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At least 1,009 records · Page 56

Unraveling the Wrinkle in Time-Variable Sources with Lunes and Synthetic Seismic Data

In this report, we describe how to estimate the time-variable components of the seismic moment tensor and compare these estimates to the more conventional analysis that incorporates an assumption of the source time function (STF) across all components of the seismic moment tensor. The advantage of our method is that we are able to independently estimate the time-evolution of each component of the seismic moment tensor, which may help to resolve the complex source phenomena associated with buried explosions. By performing an eigen decomposition of the time-evolving seismic moment tensor components, we are able to plot the seismic mechanism as a trajectory on a lune diagram. This technique enables interpretation of the seismic mechanism as a function of time, as opposed to the more conventional analysis which assumes that the seismic mechanism is time invariant. Finally, we describe the differences between the seismic moment and the seismic moment rate STFs, how to implement each one in inversion schemes, and the relative strengths/weaknesses of each. Our key take-away is that we are able to distinguish nearly-overlapping sources with highly different mechanisms, such as an explosion immediately following an earthquake, by estimating moment rate from seismic data through a STF-invariant inversion for the full time-variable moment tensor.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

V31 Test Report

The V31 containment vessel was procured by the US Army Recovered Chemical Material Directorate (RCMD) as a third - generation EDS containment vessel. It is the fifth EDS vessel to be fabricated under Code Case 2564 of the 2019 ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, which provides rules for the design of impulsively loaded vessels. The explosive rating for the vessel, based on the code case, is twenty-four (24) pounds TNT - equivalent for up to 1092 detonations. This report documents the results of explosive tests that were performed on the vessel at Sandia National Laboratories in Albuquerque, New Mexico to qualify the vessel for field operations use. There were three design basis configurations for qualification testing. Qualification test (1) consisted of a simulated M55 rocket motor and warhead assembly of 24lbs of Composition C-4 (30 lb TNT equivalent). This test was considered the maximum load case, based on modeling and simulation methods performed by Sandia prior to the vessel design phase. Qualification test (2) consisted of a regular, right circular cylinder, unitary charge, located central to the vessel interior of 19.2 lb of Composition C-4 (24 lb TNT equivalent). Qualification test (3) consisted of a 12-pack of regular, right circular cylinders of 2 lb each, distributed evenly inside the vessel (totaling 19.2 lb of C-4, or 24 lb TNT equivalent). All vessel acceptance criteria were met.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Office of Nuclear Verification FY 2023 Quarterly Report TSVT Q1

This project encompasses the continued development and training of a U.S. operational team, the Test Site Verification Team (TSVT), supporting verification of nuclear testing activities. TSVT builds on decades of U.S. nuclear testing history and nuclear explosion monitoring experience. The Team maintains readiness to deploy internationally on short notice to provide field-based support of verification of declared or undeclared nuclear testing and associated activities, as well as follow-on activities including monitoring and capability disablement and dismantlement, as established by negotiated agreement or treaty. The roles and structure of the TSVT are integrated with other NA-243 deployable verification teams and the interagency. FY23 TSVT activities focus on continued capability buildup within the team, including Team trainings and exercises with a focus on missions in confined spaces (e.g., tunnels, mines, other underground facilities), increased familiarity with foreign nuclear weapons testing programs, demonstration of Team capacity to deploy, train, and practice sustained OPSEC in non-western locations, establishment of sustainable storage and maintenance of equipment, specification and procurement of additional equipment to support field observations, further evolution of concepts of operation documents (CONOPs), and mission coordination with Headquarters and associated Stakeholders. Activities will culminate with a full-scale domestic team exercise at the end of FY23 focusing on underground activities signatures/observations and safety including advanced outdoor safety and familiarity in working around explosive test environments. In addition, we will be further articulating approaches and capacity relevant to the identification of nuclear tests, as well as monitoring of nuclear testing activities and/or dismantlement of nuclear test sites and anticipate developing additional equipment requests in support of this evolution. The TSVT Team Leads will also coordinate with its Senior Advisor, the TSVT Logistics and Readiness (L&R) Training Lead, and NNSA Headquarters to draft a five-year TSVT training and exercise plan, that strategically and incrementally builds capacity and expertise in key areas of significance for the continuum of nuclear and nuclear-related testing activities that fall within the team’s mission space.

42 ENGINEERING↗

UNESE Phase 2: Injection and measurement of gaseous tracers at U-12p Tunnel

In June 2018 radioactive ( 37 Ar and 127 Xe) and stable (SF 6 ) tracers were injected into the chimney of the Disko Elm underground nuclear explosion, located in the U-12p tunnel complex. After the injection sampling was performed from locations within the tunnel, a borehole drilled from the surface, and from the surface of the mesa. Additionally, the 127 Xe activity within the chimney was continuously monitored for two months after the injection. While none of the injected radiotracers were detected in the monitoring borehole, elevated levels of 39 Ar (an activation product produced by underground nuclear explosions) were detected and quantified in each sample.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

UNESE Argon-39 Measurement Techniques: Developing an above-ground Argon-39 Measurement Capability

The Underground Nuclear Explosion Signatures Experiment (UNESE) sought to use 37 Ar as a tracer for measuring noble-gas migration in the soil surrounding historic Underground Nuclear Explosions (UNE). One unexpected observation was the presence of the much longer-lived isotope 39 Ar from historic UNEs. Quantifying the activity of 39 Ar proved difficult due to the lack of capability to measure significantly-above-background levels of 39 Ar and a general discomfort to repeatedly expose Ultra-Low-Background Proportional Counters (ULBPCs) to significant radioactivity. Because the whole-air samples collected for the 37 Ar tracer measurement were already being measured on the above-ground argon capability, it was decided to expand that capability to include 39 Ar. This document describes the efforts required to achieve quantitative reporting of the 39 Ar backgrounds measured during experiments at the sites of the historic Barnwell and Disko Elm UNEs.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Rock Valley Dense Gravity Acquisition

Characterizing the shallow structure of the Rock Valley region of the Nevada National Security Site is a critical component of the Rock Valley Direct Comparison project. Geophysical data of the region is needed for operational decisions, to constrain geologic models used for simulation, and to facilitate the analysis of future explosive source data. Local measurements of gravity are a key piece of geophysical information that helps to resolve the underlying geologic composition, fault structure, and density characteristics, yet, in the Rock Valley region these measurements are sparse on the scale of the testbed. In this report, we present the details of a recent gravity data acquisition survey designed to collect a dense dataset in the region of interest that complements the existing gravity work but greatly enhances our resolution. This dataset will be integrated with a complementary Los Alamos National Laboratory gravity collection and combined with the existing seismic data in a joint inversion. These measurements were conducted over two weeks with a portable gravimeter and high-resolution GPS and include repeat measurements at a USGS base station as well as reoccupation of gravity sites in the regional dataset. This collection of over 100 new dense gravity measurements will facilitate refinement of the existing Geologic Framework Model and directly complement newly acquired dense seismic data, ultimately improving the project’s ability to investigate the direct comparison of shallow earthquake and explosive sources.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Reaction Evolution Flow Chart - The Critical Path to DDT [Slides]

Purpose (and limitations): The following flow-chart identifies and organizes a generalized, and simplified, sequence of necessary conditions for accidental ignition and reaction growth in a consolidated, polymer-bonded explosive (PBX) charge that has been insulted. A ‘yes’ answer to each question will lead down the critical path and produce violent, explosive reactions, up to and possibly including transition to detonation. Alternatively, any ‘no’ answer will serve as an off-ramp from the path resulting in less violent responses. It is important to note that this flow-chart is a high-level tool to flag potential operational vulnerabilities, but lacks the details needed to stand alone as a sole-source for risk determination. Each question represents a significant area of study and, therefore, the flow chart is intended to be supplemented by subject matter expert elicitations.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Seal Strength Calculations for Low Mass DDT Vessel

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) is collaborating with Colorado School of Mines (Mines), to field the first dynamic experiments on the 3-ring flash radiography system (3-ring). One set of experiments for 3-ring concerns the deflagration to detonation transition (DDT), within a sealed column of high-explosives. The high-explosive material is ignited at one end with a BK-80, an igniter made from Boron Potassium-Nitrate (BKNO 3 ). The initial deflagration reaction will increase the pressure in the sealed vessel, resulting in the formation of a dense "plug" of material ahead of the deflagration front. The transition to detonation is thought to be related to the plug formation. Previous experiments have been able to resolve the plug geometry, but only in a two dimensional radio-graph. 3-ring offers a novel diagnostic tool which could provide three dimensional density fields via few-view reconstruction algorithms and computed tomography.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Pit Technologies at a Glance

The National Nuclear Security Administration has tasked Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) with important national security work: to develop a plutonium pit manufacturing capability and deliver a minimum of 30 plutonium pits per year in the years ahead. A pit is a hollow sphere of plutonium that, when uniformly compressed by explosives inside a warhead or bomb, causes a nuclear explosion. New pits are needed to maintain the nation’s nuclear stockpile and are a key component of nuclear deterrence and world peace. LANL’s Pit Technologies (PT) division manufactures these pits safely and securely. The work takes place in the Plutonium Facility (PF-4), the nation’s most modern plutonium science and manufacturing facility. LANL is currently the only place in the country with the capability to manufacture plutonium pits.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

ESIAS Pseudocode

The Explosive Shock Image Analysis System (ESAIS) is designed to provide a semiautomated quantitative analysis of fast-frame imagery taken during the detonation of high explosive (HE) rate sticks. ESIAS does this by assisting the user in identifying the HE stick geometry on the image (i.e., sides of the undetonated HE stick, detonation front, an axial reference point to assist in the inter-comparison of images); scaling the images based on the known diameter of the undetonated HE stick; identifying the profiles of various surfaces resulting from the detonation process such as the shock wave and product gases or the outer pipe surface; calculating the detonation speed of the HE by tracking the distance it travels between two images with a known time lapse between the images; and determining the slit velocities resulting from the detonation. ESIAS will also import scope traces from oscilloscopes and assist in identifying the time of arrival of significant peaks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dose Measurement on Microfocus Computed Tomography Scanner

This Standard Operating Procedure (SOP) outlines the steps for measuring dose in x-ray computed tomography (CT) scans [1] on the MicroCT (MCT) system at the High Explosives Application Facility (HEAF) and other systems relevant to the Livermore Explosives Detection Program (LEDP). These systems include: the DHS LLNL MCT in HEAF, aka HEAFCAT, DHS LLNL MCT Testbed (TB) in B327, and the MCTs at TRMG, HEX2, HMEX, CBX, and IPMO, as described in Section 4.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Time-Temperature-Stress Superposition of PBX 9502 Compressive Creep Data for Lifetime Predictions

The plastic-bonded explosive (PBX) 9502 is a viscoelastic, high-solids loaded polymer bound composite comprised of 95 weight% (wt%) TATB explosive crystals and 5 wt% FK-800 polymer binder. The uniaxial quasi-static mechanical properties have been studied and characterized extensively over 25+ years, including creep. Creep is the strain evolution over time as a result of an asymmetric load typically at temperatures above ambient. Creep measurements to failure can take excessively long periods of time depending on various factors including applied stress, temperature, and loading rate that render a single test to failure impossible. Using the principles of time-temperature-stress superposition (TTSSP), short-term creep tests at various applied stresses and temperatures can be used for long-term creep predictions. The TTSSP model shifts short-term test data using two factors, one for temperature and stress, creating a master curve at a reference test condition. The master curve can be shifted to predict the creep response at any desired test condition. PBX 9502 compression specimens were tested at three temperatures and various applied stresses. This work discusses the TTSSP analysis of PBX 9502 compressive creep data to create a single comprehensive master curve.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effect of PBX Prill Size on the Compressive Properties of PBX 9502

Plastic-Bonded Explosive (PBX) prills are agglomerates a few millimeters in diameter composed of High Explosive crystals non-uniformly distributed in and surrounded by a polymer binder. When pressed at elevated temperatures at or above the binder melt temperature the polymer flows to uniformly coat the HE crystals to create a well-consolidated compaction. In reality it does so imperfectly, such that x-ray tomographic scans often look like a collection of prills mashed together. It is speculated that the larger the prill, the more non-uniform the binder distribution, but this has never been proven. Even if that were not so, the larger the prill the farther binder must flow toward the middle to homogenize during pressing. Thus, the degree of homogenization depends in part on prill size. The degree to which binder flows during pressing in turn affects the void distribution within pressed charges, which one suspects will affect shock sensitivity and material strength. In this paper we explore, for ~30 PBX 9502 formulation batches using the same TATB powder lot, how prill size effects the compressive mechanical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

LYNM PE1 Pre-Experiment A Site Characterization Report

Underground chemical explosive experiments such as LYNM PE1 generate large multiphenomenological datasets, require complex site preparation and build out, and utilize cutting edge models and analysis techniques to analyze and simulate the explosion-induced signals. This wide range of outcomes makes it a necessity to thoroughly characterize the testbed in advance of experiments in a way that complements the wide suite of data being generated. Here, we present a broad overview of the site characterization work and data collection that was conducted before Experiment A, which is the first in a series of three PE1 experiments. This work includes, but is not limited to, geologic mapping, physical sample collection, analysis of material properties, geophysical borehole logging, and in-situ measurements. This information was collected by a large, dedicated team and was used to inform site construction, finalize instrumentation placement, generate Geologic Framework Models, feed pre-experiment predictions, and facilitate post-experiment data analysis

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

How Dynamic Time Warping Can Assist Conventional Cross-correlation

Waveform cross-correlation is a sensitive phase-matched filtering technique that can detect seismic events for nuclear explosion monitoring. However, there are outstanding challenges with correlation detectors, most notably a direct dependence on the completeness of the waveform template library. To ameliorate these challenges, we investigate how dynamic time warping (DTW) may make waveform correlation more robust. DTW analyzes the differences between two time series and attempts to “warp” one time series relative to another in a recursive manner. We apply DTW to synthetic earthquake and recorded explosion templates to expand the capability of correlation detectors. We explore what conditions (e.g., source, station distance, frequency bands) and/or DTW algorithms generate stronger correlation scores. We show that DTW performs well on noisy signals and can dramatically improve the cross-correlation coefficient between a template and data-stream waveform. We conclude with recommendations on how to utilize DTW in nuclear monitoring detection.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

V31 Test Report

The V31 containment vessel was procured by the US Army Recovered Chemical Materiel Directorate (RCMD) as a third-generation EDS containment vessel. It is the fifth EDS vessel to be fabricated under Code Case 2564 of the 2019 ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, which provides rules for the design of impulsively loaded vessels. The explosive rating for the vessel, based on the code case, is twenty-four (24) pounds TNT-equivalent for up to 1092 detonations. This report documents the results of explosive tests that were performed on the vessel at Sandia National Laboratories in Albuquerque, New Mexico to qualify the vessel for field operations use. There were three design basis configurations for qualification testing. Qualification test (1) consisted of a simulated M55 rocket motor and warhead assembly of 24lbs of Composition C-4 (30 lb TNT equivalent). This test was considered the maximum load case, based on modeling and simulation methods performed by Sandia prior to the vessel design phase. Qualification test (2) consisted of a regular, right circular cylinder, unitary charge, located central to the vessel interior of 19.2 lb of Composition C-4 (24 lb TNT equivalent). Qualification test (3) consisted of a 12-pack of regular, right circular cylinders of 2 lb each, distributed evenly inside the vessel (totaling 19.2 lb of C-4, or 24 lb TNT equivalent). All vessel acceptance criteria were met .

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Method Validation Summary for L16.2 AD-ISO-0015 for ISO-17025 / NFAC Applications

Methods for the analysis of semi-volatile organic compounds are employed at Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) for routine and non-routine samples from tank waste, process control, waste acceptance, and a wide array of other process and research samples. A method has been developed by SRNL, based on existing methods for semi-volatile analysis, for the analysis of nitroaromatic high explosives by gas chromatography / mass spectrometry in soils and sediments. Relative to past work performed at SRNL on nitroaromatic explosives, this developed, optimized, and validated method can achieve lower limits of detection and quantitation, greater precision, lower bias, higher linearity, and accuracy across a greater linear range.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Abatement Case Study

Radioxenon emissions from industrial sources such as fission based medical isotope production (MIP) facilities and nuclear reactors are generally known to be well below levels of public health and safety concern. However, the global background of radioxenon produced by MIP interferes with nuclear explosion monitoring by the International Monitoring System (IMS) developed for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) (CTBTO, 2024). It was calculated that xenon emissions levels of 5×10 9 Bq/day 133 Xe were low enough to have minimal impact on International Monitoring System (IMS) stations (Bowyer et al, 2013). There are several technologies currently used to abate radioactive xenon emissions to meet regulatory release levels, and some alternative methods have been investigated to reduce xenon release levels well below required regulatory levels (Doll et al, 2014, Gueibe, et al, 2014). While MIP producers are sympathetic to the issue of radioxenon interference with IMS monitoring, the cost to implement and maintain additional abatement systems has resulted in limited implementation. Therefore, more cost-effective options for xenon abatement are needed to help reduce the impact of these emissions on nuclear explosion monitoring.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗