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At least 991 records · Page 55

Field emission energy distributions of hydrogen and deuterium on the /100/ and /110/ planes of tungsten.

Total energy distributions of field emitted electrons from the tungsten (110) and (100) planes as a function of coverage by hydrogen and deuterium have been recorded utilizing a spherical deflection energy analyzer. The elastic tunneling resonance spectrum gives a plot of the 'local density of states' in the adsorbate. The inelastic tunneling spectrum reveals those discrete excitation energies available in the adsorbate-substrate complex. These spectroscopic data have been used to infer the chemical nature of the binding states which have been observed in the flash desorption spectrum of hydrogen from tungsten.

Plummer, E. W.↗

A survey of high-velocity interstellar ions

Results are reported for a survey of the velocity structure in the absorption lines of a number of interstellar species for 30 lines of sight. Of six species chosen for presentation, N I and excited C II emphasize the distribution of neutral interstellar gas and circumstellar H II regions; N II, C II, C III, and Si III show, in addition, the velocity distribution of a previously unidentified type of interstellar gas, with an ionization temperature in the range 20,000 to 100,000 K. High-velocity components of this latter type are seen in a number of stars. Strong Si III and C III absorption at LSR velocities as large as -80 to -120 km/s is observed in five Orion stars. Collisional ionization is probably a dominant factor in producing the inferred ionization temperatures, although photoionization may be important in some cases.

Cohn, H.↗

Martian cratering revisited - Implications for early geologic evolution

Consideration is given to the geological history of Mars as inferred from cratering statistics. The geomorphology of the cratered terrain in Terra Tyrrhena is described in detail, and crater counts made from Viking images of cratered terrain as well as pure cratered areas from the Southern Hemisphere, craters superposing both the intercrater plains and dissected terrain, and plains units in the Northern Hemisphere are presented. Comparison of the Martian crater counts with those obtained for the lunar highlands reveals the distribution functions to be quite similar for crater diameters greater than 8 km, indicating their derivation from the same population of bodies, with an integrated Mars/moon crater flux ratio of at least 0.75. Monte Carlo simulations reveal that if this ratio was due to resurfacing processes, then the Martian population is probably a remnant of obliteration by both inter- and intra-crater plains acting in concert. Results also suggest that most of the endogenetic activity in the cratered terrain occured before the end of heavy bombardment and that two stages of geologic activity were present.

Gurnis, M.↗

Venus Surface Composition from Radio/radar Measurements

Three different radio techniques were used to study the electrical properties of the surface of Venus. The reflectivity of the surface at near normal incidence was studied using radar from the Pioneer Venus Orbiter (PVO) spacecraft. These measurements have inferred the corresponding dielectric constants. Surface emissivities were calculated using measurements of thermal emission brightness temperature obtained both from spacecraft and from the ground. These measurements also have inferred dielectric constant. The degree of linear polarization associated with thermal energy emitted from the surface at various angles was examined. The dielectric constant was calculated. The radar data have provided the highest surface resolution of the three techniques, and were the first to show the unusually high values of Fresnel reflection coefficient (approaching 0.40 in extreme cases) that are associated with many of the elevated regions of Venus. The distribution of small scale surface roughness was estimated.

Pettengill, G. H.↗

On the Bimodality of ENSO Cycle Extremes

On the basis of sea surface temperature in the Nino 3.4 region (5 deg N-5 deg S, 120 deg- 170 deg W) during the interval of 1950-1997, Kevin Trenberth previously has identified some 16 El Nino and 10 La Nina, these 26 events representing the extremes of the quasi-periodic El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. Runs testing shows that the duration and recurrence period associated with these extremes vary randomly, as does the sequencing of the extremes. Hence, the frequency of occurrence of these events during the 1990s, especially, for El Nino should not be construed as being significantly different from that of previous epochs. Additionally, the distribution of duration for both El Nino and La Nina looks bimodal, consisting of two preferred modes - about 8 and 16 months in length for El Nino and about 9 and 18 months in length for La Nina. Likewise, the distribution of recurrence period, especially, for El Nino looks bimodal, consisting of two preferred modes - about 21 and 50 months in length. Scatter plots of the recurrence period versus duration for El Nino strongly suggest preferential associations between them, linking shorter (longer) duration with shorter (longer) recurrence period. Because the last known onset of El Nino occurred in April 1997 and the event was of longer than average duration, one infers that the onset of the next expected El Nino will not occur until February 2000 or later.

Wilson, Robert M.↗

GPS Altimetry

The advent of satellite altimetry has greatly improved our ability to observe global ocean circulation. However, the swath of a single, nadir-viewing satellite altimeter is only a few km and the track spacing is several hundred km to resolve the two-dimensional structure of ocean eddies. Our goal is to increase spatial and temporal coverage by monitoring Global Positioning System (GPS) signals reflected from the ocean. A constellation of spacecraft would each carry a GPS receiver capable of recording 8 reflections simultaneously. The reflections are well distributed in azimuth and elevation and can be tracked continuously while the satellite is in view, and another is then acquired, as illustrated below. The diagram depicts a new approach at altimetry measurements where ocean surface reflected GPS signals are simultaneously tracked and processed in a GPS flight receiver in space. The reflected GPS signals from the ocean must be compared precisely with the direct GPS signals in order to infer the characteristics of the ocean from the combined data set. Understanding the features and accuracy of GPS altimetry measurement is crucial to establishing its suitability for oceanography. Preliminary work has enabled us to theoretically model the signal output of the correlator for a variety of system parameters such as wind speed (sea roughness), receiver height, incidence angle, receiver range and Doppler filter bandwidth and antenna gain. Expected signal-to-noise ratio has been estimated from which we have inferred, to a first approximation, the basic receiver gain requirements for a space-based altimeter and the expected range raw error. In 1998, work on a different task led to the extraction of the first reflected GPS signal observed from a spaceborne receiver during the 1995 Space Transportation System-68 (STS-68) Shuttle Radar Laboratory-2 (SRL-2) high resolution synthetic aperture radar mission. Good comparisons with our signal models have been obtained. Having established that only modest signal-to-noise ratios are obtainable unless very high gain antennas are used, we expect that single measurements might not provide an estimate of sea state parameters as accurate as that obtainable with traditional remote sensing instruments, if costs are limited. Therefore spatial and temporal averaging of many measurements is required. Since the receiving satellite tracks do not repeat, measurements in a given area will be used to refine the local solution as a function of time, and will define the spatial resolution. In order to make this instrument viable in space, we need to detect and process many scattered signals. In 1998 we made a first step at understanding what configurations of antenna gain and orientations capture the largest number of viable signals to be used in the subsequent spatial/temporal averaging process. Additional information is contained in the original.

Lichten, Stephen M.↗

An Estimation of the Likelihood of Significant Eruptions During 2000-2009 Using Poisson Statistics on Two-Point Moving Averages of the Volcanic Time Series

Since 1750, the number of cataclysmic volcanic eruptions (volcanic explosivity index (VEI)>=4) per decade spans 2-11, with 96 percent located in the tropics and extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere. A two-point moving average of the volcanic time series has higher values since the 1860's than before, being 8.00 in the 1910's (the highest value) and 6.50 in the 1980's, the highest since the 1910's peak. Because of the usual behavior of the first difference of the two-point moving averages, one infers that its value for the 1990's will measure approximately 6.50 +/- 1, implying that approximately 7 +/- 4 cataclysmic volcanic eruptions should be expected during the present decade (2000-2009). Because cataclysmic volcanic eruptions (especially those having VEI>=5) nearly always have been associated with short-term episodes of global cooling, the occurrence of even one might confuse our ability to assess the effects of global warming. Poisson probability distributions reveal that the probability of one or more events with a VEI>=4 within the next ten years is >99 percent. It is approximately 49 percent for an event with a VEI>=5, and 18 percent for an event with a VEI>=6. Hence, the likelihood that a climatically significant volcanic eruption will occur within the next ten years appears reasonably high.

Wilson, Robert M.↗

The violent side of mare volcanism

In the past 15 years it has become increasingly evident that lunar pyroclastic volcanism played an important role in the formation and resurfacing of portions of the Moon. Located on mare/highland boundaries, many of these deposits formed in association with mare volcanism. Based on recently acquired geologic and remote sensing data, two generally distinct types of pyroclastic mantling deposits have been identified: regional and localized. Both the regional dark mantling deposits (RDMD) and localized dark mantling deposits (LDMD) are widely distributed across the lunar nearside. The larger RDMD are typically located in lunar highland areas adjacent to many of the major lunar maria, while the smaller LDMD are found on the floors of pre-Imbrian and Inbrian craters. Both deposits are basaltic in composition and are presumed to have originated at great depth (approx. 300 km). The composition, geometry, and vent morphology of the pyroclastic deposits have been used to infer the eruption mechanisms and emplacement styles for both types of deposits.

Coombs, Cassandra R.↗

Evidence for a high temperature differentiation in a molten earth: A preliminary appraisal

If the earth were molten during its later stages of accretion as indicated by the present understanding of planetary accretion process, the differentiation that led to the formation of the core and mantle must have occurred at high temperatures in the range of 3000-5000 K because of the effect of pressure on the temperature of melting in the interior of the earth. This calls into question the use of low-temperature laboratory measurements of partition coefficients of trace elements to make inferences about earth accretion and differentiation. The low temperature partition coefficients cannot be directly applied to high temperature fractionations because partition coefficients refer to an equilibrium specific to a temperature for a given reaction, and must change in some proportion to exp 1/RT. There are no laboratory data on partition coefficients at the high temperatures relevant to differentiation in the interior of the earth, and an attempt to estimate high temperature distribution coefficients of siderophile elements was made by considering the chemical potential of a given element at equilibrium and how this potential changes with temperature, under some specific assumptions.

Murthy, V. Rama↗

Rare earth element transport in the western North Atlantic inferred from Nd isotopic observations

The relationship between the Nd isotopic composition in the Atlantic waters and the origin and circulation of the water masses was investigated. Samples were collected in the western North Atlantic between 7 and 54 deg N. The isotopic composition (Nd-143/Nd-144 ratios) showed extensive vertical structure at all locations. In regions where a thermocline was well-developed, large isotopic shifts were observed across the base of the thermocline, while regions without a thermocline were characterized by much more gradual shifts in isotopic composition with depth. The data reveal an excellent correlation between the Nd isotopic distribution in the western North Atlantic water column and the distribution of water masses identified from temperature and salinity measurements.

Piepgras, D. J.↗

Pioneer-Venus radio occultation (ORO) data reduction: Profiles of 13 cm absorptivity

In order to characterize possible variations in the abundance and distribution of subcloud sulfuric acid vapor, 13 cm radio occultation signals from 23 orbits that occurred in late 1986 and 1987 (Season 10) and 7 orbits that occurred in 1979 (Season 1) were processed. The data were inverted via inverse Abel transform to produce 13 cm absorptivity profiles. Pressure and temperature profiles obtained with the Pioneer-Venus night probe and the northern probe were used along with the absorptivity profiles to infer upper limits for vertical profiles of the abundance of gaseous H2SO4. In addition to inverting the data, error bars were placed on the absorptivity profiles and H2SO4 abundance profiles using the standard propagation of errors. These error bars were developed by considering the effects of statistical errors only. The profiles show a distinct pattern with regard to latitude which is consistent with latitude variations observed in data obtained during the occultation seasons nos. 1 and 2. However, when compared with the earlier data, the recent occultation studies suggest that the amount of sulfuric acid vapor occurring at and below the main cloud layer may have decreased between early 1979 and late 1986.

Steffes, Paul G.↗

The atmospheric CH4 increase since the Last Glacial Maximum. I - Source estimates

An estimate of the distribution of wetland area and associated CH4 emission is presented for the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 18 kyr BP, kiloyear Before Present) and the Pre-Industrial Holocene (PIH, 9000-200 years BP). The wetland source, combined with estimates of the other biogenic sources and sink, yields total source strengths of 120 and 180 Tg CH4/yr for LGM and PIH respectively. These source strengths are shown to be consistent with source estimates inferred from a photochemical model, and point to changes in wetland CH4 source as a major factor driving the atmospheric CH4 increase from LGM to PIH.

Chappellaz, Jerome A.↗

The vertical distribution of Mars water vapor

Analysis of observations made from the Viking 1 Orbiter indicates that the water vapor over the Viking 1 landing site is uniformly mixed with the atmosphere and not concentrated near the surface. The analysis incorporates the effects of atmospheric scattering and explains why previous earth-based observations showed a strong diurnal variation in water content. It also explains the lack of an early morning fog and removes the necessity of daily exchange of large amounts of water between the surface and the atmosphere. A water vapor volume mixing ratio of 1.5 x 10 to the -4th is inferred for the Viking 1 site in late summer.

Davies, D. W.↗

Tectonic motions in California inferred from very long baseline interferometry observations, 1980-1984

Using VLBI, three baselines of 150-300 km length within California, and three baselines of 1500 km length between California and Texas, measured between 1980 and 1984, have been fitted to a steady plane/strain rotation model. The observed rate of displacement across the southern San Andreas fault is in agreement with other contemporary rate estimates near 3 cm/yr. Discrepancies between these rates and indicators of relative plate motion near 6 cm/yr seem to be related to local departures of the San Andreas system from the expected strike of the plate boundary. Results support a regional distribution of elastic strain that is offset in about the same sense and amount as the Big Bend of the San Andreas fault, and finite element simulations suggest that tractions on the base of the crust that accompany mantle downswelling beneath the Transverse Ranges could contribute to these strain inhomogeneities.

Lyzenga, Gregory A.↗

An Estimate of the Likelihood for a Climatically Significant Volcanic Eruption Within the Present Decade (2000-2009)

Since 1750, the number of cataclysmic volcanic eruptions (i.e., those having a volcanic explosivity index, or VEI, equal to 4 or larger) per decade is found to span 2-11, with 96% located in the tropics and extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere, A two-point moving average of the time series has higher values since the 1860s than before, measuring 8.00 in the 1910s (the highest value) and measuring 6.50 in the 1980s, the highest since the 18 1 0s' peak. On the basis of the usual behavior of the first difference of the two-point moving averages, one infers that the two-point moving average for the 1990s will measure about 6.50 +/- 1.00, implying that about 7 +/- 4 cataclysmic volcanic eruptions should be expected during the present decade (2000-2009). Because cataclysmic volcanic eruptions (especially, those having VEI equal to 5 or larger) nearly always have been associated with episodes of short-term global cooling, the occurrence of even one could ameliorate the effects of global warming. Poisson probability distributions reveal that the probability of one or more VEI equal to 4 or larger events occurring within the next ten years is >99%, while it is about 49% for VEI equal to 5 or larger events and 18% for VEI equal to 6 or larger events. Hence, the likelihood that a, climatically significant volcanic eruption will occur within the next 10 years appears reasonably high.

Wilson, Robert M.↗

Cassini Observations of Saturn's Dawn-Magnetotail Region and their Relation to Models of Saturn's Aurora: Preliminary Results

Using Cassini plasma and magnetic field observations from the dawn meridian of Saturn s outer magnetosphere to Saturn s magnetotail region, we investigate the applicability of the centrifugal instability model by Sittler et al. [2006] for Saturn s auroral response to the solar wind, versus the reconnection model of Saturn s aurora by Cowley et al. [2005]. We use Cassini Plasma Spectrometer (CAPS) Ion Mass Spectrometer (IMS) and Electron Plasma Spectrometer (ELS) observations to characterize the plasma environment. ELS and magnetometer observations are used to map out the morphology of the outer magnetosphere from dawn to midnight local time. IMS observations are used to measure plasma flow velocities from which one can infer rotation versus convective flows. IMS composition measurements are used to trace the source of plasma from the inner magnetosphere (protons, H2 and water group ions) versus an external solar wind source (protons and Heff ions). A critical parameter for both models is the strength of the convection electric field with respect to the rotational electric field for the large scale magnetosphere. Is there a significant return flow from the magnetotail? Pitch angle distributions also play an important role as a discriminator. If the magnetosphere tends to conserve angular momentum as suggested by Sittler et al. [2006], then we expect to see an anti-correlation between rotational flow component and radial flow velocities. All will be investigated.

Sittler, E. C.↗

GRB 091127: The Cooling Break Race on Magnetic Fuel

Using high-quality, broad-band afterglow data for GRB 091127, we investigate the validity of the synchrotron fireball model for gamma-ray bursts, and infer physical parameters of the ultra-relativistic outflow. Methods. We used multi-wavelength (NIR to X-ray) follow-up observations obtained with GROND simultaneously in the g' r' t' i' z' JH filters and the XRT onboard the Swift satellite in the 0.3 to 10 keY energy range. The resulting afterglow light curve is of excellent accuracy with relative photometric errors as low as 1 %, and the spectral energy distribution (SED) is well-sampled over 5 decades in energy. These data present one of the most comprehensive observing campaigns for a single GRB afterglow and allow us to test several proposed emission models and outflow characteristics in unprecedented detail. Results. Both the multi-color light curve and the broad-band SED of the afterglow of GRB 091127 show evidence of a cooling break moving from high to lower energies. The early light curve is well described by a broken power-law, where the initial decay in the optical/NlR wavelength range is considerably flatter than at X-rays. Detailed fitting of the time-resolved SED shows that the break is very smooth with a sharpness index of 2.2 +/- 0.2, and evolves towards lower frequencies as a power-law with index -1.23 +/- 0.06. These are the first accurate and contemporaneous measurements of both the sharpness of the spectral break and its time evolution. Conclusions. The measured evolution of the cooling break (V(sub c) varies as t(sup -1.2) is not consistent with the predictions of the standard model, wherein V(sub c) varies as t(sup -05) is expected. A possible explanation for the observed behavior is a time dependence of the microphysical parameters, in particular the fraction of the total energy in the magnetic field epsilon(sub Beta). This conclusion provides further evidence that the standard fireball model is too simplistic, and time-dependent micro-physical parameters may be required to model the growing number of well-sampled afterglow light curves.

Filgas, R.↗

Diagnosing Aircraft Icing Potential from Satellite Cloud Retrievals

The threat for aircraft icing in clouds is a significant hazard that routinely impacts aviation operations. Accurate diagnoses and forecasts of aircraft icing conditions requires identifying the location and vertical distribution of clouds with super-cooled liquid water (SLW) droplets, as well as the characteristics of the droplet size distribution. Traditional forecasting methods rely on guidance from numerical models and conventional observations, neither of which currently resolve cloud properties adequately on the optimal scales needed for aviation. Satellite imagers provide measurements over large areas with high spatial resolution that can be interpreted to identify the locations and characteristics of clouds, including features associated with adverse weather and storms. This paper describes new techniques for interpreting cloud products derived from satellite data to infer the flight icing threat to aircraft. For unobscured low clouds, the icing threat is determined using empirical relationships developed from correlations between satellite imager retrievals of liquid water path and droplet size with icing conditions reported by pilots (PIREPS). For deep ice over water cloud systems, ice and liquid water content (IWC and LWC) profiles are derived by using the imager cloud properties to constrain climatological information on cloud vertical structure and water phase obtained apriori from radar and lidar observations, and from cloud model analyses. Retrievals of the SLW content embedded within overlapping clouds are mapped to the icing threat using guidance from an airfoil modeling study. Compared to PIREPS and ground-based icing remote sensing datasets, the satellite icing detection and intensity accuracies are approximately 90% and 70%, respectively, and found to be similar for both low level and deep ice over water cloud systems. The satellite-derived icing boundaries capture the reported altitudes over 90% of the time. Satellite analyses corresponding to the time and location of several recent aviation accidents and with icing PIREPS are also presented that reveal skill in identifying severe icing conditions. These results demonstrate the utility of satellite cloud retrievals for quantitatively diagnosing the potential for icing conditions on temporal and spatial scales that should be useful to the aviation community. Plans are being developed to deliver these new satellite products to the GOES-R Proving Ground in the near future so that they can be evaluated in operational applications.

Smith, William L., Jr.↗