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DOE OSTI2026

Bio-inspired alula-based winglet design for enhanced heat transfer in high temperature fin-and-tube heat exchangers

Fin-and-tube heat exchangers (FTHEs) are widely used for high-temperature flue-gas heat recovery, but their performance is often limited by wake regions and non-uniform fin-surface temperatures. This study proposes and numerically evaluates four bio-inspired longitudinal vortex generator (VG) configurations in a high-temperature FTHE with flue-gas inlet temperature ∼1230 K: double-delta, curved double-delta, alula, and a new curved-alula geometry. The reference fin is not hydraulically plain; it already incorporates leading-edge separation columns and convex protrusions, so the alula-type winglets are assessed as downstream add-ons acting on a strongly disturbed flow. In a second step, perforations (one, two and three circular holes) are introduced into the curved-alula VGs to further tailor the flow field. Three-dimensional simulations with the Shear Stress Transpor (SST) $k - ω$ model, temperature-dependent flue-gas properties and conjugate conduction are carried out for gas-side Reynolds numbers $Re_g ≈ 8.0$ x $10^2 - 3.6$ x $10^3$ (mass flow rates 0.5 – 2.5 g/s), and the designs are compared in terms of surface heat flux, Nusselt number, friction factor and hydrothermal performance factor (HTPF). For this already-promoted fin, the additional downstream winglets provide moderate, incremental hydrothermal gains. At the highest Reynolds number, the best non-perforated design (curved-alula) increases surface heat flux from 1630.9 to 1794.7 kW/m² (∼ 10 % gain) and the Nusselt number from 227.6 to 242.6 (∼ 7 % gain), while the friction factor rises from 0.26 to about 0.30, yielding HTPF values close to unity (∼ 0.9 – 1.0). Introducing circular perforations into the curved-alula winglets acts mainly as a wake-bleeding refinement: the three-hole configuration provides a heat flux of 1824.7 kW/m² and a pressure drop of 127.9 Pa, with HTPF in the range ∼ 1.03 – 1.14 and a small (∼ 1 – 3 %) improvement over the solid curved-alula design. Flow-field analysis shows that the perforated curved-alula VGs shrink tube-wake regions, thin the thermal boundary layer and homogenize the fin-surface temperature (outlet-gas temperature ∼ 510 – 520 K and fin-surface temperature ∼ 420 – 421 K for the three-hole case). An optimal flue-gas mass flow rate of ∼ 1 g/s ($Re_g ≈ 1.5$ x $10^3$) is identified, beyond which additional heat-transfer gains are offset by rapidly increasing pressure losses. Overall, the results highlight that initial fin geometry and VG placement are as important as VG shape: alula-based winglets are expected to yield larger relative gains on simpler flat-fin layouts or when positioned closer to the fin leading edge and tube

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Estimating Electron Temperature and Density Using Van Allen Probe Data: Typical Behavior of Energetic Electrons in the Inner Magnetosphere

Abstract The Earth's inner magnetosphere contains multiple electron populations influenced by different factors. The cold electrons of the plasmasphere, warm plasma that contributes to the ring current, and the relativistic plasma of the radiation belts often seem to behave independently. Using omni‐directional flux and energy measurements from the HOPE and Magnetic Electron Ion Spectrometer instruments aboard the Van Allen Probes, we provide a detailed density and temperature description of the inner magnetosphere, offering a comprehensive statistical analysis of the entire Van Allen Probe era. While number density and temperature data at geosynchronous orbit are available, this study focuses on the warm plasma in the inner magnetosphere . Values of density and temperature are extracted by fitting energy and phase space density to obtain the distribution function. The fitted distributions are related to the zeroth and second moments to estimate the number density and temperature. Analysis has indicated that a two Maxwellian fit is sufficient over a wide range of and that there are two independent plasma populations. The more energetic population has a median number density of approximately and a temperature of around 130 keV, with a temperature peak observed between L * = 4 and L * = 4.5. This population is relatively uniform in magnetic local time (MLT). In contrast, the less energetic warm electron population has a median number density of about and a temperature of 7.4 keV. Strong statistical trends in density and temperature across both L * and MLT are presented, along with potential sources driving these variations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Multi-physics modeling of tungsten collector probe samples during the WEST C4 He campaign

Abstract We describe the results of a multi-scale, multi-physics modeling assessment of SOLPS-ITER, hPIC2, RustBCA and Xolotl, in which five single-crystal tungsten (W) samples were placed in a reciprocating collector probe and exposed to helium (He) plasma in the WEST fusion device. In our models, we considered a pure (100 %) He plasma, as well as one with oxygen (O) present (95% He 5% O) corresponding to the impurity concentration estimated during the C4 He campaign in WEST. Our SOLPS simulations approximately match experimental reciprocating Langmuir probe plasma measurements of plasma density and temperature. Using these plasma parameters as input, hPIC2 and RustBCA predict that the presence of oxygen impurities lead to a 15%–20% decrease in ion and heat fluxes to the surface, and an order of magnitude higher sputtering yields (compared with a pure He plasma). Xolotl predictions for the response of tungsten to plasma surface interactions (PSIs) agree with experimental LAMS analysis, and indicate large near-surface He concentrations, which quickly decay with depth. Our model also shows an increasing role of erosion—in removing the near-surface He—with time. Overall, slightly higher retention is predicted for tungsten exposed to a pure He plasma, with the largest differences in the near-surface gas content caused by the large oxygen-induced erosion. This highlights the important role that impurities play in PSI. Therefore, future work will focus on providing a fully self-consistent description of oxygen (and oxides, etc.) in our models, through multi-species implementation in GITR and inclusion of oxygen and tungsten oxide formation in Xolotl.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Cluster Expansion and Resurgence in the Polyakov Model

In the Polyakov model, a nonperturbative mass gap is formed at leading-order semiclassics by instanton effects. By using the notions of critical points at infinity, cluster expansion, and Lefschetz thimbles, we show that a third-order effect in semiclassics gives an imaginary ambiguous contribution to the mass gap, which is supposed to be real and unambiguous. This is troublesome for the original analysis, and it is difficult to resolve this issue directly in quantum field theory (QFT). However, we find a new compactification of the Polyakov model to quantum mechanics, by using a background ’t Hooft flux. The compactification has the merit of remembering the monopole instantons of the full QFT within Born-Oppenheimer approximation, while the periodic compactification does not. In the quantum mechanical limit, we prove the resurgent cancellation of the ambiguity in three-instanton sector against ambiguity in the Borel resummation of the perturbation theory around one instanton. Assuming that this result holds in QFT, we provide a large-order asymptotics of perturbation theory around perturbative vacuum and instanton.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2021

Recommended conventions for reporting results from direct dark matter searches

Abstract The field of dark matter detection is a highly visible and highly competitive one. In this paper, we propose recommendations for presenting dark matter direct detection results particularly suited for weak-scale dark matter searches, although we believe the spirit of the recommendations can apply more broadly to searches for other dark matter candidates, such as very light dark matter or axions. To translate experimental data into a final published result, direct detection collaborations must make a series of choices in their analysis, ranging from how to model astrophysical parameters to how to make statistical inferences based on observed data. While many collaborations follow a standard set of recommendations in some areas, for example the expected flux of dark matter particles (to a large degree based on a paper from Lewin and Smith in 1995), in other areas, particularly in statistical inference, they have taken different approaches, often from result to result by the same collaboration. We set out a number of recommendations on how to apply the now commonly used Profile Likelihood Ratio method to direct detection data. In addition, updated recommendations for the Standard Halo Model astrophysical parameters and relevant neutrino fluxes are provided. The authors of this note include members of the DAMIC, DarkSide, DARWIN, DEAP, LZ, NEWS-G, PandaX, PICO, SBC, SENSEI, SuperCDMS, and XENON collaborations, and these collaborations provided input to the recommendations laid out here. Wide-spread adoption of these recommendations will make it easier to compare and combine future dark matter results.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Evaluation of Additively Manufactured Monolithic SiC and SiC Ceramic Matrix Composites for CSP- Fabrication and Testing of Receiver Design Feature Specimens in a Simulating Lab Test via Laser Heating

Critical to the creation of a multi-component SiC receiver design concept capable of meeting the SETO CST cost goal objectives of <$150/kWth is the optimal utilization of material for solar absorption and heat transfer to transport fluid. This is to maximize the solar-thermal efficiency in the techno-economic analysis of derived use case. As a first step in preparation of sub-component design for on-sun test evaluations we use different proposed SiC absorber element in a customized laser heat flux test to assess an effective heat transfer coefficient characteristic of the design. The test results are analyzed to extract the effective heat transfer coefficient, thus enable optimization of the geometry of receiver components for heat transfer, efficiency attributes and the thermo-structural management of the components. High intensity CO2 laser is used in combination with air flow through the test specimen to assess the effective heat transfer coefficient under heat flux conditions corresponding to high solar concentrations in the range of 1000-2000 suns.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

P{sub N} source expansion nodal method in MPACT for boiling water reactors

This paper describes the one-node P{sub N}-Source Expansion Nodal Method (SENM) axial solver for the 2D/1D method recently implemented in MPACT to support Boiling Water Reactors (BWR) analysis. Since the BWR has a more complicated design and strong burnable absorber, the existing PN-Nodal Expansion Method (NEM) axial solver in MPACT may not be sufficient to accurately represent the intranodal flux and source profiles for BWRs. The one-node P{sub N}-SENM has been implemented in this work to reduce the axial spatial discretization error for BWRs. From numerical results, we verify that the P{sub N}-SENM can improve the accuracy of the pin power prediction, and confirm that P{sub N}-SENM can use more than a 1.5 times larger axial mesh size than P{sub N}-NEM to have similar accuracy for the BWR GE14 3D assembly problem. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Spectral distortions to momentum and scalar exchanges by non-turbulent motion and patchy landscape variability

Modifications to the spectra of turbulent velocity and scalars and co-spectra of vertical fluxes of momentum and scalars due to patchy landscape heterogeneity and non-stationarity are explored for a Mediterranean ecosystem. About 9 months of high frequency measurements of the three velocity components, water vapor concentration, carbon dioxide concentration, and air temperature were analyzed for different seasons (spring/summer) and prevalent wind directions (southeast/northwest). The two wind directions sampled a contrast of clumped and patchy landscape comprised of olive trees (southeast) and wall bounded flow disturbed by the presence of few upwind trees (northwest). The measured spectra and co-spectra were also compared to theoretical scaling forms from stationary, planar homogeneous flow, in the absence of subsidence as derived from the Kansas experiment. To assess the role of low frequency non-turbulent motion on the spectral and co-spectral content, a 5-min Fourier cutoff was introduced and the analysis was limited to near-neutral conditions where the boundary layer depth is shallow compared to its unstable counterpart. It was shown that the velocity statistics were not appreciably impacted by the low-frequency motion causing non-stationarity. Moreover, the turbulent scalar fluxes were also shown not to be significantly impacted by such low frequency motion. The scalar variances were impacted, especially the water vapor variance and its concomitant spectral shape. When the non-turbulent motion was filtered, the scalar spectra at low wavenumbers followed expectations from the so-called attached eddy hypothesis (i.e. exhibited a $k^{-1}_x$ scaling with $k_x$ defining the longitudinal wavenumber) applicable for near-neutral conditions. For momentum co-spectra, the canonical shapes from the Kansas experiment appear to describe well the measurements here and in both dominant directions and seasons with some adjustment to the integral time scales based on wind direction. For the scalar co-spectra, deviations from the Kansas experiment were prevalent. The most noticeable and surprising deviations were their slow decay with increased sampling frequency at inertial subrange scales. This slow decay was shown not to contribute appreciably to the overall scalar fluxes. At those fine scales, predictions from local isotropy were expected to hold. The scalar co-spectral deviations from local isotropy were then discussed using a simplified co-spectral budget model where scalar–scalar co-spectra naturally emerged and the interplay between landscape heterogeneity and a scale-dependent pressure-scalar de-correlation time was postulated. It is also envisaged that the findings here offer a preliminary template for analyzing eddy-covariance data in situations that deviate from ideal conditions, especially regarding low-frequency modulations of scalar spectra and vertical scalar flux co-spectra.

Canopy turbulence↗

DOE OSTI2026

Design Status and Experimental Strategy for Initial Molten Salt Irradiation Experiments in HFIR

The development and deployment of molten salt reactor (MSR) technologies require experimental capabilities that can evaluate molten fuel salt behavior and structural material performance under representative irradiation conditions. Although modeling and separate effects testing provide important insight, there remains a critical lack of in-pile data that capture the coupled effects of neutron irradiation, temperature, salt chemistry, and time. Informed by lessons learned from historical MSR programs and recent international irradiation efforts, this report presents a structured approach to addressing existing gaps in molten salt irradiation testing using the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR). A phased irradiation strategy is presented that incrementally increases experimental complexity while managing cost, risk, and facility constraints. The framework progresses from passive, nonfueled static capsule experiments to fueled, instrumented, and ultimately circulating molten salt systems, providing a pathway for materials screening, mechanistic understanding, and qualification-relevant testing. The report defines a near-term Phase 1 passive capsule concept, associated irradiation conditions, and a conceptual post-irradiation examination strategy. Ongoing modeling, out-of-pile testing, and safety analysis activities are described to support continued capability maturation and to enable future phases of molten salt irradiation testing in support of MSR technology deployment.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Phase stability and microstructure of neutron-irradiated substoichiometric yttrium dihydrides

The impact of the neutron-displacement damage on phase stability and microstructure of substoichiometric yttrium dihydrides (YH x , x <2) were investigated to assess their use as solid moderator in high-temperature nuclear reactors. YH x specimens were, thus, subjected to neutron irradiations in the range of 0.1–2 displacements per yttrium atom (dpa-Y) in the temperature range of 536–878°C at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory's (ORNL's) High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR). YH x specimens were initially prepared at stoichiometry (H/Y) ratios of 1.69 and 1.83. HFIR-irradiated specimens were characterized by variety of techniques to investigate H retention characteristics including dimensional analysis, optical microscopy, scanning electron microscopy electron back scatter diffraction (EBSD), transmission electron microscopy, thermal desorption spectroscopy (TDS), and high-energy x-ray diffraction (HE-XRD) characterizations. Overall, YH x exhibited notable structural and phase stability under short-term neutron-irradiation, except for the samples with significant silicon carbide (SiC) interaction at high doses and temperatures. Basic dimensional and mass measurements were misleading for accurate assessment of H retention, as confirmed by EBSD phase maps, XRD line profiles, and TDS signals. Thus, it was discussed that a robust H retention metric is needed to assess irradiated hydrides. Further, nanoscale cavities were observed as a result of the neutron irradiation in all samples. Although no clear impact of dose and irradiation temperature was determined, the initial H/Y ratio had an impact on the cavity number density where low H/Y specimens had high-resistance to cavity formation. The Y-vacancy cluster formation at the collision stage of the displacement cascade and their stabilization by H were considered to be the likely underlying mechanisms for the observed cavity microstructure.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Steady detonation propagation in thin channels with strong confinement

We examine asymptotically the dynamics of two-dimensional, steady detonation wave propagation and failure for a strongly confined high explosive (HE), in which the width of the explosive is small relative to the reaction zone length. An energy balance equation is derived, which shows how the longitudinal acceleration of subsonic flow behind the detonation shock is influenced both by chemical reaction and by the effects of HE boundary streamline deflection, specifically via the induced rate of change of mass flux through the detonation wave. The latter serves to either counteract or reinforce the acceleration of longitudinal flow, depending on the sign of the gradient of the boundary streamline deflection at the detonation shock. The analysis is valid for general equations of state and chemical reaction rates in the HE. The asymptotically derived form of the energy equation represents an eigenvalue problem for the determination of the steady detonation propagation speed, solved via a shooting method. We explore specific results for ideal and stiffened equations of state, along with a pressure-dependent reaction rate for which changes in the pressure exponent and reaction order are also studied. We consider the influences of both straight and curved HE boundary streamline shapes. The asymptotic analysis reveals significant physical insights into how detonation propagation and failure are affected by strong confinement.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

High Temperature Sodium Submersible Flowmeter Design and Analysis

This work details the design and analysis of a permanent magnet flowmeter designed to be submerged in a pool type sodium fast reactor environment. Recently developed Samarium Cobalt rare earth magnets were utilized that have demonstrated resilience to temperature and neutron flux up to 550 °C and 10 18 n/cm 2 , respectively. This paper will discuss the theory, design, calibration and uncertainty quantification of the flowmeter. The flowmeter was calibrated over a flowrate range of 11.4 - 90.9 LPM at temperatures of 220 and 400 °C, yielding an uncertainty in calibration of 2-3.6%. Here, a finite element model was developed and validated experimentally, yielding <; 3.2% error.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2021

drtsans

drtsans is highly modular, allowing users to customize collected data as well as test hypothetical or simulated neutron events data. Instrument scientists can use the advance features of drtsans to calibrate their instruments and reduced large quantities of datasets in a streamlined mode. Users can correct the collected data with dark current subtraction and normalization by neutron flux, detector sensitivity, solid angle subtended by the detectors, and scaling to absolute units. Conversion from time-of-flight and/or wavelength to 1D or 2D momentum transfer renders the final scattering quantities amenable to analysis.

Bilheux, JeanC↗

DOE OSTI2022

Specimen Size Artifacts Associated with a Glovebox Deployable Laser Flash Diffusivity Measurement System

To accelerate nuclear fuel qualification and deployment efforts, Oak Ridge National Laboratory has led the world in developing vehicles for accelerating burnup accumulation in nuclear fuel by testing miniature samples in the High Flux Isotope Reactor. However, a challenge remains to establish parity between post irradiation characterization methods for miniature fuel specimens in comparison to conventional fuel elements. This work aims to identify artifacts associated with the thermal analysis of miniature disk specimens in comparison to samples of standardized dimensions through a combination of experimental and computational tools. Using a newly procured Netzsch 427 laser flash diffusivity system, preliminary data on mild steel specimens were collected, and finite element techniques were used to model heat transfer using 1D conditions to assess issues associated with pulse width and data collection frequency effects. These preliminary investigations found that significant variability in measured thermal diffusivity exist within datasets. These variations are not necessarily attributed to limitations with respect to data collection rate; nor are they associated with limitations on pulse width. Instead, these artifacts may be a result of limitations in detector intensity. Future work aims to design a focusing lens to better measure the smaller surface area of miniature specimens analyzed using the laser flash analysis system.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Constraining Cross Section and Beam Systematics for Future NOvA Sterile Neutrino Search

he NOvA (NuMI Off-axis $\nu_e$ Appearance) experiment measures neutrino oscillations in a nearly pure muon (anti)neutrino beam over a 810 km baseline. We search for sterile neutrino driven oscillations in both neutral current (NC) and charged current (CC) muon neutrino samples. A deficit of NC interactions at the Far Detector could occur since sterile neutrinos do not couple to the Z boson. A modulation of the muon neutrino disappearance probability is possible due to a new mass splitting. The NuMI beam line is capable of running in forward or reverse horn current modes, which creates a neutrino or antineutrino beam, respectively. Samples collected in forward horn current (FHC) or reverse horn current (RHC) modes are subject to beam optics uncertainties, in addition to cross section and hadron production uncertainties. We explore the ategories. To tackle reduction of cross section uncertainties, we study how splitting the neutral current (NC) samples can impact the systematic reduction and its implications on oscillation parameters, leveraging results from Monte Carlo simulations. Additionally, we look at the possibility of using a $\nu$-on-e scattering sample. The $\nu$-on-e scattering process has minimal cross section uncertainties compared to that of neutrino-nucleus interactions, which can help constrain the overall flux normalizations. Using both the ZHC sample, NC split sample, and $\nu$-on-e scattering sample jointly with FHC samples would reduce the focusing uncertainties and the hadron production uncertainties in the future sterile analysis.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Design Methods, Tools, and Data for Ceramic Solar Receivers

This report presents the development of tools and methods for evaluating the reliability and performance of ceramic materials in high temperature solar receivers. As Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) technologies aim for higher operating temperatures to enhance efficiency and meet industrial process heat requirements, current high temperature metallic materials face challenges in maintaining structural integrity. This report explores advanced ceramics as a promising alternative, given their superior high temperature strength and lower thermal expansion, compared to metals. To address the need for effective ceramic receiver design tools, this report integrates statistical failure models of ceramics into the existing srlife tool: an open-source software package designed to estimate the life of high temperature CSP components. These failure models account for the inherent variability and flaw distribution in ceramics, as well as the impact of subcritical crack growth under high temperature cyclic loads. The report also presents experimental data collected for a commercially available ceramic material, SiC, and details the process of estimating reliability model parameters from these data. A comparative design analysis is then performed between ceramic (SiC) and metallic (current nickel-based superalloys A740H and A282) receiver. This comparison demonstrates that SiC receivers can achieve service life exceeding 30 years under high incident heat flux conditions, compared to just a few years for metallic receivers.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Characterizing Seasonal Variation of the Atmospheric Mixing Layer Height Using Machine Learning Approaches

As machine learning becomes more integrated into atmospheric science, XGBoost has gained popularity for its ability to assess the relative contributions of influencing factors in the atmospheric boundary layer height. To examine how these factors vary across seasons, a seasonal analysis is necessary. However, dividing data by season reduces the sample size, which can affect result reliability and complicate factor comparisons. To address these challenges, this study replaces default parameters with grid search optimization and incorporates cross-validation to mitigate dataset limitations. Using XGBoost with four years of data from the atmospheric radiation measurement (ARM) (Southern Great Plains (SGP) C1 site, cross-validation stabilizes correlation coefficient fluctuations from 0.3 to within 0.1. With optimized parameters, the R value can reach 0.81. Analysis of the C1 site reveals that the relative importance of different factors changes across seasons. Lower tropospheric stability (LTS, ~0.53) is the dominant factor at C1 throughout the year. However, during DJF, latent heat flux (LHF, 0.44) surpasses LTS (0.22). In SON, LTS (0.58) becomes more influential than LHF (0.18). Further comparisons among the four long-term SGP sites (C1, E32, E37, and E39) show seasonal variations in relative importance. Notably, during JJA, the differences in the relative importance of the three factors across all sites are lower than in other seasons. This suggests that boundary layer development in the summer is not dominated by a single factor, reflecting a more intricate process likely influenced by seasonal conditions such as enhanced convective activity, higher temperatures, and humidity, which collectively contribute to a balanced distribution of parameter impacts. Furthermore, the relative importance of LTS gradually increases from morning to noon, indicating that LTS becomes more significant as the boundary layer approaches its maximum height. Consequently, the LTS in the early morning in autumn exhibits greater relative importance compared to other seasons. This reflects a faster development of the mixing layer height (MLH) in autumn, suggesting that it is easier to retrieve the MLH from the previous day during this period. The findings enhance understanding of boundary layer evolution and contribute to improved boundary layer parameterization.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

DUNE-PRISM – A New Method to Measure Neutrino Oscillations

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation long baseline neutrino oscillation experiment designed to make precision measurements in a 1.2 2.4 MW neutrino beam, which is directed 1285 km from the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (Fermilab) to the Sandford Underground Research Facility (SURF) in South Dakota. Neutrinos are measured at two detector facilities: a near detector located at Fermilab close where the beam is produced and a far detector at SURF. The neutrino beam can be configured to be composed primarily of either muon or anti-muon neutrinos. DUNE measures the disappearance of muon and anti-muon neutrinos and appearance electron and anti-electron neutrinos in the neutrino beam. Measuring these neutrino flavour transitions provides DUNE with sensitivity to the neutrino mass ordering, $\delta_{CP}$, $\theta_{13}$, $\theta_{23}$ and the magnitude of $\Delta m^2_{23}$. The DUNE Precision Reaction Independent Spectrum Measurement (DUNE-PRISM) concept presents a novel way to perform a neutrino oscillation analysis, which has the potential to significantly reduce the impact of large systematic uncertainties in the neutrino interaction model. The PRISM method linearly combines measurements of off-axis neutrino interactions at the DUNE near detector to produce data-driven predictions of the oscillated neutrino event rate spectrum at the far detector. By building an oscillated far detector prediction directly from data, any unknown or poorly modelled neutrino interaction effects will be naturally incorporated into the measurement of the parameters of the neutrino oscillation model. This thesis presents the first complete neutrino oscillation analysis for DUNE using the PRISM method. Details of the methodology are fully explained and the prospects for further improvements to the techniques described are highlighted. The expected impact and relative importance of the neutrino flux, cross section and detector systematic uncertainties are described in detail. Finally, this thesis demonstrates that the PRISM method is capable of performing a measurement of the oscillation parameters that is robust against neutrino interaction modelling errors.

Hasnip, Ciaran↗