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At least 991 records · Page 55

Operation-adversarial scenario generation

This paper proposes a modified conditional generative adversarial network (cGAN) model to generate net load scenarios for power systems that are statistically credible, conditioned by given labels (e.g., seasons), and, at the same time, “stressful” to the system operations and dispatch decisions. The measure of stress used in this paper is based on the operating cost increases due to net load changes. The proposed operation-adversarial cGAN (OA-cGAN) internalizes a DC optimal power flow model and seeks to maximize the operating cost and achieve a worst-case data generation. The training and testing stages employed in the proposed OA-cGAN use historical day-ahead net load forecast errors and has been implemented for the realistic NYISO 11-zone system. In conclusion, our numerical experiments demonstrate that the generated operation-adversarial forecast errors lead to more cost-effective and reliable dispatch decisions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Equilibrium and kinetics analysis of carbon dioxide capture using immobilized amine on a mesoporous silica

The equilibrium and conversion-time data on the absorption of carbon dioxide (CO{sub 2}) with amine-based solid sorbent were analyzed over the range of 303–373 K. Data on CO{sub 2} loading on amine based solid sorbent at these temperatures and CO{sub 2} partial pressure between 10 and 760 mm Hg obtained from volumetric adsorption apparatus were fitted to a simple equilibrium model to generate the different parameters (including equilibrium constant) in the model. Using these constants, a correlation was obtained to define equilibrium constant and maximum CO{sub 2} loading as a function of temperature. In this study, a shrinking core model (SCM) was applied to elucidate the relative importance of pore diffusion and surface chemical reaction in controlling the rate of reaction. Application of SCM to the data suggested a surface reaction-controlled mechanism for the temperature of up to 40°C and pore-diffusion mechanism at higher temperature.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Generative machine learning for detector response modeling with a conditional normalizing flow

In this paper, we explore the potential of generative machine learning models as an alternative to the computationally expensive Monte Carlo (MC) simulations commonly used by the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) experiments. Our objective is to develop a generative model capable of efficiently simulating detector responses for specific particle observables, focusing on the correlations between detector responses of different particles in the same event and accommodating asymmetric detector responses. Here, we present a conditional normalizing flow model ($\mathcal{CNF}$) based on a chain of Masked Autoregressive Flows, which effectively incorporates conditional variables and models high-dimensional density distributions. We assess the performance of the $\mathcal{CNF}$ model using a simulated sample of Higgs boson decaying to diphoton events at the LHC. We create reconstruction-level observables using a smearing technique. We show that conditional normalizing flows can accurately model complex detector responses and their correlation. This method can potentially reduce the computational burden associated with generating large numbers of simulated events while ensuring that the generated events meet the requirements for data analyses. We make our code available at https://github.com/allixu/normalizing_flow_for_detector_response

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

ASC ATDM Level 2 Milestone #6358: Assess Status of Next Generation Components and Physics Models in EMPIRE

This report documents the outcome from the ASC ATDM Level 2 Milestone 6358: Assess Status of Next Generation Components and Physics Models in EMPIRE. This Milestone is an assessment of the EMPIRE (ElectroMagnetic Plasma In Realistic Environments) application and three software components. The assessment focuses on the electromagnetic and electrostatic particle-in-cell solutions for EMPIRE and its associated solver, time integration, and checkpoint-restart components. This information provides a clear understanding of the current status of the EMPIRE application and will help to guide future work in FY19 in order to ready the application for the ASC ATDM L1 Milestone in FY20. It is clear from this assessment that performance of the linear solver will have to be a focus in FY19.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Intrinsic rotation with gyrokinetic models

The generation of intrinsic rotation by turbulence and neoclassical effects in tokamaks is considered. To obtain the complex dependences observed in experiments, it is necessary to have a model of the radial flux of momentum that redistributes the momentum within the tokamak in the absence of a preexisting velocity. When the lowest order gyrokinetic formulation is used, a symmetry of the model precludes this possibility, making small effects in the gyroradius over scale length expansion necessary. These effects that are usually small become important for momentum transport because the symmetry of the lowest order gyrokinetic formulation leads to the cancellation of the lowest order momentum flux. The accuracy to which the gyrokinetic equation needs to be obtained to retain all the physically relevant effects is discussed.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Preventative studies should begin now for detecting AI-generated microscopy images

With the rapid progress made in artificial intelligence (AI), text, images, and even videos that are often indistinguishable from human-created content can now be easily generated using new AI models. In this essay, we call attention to the potential misuse of advanced AI models to generate microscopy images, as it could challenge reviewers and fraud hunters in an unprecedented way. This concern is more than hypothetical because relevant open-sourced implementations and datasets are widely available. As a result, we urge that preventative studies on methods to detect microscopy image fabrication should begin now before potential misconduct materializes and becomes widespread.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A counterflow diffusion flame study of branched octane isomers

Conventional petroleum, Fischer–Tropsch (FT), and other alternative hydrocarbon fuels typically contain a high concentration of lightly methylated iso-alkanes. However, until recently little work has been done on this important class of hydrocarbon components. In order to better understand the combustion characteristics of real fuels, this study presents new experimental data for 3-methylheptane and 2,5-dimethylhexane in counterflow diffusion flames. This new dataset includes flame ignition, extinction, and speciation profiles. The high temperature oxidation of these fuels has been modeled using an extended transport database and a high temperature skeletal chemical kinetic model. The skeletal model is generated from a detailed model reduced using the directed relation graph with expert knowledge (DRG-X) methodology. The proposed skeletal model contains sufficient chemical fidelity to accurately predict the experimental speciation data in flames. The predictions are compared to elucidate the effects of number and location of the methyl substitutions. The location is found to have little effect on ignition and extinction in these counterflow diffusion flames. However, increasing the number of methyl substitutions was found to inhibit ignition and promote extinction. Chemical kinetic modelling simulations were used to correlate a fuel’s extinction propensity with its ability to populate the H radical concentration. In conclusion, species composition measurements indicate that the location and number of methyl substitutions was found to particularly affect the amount and type of alkenes observed.

2,5-dimethylhexane↗

Multiple-point principle with a scalar singlet extension of the standard model

Here, we suggest a scalar singlet extension of the standard model, in which the multiple-point principle (MPP) condition of a vanishing Higgs potential at the Planck scale is realized. Although there have been lots of attempts to realize the MPP at the Planck scale, the realization with keeping naturalness is quite difficult. This model can easily achieve the MPP at the Planck scale without large Higgs mass corrections. It is worth noting that the electroweak symmetry can be radiatively broken in our model. In the naturalness point of view, the singlet scalar mass should be of O(1 TeV) or less. Also, we consider right-handed neutrino extension of the model for neutrino mass generation. The model does not affect the MPP scenario, and might keep the naturalness with the new particle mass scale beyond TeV, thanks to accidental cancellation of Higgs mass corrections.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program: Advanced Instrumentation, Information, and Control Systems Technologies Technical Program Plan for 2013

Reliable instrumentation, information, and control (II&C) systems technologies are essential to ensuring safe and efficient operation of the U.S. light water reactor (LWR) fleet. These technologies affect every aspect of nuclear power plant (NPP) and balance-of-plant operations. In 1997, the National Research Council conducted a study concerning the challenges involved in modernizing existing analog-based instrumentation and controls with digital instrumentation and control systems in NPPs. Their findings identified the need for new II&C technology integration. The objective of these efforts is to develop, demonstrate, and support deployment of new digital II&C technologies for nuclear process control, enhance worker performance, and provide enhanced monitoring capabilities to ensure the continued safe, reliable, and economic operation of the nation’s NPPs. Digital II&C technologies are deployed in a number of power generation settings worldwide. Current instrumentation and human-machine interfaces in the nuclear power sector employ analog technologies. In other power generation sectors, analog technologies have largely been replaced with digital technologies. This is in part due to the manufacturing and product support base transitioning to these newer technologies. It also accompanies the transition of education curricula for I&C engineers to digital technologies. Consequently, product manufacturers refer to analog I&C as having reached the end of its useful service life. Although considered obsolete by other industries, analog I&C continues to function reliably, though spare and replacement parts are becoming increasingly scarce as is the workforce that is familiar with and able to maintain it. Analog I&C was also the predominant means used for process control in an era when human labor was more affordable, and maintaining an I&C technology base through a larger workforce conducting frequent rounds for surveillances, inspections, and tests was accepted in the nuclear power generation business model. Today’s power generation business climate is much different and II&C technologies are needed in the long run that are more highly automated and require less cost to operate and maintain, are as highly reliable as those used today, and will be familiar to a future work force. They should also enable performance gains for the utility so that they are not merely a sunken cost, as this would weigh heavily on the balance sheet at a time of particularly high cost competitiveness in electricity markets.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A Systematic Framework for Tuning Open-Source Multifunctional IBR Models To Emulate OEM Black-Box Fault Dynamics

This paper presents a systematic framework to tune a generic IBR EMT model to match with an OEM provided balckbox inverter model based on the fault current responses. The key learnings and findings are summarized as follows: The tunable key parameters include inner control loops and current limiters to align the fault current magnitude, sequence content, and phase trajectories with the OEM models across diverse fault type and locations. The tuned model's fidelity is validated through comparative analysis with an OEM blackbox model, assessing both the fault current response and the responses of multiple relay elements. The results demonstrate the tuned generic model can trigger relay decision logic that is identical or near identical to that of the OEM model, thus generating very good match model for fault studies.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Advanced High-Fidelity Lumped EMT Grid Modelling & Comparison

There is increased interest in performing electromagnetic transient (EMT) studies of large power grids for stability purposes. The large power grids may not represent the entire grid, but portions of interest. For example, studies are being performed to identify the impact of extreme events on solar power plants in California that requires the EMT model of the grid in California, but not the complete western interconnection (WI) grid model to which the grid in California is connected. The EMT models of grids are necessary to perform integration studies of large power electronics systems like utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) systems, high-voltage direct current (HVdc) systems, flexible alternating current transmission systems (FACTs), and others. Traditionally, models of grids available to utilities are the transient stability (TS) models. Hence, it assumes significance to identify methods of developing high-fidelity EMT models for portions of the grid (of interest) from the information available in the existing TS models of the entire grid. In this paper, a conversion mechanism along with upgradation based on data-driven methods is applied to develop EMT models of grids. The conversion mechanism utilizes information from TS models of grids to generate EMT models of grids. These models can be extracted for the required portion of the grid. While these models adequately represent the local voltage behaviour of the grid, they are inadequate in representing the frequency behaviour of the grid. The data-driven methods are applied to identify frequency dynamics of the grid, and the EMT models are upgraded with the data-driven methods. The resulting upgraded EMT models of grids can perform the studies mentioned above. These models are tested under contingencies of interest to validate the developed models.

Debnath, Suman↗

Probabilistic wave parameters for WEC survival analysis at US Navy's Wave Energy Test Site in Hawaii.

The persistent and diversified wave conditions make the Navy's Wave Energy Test Site (WETS) at Marine Corps Base Hawaii, a suitable place for WEC testing. Hurricane waves, despite their infrequent occurrence, pose a challenge to the survivability of the devices. We utilized 252 hurricane scenarios within 200 km of WETS from downscaling simulations of a climate model and the third generation spectral model WaveWatch III to produce a range of severe wave conditions at WETS. The computed wave height presented as a function of annual exceedance probability enables a risk-based survival analysis of WECs. This study provides a proof-of-concept of the probabilistic approach and a baseline for analysis of hurricane wave conditions under the present and future climate projections.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

3D Geophysical Inversion Modeling of Ground Magnetic Data at Baker Hot Springs, Washington State, USA

Ground-based magnetic survey data were geophysically modelled in 3D as part of a play fairway exploration program at Baker hot springs. Here, a multi-step inversion method was used to address the issue of remanent magnetization in rocks of the study area. The geophysical modelling effort generated an effective susceptibility model that displays the 3D distribution and orientation of magnetization in the subsurface. Importantly, the magnetic modelling effort found that a strong, dipolar magnetic anomaly observed in the study area can be explained by a remanently magnetized body that is ~1¼ km long x ~200 m wide and extends from ~25-400 m below the surface. Geologically, this body may represent 1) an intrusion of reversely magnetized mafic rocks or 2) a magnetite-bearing fault zone. This rock body coincides spatially with Baker hot springs; the margins of this body or the fault structures within it are likely responsible for providing the permeability that gives rise to the hot springs.

Baker hot springs↗

Snowmass2021 Computational Frontier White Paper: Cosmological Simulations and Modeling

Powerful new observational facilities will come online over the next decade, enabling a number of discovery opportunities in the "Cosmic Frontier", which targets understanding of the physics of the early universe, dark matter and dark energy, and cosmological probes of fundamental physics, such as neutrino masses and modifications of Einstein gravity. Synergies between different experiments will be leveraged to present new classes of cosmic probes as well as to minimize systematic biases present in individual surveys. Success of this observational program requires actively pairing it with a well-matched state-of-the-art simulation and modeling effort. Next-generation cosmological modeling will increasingly focus on physically rich simulations able to model outputs of sky surveys spanning multiple wavebands. These simulations will have unprecedented resolution, volume coverage, and must deliver guaranteed high-fidelity results for individual surveys as well as for the cross-correlations across different surveys. The needed advances are as follows: (1) Development of scientifically rich and broadly-scoped simulations, which capture the relevant physics and correlations between probes (2) Accurate translation of simulation results into realistic image or spectral data to be directly compared with observations (3) Improved emulators and/or data-driven methods serving as surrogates for expensive simulations, constructed from a finite set of full-physics simulations (4) Detailed and transparent verification and validation programs for both simulations and analysis tools. (Abridged)

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Resonant production of the sterile neutrino dark matter and fine-tunings in the neutrino minimal standard model

The generation of lepton asymmetry below the electroweak scale has a considerable impact on production of dark matter sterile neutrinos. Oscillations or decays of the heavier sterile neutrinos in the neutrino minimal standard model can give rise to the requisite lepton asymmetry, provided the masses of the heavier neutrinos are sufficiently degenerate. We study the renormalization group evolution of the mass difference of these singlet fermions to understand the degree of necessary fine-tuning. We construct an example of the model that can lead to a technically natural realization of this low-energy degeneracy.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models

For the current generation of earth system models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), the range of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS, a hypothetical value of global warming at equilibrium for a doubling of CO 2 ) is 1.8°C to 5.6°C, the largest of any generation of models dating to the 1990s. Meanwhile, the range of transient climate response (TCR, the surface temperature warming around the time of CO 2 doubling in a 1% per year CO 2 increase simulation) for the CMIP6 models of 1.7°C (1.3°C to 3.0°C) is only slightly larger than for the CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Here we review and synthesize the latest developments in ECS and TCR values in CMIP, compile possible reasons for the current values as supplied by the modeling groups, and highlight future directions. Cloud feedbacks and cloud-aerosol interactions are the most likely contributors to the high values and increased range of ECS in CMIP6.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Secondary instability of electromagnetic ion-temperature-gradient modes for zonal flow generation

An analytical model for zonal flow generation by toroidal ion-temperature-gradient (ITG) modes, including finite {beta} electromagnetic effects, is derived. The derivation is based on a fluid model for ions and electrons and takes into account both linear and nonlinear {beta} effects. The influence of finite plasma {beta} on the zonal flow growth rate ({gamma}{sub ZF}) scaling is investigated for typical tokamak plasma parameters. The results show the importance of the zonal flows close to marginal stability where {gamma}{sub ZF}/{gamma}{sub ITG} >> 1 is obtained. In this region the parameter {gamma}{sub ZF}/{gamma}{sub ITG} increases with {beta}, indicating that the ITG turbulence and associated transport would decrease with {beta} at a faster rate than expected from a purely linear or quasi-linear analysis.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗