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At least 973 records · Page 54

Snow distribution patterns revisited: A physics-based and machine learning hybrid approach to snow distribution mapping in the sub-Arctic Supporting Data

Snow in the Arctic and sub-Arctic is highly variable at fine scales, with deep drifts and shallow scoured areas creating a complex pattern of snow on the landscape. This fine-scale variation in snow is driven primarily by landscape and vegetation properties. Some landscape features, such as river beds, will rapidly fill in with snow during the wintertime due to high winds, while shrubs will trap blowing snow, resulting in drifts. Meanwhile, snow will blow off of exposed areas, resulting in abnormally shallow snow. These complex interactions between wind, vegetation, and terrain are difficult to represent well with physically-based models, but machine learning techniques have shown promise in the past. Here, we propose a hybrid modeling approach, where we use machine learning derived snow pattern maps to inform SnowModel, a physically-based snow process model. We develop and test this technique at the Teller 27 Seward Peninsula NGEE-Arctic study site. This dataset includes 5 *.nc files of model inputs and outputs plus one user guide (*.pdf). We present the data we use to drive SnowModel (vegetation type, digital elevation model), the snow pattern maps used to inform SnowModel (Standardized Depth Values maps, Machine Learning Snow Distribution Pattern), and our machine learning, SnowModel, and Hybrid snow depth and snow water equivalent results. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Correlation study between vibrational environmental and failure rates of civil helicopter components

An investigation of two selected helicopter types, namely, the Models 206A/B and 212, is reported. An analysis of the available vibration and reliability data for these two helicopter types resulted in the selection of ten components located in five different areas of the helicopter and consisting primarily of instruments, electrical components, and other noncritical flight hardware. The potential for advanced technology in suppressing vibration in helicopters was assessed. The are still several unknowns concerning both the vibration environment and the reliability of helicopter noncritical flight components. Vibration data for the selected components were either insufficient or inappropriate. The maintenance data examined for the selected components were inappropriate due to variations in failure mode identification, inconsistent reporting, or inaccurate informaton.

Alaniz, O.↗

Materials Selection and Their Characteristics as Used in Rapid Prototyping

NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) conducted a program to evaluate six technologies used in Rapid Prototyping (RP) to produce investment casting patterns. In this paper, RP refers to the collective additive fabrication technologies known as Solid Free-Form Fabrication. Such technologies are being used with increasing frequency in manufacturing applications, due in part to their rapidly expanding capabilities to fabricate models from many types of materials. This study used ABS plastic, polycarbonate, TrueForm PM6, epoxy resin, paper, starch, and wax. The baseline model was a semi-complex prototype fuel pump housing, intended for use in the X-33 reusable launch vehicle. All models were shelled in a production- grade colloidal silica ceramic. Primary coats were zircon-base flour with zircon backup, while secondary coats were silica grains with a tabular alumina backup. Each model was shelled in an identical manner, using the same atmospheric conditions and drying times, as well as the same number of layers. Bake-outs and firing cycles were consistent with the leach ability of each material. Preheat and bath temperatures were also kept consistent. All molds were cast in vacuum using a hydrogen-resistant superalloy (NASA- 23) that was developed in-house. The final technical evaluation included detailed measurements of the model and the final casting, in order to determine any dimensional changes caused by different pattern materials, as well as documentation of all defects and any obvious refractory/model reactions. Prototype production costs were estimated for each method and taken into consideration during trade-off analysis.

Cooper, K.↗

Modeling Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections

Heliospheric models of Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) propagation and evolution provide an important insight into the dynamics of CMEa and are a valuable tool for interpreting interplanetary in situ observations. Moreover, they represent a virtual laboratory for exploring conditions and regions of space that are not conveniently or currently accessible by spacecraft. In this review I summarize recent advances in modeling the properties and evolution of CMEs in the solar wind. In particular, I will focus on: (1) the types of ICME models; (2) the boundary conditions that are imposed, (3) the role of the ambient solar wind; (4) predicting new phenomena; and (5) distinguishing between competing CME initiation mechanisms. I will conclude by discussing what topics will likely be important for models to address in the future.

Riley, Pete↗

On the influence of over-parameterization in manifold based surrogates and deep neural operators

Constructing accurate and generalizable approximators (surrogate models) for complex physico-chemical processes exhibiting highly non-smooth dynamics is challenging. The main question is what type of surrogate models we should construct and should these models be under-parameterized or over-parameterized. In this work, we propose new developments and perform comparisons for two promising approaches: manifold-based polynomial chaos expansion (m-PCE) and the deep neural operator (DeepONet), and we examine the effect of over-parameterization on generalization. While m-PCE enables the construction of a mapping by first identifying low-dimensional embeddings of the input functions, parameters, and quantities of interest (QoIs), a neural operator learns the nonlinear mapping via the use of deep neural networks. Here, we demonstrate the performance of these methods in terms of generalization accuracy by solving the 2D time-dependent Brusselator reaction-diffusion system with uncertainty sources, modeling an autocatalytic chemical reaction between two species. We first propose an extension of the m-PCE by constructing a mapping between latent spaces formed by two separate embeddings of the input functions and the output QoIs. To further enhance the accuracy of the DeepONet, we introduce weight self-adaptivity in the loss function. We demonstrate that the performance of m-PCE and DeepONet is comparable for cases of relatively smooth input-output mappings. However, when highly non-smooth dynamics is considered, DeepONet shows higher approximation accuracy. We also find that for m-PCE, modest over-parameterization leads to better generalization, both within and outside of distribution, whereas aggressive over-parameterization leads to over-fitting. In contrast, an even highly over-parameterized DeepONet leads to better generalization for both smooth and non-smooth dynamics. Furthermore, we compare the performance of the above models with another recently proposed operator learning model, the Fourier Neural Operator, and show that its over-parameterization also leads to better generalization. Taken together, our studies show that m-PCE can provide very good accuracy at very low training cost, whereas a highly over-parameterized DeepONet can provide better accuracy and robustness to noise but at higher training cost. In both methods, the inference cost is negligible.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A test of a cumulus parameterization model using the GATE data

Two parametric, ensemble cloud models were tested with data obtained during GATE (GARP Atlantic Tropical Experiment) (1974). The first model is an adaption of the Arakawa-Schubert scheme which uses an entraining jet to represent individual cumulus cloud types. The second model consists of an ensemble of cylindrical cells to represent the convective cloud field.

Rodenhuis, D.↗

Changes of solar luminosity and radius following secular perturbations in the convective envelope

The effect on solar models of several types of slow, spherically symmetric perturbations, acting at various depths within the convective envelope, are calculated. Results are presented on perturbations of the efficiency of convective energy transport (alpha perturbations) and on changes in the nongas component of pressure (beta perturbations). The effects of magnetic fields concentrated near the interface between the radiative core and the convective envelope are explored. It is found that the response and relaxation diagnostics depend both on the type of perturbation and on the depth at which the perturbation is applied. In addition to the general depth dependence, model behavior is sensitive to the presence of major ionization zones near the perturbed layer. The time dependence of the solar model behavior is characterized by an initial hydrostatic reaction followed by a thermal readjustment on a time scale of about 100 years, and finally relaxation to a new thermal equilibrium on a Kelvin time scale.

Endal, A. S.↗

Model of oval and polar cap arc configurations

A model of oval and polar cap arc configurations has been formulated by combining the theory of antiparallel magnetic merging and theories of the evening discrete arc and of the morningside arc systems. Aside from incorporating the verified and yet-to-be-verified predictions of the individual component theories this unified model leads to definite predictions of not only arc configurations but also characteristics of the plasmas that produce the various types of arcs. The model predicts two types of polar cap arcs characterized by the plasma sources: the magnetosheath arc and the plasma sheet arc. Their occurrence should be governed by the By component of the interplanetary magnetic field, and the same type should not occur simultaneously in both hemispheres.

Chiu, Y. T.↗

Integrated performance and reliability specification for digital avionics systems

This paper describes an automated tool for performance and reliability assessment of digital avionics systems, called the Automated Design Tool Set (ADTS). ADTS is based on an integrated approach to design assessment that unifies traditional performance and reliability views of system designs, and that addresses interdependencies between performance and reliability behavior via exchange of parameters and result between mathematical models of each type. A multi-layer tool set architecture has been developed for ADTS that separates the concerns of system specification, model generation, and model solution. Performance and reliability models are generated automatically as a function of candidate system designs, and model results are expressed within the system specification. The layered approach helps deal with the inherent complexity of the design assessment process, and preserves long-term flexibility to accommodate a wide range of models and solution techniques within the tool set structure. ADTS research and development to date has focused on development of a language for specification of system designs as a basis for performance and reliability evaluation. A model generation and solution framework has also been developed for ADTS, that will ultimately encompass an integrated set of analytic and simulated based techniques for performance, reliability, and combined design assessment.

Brehm, Eric W.↗

Concept for coring from a low-mass rover

Future Mars missions, such as the Mars Sample Return (MSR) mission, may benefit from core sample acquisition from a low-mass rover where the rover cannot be assumed to be stationary during a coring operation. Manipulation from Mars rovers is currently done under the assumption that the rover acts as a stationary, stable platform for the arm. An MSR mission scenario with a low-mass rover has been developed and the technology needs have been investigated. Models for alternative types of coring tools and tool-environment interaction have been developed and input along with wheel-soil interaction models into the Stanford Simulation & Active Interfaces (SAI) simulation environment to enable simulation of coring operations from a rover. Coring tests using commercial coring tools indicate that the quality of the core is a critical criterion in the system design. Current results of the models, simulation, and coring tests are provided.

rovers↗

Do supernovae of type 1 paly a role in cosmic-ray production?

A model of cosmic-ray origin is suggested which aims to account for some salient features of the composition. Relative to solar abundances, the Galactic cosmic rays (GCR) are deficient in hydrogen and helim (H and He) by an order of magnitude when the two compositions are normalized at iron. Our conjectural model implicates supernovae of Type I (SN-I) as sources of some of the GCR. SN-I occur approximately as often as SN-II, through their genesis is thought to be different. Recent studies of nucleosynthesis in SN-I based on accreting white dwarfs, find that the elements from Si to Fe are produced copiously. On the other hand, SN-I are virtually devoid of hydrogen, and upper limits deduced for He are low. If SN-I contribute significantly to the pool of GCR by injecting energetic particles into the interstellar medium (ISM), then this could explain why the resulting GCR is relatively deficient in H and He. A test of the model is proposed, and difficulties are discussed.

Shapiro, M. M.↗

An optimum organizational structure for a large earth-orbiting multidisciplinary Space Base

The purpose of this exploratory study was to identify an optimum hypothetical organizational structure for a large earth-orbiting multidisciplinary research and applications (R&A) Space Base manned by a mixed crew of technologists. Since such a facility does not presently exist, in situ empirical testing was not possible. Study activity was, therefore, concerned with the identification of a desired organizational structural model rather than the empirical testing of it. The essential finding of this research was that a four-level project type 'total matrix' model will optimize the efficiency and effectiveness of Space Base technologists.

Ragusa, J. M.↗

Simplified modeling for wind turbine modal analysis using NASTRAN

A detailed finite element model of the MOD-0 wind turbine tower was reduced to six beam elements (stick model). The method used to calculate the properties of the beam elements in the stick model was explained and the accuracy of the stick model in predicting natural frequencies and mode shapes was examined. Computer times were compared and several applications where the stick model was used are described. From results obtained from the MOD-0 tower it is concluded that a tower of this type can be modeled as a simple cantilever beam for modal analysis. However, this model should be limited to tower torsional modes and tower bending modes where the mode shape resembles a cantilever beam first bending mode shape.

Sullivan, T. L.↗

A methodology for selecting optimum organizations for space communities

This paper suggests that a methodology exists for selecting optimum organizations for future space communities of various sizes and purposes. Results of an exploratory study to identify an optimum hypothetical organizational structure for a large earth-orbiting multidisciplinary research and applications (R&A) Space Base manned by a mixed crew of technologists are presented. Since such a facility does not presently exist, in situ empirical testing was not possible. Study activity was, therefore, concerned with the identification of a desired organizational structural model rather than the empirical testing of it. The principal finding of this research was that a four-level project type 'total matrix' model will optimize the effectiveness of Space Base technologists. An overall conclusion which can be reached from the research is that application of this methodology, or portions of it, may provide planning insights for the formal organizations which will be needed during the Space Industrialization Age.

Ragusa, J. M.↗

Automata network models of galaxy evolution

Two ideas appear frequently in theories of star formation and galaxy evolution: (1) star formation is nonlocally excitatory, stimulating star formation in neighboring regions by propagation of a dense fragmenting shell or the compression of preexisting clouds; and (2) star formation is nonlocally inhibitory, making H2 regions and explosions which can create low-density and/or high temperature regions and increase the macroscopic velocity dispersion of the cloudy gas. Since it is not possible, given the present state of hydrodynamic modeling, to estimate whether one of these effects greatly dominates the other, it is of interest to investigate the predicted spatial pattern of star formation and its temporal behavior in simple models which incorporate both effects in a controlled manner. The present work presents preliminary results of such a study which is based on lattice galaxy models with various types of nonlocal inhibitory and excitatory couplings of the local SFR to the gas density, temperature, and velocity field meant to model a number of theoretical suggestions.

Chappell, David↗

NASA Trapezoidal Wing Computations Including Transition and Advanced Turbulence Modeling

Flow about the NASA Trapezoidal Wing is computed with several turbulence models by using grids from the first High Lift Prediction Workshop in an effort to advance understanding of computational fluid dynamics modeling for this type of flowfield. Transition is accounted for in many of the computations. In particular, a recently-developed 4-equation transition model is utilized and works well overall. Accounting for transition tends to increase lift and decrease moment, which improves the agreement with experiment. Upper surface flap separation is reduced, and agreement with experimental surface pressures and velocity profiles is improved. The predicted shape of wakes from upstream elements is strongly influenced by grid resolution in regions above the main and flap elements. Turbulence model enhancements to account for rotation and curvature have the general effect of increasing lift and improving the resolution of the wing tip vortex as it convects downstream. However, none of the models improve the prediction of surface pressures near the wing tip, where more grid resolution is needed.

Rumsey, C. L.↗

Type-I 2HDM under the Higgs and electroweak precision measurements

We explore the extent to which future precision measurements of the Standard Model (SM) observables at the proposed Z -factories and Higgs factories may have impacts on new physics beyond the Standard Model, as illustrated by studying the Type-I Two-Higgs-doublet model (Type-I 2HDM). We include the contributions from the heavy Higgs bosons at the tree-level and at the one-loop level in a full model-parameter space. While only small tan β region is strongly constrained at tree level, the large tan β region gets constrained at loop level due to tan β enhanced tri-Higgs couplings. We perform a multiple variable χ 2 fit with non-alignment and non-degenerate masses. We find that the allowed parameter ranges could be tightly constrained by the future Higgs precision measurements, especially for small and large values of tan β . Indirect limits on the masses of heavy Higgs bosons can be obtained, which can be complementary to the direct searches of the heavy Higgs bosons at hadron colliders. We also find that the expected accuracies at the Z -pole and at a Higgs factory are quite complementary in constraining mass splittings of heavy Higgs bosons. The typical results are | cos( β - α ) | < 0 . 05 , | Δ m Φ | < 200 GeV, and tan β ≳ 0 . 3. The reaches from CEPC, Fcc-ee and ILC are also compared, for both Higgs and Z -pole precision measurements. Comparing to the Type-II 2HDM, the 95% C.L. allowed range of cos( β - α ) is larger, especially for large values of tan β .

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗