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At least 973 records · Page 54

Survival analysis of localized prostate cancer with deep learning

In recent years, data-driven, deep-learning-based models have shown great promise in medical risk prediction. By utilizing the large-scale Electronic Health Record data found in the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, the largest integrated healthcare system in the United States, we have developed an automated, personalized risk prediction model to support the clinical decision-making process for localized prostate cancer patients. This method combines the representative power of deep learning and the analytical interpretability of parametric regression models and can implement both time-dependent and static input data. To collect a comprehensive evaluation of model performances, we calculate time-dependent C-statistics C td over 2-, 5-, and 10-year time horizons using either a composite outcome or prostate cancer mortality as the target event. The composite outcome combines the Prostate-Specific Antigen (PSA) test, metastasis, and prostate cancer mortality. Our longitudinal model Recurrent Deep Survival Machine (RDSM) achieved C td 0.85 (0.83), 0.80 (0.83), and 0.76 (0.81), while the cross-sectional model Deep Survival Machine (DSM) attained C td 0.85 (0.82), 0.80 (0.82), and 0.76 (0.79) for the 2-, 5-, and 10-year composite (mortality) outcomes, respectively. In addition to estimating the survival probability, our method can quantify the uncertainty associated with the prediction. The uncertainty scores show a consistent correlation with the prediction accuracy. We find PSA and prostate cancer stage information are the most important indicators in risk prediction. Our work demonstrates the utility of the data-driven machine learning model in prostate cancer risk prediction, which can play a critical role in the clinical decision system.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Parabolic single-crystal diamond lenses for coherent x-ray imaging

We demonstrate parabolic single-crystal diamond compound refractive lenses designed for coherent x-ray imaging resilient to extreme thermal and radiation loading expected from next generation light sources. To ensure the preservation of coherence and resilience, the lenses are manufactured from the highest-quality single-crystalline synthetic diamond material grown by a high-pressure high-temperature technique. Picosecond laser milling is applied to machine lenses to parabolic with a similar or equal to 1 mu m precision and surface roughness. A compound refractive lens comprised of six lenses with a radius of curvature R = 200 mu m at the vertex of the parabola and a geometrical aperture A = 900 mu m focuses 10 keV x-ray photons from an undulator source at the Advanced Photon Source facility to a focal spot size of similar or equal to 20 x 90 mu m(2) with a gain factor of similar or equal to 50 - 100. (C) 2015 Author(s).

Terentyev, Sergey↗

Experimental investigation on the electrical contact behavior of rolling contact connector

Rolling contact connector (RCC) is a new technology utilized in high performance electric power transfer systems with one or more rotating interfaces, such as radars, satellites, wind generators, and medical computed tomography machines. Rolling contact components are used in the RCC instead of traditional sliding contacts to transfer electrical power and/or signal. Since the requirement of the power transmission is increasing in these years, the rolling electrical contact characteristics become more and more important for the long-life design of RCC. In this paper, a typical form of RCC is presented. A series of experimental work are carried out to investigate the rolling electrical contact characteristics during its lifetime. The influence of a variety of factors on the electrical contact degradation behavior of RCC is analyzed under both vacuum and air environment. Based on the surface morphology and elemental composition changes in the contact zone, which are assessed by field emission scanning electron microscope and confocal laser scanning microscope, the mechanism of rolling electrical contact degradation is discussed.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Data Science Shows that Entropy Correlates with Accelerated Zeolite Crystallization in Monte Carlo Simulations

We have performed a data science study of Monte Carlo simulation trajectories to understand factors that can accelerate formation of zeolite nanoporous crystals, a process that can take days or even weeks. In previous work, Monte Carlo simulations predicted and experiments confirmed that using a secondary organic structure-directing agent (OSDA) accelerates crystallization of all-silica LTA zeolite, with experiments finding a three-fold speedup [PCCP 24, 142-148 (2022)]. However, it remains unclear what physical factors cause the speed-up. Here, we apply data science to analyze the simulation trajectories to discover what drives accelerated zeolite crystallization in Monte Carlo going from a one-OSDA synthesis (1OSDA) to a two-OSDA version (2OSDA). We encoded simulation snapshots using the Smooth Overlap of Atomic Positions approach, which represents all 2- and 3-body correlations within a given cutoff distance. Principal component analyses failed to discriminate datasets of structures from 1OSDA and 2OSDA simulations, while the Support Vector Machine (SVM) approach succeeded at classifying such structures with an area-under-curve (AUC) score of 0.99 (where AUC = 1 is a perfect classification) with all 3-body correlations, and as high as 0.94 with only 2-body correlations. SVM decision functions reveal relatively broad / narrow histograms for 1OSDA / 2OSDA datasets, suggesting that the two simulations differ strongly in information heterogeneity. Informed by these results, we performed pair (2-body) entropy calculations during crystallization, resulting in entropy differences that semi-quantitatively account for the speedup observed in the previous Monte Carlo simulations. We conclude that altering synthesis conditions in ways that substantially changes the entropy of labile silica networks may accelerate zeolite crystallization, and we discuss possible approaches for achieving such acceleration.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Parsimonious Inference Information-Theoretic Foundations for a Complete Theory of Machine Learning (CIS-LDRD Project 218313 Final Technical Report)

This work examines how we may cast machine learning within a complete Bayesian framework to quantify and suppress explanatory complexity from first principles. Our investigation into both the philosophy and mathematics of rational belief leads us to emphasize the critical role of Bayesian inference in learning well-justified predictions within a rigorous and complete extended logic. The Bayesian framework allows us to coherently account for evidence in the learned plausibility of potential explanations. As an extended logic, the Bayesian paradigm regards probability as a notion of degrees of truth. In order to satisfy critical properties of probability as a coherent measure, as well as maintain consistency with binary propositional logic, we arrive at Bayes' Theorem as the only justifiable mechanism to update our beliefs to account for empiracle evidence. Yet, in the machine learning paradigm, where explanations are unconstrained algorithmic abstractions, we arrive at a critical challenge: Bayesian inference requires prior belief. Conventional approaches fail to yield a consistent framework in which we could compare prior plausibility among the infinities of potential choices in learning architectures. The difficulty of articulating well-justified prior belief over abstract models is the provinence of memorization in traditional machine learning training practices. This becomes exceptionally problematic in the context of limited datasets, when we wish to learn justifiable predictions from only a small amount of data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Unifying Quantum Materials Modeling and Experiments: The Role of Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials

Computational experiments have emerged as a powerful complement to traditional experiments in the design of new materials. The development of machine learning (ML) and deep learning techniques, combined with database construction and data mining, has significantly enhanced traditional quantum mechanical methods. This synergy enables the rapid development of structure-property relationships. In this talk, I will discuss our recent efforts in applying Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIAPs) to accelerate materials modeling across various material classes and challenging applications where traditional methods fall short. First, I will highlight the success of MLIAPs in accurately modeling the melting behavior of complex materials. Our results demonstrate high fidelity with experimental observations and also with calculated reference melting temperatures. In the second application, I will discuss how MLIAPs are trained and applied to elucidate the interplay between segregation tendencies and surface reconstructions in CuNi alloys under oxidizing conditions. A key factor in the success of these MLIAP applications is the design of minimalistic yet flexible datasets along with a computational framework for training MLIAPs.

Saidi, Wissam↗

Radio Frequency Properties of a 3D Printed Klystron Circuit

The manufacturing of active RF devices like klystrons is dominated by expensive and time-consuming cycles of machining and brazing. In this article, we characterize the RF properties of X-band klystron cavities and an integrated circuit manufactured with a novel additive manufacturing process. Parts are 3D printed in 316 L stainless steel with direct metal laser sintering, electroplated in copper, and brazed in one simple braze cycle. Stand-alone test cavities and integrated circuit cavities were measured throughout the manufacturing process. The un-tuned cavity frequency varies by less than 5% of the intended frequency, and Q factors reach above 1200. A tuning study was performed, and unoptimized tuning pins achieved a tuning range of 138 MHz without compromising Q. Klystron system performance was simulated with as-built cavity parameters and realistic tuning. Together, these results show promise that this process can be used to cheaply and quickly manufacture a new generation of highly integrated high power vacuum devices.

3D printing↗

Explainable Synthesizability Prediction of Inorganic Crystal Polymorphs Using Large Language Models

Abstract We evaluate the ability of machine learning to predict whether a hypothetical crystal structure can be synthesized and explain those predictions to scientists. Fine‐tuned large language models (LLMs) trained on a human‐readable text description of the target crystal structure perform comparably to previous bespoke convolutional graph neural network methods, but better prediction quality can be achieved by training a positive‐unlabeled learning model on a text‐embedding representation of the structure. An LLM‐based workflow can then be used to generate human‐readable explanations for the types of factors governing synthesizability, extract the underlying physical rules, and assess the veracity of those rules. These explanations can guide chemists in modifying or optimizing non‐synthesizable hypothetical structures to make them more feasible for materials design.

Kim, Seongmin [Department of Chemical and Biologic↗

Explainable Synthesizability Prediction of Inorganic Crystal Polymorphs Using Large Language Models

Abstract We evaluate the ability of machine learning to predict whether a hypothetical crystal structure can be synthesized and explain those predictions to scientists. Fine‐tuned large language models (LLMs) trained on a human‐readable text description of the target crystal structure perform comparably to previous bespoke convolutional graph neural network methods, but better prediction quality can be achieved by training a positive‐unlabeled learning model on a text‐embedding representation of the structure. An LLM‐based workflow can then be used to generate human‐readable explanations for the types of factors governing synthesizability, extract the underlying physical rules, and assess the veracity of those rules. These explanations can guide chemists in modifying or optimizing non‐synthesizable hypothetical structures to make them more feasible for materials design.

Kim, Seongmin [Department of Chemical and Biologic↗

Melt pool temperature measurement and monitoring during laser powder bed fusion based additive manufacturing via single-camera two-wavelength imaging pyrometry (STWIP)

Melt pool (MP) temperature is one of the determining factors and a key signature for evaluating the properties of printed components in metal additive manufacturing (AM). The state-of-the-art measurement systems are hindered, primarily by the large-scale data acquisition and processing demands. In this work, we introduce a novel coaxial, high-speed, single-camera two-wavelength imaging pyrometer (STWIP) system as opposed to the typical utilization of multiple cameras for measuring MP temperature profiles in laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) processes. Developed on a commercial LPBF machine (EOS M290), the STWIP system demonstrated its ability to quantitatively monitor the MP temperature and its variation for 50 layers at high framerates (>30,000 fps) for a real-world application (standard fatigue specimens) print. High performance computing is employed to analyze the acquired big data (MP images), for determining each MP's average temperature and 2D temperature profile. The MP temperature evolution in the gage section of a fatigue specimen is also examined at a temporal resolution of 1 ms, by evaluating the MP temperatures in the samples' first, middle, and last layers. This report is the first of its kind on monitoring MP temperature distribution and evolution at such a large, detailed scale for longer durations in practical applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Benchmark evaluation of one dimensional array of HEU moderated and reflected by Lucite

The evaluation of two HEU-Lucite experiments is presented. The critical experiments were performed using the Planet Universal Critical Assembly Machine at Los Alamos National Laboratory in 2019. In these experiments, HEU foils were interleaved with Lucite in a column stack and were moderated and reflected from the square Lucite plates. The neutron data produced were used to approximate the multiplication of each measured configuration. The evaluation of the experiments using calculational techniques is presented in the paper. A Monte-Carlo computational model to be used with MCNP6 was developed for the determination of uncertainties and the effects of various uncertainties on the multiplication factor were studied. The evaluation of the benchmark was performed for comparison of calculation results with the experimental data and validation of calculation techniques in particular the newly available thermal scattering data for the Lucite material. The sensitivity studies include parametric variations of material composition and geometry. Experimental uncertainties were low, with the overall height of the HEU/Lucite stack being the largest contributor to the overall uncertainty in k{sub eff}. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Finite Element Modeling of Orthogonal Machining of Brittle Materials Using an Embedded Cohesive Element Mesh

Machining of brittle materials is common in the manufacturing industry, but few modeling techniques are available to predict materials’ behavior in response to the cutting tool. The paper presents a fracture-based finite element model, named embedded cohesive zone–finite element method (ECZ–FEM). In ECZ–FEM, a network of cohesive zone (CZ) elements are embedded in the material body with regular elements to capture multiple randomized cracks during a cutting process. The CZ element is defined by the fracture energy and a scaling factor to control material ductility and chip behavior. The model is validated by an experimental study in terms of chip formation and cutting force with two different brittle materials and depths of cut. The results show that ECZ–FEM can capture various chip forms, such as dusty debris, irregular chips, and unstable crack propagation seen in the experimental cases. For the cutting force, the model can predict the relative difference among the experimental cases, but the force value is higher by 30–50%. The ECZ–FEM has demonstrated the feasibility of brittle cutting simulation with some limitations applied.

Takabi, Behrouz↗

Constructing a spatiotemporally coherent long-term PM2.5 concentration dataset over China during 1980–2019 using a machine learning approach

The lack of long-term observations and satellite retrievals of health-damaging fine particulate matter in China has demanded the estimates of historical PM 2.5 (particulate matter less than 2.5 µm in diameter) concentrations. This study constructs a gridded near-surface PM 2.5 concentration dataset across China covering 1980–2019 using the space-time random forest model with atmospheric visibility observations and other auxiliary data. The modeled daily PM2.5 concentrations are in excellent agreement with ground measurements during 2015–2019, with a coefficient of determination of 0.95 and mean relative error of 12%. Besides the atmospheric visibility which explains 30% of total importance of variables in the model, both emissions and meteorological conditions are also essential factors affecting PM2.5 predictions. From 1980 to 2014, the model-predicted PM2.5 concentrations increased constantly with the maximum growth rate of 5–10 µg/m3/decade over eastern China. Due to the clean air actions, PM 2.5 concentrations have decreased effectively at a rate over 50 µg/m 3 /decade in the North China Plain and 20–50 µg/m 3 /decade over eastern China during 2014–2019. The newly generated dataset of 1-degree gridded PM 2.5 concentrations for the past 40 years across China provides a useful means for investigating interannual and decadal environmental and climate impacts related to aerosols.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DFT Accurate Interatomic Potential for Molten NaCl from Machine Learning

Molten alkali chloride salts are a critical component in concentrated solar power and nuclear applications. Despite their ubiquity, the extreme chemical reactivity of molten alkali chlorides at high temperatures has presented a significant challenge in characterizing atomic structures and dynamic properties experimentally. In this work, we we investigate molten NaCl by performing high temperature molecular dynamics simulations using a Gaussian Approximation Potential (GAP) trained on Density Functional Theory (DFT) datasets. Our GAP model, trained with a meager 1000 atomic configurations, arrives at near ab initio accuracy with a mean absolute error of 1.5 meV/atom thus enabling fast analysis of high temperature salt properties on large length (5000 ion pairs) and time (> 1ns) scales currently inaccessible to ab initio simulations. Calculated structure factors and diffusion constants from our GAP model simulations show excellent agreement with experiments. Our results indicate that GAP models are able to capture the many-body interactions required to accurately model ionic-systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Compensating for Sintering Distortion in Additively Manufactured Shaped Charge Liners using Physics-Informed Machine Learning

Copper is a challenging material to process using laser-based additive manufacturing due to its high reflectivity and high thermal conductivity. Sintering-based processes can produce solid copper parts without the processing challenges and defects associated with laser melting; however, sintering can also cause distortion in copper parts, especially those with thin walls. In this study, we use physics-informed Gaussian process regression to predict and compensate for sintering distortion in thin-walled copper parts produced using a Markforged Metal X bound powder extrusion (BPE) additive manufacturing system. Through experimental characterization and computational simulation of copper’s viscoelastic sintering behavior, we can predict sintering deformation. We can then manufacture, simulate, and test parts with various compensation scaling factors to inform Gaussian process regression and predict a compensated as-printed (pre-sintered) part geometry that produces the desired final (post-sintered) part.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Noisy intermediate-scale quantum algorithms

A universal fault-tolerant quantum computer that can efficiently solve problems such as integer factorization and unstructured database search requires millions of qubits with low error rates and long coherence times. While the experimental advancement toward realizing such devices will potentially take decades of research, noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) computers already exist. These computers are composed of hundreds of noisy qubits, i.e., qubits that are not error corrected, and therefore perform imperfect operations within a limited coherence time. In the search for achieving quantum advantage with these devices, algorithms have been proposed for applications in various disciplines spanning physics, machine learning, quantum chemistry, and combinatorial optimization. The overarching goal of such algorithms is to leverage the limited available resources to perform classically challenging tasks. In this review, a thorough summary of NISQ computational paradigms and algorithms is provided. The key structure of these algorithms and their limitations and advantages are discussed. Finally, a comprehensive overview of various benchmarking and software tools useful for programming and testing NISQ devices is additionally provided.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

The compelling case for indentation as a functional exploratory and characterization tool

The utility of indentation testing for characterizing a wide range of mechanical properties of brittle materials is highlighted in light of recent articles questioning its validity, specifically in relation to the measurement of toughness. Contrary to assertion by some critics, indentation fracture theory is fundamentally founded in Griffith–Irwin fracture mechanics, based on model crack systems evolving within inhomogeneous but well-documented elastic and elastic–plastic contact stress fields. Notwithstanding some numerical uncertainty in associated stress intensity factor relations, the technique remains an unrivalled quick, convenient and economical means for comparative, site-specific toughness evaluation. Most importantly, indentation patterns are unique fingerprints of mechanical behavior and thereby afford a powerful functional tool for exploring the richness of material diversity. At the same time, it is cautioned that unconditional usage without due attention to the conformation of the indentation patterns can lead to overstated toughness values. Limitations of an alternative, more engineering approach to fracture evaluation, that of propagating a precrack through a “standard” machined specimen, are also outlined. Thus misconceptions in the critical literature concerning the fundamental nature of crack equilibrium and stability within contact and other inhomogeneous stress fields are discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Insight into Strong QCD and the Emergence of Mass from N* Experiments

Studies of nucleon resonance (N*) electroexcitation amplitudes (?vpN* electrocouplings) within a broad range of virtual photon four-momentum squared Q2 offer unique information on many facets of the strong interaction in the regime of large QCD running coupling (sQCD regime) seen in the generation of different resonances. The results on the ?vpN* electrocouplings from exclusive meson electroproduction data measured with the CLAS detector at JLab and their impact on understanding of sQCD dynamics will be presented in this talk. These CLAS data have provided the first and only available results on the evolution of the ?vpN* electrocouplings with Q2 to 5 GeV2 for most N* states in the mass range up to 1.8 GeV. A successful description of the CLAS results on the Q2-evolution of the ?(1232)3/2+, N(1440)1/2+, and ?(1600)3/2+ electrocouplings has been achieved within the continuum Schwinger method (CSM) by employing the same momentum dependence of the dressed quark mass inferred from the QCD Lagrangian, which also reproduces the experimental results on the pion elastic electromagnetic form factor and parton distribution function, and the nucleon elastic form factor. This success has demonstrated the capability for gaining insight into the emergence of hadron mass (EHM) from the exploration of the Q2-evolution of the ?vpN* electrocouplings. These studies also allow us to establish either universality or environmental sensitivity of the dressed quark mass function and to explore qq-correlation amplitudes of different spin-parities and the mixing between configurations of different orbital angular momentum. Exploration of the resonance electroexcitation with the CLAS12 detector and in the future with a possible 22 GeV machine at JLab offer the only foreseen opportunity to extend information on the ?vpN* electrocouplings for Q2 from 5-30 GeV2. Analyses of these results will cover the full range of distances where the dominant part of hadron mass and N* structure emerge from QCD.

Mokeev, Victor↗