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At least 991 records · Page 55

Tree rings reveal the transient risk of extinction hidden inside climate envelope forecasts

Given the importance of climate in shaping species’ geographic distributions, climate change poses an existential threat to biodiversity. Climate envelope modeling, the predominant approach used to quantify this threat, presumes that individuals in populations respond to climate variability and change according to species-level responses inferred from spatial occurrence data—such that individuals at the cool edge of a species’ distribution should benefit from warming (the “leading edge”), whereas individuals at the warm edge should suffer (the “trailing edge”). Using 1,558 tree-ring time series of an aridland pine (Pinus edulis) collected at 977 locations across the species’ distribution, we found that trees everywhere grow less in warmer-than-average and drier-than-average years. Ubiquitous negative temperature sensitivity indicates that individuals across the entire distribution should suffer with warming—the entire distribution is a trailing edge. Species-level responses to spatial climate variation are opposite in sign to individual-scale responses to time-varying climate for approximately half the species’ distribution with respect to temperature and the majority of the species’ distribution with respect to precipitation. These findings, added to evidence from the literature for scale-dependent climate responses in hundreds of species, suggest that correlative, equilibrium-based range forecasts may fail to accurately represent how individuals in populations will be impacted by changing climate. A scale-dependent view of the impact of climate change on biodiversity highlights the transient risk of extinction hidden inside climate envelope forecasts and the importance of evolution in rescuing species from extinction whenever local climate variability and change exceeds individual-scale climate tolerances.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Probing the low-temperature chemistry of methyl hexanoate: Insights from oxygenate intermediates

Understanding the combustion of methyl esters is crucial to elucidate kinetic pathways and predict combustion parameters, soot yields, and fuel performance of biodiesel, however most kinetic studies of methyl esters have focused on smaller, surrogate model esters. Methyl hexanoate is a larger methyl ester approaching the chain length of methyl esters found in biodiesel and has not received as much research attention as other smaller esters. The purpose of this work is to present the first atmospheric pressure combustion data of methyl hexanoate, CH 3 CH 2 CH 2 CH 2 CH 2 COOCH 3 . Mixtures of 2% methyl hexanoate in O 2 and N 2 are studied using a plug flow reactor at atmospheric pressure, wall temperatures from 573 to 973 K, residence times from roughly 1-2 s., and fuel equivalence ratios of 1, 1.5, and 2. Exhaust gases are analyzed by a gas chromatograph-mass spectrometer system and species mole fractions are presented. Here, the literature model shows satisfactory agreement with the experimental species profiles and improvements for future mechanistic studies are suggested. In particular, this work proposes new unimolecular decomposition pathways of methyl hexanoate to form methanol or methyl acetate. Furthermore, the experiment detected three unsaturated esters that are direct products of the low temperature oxidation chemistry and it provides more insight into branching ratios for the formation of methyl hexanoate radicals and for the decomposition of hydroperoxyalkyl radicals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Pattern formation in a coupled membrane-bulk reaction-diffusion model for intracellular polarization and oscillations

Reaction-diffusion systems have been widely used to study spatio-temporal phenomena in cell biology, such as cell polarization. Coupled bulk-surface models naturally include compartmentalization of cytosolic and membrane-bound polarity molecules. Here we study the distribution of the polarity protein Cdc42 in a mass-conserved membrane-bulk model, and explore the effects of diffusion and spatial dimensionality on spatio-temporal pattern formation. We first analyze a one-dimensional (1-D) model for Cdc42 oscillations in fission yeast, consisting of two diffusion equations in the bulk domain coupled to nonlinear ODEs for binding kinetics at each end of the cell. In 1-D, our analysis reveals the existence of symmetric and asymmetric steady states, as well as anti-phase relaxation oscillations typical of slow-fast systems. We then extend our analysis to a two-dimensional (2-D) model with circular bulk geometry, for which species can either diffuse inside the cell or become bound to the membrane and undergo a nonlinear reaction-diffusion process. We also consider a nonlocal system of PDEs approximating the dynamics of the 2-D membrane-bulk model in the limit of fast bulk diffusion. In all three model variants we find that mass conservation selects perturbations of spatial modes that simply redistribute mass. In 1-D, only anti-phase oscillations between the two ends of the cell can occur, and in-phase oscillations are excluded. In higher dimensions, no radially symmetric oscillations are observed. Instead, the only instabilities are symmetry-breaking, either corresponding to stationary Turing instabilities, leading to the formation of stationary patterns, or to oscillatory Turing instabilities, leading to traveling and standing waves. Codimension-two Bogdanov—Takens bifurcations occur when the two distinct instabilities coincide, causing traveling waves to slow down and to eventually become stationary patterns. Our work clarifies the effect of geometry and dimensionality on behaviors observed in ma.ss-conserved cell polarity models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dynamic Species Reduction for Multi-Cycle CFD Simulations (Final Technical Report)

This project primarily sought to address some of the computational cost concerns of detailed simulations by developing improved methods of handling species transport, and chemical kinetics evaluation in a commercial 3D Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) environment. Secondary goals were to apply these techniques to fuels and conditions of interest to better understand the key species and reactions required to adequately capture cycle to cycle coupling. Improved modeling will lead to better understanding of these combustion modes and their dependence on fuel composition, which can then enable more clean and efficient engines, ultimately benefiting the consumer as well as the general public. Two approaches were used to address the computational cost. A “Dynamic Species Reduction” (DSR) procedure was developed to remove chemical species from the simulation during periods when chemical reactions were not expected to be important, particularly during gas exchange when temperatures are low and little fuel remains. This modelling procedure automatically detects relevant species to retain in the simulation domain based on their local concentration, removes species below a specified concentration threshold, and then adjusts the remaining species mass to conserve not only the number of H, C, and O atoms in each cell, but also the relative proportions between species and the heating value of the mixture in every cell. The second procedure was a “Product Directed Remapping” (PDR) updates the algorithm used to group individual computational cells for chemical kinetics evaluation to account for non-uniform temperature distributions and the CO to CO 2 ratio in the cells. The model techniques developed in this work successfully demonstrated computational performance improvements for a range of conditions relevant for Highly Dilute SI and HCCI engine operation. Runtime reductions of 10% were observed for small mechanisms, with further reductions of up to 36% observed for larger mechanisms. Improvements were primarily related to reducing the number of chemical species tracked during the gas exchange process using the Dynamic Species Reduction method. With smaller benefits observed from changes to the kinetics binning and evaluation strategy in the post combustion region using the PDR method. The results of this work show the potential for improved computational runtime for complicated simulations. They can and should be extended to additional conditions and new bio-derived and renewable fuels as they are developed and new kinetic mechanisms become available.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

The computation of radiation from nonequilibrium hypersonic flows

The results of the solution of the equations that describe a hypersonic ionized flow about an elliptically blunted cone are presented. The flow conditions correspond to those of the proposed Aeroassist Flight Experiment (AFE) vehicle at altitudes between the perigee at 78 km and the approximate limit of the continuum regime at 90 km. For the free-stream velocities of interest, about 9 km/sec, the flowfield is out of thermo-chemical equilibrium, electronically excited, ionized and radiating. The gas consists of eight-chemical species including free electrons. The thermal state of the gas is modeled with a translational-rotational temperature, four vibrational temperatures for the diatomic species and an electron-electronic temperature. The electronic excitation of molecules is included. The nonequilibrium air radiation from each fluid element is computed and the radiative heat flux at the body surface is determined. The stagnation point radiative heating result agrees with previous calculations.

Candler, Graham↗

What Will LADEE Tell Us About the Lunar Atmosphere?

The only species that have been confirmed in the lunar exosphere are Na, K, Ar, and He. However, models for the production and loss of lunar regolith-derived exospheric species from source processes including micrometeoroid impact vaporization, sputtering, and, for Na and K, photon-stimulated desorption, predict a host of other species should exist in the lunar exosphere. Assuming that loss processes are limited to ballistic escape, photoionization, and recycling to the surface, we have computed column abundances and compared them to published upper limits from the Moon and to detected abundances from Mercury. Our results suggest that available measurements often do not constrain models, and underline the need for improved spectroscopic measurements of the lunar exosphere. Such investigations are planned by the Lunar Atmosphere and Dust Environment Explorer (LADEE) spacecraft. Our calculations indicate that LADEE measurements promise to make definitive observations or set stringent upper limits for all regolith-driven exospheric species because of their favorable signal to noise ratio. Our models, along with LADEE observations, will constrain assumed model parameters for the Moon, such as sticking coefficients, source processes, and velocity distributions.

FROM↗

Pressure-dependent kinetics of cyclopentene consumption

Recent experiments have uncovered deficiencies in the ability of current kinetic models for cyclopentane combustion to predict species profiles as a function of O2 concentration. One likely source of these discrepancies flows from the limited availability of relevant kinetic data for key functionalized intermediates, requiring the use of distant analogies to estimate their rates. This work fills this gap for cyclopentene, the most prominent C5 intermediate in low-temperature cyclopentane combustion. Ab initio transition-state-theory based master equation methods are used to calculate pressure-dependent rate constants across four potential energy surfaces (C5H8 + OH, C5H8 + HO2, C5H7, and C5H7 + O2). Potential energy surfaces are characterized at the CCSD(T)-F12/cc-pVDZ-F12//revDSD-PBEP86-D3BJ/def2-TZVPP level of theory. Pressure-dependent rate constants and branching fractions are determined via 1D master equation calculations. The results are used to analyze the competition for radicals between cyclopentene and cyclopentane in the intermediate temperature region, and to identify the dominant pathways flowing from these initiation channels. On the OH initiation surface, we find good agreement with recently published experimental rate constants at high temperature, and we elucidate the complex temperature dependence below 800 K, where 𝜋𝜋 addition becomes prominent. On the HO2 initiation surface, we find an interesting alternative route to bicyclic ether formation via well-skipping over the HO2 adduct well. On the cyclopentenyl radical surface, the major product is cyclopentadiene plus H. On the cyclopentenyl + O2 surface, we find that resonance stabilization largely prevents the allylic radical from undergoing oxidation, whereas the alkylic radical has a somewhat elevated propensity for oxidation pathways relative to cyclopentyl.

ab initio calculations↗

Correlation between infrared spectra features and coverage of different adsorption sites for the NO/Pd(111) system

This study investigates the adsorption of nitric oxide (NO) on Pd(111) surfaces at 200 K using infrared reflection absorption spectroscopy (IRRAS). Peak positions and areas are used as proxies for tracking coverage of different species, serving as groundwork for in-situ experiments that need real-time tracking of surface species. Here, we derived a mathematical model correlating NO coverage with dose, consistent with the Molecular Langmuir Model. Distinct correlations are observed between coverage and spectral features (peak position and peak area for the NO vibration): at lower coverages (θ<0.6), the total integrated peak areas are linearly corelated to coverage; at higher coverages (θ>0.6), the peak center for a compressed-hollow site becomes the primary coverage indicator, showing a linear relationship between wavenumber and coverage. Note that this study addresses coverages below saturation. These findings refine our understanding of NO adsorption and establish a foundation for real-time in situ transient kinetics studies of chemical reactions involving NO on Pd(111).

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Process design tools and techno-economic analysis for capacitive deionization

Capacitive deionization (CDI) devices use cyclical electrosorption on porous electrode surfaces to achieve water desalination. Process modeling and design of CDI systems requires accurate treatment of the coupling among input electrical forcing, input flow rates, and system responses including salt removal dynamics, water recovery, energy storage, and dissipation. Techno-economic analyses of CDI further require a method to calculate and compare between a produced commodity (e.g. desalted water) versus capital and operational costs of the system. In this work, we demonstrate a new modeling and analysis tool for CDI developed as an installable Matlab program that allows direct numerical simulation of CDI dynamics and calculation of key performance and cost parameters. The program is provided for free and is used to run open-source Simulink models. The Simulink environment sends information to the program and allows for a drag and drop design space where users can connect CDI cells to relevant periphery blocks such as grid energy, battery, solar panel, waste disposal, and maintenance/labor cost streams. The program allows for simulation of arbitrary current forcing and arbitrary flow rate forcing of one or more CDI cells. We employ validated well-mixed reactor formulations together with a non-linear circuit model formulation that can accommodate a variety of electric double layer sub-models (e.g. for charge efficiency). The program includes a graphical user interface (GUI) to specify CDI plant parameters, specify operating conditions, run individual tests or parameter batch-mode simulations, and plot relevant results. The techno-economic models convert among dimensional streams of species (e.g. feed, desalted water, and brine), energy, and cost and enable a variety of economic estimates including levelized water costs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Squeezing Out Interfacial Solvation: The Role of Hydrogen-Bonding in the Structural and Orientational Freedom of Molecular Self-Assembly

We report bioinspired membrane molecules with improved physical properties and enhanced stability can serve as functional models for conventional lipid or amphiphilic species. Importantly, these molecules can also provide new insights into emergent phenomena that manifest during self-assembly at interfaces. Here, we elucidate the structural response and mechanistic steps underlying the self-assembly of the amphiphilic, charged oligodimethylsiloxane imidazolium cation (ODMS-MIM+) at the air–aqueous interface using Langmuir trough methods with coincident surface-specific vibrational sum-frequency generation (SFG) spectroscopy. We find evidence for a new compression-induced desolvation step that precedes commonly known disordered-to-ordered phase transitions to form nanoscopic assemblies. The experimental data was supported by atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to provide a detailed mechanistic picture underlying the assembly and the role of water in these phase transitions. The sensitivity of the hydrophobic ODMS tail conformations to compression-owing to distinct water–ODMS interactions and tail–tail solvation properties-offers new strategies for the design of interfaces that can be further used to develop soft-matter electronics and low-dimensional materials using physical and chemical controls.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Extension of Solvent-Assisted Linker Exchange to Supported Metal–Organic Framework Thin Films

Solvent-assisted linker exchange (SALE) is a common postsynthetic approach used to accommodate metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) for targeted applications. As this technique is relatively untested in immobilized MOF structures, we repeated the generalized SALE approach with ZIF-8 deposited directly onto solid substrates and assessed the results with a variety of techniques, including time-of-flight secondary-ion mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS). Our methods confirm that the supported films maintain their key structural properties while allowing for linker substitution with foreign species. Alongside experiments, we used computational modeling to quantify the relative energetics of SALE reactions with a variety of linkers. These techniques together reveal that SALE is translatable to immobilized MOFs. Additionally, we recognize how various aspects of the postsynthetic approach can bear consequences for the material’s final micro- and macroscopic properties. Furthermore, the results uncover basic yet critical details needed to inform future efforts to engineer MOF films with functional properties.

Ligands↗

Increasing atmospheric dryness reduces boreal forest tree growth

Rising atmospheric vapour pressure deficit (VPD) associated with climate change affects boreal forest growth via stomatal closure and soil dryness. However, the relationship between VPD and forest growth depends on the climatic context. Here we assess Canadian boreal forest responses to VPD changes from 1951-2018 using a well-replicated tree-growth increment network with approximately 5,000 species-site combinations. Of the 3,559 successful growth models, we observed a relationship between growth and concurrent summer VPD in one-third of the species-site combinations, and between growth and prior summer VPD in almost half of those combinations. The relationship between previous year VPD and current year growth was almost exclusively negative, while current year VPD also tended to reduce growth. Tree species, age, annual temperature, and soil moisture primarily determined tree VPD responses. Younger trees and species like white spruce and Douglas fir exhibited higher VPD sensitivity, as did areas with high annual temperature and low soil moisture. Since 1951, summer VPD increases in Canada have paralleled tree growth decreases, particularly in spruce species. Accelerating atmospheric dryness in the decades ahead will impair carbon storage and societal-economic services.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Elucidating the differences in oxidation of high-performance α- and β- diisobutylene biofuels via Synchrotron photoionization mass spectrometry

Abstract Biofuels are a promising ecologically viable and renewable alternative to petroleum fuels, with the potential to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions. However, biomass sourced fuels are often produced as blends of hydrocarbons and their oxygenates. Such blending complicates the implementation of these fuels in combustion applications. Variations in a biofuel’s composition will dictate combustion properties such as auto ignition temperature, reaction delay time, and reaction pathways. A handful of novel drop-in replacement biofuels for conventional transportation fuels have recently been down selected from a list of over 10,000 potential candidates as part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Co-Optimization of Fuels and Engines (Co-Optima) initiative. Diisobutylene (DIB) is one such high-performing hydrocarbon which can readily be produced from the dehydration and dimerization of isobutanol, produced from the fermentation of biomass-derived sugars. The two most common isomers realized, from this process, are 2,4,4-trimethyl-1-pentene (α-DIB) and 2,4,4-trimethyl-2-pentene (β-DIB). Due to a difference in olefinic bond location, the α- and β- isomer exhibit dramatically different ignition temperatures at constant pressure and equivalence ratio. This may be attributed to different fragmentation pathways enabled by allylic versus vinylic carbons. For optimal implementation of these biofuel candidates, explicit identification of the intermediates formed during the combustion of each of the isomers is needed. To investigate the combustion pathways of these molecules, tunable vacuum ultraviolet (VUV) light (in the range 8.1–11.0 eV) available at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory’s Advanced Light Source (ALS) has been used in conjunction with a jet stirred reactor (JSR) and time-of-flight mass spectrometry to probe intermediates formed. Relative intensity curves for intermediate mass fragments produced during this process were obtained. Several important unique intermediates were identified at the lowest observable combustion temperature with static pressure of 93,325 Pa and for 1.5 s residence time. As this relatively short residence time is just after ignition, this study is targeted at the fuels’ ignition events. Ignition characteristics for both isomers were found to be strongly dependent on the kinetics of C 4 and C 7 fragment production and decomposition, with the tert-butyl radical as a key intermediate species. However, the ignition of α-DIB exhibited larger concentrations of C 4 compounds over C 7 , while the reverse was true for β-DIB. These identified species will allow for enhanced engineering modeling of fuel blending and engine design.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

The flavonoid procyanidin C1 has senotherapeutic activity and increases lifespan in mice

Ageing-associated functional decline of organs and increased risk for age-related chronic pathologies is driven in part by the accumulation of senescent cells, which develop the senescence-associated secretory phenotype (SASP). Here we show that procyanidin C1 (PCC1), a polyphenolic component of grape seed extract (GSE), increases the healthspan and lifespan of mice through its action on senescent cells. By screening a library of natural products, we find that GSE, and PCC1 as one of its active components, have specific effects on senescent cells. At low concentrations, PCC1 appears to inhibit SASP formation, whereas it selectively kills senescent cells at higher concentrations, possibly by promoting production of reactive oxygen species and mitochondrial dysfunction. In rodent models, PCC1 depletes senescent cells in a treatment-damaged tumour microenvironment and enhances therapeutic efficacy when co-administered with chemotherapy. Intermittent administration of PCC1 to either irradiated, senescent cell-implanted or naturally aged old mice alleviates physical dysfunction and prolongs survival. We identify PCC1 as a natural senotherapeutic agent with in vivo activity and high potential for further development as a clinical intervention to delay, alleviate or prevent age-related pathologies.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Theoretical analysis of energetic-ion-driven resistive interchange mode stabilization strategies using a Landau closure model

The aim of the present study is to perform a theoretical analysis of different strategies to stabilize energetic-ion-driven resistive interchange mode (EIC) in Large Helical Device (LHD) plasma. In this work, we use a reduced MHD for the thermal plasma coupled with a gyrofluid model for the energetic particles (EP) species. The hellically trapped EP component is introduced through a modification of the drift frequency to include their precessional drift. The stabilization trends of the 1/1 EIC observed experimentally with respect to the thermal plasma density and temperature are reproduced by the simulations, showing a reasonable agreement with the data. The LHD operation scenarios with stable 1/1 EIC are identified, leading to the stabilization of the 1/1 EIC if the thermal plasma density and temperature are above a given threshold. Additionally, the 1/1 EIC are also stabilized if the rotational transform is modified in a way that the 1/1 rational surface is located further away than 0.9 times the normalized radius, or the magnetic shear in the plasma periphery is enhanced. Also, LHD discharges with large magnetic fields show a higher EIC destabilization threshold with respect to the thermal plasma density. If the perpendicular NBI deposition region is moved further inward than 0.875 times the normalized radius the 1/1 EIC are also stabilized. Furthermore, increasing the perpendicular NBI voltage such that the EP energy is higher than 30 keV stabilizes the 1/1 EIC. Moreover, deuterium plasmas show a higher stability threshold for the 1/1 EIC than hydrogen plasmas. The experimental data shows a larger time interval between EIC events as the power of the tangential NBI is increased providing that the perpendicular NBI power is at least 13 MW. This implies a stabilizing effect of the tangential NBI.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Theoretical analysis of the saturation phase of the 1/1 energetic-ion-driven resistive interchange mode

The aim of the present study is to analyze the saturation regime of the energetic-ion-driven resistive interchange mode (EIC) in the LHD plasma. In this work, a set of nonlinear simulations are performed by the FAR3d code that uses a reduced MHD model for the thermal plasma coupled with a gyrofluid model for the energetic particle (EP) species. The hellically trapped EP component is introduced through a modification of the averaged drift velocity operator to include their precessional drift. The nonlinear simulation results show similar 1/1 EIC saturation phases with respect to the experimental observations, reproducing the enhancement of the n/m = 1/1 resistive interchange modes (RIC) amplitude and width as the EP β increases, the EP β threshold for the 1/1 EIC excitation, the further destabilization of the 1/1 EIC as the population of the helically trapped EP increases and the triggering of burst events. The frequency of the 1/1 EIC calculated during the burst event is 9.4 kHz and the 2/2 and 3/3 overtones are destabilized, consistent with the frequency range and the complex mode structure measured in the experiment. In addition, the simulation shows the inward propagation of the 1/1 EIC due to the nonlinear destabilization of the 3/4 and 2/3 energetic particle modes, leading to the partial overlapping between resonances during the burst event. Finally, the analysis of the 1/1 EIC stabilization phase shows the excitation of the 1/1 RIC as soon as the flattening induced by the 1/1 EIC in the pressure profile vanishes, leading to the retrieval of the pressure gradient at the plasma periphery and the overcoming of the RIC stability limit.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗