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At least 973 records · Page 54

Cirrus Parcel Model Comparison Project: The Critical Components to Simulate Cirrus Initiation Explicitly - Phase 1

The Cirrus Parcel Model Comparison Project, a project of the GCSS (GEWEX Cloud System Studies) Working Group on Cirrus Cloud Systems, involves the systematic comparison of current models of ice crystal nucleation and growth for specified, typical, cirrus cloud environments. In Phase I of the project reported here, simulated cirrus cloud microphysical properties are compared for situations of "warm" (40 C) and "cold" (-60 C) cirrus, both subject to updrafts of 4, 20 and 100 centimeters per second. Five models participated. The various models employ explicit microphysical schemes wherein the size distribution of each class of particles (aerosols and ice crystals) is resolved into bins or treated separately. Simulations are made including both the homogeneous and heterogeneous ice nucleation mechanisms. A single initial aerosol population of sulfuric acid particles is prescribed for all simulations. To isolate the treatment of the homogeneous freezing (of haze droplets) nucleation process, the heterogeneous nucleation mechanism is disabled for a second parallel set of simulations. Qualitative agreement is found for the homogeneous-nucleation- only simulations, e.g., the number density of nucleated ice crystals increases with the strength of the prescribed updraft. However, significant quantitative differences are found. Detailed analysis reveals that the homogeneous nucleation rate, haze particle solution concentration, and water vapor uptake rate by ice crystal growth (particularly as controlled by the deposition coefficient) are critical components that lead to differences in predicted microphysics. Systematic bias exists between results based on a modified classical theory approach and models using an effective freezing temperature approach to the treatment of nucleation. Each approach is constrained by critical freezing data from laboratory studies, but each includes assumptions that can only be justified by further laboratory research. Consequently, it is not yet clear if the two approaches can be made consistent. Large haze particles may deviate considerably from equilibrium size in moderate to strong updrafts (20-100 centimeters per second) at -60 C when the commonly invoked equilibrium assumption is lifted. The resulting difference in particle-size- dependent solution concentration of haze particles may significantly affect the ice particle formation rate during the initial nucleation interval. The uptake rate for water vapor excess by ice crystals is another key component regulating the total number of nucleated ice crystals. This rate, the product of particle number concentration and ice crystal diffusional growth rate, which is particularly sensitive to the deposition coefficient when ice particles are small, modulates the peak particle formation rate achieved in an air parcel and the duration of the active nucleation time period. The effects of heterogeneous nucleation are most pronounced in weak updraft situations. Vapor competition by the heterogeneously nucleated ice crystals may limit the achieved ice supersaturation and thus suppresses the contribution of homogeneous nucleation. Correspondingly, ice crystal number density is markedly reduced. Definitive laboratory and atmospheric benchmark data are needed for the heterogeneous nucleation process. Inter-model differences are correspondingly greater than in the case of the homogeneous nucleation process acting alone.

Lin, Ruei-Fong↗

The Influence of Surface Topography on Polymer Friction

Current friction models for polymers are examined to determine their applicability in predicting the effects of roughness on friction. The two component, adhesion deformation model of friction predicts the variation of friction with the change in the sliding direction with respect to the lay direction on anisotropic rough surfaces. The two component model does not predict the change in friction with changes in roughness. A combination of an energy based model and a slip line deformation model may provide a friction model which could better represent measured friction.

Eiss, N. S., Jr.↗

Evaluation of Flow Routing on the Unstructured Voronoi Meshes in Earth System Modeling

Flow routing is a fundamental process of Earth System Models' (ESMs) river component. Traditional flow routing models rely on Cartesian rectangular meshes, which exhibit limitations, particularly when coupled with unstructured mesh-based ocean components. They also lack the support for regionally refined models. While previous studies have highlighted the potential benefits of unstructured meshes for flow routing, their widespread application and comprehensive evaluation within ESMs remain limited. This study extends the river component of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model to unstructured Voronoi meshes. We evaluated the model's performance in simulating river discharge and water depth across three watersheds spanning the Arctic, temperate, and tropical regions. The results show that while providing several benefits, unstructured mesh-based flow routing can achieve comparable performance to structured mesh-based routing, and their difference is often less than 10%. Although the unstructured mesh-based method could address several existing limitations, this research also shows that additional improvements in the numerical method are needed to fully exploit the advantages of unstructured mesh for hydrologic and ESMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Models of Speed Discrimination

The prime purpose of this project was to investigate various theoretical issues concerning the integration of information across visual space. To date, most of the research efforts in the study of the visual system seem to have been focused in two almost non-overlaping directions. One research focus has been the low level perception as studied by psychophysics. The other focus has been the study of high level vision exemplified by the study of object perception. Most of the effort in psychophysics has been devoted to the search for the fundamental "features" of perception. The general idea is that the most peripheral processes of the visual system decompose the input into features that are then used for classification and recognition. The experimental and theoretical focus has been on finding and describing these analyzers that decompose images into useful components. Various models are then compared to the physiological measurements performed on neurons in the sensory systems. In the study of higher level perception, the work has been focused on the representation of objects and on the connections between various physical effects and object perception. In this category we find the perception of 3D from a variety of physical measurements including motion, shading and other physical phenomena. With few exceptions, there seem to be very limited development of theories describing how the visual system might combine the output of the analyzers to form the representation of visual objects. Therefore, the processes underlying the integration of information over space represent critical aspects of vision system. The understanding of these processes will have implications on our expectations for the underlying physiological mechanisms, as well as for our models of the internal representation for visual percepts. In this project, we explored several mechanisms related to spatial summation, attention, and eye movements. The project comprised three components: 1. Modeling visual search for the detection of speed deviation. 2. Perception of moving objects. 3. Exploring the role of eye movements in various visual tasks.

Source record↗

A Goal Seeking Strategy for Constructing Systems from Alternative Components

This paper describes a methodology to efficiently construct feasible systems then modify feasible systems to meet successive goals by selecting from alternative components, a problem recognized to be n-p complete. The methodology provides a means to catalog and model alternative components. A presented system modeling Structure is robust enough to model a wide variety of systems and provides a means to compare and evaluate alternative systems. These models act as input to a methodology for selecting alternative components to construct feasible systems and modify feasible systems to meet design goals and objectives. The presented algorithm's ability to find a restricted solution, as defined by a unique set of requirements, is demonstrated against an exhaustive search of a sample of proposed shuttle modifications. The utility of the algorithm is demonstrated by comparing results from the algorithm with results from three NASA shuttle evolution studies using their value systems and assumptions.

Valentine, Mark E.↗

AOI 3 Life Modelling of Critical Steam Cycle Components in Coal-Fueled Power Plants

Microstructural damage accumulation models have been used to produce calibrated life estimation models for a DR22/P22 steel wye-block welds, and a Jethete stainless steel turbine blade (bucket). The calibrated life estimation models will aid the power plant operator in determining optimal maintenance and operation schedules based upon historical operational data as well as current, or future operation schemes. The impact of this project will enable existing coal-fueled power plants to operate safely for longer periods of time and at higher efficiencies, thereby reducing the economic and environmental impact of the existing coal power plant fleet. Testing, characterization, and modelling indicates that the operating life of P22 pipelines and their welds are dominated by fatigue damage mechanisms. Specifically, fatigue is of no concern in these materials when operating under realistic conditions manifesting in the main steam piping of coal-fueled power plants. However, if a low-temperature overload ever occurs during operation, fatigue will manifest as a damage mechanism of interest. Primary impact provided by the completion of this work is in the manifestation of a detailed ABAQUS solid model providing accurate boundary conditions to enable the prediction of operational stresses and strains. The completed plant solid model, in conjunction with the calibrated fatigue and creep life models provide definitive confirmation that creep is the dominant damage mechanism during operational conditions. Jethete life modelling has been completed by the manifestation of a material-specific, and temperature-specific, Kitagowa diagram. The Kitagowa diagram provides maintenance and operation decision making with scientifically-based go/no-go support based upon the crack-like features that have been identified by use of inspection.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

One Planet or Two Planets? The Ultra-sensitive Extreme-magnification Microlensing Event KMT-2019-BLG-1953

We present the analysis of a very high-magnification (A ∼ 900) microlensing event KMT-2019-BLG-1953. A single-lens single-source (1L1S) model appears to approximately delineate the observed light curve, but the residuals from the model exhibit small but obvious deviations in the peak region. A binary-lens (2L1S) model with a mass ratio of q ∼ 2 × 10{sup −3} improves the fits by Δχ {sup 2} = 181.8, indicating that the lens possesses a planetary companion. From additional modeling by introducing an extra planetary lens component (3L1S model) and an extra source companion (2L2S model), it is found that the residuals from the 2L1S model further diminish, but claiming these interpretations is difficult due to the weak signals with Δχ {sup 2} = 16.0 and 13.5 for the 3L1S and 2L2L models, respectively. From a Bayesian analysis, we estimate that the host of the planets has a mass of M{sub host}=0.31{sub −0.17}{sup +0.37} M{sub ⊙} and that the planetary system is located at a distance of D{sub L}=7.04{sub −1.33}{sup +1.10} kpc toward the Galactic center. The mass of the securely detected planet is M{sub p}=0.64{sub −0.35}{sup +0.76} M{sub J}. The signal of the potential second planet could have been confirmed if the peak of the light curve had been more densely observed by follow-up observations, and thus the event illustrates the need for intensive follow-up observations for very high-magnification events even in the current generation of high-cadence surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Disentangling the AGN and Star formation Contributions to the Radio–X-Ray Emission of Radio-loud Quasars at 1 < Z < 2

We constrain the emission mechanisms responsible for the prodigious electromagnetic output generated by active galactic nuclei (AGNs) and their host galaxies with a novel state-of-the-art AGN radio-to-X-ray spectral energy distribution model fitting code (ARXSED). ARXSED combines multiple components to fit the spectral energy distributions (SEDs) of AGNs and their host galaxies. Emission components include radio structures such as lobes and jets, infrared emission from the AGN torus, visible-to-X-ray emission from the accretion disk, and radio-to-ultraviolet emission from the host galaxy. Applying ARXSED to the radio SEDs of 20 3CRR quasars at 1 < z < 2 verifies the need for more than a simple power law when compact radio structures are present. The nonthermal emission contributes 91%–57% of the observed-frame 1.25 mm to 850 μm flux, and this component must be accounted for when using these wavelengths to estimate star formation properties. We predict the presence of strong radio-linked X-ray emission in more than half the sample sources. ARXSED estimates median (and the associated first and third quartile ranges) BH mass of ${2.9}_{1.7}^{6.0}\times {10}^{9}\,{M}_{\odot }$ , logarithm of Eddington ratio of $-{1.0}_{-1.2}^{-0.6}$ , and spin of ${0.98}_{0.94}^{0.99}$ for our sample. The inferred AGN torus and accretion disk parameters agree with those estimated from spectroscopic analyses of similar samples in the literature. We present the median intrinsic SED of the luminous radio-loud quasars at 1 < z ≲ 2; this SED represents a significant improvement in the way each component is modeled.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Fossil track and thermoluminescence studies of Luna 20 material.

Track densities in 85 feldspar crystals from L-2009 range from 2,500,000 per sq cm to greater than one billion per sq cm. This track distribution represents an intermediate case between what have been previously defined as lightly and heavily irradiated soils and suggests that the Luna 20 sample consists of a mixture of a mature, heavily irradiated component with another, lightly irradiated component. Using a two-component mixing model, the age of the lightly irradiated component is about 270,000,000 yr. It is possible, but by no means certain, that this is associated with the formation of the crater Apollonius C. At about 200 C the ratio of natural thermoluminescence to that induced by a standard irradiation is similar to that in Apollo 12 and 14 cores below about 7 cm. This confirms that most of the Luna 20 sample represents subsurface material.

Crozaz, G.↗

One Planet or Two Planets? The Ultra-sensitive Extreme-magnification Microlensing Event KMT-2019-BLG-1953

We present the analysis of a very high-magnification (A ~ 900) microlensing event KMT-2019-BLG-1953. A single-lens single-source (1L1S) model appears to approximately delineate the observed light curve, but the residuals from the model exhibit small but obvious deviations in the peak region. A binary-lens (2L1S) model with a mass ratio of q ~ 2 × 10^−3 improves the fits by Δχ2 = 181.8, indicating that the lens possesses a planetary companion. From additional modeling by introducing an extra planetary lens component (3L1S model) and an extra source companion (2L2S model), it is found that the residuals from the 2L1S model further diminish, but claiming these interpretations is difficult due to the weak signals with Δχ2 = 16.0 and 13.5 for the 3L1S and 2L2L models, respectively. From a Bayesian analysis, we estimate that the host of the planets has a mass of M(host)=0.31 (+0.37, -0.17) Mꙩ and that the planetary system is located at a distance of D9L)=7.04 (+1.10, -1.33) kpc toward the Galactic center. The mass of the securely detected planet is M(p)=0.64 (+0.76, -0.35) M(J). The signal of the potential second planet could have been confirmed if the peak of the light curve had been more densely observed by follow-up observations, and thus the event illustrates the need for intensive follow-up observations for very high-magnification events even in the current generation of high-cadence surveys.

Cheongho Han↗

Cruise Propulsion System Thermal Analysis for NASA’s X-57 “Maxwell” Mod II Configuration

The X-57 “Maxwell” is NASA’s flight demonstrator for distributed electric propulsion technologies. The X-57 Mod II configuration is designed to test the electric cruise propulsion system for X-57 and features an electric cruise motor mounted in an integral nacelle on each wing. The electric motors and associated control equipment for X-57 Mod II are air-cooled; therefore, they require adequate cooling airflow to stay within temperature limits set by the X-57 project in all relevant flight conditions. A computational flow analysis was conducted to estimate the internal flow properties of the X-57 Mod II cruise nacelles in three critical flight conditions. These flow properties were then used to determine the boundary conditions for individual component thermal models, which were used to estimate individual component operating temperatures. The results indicated that the low-speed, low-altitude initial takeoff climb during hot day conditions was the sizing condition from a cooling perspective. The analysis found that the cooling flowpaths in the X-57 Mod II cruise nacelles are adequate to provide cooling to most of the components with the appropriate amount of thermal margin. The two components that are not anticipated to have the appropriate margin can be accommodated with a small (< 2°C) adjustment to the project operating limitations.

Nicholas K. Borer↗

Cruise Propulsion System Thermal Analysis for NASA’s X-57 “Maxwell” Mod II Configuration

The X-57 “Maxwell” is NASA’s flight demonstrator for distributed electric propulsion technologies. The X-57 Mod II configuration is designed to test the electric cruise propulsion system for X-57 and features an electric cruise motor mounted in an integral nacelle on each wing. The electric motors and associated control equipment for X-57 Mod II are air-cooled; therefore, they require adequate cooling airflow to stay within temperature limits in all relevant flight conditions within the operational ambient temperature limits set by the X-57 project. A computational flow analysis was conducted to estimate the internal flow properties of the X-57 Mod II cruise nacelles in three critical flight conditions. These flow properties were then used to determine the boundary conditions for individual component thermal models, which were used to estimate individual component operating temperatures. The results indicated that the low-speed, low-altitude initial takeoff climb during hot day conditions was the sizing condition from a cooling perspective. The analysis found that the cooling flowpaths in the X-57 Mod II cruise nacelles are adequate to provide cooling to all components with the appropriate amount of thermal margin except two of the low-voltage control boards in the cruise motor controller. These components would violate required thermal margins by less than two degrees Celsius in the Project Hot Day reference atmosphere.

Nicholas K Borer↗

Interstellar medium model

A model of the ionized part of the interstellar medium was developed, based on the low frequency observations by the Radio Astronomy Explorer Satellite with a background of nonthermal radiation. This nonthermal background radiation is caused by synchrotron emission from cosmic ray electrons, and at low frequencies this emission is heavily absorbed by free-free absorption from the residual thermal electrons in the interstellar medium. By an appropriate model, parameters relevant to both the thermal and nonthermal components of the interstellar medium are shown. The observations were taken with the 100 deg dipole antenna and separated into galactic and extragalactic components. This model was developed using only the separated galactic component.

Novaco, J. C.↗

A Multi-Wavelength Study of the Hot Component of the Interstellar Medium

The goals of this research are as follows: (1) Using the large number of lines of sight available in the ME database, identify the lines of sight with high-velocity components in interstellar lines, from neutral species through Si VI, C IV, and N V; (2) Compare the column density of the main components (i.e. low velocity components) of the interstellar lines with distance, galactic longitude and latitude, and galactic radial position. Derive statistics on the distribution of components in space (e.g. mean free path, mean column density of a component). Compare with model predictions for the column densities in the walls of old SNR bubbles and superbubbles, in evaporating cloud boundaries and in turbulent mixing layers; (3) For the lines of sight associated with multiple high velocity, high ionization components, model the shock parameters for the associated superbubble and SNR to provide more accurate energy input information for hot phase models and galactic halo models. Thus far 49 lines of sight with at least one high velocity component to the C IV lines have been identified; and (4) Obtain higher resolution data for the lines of sight with high velocity components (and a few without) to further refine these models.

Nichols, Joy↗

Quantifying Feedback from Narrow Line Region Outflows in Nearby Active Galaxies. IV. The Effects of Different Density Estimates on the Ionized Gas Masses and Outflow Rates

Active galactic nuclei (AGN) can launch outflows of ionized gas that may influence galaxy evolution, and quantifying their full impact requires spatially resolved measurements of the gas masses, velocities, and radial extents. We previously reported these quantities for the ionized narrow-line region outflows in six low-redshift AGN, where the gas velocities and extents were determined from Hubble Space Telescope long-slit spectroscopy. However, calculating the gas masses required multicomponent photoionization models to account for radial variations in the gas densities, which span ∼6 orders of magnitude. To simplify this method for larger samples with less spectral coverage, we compare these gas masses with those calculated from techniques in the literature. First, we use a recombination equation with three different estimates for the radial density profiles. These include constant densities, those derived from [S ii], and power-law profiles based on constant values of the ionization parameter (U). Second, we use single-component photoionization models with power-law density profiles based on constant U, and allow U to vary with radius based on the [O iii]/Hβ ratios. We find that assuming a constant density of nH = 10(^2) cm(^−3) overestimates the gas masses for all six outflows, particularly at small radii where the outflow rates peak. The use of [S ii] marginally matches the total gas masses, but also overestimates at small radii. Overall, single-component photoionization models where U varies with radius are able to best match the gas mass and outflow rate profiles when there are insufficient emission lines to construct detailed models.

Mitchell Revalski↗

Dimensionally reduced machine learning model for predicting single component octanol–water partition coefficients

Abstract MF-LOGP, a new method for determining a single component octanol–water partition coefficients ( $$LogP$$ LogP ) is presented which uses molecular formula as the only input. Octanol–water partition coefficients are useful in many applications, ranging from environmental fate and drug delivery. Currently, partition coefficients are either experimentally measured or predicted as a function of structural fragments, topological descriptors, or thermodynamic properties known or calculated from precise molecular structures. The MF-LOGP method presented here differs from classical methods as it does not require any structural information and uses molecular formula as the sole model input. MF-LOGP is therefore useful for situations in which the structure is unknown or where the use of a low dimensional, easily automatable, and computationally inexpensive calculations is required. MF-LOGP is a random forest algorithm that is trained and tested on 15,377 data points, using 10 features derived from the molecular formula to make $$LogP$$ LogP predictions. Using an independent validation set of 2713 data points, MF-LOGP was found to have an average $$RMSE$$ RMSE = 0.77 ± 0.007, $$MAE$$ MAE = 0.52 ± 0.003, and $${R}^{2}$$ R 2 = 0.83 ± 0.003. This performance fell within the spectrum of performances reported in the published literature for conventional higher dimensional models ( $$RMSE$$ RMSE = 0.42–1.54, $$MAE$$ MAE = 0.09–1.07, and $${R}^{2}$$ R 2 = 0.32–0.95). Compared with existing models, MF-LOGP requires a maximum of ten features and no structural information, thereby providing a practical and yet predictive tool. The development of MF-LOGP provides the groundwork for development of more physical prediction models leveraging big data analytical methods or complex multicomponent mixtures. Graphical Abstract

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A New Efficient Quantitative Multi-component Phase Field: Lattice Boltzmann Model for Simulating Ti6Al4V Solidified Dendrite Under Forced Flow

Ti6Al4V is a widely used, multi-component alloy in additive manufacturing, during which the fluid flow in the molten pool significantly affects the solidified dendrites. To predict and further control the microstructure, modeling and simulating the microstructure evolution play a critical role. In this study, a newly developed, efficient, quantitative multi-component phase-field (PF) model is coupled with a lattice Boltzmann (LB) model to simulate Ti6Al4V solidified dendrite evolution under fluid flow. The accuracy and convergence behavior of the model is validated by the Gibbs–Thomson relation at the dendrite tip. Single and multiple two-dimensional (2D) equiaxed dendrite evolution cases under forced flow were simulated. Results show that the dendrite pattern is influenced remarkably by the fluid flow. Underlying mechanisms of the asymmetrical evolution are revealed by discussing the interaction among the flow, composition distribution and dendrite morphology, quantitatively. The dendrite kinetics are also derived, which ascertains the relationship between tip velocity and undercooling and inlet velocity and is the foundation for larger-scale simulation. We believe that the coupled quantitative multi-component PF–LB framework employed in this study helps in investigating the solidified dendrite morphology evolution in a deep and quantitate manner.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

On the Origin and Evolution of Stellar Chromospheres, Coronae and Winds

The final report discusses work completed on proposals to construct state-of-the-art, theoretical, two-component, chromospheric models for single stars of different spectral types and different evolutionary status. We suggested to use these models to predict the level of the "basal flux", the observed range of variation of chromospheric activity for a given spectral type, and the decrease of this activity with stellar age. In addition, for red giants and supergiants, we also proposed to construct self-consistent, purely theoretical, chromosphere-wind models, and investigate the origin of "dividing lines" in the H-R diagram. In the report, we list the following six specific goals for the first and second year of the proposed research and then describe the completed work: (1) To calculate the acoustic and magnetic wave energy fluxes for stars located in different regions of the H-R diagram; (2) To investigate the transfer of this non-radiative energy through stellar photospheres and to estimate the amount of energy that reaches the chromosphere; (3) To identify major sources of radiative losses in stellar chromospheres and calculate the amount of emitted energy; (4) To use (1) through (3) to construct purely theoretical, two-component, chromospheric models based on the local energy balance. The models will be constructed for stars of different spectral types and different evolutionary status; (5) To explain theoretically the "basal flux", the location of stellar temperature minima and the observed range of chromospheric activity for stars of the same spectral type; and (6) To construct self-consistent, time-dependent stellar wind models based on the momentum deposition by finite amplitude Alfven waves.

Musielak, Z. E.↗