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At least 991 records · Page 55

Ecological forecasts for marine resource management during climate extremes

Forecasting weather has become commonplace, but as society faces novel and uncertain environmental conditions there is a critical need to forecast ecology. Forewarning of ecosystem conditions during climate extremes can support proactive decision-making, yet applications of ecological forecasts are still limited. We showcase the capacity for existing marine management tools to transition to a forecasting configuration and provide skilful ecological forecasts up to 12 months in advance. The management tools use ocean temperature anomalies to help mitigate whale entanglements and sea turtle bycatch, and we show that forecasts can forewarn of human-wildlife interactions caused by unprecedented climate extremes. We further show that regionally downscaled forecasts are not a necessity for ecological forecasting and can be less skilful than global forecasts if they have fewer ensemble members. Our results highlight capacity for ecological forecasts to be explored for regions without the infrastructure or capacity to regionally downscale, ultimately helping to improve marine resource management and climate adaptation globally.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Room-temperature stability of excitons and transverse-electric polarized deep-ultraviolet luminescence in atomically thin GaN quantum wells

Here, we apply first-principles calculations to study the effects of extreme quantum confinement on the electronic, excitonic, and radiative properties of atomically thin (1–4 atomic monolayers) GaN quantum wells embedded in AlN. We determine the quasiparticle bandgaps, exciton energies and wave functions, radiative lifetimes, and Mott critical densities as a function of well and barrier thickness. Our results show that quantum confinement in GaN monolayers increases the bandgap up to 5.44 eV and the exciton binding energy up to 215 meV, indicating the thermal stability of excitons at room temperature. Exciton radiative lifetimes range from 1 to 3 ns at room temperature, while the Mott critical density for exciton dissociation is approximately 10 13 cm -2 . The luminescence is transverse-electric polarized, which facilitates light extraction from c-plane heterostructures. We also introduce a simple approximate model for calculating the exciton radiative lifetime based on the free-carrier bimolecular radiative recombination coefficient and the exciton radius, which agrees well with our results obtained with the Bethe–Salpeter equation predictions. In conclusion, our results demonstrate that atomically thin GaN quantum wells exhibit stable excitons at room temperature for potential applications in efficient light emitters in the deep ultraviolet as well as room-temperature excitonic devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Using Multigrain Crystallography to Explore the Microstructural Evolution of the α-Olivine to γ-Ringwoodite Transformation and ε-Mg2SiO4 at High Pressure and Temperature

The introduction of multigrain crystallography (MGC) applied in a laser-heated diamond anvil cell (LH-DAC) using synchrotron X-rays has provided a new path to investigate the microstructural evolution of materials at extreme conditions, allowing for simultaneous investigations of phase identification, strain state determination, and orientation relations across phase transitions in a single experiment. Here, we applied this method to a sample of San Carlos olivine beginning at ambient conditions and through the α-olivine → γ-ringwoodite phase transition. At ambient temperatures, by measuring the evolution of individual Bragg reflections, olivine shows profuse angular streaking consistent with the onset of yielding at a measured stress of ~1.5 GPa, considerably lower than previously reported, which may have implications for mantle evolution. Furthermore, γ-ringwoodite phase was found to nucleate as micron to sub-micron grains imbedded with small amounts of a secondary phase at 15 GPa and 1000 °C. Using MGC, we were able to extract and refine individual crystallites of the secondary unknown phase where it was found to have a structure consistent with the ε-phase previously described in chondritic meteorites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Distinct responses of Asian summer monsoon to black carbon aerosols and greenhouse gases

Black carbon (BC) aerosols emitted from natural and anthropogenic sources induce positive radiative forcing and global warming, which in turn significantly affect the Asian summer monsoon (ASM). However, many aspects of the BC effect on the ASM remain elusive and largely inconsistent among previous studies, which is strongly dependent on different low-level thermal feedbacks over the Asian continent and the surrounding ocean. This study examines the response of the ASM to BC forcing in comparison with the effect of doubled greenhouse gases (GHGs) by analyzing the Precipitation Driver Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP) simulations under an extremely high BC level (10 times modern global BC emissions or concentrations, labeled BC×10) from nine global climate models (GCMs). The results show that although BC and GHGs both enhance the ASM precipitation minus evaporation (P–E; a 13.6 % increase for BC forcing and 12.1 % for GHGs from the nine-model ensemble, respectively), there exists a much larger uncertainty in changes in ASM P–E induced by BC than by GHGs. The summer P–E is increased by 7.7 % to 15.3 % due to these two forcings over three subregions, including East Asian, South Asian and western North Pacific monsoon regions. Further analysis of moisture budget reveals distinct mechanisms controlling the increases in ASM P–E induced by BC and GHGs. The change in ASM P–E by BC is dominated by the dynamic effect due to the enhanced large-scale monsoon circulation, whereas the GHG-induced change is dominated by the thermodynamic effect through increasing atmospheric water vapor. Radiative forcing of BC significantly increases the upper-level atmospheric temperature over the Asian region to enhance the upper-level meridional land–sea thermal gradient (MLOTG), resulting in a northward shift of the upper-level subtropical westerly jet and an enhancement of the low-level monsoon circulation, whereas radiative forcing of GHGs significantly increases the tropical upper-level temperature, which reduces the upper-level MLOTG and suppresses the low-level monsoonal circulation. Hence, our results indicate a different mechanism of BC climate effects under the extremely high BC level: that BC forcing significantly enhances the upper-level atmospheric temperature over the Asian region, determining ASM changes, instead of low-level thermal feedbacks as indicated by previous studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Distinct responses of Asian summer monsoon to black carbon aerosols and greenhouse gases

Black carbon (BC) aerosols emitted from natural and anthropogenic sources induce positive radiative forcing and global warming, which in turn significantly affect the Asian summer monsoon (ASM). However, many aspects of the BC effect on ASM remain elusive and largely inconsistent among previous studies, which is strongly dependent on different low-level thermal feedbacks over the Asian continent and the surrounding ocean. This study examines the response of ASM to BC forcing in comparison with the effect of doubled greenhouse gases (GHGs) by analyzing the Precipitation Driver Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP) simulations under an extreme high BC level (10 times modern global BC emissions or concentrations, labeled by BC $\times$ 10) from nine global climate models (GCMs). The results show that although BC and GHGs both enhance the ASM precipitation minus evaporation (P–E) (a 13.6 % increase for BC forcing and 12.1 % for GHGs from the nine-model ensemble, respectively), there exists a much larger uncertainty in changes in ASM P–E induced by BC than by GHGs. The summer P–E is increased by 7.7 % to 15.3 % due to these two forcings over three sub-regions including East Asian, South Asian, and western North Pacific monsoon regions. Further analysis of moisture budget reveals distinct mechanisms controlling the increases in ASM P–E induced by BC and GHGs. The change in ASM P–E by BC is dominated by the dynamic effect due to the enhanced large-scale monsoon circulation, whereas the GHG-induced change is dominated by the thermodynamic effect through increasing atmospheric water vapor. Radiative forcing of BC significantly increases the upper-level atmospheric temperature over the Asian region to enhance the upper-level meridional land-sea thermal gradient (MLOTG), resulting in a northward shift of the upper-level subtropical westerly jet and an enhancement of the low-level monsoon circulation; whereas radiative forcing of GHGs significantly increases the tropical upper-level temperature, which reduces the upper-level MLOTG and suppresses the low-level monsoonal circulation. Hence, our results indicate a different mechanism of BC climate effects under the extreme high BC level, that BC forcing significantly enhances the upper-level atmospheric temperature over the Asian region, determining ASM changes, instead of low-level thermal feedbacks as indicated by previous studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Probabilistic Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Renewable Energy and Storage Requirements for NM's Energy Transition Act (SAND Report)

This report provides a study of the potential impacts of climate change on intermittent renewable energy resources, battery storage, and resource adequacy in Public Service Company of New Mexico’s Integrated Resource Plan for 2020 – 2040. Climate change models and available data were first evaluated to determine uncertainty and potential changes in solar irradiance, temperature, and wind speed in NM in the coming decades. These changes were then implemented in solar and wind energy models to determine impacts on renewable energy resources in NM. Results for the extreme climate-change scenario show that the projected wind power may decrease by ~13% due to projected decreases in wind speed. Projected solar power may decrease by ~4% due to decreases in irradiance and increases in temperature in NM. Uncertainty in these climate-induced changes in wind and solar resources was accommodated in probabilistic models assuming uniform distributions in the annual reductions in solar and wind resources. Uncertainty in battery storage performance was also evaluated based on increased temperature, capacity fade, and degradation in round-trip efficiency. The hourly energy balance was determined throughout the year given uncertainties in the renewable energy resources and energy storage. The loss of load expectation (LOLE) was evaluated for the 2040 No New Combustion portfolio and found to increase from 0 days/year to a median value of ~2 days/year due to potential reductions in renewable energy resources and battery storage performance and capacity. A rank-regression analyses revealed that battery round-trip efficiency was the most significant parameter that impacted LOLE, followed by solar resource, wind resource, and battery fade. An increase in battery storage capacity to ~25,000 – 30,000 MWh from a baseline value of ~14,000 MWh was required to reduce the median value of LOLE to ~0.2 days/year with consideration of potential climate impacts and battery degradation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Thermocouple Testing in Support of the AGR-5/6/7 Experiment

This report documents thermocouple testing performed in IRC Lab C-15 over a period of seven years. This testing supported selection and characterization of the thermocouple set used in the AGR-5/6/7 experiment. The following summary was taken directly from the report. Temperature measurement is a challenging aspect of very high temperature irradiation experiments because commonly used high-temperature commercial thermocouples such as platinum-rhodium (Types S, R, and B) and tungsten-rhenium (Type C), suffer dramatic drift because of neutron-induced transmutation. As a result, these types of thermocouples, which are used routinely for industrial temperature measurements outside of reactors, are used only in very special circumstances for reactor experiments. Conversely, because of their low neutron cross-sections, Type N thermocouples are affected to only a limited extent by neutron irradiation. However, the use of these nickel-based thermocouples is limited when the temperature exceeds 1050°C due to drift arising from minor alloying elements migrating from the thermocouple's metal sheath to the thermoelements. This change in the composition of the thermo-elements results in significant decalibration of the signal. The issues described above were recognized during the early planning stages of the final AGR experiment (designated AGR-5/6/7), and a thermocouple furnace testing program was performed over a seven-year period (2014-2019, 2021) to first select and then characterize the best thermocouple set for the high temperature regions of the AGR-5/6/7 irradiation experiment. The calculated temperature range of the AGR-5/6/7 experiment was 600–1500°C. For temperatures below 1000°C standard Type N thermocouples were deemed adequate. The furnace testing campaign identified two thermocouple types suitable for measuring temperatures above 1000°C, a Mo/Nb thermocouple developed at INL called HTIR-TC, and a Type N thermocouple developed by Cambridge University (called herein Cambridge Type N), which featured a custom high nickel alloy sheath. One of the original goals of the furnace testing program was to identify a thermocouple capable of low drift operation near the peak temperature expected in AGR-5/6/7, i.e., about 1400°C. The HTIR-TC design appeared promising in this regard, however a manufacturing difficulty proved to be a barrier and instead the furnace testing focused on drift performance at 1250°C. The manufacturing difficulty was that the Nb sheaths of the HTIR-TCs experienced extreme embrittlement when heat treated at 1600°C or greater. Heat treatment is needed to stabilize the emf output of this TC type, and the higher the heat treatment temperature the higher the peak temperature of stable operation. Because of the sheath embrittlement the heat treatment temperature had to be lowered to 1450°C resulting in a stable operating temperature of about 1250°C. One of the successes of the furnace testing program was identification of a shortcoming in the heat treatment procedure that had been traditionally used in the production of HTIR-TCs. The shortcoming was that the entire heated length of the HTIR-TC sensor was not being heat treated, but rather only the part of the sensor expected to experience temperatures above 1000°C. The problem manifested itself when the thermocouples were removed from the heat treat furnace and placed in another furnace with a different geometry, their indicated temperatures would be widely scattered, but mostly in the negative direction. The solution was to heat treat the entire heated length of the sensor. Since the deepest immersion depth in the AGR-5/6/7 experiment was about 40 inches, a heat treatment length of 48 inches was used. After this change was implemented, thermocouples which were moved into a new environment with a different temperature profile (i.e., a different furnace), produced accurate temperature measurements. Although assembly of the AGR-5/6/7 experiment was completed in September of 2017 (and irradiation begun in 2018), furnace testing of thermocouples continued in 2018 and 2019. The main purpose of this testing was to establish very long-term drift characteristics of the HTIR and Cambridge Type N thermocouples installed in the experiment. Representative thermocouples from the same lots as those installed in the AGR-5/6/7 experiment were used. Additionally, thermocouples of different designs, (particularly variations on the HTIR-TC design) were "piggy-backed" on this testing program to provide insights for instrumenting future very high temperature irradiation experiments. This two-year testing program demonstrated that HTIR-TCs and Cambridge Type N TCs could operate at 1250°C for up to 10,000 hrs (and in some cases longer) while experiencing negative drifts on the order of 2-4°C/1000 hrs. This performance was considered acceptable given the extreme operating environment the sensors faced.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Gemini Planet Imager Spectroscopy of the Dusty Substellar Companion HD 206893 B

We present new near-infrared Gemini Planet Imager (GPI) spectroscopy of HD 206893 B, a substellar companion orbiting within the debris disk of its F5V star. The J, H, K1, and K2 spectra from GPI demonstrate the extraordinarily red colors of the object, confirming it as the reddest substellar object observed to date. The significant flux increase throughout the infrared presents a challenging atmosphere to model with existing grids. Best-fit values vary from 1200 to 1800 K for effective temperature and from 3.0 to 5.0 for log(g), depending on which individual wavelength band is fit and which model suite is applied. The extreme redness of the companion can be partially reconciled by invoking a high-altitude layer of submicron dust particles, similar to dereddening approaches applied to the peculiar red field L dwarf population. However, reconciling the HD 206893 B spectra with even those of the reddest low-gravity L dwarf spectra still requires the contribution of additional atmospheric dust, potentially due to the debris disk environment in which the companion resides. Orbit fitting from 4 yr of astrometric monitoring is consistent with a ∼30 yr period, an orbital inclination of 147°, and a semimajor axis of 10 au, well within the estimated disk inner radius of ∼50 au. As one of a very few substellar companions imaged interior to a circumstellar disk, the properties of this system offer important dynamical constraints on companion–disk interaction and provide a benchmark for substellar and planetary atmospheric study.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Flexible Vanadium Dioxide Photodetectors for Visible to Longwave Infrared Detection at Room Temperature

Abstract Flexible optoelectronics is a rapidly growing field, with a wide range of potential applications. From wearable sensors to bendable solar cells, curved displays, and curved focal plane arrays, the possibilities are endless. The criticality of flexible photodetectors for many of these applications is acknowledged, however, devices that are demonstrated thus far are limited in their spectral range. In this study, flexible photodetectors are demonstrated using a VO x nanoparticle ink, with an extremely broad operating wavelength range of 0.4 to 20 µm. This ink is synthesized using a simple and scalable wet‐chemical process. These photodetectors operate at room temperature and exhibit minimal variance in performance even when bent at angles of up to 100 ° at a bend radius of 6.4 mm. In addition, rigorous strain testing of 100 bend and release cycles revealed a photoresponse with a standard deviation of only 0.55%. This combination of mechanical flexibility, wide spectral response, and ease of fabrication makes these devices highly desirable for a wide range of applications, including low‐cost wearable sensors and hyperspectral imaging systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

LA100 Equity Strategies. Chapter 7: Housing Weatherization and Resilience

The LA100 Equity Strategies project integrates community guidance with robust research, modeling, and analysis to identify strategy options that can increase equitable outcomes in Los Angeles' clean energy transition. This chapter focuses on housing weatherization and access to cooling as means to achieve more equitable resilience to heat waves during unplanned power outages. Specifically, NREL used weather, housing, and socioeconomic data to characterize LA's residential building stock. We?developed a residential building stock model to simulate the energy use of 50,000 dwellings representing the diversity of housing types, appliances, climate zones, and household incomes across Los Angeles. We then simulated and evaluated the impacts of 10 building envelope and cooling upgrades on indoor temperature - a main cause of heat-induced health risks-over a 4-day power outage during a heat wave. We examined occupant exposure to extreme heat and how heat exposure changes with each upgrade across income, tenure (renter/owner status), building type, and disadvantaged community (DAC) status. We also examined upgrade costs and utility bills. Based on the results of our analysis and community guidance, we identified building envelope upgrades and cooling strategies that could save lives and maintain safe home temperatures for LA's low-income households in the event of a planned or unplanned power outage during a summer heat wave. Research was guided by input from the community engagement process, and associated equity strategies are presented in alignment with that guidance.

building envelope↗

High‑performance cold‑climate heat pump using tandem compressors with and without vapor injection: Laboratory investigation and field demonstration

Cold‑climate air‑source heat pumps must maintain heating capacity and stable operation at low ambient temperatures for residential applications. This study adapts tandem single-speed compressors—proven in commercial systems —for residential CCHPs, integrating VI and validating performance across laboratory and extreme field conditions to achieve cold-climate targets. That is to achieve ≥75% of the rated heating capacity at −25.0 °C relative to 8.3 °C and heating coefficient of performance (COP) greater than 4.0 at 8.3 °C. Laboratory testing confirmed that both configurations met these targets while operating within acceptable discharge‑temperature limits. Relative to the non‑VI configuration, the VI system provided up to 15% higher heating capacity and up to 9% higher heating COP under identical conditions, yielding a 5.6–9.1% increase in heating seasonal performance factor (HSPF). Field tests in Ohio and Alaska, with minimum outdoor temperatures of −25.0 °C and −34.0 °C, respectively, showed stable operation, minimal supplemental heating (<3.2%), low defrost penalties, and consistent output. Tandem‑compressor architectures proves promising for cold-climate residential heating.

Hu, Yifeng [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000242875185)↗

Materials and engineering endeavors towards practical sodium-ion batteries

Sodium-ion batteries are making inroads toward better acceptance by both research and industry communities as promising electrochemical energy storage systems for stationary battery applications. Here, the extreme dedication to lithium-ion batteries, since the early 90s, has eclipsed any significant development around room temperature Na-ion batteries, despite the materials availability advantage the latter have over the Li-ion battery counterparts. Benefiting from the substantial knowledge accumulated on Li-ion batteries, tremendous progress rapidly occurred with focus on solving the fundamental issues encountered at the component, system and cost levels in Na-ion batteries. In this review, we discuss the key aspects that make Na-ion batteries enable the research of a wide spectrum of sodium-based materials and electrolytes, which further catalyzes the development of plethora of energy storage systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Scalable Bottom-Up Synthesis of Nanoporous Hexagonal Boron Nitride ( h -BN) for Large-Area Atomically Thin Ceramic Membranes

Nanopores embedded within monolayer hexagonal boron nitride (h-BN) offer possibilities of creating atomically thin ceramic membranes with unique combinations of high permeance (atomic thinness), high selectivity (via molecular sieving), increased thermal stability, and superior chemical resistance. However, fabricating size-selective nanopores in monolayer h-BN via scalable top-down processes remains nontrivial due to its chemical inertness, and characterizing nanopore size distribution over a large area remains extremely challenging. Here, we demonstrate a facile and scalable approach of exploiting the chemical vapor deposition (CVD) process temperature to enable direct incorporation of subnanometer/nanoscale pores into the monolayer h-BN lattice, in combination with manufacturing compatible polymer casting to fabricate centimeter-scale nanoporous atomically thin ceramic membranes. We leverage diffusive transport of analytes including size-selective Ficoll sieving to characterize subnanometer-scale and nanoscale defects that manifest as pores in centimeter-scale h-BN membranes, overcoming previous limitations in large-area characterization of nanoscale defects in h-BN. Our approach opens a new frontier to advance atomically thin membranes to 2D ceramic materials, such as h-BN via facile and direct formation of nanopores, for size-selective separations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Field-induced quantum critical point in the itinerant antiferromagnet Ti 3 Cu 4

New phases of matter emerge at the edge of magnetic instabilities, which can occur in materials with moments that are localized, itinerant or intermediate between these extremes. In local moment systems, such as heavy fermions, the magnetism can be tuned towards a zero-temperature transition at a quantum critical point (QCP) via pressure, chemical doping, and, rarely, magnetic field. By contrast, in itinerant moment systems, QCPs are more rare, and they are induced by pressure or doping; there are no known examples of field induced transitions. This means that no universal behaviour has been established across the whole itinerant-to-local moment range—a substantial gap in our knowledge of quantum criticality. Here we report an itinerant antiferromagnet, Ti 3 Cu 4 , that can be tuned to a QCP by a small magnetic field. We see signatures of quantum criticality and the associated non-Fermi liquid behaviour in thermodynamic and transport measurements, while band structure calculations point to an orbital-selective, spin density wave ground state, a consequence of the square net structural motif in Ti 3 Cu 4 . Ti 3 Cu 4 thus provides a platform for the comparison and generalisation of quantum critical behaviour across the whole spectrum of magnetism.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Gyrokinetic benchmark of the electron temperature-gradient instability in the pedestal region

Transport from turbulence driven by the electron temperature-gradient (ETG) instability is likely a major source of electron heat losses through the pedestal. Due to extreme gradients and strong shaping, ETG instabilities in the pedestal are distinct from those in the core, having, for example, multiple branches (toroidal and slab) in different wavenumber ranges. Due to its importance for pedestal transport, and its rather exotic character, a rigorous multi-code benchmarking exercise is imperative. In this work, we describe such an exercise, wherein we have carried out a detailed comparison of local linear pedestal ETG simulations using three gyrokinetic codes, CGYRO, GEM, and GENE and testing different geometric parameters (such as circular, Miller, and equilibrium EFIT geometry). The resulting linear frequencies, growth rates, and eigenfunctions show very good agreement between the codes in the three types of employed geometries. A nonlinear benchmark between CGYRO and GENE is also described, exhibiting good agreement (a maximum of 20% difference in the heat fluxes computed) at two locations in the pedestal. This lays the foundation for confidently modeling ETG turbulence in the pedestal

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Large-field magnetoresistance of nanometer scale nickel films grown on molybdenum disulfide

The magnetoresistance of thin nickel films grown on molybdenum disulfide was measured in perpendicular magnetic fields as high as 90 kOe. Films with thicknesses of 20 nm provided continuous surfaces for measurement. The magnetoresistance was found to be linear with respect to the applied magnetic field with no sign of saturation. There was also no evidence of hysteresis or temperature dependence between 100 to 300 K. STM measurement showed the deposited Ni forms a continuous film of extremely small nanoclusters. However, the field dependence of magnetoresistance was found to be significantly larger than bulk Ni, which is in turn larger than Ni with nanoscale grains. We expect the unusual magnetoresistance behavior to arise from some property of the Ni-MoS 2 interface.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Machine learning the electronic structure of matter across temperatures

Here, we introduce machine learning (ML) models that predict the electronic structure of materials across a wide temperature range. Our models employ neural networks and are trained on density functional theory (DFT) data. Unlike most other ML models that use DFT data, our models directly predict the local density of states (LDOS) of the electronic structure. This provides several advantages, including access to multiple observables such as the electronic density and electronic total free energy. Moreover, our models account for both the electronic and ionic temperatures independently, making them ideal for applications like laser heating of matter. We validate the efficacy of our LDOS-based models on a metallic test system. They accurately capture energetic effects induced by variations in ionic and electronic temperatures over a broad temperature range, even when trained on a subset of these temperatures. These findings open up exciting opportunities for investigating the electronic structure of materials under both ambient and extreme conditions.

Fiedler, Lenz↗