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At least 991 records · Page 55

Hydrogen Detection Strategies to Support H2@SCALE - The NREL Sensor Laboratory

Hydrogen represents a major pathway to decarbonize and stabilize the national and international energy industry and select manufacturing markets. To facilitate the development of hydrogen markets, the US Department of Energy initiated H2@Scale to bring together stakeholders to advance affordable hydrogen production, transport, storage, and utilization to increase revenue opportunities in multiple energy sectors. One major impediment to hydrogen implementation is cost. To expedite the use of hydrogen in energy and other markets, the United States announced in 2021 the Hydrogen Shot, which seeks to reduce the cost of clean hydrogen by 80% to $1 per 1 kilogram in 1 decade ("1 1 1"). As the cost of hydrogen drops, new applications will emerge that will require unique configurations of existing equipment and infrastructure, and eventually lead to advances in the generation and utilization of hydrogen. As the hydrogen economy expands, sensors and detection methods will need to adapt to changing infrastructure demands to address the primary targets of health & safety, emissions monitoring, and process control. The NREL Sensor Laboratory is playing a pivotal role in advancing the use of hydrogen sensors and detection methodologies in each of these categories to support DOE's mission for safe and efficient utilization in emerging markets. Health & safety monitors are required to ensure that operators and facilities can react to unintended hydrogen releases, either as GH2, LH2, or as a constituent of blends (e.g., natural gas or ammonia). Current detection methodologies focus on safety applications to detect near its lower flammable limit (4 vol %), and typically include point sensors in applications such as fixed or mobile detectors (e.g., personal gas monitors). Methodologies amenable for area detection include acoustic, emerging optical imaging methods, and flame detectors. Comparable detection strategies can be utilized for emissions monitoring and quantization, however few methods can simultaneously cover both low (emissions) and high (health & safety) levels. Deployment of emission level detectors will be required to 1) reduce product loss through small but potentially significant leaks from an environmental or cost perspective, 2) reduce downtime of high demand systems by early identification of eminent system failures (leaks through pump or compressor seals indicative of impending failure), and 3) address potential emission monitoring requirements that may be set by regulating bodies. The first two points should be adopted by industry to reduce the cost-of-goods-sold. The third main category for hydrogen detection relates to process control and may be advantageous for many existing applications. Two main applications are emerging. For example, the purity requirements for hydrogen that is dispensed from refueling systems for hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEV) is rigorously regulated by the Standard SAE J2719, which prescribes maximum allowable levels of multiple impurities in the hydrogen fuel and must be verified by a regulatory body. Hydrogen contaminant detectors (HCD) integrated to the fueling station can assure this compliance. HCDs must be able operate in 100% H2 backgrounds and be able to distinguish between multiple contaminants at low ppm to low ppb levels. Secondly, as a strategy to decarbonize the natural gas grid, there are proposals to blend hydrogen with natural gas. This blending will affect transport applications (pipeline infrastructure), stationary combustion systems (turbines), and consumer and commercial appliances. In the short-term, hydrogen levels up to 20% are proposed. Variations in the hydrogen level can have dramatic impact on the combustion process and on the potential response of safety sensors. These mixtures may be regulated so that the concentration at a delivery point must be monitored with high precision. However, routine maintenance may introduce background gases such as ambient air (with water) or maintenance gases (introduced with welding processes or adhesive outgassing.) Therefore, the detection methodology must be robust enough to recover or respond to various contaminants. Several reviews can be found in literature addressing sensing and detection technologies, including their limitations and applications. However, for most applications, limitations can be alleviated by combining various detection techniques either through system integration or implementation of machine learning methods (artificial intelligence). In this presentation, we will discuss several applications, highlight their current approach for hydrogen detection, and suggest detection strategies to supplement their limitations.

ENERGY STORAGE,HYDROGEN↗

Mobile Hot Cell Digital Twin: End-of-life Management of Disused High Activity Radioactive Sources

Sealed radioactive sources are used in various settings such as nuclear facilities, universities, hospitals, and industry. When these sources reach the end of their lifespan, they become waste and are recaptured and stored long-term. A digital twin can be used in the design of a solution for recapturing spent sources, offering benefits in deployment time, operator safety, and cost reduction. We propose a digital twin framework for managing the end-of-life process of disused high activity radioactive sources and have created a prototype implementation to demonstrate its feasibility.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Preparation of acid-deficient uranyl nitrate solutions

A solution of acid deficient uranyl nitrate has a formula of UO2(OH)y(NO3)2-y, where y ranges from 0.1 to 0.5. The solution is prepared by placing UxOz in aqueous nitric acid to produce a uranium solution, wherein x is 1 to 3 and z is 2 to 8; placing the uranium solution under a pressure greater than atmospheric pressure in a sealed reaction chamber; and heating the uranium solution to a desired temperature of between 150° C. and 250° C. by applying microwave energy to the uranium solution. The uranium solution is maintained at the desired temperature under a pressure of from 5 atmospheres to 40 atmospheres for a hold time of 15 minutes to 6 hours to produce the desired acid deficient uranyl nitrate.

Brown, Daniel↗

Counter gravity heat pipe techniques

A pump assisted heat pipe may combine the low mass flow rate required of latent heat pipe transfer loops with a hermetically sealed pump to overcome the typical heat pipe capillary limit. This may result in a device with substantially higher heat transfer capacity over conventional pumped single-phase loops, heat pipes, loop heat pipes, and capillary pumped loops with very modest power requirements to operate. Further, one or more embodiments overcome the gravitation limitations in the conventional heat pipe configuration, e.g., when the heat addition zone is above the heat rejection zone, the capillary forces are required to transfer the liquid from the heat rejection zone to the heat addition zone against gravity.

Reid, Robert S.↗

Additive manufacturing of complex objects using refractory matrix materials

A method for the manufacture of a three-dimensional object using a refractory matrix material is provided. The method includes the additive manufacture of a green body from a powder-based refractory matrix material followed by densification via chemical vapor infiltration (CVI). The refractory matrix material can be a refractory ceramic (e.g., silicon carbide, zirconium carbide, or graphite) or a refractory metal (e.g., molybdenum or tungsten). In one embodiment, the matrix material is deposited according to a binder-jet printing process to produce a green body having a complex geometry. The CVI process increases its density, provides a hermetic seal, and yields an object with mechanical integrity. The residual binder content dissociates and is removed from the green body prior to the start of the CVI process as temperatures increase in the CVI reactor. The CVI process selective deposits a fully dense coating on all internal and external surfaces of the finished object.

Terrani, Kurt A.↗

Scalable method of fabricating structured polymers for passive daytime radiative cooling and other applications

A switchable light transmission module is disclosed that includes a substrate having a first surface defining at least part of an enclosed volume, a porous layer disposed on the first surface and in fluid communication with the enclosed volume, and a reservoir in fluid communication with the enclosed volume. The reservoir is configured to supply a fluid to the sealed volume such that the fluid contacts the porous layer. The fluid has a refractive index that is close to the refractive index of the porous layer, has a high wettability for the porous layer, and does not dissolve the porous layer. When in a dry state, voids in the porous layer are filled with air which has a much different refractive index than the porous layer itself, resulting in a surface that is reflective and not very transmissive. During wetting of the porous layer by the fluid, however, those voids are filled with the fluid, reducing the difference in refractive index across the polymer-fluid interfaces such that light scattering is negligible and the surface becomes light permeable.

Mandal, Jyotirmoy↗

ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION OF HARD AND SOFT MAGNETIC MATERIALS IN GASEOUS AND SUPERCRITICAL CO2 ENVIRONMENTS

It may be beneficial to use hermetic designs for supercritical CO2 (sCO2) cycles machinery as they would eliminate CO2 leakage through shaft end seals. This would reduce CO2 emissions and operating costs for makeup of lost process fluid. Those designs may replace traditional oil-lubricated bearings with actively controlled magnetic bearings operating at high temperatures in the process fluid environment (to reduce the need for active cooling). This paper investigates the material degradation of various types of magnets in CO2. Included are several permanent and soft magnetic materials (Alnico 9C, Alnico 5-7C, and 18-T550 grade SmCo, and Hiperco 50) with or without coatings (nickel plating or C5 coating). The materials were exposed to: (1) flowing gaseous CO2 at 1,022 °F (550 °C) and atmospheric pressure in a furnace and (2) sCO2 at 842 °F (450 °C) and 1,500 psi (103 bar) in an autoclave. The preliminary mass change measured after total exposures of 1,000 hours and 2,000 hours are included.

supercritical CO2, magnetic material↗

Smartphone application for visualizing building air leakage

Annually, unwanted air leakage through building envelopes accounts for 4 quads of energy consumption in the United States, which translates to about 10% of total building energy consumption. Locating and sealing leakage sites is crucial fordecreasing building energy consumption. Smartphones are ubiquitous and contain sophisticated cameras and highperformance processors that could be employed to visualize air leakage using the background-oriented schlieren imaging technique, making leak detection cheaper and easier. This technique requires a textured and high-contrast background such as a brick or concrete masonry unit wall, a building air leak that has a temperature difference compared with the ambient air, and an imaging system. This work focuses on using smartphones as the imaging system to visualize air leakages. The paper discusses application development and the results of testing to determine leakage visualization performance as a function of leak temperature. The results show that leaks with a temperature difference greater than 16°C compared with the ambient air temperature were visualized using existing smartphones.

Boudreaux, Philip [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000229564665)↗

Benefits Of Automated Construction And Energy Efficiency Measures In Modular Homes

This article builds on and adds to a Buildings XV publication that introduced the Transformative Efficiency and Automation in Modular Homes (TEAMH) project. The TEAMH project sought to develop a scalable solution for producing modular homes with 20-50% energy savings and similar cost relative to site-fabricated single-family home construction. A key aspect of the project was assessing the potential for labor cost reductions through automation-assisted construction using light gauge steel (LGS). To quantify the advantages of this approach, side-by-side comparisons were made between traditional wood-framed construction and automation-assisted LGS construction. This demonstration involved constructing one wood-framed wall and several LGS test walls, accompanied by a time-and-motion study. The results indicated that automation assistance could decrease construction time and associated labor costs by as much as 46%. High-performance envelope technologies for exterior insulation and air sealing were evaluated to compare modular homes with site-built homes that meet the International Energy Conservation Code (IECC). A key technology considered was vacuum insulation panels (VIPs) with fiberglass cores. Guarded hot box testing of multiple full-scale wall assemblies containing different combinations of exterior continuous insulation systems containing phenolic foam and VIPs. Testing on various full-scale wall assemblies revealed that, with LGS construction, cavity insulation had minimal impact on exterior wall performance. Omitting cavity insulation can reduce labor and material costs while streamlining manufacturing, as its installation is labor-intensive and not easily automated due to the need for precise placement around wiring and other internal components. Guarded hot box tests of multiple LGS test walls with foam and VIP-based exterior insulation systems achieved R-values of up to 31 hr-ft2-°F/Btu. Finally, building energy modeling of multiple modular home designs indicated that the upgraded envelope assemblies can yield heating energy savings of up to 50% and cooling energy savings of up to 30% compared to IECC 2018 standards.

Shrestha, Som [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000183993797)↗

Undulating transducer for energy harnessing and propulsion apparatuses, methods and systems

Embodiments disclosed may serve the function of a pump, a generator, or a propulsion system. Two flexible fins are coupled via their longitudinal inner edges to fin coupling modules. An external fluid flow causes traveling fin undulations. The angle of the fins relative to each other changes as undulations travel along the fins which can be translated through the fin coupling modules into mechanical work, powered by the external fluid flow. The mechanical work of the fin coupling modules may be the cyclical extension and contraction of pistons or bellows incorporated into the fin coupling modules, which may draw ambient fluid during their extension cycles and compress fluid during their contraction cycles to create a pump. The pistons or bellows may also be sealed from ambient fluid but connected through conduits through which contained fluid is exchanged in a continuous circulation of fluid to power a pump or a turbine.

Filardo, Benjamin Pietro↗

(Paper) TRIPWIRE: Multi-modal Distributed Sensing For Repository Verification

Underground geological repositories for storing used nuclear fuel are being planned and developed around the world. Research is being performed to understand technical aspects of sealing entombed materials and underground repositories to ensure the radiological and nuclear materials remain contained. To support safeguards verification for these facilities research at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) is underway to develop and demonstrate a multi-modal sensor system, TRIPWIRE, for containment verification in inaccessible radiological and nuclear waste repositories. The TRIPWIRE system will continuously monitor ionizing radiation and electromagnetic fields in the vicinity of emplaced nuclear materials buried in a repository, reporting on disturbances with a real-time alarm control station. The system will use long-length scintillating fiber bundles (SFBs) to perform area radiation monitoring; these will be coupled to kilometer-scale multimodal optical communication fibers – all light sensors and electronic components used with this system will be located above ground. Electromagnetic fields, and changes in local dielectric conditions caused by intrusion and soil movement, will be monitored using commercial grade, ported "leaky" coaxial cables (PCCs), with control electronics also located above ground. Tamper-indicating self-diagnostic assessments will be done using optical and electronic time domain reflectometry in the SFBs and PCCs, respectively. The result will be a long, kilometer-scale multi-modal SFB-PCC system. Simulation and modeling are being used to inform the work and a demonstration of the system's utility is planned at a nuclear storage facility in the future.

98 - NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL↗

Exploring the speciation of actinide salts in the presence of contaminants related to molten salt reactors

Molten salt reactors (MSR) are up-and-coming Generation IV nuclear reactors with either coolant and/or radioactive fuel in molten salt form. Due to their improved safety, efficiency, affordability and convenient waste processing system, these reactors are considered a superior alternative to conventional ones. However, prior to commercial implementation, it is necessary to have an extensive understanding of the reactions occurring in the MSR. The safety parameters of the MSR are determined by the rheological properties such as density and viscosity of the molten salt and these properties are governed by the local structure of the molten salts. Due to the high operational temperatures of MSR's, corrosion plays an important role. Because of their influence, the container corrosion products become part of the fuel salt matrix. In this work, we are investigating how these corrosion products, e.g., Mo, Ni, Cr, would impact the speciation of the actinide metal centers. For the initial studies, lanthanides are used as a surrogate for actinides. Lanthanide chloride salts (LnCl3) are mixed with transition metals and excess of alkali or alkali earth metal salts or salt mixtures (LiCl, NaCl, KCl). These are added to an alumina crucible, placed in a quartz tube, and sealed under a vacuum. This is heated up to around 1000 °C and slowly cooled to a temperature above the melting point of the salt and at that temperature, the reaction is taken out of the furnace. The excess salt is removed, and the resulting product is analyzed using X-ray diffraction techniques, scanning electron microscopy, and spectroscopic methods such as Raman, UV-Visible, and FTIR spectroscopy.

37 - INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL AND ANALYTICAL C↗

Sockeye Code Validation Against UNIST Heat Pipe - Poster - Internship 2025

Sockeye is an engineering level code being developed under the MOOSE framework for modeling heat pipes. A heat pipe is a sealed tube with a wick structure filled with a working fluid that transfers heat efficiently and passively via phase change of the working fluid. Heat applied to the evaporator end creates a pressure gradient which causes vapor to migrate to the condenser end where the vapor deposits its energy and condenses. Capillary force generated by the wick structure then draws the liquid back to the evaporator. A validation study was performed to compare the Sockeye code against data produced at the Ulsan National Institute of Standards and Technology for a slightly overfilled sodium heat pipe. The heat pipe was operated under natural convection cooling and a decreasing inactive length was observed. The experiment was modeled in Sockeye using the condenser pool model, the front non-condensable gas (NCG) model, and the mixture NCG model separately to reproduce the inactive length phenomenon. Also, a new capability was implemented in MOOSE to allow for conjugate heat transfer from the condenser based on the Churchill-Chu correlation for natural convection. The condenser pool model showed an increasing inactive length, demonstrating that the behavior was likely not caused by a pool of excess liquid. The front NCG model was able to show good agreement with the experiment, but it suffered convergence issues at the front. Finally, the mixture NCG model gave good results when the axial mesh was sufficiently refined. This work culminated in additions to the Sockeye documentation and a contribution to a journal article that will be published later. This poster is a summary of my work which I can take back to my university for presentation.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

Force-triggered, Bio-based, Sealants for Prefabricated Building Components: Towards Improved Efficiency, Performance and Sustainability

The prefabricated building construction industry has made extensive progress in expediting the manufacture of prefabricated components at offsite plants. However, this progress has not translated to the assembly of the prefabricated components at the construction site. Case in point, sealing the joints between components to prevent air leaks requires the manual application of tape, caulk, or spray foam at the jobsite, and performance is highly dependent on the skills of the installer. To reduce assembly time and improve assembly quality of prefabricated components, we developed a sealant that can be installed at the plant and triggered at the jobsite. Additionally, we used this opportunity to lower the use of fossil fuel derived feedstocks and introduced bio-based alternatives to decrease the embodied carbon of the new sealant. We evaluated a series of force-triggered, bio-based, high strength, and fast curing sealants, consisting of a one-part heterogeneous system. These sealants are derived from formulations with ≥80% of biogenic carbon, consisting of a cardanol derived diepoxy that is microencapsulated in a polymer shell and embedded in a cardanol derived amine curing agent. The microcapsule shell allows separation of the reactive species in the one part sealant allowing shelf stability to an otherwise fast curing system. When the microcapsules are broken and activated by force, the highly reactive species mix and cure, exhibiting peel strengths up to 143 ppi. The shelf stability of these sealants and the on-demand triggering of the curing reactions enable installation on prefabricated components and storage prior to delivery and assembly at a jobsite, which could result in consistent sealant application with lower installation time than tapes and caulks at the construction site.

Cortes Guzman, Karen [ORNL] (ORCID:000000028793468↗

Capabilities for Water Sector Infrastructure Resilience - Prioritizing RD&D in a Target Rich, Resource Poor Sector

WSTB & Water Sector Security Program Expansion Objective: Incubate and shepherd a public-private consortium of joint seal US government sponsors and industry stakeholders to build out industrial control system (ICS) and operational technology (OT) architecture of the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) Water Security Test Bed (WSTB) asset to enable research, testing, and cyber workforce training related to evolving cyber-physical and physical vulnerabilities and threats in the water sector.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Degradation of Magnetic Materials for High-Temperature Active Magnetic Bearing Applications in CO₂-Based Environments

High-temperature Active Magnetic Bearings (AMBs) are a promising alternative to conventional bearings in hermetically sealed turbomachinery for supercritical CO₂ (sCO₂) systems. They offer reduced CO₂ leakage, lower windage losses, enhanced misalignment tolerance, reduced wear, and built-in diagnostic capabilities. A critical challenge, however, is ensuring long-term material stability in harsh CO₂-rich environments. This study investigated the degradation behavior of permanent and soft magnetic materials (Alnico 9C, Alnico 5-7C, SmCo 18-T550, Hiperco-50, and coated variants) after up to 6,000 hours of exposure in gaseous CO₂, sCO₂, or air at 450 °C and 550 °C. The evaluation included post-exposure mass change measurements, scanning electron microscopy (SEM) analysis, and magnetic property assessments. The results demonstrate oxidation rates, microstructural evolution, and retention of magnetic performance across conditions. The findings offer essential insights into the thermal corrosion behavior of magnetic materials under CO₂ rich environments and serve as a reference for material selection in AMB system designs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Hydrogeological assessment of CO2 containment assurance and wellbore integrity at a Gulf Coast storage site

Abstract A large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) initiative on the Texas Gulf Coast serves as a premier demonstration of the U.S. Department of Energy’s CarbonSAFE program. Targeting deep saline formations, specifically Oligo-Miocene deltaic sequences, the project aims to establish technical and commercial viability for geologic CO2 storage within a major industrial corridor. This study provides a rigorous hydrogeological assessment to support Class VI permitting by quantifying the high degree of containment security. Utilizing a compositional reservoir simulator, we developed a suite of 27 distinct simulation cases to evaluate vertical plume dynamics near both planned injection wells and proximal legacy infrastructure. To ensure numerical accuracy near wellbores, we implemented a refined mesh strategy, determining that a 5.6 ft × 5.6 ft grid refinement offered the optimal balance between computational efficiency and descriptive precision. The modeling framework utilized a systematic sensitivity-based approach to evaluate the mechanical redundancy of the subsurface system by performing a bounding analysis of wellbore interfaces against hypothetical high-permeability microannuli. By systematically isolating competing physical drivers, including permeability, porosity, gas hysteresis, thermal gradients, salinity, and solubility trapping (quantified via Henry’s law with dynamically adjusted coefficients), this work moves beyond binary assessments to establish a nuanced hierarchy of containment factors. The results confirm that primary trapping mechanisms (e.g., gas hysteresis and solubility), combined with the site's unique geomechanical stratigraphy, significantly restrict vertical mobility and reinforce the robust containment security of the reservoir. Baseline results demonstrate substantial vertical separation between the CO2 plume and the upper confining system, ensuring robust containment. Sensitivity analysis reveals that even under highly conservative bounding scenarios—assuming theoretical 10-Darcy pathways at specific wellbore locations—the 2,900-ft thick multi-layered confining zone remains a reliable barrier. In these hypothetical upper-bound cases, peak upward fluxes of CO2 and saltwater after 15 years of injection remain localized and dissipate rapidly within the lower sections of the confining interval, leaving the integrity of the seal uncompromised. Furthermore, the study identifies that while localized wellbore pathways define theoretical upper bounds of vertical migration, the Area of Review (AoR) is primarily sensitive to regional thermal gradients and hysteresis, which can influence the AoR by over 3,000 acres in pessimistic configurations. Also, primary trapping mechanisms, specifically gas hysteresis and solubility, work in tandem with the Gulf Coast’s unique geomechanical stratigraphy to significantly restrict vertical mobility. Ductile, smectite-rich mudstones facilitate natural borehole convergence and the self-healing of potential conduits, creating a natural geomechanical bridge that effectively mitigates migration potential at both current injection points and legacy-well locations. This comprehensive modeling effort demonstrates that the integration of high-resolution wellbore simulations and regional geomechanical observations confirms the long-term storage security of the studied site, providing a physics-based foundation for industrial-scale CCS deployments. This modeling framework establishes a baseline for future research into coupled geomechanical effects, such as time-dependent borehole convergence, to further refine long-term containment projections. Acknowledgements We thank the Gulf Coast Carbon Center (GCCC) at the Bureau of Economic Geology for foundational research support. We appreciate Alex Bump for technical guidance and David Hoffman for model mesh generation. This work used TACC’s Frontera cluster for simulations and CMG Ltd. software licenses provided to UT-Austin. This material is based upon work supported by the Department of Energy under Award Number DE-FE0032338. Disclaimer This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Fossil Energy and Carbon Management Office under the CarbonSAFE program, award Number DE-FE0032338. The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Department of Energy or the United States Government.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Hydrogeological assessment of CO2 containment assurance and wellbore integrity at a Gulf Coast storage site

Abstract A large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) initiative on the Texas Gulf Coast serves as a premier demonstration of the U.S. Department of Energy’s CarbonSAFE program. Targeting deep saline formations, specifically Oligo-Miocene deltaic sequences, the project aims to establish technical and commercial viability for geologic CO2 storage within a major industrial corridor. This study provides a rigorous hydrogeological assessment to support Class VI permitting by quantifying the high degree of containment security. Utilizing a compositional reservoir simulator, we developed a suite of 27 distinct simulation cases to evaluate vertical plume dynamics near both planned injection wells and proximal legacy infrastructure. To ensure numerical accuracy near wellbores, we implemented a refined mesh strategy, determining that a 5.6 ft × 5.6 ft grid refinement offered the optimal balance between computational efficiency and descriptive precision. The modeling framework utilized a systematic sensitivity-based approach to evaluate the mechanical redundancy of the subsurface system by performing a bounding analysis of wellbore interfaces against hypothetical high-permeability microannuli. By systematically isolating competing physical drivers, including permeability, porosity, gas hysteresis, thermal gradients, salinity, and solubility trapping (quantified via Henry’s law with dynamically adjusted coefficients), this work moves beyond binary assessments to establish a nuanced hierarchy of containment factors. The results confirm that primary trapping mechanisms (e.g., gas hysteresis and solubility), combined with the site's unique geomechanical stratigraphy, significantly restrict vertical mobility and reinforce the robust containment security of the reservoir. Baseline results demonstrate substantial vertical separation between the CO2 plume and the upper confining system, ensuring robust containment. Sensitivity analysis reveals that even under highly conservative bounding scenarios—assuming theoretical 10-Darcy pathways at specific wellbore locations—the 2,900-ft thick multi-layered confining zone remains a reliable barrier. In these hypothetical upper-bound cases, peak upward fluxes of CO2 and saltwater after 15 years of injection remain localized and dissipate rapidly within the lower sections of the confining interval, leaving the integrity of the seal uncompromised. Furthermore, the study identifies that while localized wellbore pathways define theoretical upper bounds of vertical migration, the Area of Review (AoR) is primarily sensitive to regional thermal gradients and hysteresis, which can influence the AoR by over 3,000 acres in pessimistic configurations. Also, primary trapping mechanisms, specifically gas hysteresis and solubility, work in tandem with the Gulf Coast’s unique geomechanical stratigraphy to significantly restrict vertical mobility. Ductile, smectite-rich mudstones facilitate natural borehole convergence and the self-healing of potential conduits, creating a natural geomechanical bridge that effectively mitigates migration potential at both current injection points and legacy-well locations. This comprehensive modeling effort demonstrates that the integration of high-resolution wellbore simulations and regional geomechanical observations confirms the long-term storage security of the studied site, providing a physics-based foundation for industrial-scale CCS deployments. This modeling framework establishes a baseline for future research into coupled geomechanical effects, such as time-dependent borehole convergence, to further refine long-term containment projections. Acknowledgements We thank the Gulf Coast Carbon Center (GCCC) at the Bureau of Economic Geology for foundational research support. We appreciate Alex Bump for technical guidance and David Hoffman for model mesh generation. This work used TACC’s Frontera cluster for simulations and CMG Ltd. software licenses provided to UT-Austin. This material is based upon work supported by the Department of Energy under Award Number DE-FE0032338. Disclaimer This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Fossil Energy and Carbon Management Office under the CarbonSAFE program, award Number DE-FE0032338. The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Department of Energy or the United States Government.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗