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At least 973 records · Page 54

Three-Dimensional Trajectory Design for Reducing Climate Impact of Trans-Atlantic Flights

The impact of aircraft emissions and contrails on the environment adds an additional aspect to aircraft trajectory optimization. This study developed a three-dimensional trajectory optimization algorithm for trans-Atlantic flights in cruise to generate aircraft trajectories that minimize environmental impacts due to CO2 emissions and contrails in the presence of winds. The climate-optimal trajectory is developed using dynamic programming that adjusts a wind-optimal aircraft heading while determining the optimal locations, altitudes and times for en-route step climbs. Flying wind-optimal routes minimize aircraft travel time, fuel burn and associated emissions during cruise while adjusting aircraft heading and en-route step climbs at the optimal locations and times minimize climate impact of contrails. This capability integrates an air traffic management simulation with aircraft fuel burn and emissions models, contrail formation and dispersion models, simplified climate response models, and a common climate metric. A study was conducted to evaluate the potential cost and benefits of flying climate-optimal routes in North Atlantic Airspace and their impacts to the Organized Track System design based on the trans-Atlantic air traffic during a day, July 12, 2012. Results show eastbound flights achieved a larger environmental benefit with less additional fuel burn than westbound flights that operated in strong headwinds that caused more additional fuel burn and aircraft emissions to avoid traversing contrails favorable regions.

climate impact of aviation↗

Data Science for Weather Impacts on Crop Yield

Private businesses in sectors, such as food, energy, and retail, as well as public sector and federal agencies are interested in the predictive understanding of weather impacts on crop yield, which is an important aspect of food security. Scientific literature has mainly examined how crop yield is impacted by growing season-averaged weather indices. Although a few studies did consider weather extremes in their analysis, their scope was either restricted to measuring their conditional relationship with yield or the extreme event types considered were limited. Selection of regression models, whether the more commonly used linear approaches or nonlinear methods, have not been appropriately justified in this context. Here, we develop data-driven methods to examine two inter-related hypotheses for improved scientific understanding and enhanced predictive modeling. The first hypothesis, that extreme weather indices have a statistically significant information content in them is found to be valid based on linear and nonlinear methods for pairwise dependence. The second hypothesis, examines the value addition of nonlinear regression methods, and suggests that linear approaches may not alone be adequate. The results of this study can inform scientific understanding, generation and relevance of indices and end-to-end risk assessment systems in the context of climate impacts on crop yield. An immediate application may be in the context of NASA Earth Exchange (NEX) which facilitates the generation and dissemination of impacts relevant weather data and indices using a multitude of satellite-derived data sets and model outputs.

Data mining, food security, weather impacts↗

Exploratory Experiments to Probe the Effect of Bulk Density and Porosity on The Morphology and Ejecta Kinematics of Impact Craters

The morphometry of relatively small impact craters are influenced by the physical properties of the target. To investigate the control of bulk density and porosity on the crater-formation processing the gravity regime, we conducted a series of impact experiments, varying each these target parameters while holding the other constant. Three different sands were used to construct cohesionless targets: quartz (0.4-0.8 mm), garnet (0.425-1.0 mm), and alumina (0.297-0.71mm), representing a range of intrinsic grain densities from 2.65 to 4.02 g cm-3. High-porosity targets were constructed by carefully pouring the sand into the center of a cylindrical PVC target bucket (inner diameter 26.2 cm, height 12 cm) and allowing it to fill the bucket at the angle of repose before being leveled flat at the top of the bucket. Low-porosity targets were obtained by pluviation of the granular material through a 1 mm sieve that was set directly above the target bucket. With the disparate intrinsic densities of the sand in combination with the variations of the packing technique, we attained differences in the bulk-target density of up to 32%while keeping porosity constant. The impact experiments were conducted with the vertical gun in the Experimental Impact Laboratory at NASA Johnson Space Center; using 3/16” (4.76 mm) diameter aluminum projectiles launched at1.55 ± 0.03 km s-1. The ejecta were observed using the laser-based Ejection Velocity Measurement System, providing data on launch positions and velocities of ejected particles. Submillimeter topographic data of the resulting craters were collected after each experiment with a NextEngine 3D scanner. Regardless of target material or density, all craters exhibited a simple bowl shape, but a trend of increasing depth-diameter ratio with increasing target porosity is observed across the entire experimental suite. Despite these morphometric differences, ejecta launch angles and speeds remain remarkably similar amongst all of the target configurations.

impact cratering↗

A Brief Overview of the Effects of Impact Damage to Rocket Motor Cases

This Technical Memorandum (TM) presents pertinent results from past experimental work concerning impact damage to composite rocket motor cases. A rocket motor case in this TM refers to filament-wound pressure vessels of a substantial size intended to be used for launch vehicles, such as the new Space Launch System (SLS) rocket. In the early 1980s, as carbon fiber composites were becoming increasingly used on aircraft, concerns about the effects of foreign object impact damage grew, since the compressive strength properties of these composites could be severely affected by impact damage. The tensile properties were not as affected by foreign object impact damage which is fortunate for rocket motor cases as they are driven by tensile loads (burst strength). While great improvements to both carbon fibers and resins have resulted in far superior toughness values compared to the early generation of carbon/epoxy systems, the stigma of composite rocket motor cases being easily damaged and the burst strength compromised persists.

impact damage↗

Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales

The extent and impact of climate‐related extreme events depend on the underlying meteorological, hydrological, or climatological drivers as well as on human factors such as land use or population density. Here we quantify the pure effect of historical and future climate change on the exposure of land and population to extreme climate impact events using an unprecedentedly large ensemble of harmonized climate impact simulations from the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project phase 2b. Our results indicate that global warming has already more than doubled both the global land area and the global population annually exposed to all six categories of extreme events considered: river floods, tropical cyclones, crop failure, wildfires, droughts, and heatwaves. Global warming of 2°C relative to preindustrial conditions is projected to lead to a more than five‐fold increase in cross‐category aggregate exposure globally. Changes in exposure are unevenly distributed, with tropical and subtropical regions facing larger increases than higher latitudes. The largest increases in overall exposure are projected for the population of South Asia.

climate‐related extreme events↗

Economic incentives modify agricultural impacts of nuclear war

A nuclear war using less than 1% of the current global nuclear arsenal, which would inject 5 Tg of soot into the stratosphere, could produce climate change unprecedented in recorded human history and significant impacts on agricultural productivity and the economy. These effects would be most severe for the first five years after the nuclear war and may last for more than a decade. This paper calculates how food availability would change by employing the Environmental Impact and Sustainability Applied General Equilibrium model. Under a robust world trading system, global food availability would drop by a few percentage points. If the war would destabilize trade, it would magnify by several times the negative ramifications of land productivity shocks on food availability. If exporting countries redirect production to domestic consumption at the expense of importing countries, it would lead to the destabilization of international trade. The analysis suggests that economic models aiming to inform policymakers require both economic behavior analysis and biophysical drivers. Policy lessons derived from a crop model can be significantly nuanced when coupled with economic feedback derived from economic models. Through the impact on yield, farmers could shift production among crops and reallocate land use to maximize profits, showing the importance of general equilibrium effects such as product and input substitution and international trade. Although the global impact on corn and soybean production would be significant when just considering crop production, it could be considerably smaller under the economic model. However, this would be at the expense of other sectors, including livestock. In addition, the costs borne from disruptions to climate would vary significantly across regions, with significant adverse effects in high latitude regions. The severity of the shocks in the high-latitude areas would marginalize the farmers' product and input substitution ability.

Nuclear war↗

Compound Heat and Moisture Extreme Impacts on Global Crop Yields Under Climate Change

Extreme heat, drought and moisture excess are increasingly co-occurring within a single growing season, impacting crop yields in global breadbasket regions. In this Review, we synthesize understanding of compound heat and moisture extremes, their impacts on global crop yields and implications for adaptation. Heat and moisture extremes and their impacts become compounded through crop-physiological interactions, heat–moisture couplings in the climate system and crop–atmosphere interactions. Since around 2000, these compound extremes, and hot droughts in particular, have been linked to especially poor harvests (up to 30% yield losses) in regions such as India, Ethiopia, the USA, Europe and Russia. However, in some cases, combinations of crop stresses might generate compensating effects. Compound extremes are projected to increase in frequency and amplitude in the future, but, owing to the biophysical interdependence among temperature, water and crop physiology, the net yield effects of such future compound extremes remain uncertain. Accordingly, compound extremes will necessitate comprehensive agricultural adaptation strategies geared towards multi-stress resilience, as adaptations that work for single climate stresses could be maladaptive under combined stresses. An integrated understanding of heat and water in soil–plant–atmosphere dynamics is urgently needed to understand risks and suitably adapt cropping systems to compounding climate impacts.

Agroecology↗

Characterization of Low-Velocity Impact Damage in Thermoplastic Laminated Composites

The impact damage response of two thermoplastic material systems were compared over a range of impact energies. Eight-inch-square impact specimens with a 24-ply quasi-isotropic layup were manufactured from TC1225 LMPAEK T700G from Toray Industries and APC AS4D/PEKK-FC from Solvay. The effect of the degree of crystallinity (DOC) on the damage response was also investigated using a third set of specimens from the Toray material manufactured with reduced crystallinity. Using a combination of data obtained from X-ray computed tomography (CT) scans and ultrasonic testing (UT), detailed damage maps were created for every interface and ply for selected specimens. Using these damage maps, the delamination size, shape, and area were evaluated at each interface. The presence of fractured fibers was also identified on each ply. The LMPAEK material was found to have fewer and smaller delaminations than the PEKK specimens for impacts at the same energy. However, the LMPAEK specimens contained a larger number of fiber breaks. A similar trend was observed when comparing the baseline LMPAEK specimens with the low-crystallinity LMPAEK specimens. The low-crystallinity specimens had very little delamination but had a large number of plies with fiber breaks. In addition, the LMPAEK specimens often contained lines of fiber fractures in near-surface plies emanating from the contact region that were not present in the PEKK specimens.

Composite Materials↗

Computational Fluid Dynamics Models of the NASA White Sands Test Facility Particle Impact Test Nozzles

The particle impact ignition mechanism is considered to be the most effective means for igniting metals in gaseous oxygen environments and is a concern for every oxygen system. For this reason, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) commits a large amount of resources attempting to understand and defend against this phenomenon. The most practical means of accomplishing this is through extensive of testing. To this end, over the years NASA has developed and built a facility and various apparatuses to test material or component vulnerability to a particle impact ignition. In testing materials, NASA uses sub-sonic and supersonic nozzles to replicate the conditions that a material is expected to experience in service. However, challenges include obtaining an understanding of the gas dynamics and of the particle behavior through and up to the point of impact at the material under test. One means of addressing these challenges is the use of computational fluid dynamics (CFD). If a CFD model can be built and validated, the model can then be used to confidently interrogate changes to inlet conditions and particle geometries, as well as changes to nozzle geometries to better simulate a material’s in-situ conditions and greatly reduce or eliminate trial-and-error approaches in testing. This paper will show NASA’s approach to and results of using CFD to better understand their particle impact nozzles.

Computational Fluid Dynamics↗

The Importance of Internal Climate Variability in Climate Impact Projections

Uncertainty in climate projections is driven by three components: scenario uncertainty, intermodel uncertainty, and internal variability. Although socioeconomic climate impact studies increasingly take into account the first two components, little attention has been paid to the role of internal variability, although underestimating this uncertainty may lead to underestimating the socioeconomic costs of climate change. Using large ensembles from seven coupled general circulation models with a total of 414 model runs, we partition the climate uncertainty in classic dose–response models relating county-level corn yield, mortality, and per-capita gross domestic product to temperature in the continental United States. The partitioning of uncertainty depends on the time frame of projection, the impact model, and the geographic region. Internal variability represents more than 50% of the total climate uncertainty in certain projections, including mortality projections for the early 21st century, although its relative influence decreases over time. We recommend including uncertainty due to internal variability for many projections of temperature-driven impacts, including early-century and midcentury projections, projections in regions with high internal variability such as the Upper Midwest United States, and impacts driven by nonlinear relationships.

climate impacts↗

Characterization of Low-Velocity Impact Damage in Thermoplastic Laminated Composites

The impact damage response of two thermoplastic material systems were compared over a range of impact energies. Eight-inch-square impact specimens with a 24-ply quasi-isotropic layup were manufactured from TC1225 LMPAEK T700G from Toray Industries and APC AS4D/PEKK-FC from Solvay. The effect of the degree of crystallinity (DOC) on the damage response was also investigated using a third set of specimens from the Toray material manufactured with reduced crystallinity. Using a combination of data obtained from X-ray computed tomography (CT) scans and ultrasonic testing (UT), detailed damage maps were created for every interface and ply for selected specimens. Using these damage maps, the delamination size, shape, and area were evaluated at each interface. The presence of fractured fibers was also identified on each ply. The LMPAEK material was found to have fewer and smaller delaminations than the PEKK specimens for impacts at the same energy. However, the LMPAEK specimens contained a larger number of fiber breaks. A similar trend was observed when comparing the baseline LMPAEK specimens with the low-crystallinity LMPAEK specimens. The low-crystallinity specimens had very little delamination but had a large number of plies with fiber breaks. In addition, the LMPAEK specimens often contained lines of fiber fractures in near-surface plies emanating from the contact region that were not present in the PEKK specimens.

Composite Materials↗

Microstructural Changes and Pb Mobility During the Zircon to Reidite Transformation: Implications for Planetary Impact Chronology

Impact events modify and leave behind a complex history of rock metamorphism on terrestrial planets. Evidence for an impact event may be recorded in physical changes to minerals, such as mineral deformation and formation of high P-T polymorphs, but also in the form of chemical fingerprints, such as enhanced elemental diffusion and isotopic mixing. Here we explore laboratory shock-induced physical and chemical changes to zircon and feldspar, the former of which is of interest because its trace elements abundances and isotope ratios are used extensively in geochemistry and geochronology. To this end, a granular mixture of Bishop Tuff sanidine and Kuehl Lake zircon, both with well characterized Pb isotope compositions, was prepared and then shocked via a flat plate accelerator. The peak pressure of the experiment, as calculated by the impedance matching method, was ~24 GPa although a broader range of P-T conditions is anticipated due to starting sample porosity. Unshocked and shocked materials were characterized via scanning electron microscopy (SEM), electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD), and Raman spectroscopy. These methods show that the starting zircon material had abundant metamict regions, and the conversion of the feldspar to glass in the post-shock material. Analyses of the shocked product also yielded multiple occurrences of the high-pressure ZrSiO 4 polymorph reidite, with some domains up to 300 μm across. The possibility of U-Pb system disturbance was evaluated via laser ablation-inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS) and secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS). The isotopic data reveal that disturbance of the U-Pb geochronometer in the reidite was minimal (<2% for the main U-Pb geochronometers). To better constrain the P-T conditions during the shock experiment, we complement impedance matching pressure calculations with iSALE2D impact simulations. The simulated results yield a range of P-T conditions experienced during the experiment and show that much of the sample may have reached >30 GPa, which is consistent with formation of reidite. In the recovered shocked material, we identified lamellae of reidite, some of which interlock with zircon lamellae. Reidite {112} twins were identified, which we interpret to have formed to reduce stress between the crystal structure of the host zircon and reidite. These two findings support the interpretation that shear transformation enabled the transition of zircon to reidite. The size and presence of reidite found here indicate that this phase is probably common in impact-shocked crustal rocks that experienced ~25 to ~35 GPa, especially when the target material has porosity. Additionally, shock loading of the zircon and transformation to reidite at these pressures in porous materials is unlikely to significantly disturb the U-Pb system in zircon and that the reidite inherits the primary U and Pb elemental and isotopic ratios from the zircon.

Bishop Tuff↗

Particle Impact Simulation and Ignition Prediction

An experimentally calibrated tool is needed to predict if a system is susceptible to failure by particle impact ignition (PI) based on use conditions, materials, and flow geometry. This tool will accelerate new components, evaluating existing hardware, and help disposition anomalies. Conduct particle impact testing with in-situ diagnostics and complementary simulations on subset of key engineering materials (IN718, M400, 316L, 6061, Ti64, Zr) to develop a proof-of-concept predictive tool for assessing the risk of PI for idealized geometries (spherical particles) in realistic environments. Assess particle/target interactions (coefficient of restitution, ignition, kindling) using instrumented particle impact rigs while systematically varying key parameters (materials, particle size, environment, target configuration). Determine key field variables (temperature, strain, stress) in particle impacts using Multiphysics finite element and hydrocode simulations validated through comparison with experimental measurements and observations. Synthesize experiments and simulations into constitutive models for PI that can be integrated with existing computational fluid dynamics (CFD) and Debris Transport Analysis (DTA) tools in future efforts

particle impact↗

Impact Modification of Basalt, Gabbro, Serpentine – Effects on Spectral Properties

Powdered samples of Sheep Canyon basalt (Alpine, TX), Bushveldt gabbro, and serpentine (provenance unknown) were impacted at different speeds to explore spectral changes induced by the impact process. Understanding these changes enables identification and interpretation of remotely sampled rocky body surfaces. Post-impact materials were examined in the ultraviolet to visible (UV-Vis) to search for changes in spectral characteristics. Table 1 summarizes the samples and impact speeds examined.

Impact↗

Trade-Offs of Simplified Versus Comprehensive Representation of Mineralogy When Studying Dust Impacts on Earth’s Climate Systems

The intensity and direction of dust impacts on Earth’s climate systems depend on mineral composition. For example, the presence or absence of a few percent of iron oxides in dust will determine if dust is warming or cooling the atmosphere. Similarly, feldspar will enhance ice cloud formation, while acid gases in the atmosphere will react on the surface of dust calcite limiting acid rain. Still, most climate models use a simplified representation of dust mineralogy. They assume a fixed composition at emission which stays invariant during transport and removal. Such simplification assumes spatially and temporally constant physical and chemical properties of dust, and appears to provide satisfactory results when comparing some properties with observations. The trade-off is their lack of spatial gradients, which will fail to induce circulation, cloud and precipitation changes. The two reasons to omit mineral variations are the uncertainty of current atlases of soil mineral composition in arid regions, and, more practically, an improved runtime efficiency. The former reason is losing ground with the recent launch (July 2022) of a dedicated mission (NASA/JPL EMIT) to retrieve global soil mineralogy of dust sources at high spatial resolution. While the EMIT science team is finalizing a satisfactory global map of mineral composition of dust sources, we analyzed the interaction of dust mineralogy on radiation and its impact on the fast temperature response using different representations of mineral composition from detailed and spatially varying to simplified and globally uniform, assuming different hematite contents and methods to calculate optical properties. Our results show that resolving dust mineralogy reduces dust absorption, and results in improved agreement with observation-based single scattering albedo (SSA), radiative fluxes from CERES (the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System), and land surface temperature from CRU (Climatic Research Unit), compared to the baseline bulk dust model version. It also results in distinct radiative impacts on Earth’s climate over North Africa. From our 19-year simulation, we will show that it leads to a reduction of over 50% in net downward radiation at top of atmosphere (TOA) across the Sahara and an approximately 20% reduction over the Sahel. We will explain how the surface temperature response affects the monsoon flow from the Gulf of Guinea. Interestingly, we find similar results by simply fixing the hematite content of dust to a globally uniform value of 0.9% by volume. We will discuss the underlying reasons for such results and show that they may be unrelated to the distribution of soil mineralogy. Still, an accurate representation of soil mineralogy is necessary to better understand dust impacts on the Earth’s climate systems.

dust impacts↗

Impact of Technology and Mission Variations on Aircraft Designed for Advanced Air Mobiity

NASA is conducting investigations in Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) aircraft and operations, including the development of Urban Air Mobility (UAM) aircraft designs that can be used to focus and guide research activities in support of AAM. This report is an investigation of the impact of technology and mission variations on several of the NASA AAM concept aircraft: quadrotor, quiet single main rotor, side-by-side, and tiltrotor configurations, with turboshaft and electric propulsion variants for each. First, the mission and aircraft models of the baseline designs were reassessed and updated, including rotor geometry optimization, update of the rotor performance models, and disk loading optimization. For these eight designs, technology and mission excursions were performed. Relative to the calibration cases that can be considered examples of good design practice, the impact of the weight technology factors is significant. For the electric aircraft, there is a very large impact of battery specific energy (Wh/kg), and correspondingly a very large impact of mission range. The vision of Advanced Air Mobility is driven by missions that will enable new transportation capabilities. Hence it is appropriate to compare Concept Vehicles of different lift and propulsive architectures, all designed to accomplish the same UAM mission. It is also useful however to consider specific missions that can take advantage of the strengths of individual aircraft configurations. So alternate designs were also developed for the concept vehicles: for turboshaft aircraft, longer unrefueled range, including faster cruise speed for the tiltrotor; for electric aircraft, shorter range and more realistic battery weight.

Technology↗

Climate Impacts on Global Agriculture Emerge Earlier in New Generation of Climate and Crop Models

Potential climate-related impacts on future crop yield are a major societal concern. Previous projections of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project’s Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 identified substantial climate impacts on all major crops, but associated uncertainties were substantial. Here we report new twenty-first-century projections using ensembles of latest-generation crop and climate models. Results suggest markedly more pessimistic yield responses for maize, soybean and rice compared to the original ensemble. Mean end-of-century maize productivity is shifted from +5% to −6% (SSP126) and from +1% to −24% (SSP585)—explained by warmer climate projections and improved crop model sensitivities. In contrast, wheat shows stronger gains (+9% shifted to +18%, SSP585), linked to higher CO 2 concentrations and expanded high-latitude gains. The ‘emergence’ of climate impacts consistently occurs earlier in the new projections—before 2040 for several main producing regions. While future yield estimates remain uncertain, these results suggest that major breadbasket regions will face distinct anthropogenic climatic risks sooner than previously anticipated.

crop model↗

Determination of impact sensitivity of materials at high pressures

Compact device is used to determine impact sensitivity of material in static, high pressure, gaseous environment. It can also be instrumented to monitor and record pressure, temperature, and striker impact force. Device is used in conjunction with commercially available liquid oxygen impact tester which provides impact energy.

Davis, L.↗