance extrapolates to a resolution at the double-beta decay end-point of $R(Q_{ββ})$ = $(0.93 \pm 0.02)$% FWHM, confirming the detector's capability for precision energy measurement in the search for $ββ0ν$.

Pérez Maneiro, M. [Santiago de Compostela U., IGFA↗

Measurements of differential charged-current cross sections on argon for electron neutrinos with final-state protons in MicroBooNE

This work presents single-differential electron-neutrino charged-current cross sections on argon measured using the MicroBooNE detector at the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory. The analysis uses data recorded when the Neutrinos at the Main Injector beam was operating in both neutrino and antineutrino modes, with exposures of $2 \times 10^{20}$ and $5 \times 10^{20}$ protons on target, respectively. A selection algorithm targeting electron-neutrino charged-current interactions with at least one proton, one electron, and no pions in the final topology is used to measure differential cross sections as a function of outgoing electron energy, total visible energy, and opening angle between the electron and the most energetic proton. The interaction rate as a function of proton multiplicity is also reported. The total cross section is measured as [4.1 $\pm$ 0.4 (stat.) $\pm$ 1.2 (syst.)]$ $$\times 10^{-39} \mathrm{cm}^{2}/ \mathrm{nucleon}$. The unfolded cross-section measurements are compared to predictions from neutrino event generators commonly employed in the field. Good agreement is seen across all variables within uncertainties.

Abratenko, P. [Tufts U. (main)]↗