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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 973 records · Page 54
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

EPIsembleVis: A geo-visual analysis and comparison of the prediction ensembles of multiple COVID-19 models

In this work, we present EPIsembleVis, a web-based comparative visual analysis tool for evaluating the consistency of multiple COVID-19 prediction models. Our approach analyzes a collection of COVID-19 predictions from different epidemiological models as an ensemble and utilizes two metrics to quantify model performance. These metrics include (a) prediction uncertainty (represented as the dispersion of predictions in each ensemble) and (b) prediction error (calculated by comparing individual model predictions with the recorded data). Through an interactive visual interface, our approach provides a data-driven workflow for (a) selecting and constructing the COVID-19 model prediction ensemble based on the spatiotemporal overlap of available predictions of multiple epidemiological models, (b) quantifying the model performance using both the uncertainty of each model prediction ensemble, and the error of each ensemble member that represents individual model predictions, and (c) visualizing the spatiotemporal variability in the projection performance of individual models using a suite of novel ensemble visualization techniques, such as the data availability map, a spatiotemporal textured-tile calendar, multivariate rose chart, and time-series leaflet glyph. We demonstrate the capability of our ensemble visual interface through a case study that investigates the performance of weekly COVID-19 predictions, which are provided through the COVID-19 Forecast Hub UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence [47] for the United States and United States Territories. The EPIsembleVis tool is implemented using open-source web technologies and adaptive system design, rendering it interoperable with Elasticsearch and Kibana for automatically ingesting COVID-19 predictions from online repositories, and it is generalizable for analyzing worldwide projections from more epidemiological models.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Improved lipid analysis using a 2D-LC-MS system with a novel injection procedure

The aim of this study was to improve analysis of nonpolar lipidomics sample extracts using reversed phase (RP) chromatography. A 4/3/3 (v/v/v) mixture of methanol/methyl tert-butyl ether/chloroform (MeOH/MTBE/CHCl 3 , MMC) was chosen for sample extraction solvent based on its proven extraction capability for several lipid classes. To avoid carry over, loss of analytes and peak distortion the loops and all capillaries of the presented LC system were flushed and filled up with methanol until the analytical column. Here, the choice of methanol was due to its weak elution strength and being infinitely miscible with MMC and several other nonpolar solvents. This allowed injection of a 100 μl sample that was 20 μl nonpolar extraction solvent diluted fivefold with methanol. All lipids of 25 lipid classes were transferred quantitatively to the column head where the online dilution of methanol was carried out with aqueous eluent for focusing the lipid analytes. The weak elution strength of methanol prevented peak distortions. The consecutive reversed phase elution resulted in remarkably narrow peaks (full width at half maximum was 0.07–0.08 min typically) and enhanced sensitivity (limit of detection usually in sub nM region) because of increased sample injection volume and narrow peaks. Calibration and quality control samples made by diluting commercial lipid standards 200–50000 times confirmed the applicability of this approach both for targeted lipid quantification and for untargeted quantitative comparison of lipids from different sources.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data-driven models of nonautonomous systems

Nonautonomous dynamical systems are characterized by time-dependent inputs, which complicates the discovery of predictive models describing the spatiotemporal evolution of the state variables of quantities of interest from their temporal snapshots. When dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is used to infer a linear model, this difficulty manifests itself in the need to approximate the time-dependent Koopman operators. Our approach is to approximate the original nonautonomous system with a modified system derived via a local parameterization of the time-dependent inputs. The modified system comprises a sequence of local parametric systems, which are subsequently approximated by a parametric surrogate model using the DRIPS (dimension reduction and interpolation in parameter space) framework. The offline step of DRIPS relies on DMD to build a linear surrogate model, endowed with reduced-order bases for the observables mapped from training data. The online step interpolates on suitable manifolds to construct a sequence of iterative parametric surrogate models; the target/test parameter points on these manifolds are specified by a local parameterization of the test time-dependent inputs. Here, we use numerical experimentation to demonstrate the robustness of our method and compare its performance with that of deep neural networks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Goal-oriented real-time Bayesian inference for linear autonomous dynamical systems with application to digital twins for tsunami early warning

We present a goal-oriented framework for constructing digital twins with the following properties: (1) they employ discretizations of high-fidelity partial differential equation (PDE) models governed by autonomous dynamical systems, leading to large-scale forward problems; (2) they solve a linear inverse problem to assimilate observational data to infer uncertain model components followed by a forward prediction of the evolving dynamics; and (3) the entire end-to-end, data-to-inference-to-prediction computation is carried out without approximation and in real time through a Bayesian framework that rigorously accounts for uncertainties. Several challenges must be overcome to realize this framework, including the large scale of the forward problem, the high dimensionality of the parameter space, and for a class of problems including those we target, the slow decay of the singular values of the parameter-to-observable map. Here we introduce a methodology to overcome these challenges by exploiting the autonomous structure of the forward model to decompose the solution of the inverse problem into a one-time-only offline phase in which the PDE model is solved a limited number of times (equal to the number of sensors), and an online phase that maps well onto GPUs and computes the parameter inference and prediction of quantities of interest in real time, given observational data. Our ultimate goal is to apply this framework to construct digital twins for subduction zones, including Cascadia, to provide early warning for tsunamis generated by megathrust earthquakes. To this end, we demonstrate how our methodology can be used to employ seafloor pressure observations, along with the coupled acoustic–gravity wave equations, to infer the earthquake-induced spatiotemporal seafloor motion (discretized with $\mathscr{O}$ (10 9 ) parameters) and forward predict the tsunami propagation. We present results of an end-to-end inference, prediction, and uncertainty quantification for a representative test problem with $\mathscr{O}$ (10 8 ) inversion parameters for which goal-oriented Bayesian inference is accomplished exactly and in real time, that is, in a matter of seconds.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Regional surrogates for predictive control of digital twins

Digital twins of complex systems must involve a model that is fast, generalizable, and usable for real-time control. For example, high-fidelity nonlinear multiphysics simulations can capture laser-material interactions, but are too slow for optimization or model predictive control (MPC). Reduced-order models, used to accelerate such computation, frequently fail to generalize to unseen inputs or control states. We show theoretically that this failure is intrinsic, i.e., that a learned model is non-unique outside the sampled subspace when its low-rank structure arises from limited excitation and clustered eigenvalues, rather than from a user-imposed truncation alone. Motivated by this result, we propose a control-ready regional surrogate-construction framework for both autonomous and nonautonomous dynamics; it employs Koopman lifting to represent nonlinearities, while preserving spatial locality. We illustrate our approach by constructing a control-ready surrogate for the digital twin of a thermal component of additive-manufacturing process. Our surrogate, localized in space through a von Neumann stencil, is learned from noisy high-fidelity simulations that emulate thermal-camera images collected during the manufacturing. It is linear in thermo-physically augmented states so that MPC reduces to a convex quadratic program. The surrogate requires no online correction, generalizes to unseen scan paths and power profiles of the laser, and is more than three orders of magnitude faster than a finite-difference solver. Furthermore, when the MPC sequence computed on the digital twin is applied to this solver, closed-loop temperature regulation is recovered, showing that the surrogate preserves control-relevant input-output behavior.

Data-driven model↗
DOE OSTI2023

First principles optimization of plutonium electrorefining

Herein this work presents a means of controlling plutonium electrorefining at a maximum rate regardless of equipment setup through the derivation of power supply current and potential governing equations for normal and off-normal operations. The governing equations are demonstrated by electrorefining surrogate materials. A simple linear current sweeping method was used to determine the maximum electrorefining current for the surrogate system. This method can be used to develop autonomous process optimization, real-time online processing monitoring, and real-time process endpoint detection. Ultimately, this research provides the foundation to optimize the liquid metal electrorefining rate to decrease the time needed to the physical limit for the process.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

PythonFOAM: In-situ data analyses with OpenFOAM and Python

Here, we outline the development of a general-purpose Python-based data analysis tool for OpenFOAM. Our implementation relies on the construction of OpenFOAM applications that have bindings to data analysis libraries in Python. Double precision data in OpenFOAM is cast to a NumPy array using the NumPy C-API and Python modules may then be used for arbitrary data analysis and manipulation on flow-field information. We highlight how the proposed wrapper may be used for an in-situ online singular value decomposition (SVD) implemented in Python and accessed from the OpenFOAM solver PimpleFOAM. Here, 'in-situ' refers to a programming paradigm that allows for a concurrent computation of the data analysis on the same computational resources utilized for the partial differential equation solver. In addition, to demonstrate parallel deployments, we deploy a distributed SVD, which collects snapshot data across the ranks of a distributed simulation to compute the global left singular vectors. Crucially, both OpenFOAM and Python share the same message passing interface (MPI) communicator for this deployment which allows Python objects and functions to exchange NumPy arrays across ranks. Subsequently, we provide scaling assessments of this distributed SVD on multiple nodes of Intel Broadwell and KNL architectures for canonical test cases such as the large eddy simulations of a backward facing step and a channel flow at friction Reynolds number of 395. Finally, we demonstrate the deployment of a deep neural network for compressing the flow-field information using an autoencoder to demonstrate an ability to use state-of-the-art machine learning tools in the Python ecosystem.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Large Deviations Anomaly Detection (LAD) for collection of multivariate time series data: Applications to COVID-19 data

Time series anomaly detection is frequently used to identify extreme behaviors within a single time series. Identifying extreme trends in relation to a collection of other time series, on the other hand, is frequently of significant interest, such as in public health policy, social justice, and pandemic propagation. Using concepts from large deviations theory , we propose an algorithm that can scale to large collections of time series data. This paper expands on the LAD algorithm presented in Guggilam et al. (2022). The proposed algorithm is an online anomaly detection method for identifying anomalies in a collection of multivariate time series that takes advantage of the algorithm’s ability to scale to high-dimensional data. We show how the proposed Large Deviations Anomaly Detection (LAD) algorithm can be used to identify regions with anomalous trends in COVID-19 cases, deaths, biweekly growth rates, vaccinations, and fatality rates. Several of the observed anomalous trends are associated with regions that have demonstrated poor response to the COVID pandemic.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Physics-aware adaptive checkpointing with shadow systems for nonlinear PDE simulations

Large-scale simulations of nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) that exhibit strongly transient behavior and pattern-forming dynamics produce enormous amounts of data, which, even with modern storage systems, cannot be stored for later curation. Current I/O strategies either write dense time series of snapshots, which is often prohibitive in I/O and storage, or store a few checkpoints that enable restart but incur expensive recomputation cost and provide no control over post-restart error growth, especially when lossy compression is used. Moreover, most, if not all, existing strategies take no account of the actual physical state of the system. Here, we present a simple physics-aware I/O framework in which a low-cost shadow system adaptively triggers lossy checkpoints when the shadow system deviates from the fine-scale simulation. The shadow system can be a coarsened replica of the fine-scale simulation that evolves concurrently. This means that checkpoints are taken based on the physical state of the system: fewer checkpoints are triggered when the system is quiescent while more are taken when the system undergoes a rapid change. This type of behavior is observed in many systems such as Brusselator and FitzHugh–Nagumo. We illustrate that our framework maintains stable restarts, keeps fine-scale restart errors bounded by shadow errors, and reconstructs the time history with significantly lower error and storage than interpolating fixed-interval snapshots, with low-cost shadow replay and modest online synchronization overhead.

Gong, Qian [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000235704142)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Pyrolysis of high-density polyethylene: Degradation behaviors, kinetics, and product characteristics

Pyrolysis is a promising technology for converting plastic waste into valuable raw materials while offering a potential solution to the global plastic pollution crisis. In this study, the thermal pyrolysis of high-density polyethylene (HDPE) is investigated in a drop tube reactor under nearly isothermal conditions. The impact of reaction temperature and gas/volatile residence time on carbon conversion and product distribution is examined across a range of 500–900°C and 3.6–32.2s, respectively. Non-condensable gas products detected by online mass spectrometry are H 2 , CH 4 , C 2 H 4 , C 2 H 6 , C 3 H 6 , and C 3 H 8 . At elevated temperatures and prolonged residence time, H 2 yield reaches as high as 8.6 wt% of the initial HDPE mass due to intensified cracking reactions of C 2 –C 3 hydrocarbons and long-chain aliphatic compounds. Consequently, pyrolysis tars consist mainly of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) with 5–7 rings, accompanied by visible coke deposition within the reactor. HDPE decomposition to volatiles is an endothermic process and it is complete at a temperature between 492°C and 525°C, depending on the heating rate employed, from non-isothermal thermogravimetric analysis and differential scanning calorimetry (TGA-DSC) measurements. The thermal degradation of HDPE pellets follows the two-dimensional nucleation growth model for conversion levels up to 0.8 with an apparent activation energy of 259–270 kJ/mol and a pre-exponential factor of 4.83 × 10 17 –1.37 × 10 19 min -1 , determined from various isoconversional methods such as Flynn-Wall-Ozawa (FWO), Kissinger-Akahira-Sunose (KAS), and Starink, along with Criado's master plots. Further, these findings provide valuable insights into optimizing process parameters and refining reactor design for pyrolysis, which can be integrated with gasification and reforming processes to enhance hydrogen production on a larger scale.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Fast shared-memory streaming multilevel graph partitioning

In this report we show that a fast parallel graph partitioner can benefit many applications by reducing data transfers. The online methods for partitioning graphs have to be fast and they often rely on simple one-pass streaming algorithms, while the offline methods for partitioning graphs contain more involved algorithms and the most successful methods in this category belong to the multilevel approaches. In this work, we assess the feasibility of using streaming graph partitioning algorithms within the multilevel framework. Our end goal is to come up with a fast parallel offline multilevel partitioner that can produce competitive cutsize quality. We rely on a simple but fast and flexible streaming algorithm throughout the entire multilevel framework. This streaming algorithm serves multiple purposes in the partitioning process: a clustering algorithm in the coarsening, an effective algorithm for the initial partitioning, and a fast refinement algorithm in the uncoarsening. Its simple nature also lends itself easily for parallelization. The experiments on various graphs show that our approach is on the average up to 5.1x faster than the multi-threaded MeTiS, which comes at the expense of only 2x worse cutsize.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Investigating the interconnectedness of active transportation and public transit usage as a primer for Mobility-as-a-Service adoption and deployment

With the advent of Mobility-as-a-Service packages to reduce car usage and (by extension) greenhouse gas emissions, it is crucial that researchers and practitioners consider mutual determinants and outcomes that link the adoption of multiple alternative modes. This study therefore investigates the joint usage of active travel (walking, cycling, bike-sharing) and public transit (bus, rail) modes with respect to personal and situational contexts. Online survey data (n = 826) were collected across six Midwestern U.S. states using Amazon MTurk. Respondents indicated their average weekly usage of eight travel modes across three trip purposes so that multimodality could be assessed. Several psychological constructs were extracted via (a) the stages of change framework, used to indicate willingness to adopt new behavior, and (b) confirmatory factor analysis conducted on Likert scales rooted in theories of community, identity, norms, personality, and well-being. A multiple-indicators multiple-causes structural equation model is then employed to investigate the process of adopting a modality style that incorporates active and transit modes. The model confirms that compatible physical and social contexts, as well as navigational skills and openness to learning, are key primers of multimodalism. However, a path juncture stemming from neighborhood support for mobility innovation illustrates a potential polarity in outcomes between individuals and communities. In addition, the stage of active mobility adoption is linked to identity and norm activation, offering further guidance on what influences readiness for change. The seamless integration of mobility services is critical to matching the convenience and comfort of the private vehicle; understanding potential pathways to sustainable mobility, though, requires analyses and interventions that are driven by well-being outcomes and grounded in rigorous psychological frameworks. Here, the research findings offer practical guidance for identifying intervention opportunities to be linked with MaaS enrollment while demonstrating the need to illuminate how mobility might relate to social cohesion, identity expression, and various sources of satisfaction.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Electrolyte-driven interphase stabilization in high-voltage sodium-ion full cells

Sodium-ion batteries with a high-voltage O3-type layered oxide cathode paired with a hard carbon anode can offer high energy density; however, significant interfacial instabilities driven by electrode/electrolyte reactions limit a broader industrial adoption. Localized high concentration electrolytes (LHCEs) are a rational choice as they promote salt decomposition over solvent, forming stable, inorganic-rich electrode-electrolyte interphases (EEIs). We present here a comparison of high-voltage (4.2 V) hard carbon | NaNi 1/3 Fe 1/3 Mn 1/3 O 2 pouch cells in LHCEs and in a standard carbonate-based electrolyte by (i) examining the influence of diluent choice on the electrochemical performance of LHCEs and (ii) investigating how the electrolyte chemistry affects the composition and structure of EEIs formed. Importantly, LHCEs demonstrate superior electrochemical performance, achieving 37% higher capacity after 200 cycles (119 vs. 87 mA h g -1 ) compared to the carbonate-based electrolyte. The enhanced stabilization provided by LHCEs at the interface with high-voltage sodium layered oxide cathode is revealed by gas evolution measurements obtained through online electrochemical mass spectrometry (OEMS). Time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry paired with focused ion beam and advanced statistical analyses reveal that the superior performance of LHCE stems from a robust, thin cathode electrolyte interphase formed on the sodium layered oxide cathode and a homogeneous solid electrolyte interphase formation on the hard carbon anode. Furthermore, this study highlights the critical importance of electrolyte design in interphase stabilization, which plays a key role in advancing sodium-ion batteries toward commercial viability.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Development of a Reference Database for Beta-Delayed Neutron Emission

Beta-delayed neutron emission is important for nuclear structure and astrophysics as well as for reactor applications. Significant advances in nuclear experimental techniques in the past two decades have led to a wealth of new measurements that remain to be incorporated in the databases. In this work, we report on a coordinated effort to compile and evaluate all the available β-delayed neutron emission data. The different measurement techniques have been assessed and the data have been compared with semi-microscopic and microscopic-macroscopic models. The new microscopic database has been tested against aggregate total delayed neutron yields, time-dependent group parameters in 6-and 8-group re-presentation, and aggregate delayed neutron spectra. New recommendations of macroscopic delayed-neutron data for fissile materials of interest to applications are also presented. The new Reference Database for Beta-Delayed Neutron Emission Data is available online.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

An isotope harvesting beam blocker for the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory

Harvesting isotopes from beam stops and other activated materials at accelerator facilities is a promising source of environmentally, scientifically and socially important radionuclides. At the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams (FRIB), a multitude of short- and long-lived radionuclides will be collected in a synergistic manner by dumping unused beams into a flowing-water beam stop. Ongoing exploratory research at the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory (NSCL) with an analogous beam blocker aims towards obtaining the necessary radiochemical expertise for this endeavor. Herein we present a beam blocker and an isotope harvesting system which allows collection of a wide variety of aqueous and gaseous radionuclides. The water which flows through the beam blocker functions as an isotope production target and concurrently transports the newly formed radionuclides to collection sites. The system includes analytical instruments for online measurements of conductivity, dissolved oxygen, temperature, pressure and for detection of radiolytic products. To limit the levels of radiolytically produced hydrogen peroxide, a stainless-steel based degradation system was designed and implemented. Here, the suitability of the constructed system for the anticipated radionuclide harvesting project was demonstrated by offline tests and under irradiation with 140 MeV/u 48 Ca 20+ ions at the NSCL Coupled Cyclotron Facility.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

The CLAS12 Forward Time-of-Flight system

The Forward Time-of-Flight system for the large-acceptance CLAS12 spectrometer in Hall B at the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility is described. The system is positioned at distances in the range from 6.2 m to 7.2 m from the beam–target interaction point and spans laboratory polar angles from 5 deg → 45 deg and nearly the full azimuth. The system consists of 540 individual scintillation counters with double-ended readout that range in length from 17 cm to 426 cm of discrete widths of 6 cm, 15 cm, and 22 cm, and of discrete thicknesses of 5 cm and 6 cm. We see the effective counter time resolution for passing charged particles varies from 50 ps for the shortest counters at small angles to 200 ps for the longest counters at large angles. The detectors are part of the forward-angle particle identification system for CLAS12 during offline event reconstruction and are a component of the online data acquisition trigger to select final state event topologies with forward-going charged particles.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

Adaptive model tuning studies for non-invasive diagnostics and feedback control of plasma wakefield acceleration at FACET-II

Beam-driven plasma wakefield acceleration (PWFA) achieves the same energy gain in a single meter, for which conventional accelerators require several kilometers, however much work is still required to match the beam quality of conventional accelerators. The PWFA processes to be studied at the FACET-II facility will utilize extremely short (down to a few fs) high energy (10 GeV), high charge (few nC) electron and eventually positron bunches. The PWFA process is extremely sensitive to the detailed longitudinal current profiles of these bunches and it would be of great benefit to have precise measurement and control of these profiles. We present an adaptive model tuning technique for FACET-II to adaptively tune online models based on real time accelerator and beam data to continuously provide a non-invasive diagnostic which predicts the longitudinal phase space (LPS) of extremely short and highly compressed electron beams, which otherwise require destructive X-band transverse deflecting cavity (XTCAV)-based measurements. Based on simulation studies, our method has the potential for: (1). The development of a non-invasive longitudinal phase space diagnostic by adaptively tuning models based on non-invasive measurements such as energy spread spectra which could be recorded at all of the bunch compressors in the facility. (2). Utilize these diagnostic to perform model-independent feedback-based to achieve desired longitudinal phase space distributions. (3). Utilize the model-independent feedback approach to maximize energy gain while minimizing emittance growth and energy gain variance of the PWFA process by tuning accelerator parameters, while monitoring what longitudinal phase space the algorithm has found, information that will be useful for further analytical and simulation studies.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2022

A safeguards approach for molten salt reactors: Direct gamma-spectrometry of 233 U

Multidimensional gamma-spectrometry is a potential solution for safeguarding future thorium-fueled molten salt reactors (MSRs). A high-sensitivity system developed at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), the Advanced Radionuclide Gamma spectrOmeter (ARGO), has demonstrated direct 233 U assay in freshly irradiated fuel salt samples using a dual-detector configuration and the 97.1 keV gamma-emission. These measurements were made using 1.4 x 10 6 Bq of 233 U activity (at 1.4 x 10 8 fissions), at relatively high dead times (10.4%), and using short count durations of ~800 s. Other major emissions were also evaluated (42.5 keV, 54.7 keV, 146.4 keV), in additional to limited (1.96%) Compton suppression, but provided less consistent determination of the 233 U activity. Accurate 233 U measurement was also demonstrated using its four coincidence gamma-emissions (42.5 keV, 54.7 keV; 42.5 keV, 278.1 keV; 146.4 keV, 174.2 keV; 146.4 keV, 219 keV). Further improvements in coincidence measurements may be achievable with improvements in the detector configuration and nuclear data. Whilst this demonstration utilized the ARGO laboratory system, a similar dual-detector configuration could be utilized for online safeguards measurements.

Gamma-spectrometry↗