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At least 991 records · Page 55

Benchmarking Utility-Scale PV Operational Expenses and Project Lifetimes: Results from a Survey of U.S. Solar Industry Professionals

This paper draws on a survey of solar industry professionals and other sources to clarify trends in the expected useful life and operational expenditure (OpEx) of utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) plants in the United States. Solar project developers, sponsors, long-term owners, and consultants have increased project-life assumptions over time, from an average of ~21.5 years in 2007 to ~32.5 years in 2019. Current assumptions range from 25 years to more than 35 years depending on the organization; 17 out of 19 organizations surveyed or reviewed use 30 years or more. Levelized, lifetime OpEx estimates have declined from an average of ~$\$$35/kW DC -yr for projects built in 2007 to an average of ~$\$$17/kW DC -yr in 2019. Across 13 sources, the range in average lifetime OpEx for projects built in 2019 is broad, from $\$$13 to $\$$25/kW DC -yr. Operations and maintenance (O&M) costs—one component of OpEx—have declined precipitously in recent years, to $\$$5-8/kW DC -yr in many cases. Property taxes and land lease costs are highly variable across sites, but on average are—together—of similar magnitude. Other OpEx line items include security, insurance, and asset management. Given 2007-2009 values for not only project life and OpEx but also other drivers of the levelized cost of energy (LCOE, excluding the investment tax credit), the LCOE for utility-scale PV projects built from 2007 through 2009 averaged $\$$305 /MWh. Using 2019 values for all parameters yields an average LCOE of $\$$51 /MWh. The decline in LCOE from $\$$305 /MWh to $\$$51 /MWh was predominantly caused by reductions in up-front expenditures (and, to a much lesser extent, by changes in capacity factors, financing costs, and tax rates), but 9% ($\$$22 /MWh) of the overall decline is due to improvements in project life and OpEx. Project life extensions and OpEx reductions have had similarly sized impacts on LCOE over this period, at $\$$11 /MWh each. Had project life and OpEx not improved over the last decade, LCOE in 2019 would have instead been $\$$73 /MWh—43% higher. Given the limited quantity and comparability of previously available data on these cost drivers, the data and trends presented here may inform assumptions used by electric system planners, modelers, and analysts. The results may also provide useful benchmarks to the solar industry, helping developers and assets owners compare their expectations for project life and OpEx with those of their peers.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Fall 2024 Solar Industry Update [Slides]

Each quarter, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) conducts the Quarterly Solar Industry Update, a presentation of technical trends within the solar industry. Each presentation focuses on global and U.S. supply and demand, module and system price, investment trends and business models, and updates on U.S. government programs supporting the solar industry.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Degradation and Accelerated Recovery of Surface Passivation in n+ Poly-Si/SiOx Passivating Contacts for TOPCon Solar Cells

We studied the surface degradation and recovery of fired poly-Si/SiOx passivating contacts during subsequent dark and illuminated annealing. We report on an industrially-viable path for accelerated recovery of surface passivation. The degradation is influenced by the type of doping in the poly-Si. Phosphorus doped n+ poly-Si/SiOx contacts show degradation followed by recovery, undoped poly-Si/SiOx contacts only show recovery during annealing. Boron doped p+ poly-Si/SiOx contacts show neither degradation nor improvement with annealing. Both degradation and recovery are thermally-activated processes and are completely reversible and cyclic in nature. The activation energy of degradation and recovery in dark for n+ poly-Si/SiOx contacts are 1.27 and 1.33 eV respectively. Dark annealing at elevated temperatures is effective for complete recovery but takes a long time (~30 min at 350 degrees C) due to higher activation energies. Annealing under 7.5 Suns of illumination lowers the activation energy for degradation and recovery to 0.88 and 0.90 eV, respectively. Using this data, we have developed an industrially viable post-firing treatment for accelerated recovery of TOPCon cells by annealing them at elevated temperatures and under intense illumination for a few minutes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Chapter 1: Introduction - Motivation of Polycrystalline Thin-Film Solar Cells

Thin-film solar cell development may be conceptualized as improving processes to lower costs and improve performance, with characterization as a guide along the way. Yet, pushing the boundaries of characterization is as much at the core of thin-film solar cell development as material synthesis. As PV continues to mature, there is an endless drive to improve performance to compete. Hence, PV technology is striving for increasing levels of perfection, requiring a corresponding sophistication in characterization and understanding. Consequently, the topic of this book -advanced characterization-is timely and critical to develop the potential of thin-film solar technology.

material synthesis↗

Exploring the Performance and Reliability of Screen-Printable Fire-Through Copper Paste on PERC Solar Cells

For 40 TW of PV required to transition our planet to 100% renewables, the silver (Ag) should disappear from PV production. Advantages of copper (Cu) over silver (Ag) include 1) bulk Cu has a similar conductivity to Ag (1.7 mu O-cm for Cu, 1.6 mu O-cm for Ag) and 2) Cu is approximately 100 times cheaper than Ag, making it an excellent potential replacement. Problems associated with copper (Cu) contacts include 1) easy oxidation and 2) diffusion into the Si cell and recombination activity.

copper paste↗

Materials That Enhance Efficiency and Radiation Resistance of Solar Cells

A thin layer (approximately 10 microns) of a novel "transparent" fluorescent material is applied to existing solar cells or modules to effectively block and convert UV light, or other lower solar response waveband of solar radiation, to visible or IR light that can be more efficiently used by solar cells for additional photocurrent. Meanwhile, the layer of fluorescent coating material remains fully "transparent" to the visible and IR waveband of solar radiation, resulting in a net gain of solar cell efficiency. This innovation alters the effective solar spectral power distribution to which an existing cell gets exposed, and matches the maximum photovoltaic (PV) response of existing cells. By shifting a low PV response waveband (e.g., UV) of solar radiation to a high PV response waveband (e.g. Vis-Near IR) with novel fluorescent materials that are transparent to other solar-cell sensitive wavebands, electrical output from solar cells will be enhanced. This approach enhances the efficiency of solar cells by converting UV and high-energy particles in space that would otherwise be wasted to visible/IR light. This innovation is a generic technique that can be readily implemented to significantly increase efficiencies of both space and terrestrial solar cells, without incurring much cost, thus bringing a broad base of economical, social, and environmental benefits. The key to this approach is that the "fluorescent" material must be very efficient, and cannot block or attenuate the "desirable" and unconverted" waveband of solar radiation (e.g. Vis-NIR) from reaching the cells. Some nano-phosphors and novel organometallic complex materials have been identified that enhance the energy efficiency on some state-of-the-art commercial silicon and thin-film-based solar cells by over 6%.

Sun, Xiadong↗

Real-Time Regional PV Spinning Reserve Estimator with AGC Look-Ahead Windows

Curtailed PV generation is a zero-marginal cost spinning reserve that can be used for a number of active power control services. However, unlike the traditional spinning reserve providers, i.e., fossil-fueled generators, who have well-defined operating characteristics, e.g., available headroom or potential high limit (PHL), PV plants have by nature variable and uncertain operating characteristics. To ensure the effective coordination between PV plants and the system operator during an active power control event, accurate forecasts of the PV PHL are essential. A novel reference-control grouping based scaling method has been proposed by NREL to estimate the PV PHL in real-time. This work further enhances the methodology by: 1) improving the model accuracy through machine learning; 2) considering look-ahead windows introduced by the computation and communication latencies; 3) applying the method to regional spinning reserve estimation. A significant performance improvement, over 99% of estimation error reduction, has been observed based on real-world data collected by CAISO and PV plant operators.

potential high limit↗

Record Efficiency Multijunction Solar Cells with Strain-Balanced Quantum Well Superlattices

The absorption edge of a GaAs solar cell can be tuned to longer wavelengths with strain-balanced quantum wells, as an alternative to metamorphic epitaxy. For one-sun photovoltaic applications, an optimum bandgap for both single and multijunction solar cells is near the broad water absorption peak at 930 nm and can be accessed by a Ga0.9In0.1As alloy. This alloy is strained with respect to the GaAs substrate, and so only very thin ~10 nm layers can be grown without relaxation via dislocation formation. However, solar cells require significant thickness for complete absorption of the incoming solar spectrum, requiring many such layers. We have designed quantum well superlattices with up to 300 sets of carefully tuned strain-balanced GaInAs/GaAsP pairs by limiting composition modulation and material degradation. We have incorporated quantum well solar cells into multijunction devices to achieve record 32.9% two-junction and 39.5% three-junction solar cells under standard one-sun illumination. We will describe the physics of the quantum well devices and the growth conditions that lead to sharp interfaces and good material quality, as well as the characterization of the efficiencies.

GaAs↗

Real-Time Regional PV Spinning Reserve Estimator with AGC Look-Ahead Windows: Preprint

Curtailed PV generation is a zero-marginal cost spinning reserve that can be used for a number of active power control services. However, unlike the traditional spinning reserve providers, i.e., fossil-fueled generators, who have well-defined operating characteristics, e.g., available headroom or potential high limit (PHL), PV plants have by nature variable and uncertain operating characteristics. To ensure the effective coordination between PV plants and the system operator during an active power control event, accurate forecasts of the PV PHL are essential. A novel reference-control grouping based scaling method has been proposed by NREL to estimate the PV PHL in real-time. This work further enhances the methodology by: 1) improving the model accuracy through machine learning; 2) considering look-ahead windows introduced by the computation and communication latencies; 3) applying the method to regional spinning reserve estimation. A significant performance improvement, over 1.6% of estimation error reduction, has been observed based on real-world data collected by CAISO and PV plant operators.

potential high limit↗

Synchronverter-based Control of Multi-Port Autonomous Reconfigurable Solar Plants (MARS)

Control of integrated photovoltaic (PV) plants with energy storage systems (ESSs) has become an important research and development topic in recent times. In this context, a Multi-port Autonomous Reconfigurable Solar (MARS) plant that integrates PV and ESS to alternating current transmission grid and high-voltage direct current (HVdc) link is studied in this paper. With penetration of power electronic based resources in the grid, the grid’s capability to recover from frequency or voltage disturbances are reduced. Therefore, one of the vital objectives of any new grid integrated power electronic resource is to provide advanced control functions like voltage and frequency support to the grid during disturbances. In this research work, a detailed implementation of a synchronverter-based control algorithm of MARS is presented. The proposed control algorithm and the MARS control architecture are evaluated through simulations on PSCAD/EMTDC simulation platform to showcase the performance in different operating conditions. In addition, they are evaluated in Opal-RT offline simulation models which can also be used to perform control-hardware-in-the-loop (cHIL) tests.

Marthi, Phani Ratna Vanamali↗

Forecasting Distributed PV Adoption in Barranquilla, Colombia [Slides]

The objective of the dGen Colombia project is to provide projections to 2050 on distributed PV deployment by sector for a range of scenarios for Barranquilla, Colombia. NREL used the open-source Distributed Generation Market Demand Model (dGen) adapted for international projects for this analysis. As part of this analysis, technical potential, economic potential, and adoption projections of rooftop and groundmount PV for the city of Barranquilla are presented. Five main scenarios and their combinations were modeled to provide insight on the impact of increased demand from electric vehicles, air conditioning, and time-of-use tariffs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Solar +: Clean Energy Strategies for the Sunshine State (Final Technical Report (FTR) of the Florida Alliance for Accelerating Solar and Storage Technology Readiness (FAASSTeR))

This reports on a four-year effort to provide foundational research, analysis, strategies and assistance to help Florida, and other states that might learn from this work, to grow solar energy in conjunction with other distributed energy resources by addressing and overcoming existing barriers, and in way that delivers increased value. The start of this effort coincided with an inflection point of sorts into a new dawn for solar energy in Florida, where the Sunshine state’s national ranking in total installed solar, according to the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA), has rose from 13th to 4th. Florida has now become the national leader in annual utility-scale solar growth as dozens of large plants have come online. Also, during this time, Florida utilities have expressed a strong and growing interest in understanding the role of energy storage and how to best plan for and deploy this unique resource as part of strategies to grow solar. The utility-scale solar growth experienced has been fueled by the economics of solar cost-parity with natural gas combined cycle plants and Florida Public Service Commission’s (PSC) approval of cost-recovery for the Investor-Owned Utilities (IOU’s), primarily through the Solar Base Rate Adjustment (SoBRA) mechanism. This has led to gigawatts (GW’s) of rate-based solar capacity additions over several years, along with fairly significant amounts of energy storage. Meanwhile, municipal electric utilities, which, collectively, are the third largest source of power in the state, have been increasing solar considerably through power purchase agreements (PPA’s) and are on track to have close to 1 GW of grid-connected solar by 2024. Florida’s municipal utilities and the Florida Municipal Electric Association (FMEA) have been key partners in the Florida Alliance for Accelerating Solar and Storage Technology Readiness (FAASSTeR), formed to carry out this effort. The six largest of these have been Core Team utilities, engaging throughout the project in weekly calls, discussions, and project direction, participating in and hosting workshops and benefiting from technical assistance in several areas.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Comparative study on the overall energy performance between photovoltaic and Low-E insulated glass units

In this report a novel semi-transparent building integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) laminate was developed and introduced in this paper. It was produced by cutting standard mono-crystalline silicon solar cells into small strips and then making electrical connections between each strip before laminating the cells between two layers of glass. The overall energy performance and energy saving potential of the BIPV insulated glass unit (IGU) under real world conditions were identified through a side by side comparative study. Compared to the reference IGU, the BIPV IGU had lower solar heat gain coefficient (SHGC) but much higher U-factor. The average HVAC electricity saving of the BIPV IGU was about 10% relative to the reference IGU. Daylighting measurement and analysis were carried out to evaluate the trade-offs associated with the BIPV IGU between daylight, glare, and lighting energy use. The results indicated that the BIPV IGU is better than the reference IGU in reducing discomfort glare. However, if the most conservative viewpoint near the window is used for the assessment, a lower transmittance BIPV IGU is required to bring the overall discomfort levels below the perceptible level. Lastly, the net energy saving potential associated with the novel BIPV IGU was identified based on the power, thermal and daylighting performance. On average, the BIPV IGU saved 16.8% of the total electricity use of the room. Further studies and improvement on the energy conversion efficiency of solar cells, the optimal transmittance as well as the thermal properties would make this technology more energy-efficient and affordable.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Characterization of dangling bond defects at the crystalline Si/SiO x interface in a polycrystalline Si passivating contact solar cell at room temperature with electrically detected magnetic resonance spectroscopy

Monocrystalline silicon solar cells can achieve photoconversion efficiencies exceeding 26%; however, performance-limiting defects that trap carriers continue to be a challenge. In this work, we have characterized Si solar cells with tunneling SiO x /polycrystalline-Si (poly-Si) passivating contacts (TOPCon) on As-doped Czochralski Si wafers with electrically detected magnetic resonance (EDMR) spectroscopy. We fabricated 2 × 20 mm 2 TOPCon-like mini solar cells with edge passivation alongside larger 4 cm 2 sister cells and obtained similar device characteristics. We performed EDMR spectroscopy at 300 K on two minicells with different degrees of surface passivation based on the recombination parameter, J o , values of 40 and 310 fA/cm2. We optimized the resolution and the signal-to-noise ratio of the EDMR response of the minicells by varying the forward bias voltage and the magnetic field modulation amplitude. We detect two distinct signals with EDMR spectroscopy, an axial-like signal at g = 2.009, 2.0087, and 2.0015, and an isotropic signal at g = 2.0024, which we attribute to Si dangling bonds (P b0 and P b centers) and boron–oxygen related defects, respectively, at or near the c-Si/SiO x interface. The EDMR signals were lower for the cell with a lower value of J o , while the ratio of the two defect populations was very similar. The EDMR signal increases with forward bias but drops to zero at bias voltages >0.5 V, consistent with interface defects within or near the boron-doped emitter depletion region. Our study demonstrates a method to fabricate minicells that can be characterized with EDMR spectroscopy to detect industrially relevant defects in TOPCon cells.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Effect of Dopant Compensation on the Conductivity of the Intrinsic poly-Si Isolation Region in Passivated IBC Silicon Solar Cells

The performance of IBC solar cells depends on the ability of this region to electrically isolate the doped fingers so that shunting does not occur and reduce the cell fill factor. We report on simulations which model the region between the p- and n-type poly-Si fingers of interdigitated back contact (IBC) solar cells as a series of resistors extending from one doped finger to the other. We demonstrate that the existence of a well compensated region between the doped fingers is enough to prevent shunting and loss of cell performance, despite contamination of dopants from the opposing dopant fingers. We show through these simulations that a net doping concentration below ~1018 cm-3 will enable a high resistivity and identify the conditions under which this highly resistive region forms despite imperfect finger edges. Additionally, we apply this analysis to tails measured by time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry and confirm this hypothesis for our experimentally measured tails.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Room Temperature, Dip Coating Organic Passivation for c-Si Surfaces

Surface passivation of crystalline Si (c-Si) to reduce recombination rate is crucial to obtain high-efficiency c-Si solar cells. A fast passivation technique that can be performed at room temperature is needed when studying the degradation behaviors using various characterization methods to not destroy the degraded states. In this contribution, we explore Nafion via dip coating on n-type Cz wafers. We show that both the Nafion concentration and the conditions of surface and edge affect the passivation quality, and we achieve excellent passivation quality of iVoc of 716 mV, with a saturation current density (J0) of 7 fA/cm2. Additionally, electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) shows Nafion can be used under cryogenic temperature and reveals the reduction of Si dangling bond after Nafion treatment.

dielectric solar cell↗