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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 991 records · Page 55
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS1972

The effects of tracking station coordinate uncertainties on GEOS-2 orbital accuracy

Laser and minitrack observational data from GEOS-2 collected during the period April 23, 1971 to May 1971, have been used for the purpose of assessing the influence of tracking station location on the accuracy of orbit determination. These data were processed using a unified set of coordinates for the tracking station locations. Concurrently, these data were processed using nonunified station locations referred to a variety of geodetic datums. The resultant orbits based on the two different sets of station locations were compared and relative differences in the position of the satellite were determined. Differences between the two groups of orbits fitted over four-day data spans ranged from 250 meters to 500 meters for orbits derived from laser data only. For orbits observed from Minitrack data alone the relative differences in GEOS-2 spacecraft position ranged from 50 meters to 190 meters. Utilizing the laser data alone in each arc, definitive orbits were computed using the unified and nonunified station location coordinates. The differences in the satellite position in the overlap region when using the unified laser station coordinates ranged from 25 meters to 150 meters, whereas when using the nonunified laser station coordinates the differences in position ranges from 180 to 650 meters.

Glazer, J.↗
NASA NTRS1971

Reward and uncertainty in exploration programs

A set of variables which are crucial to the economic outcome of petroleum exploration are discussed. These are treated as random variables; the values they assume indicate the number of successes that occur in a drilling program and determine, for a particular discovery, the unit production cost and net economic return if that reservoir is developed. In specifying the joint probability law for those variables, extreme and probably unrealistic assumptions are made. In particular, the different random variables are assumed to be independently distributed. Using postulated probability functions and specified parameters, values are generated for selected random variables, such as reservoir size. From this set of values the economic magnitudes of interest, net return and unit production cost are computed. This constitutes a single trial, and the procedure is repeated many times. The resulting histograms approximate the probability density functions of the variables which describe the economic outcomes of an exploratory drilling program.

Kaufman, G. M.↗
NASA NTRS1973

Study of effects of uncertainties on comet and asteroid encounter and contact guidance requirements. Part 1: Guidance and navigation studies

A guidance algorithm that provides precise rendezvous in the deterministic case while requiring only relative state information is developed. A navigation scheme employing only onboard relative measurements is built around a Kalman filter set in measurement coordinates. The overall guidance and navigation procedure is evaluated in the face of measurement errors by a detailed numerical simulation. Results indicate that onboard guidance and navigation for the terminal phase of rendezvous is possible with reasonable limits on measurement errors.

Source record↗
NASA NTRS1974

Study of effects of uncertainties of comet and asteroid encounter and contact guidance requirements. Part 2: Tumbling problem studies

The problem of determining the rotational motion of a tumbling celestial body of the asteroid type using spacecraft-acquired data is addressed. The rotational motion of the body is modeled by free-Eulerian motion of a triaxial, rigid body and its translational motion with respect, to a nonrotating, observing spacecraft, which is not thrusting, is assumed to be uniform during the time observations are made. The mathematical details which form the basis for a digital simulation of the motion and observations are presented. Two algorithms for determining the motion from observations for the special case of uniform rotational motion are given.

Cochran, J. E., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1975

A Practical Statistical Model for Telecommunications Performance Uncertainty

A statistical method, the probability distribution method, is presented which will give the probability of link performance values. The advantages of a design control procedure are preserved and optimum use of the system capabilities is permitted by improving the accuracy and completeness of the system model.

Yuen, J. H.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Psychophysical Models for Signal Detection with Time Varying Uncertainty

Psychophysical models for the behavior of the human operator in detection tasks which include change in detectability, correlation between observations and deferred decisions are developed. Classical Signal Detection Theory (SDT) is discussed and its emphasis on the sensory processes is contrasted to decision strategies. The analysis of decision strategies utilizes detection tasks with time varying signal strength. The classical theory is modified to include such tasks and several optimal decision strategies are explored. Two methods of classifying strategies are suggested. The first method is similar to the analysis of ROC curves, while the second is based on the relation between the criterion level (CL) and the detectability. Experiments to verify the analysis of tasks with changes of signal strength are designed. The results show that subjects are aware of changes in detectability and tend to use strategies that involve changes in the CL's.

Gai, E.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Uncertainties in the far-infrared absorption of interstellar clouds

The observed absorption of far-infrared radiation by an interstellar dust cloud is a complicated function of the material properties of grains, of their column density, and of the extent of stimulated emission. At long wavelengths, neglect of stimulated emission would lead to an underestimate of the amount of absorbing material observed along a line of sight. However, if the complex index of refraction for grains is measured at the low temperatures in question, a classical analysis will be correct since the measured refractive index correctly accounts for stimulated emission. Since the grain temperatures may strongly affect the refractive index of a grain, typical interstellar grain temperature fluctuations are analyzed in a final section.

Harwit, M.↗
NASA NTRS1977

Robustness of linear quadratic state feedback designs in the presence of system uncertainty

The paper deals with the problem of expressing the robustness (stability) property of a linear quadratic state feedback (LQSF) design quantitatively in terms of bounds on the perturbations (modeling errors or parameter variations) in the system matrices so that the closed-loop system remains stable. Nonlinear time-varying and linear time-invariant perturbations are considered. The only computation required in obtaining a measure of the robustness of an LQSF design is to determine the eigenvalues of two symmetric matrices determined when solving the algebraic Riccati equation corresponding to the LQSF design problem. Results are applied to a complex dynamic system consisting of the flare control of a STOL aircraft. The design of the flare control is formulated as an LQSF tracking problem.

Patel, R. V.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Uncertainty propagation in a stratospheric model. I - Development of a concise stratospheric model. II - Monte Carlo analysis of imprecisions due to reaction rates

The paper discusses the development of a concise stratospheric model which uses iteration to obtain coupling between interacting species. The one-dimensional, steady-state, diurnally-averaged model generates diffusion equations with appropriate sources and sinks for species odd oxygen, H2O, H2, CO, N2O, odd nitrogen, CH4, CH3Cl, CCl4, CF2Cl2, CFCl3, and odd chlorine. The model evaluates steady-state perturbations caused by injections of chlorine and NO(x) and may be used to predict ozone depletion. The model is used in a Monte Carlo study of the propagation of reaction-rate imprecisions by calculating an ozone perturbation caused by the addition of chlorine. Since the model is sensitive to only 10 of the more than 50 reaction rates considered, only about 1000 Monte Carlo cases are required to span the space of possible results.

Rundel, R. D.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Effects of uncertainty on manual tracking performance

Transient phenomena and target acquisition modes associated with interrupted observations during ground-to-air AA tracking were investigated. Using a two-axes control stick, the subjects tracked a computer-generated airplane image on a CRT display. The airplane image excuted a low-level straight pass. At certain pseudo-random times during each 25-second run, the screen was blanked for a period of one second. When the target image reappeared, the subjects reacquired it and continued tracking, attempting to minimize vector RMS error for the entire run (including the blanked period). The results reveal an increase both in tracking error and in error variance during the blanked period, only when the target disappears while in the crossover region. Blanking at other times effected increased variance but had no effect on the mean error. A blanking period just before crossover produced an increase lag while a blanking just after crossover resulted in a lead and thus made the error curve more symmetric.

Ephrath, A. R.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Short-term solar pressure effect and GM uncertainty on TDRS orbital accuracy: A study of the interaction of modeling error with tracking and orbit determination

The TDRS was modeled as a combination of a sun-pointing solar panel and earth-pointing plate. Based on this model, explanations are given for the following orbit determination error characteristics: inherent limits in orbital accuracy, the variation of solar pressure induced orbital error with time of the day of epoch, the insensitivity of range-rate orbits to GM error, and optimum bilateration baseline.

Fang, B. T.↗
NASA NTRS1978

An assessment of crustal thickness variations on the lunar near side - Models, uncertainties, and implications for crustal differentiation

The paper presents a series of models for the structure of lunar nearside crust which are consistent with the observed gravity and topography. Each crustal model is derived subject to a specific set of constraints and assumptions. The assumptions/constraints considered include strict isostatic equilibrium, pure Airy compensation mechanism, pure Pratt compensation mechanism, assignment of assumed fixed values for mare basalt thickness, and attribution of all superisostatic mass in the maria to basalt fill. The resulting models are used to assess the degree and mechanism of isostasy, and to investigate the thickness of the mare basalt. Details of the lateral variations in crustal thickness or density and in the degree of isostatic compensation bear strongly on the mode of early crustal differentiation and on the subsequent thermal history of the moon.

Thurber, C. H.↗
NASA NTRS1980

Estimation of uncertainty in isotherms deduced from Hugoniots resulting from shockwave generated defects

The problem of how defect concentrations produced in a shock experiment affect the isothermal equation of state is considered. From the few experimental results available that bear directly on this question, it appears the effect could be substantial, i.e., the pressure in material free of defects may be 10-25% lower at a given volume than the isothermal pressure deduced from Hugoniot data on the assumption that defects are negligible in the shocked material. This correction caused by the presence of defects is called the defect pressure.

Ruoff, A. L.↗