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At least 1,009 records · Page 56

The curled wake model: a three-dimensional and extremely fast steady-state wake solver for wind plant flows

Abstract. Wind turbine wake models typically require approximations, such as wake superposition and deflection models, to accurately describe wake physics. However, capturing the phenomena of interest, such as the curled wake and interaction of multiple wakes, in wind power plant flows comes with an increased computational cost. To address this, we propose a new hybrid method that uses analytical solutions with an approximate form of the Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes equations to solve the time-averaged flow over a wind plant. We compare results from the solver to supervisory control and data acquisition data from the Lillgrund wind plant obtaining wake model predictions which are generally within 1 standard deviation of the mean power data. We perform simulations of flow over the Columbia River Gorge to demonstrate the capabilities of the model in complex terrain. We also apply the solver to a case with wake steering, which agreed well with large-eddy simulations. This new solver reduces the time – and therefore the related cost – it takes to simulate a steady-state wind plant flow (on the order of seconds using one core). Because the model is computationally efficient, it can also be used for different applications including wake steering for wind power plants and layout optimization.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Review of Grey Box/Black Box Data Contamination Metrics on Open and Commercial Models

Dataset contamination is a problem where benchmarks and tasks used to evaluate the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) have been incorporated into the training dataset of the models. This gives a false sense of performance that can overestimate how these models will function on truly unseen data. This problem becomes worse with commercial LLMs with larger and non-accessible training data, so techniques have been developed to try to measure the degree to which a model is contaminated with a benchmark’s data. To understand the effectiveness of these techniques, particularly when evaluating contamination on coding tasks, we review trends and categorize techniques by the degree of access to the model that is required. The research literature on this topic has reported mixed effectiveness of these techniques, so we select a set of black box (text access only) and grey box (access to model loss/probabilities required) techniques and apply them to both commercial and non-commercial models. We implement these metrics as part of a framework to test the contamination of Python code in LLMs to see to what extent we can replicate the effectiveness (or ineffectiveness) of these contamination detection techniques. Though we find mixed results in the capabilities of these metrics to identify contamination, we do observe evidence that they can identify contamination (broadly) in fine-tuned models when both a baseline and fine-tuned model is present. Additionally, similarity metrics were able to identify between contaminated and uncontaminated data even in situations where the data is distributionally similar (e.g., drawn from the same set of code projects).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

An efficient instance segmentation approach for studying fission gas bubbles in irradiated metallic nuclear fuel

Abstract Gaseous fission products from nuclear fission reactions tend to form fission gas bubbles of various shapes and sizes inside nuclear fuel. The behavior of fission gas bubbles dictates nuclear fuel performances, such as fission gas release, grain growth, swelling, and fuel cladding mechanical interaction. Although mechanical understanding of the overall evolution behavior of fission gas bubbles is well known, lacking the quantitative data and high-level correlation between burnup/temperature and microstructure evolution blocks the development of predictive models and reduces the possibility of accelerating the qualification for new fuel forms. Historical characterization of fission gas bubbles in irradiated nuclear fuel relied on a simple threshold method working on low-resolution optical microscopy images. Advanced characterization of fission gas bubbles using scanning electron microscopic images reveals unprecedented details and extensive morphological data, which strains the effectiveness of conventional methods. This paper proposes a hybrid framework, based on digital image processing and deep learning models, to efficiently detect and classify fission gas bubbles from scanning electron microscopic images. The developed bubble annotation tool used a multitask deep learning network that integrates U-Net and ResNet to accomplish instance-level bubble segmentation. With limited annotated data, the model achieves a recall ratio of more than 90%, a leap forward compared to the threshold method. The model has the capability to identify fission gas bubbles with and without lanthanides to better understand the movement of lanthanide fission products and fuel cladding chemical interaction. Lastly, the deep learning model is versatile and applicable to the micro-structure segmentation of similar materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-Brightness Ultraviolet Lasers for Leap-Ahead National Security Applications

In this project we endeavored to improve the state-of-the-art in UV lasers diodes. We made important advancements in several fronts from modeling, to epitaxial growth, to fabrication, and testing. Throughout the project it became clear that polarization doping would be able to help advance the state of laser diode design in terms of electrical performance, but the optical design would need to be investigated to ensure that a 2D guided mode would be supported. New capability in optical modeling using commercial software demonstrated that the new polarization doped structures would be viable. New capability in pulsed testing was established to reach the current and voltage required. Our fabricated devices had some parasitic electrical paths which hindered performance that we were ultimately unable to overcome in the project timeframe. We do believe that future projects will be able to leverage the advancements made under this project.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The underappreciated importance of solar radiation in constraining spring phenology of temperate ecosystems in the Northern and Eastern United States

Spring phenology of temperate ecosystems is highly sensitive to climate change, generating various impacts on many important terrestrial surface biophysical processes. Although various prognostic models relying on environmental variables of temperature and photoperiod have been developed for spring phenology, comprehensive ecosystem-scale evaluations over large landscapes and long-time periods remain lacking. Further, environmental variables other than temperature and photoperiod might also importantly constrain spring phenology modelling but remain under-investigation. To address these issues, we leveraged around 20-years datasets of environmental variables (from Daymet and GLDAS products) and the spring phenology metric (i.e., the greenup date) respectively derived from MODIS and PhenoCams across 108 sites in the Northern and Eastern United States. We firstly cross-compared MODIS-derived greenup date with official PhenoCams product with high accuracy (R 2 = 0.70). Then, we evaluated the three prognostic models (i.e., Growing Degree Date (GDD), Sequential (SEQ) and optimality-based (OPT)) with MODIS-derived spring phenology, assessed the model residuals and their associations with soil moisture, rainfall, and solar radiation, and revised the two photoperiod-relevant models (SEQ, OPT) by replacing the daylength variable with solar radiation, which was found to contribute the most to model residuals. We found that 1) all models demonstrated good capability in characterizing spring phenology, with OPT performing the best (RMSE = 8.04 ± 5.05 days), followed by SEQ (RMSE = 10.57 ± 7.77 days) and GDD (RMSE = 10.84 ± 8.42 days), 2) all models displayed high model residuals showing tight correlation with solar radiation (r = 0.45–0.75), and 3) the revised models that included solar radiation significantly performed better with an RMSE reduction by 22.08%. Such results are likely because solar radiation better constrains early growing season plant photosynthesis than photoperiod, supporting the hypothesis of spring phenology as an adaptive strategy to maximize photosynthetic carbon gain (approximated by solar radiation) while minimizing frost damage risk (captured by temperature). Collectively, our study here reveals the underappreciated importance of solar radiation in constraining spring phenology of temperate ecosystems, and suggests ways to improve spring phenology modelling and other phenology-related ecological processes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Literary review and modeling outlook for radiation damage in fused-silica optical fibers

The purpose of this document is to distill, from literature, the effects of radiation damage in fused-silica optical fibers. This information will be used to design a theoretical framework capable of predictive modeling that will be published elsewhere. By inspection of the relevant literature, the devised method is calculation of defect amorphous structures by molecular dynamic techniques, and computation of the macroscopic dielectric function using density functional theory. The dielectric function is then used to directly compute the transmittance of the core material before and after irradiation via solution of Maxwell’s equations in a homogeneous medium.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Stochastic reconstruction of fracture network pattern using spatial point processes

Fracture spatial patterns can strongly affect fluid flow in the subsurface. Proximity and distribution of fractures control reservoir flow behavior over various length scales. In many studies, however, simplified geometrical patterns are generated for fractures which may lead to unrealistic subsurface models. Here we introduce a new method for characterization and modeling of fracture spatial patterns based on outcrop observations. We use Ripley's K-function to characterize the arrangement of fracture barycenters and intersection points over various length scales. In addition, we use semivariograms to quantify spatial correlation in fracture intensity maps. Using this information, we develop a stochastic algorithm that generates two-dimensional fracture network realizations with spatial properties similar to those of a real fracture network measured in the field. Numerical simulation models indicate that the generated fracture realizations exhibit similar flow behaviors as that of the original fracture network. Furthermore, such modeling tools expand and improve our capability in building representative fracture models and in quantification of uncertainty in naturally and hydraulically fractured reservoirs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Microstructure-dependent rate theory model of defect segregation and phase stability in irradiated polycrystalline LiAlO 2

We report gamma lithium aluminate (LiAlO 2 ) is a breeder material for tritium and is one of key components in a tritium-producing burnable absorber rod (TPBAR). Dissolution and precipitation of second phases such as LiAl 5 O 8 and voids are observed in irradiated LiAlO 2 . Such microstructure changes cause the degradation of thermomechanical properties of LiAlO 2 and affect tritium retention and release kinetics, and hence, the TPBAR performance. In this work, a microstructure-dependent model of radiation-induced segregation (RIS) has been developed for investigating the accumulation of species and phase stability in polycrystalline LiAlO 2 structures under irradiation. Three sublattices (i.e. [Li, Al, V] I [O, V o ] II [Li i , Al i , O i , V i ] III ), and concentrations of six diffusive species (i.e. Li; vacancy of Li or Al at [Li, Al, V] I sublattice, O vacancy at [O, V o ] II sublattice, and Li, Al and O interstitials at [Li i , Al i , O i , V i ] III interstitial sublattices; are used to describe spatial and temporal distributions of defects and chemistry. Microstructure-dependent thermodynamic and kinetic properties including the generation, reaction, and chemical potentials of defects and defect mobility are taken into account in the model. The parametric studies demonstrated the capability of the developed RIS model to assess the effect of thermodynamic and kinetic properties of defects on the segregation and depletion of species in polycrystalline structures and to explain the phase stability observed in irradiated LiAlO 2 samples. The developed RIS model will be extended to study the precipitation of LiAl 5 O 8 and voids and tritium retention by integrating the phase-field method.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

REMORA v1.0

REMORA (previously known as ROMS-X) is a GPU-enabled regional ocean modeling code with the same core capabilities as the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) code.

Almgren, AnnS↗

White paper on Verification and Validation for Cyber Emulation Models

All disciplines that use models to predict the behavior of real-world systems need to determine the accuracy of the models’ results. Techniques for verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ) focus on improving the credibility of computational models and assessing their predictive capability. VVUQ emphasizes rigorous evaluation of models and how they are applied to improve understanding of model limitations and quantify the accuracy of model predictions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Advanced Reactor Cyber Analysis and Development Environment (ARCADE) for System-Level Design Analysis

Cybersecurity is a persistent concern to the safety and security of Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs), but has lacked data-driven, evidence-based research. Rigorous cybersecurity analysis is critical for the licensing of advanced reactors using a performance-based approach. One tool that enables cybersecurity analysis is modeling and simulation. The nuclear industry makes extensive use of modeling and simulation throughout the decision process but lacks a method to incorporate cybersecurity analysis with existing models. To meet this need, the Advanced Reactor Cyber Analysis and Development Environment (ARCADE) was developed. ARCADE is a suite of publicly available tools that can be used to develop emulations of industrial control system devices and networks and integrate those emulations with physics simulators. This integration of cyber emulations and physics models enables rigorous cyber-physical analysis of cyber-attacks on NPP systems. This report provides an overview of key considerations for using ARCADE with existing physics models and demonstrates ARCADE’s capabilities for cybersecurity analysis. Using a model of the Small Modular Advanced High Temperature Reactor (SmAHTR), ARCADE was able to determine the sensitivity of the primary heat exchangers (PHX) to coordinated cyber-attacks. The analysis determined that while the PHX’s failures cause disruption to the reactor, they did not cause any safety limits to be exceeded because of the plant design, including passive safety features. Further development of ARCADE will enable rigorous, repeatable, and automated cyber-physical analysis of advanced reactor control systems. These efforts will also help reduce regulatory uncertainty by presenting similar types of cybersecurity analyses in a common format, driving standard approaches and reporting.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Coupling Noah-Multiparameterization land-surface Model with Energy Research and Forecasting Model

The Energy Research and Forecasting (ERF) model is a high-performance atmospheric model built on the AMReX adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) framework, enabling efficient simulations on heterogeneous computing platforms that combine multicore processors with hardware accelerators. To support land–atmosphere interactions within ERF’s AMR-based environment, a land-surface model must be capable of operating directly on hierarchically refined meshes. In this work, we present a methodology for coupling the Fortran-based Noah-Multiparameterization (Noah-MP) land-surface model with ERF’s C++ codebase. Rather than rewriting Noah-MP, we construct a Fortran–C interoperability layer using CodeScribe, a tool that leverages large language models (LLMs) to automate the generation of interface code. CodeScribe applies structured prompting techniques to generate bindings that support efficient data exchange and function calls between ERF and Noah-MP. The coupling framework also incorporates AMR-aware data handling strategies, allowing NoahMP to operate seamlessly within ERF’s hierarchical mesh structure. This work provides a structured approach for integrating legacy Fortran models into modern C++-based modeling systems using LLM-assisted code generation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

TChem-atm (v2.0.0): scalable performance-portable multiphase atmospheric chemistry

We present TChem-atm, a performance-portable approach that enables efficient simulation of chemically detailed and multiphase atmospheric chemistry on modern heterogeneous computing architectures. Unlike previous efforts that rely on architecture-specific code or focus exclusively on gas-phase chemistry, TChem-atm supports fully coupled gas–aerosol systems with execution across CPUs, NVIDIA GPUs, and AMD GPUs through the Kokkos programming model. It integrates the flexible multiphase capabilities of the Community Atmospheric Model Chemistry Package (CAMP) with the high-performance kinetic routines of TChem, and includes automatic Jacobian construction with support for a range of stiff ODE solvers. In a proof-of-concept integration with the particle-resolved model PartMC, TChem-atm reproduces the existing PartMC–CAMP implementation within solver tolerances and delivers substantial GPU speedups, especially for large particle populations. Performance benchmarks reveal substantial speedups on GPU platforms, particularly for large particle populations, with consistent results across hardware backends. TChem-atm enables performance-portable execution across CPUs and GPUs, though optimal efficiency may require modest architecture-specific tuning (e.g., team and vector sizes), with up to a twofold improvement on the NVIDIA H100. It directly supports sectional and particle-resolved host models, while modal aerosol schemes require minor adaptation to provide particle-scale quantities such as representative diameters. By enabling chemically detailed, multiphase simulations with performance portability and host-model flexibility, TChem-atm facilitates the incorporation of advanced chemistry into atmospheric models.

Díaz-Ibarra, Oscar Homero [Sandia National Laborat↗

Using High-Resolution NSRDB Data to Evaluate Cloud Mask Forecast from WRF-Solar EPS

Validating spatiotemporal distributions of cloud forecasts using numerical weather prediction (NWP) models is difficult as this requires high-quality cloud-property at significantly high spatial and temporal resolution over extended periods of time. Observations of cloud properties, such as cloud mask, cloud optical thickness, and cloud type, are vital for assessing the capability of NWP models to forecast various types of clouds. Using the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB), this research evaluates ensemble cloud-mask predictions from the WRF-Solar ensemble prediction system (WRF-Solar EPS). From the WRF-Solar EPS, day-ahead solar forecasts for the contiguous United States (CONUS) for 2018 are simulated. Given the NSRDB data is accessible at a resolution of 2 km, we can calculate the cloud fraction across the 9-km grid of WRF-Solar EPS. This allows us to spatially assess the cloud-mask forecasts using two methods against the high-resolution NSRDB: (a) considering all 2-km NSRDB clouds in the forecast domain (EMAll), and (b) using a minimum cloud fraction threshold of 50% to designate a pixel as cloudy (EMP50). The low-resolution cloud masks from WRF-Solar EPS are evaluated directly against the cloud-resolving scale gridded observations from NSRDB using EMAll. With EMP50, we presume that scenes with less than 50% cloud cover from the 2-km NSRDB are clear. Thus, this assessment approach allows for a fair comparison with WRF-Solar EPS resolved to a 9-km grid. A method of point-by-point verification is used to evaluate dichotomous (yes/no) cloud mask predictions against the NSRDB. For each pixel of model extent, cloud frequency and traditional metrics (e.g., probability of detection, false alarm rate, and hit rate, etc.) are computed and compared with satellite-derived data sets. Mismatched cloud frequency (MCF) is computed to measure the present capability of WRF-Solar EPS in representing various types of clouds, which are categorized using three levels of cloud top height (CTH) and cloud optical depth (COD) across entire CONUS. Preliminary results show that the WRF-Solar EPS provides MCF values ranging from 9% to 46%, 16% to 33%, and 8% to 27% for low-level, middle-level, and high-level clouds, respectively, for three CTHs. The model produces MCFs ranging from 27% to 46%, 13% to 34%, and 8% to 19% for thin, medium-thickness, and thick clouds, respectively, for three CODs. The presentation will include a detailed description of the current outcomes as well as potential future extensions. The evaluation approach established in this study is readily extensible to the evaluation of cloud predictions from different ensemble NWP models. In addition, the findings of the suggested evaluation technique aid in identifying model weaknesses and will ultimately lead to advances in WRF-Solar EPS's skill in predicting clouds and solar irradiance.

cloud mask forecast↗

Prediction of Substrate Distortion in Powder DED Using Finite Element Model

Abstract Leveraging the capabilities of both additive and subtractive manufacturing to repair tooling and other high value items can result in significant cost and time saving opportunities. However, when dimensional accuracy of the repaired component must be held within a specified tolerance, distortion of the component induced during repair can lead to an out of specification final component. This work presents simulation of a novel method to mitigate part distortion using sacrificial support structures. A blown powder directed energy deposition system was utilized for deposition of sacrificial support structures and clad surface depositions. Sacrificial support structures were deposited on the underside of the substrate with varying geometries prior to clad surface depositions. A finite element model was developed and verified using experimental results. The simulation and experimental control results were found to match within 6%. It has been shown that simulation can be used to predict effects of sacrificial support structures on substrate distortion in a blown powder directed energy deposition process.

Burl, Alan G.↗

Single Crystal Plasticity Model with Deformation Twinning for the High Rate Deformation of β-HMX

Deformation twinning is an active deformation mechanism during loading along certain crystallographic directions of β-cyclotetramethylene tetranitramine (β-HMX). In this work, a finite strain thermomechanical model is extended to include twinning as a deformation mechanism in addition to plastic slip. The stress is derived from the free energy expression including a term representing the equation of state. The crystal plasticity framework is used to divide the total strain into inelastic and elastic component, where the elastic part is used in the expression for the free energy. The twin systems are treated as pseudo slip systems and the shear rate on the twin systems is evaluated in terms of the twin resistance and the projection of the stress tensor. The model parameters were calibrated against a set of plate impact experiments performed on β-HMX by Dick et al. The remaining plate impact experiments are used to evaluate the predictive capability of the model. The quality of the model fits and predictions is discussed from a physical and modeling perspective. Particularly, the role of twin modeling on results is highlighted. Finally, the model is used to explore the relationship between the propensity for twinning and crystal orientation.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Sierra/SolidMechanics 5.6 User's Manual

Sierra/SolidMechanics (Sierra/SM) is a three-dimensional solid mechanics code with a versatile element library, nonlinear material models, large deformation capabilities, and contact. It is built on the SIERRA Framework. SIERRA provides a data management framework in a parallel computing environment that allows the addition of capabilities in a modular fashion. Contact capabilities are parallel and scalable. This document provides information about the functionality in Sierra/SM and the command structure required to access this functionality in a user input file. This document is divided into chapters based primarily on functionality. For example, the command structure related to the use of various element types is grouped in one chapter; descriptions of material models are grouped in another chapter. Sierra/SM provides both explicit transient dynamics and implicit quasistatics and dynamics capabilities. Both the explicit and implicit modules are highly scalable in a parallel computing environment. In the past, the explicit and implicit capabilities were provided by two separate codes, known as Presto and Adagio, respectively. These capabilities have been consolidated into a single code. The executable is named Adagio, but it provides the full suite of solid mechanics capabilities, for both implicit and explicit. The Presto executable has been disabled as a consequence of this consolidation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Status of New Models Hosted on the Virtual Test Bed (VTB) in 2022

The VTB hosts 20 distinct models, 8 of which were recently developed during 2022 and will be discussed in more detail here. This article provides an overview of the various models hosted and their capabilities. Part of the intent of the VTB is to showcase a ‘block’ style approach to modeling and simulation: if a capability is not showcased for a specific reactor type, it could, in theory, be easily ported/replicated from another. The breadth of advanced reactor types considered is representative of the large variety of concepts being proposed for demonstration.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗