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At least 991 records · Page 55

Predicted Fracture Tendency of Naturally Occurring Aluminum Surface Coatings under Tensile Loading

Naturally occurring coatings on aluminum metal, such as its oxide or hydroxide, serve to protect the material from corrosion. Understanding the conditions under which these coatings mechanically fail is therefore expected to be an important aspect of predictive models for aluminum component lifetimes. To this end, we develop and apply a molecular dynamics (MD) modeling framework for conducting tension tests that is capable of isolating factors governing the mechanical strength as a function of coating chemistry, defect morphology, and variables associated with the loading path. We consider two representative materials, including γ-Al 2 O 3 and γ-Al(OH) 3 (i.e., oxide and hydroxide), both of which form readily as aluminum surface coatings. Our results indicate that defects have a significant bearing on the strength of aluminum oxide, with grain boundaries serving to reduce the strain at failure from ε zz = 0.300 to 0.219, relative to perfect single crystal. Our simulations also predict that porosity lowers the elastic stiffness and yield strength of the oxide. Relative to perfect crystal, we find porosity factors of 5%, 10% and 20% decrease the yield stress by 26%, 36% and 53%, respectively. MD predicts that perfect hydroxide and oxide single crystal have respective strains at failure of 0.08 and 0.31 under tensile uniaxial strain loading, and that the corresponding yield stresses are respectively 1.6 and 11.1 GPa. These data indicate that the hydroxide is substantially more susceptible to mechanical failure than the oxide. Our results, coupled with literature findings that indicate hot and humid conditions favor formation of hydroxide and defective oxide coatings, indicate the potential for a complicated dependence of aluminum corrosion susceptibility and stress corrosion cracking on aging history.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Structural complexity of snapshots of two-dimensional Fermi-Hubbard systems

The development of quantum gas microscopy for two-dimensional optical lattices has provided an unparalleled tool to study the Fermi-Hubbard model (FHM) with ultracold atoms. Spin-resolved projective measurements, or snapshots, have played a significant role in quantifying correlation functions, theory verification, and thus the uncovering of underlying physical phenomena such as antiferromagnetism at commensurate filling on bipartite lattices and other charge and spin correlations, as well as dynamical properties at various densities. Here we employ a recent concept, the multiscale structural complexity, and show that when computed for the snapshots (of single spin species, local moments, or total density) it can provide a theory-free property, immediately accessible to experiments. Specifically, after benchmarking results for Ising and $XY$ models, we study the structural complexity of snapshots of the repulsive FHM in the two-dimensional square lattice as a function of doping and temperature. We generate projective measurements using determinant quantum Monte Carlo and compare their complexities against those from the experiment. We demonstrate that these complexities are linked to relevant physical observables such as the entropy and double occupancy. Their behaviors capture the development of correlations and relevant length scales in the system. Furthermore, we provide an open-source code in python which can be implemented into data analysis routines in experimental settings for the square lattice.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Long-range hydrogen-binding effects of carbide interfaces in iron

A micromechanics model was developed to evaluate the elastic binding energy between carbide precipitates and hydrogen interstitials using Eshelby's equivalent inclusion method. In this work, density functional theory (DFT) simulations were performed to obtain the material-specific quantities, e.g., lattice constants and the elastic constants, for the continuum model. Using this model, we find that for coherent carbide precipitates, hydrogen atoms are more likely to bind on the broad surfaces of the disk-like precipitates, which is consistent with experimental observations. For semicoherent and incoherent precipitates, our model suggests that it is possible for semicoherent precipitates to have significant hydrogen binding capability while there is no hydrogen-binding capability of incoherent precipitates, which also agrees with experimental findings. In addition, several factors that influence the binding energies between hydrogen atoms and carbide precipitates were quantitatively analyzed, including the precipitate size, morphology, orientation, and interface. These collective results include both the position and the value of the strongest hydrogen-binding interaction for a wide range of carbide stoichiometries, which contributes to our understanding of hydrogen trapping in steel-based materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Design and Manufacturing of High Performance, Reduced Charge Heat Exchangers

Air-to-fluid heat exchangers (HXs) play a critical role as the main heat transfer component in Heating, Ventilation, Air-Conditioning, and Refrigeration (HVAC&R) systems. However, their airside thermal resistance significantly inhibits their overall performance. Furthermore, these HXs must be continually more compact to meet the latest refrigerant charge limits to reduce emissions. Recent literature suggests that traditional HX geometries (e.g., round or flat tubes with fins), have reached their limits, and more sophisticated shape- and topology-optimized designs are required to achieve the next jump in performance. This research sheds light on the next generation of air-to-refrigerant HXs and aims to address several practical issues to commercialization such as novelty challenges (improved performance for significant charge reduction; modeling expertise & time investment), manufacturing challenges (non-round tube manufacturing; tube-header integration; product qualification, e.g., burst pressure testing, extreme operational environment, etc.), and operational challenges (flow maldistribution, fouling & wetting, noise & vibration). For example, a >20% improvement on one (or more) HX-level performance metrics (e.g., envelope volume, airside pressure drop, face area, capacity, refrigerant charge, weight, cost, etc.) must be achieved before a HX design is considered for commercialization. We present a new, comprehensive and experimentally validated air-to-refrigerant HX optimization framework with simultaneous thermal-hydraulic performance and mechanical strength considerations for novel, non-round, shape- and topology-optimized tubes capable of optimizing single and two-phase HX designs for any refrigerant choice and performance requirement with significant engineering time savings compared to conventional design practices. The framework was exercised for a wide range of applications and refrigerants, resulting in HXs which achieved greater than 20% improved performance, 20% reductions in size, and 25% reductions in refrigerant charge. To enable non-round tube bundle use in next generation HVAC&R equipment, novel manufacturing techniques were investigated, including the development of conventional manufacturing methods for small diameter, non-round tubes and novel tube-header integration strategies. In total, ten HX prototypes were manufactured, nine using conventional methods directly attributed to this project and one using advanced additive manufacturing methods. The five-year manufacturing feasibility of the proposed HXs was found to have a good outlook. The non-round tube HX simulated performance was validated through comprehensive experimental testing, including nine in-house component-level tests, one independent component-level test at an industry partner laboratory, and in-house system-level tests of using a commercially-available, residential packaged A/C unit which was retrofitted with a non-round tube prototype HX. It was found that HX designs proposed by the new framework can successfully predict experimental thermal-hydraulic performance within ±10-20% the first time with no manual design changes, eliminating the need for time-consuming and expensive prototyping efforts. This work will accelerate design and time to market for next generation HXs while simultaneously facilitating industry transition to new refrigerants at lower charge.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Predicted Melt Curve and Liquid Shear Viscosity of RDX up to 30 GPa

Recent grain-scale simulations of HMX and TATB have shown that predictions for hot spot formation in high explosives are particularly sensitive to accurate determinations of the pressure-dependent melt curve and the shear viscosity of the liquid phase. These physics terms are poorly constrained beyond ambient pressure for the explosive RDX. Here we adopt an all-atom modeling approach using molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to predict the melt curve of RDX near to detonation conditions (30 GPa) and determine the shear viscosity of the liquid as a function of temperature and pressure above the melt curve. Phase-coexistence simulations were used to determine the melt curve, which is predicted to vary by almost 1100 K as the pressure increases from 0 GPa to 30 GPa. Equilibrium MD simulations and the Green-Kubo formalism were used to obtain the pressure-temperature-dependent shear viscosity. The shear viscosity of RDX is predicted to be of similar magnitude to the viscosity of TATB at low GPa-range pressures, and to be roughly an order of magnitude lower than the viscosity of HMX. The temperature dependence of the shear viscosity is Arrhenius at a given pressure, and the exponential pre-factor and activation term exhibit a strong, yet complicated, pressure dependence. An empirical pressure-temperature dependent function for RDX shear viscosity is developed that simultaneously captures a wide range of MD predictions while taking an analytic form that extrapolates smoothly beyond the fitted regime. The relative strength of the pressure and temperature dependencies of these two physics terms is found to be of similar magnitude for RDX, HMX, and TATB, which motivates incorporating these results in future RDX grain-scale modeling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dynamics and activation of membrane-bound B cell receptor assembly

B-cell receptor (BCR) complexes are expressed on the surface of a B-cell and are critical in antigen recognition and modulating the adaptive immune response. Even though the relevance of antibodies has been known for almost a hundred years, the antigen-dependent activation mechanism of B-cells has remained elusive. Several models have been proposed for BCR activation, including cross-linking, conformation-induced oligomerization, and dissociation activation models. Recently, the first cryo-EM structures of the human B-cell antigen receptor of the IgM and IgG isotypes have been published that validates the asymmetric organization of the BCR complex. Here, we carry out extensive molecular dynamics simulations to probe the conformational changes upon antigen binding and the influence of the membrane lipids. We identify two critical dynamical events that could be associated with antigen-dependent activation of BCR. First, antigen binding causes increased flexibility in regions distal to the antigen binding site. Second, antigen binding alters the rearrangement of IgM transmembrane helices, including the relative interaction of Igα/Igβ that mediates intracellular signaling. Furthermore, these transmembrane rearrangements lead to changes in localized lipid composition. Our work indirectly supports the conformational-change induced models of BCR activation and contributes to the understanding of the antigen-dependent activation mechanism of BCRs.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Improved multiphysics model of the High Temperature Engineering Test Reactor for the simulation of loss-of-forced-cooling experiments

We present a multiphysics model of the High Temperature Engineering Test Reactor for comparison with past and predict future loss-of-forced-cooling (LOFC) experiments. The approach selected combines (1) 3-D full-core superhomogenization-corrected neutronics, (2) 3-D full-core homogenized or semi-heterogeneous heat transfer (macroscale), (3) 2-D axisymmetric fuel rod heat transfer (mesoscale), and (4) 1-D thermal-hydraulics channels. Although large sensitivities remain and the available experimental data are insufficient for use in a rigorous validation exercise, the overall transient behavior is successfully reproduced. The novelty of our work includes (1) a new macroscale-mesoscale heat transfer coupling approach relying on gap conductance to drastically speed up numerical convergence by two orders of magnitude, (2) determination of a radial effective thermal conductivity that yields reasonably close results between the homogenized and semi-heterogeneous macroscale thermal models, and (3) a preliminary study of the reactor's early behavior following a LOFC event, thus enabling further assessment of numerical models against fission power measurements.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Understanding the dynamic evolution of atomically dispersed Cu catalyst for CO 2 electrochemical conversion using integrated XANES analysis and mechanistic studies

Direct electrochemical conversion of CO 2 to ethanol (CH 3 CH 2 OH) offers a promising strategy to lower CO 2 emission while storing energy from renewable electricity. Our recent study reported a carbon-supported atomically dispersed Cu catalyst that achieved the highest reported selectivity for CH 3 CH 2 OH formation (91%) at a relatively low potential (-0.6 V), however, the active site structure that is responsible for such high activity and selectivity has yet to be understood. Here, in this paper, we demonstrate a computational investigation combining X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) simulations and a mechanistic study via density functional theory (DFT) to understand the catalyst structures of this Cu catalyst during electrocatalysis and the corresponding reaction mechanisms of the key products. An integrated computational and experimental XANES analysis depicted the dynamic evolution of the catalytic site during electrocatalysis. The as-prepared, atomically dispersed Cu catalyst aggregates and forms metallic clusters/nanoparticles under electrochemical condition, which then break down to smaller oxidized clusters after electrocatalysis. The formed Cu clusters/nanoparticles showed distinct catalytic activity and selectivity as a function of particle size based on the mechanistic investigation using DFT, which is consistent with experimental observations for catalyst samples with different Cu loadings. This comprehensive study which combines experimental and computational XANES investigation, mechanistic study via DFT calculations, and experimental performance of the catalysts, provides unprecedented dynamic and mechanistic insights into the supported atomically dispersed metal catalysts for CO 2 reduction. Such strategy and details gained can further guide discovery of novel catalyst materials for CO 2 electrochemical reduction.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Predicted viscosity of liquid HMX up to 40 GPa

Viscous flow serves as a significant heating mechanism during the formation of hot spots, but the shear viscosity which determines this response is poorly characterized for most high explosives. Most recently, a model was proposed for the shear viscosity of liquid HMX (1,3,5,7-tetranitro-1,3,5,7-tetrazocane) that was fit to pressures reaching 5 GPa, but this work uncovered uncertainties in the viscosity at 0 GPa and remains untested at higher pressures. We use molecular dynamics (MD) simulations and the Green-Kubo formalism to predict the temperature- and pressure-dependent shear viscosity of HMX over the pressure interval 0 GPa≤P≤40 GPa. Reassessment of the viscosity at 0 GPa rules out several potential explanations for discrepancies between earlier reports; we attribute these differences to details of MD trajectory integration impacting molecular flexibility. The shear viscosity of HMX exhibits an Arrhenius temperature dependence at each pressure considered, with exponential prefactor and activation energy terms that are also strong functions of pressure. An analytic form for the viscosity is developed based on an extension of the well-known Andrade equation that simultaneously captures the temperature and pressure dependencies in the MD data up to 40 GPa. Comparison against a recently developed model for the viscosity of liquid RDX (1,3,5-trinitro-1,3,5-triazinane) shows that both materials exhibit similar functional dependencies with the viscosity of HMX being higher by roughly an order of magnitude at a given temperature-pressure state.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Model for Humidity-Mediated Diffusion on Aluminum Surfaces and Its Role in Accelerating Atmospheric Aluminum Corrosion

Bare aluminum metal surfaces are highly reactive, which leads to the spontaneous formation of a protective oxide surface layer. Because many subsequent corrosive processes are mediated by water, the structure and dynamics of water at the oxide interface are anticipated to influence corrosion kinetics. Here, using molecular dynamics simulations with a reactive force field, we model the behavior of aqueous aluminum metal ions in water adsorbed onto aluminum oxide surfaces across a range of ion concentrations and water film thicknesses corresponding to increasing relative humidity. We find that the structure and diffusivity of both the water and the metal ions depend strongly on the humidity of the environment and the relative height within the adsorbed water film. Aqueous aluminum ion diffusion rates in water films corresponding to a typical indoor relative humidity of 30% are found to be more than 2 orders of magnitude slower than self-diffusion of water in the bulk limit. Connections between metal ion diffusivity and corrosion reaction kinetics are assessed parametrically with a reductionist model based on a 1D continuum reaction–diffusion equation. Our results highlight the importance of incorporating the properties specific to interfacial water in predictive models of aluminum corrosion.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development of a One-Domain Volume-Averaged Navier–Stokes Solver

The interaction between a high-enthalpy flow and a thermal protection material is inherently multiscale and multiphysics. In conventional aerothermal analyses, the external flow and material response are generally modeled using separate computational domains coupled through boundary conditions at the material surface. Although this approach has supported many practical applications, it requires assumptions about the location and behavior of the interface and may become difficult to apply when material decomposition, internal reactions, and surface recession substantially alter the porous structure. This report presents the development of a one-domain formulation in which the free-fluid and porous-material regions are represented within a single computational domain. The formulation is based on the volume-averaged Navier–Stokes (VANS) equations, derived from the governing equations for reacting, compressible flow and condensed material. Volume averaging transfers the influence of the unresolved material microstructure to the macroscale equations through effective transport properties, interfacial source terms, and dispersion fluxes. Particular attention is given to regions in which porosity and permeability vary rapidly, including the diffuse transition between a porous material and the surrounding fluid. The resulting equations are implemented in the Porous-material Analysis Toolbox based on OpenFOAM (PATO). The report describes the pressure–velocity coupling strategy used by the solver, examines spatial filtering techniques for deriving effective properties, and evaluates the influence of a smoothly varying interface permeability. Numerical demonstrations include canonical porous-flow configurations, a flow-tube configuration representative of FiberForm® permeability experiments, and the oxidation of a porous carbon material. The purpose of this work is to establish a mathematical and computational foundation for a unified treatment of flow and thermal protection material response. The present formulation is intended to support the progressive inclusion of additional physical processes, including multicomponent transport, finite-rate gas–surface chemistry, pyrolysis, internal oxidation, and material recession. It also provides a framework for connecting pore-scale simulations and microstructural characterization with macroscale aerothermal-response calculations. This report is intended for researchers and engineers working in computational fluid dynamics, porous-media transport, material response, and thermal protection system modeling. It documents both the theoretical development and the initial numerical assessment of the one-domain approach, while identifying the closure of effective and dispersion terms as an important subject for continued investigation.

Ablation↗

Microstructural-Level Fuel Performance Modeling of U-Mo Monolithic Fuel

As the physics that governs the microstructural evolution of nuclear fuel span various time and spatial scales, to fully understand the fuel behavior inevitably involves atomic to mesoscale resolution that can be difficult to determine experimentally. Microstructural-level modeling and simulations can be used to develop physics-based materials models that can provide physical understanding to inform fabrication process control, as well as a valuable feedback mechanism between post-irradiation examination (PIE) results and fabrication parameters. In accordance with the program schedule, the primary goals of the microstructure modeling effort are to: 1. Address critical microstructural questions and provide practical guidance to the fabricator via the fuel product specification; 2. Provide mechanistic inputs for the existing fuel performance code to improve its descriptive and predictive capability at the macroscopic scale. In fiscal year (FY)-21, the work scope consisted of six main facets: (1) the effect of carbides on fuel performance; (2) gas diffusivity in different phases; (3) integration of microstructural fuel performance modeling; (4) property degradation; (5) irradiation creep; and (6) historical analysis of microstructure data. Brief summaries of each are included below.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Multiphysics simulation of TRISO fuel compacts and the effects of homogenization on silver release predictions

This work studies the impact of explicit and homogenized modeling approaches on the multiphysics simulation of TRistructural ISOtropic (TRISO) fuel compacts in prismatic High Temperature Gas Reactors (HTGRs) and the silver release predictions. TRISO fuel compacts exhibit complex double heterogeneity that significantly affects heat conduction, neutron transport, and fission products release. In this work, we use Cardinal, a multiphysics tool based on the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework, to couple neutron transport and heat conduction. OpenMC is used for neutron transport and the MOOSE heat transfer module is used for the heat conduction. Then, we use BISON for the silver release predictions. Two different modeling approaches—explicit modeling of individual TRISO particles and homogenized representation using effective thermal properties—are compared at high TRISO packing fractions (20% and 40%) across varying power densities. Results demonstrate that homogenization significantly under-predicts peak temperatures, for the case of high power/TRISO, there is a difference of 83.73 K in the maximum temperature. Additionally, homogenization underestimates the silver release predictions compared to explicit modeling. Specifically, the temperature and power density differences lead to significant differences in silver release predictions. This work demonstrates the importance of accurately modeling heterogeneity of the TRISO particles to reliably predict fission product release and assess reactor safety margins.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Thermal disorder and phonon softening in the ferroelectric phase transition of lead titanate

We report a molecular dynamics study of ab initio quality of the ferroelectric phase transition in crystalline PbTi⁢O3. We model anharmonicity accurately in terms of potential energy and polarization surfaces trained on density functional theory data with modern machine learning techniques. Our simulations demonstrate that the transition has a strong order-disorder character, in agreement with diffraction experiments, and provide fresh insight into the approach to equilibrium across the phase transition. We find that the emergence and disappearance of the macroscopic polarization is driven by dipolar switching at the nanometer scale. We also computed the infrared optical absorption spectra in both the ferroelectric and the paraelectric phases, finding good agreement with the experimental Raman frequencies. Often, the almost ideal displacive character of the soft mode detected by Raman scattering in the paraelectric phase has been contrasted with the order-disorder character of the transition suggested by diffraction experiments. We settle this issue by showing that the soft mode coexists with a strong Debye relaxation associated with thermal disordering of the dipoles. The Debye relaxation feature is centered at zero frequency and appears near the transition temperature in both the ferroelectric and the paraelectric phases.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Harmonized Emissions Component (HEMCO) 3.0 as a Versatile Emissions Component for Atmospheric Models: Application in the GEOS-Chem, NASA GEOS, WRF-GC, CESM2, NOAA GEFS-Aerosol, and NOAA UFS Models

Emissions are a central component of atmospheric chemistry models. The Harmonized Emissions Component (HEMCO) is a software component for computing emissions from a user-selected ensemble of emission inventories and algorithms. It allows users to re-grid, combine, overwrite, subset, and scale emissions from different inventories through a configuration file and with no change to the model source code. The configuration file also maps emissions to model species with appropriate units. HEMCO can operate in offline stand-alone mode, but more importantly it provides an online facility for models to compute emissions at runtime. HEMCO complies with the Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) for portability across models. We present a new version here, HEMCO 3.0, that features an improved three-layer architecture to facilitate implementation into any atmospheric model and improved capability for calculating emissions at any model resolution including multiscale and unstructured grids. The three-layer architecture of HEMCO 3.0 includes (1) the Data Input Layer that reads the configuration file and accesses the HEMCO library of emission inventories and other environmental data, (2) the HEMCO Core that computes emissions on the user-selected HEMCO grid, and (3) the Model Interface Layer that re-grids (if needed) and serves the data to the atmospheric model and also serves model data to the HEMCO Core for computing emissions dependent on model state (such as from dust or vegetation). The HEMCO Core is common to the implementation in all models, while the Data Input Layer and the Model Interface Layer are adaptable to the model environment. Default versions of the Data Input Layer and Model Interface Layer enable straightforward implementation of HEMCO in any simple model architecture, and options are available to disable features such as re-gridding that may be done by independent couplers in more complex architectures. The HEMCO library of emission inventories and algorithms is continuously enriched through user contributions so that new inventories can be immediately shared across models. HEMCO can also serve as a general data broker for models to process input data not only for emissions but for any gridded environmental datasets. We describe existing implementations of HEMCO 3.0 in (1) the GEOS-Chem “Classic” chemical transport model with shared-memory infrastructure, (2) the high-performance GEOS-Chem (GCHP) model with distributed-memory architecture, (3) the NASA GEOS Earth System Model (GEOS ESM), (4) the Weather Research and Forecasting model with GEOS-Chem (WRF-GC), (5) the Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2), and (6) the NOAA Global Ensemble Forecast System – Aerosols (GEFS-Aerosols), as well as the planned implementation in the NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS). Implementation of HEMCO in CESM2 contributes to the Multi-Scale Infrastructure for Chemistry and Aerosols (MUSICA) by providing a common emissions infrastructure to support different simulations of atmospheric chemistry across scales.

Haipeng Lin↗

Resonant interaction between phonons and PbTe/PbSe (001) misfit dislocation networks

Here this work aims at a quantitative and mechanistic understanding of the dynamic process of the phonon-dislocation interaction in PbTe/PbSe (001) heterostructures using the Concurrent Atomistic-Continuum (CAC) method as the simulation tool. The misfit dislocation network and the atomic-scale dislocation core structure obtained in the simulations are found to agree reasonably well with the experimental observations of the PbTe/PbSe (001) interface. Through visualizing the dynamic interaction between phonons and dislocations, as well as quantifying the dislocation vibration amplitude, the phonon energy transmission, and the thermal resistance of the misfit interfaces, this work has illustrated and quantified two mechanisms for phonon-dislocation interaction: (1) phonon scattering by the strain field of dislocations, and (2) phonon scattering by dislocations that vibrate via the local modes of a dislocation network; the latter, leads to resonant phonon-dislocation interaction, which is manifested as local maxima of out-of-phase vibration of the atoms on the two sides of the slip plane, leading to local minima of the energy transmission in the heterostructure that contains one interface. The local vibrational modes are found to be excited only by shear stress induced by transverse phonons. Among various resonant modes, the one with the lowest frequency has the strongest effect. This work has also demonstrated the collective motion of dislocations under ultrafast phonon pulses. In addition, the dynamic properties of the misfit dislocation network localized within one interface are found to be significantly altered by the presence of misfit dislocations at other interfaces, thus further confirming the cooperative dynamic nature of the motion of dislocations and phonons.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Resolving Low Cloud Feedbacks Globally With E3SM High‐Res MMF: Agreement With LES but Stronger Shortwave Effects

This study investigates low cloud feedback in a warmer climate using global simulations from the High-Resolution Multi-scale Modeling Framework (HR-MMF), which explicitly simulates small-scale eddies globally. Two 5-year simulations—one with present-day sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and a second with SSTs warmed uniformly by 4 K—reveal a positive global shortwave cloud radiative effect (SWCRE = 0.3 W/m 2 /K), comparable to estimates from CMIP models. As the climate warms, significant reductions in low cloud cover occur over stratocumulus regions. This study is the first attempt to compare HR-MMF results with predictions from idealized large-eddy simulations from the CGILS intercomparison. Despite different underlying assumptions, we find qualitative agreement in SWCRE and inversion height changes between HR-MMF and CGILS predictions. This suggests reasonable credibility for the CGILS framework in predicting cloud responses under the out-of-sample conditions found in HR-MMF. However, the HR-MMF exhibits stronger SWCRE changes than predicted by CGILS. We explore potential causes for this discrepancy, examining variations in cloud-controlling factors (CCFs) and cloud conditions. Our results show a fairly homogeneous SWCRE response, with little systematic variation tied to the variations in CCFs. This reveals a dominant role for SST forcing in modulating SWCRE.

boundary-layer clouds↗

Moving the needle: Employing deep reinforcement learning to push the boundaries of coarse-grained vaccine models

Highly mutable infectious disease pathogens (hm-IDPs) such as HIV and influenza evolve faster than the human immune system can contain them, allowing them to circumvent traditional vaccination approaches and causing over one million deaths annually. Agent-based models can be used to simulate the complex interactions that occur between immune cells and hm-IDP-like proteins (antigens) during affinity maturation—the process by which antibodies evolve. Compared to existing experimental approaches, agent-based models offer a safe, low-cost, and rapid route to study the immune response to vaccines spanning a wide range of design variables. However, the highly stochastic nature of affinity maturation and vast sequence space of hm-IDPs render brute force searches intractable for exploring all pertinent vaccine design variables and the subset of immunization protocols encompassed therein. To address this challenge, we employed deep reinforcement learning to drive a recently developed agent-based model of affinity maturation to focus sampling on immunization protocols with greater potential to improve the chosen metrics of protection, namely the broadly neutralizing antibody (bnAb) titers or fraction of bnAbs produced. Using this approach, we were able to coarse-grain a wide range of vaccine design variables and explore the relevant design space. Our work offers new testable insights into how vaccines should be formulated to maximize protective immune responses to hm-IDPs and how they can be minimally tailored to account for major sources of heterogeneity in human immune responses and various socioeconomic factors. Our results indicate that the first 3 to 5 immunizations, depending on the metric of protection, should be specially tailored to achieve a robust protective immune response, but that beyond this point further immunizations require only subtle changes in formulation to sustain a durable bnAb response.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗